Artificial Intelligence in Law: Trends and Experience 2017... · Rule-based AI here to stay 8 •...

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.lu software verification & validation V V S Artificial Intelligence in Law: Trends and Experience Mehrdad (Mike) Sabetzadeh University of Luxembourg Third Information Security Education Day (ISED) April 28, 2017

Transcript of Artificial Intelligence in Law: Trends and Experience 2017... · Rule-based AI here to stay 8 •...

Page 1: Artificial Intelligence in Law: Trends and Experience 2017... · Rule-based AI here to stay 8 • Rule-based AI no longer the “only kid on the block” but will thrive and continue

.lusoftware verification & validationVVS

Artificial Intelligence in Law:!Trends and Experience

Mehrdad (Mike) Sabetzadeh University of Luxembourg

Third Information Security Education Day (ISED)!April 28, 2017

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About the Speaker • Background: Software Requirements, Regulatory Compliance

• Senior Scientist, SnT / UL (2012 - present)

• Scientist,!Simula Research Laboratory, Norway (2009 - 2012)

• Visiting Researcher, !University College London, UK (2009)

• PhD in Computer Science,!University of Toronto, Canada (2008)

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About the Talk

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•  Focus will on technical aspects

•  Ethical implications not covered

•  AI limitations will be briefly mentioned

Agenda for this presentation:

•  Overview of AI in Law

•  Emerging trends in Legal Compliance Tech

•  Practical experience from projects

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AI in Law: A Whirlwind Tour

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Machine Learning

Natural Language Processing

Rule-basedReasoning

Knowledge Extraction &

Discovery

Content Classification

Question AnsweringAnalyticsPrediction

AI in Law

AI T

echn

ique

s

Task

s

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Big data,!Predictive analytics,!

Deep learning, …

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The Tides have Turned

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Geoffrey Hinton accepting the 2016 IEEE/RSE James Clerk Maxwell Medal for pioneering and sustained contributions to machine learning

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“The crazy approach is winning” BUT

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•  Machine Learning (ML) relies critically on training data

•  Biased/incomplete training à Biased/incomplete results

•  Results from many ML algorithms are opaque

•  Outcomes are not readily justifiable (going against due diligence)

•  Training not a replacement for rules and norms!

•  Do you want your car to learn the !traffic rules on the road?

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Rule-based AI here to stay

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•  Rule-based AI no longer the “only kid on the block” but will thrive and continue to play an important role

•  Business process automation critically depends on rules

•  For example, eGovernment IT applications

•  ML and NLP can facilitate the extraction of rules

•  The way rules are represented nevertheless needs to improve

•  … to cover the knowledge gap between legal and IT experts

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Hype but not only …

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•  Lot of hype about ML and NLP, but not all of it is hype

•  Seeing through the hype can be difficult

•  IT professionals can help, BUT ONLY IF they understand the business context and needs of the legal profession

•  Fostering interaction between legal and IT experts is key

•  Disruptive technologies are emerging, like it or not

•  Not joining the band wagon will almost certainly mean falling behind

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What is on the horizon?

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Legal Tech Value Chain

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Legal ComplianceCompanies

Knowledge Management and

Analytics Companies

Legal Publishers

Governments

Legal Business Entities + Companies Subject to

Legal Compliance

Citizens

provide services to

provide services to

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Services

Govt. Publishing Legal Comp. 12 KMA

•  Navigable legal portals •  Semantic metadata for legal texts •  Rule-based laws (eventually …)

•  Content management (document storage, !classification, search)

•  Content analytics (e.g., case analytics) •  Predictive assistance (e.g., contract analysis) •  Simulation support (e.g., for the insurance domain)

•  Electronic and printed legal material •  Legal interpretation and insights (e.g., based on case law) •  Monitoring and dissemination of changes in the law

•  Audits and legal advisory •  Identifying artifacts that need to be reviewed for !

compliance after a change in laws and standards •  Automated generation of legally-compliant documents !

(compliance by construction) •  Auto-completion of legal forms

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Emerging Applications (1/3)

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•  Intelligent search (for information relevant to compliance)

The Secret Rules of Modern Living: Algorithms, BBC (2015)

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Emerging Applications (2/3)

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•  Legal metadata extraction

•  Identification of the structure and semantics of legal provisions

•  Continuous compliance monitoring

•  Identification of drifts and deviations from normal practice

•  Legal prediction

•  Litigation risