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    Knowledge Leadership

    MasterCard Worldwide Insights2Q 2008

    Online Shopping in Asia/PacificPatterns, Trends and Future Growth

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    MasterCard Worldwide Insights

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    MasterCard WorldwideA Global Knowledge Leader

    MasterCard Worldwide is widely recognized asa knowledge leader around the world. Over theyears, the global payment solutions companyhas devoted extensive resources to developing adeeper understanding of the payments cardmarkets and the business and economic envi-ronment through surveys and independentresearch studies. Some of these initiativesinclude the MasterCard Worldwide Index ofConsumer Confidence, MasterCard WorldwideIndex of Retail, MasterCard Worldwide Index ofTravel & Asian Lifestyles, MasterCard WorldwideIndex of Womens Advancement, MasterCardWorldwide Index of Chinas Affluent and Mas-terCard Worldwide Centers of Commerce.Today, these MasterCard offerings are muchsought after by analysts, academics and deci-sion makers in financial institutions, govern-ment agencies and multi-national organiza-tions.

    Launched in 1993, the MasterCard World-

    wide Index of Consumer Confidence has provento be an excellent barometer of the generalconsumer pulse in Asia/Pacific. The twice annu-al survey analyzes prevailing consumer percep-tions of economic conditions for the next sixmonths. Its insights into the dynamics of con-sumer sentiment, and the market paradigmdeliver value to a variety of audiences, includingcustomers and business partners.

    In 2003, MasterCard established the Master-Intelligence Knowledge Panel comprising lead-ing economists and business strategists fromChina, Hong Kong, India, Japan, Korea andSouth East Asia. In 2006, it was expanded tobecome a global knowledge panel, which nowconducts research and provides insights on theeconomic and business environment globally.The panel is headed by Dr. Yuwa Hedrick-Wong,Economic Advisor (Asia/Pacific), MasterCardWorldwide.

    Today, MasterCard continues to demonstrateits commitment by not only adding value withcutting edge research but also through sharingknowledge in new areas. Its knowledge leader-ship is well recognized and unrivaled.

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    Online Shoppingin Asia/Pacific Patterns,Trends and Future GrowthExecutive SummaryThis report examines e-commence trends; andidentifies the drivers and barriers to online pur-chases in key markets in the region. Both con-sumer behavior in relation to e-commerce, ande-commerce outlook in the region are analyzed.The role of credit cards in e-commerce and theirimportance in the online shopping regime isalso examined. Both desk top research and anonline survey were used in preparing this report.

    The key findings are: Online shopping is a growing trend in theregion, with 63% of survey respondents report-ing that they shop online at least occasionally. The key drivers of online shopping growth aremainly internet penetration, income levels andcultural factors. Huge growth in online shopping is expected,led by China and India but with other countries

    such as Thailand also likely to exhibit stronggrowth as incomes and internet penetrationrise. The survey suggests a lower average tendencyin the region for opportunistic purchases withonline shopping compared to offline. But thereare differences within countries which suggestthat the degree of financial sophistication is akey in influencing the degree of opportunisticspending.1

    Credit cards are a preferred mode of paymentfor online shopping. If security concerns wereallayed, there would be substantially moreonline shopping and more of this online shop-ping would be paid for with credit cards.

    Overview of Online ShoppingOnline Shopping Definitions and ProcessesOnline shopping can be defined as the processof purchasing goods or services over the inter-

    net. Most online retailers use shopping cartsoftware to allow consumers to accumulatemultiple items of varying quantities, similar toan actual shopping cart in a real-world store.Once the customer has finished selection, pay-ment and delivery information are provided tocomplete the transaction. Although credit cardsare the most commonly accepted medium ofpayment, most vendors offer a variety of pay-ment methods, including debit card, check, wiretransfer, postal money order etc. Product deliv-ery is accomplished through either shipping orin-store pickup, where the customer picks upthe product from the closest store the businesshas. This is the method most often used by busi-ness with both a physical and online presence,the bricks-and-clicks business model.

    Online shopping has many distinct and uniqueadvantages and disadvantages which separateit from traditional retail shopping: On the plus side, online stores are available24/7, unlike traditional retailers, and can beaccessed from the convenience of ones ownhome. Second, searching and browsing forproducts online is often quicker than in a phys-ical store, although consumers with dial-upinternet access may have trouble accessing con-tent-rich websites quickly. On the minus side, the need to ship the prod-uct to the buyer often introduces a significantdelay, not present in traditional retailing. Sec-ond, should the customer not be satisfied withthe product, or should some unforeseen prob-lem arise requiring the product to be returned,it may be more difficult for the customer to

    obtain compensation or a refund than if theyhad purchased the product from an actualstore.

    The shopping experience for online shoppers isalso very different: In most cases, customers must be content withphotographs and text for a description of theproduct, which in an actual store would beavailable for direct inspection. In the physical shopping experience, shop

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    employees are available to answer any ques-tions the customer may have about the product,whereas online shoppers have to rely on emailor telephone communications with a moreanonymous and distant shop employee shouldthey have any queries. On the other hand, online users have access todata such as supplemental product informationand user reviews and comments which may notbe available to bricks-and-mortar shoppers. The ability to compare prices between differ-ent stores quickly and easily is a big advantagefor online shoppers, and they often have accessto a wider selection of goods, made possible by

    avoiding the need to physically display them.The availability of unique goods, which may behard or impossible to find offline, is also attrac-tive to consumers.

    The development of online shopping hasbeen slowed by a number of factors. Chiefamong them has been online shoppers con-cerns regarding fraud and security. AlthoughSecure Sockets Layer (SSL) encryption has forthe most part prevented interception of creditcard numbers in transit between the consumerand merchant, identity theft is still a concern forconsumers. Lax computer security can allowhackers to break into a vendors website andsteal names, addresses and credit card numbers.Phishing is also a concern, where consumers arefooled by a website crafted to resemble a legit-imate online vendor into giving up their details.Indeed, our survey showed that the factor con-sumers considered of most importance whenmaking an online purchase is a secure payment

    facility, with the majority of users (65%) listingit as extremely important, including a high per-centage of Chinese (76%) and Singaporean(77%) consumers. Consumers who had beenreluctant to make a purchase in the last threemonths also listed safety as their primary con-cern (65%), including 87% of Chinese and73% of Indian consumers.

    A Brief HistoryOnline shopping is a major part of the overall

    electronic commerce, or e-commerce, industrywhich consists of all the buying and selling ofgoods and services over electronic systems suchas the internet and other computer networks byhouseholds, businesses and other agencies.With the spread of the internet, the amount ortrade that is conducted electronically has seenextraordinary growth; and has led to innova-tions and development in areas such as elec-tronic funds transfer, electronic data inter-change and internet marketing.

    Before the widespread introduction of theinternet to the general public in 1994, the termelectronic commerce referred to the use of tech-

    nologies such as EDI and EFT, introduced in thelate 1970s, to facilitate business practices. Withthe rise of the world wide web many predictedthat e-commerce would soon become a majoreconomic sector, but security protocols such asHTTPS did not become secure enough for wide-spread use of such transactions until 1998.

    During the dotcom bubble, which saw theemergence of the internet as a new economicsector, companies catering to consumers seek-ing to make use of this new tool to buy and sellemerged, many of which collapsed when thebubble burst in 2000 and 2001. Despite this,many traditional, brick-and-mortar retailers rec-ognized the valuable markets these companieshad identified, and took steps to add e-com-merce capabilities to their own websites. Newmethods of sending payments, such as e-shop-ping carts, electronic payment services andsecured credit card payment authorizationsbecame more widely used.

    The emergence of e-commerce as a viablealternative to traditional retailing models hasalso had other effects. By significantly reducingthe barriers of entry for the sale of many typesof products, e-commerce has allowed sellers toenter the market who may not have had thisability prior to the advent of the internet. Forexample, online auction sites such as eBay, orlarge online retailers such as Amazon, haveallowed small, home-based sellers to bypassmuch of the costs facing new entrants into the

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    market, and allowed them to take advantage ofthose companies exposure.

    In 2006, online sales in the US, excludingtravel, rose 29% to reach $146.4 billion, 2 repre-senting 6% of overall retail sales 3 and wasexpected to rise 19.1% to $174.5 billion in2007. Total sales including travel are expectedto increase 18% to $259.1 billion. According toa Forrester Research report in January, 4 thisslight deceleration in growth marks the begin-ning of a slower trend reflecting the maturingof e-commerce and online shopping in the US.The Forrester report predicts 17% growth in2008, followed by further slowing to an aver-

    age of 11% annual growth by 2012, at whichtime the market will be worth $334.7 billion.

    Growth, however, is poised to accelerate inthe Asia/Pacific region. While business-to-con-sumer e-commerce sales for the five major mar-kets in the region amounted to a little over $59billion in 2006, with Japan having the largestshare, this situation is soon expected tochange. 5 E-commerce sales in Asia are expectedto grow at an annual rate of 23.3%, reaching$168.7 billion by 2011. Japan, currently thelargest market in the region with 62% of onlinesales, is expected to lose this pre-eminence asthe two large emerging markets of China andIndia develop. Although internet penetration inthese countries is low, at 15.9% and 5.3%respectively, their large populations translatethis into a huge number of internet users. Chinais poised to overtake the US in the sheer volumeof internet transactions this year.

    There are, however, still a number of con-

    straints on the future growth of the e-com-merce industry in Asia, such as immature onlinepayment systems, poor delivery networks anddistrust between buyers and sellers. Consumersin this region also continue to have issues withthe security of the online retailers they frequent,as well as the convenience of the paymentmethods available. A tradition of cash-basedtransactions, common to developing countries,also results in distrust. The lack of a nationwidecredit information system or an efficient delivery

    network, both essential infrastructures whichare vital for continued, sustainable growth inthe e-commerce sector, also limit the ability ofmany Asia/Pacific markets to expand rapidly inthis sector. Nevertheless, the overall potential ofe-commerce is immense in Asia/Pacific.

    The Online Surveyand Key Findings 6

    MethodologyThe survey was done between 18th December2007 and 28th December 2007; with a totalsample size of n = 4,157 in the Asia/Pacific

    region including:Hong Kong n= 541China n= 519Australia n= 517Singapore n= 515South Korea n= 520Japan n= 507India n= 517Thailand n= 521

    The sample was restricted to individuals withbank accounts between the ages of 18 and 49who accessed the internet at least once a week.

    Key Findings: Frequency of UsageThe survey found that online shopping was con-ducted by 63% of all respondents in the region,with an especially high percentage from SouthKorea (83%) and Japan (83%). Although 43%of respondents claimed to only purchase onlineoccasionally, and 19% browse online but pur-

    chase offline, a sizable percentage (32%)browsed and purchased online regularly, with60% of South Korean and 55% of Japaneseonline shoppers claiming they did so (Chart 1).

    An average of 3.1 purchases per personwere made by online shoppers in the regionover a period of three months (Table 1). Notethe following: The most active shoppers were from SouthKorea (4.8) and Japan (3.7).

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    Online shoppers from Thailand and HongKong were the least active, with an average pur-chase of just 1.8 times and 2.1 times respectively. Most online shoppers (76%) in the regionclaim that they will make a purchase in the nextsix months, especially those from South Korea

    (93%) and China (87%).

    Online shoppers in the region spent an aver-age of $612.40 online over a period of threemonths, with the greatest spenders comingfrom Singapore ($770.70) and South Korea($707.50); while online shoppers from China($506.10) and Thailand ($406.30) spend the

    least.

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    Table 1. Frequency and Value of Online Purchases in Asia/Pacific

    Australia

    China

    Hong Kong

    India

    Japan

    Korea

    Singapore

    Thailand

    Asia/Pacific

    3.4

    3.6

    2.1

    2.5

    3.7

    4.8

    2.8

    1.8

    3.1

    Country

    653.50

    506.10

    561.10

    629.20

    581.00

    707.50

    770.70

    406.30

    601.90

    56

    63

    31

    39

    60

    56

    44

    31

    47

    Indicative Average Frequencyof Online Purchases

    in Past 3 Months

    Likely to Make Online Purchasesin the Next 6 Months

    (Percentage of Respondents)

    Total Spendingon Shopping Online

    in the Past 3 Months (USD)

    Chart 1. Purchase Behavior in Asia/Pacific

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Percentage

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand APAC

    Purchase Online Occasionally

    Purchase Online Regularly

    Purchase Offline Only

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

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    Key Findings: Perceptions of Online ShoppingGenerally, Asia/Pacific users perceive onlineshopping to be convenient (71%) and easy(66%), with 62% of the respondents claimingthat online shopping is easier than shopping viaoffline catalogue and telephone. However, anumber of respondents (33%) in the region do

    not feel secure shopping online, with an espe-cially high proportion (50%) among Thai shop-pers. Table 2 reports that the factors that aremost important to Asia/Pacific online shoppersinclude a secure payment facility (87%), price(87%), and convenient payment methods(85%).

    Chart 2. Major Reasons for Not Making Online Purchases in Asia/Pacific

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    6 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

    Table 2. Important Factors Affecting Propensity of Online Shopping

    Australia

    China

    Hong Kong

    India

    Japan

    Korea

    Singapore

    Thailand

    Asia/Pacific

    89

    92

    83

    87

    78

    82

    94

    90

    87

    SecurePaymentFacility

    90

    85

    79

    84

    86

    83

    92

    86

    87

    Price/Value

    88

    86

    78

    83

    78

    84

    92

    90

    85

    ConvenientPaymentMethods

    80

    90

    82

    77

    61

    92

    87

    74

    79

    Reputationof Website

    81

    82

    77

    84

    66

    77

    85

    81

    80

    GoodCustomer

    Service

    79

    77

    80

    72

    82

    83

    88

    79

    80

    LowDeliveryCharges

    82

    67

    71

    79

    66

    84

    88

    80

    77

    User-FriendlyWebsite

    78

    81

    73

    81

    58

    80

    83

    81

    77

    SpeedyTransaction

    56

    69

    73

    57

    70

    77

    77

    69

    69

    PromotionalOffers

    100

    90

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Percentage

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand APAC

    Reasons for Not Purchasing Online

    Security Concerns

    Prefer to Look at Physical Product

    Additional Administrative/Delivery Charges

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    Tier I Tier II Tier III

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    Key Findings: Security a Major ConcernSecurity is the top concern for online shoppersin the Asia/Pacific region (Chart 2); 65% ofinternet users who are reluctant to shop onlinedo not do so because they fear making onlinetransactions is unsafe, and the figure jumps inChina (87%), Thailand (75%), Hong Kong(74%) and India (73%). It seems that onlineshoppers in more developed nations such asSouth Korea (26%) and Japan (31%) are not asfearful as online shoppers from developingcountries. When asked how online shoppingcould be improved in the future, the vast major-

    ity (74%) of online shoppers wanted to seeenhanced payment security and improved userconfidence in online transactions.Key Findings: Methods of PaymentIn general, the most preferred method of onlinepayment for consumers in the Asia/Pacificregion was found to be credit card (Table 3),with the exceptions of China and Thailandwhere the debit card is more preferred foronline purchases. Meanwhile, convenience andease of use are the main factors triggering theuse of credit cards for online purchases in theAsia/Pacific region (Chart 3).

    Q2 2008 7

    Table 3. Most Preferred Form of Online Payment Method in Asia/Pacific

    Australia

    China

    Hong Kong

    India

    Japan

    Korea

    Singapore

    Thailand

    Asia/Pacific

    52%

    25%

    66%

    60%

    70%

    49%

    63%

    41%

    53%

    24%

    35%

    20%

    24%

    17%

    28%

    26%

    46%

    27%

    3%

    32%

    7%

    2%

    5%

    5%

    8%

    7%

    9%

    19%

    7%

    5%

    4%

    6%

    16%

    2%

    4%

    8%

    Country Credit Cards Debit Card Electronic Transfers Others

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOSNote: Others include PayPal, Cheque Card and Cash

    Chart 3. Reasons for Using Credit Card for Online Purchases in Asia/Pacific

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Percentage

    Convenience

    Ease of Use

    Promotional Offers

    Secure

    Only Online PaymentMethod

    Lower Charges

    Easier to ControlSpending

    Reputationand Recommendation

    None

    Reasons for Using Credit Card for Online Purchases

    Percentage of Respondents

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    Key Findings: Customer BehaviorThe survey finds that 44% of online shoppers inAsia/Pacific have been shopping online for morethan three years, with an especially high pro-portion noted among Koreans (62%) andJapanese shoppers (68%). A majority (84%) ofonline shoppers in the region tend to plan theirshopping in advance and conduct research ontheir planned purchases, including browsing onthe internet (87%) and the merchants website(61%) and through recommendations (47%).

    The survey also found that 43% of Asia/Pacificonline shoppers tend to purchase online mostof the time after browsing online, with signifi-cantly higher incidence rates of 89% and 78%reported among Japanese and Thai shoppersrespectively (Chart 4). The products and servicesmost frequently bought online (Chart 5) amongAsia/Pacific online shoppers are books and art(41%), home appliances and electronic prod-ucts (39%), CDs/DVDs/VCDs (38%) and ladiesclothing/accessories (38%).

    8 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

    Chart 4. Incidence of Browsing to Purchase Online in Asia/Pacific

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    Note: The chart reports the proportion of respondents in each respective country that will purchase most of the time after browsing online.

    100

    80

    60

    40

    20

    0

    Percentage Incidence of Browsing to Purchase Online

    Percentage of Respondents

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand APAC

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    Chart 5. Products and Services Frequently Shopped Online in Asia/Pacific

    Products/Services Frequently Shopped Online

    Books and ArtElectronic Products

    CDs/DVDs/VCDsLadies FashionAirline TicketsToys and Gifts

    GroceriesMovie/ Concert Tickets

    CosmeticsPersonal Care

    Hotel AccommodationsMens Fashion

    Health ProductsMedical Products

    Insurance

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

    Percentage of Respondents

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    Opportunistic buying as a whole does not seemto be a major factor for many online shoppers:41% bought on impulse just a couple of times,while 34% hardly ever bought on impulse. Forthose online shoppers that did make oppor-tunistic purchases, the main trigger appeared tobe low prices or substantial discounts comparedto what was available offline, which 74% ofonline shoppers listed as a factor. Other factorsinclude the availability of unique items thatwere available only online (48%) and advertise-ments and promotions (33%). Similar to thetypes of products frequently purchased online,

    items most likely to result in opportunistic buy-ing were ladies clothing and accessories, homeappliances and electronic products andCDs/DVDs/ VCDs.

    Analysis of Survey FindingsIn this section, survey findings are analyzed inconjunction with other data to drill down deep-er into online customer behavior in theAsia/Pacific region. Chart 6 summarizes the keystatistics highlights of online shopping inAsia/Pacific.

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    Table 4. Online Shopping Statistics in Asia/Pacific, 2007

    Australia

    China

    Hong Kong

    India

    Japan

    Korea

    Singapore

    Thailand

    Asia/Pacific

    67.0

    70.0

    50.0

    47.0

    83.0

    83.0

    60.0

    43.0

    62.9

    CountryProbability

    of Online Purchases 1(Percentage)

    75.9

    15.9

    69.9

    5.3

    68.7

    71.2

    53.2

    13.0

    46.6

    Internet Penetration 2(Percentage of Population)

    7.4

    11.8

    8.9

    11.0

    8.4

    10.7

    9.8

    10.5

    9.8

    Online Purchases/Income 3(Percentage)

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS, EIU Database and Internet World Stats website (http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm).Notes: 1. From the survey, percentage of sample that have purchased online. 2. From Internet World Stats website. 3. Average amount of spending per year/annual income reported by survey respondents.

    Chart 6. Japan and Korea have the Highest Online Shopping Penetration Rate

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS, EIU Database and Internet World Stats website (http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm).Notes: 1. Online shopping penetration rate defined as the proportion of online shoppers population among online population is calculated using the probability of online purchases.2. Online shopping penetration depth is calculated using the proportion of online purchases over total personal consumption expenditure.

    908070605040302010

    PercentageOnline Shopping Statistics in Asia/Pacific

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand APAC

    Online Shopping Penetration RateOnline Shopping Penetration Depth

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    Online Shopping in Asia/PacificMarket depth, being one of the key factorsshaping strategic business development andplanning, will be examined in detail in this sec-tion. Combining empirical findings from thesurvey and figures collated from economic data-bases and relevant websites, several indicatorsthat affect online shopping in the Asia/Pacificare examined.

    Table 4 reveals the following online shoppingtrends in the Asia /Pacific region:

    Japan and Korea have the highest online shop-ping penetration rates in the region, with an83% probability each that the online popula-tion will purchase online. China has one of the lowest internet penetra-tion rates (15.9% of population) in the region.But the online shopping penetration rateamong this small group is unusually high at70% indicating that the online population hasa high tendency to make online purchases.

    India and Thailand have the lowest onlineshopping penetration rates in the region, with aprobability of less than 50% that the onlinepopulation will purchase online.

    Drilling further down through the data, wederived a measure of the intensity of onlineshoppers spending by comparing the ratio ofonline shopping over income (Column 3 in Table4) to the ratio of personal consumer expendi-ture to gross national income in each country. 7

    This brings out some interesting characteristics(Table 5):

    Surprisingly, developed countries in the regionlike Australia, Hong Kong and Japan tend tohave relatively lower online shoppers spendingintensity an indication that the extent ofonline shopping spending depends on morethan the level of income in the country.

    Among the sampled online shoppers in China,a significant and extraordinarily large proportion(32.8%) of their personal consumption expen-diture is estimated to be contributed by onlinepurchases.

    Thailand and India: Online shoppers spendingintensity in both countries is slightly below theregions average.

    Key factors Driving OnlineShopping PenetrationAn econometrical analysis was conducted toidentify key factors driving online shopping pen-etration rates. The empirical evidence suggeststhat there is an 87.1% possibility that a strongrelationship exists between the online shoppingpenetration rate and three factors; (i) internetpenetration rate, (ii) income level and (iii) culturein each of the countries analysed. While it istrue that the sample of eight countries is inade-

    quate to make a strong inference, plotting the

    10 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

    Table 5. Online Shoppers Spending Intensity

    China

    Singapore

    Korea

    India

    Thailand

    Hong Kong

    Japan

    Australia

    Asia/Pacific

    Country

    32.8

    24.5

    20.0

    19.4

    18.7

    15.2

    14.7

    13.1

    19.8

    Estimated Online Purchases/Total Personal Expenditure 1

    (Percentage) of Sample

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS, EIU Database andInternet World Stats website (http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm).

    Notes: 1. Calculated as the ratio of Online Purchases/Income (Column 3)to the ratio of personal consumer expenditure/GDP in each country.

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    charts 7 to 8 does show a distinct relationshipbetween these variables.

    The widespread usage of internet in a coun-try will tend to result in a more favorable atti-tude towards online shopping among the pop-ulation. Countries with higher internet

    penetration rates in the Asia/Pacific are reported tohave higher online shopping penetration rates(Chart 7). Indeed, security concerns the top fac-tor deterring online shopping activity in theregion tends to be low in countries with highinternet penetration rates, and vice versa (Chart 8).

    Q2 2008 11

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS, EIU Database and Internet World Stats website (http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm).

    Chart 7. Internet Penetration and Online Penetration Rate

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS, EIU Database and Internet World Stats website (http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm).

    Chart 8. Security Concerns Inversely Correlated with Internet Penetration Rate...

    85

    80

    75

    70

    65

    60

    55

    50

    45

    400 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    Internet Penetration Rate (Percentage of Population)

    O n

    l i n e

    S h o p p

    i n g

    P e n e t r a

    t i o n

    P e r c e n

    t a g e

    Australia

    China

    Hong KongIndia

    Japan Korea

    Singapore

    Thailand

    100

    90

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    200 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    Internet Penetration Rate (Percentage of Population)

    S e c u r i

    t y C o n c e r n

    L e v e

    l

    Australia

    China

    Hong KongIndia

    Japan

    Singapore

    Thailand

    Korea

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    Higher Income Countries Tendto Have Higher Online Shopping Penetration

    Chart 9 brings out the relationship betweenincome and online shopping penetration rates.Divergence from the trend in the case of Japanand Korea can be attributed to positive contri-butions from high internet penetration ratesand a culture favorable towards online shop-ping in these countries. The positive divergenceof China is a result of sample bias in the survey.In China, the sampled population is biasedtowards the higher income group, with thesampled average annual income at US$17,090compared to the countrys per capita GDP of

    US$2,510 in 2007 (Table 6). With internet pen-

    etration rate at merely 15.9% in China, it isclear that a majority of the sampled populationbelongs to the upper income end of the incomedistribution.

    Note that such a sample bias towards thehigher income group is largest in India, whichhas the lowest internet penetration rate of5.3% in the region: it is the top income earnerswho constitute the majority of the online popu-lation in less developed countries with low inter-net penetration rates. Meanwhile, the negativedivergence observed in the case of Hong Kongis attributable to the negative effect from cul-tural factors.

    12 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

    Chart 9. Higher Income Countries Tend to Have Higher Online Shopping Penetration

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    85

    80

    75

    70

    65

    60

    55

    50

    45

    4015,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000

    Income Level (USD per Annum)

    O n

    l i n e

    S h o p p

    i n g

    P e n e t r a

    t i o n

    P e r c e n

    t a g e

    AustraliaChina

    Hong KongIndia

    Korea Japan

    Singapore

    ThailandThailand

    Table 6. Sampled Income versus GDP per Capita

    AustraliaChinaHong KongIndiaJapanKoreaSingaporeThailand

    35,49617,09025,07822,97727,66126,51031,32215,525

    Country Sampled Annual Income (USD)

    43,8202,510

    29,0601,020

    34,40019,83033,600

    3,680

    GDP per Capita (USD)

    0.86.80.9

    22.50.81.30.94.2

    Sampled Annual Income/GDP per Capita

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS and EIU Database.

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    Cultural Factors Play a Big Role

    Focusing on the survey where respondents wereasked their reasons for not making purchaseonline allows for a quantitative assessment ofthe effects of a cultural disposition to not shoponline. Percentages of the sample that gavespecific reasons such as concerns over securityor dislike of additional administrative and deliv-ery charges are excluded, and, instead the per-centage of sample in each country that simplypreferred going into a shop and physicallyinspecting the goods is analyzed. The reciprocalof this ratio is taken as an index of the culturalpropensity for online shopping. Chart 10 pre-

    sents the results of this analysis. Clearly, cultur-

    al factors in Hong Kong tend to be less favor-able towards online shopping activity comparedto other developed countries such as Australia,Japan and Korea.

    Growth Potentialof Online ShoppingChina offers the largest potential online shop-ping market in Asia/Pacific with Indias marketpoised to expand rapidly in coming years. As of2007, China offers the largest online shoppingmarket in the region with an estimated onlinepopulation of 147.1 million which represents49.9% of the total e-commence population in

    the region (Table 7).

    Q2 2008 13

    Chart 10. Australia, Japan, Korea: Most Favorable Cultural Affinity for Online Shopping

    Source: Calculated by Centennial Group using MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS.Note: The cultural factor is calculated using the reciprocal of the proportion of online population who prefer to shop offline in each country.

    Table 7. Online Shopping Market Outlook

    Australia

    ChinaHong KongIndiaJapanKoreaSingaporeThailand

    75.9

    15.969.9

    5.368.771.253.213.0

    78.2

    47.576.528.170.877.657.027.9

    67.0

    70.050.047.083.083.060.043.0

    72.1

    74.862.559.283.188.967.757.5

    10.4

    147.12.4

    28.172.729.0

    1.53.6

    12.0

    480.43.5

    203.175.133.0

    1.810.5

    Country2007 2010 2007 2010 2007 2010

    Internet Penetration Rate(Percentage of Population)

    Online Shopping Penetration Rate(Percentage of Online Population)

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS, UN Population Census and Internet World Stats website (http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm).Notes: 1. For countries with low internet penetration rates like China, India and Thailand, we will extrapolate the average annual growth rate in 2000 to 2007 forward to 2010. The projected proportion of

    urbanized population in the country in 2010 will be employed as a cap in this case. For more developed countries with higher internet penetration rates, we noted that the internet penetration rate tends totie intuitively to the proportion of certain demographic age group in the country. Therefore, we will project the internet penetration rates using demographic estimations by UN Population Census in 2010.

    2. Online shopping penetration rate in 2010 is projected using an econometrical model with income level, internet penetration rate and the cultural factor as the independent variables.The cultural factor is assumed to remain constant in coming years.

    0.025

    0.020

    0.015

    0.010

    Cultural Index: Online Shopping Propensity

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand

    Online ShoppingPopulation (Millions)

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    The following developments in the e-commerceindustry in Asia/Pacific in coming years areexpected: Internet penetration rates of less developedcountries are likely to rapidly increase: Countrieswith low internet penetration rates, especiallyChina and India have seen significantly higher

    online population growth during 2000-07(Chart 11). Along with the increase in domesticinfrastructure spending in the coming years,internet penetration rates in less developedcountries are poised to increase at an accelerat-ing pace and catch up with more developedcountries in the region.

    14 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

    Source: Calculated by Centennial Group using MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS.

    Chart 11: Countries with Low Internet Penetration Saw Stronger Internet Growth

    Source: Internet World Stats website (http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm).

    1200

    1000

    800

    600

    400

    200

    0

    0Internet Penetration Rate (Percentage of Population)

    10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

    I n t e r n e t

    G r o w

    t h ( P e r c e n

    t C h a n g e

    2 0 0 0 t o 2 0 0 7 )

    China

    India

    Singapore

    Thailand

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Chart 12: China to Lead the Region in Market Size While India Will Rise Rapidly

    AustraliaHong KongJapan Korea

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand

    Online Shopping Market Share in Asia/Pacific

    2007

    2010

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    The rising population of upper-middle-incomeurban elites will probably boost the onlineshopping markets in China and India signifi-cantly: Domestic consumption spending inChina and India is poised to pick up strongly,underpinned by a rapid pace of urbanizationand robust economic expansion in these twocountries. An increase in income level and arapidly growing population of upper-middle-income urban elites will contribute positively tothe online shopping penetration rate.

    By 2010, Chinas online shopping populationis projected to increase to 480.4 million andcontribute 58.6% of the total online shopping

    population in the region (Chart 12). Meanwhile,Indias online shopping population is poised toincrease rapidly and overtake Japan and Koreain terms of share of the online shopping popu-lation in the region.

    In addition, China also offers the largestmarket in Asia/Pacific in terms of online shop-ping revenue turnover. As of 2007, revenueturnover in Chinas online shopping market wasestimated at a significant $297.8 billion which

    contributed to 44.9% of total online shoppingrevenue turnover in the region (Table 8). Mean-while, India will rise strongly to emerge as the

    Source: Calculated by Centennial Group using MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS.

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Chart 13. Online Shopping Market Revenue Shares in Asia/Pacific

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand

    Online Shopping Market Revenue Share in Asia/Pacific

    2007

    2010

    Q2 2008 15

    Table 8. Online Shopping Market RevenueTurnover in Asia/Pacific

    37.3

    1415.7

    10.0

    734.3

    185.3

    114.7

    6.6

    20.8

    27.2

    297.8

    5.5

    70.8

    168.9

    82.0

    4.5

    5.9

    Australia

    China

    Hong Kong

    India

    Japan

    Korea

    Singapore

    Thailand

    Source: Calculated by Centennial Group using MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS.Note: The projection is based on the assumption that the ratio of online purchases to income

    for the respective country to hold constant during 2007-2010.

    Country2007 2010

    Online Shopping MarketRevenue Turnover (USD Billion)

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    second largest online shopping market in theregion in terms of revenue turnover by 2010(Chart 13), underpinned by accelerating inter-net growth, rapid pace of urbanization and ris-ing spending power of urban elites in the coun-try.

    Usage of Credit Cardsin Online ShoppingThere are several conclusions that can be drawnabout credit card usage in the context of onlineshopping in the Asia/Pacific region. First, thecredit card is the dominant and most preferredform of online payment method in most of

    Asia/Pacific except in China and Thailand.Credit card penetration rate for online shop-

    ping is estimated using the proportion of onlineshoppers who deem credit cards as their mostpreferred mode of payment for online purchas-es. According to the survey findings, credit cardsare by far the most preferred form of paymentmethod for online purchases in the Asia/Pacific(Chart 14). About 53% of Asia/Pacific shoppers preferusing credit cards almost double the 27%

    who prefer using debit cards or direct debitfrom bank accounts. Direct debit from electronic transfers (9%),PayPal (3%), check card (3%) and cash (2%) arethe other payment options that online shoppersuse. China and Thailand are the only countrieswhere direct debit is more popular, with only25% of Chinese and 41% of Thai online shop-pers preferring credit cards as a paymentmethod. It is also interesting to note that conveniencestands in marked contrast as a critical factor indetermining the online populations choice of

    preferred payment method in China and Thai-land. In the Asia/Pacific region, credit card pen-etration rate in online shopping is reported tobe slightly higher at 53% compared to 47% inoffline shopping.

    Note that the credit card penetration rate inChina has some unique features amongAsia/Pacific countries, with only Thailand in asimilar situation, though to a lesser extent.There are several factors that could explain thisphenomenon, not least of all the lack of an effi-

    16 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS.Notes: 1. Others include all non-credit payment methods; namely debit cards, direct debit from bank accounts and electronic transfers, PayPal, Cheque card and cash.

    2. The proportion of online shoppers choosing credit card as their most preferred payment method as showin the chart is also defined as the credit card penetration rate in e-commence in the respective countries.

    Chart 14. Credit Cards Most Preferred for Online Payment in Asia/Pacific

    Most Preferred Form of Online Payment in Asia/Pacific

    Credit Cards

    Others

    100

    80

    60

    40

    20

    0Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand APAC

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    cient, reliable and widespread credit system inChina. Despite some recent attempts by author-ities to expand and modernize credit markets,the Chinese economy remains cash-centric,which our results reflect. The lack of a nationalcredit bureau, as well as restrictions on the abil-ity of foreign companies to issue cards in China,continue to hinder the growth of the creditindustry. A lack of merchant acceptance, espe-cially outside major cities, and poor infrastruc-ture mean that consumer use of this paymentsystem remains sporadic at best. However, withplans by the Chinese government to establish anationwide credit bureau, along with ongoingderegulation and increasing infrastructure inpreparation for events such as the 2008 BeijingOlympics and the 2010 World Expo in Shang-hai, it is reasonable to assume that the creditcard will see increasing acceptance as a form ofpayment among Chinese consumers.

    Second, concerns over the security and safe-ty of online transactions are the main factorspreventing greater card usage. Increasing inter-net penetration rates, and the attendant rise inmore positive attitudes towards e-commerce

    security, is likely to mitigate this problem some-what.

    Table 9 shows in detail why online shopperschoose credit cards as their most preferred formof payment. While convenience tends to be themain reason, security remains weak as a reasonfor the use of credit card in e-commence. There-fore, consumer concerns about the security andsafety of their online payment transactions areone of the primary barriers to further adoptionof the credit card as a payment medium foronline shopping. As shown earlier, security con-cerns tend to be negatively correlated withinternet penetration rates in the country.Indeed, countries with high internet penetrationrates report higher credit card penetration ratesin e-commence compared to countries with lowinternet penetration rates (Chart 15). Countrieswith lower internet penetration rates tend tohave a more wary attitude towards the onlineshopping process. It is logical to assume that asthe internet penetration of a country increases,and the perception of its users towards thesecurity of online shopping improves, their dis-position towards card usage will likewise bemore positive. India is reported as the exceptionin this case which is partly attributable to thehigh level of impulsive spending in the coun-try discussed later.

    Q2 2008 17

    Table 9. Reasons for Using Credit Cards for Payment Online

    Australia

    China

    Hong Kong

    India

    Japan

    Korea

    Singapore

    Thailand

    Asia/Pacific

    26

    70

    41

    29

    30

    42

    27

    69

    37

    Country

    29

    3

    19

    21

    11

    21

    34

    26

    21

    Convenience(Percentage)

    15

    14

    16

    8

    37

    15

    19

    8

    18

    Ease of Use(Percentage)

    25

    16

    14

    23

    6

    7

    11

    22

    14

    Promotional Offers(Percentage)

    Security(Percentage)

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS.

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    Third, higher income levels tend to lead to ahigher credit card penetration rate in e-com-mence in Asia/Pacific. A positive relationshipbetween income level and credit card penetra-tion rate in e-commence is observed inAsia/Pacific (Chart 16). In other words, average

    income seems to be a good indicator of the like-lihood of the credit card being used as a pay-ment method for online shopping, simplybecause higher incomes in and of themselvesenable greater credit card usage.

    18 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS and EIU Database.

    Chart 15. High Internet Penetration High Credit Card Penetration Rates Go Together

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS and Internet World Stats website (http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm).

    Chart 16. High Incomes Coincide With High Credit Card Penetration Rates

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    Internet Penetration Rate (Percentage of Population)

    C r e

    d i t C a r

    d P e n e t r a

    t i o n R a t e

    ( P e r c e n

    t a g e )

    Australia

    China

    Hong Kong

    India

    Japan

    Singapore

    Thailand

    16,000 21,000 26,000 31,000 36,000

    Income Level (USD per Annum)

    C r e

    d i t C a r

    d P e n e t r a t

    i o n

    R a t e

    ( P e r c e n

    t a g e )

    Australia

    Hong Kong

    India

    Japan

    Singapore

    Korea

    Korea

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    China

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    On average, 74% of the online shoppers inAsia/Pacific feel that payment security can beimproved and increase the confidence of usersin online transactions. This proportion is espe-cially high amongst shoppers in China and Thai-land, with 84% reported in both countriesrespectively.

    Opportunistic Spendingin the Online Shopping Context

    The level of opportunistic spending online varieswidely among countries in the Asia/Pacificregion. In countries which are somewhat more

    mature financially such as Singapore, SouthKorea and Australia, only about 10% of shop-pers have made opportunistic purchases fre-quently. This proportion jumps drastically in lessfinancially sophisticated India, where about30% of shoppers do the same. Chart 17 illus-trates the frequency of opportunistic purchases

    among shoppers in the various Asia/Pacificcountries. Despite the fact that the frequency ofChinese opportunistic buying remains low, withonly 19% claiming to regularly make purchasesopportunistically, compared to 21% for HongKong, 22% for Thailand and 30% for India, insheer numbers it is rivaled only by the latter.

    First, online shopping does not trigger agreater tendency for opportunistic spending inmost of Asia/Pacific. For most of the region, thetendency to make opportunistic purchasesonline is either similar or lesser compared tooffline shopping (Chart 18). This indicates thatthe online medium has little effect on the con-

    sumers tendency to buy opportunistically. How-ever, there is a significantly greater tendency toshop opportunistically online than offline inChina, India and Thailand relative to othercountries in the region. A higher tendencyto spend opportunistically online will tend toboost credit card usage in online shopping in

    Chart 17. Frequency of Impulsive Purchases in Asia/Pacific

    Q2 2008 19

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS.Note: High frequency denotes most of the time or more; medium frequency denotes just a couple of times while low frequency denotes hardly ever or never. APAC refers to Asia/Pacific.

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Percentage

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand APAC

    Impulsive Spending in E-Commence

    High Frequency

    Medium Frequency

    Low Frequency

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    these countries as unplanned spending is oftenfunded by credit cards.

    Second, lower price compared to offline chan-nels is the key factor prompting opportunisticspending in e-commerce in Asia/Pacific. Across theregion, lower prices and discounts compared tooffline channels play the key role in encouraging

    opportunistic spending online (Chart 19). Theavailability of unique products online is also anoth-er major factor that boosts opportunistic spendingin online shopping in the region. However, adver-tisement and promotions do not seem to con-tribute significantly in increasing opportunisticspending in Asia/Pacific.

    20 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

    Chart 18. Tendency to Shop Impulsively While Browsing Online

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    Percentage

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand APAC

    Tendency to Shop Impulsively Online Compared to Offline

    Greater Tendency

    Similar Tendency

    Less Tendency

    Chart 19. Lower Price/Discount Emerges as Key Trigger for Opportunistic Spending

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    100

    80

    60

    40

    20

    0

    Percentage

    Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea Singapore Thailand APAC

    Reasons That Trigger Impulsive Spending

    Low Price/DisccountAdvertisement/PromotionsUnique ProductsOthers

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    Third, the products that propel opportunisticspending in online shopping are mainly small-

    ticket items. Chart 20 shows that the productsthat trigger opportunistic spending listed by thesurveyed respondents are mainly small to medi-um ticket items and services such as movies,

    airline tickets and hotel accommodations. How-ever, note that big-ticket items like electronic

    appliances are listed by the respondents as thesecond most common product which they tendto purchase on impulse.

    Q2 2008 21

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    Chart 20. Products That Increase Impulsive Spending in Asia/Pacific Online Shoppers

    Products That Increase Impulsive Spending

    Insurance

    Medicine/PharmaceuticalHealth and Fitness Products

    Hotel AccommodationsMovie/Concert Tickets

    Men's Clothing/AccessoriesAirline Tickets

    CosmeticsPersonal Care and Beauty Products

    GroceriesToys and GiftsBooks and Art

    CDs/DVDs/VCDsHome Appliances and Electronics

    Ladies Clothing/Accessories

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

    Percentage of Respondents

    Case Study: India

    Although only 47% of Indian internet usersshop online, they tend to be avid shoppers. Thesheer size of the Indian population means thatdespite an extremely low internet penetrationrate of 5.3% and a relatively small portion ofinternet users shopping online, the Indianonline shopping community still numbersaround 28 million, on par with South Korea,behind only China and Japan, and far ahead of

    affluent nations such as Australia, Hong Kongand Singapore.

    The Indian online shopping market is worthabout $71 billion. Indian online shoppers spendan average of $2,517 a year on online shopping,the fourth-highest amount in the Asia/Pacificregion, ahead of traditional big spenders such asJapan. In general, Indian online shoppers spendabout 11.0% of their personal income in onlineshops; a significant number as it is far higherthan the regional average of 9.8%.

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    22 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

    Online shoppers in India have a higher ten-dency to indulge in opportunistic shoppingonline than through traditional offline means.About 12.7 million Indian online shoppers feelthat they are more likely to make an impulsepurchase when browsing online than whenbrowsing offline. This equates to 45% of allonline shoppers in India, a figure that is muchhigher than the regional average of 33%. It isalso significantly more than the 30% who feelthat they are less likely to shop opportunistical-ly online than offline.

    Online shoppers in India also make oppor-

    tunistic purchases more frequently. Around30%, of online shoppers, or 8.5 million people,make opportunistic purchases most of thetime. This is the third-highest number of peoplein the region, and is only slightly less than the10 million Japanese online shoppers who fre-quently buy opportunistically. 30% of theonline shopping population is also a very highfigure when compared to the regional averageof 17% of online shoppers who frequentlymake online purchases. Indeed, Indian onlineshoppers have a significantly higher tendencyto opportunistic spend online across most

    products compared to the rest of Asia/Pacific(Chart 21). Interestingly, online shoppers inIndia are most likely to make opportunistic pur-chases of high value items. Home appliances,electronic products (63%) and airline tickets(54%) are the most significant triggers foropportunistic shopping. Therefore, the valuesof the products that prompt opportunistic buy-ing in Indian shoppers are much higher com-pared to shoppers in Asia/Pacific.

    Along the online shopping trend in theAsia/Pacific, Indian online shoppers are mostlikely to make an opportunistic purchase when

    they encounter low prices or substantial dis-counts on prices compared to prices in offlinechannels. 74% of shoppers who have madeopportunistic purchase list this reason as animpetus for opportunistic shopping, the sameproportion as in Asia/Pacific. Indian onlineshoppers are also more attracted to uniqueproducts only available online than shoppers inthe rest of Asia/Pacific (Chart 21). In otherwords, Indian online shoppers are more easilyprompted to make online purchases than their

    Asia/Pacific counterparts (Chart 22).

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    Chart 21. Indian Shoppers Higher Opportunistic Spending Across Most Products

    HomeAppliances

    andElectronics

    Products That Encourage Impulse Spending

    IndiaAsia/Pacific

    CDsDVDsVCDs

    Booksand Art

    PersonalCare

    and BeautyProducts

    AirlineTickets

    Men'sClothing

    andAccessories

    Movieand

    ConcertTickets

    HotelAccommodations

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

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    ConclusionOnline shopping in the Asia/Pacific region is setto expand rapidly in coming years, underpinned

    by rapid economic growth, with China andIndia to lead the region. In addition, internetpenetration rates in less-developed countrieslike China, India and Thailand are poised toimprove significantly as internet usage growsand associated infrastructure is developed in theregion: this will also boost online shoppingrates.

    Credit cards are the most preferred methodof payment in the region for online shopping.Credit card penetration rate in online shoppingwill increase along with the increase in online

    shopping penetration in the region. Securityremains the main factor hindering the growthof both credit card and online shopping pene-tration rates in the Asia/Pacific. But as appropri-ate infrastructure is put in place and customersbecome more comfortable with online shop-ping in the region, this concern will be mitigat-ed in coming years.

    Q2 2008 23

    Source: MasterCards Survey Findings conducted by IPSOS

    Chart 22. Indian Shoppers are More Easily Triggered to Opportunistically Spend Online

    Reasons That Encourage Impulsive Spending Online

    IndiaAsia/Pacific

    Low Price/Substantial Discount

    Compared toOffline Channels

    Unique ProductsOnly Available Online

    Advertisementsand Promotions

    Just Feel LikeBuying In GeneralWhen Browsing

    Online

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    1. Opportunistic spending is defined as making anunplanned purchase or a purchase at higher value thanpreviously planned.2. Figures refer to US dollars unless otherwise stated.3. From State of Retailing Online 2007 report fromthe National Retail Federation (NRF) and Shop.org,quoted in CNNMoney.com 14 May 20074. See US E-commerce Forecast: 2008 to 2012 byForrester Research January 2008 quoted in e-marketer,

    7 February 2008.5. Source: E-marketer 16 January 2008, quoting JeffreyGrau, eMarketer Senior Analyst.6. The survey was conducted by IPSOS Asia throughonline panels.7. If Online purchases = OLP, income = INC, personalconsumer expenditure = PCE and GDP is taken as a proxyfor income = INC, then (OLP/INC) divided by PCE/INC =OLP/PCE = intensity of online shopping spending.

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    24 MasterCard Worldwide Insights

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    MasterCard Worldwide InsightsOngoing research and analysis on global economicdynamics, business conditions and public policy challenges.

    For additional copies of Insights or for additional infor-mation contact Ms. Georgette Tan, MasterCard Worldwideat georgette_tan @mastercard.com or you can visitwww.masterintelligence.com

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    Q2 2008 27

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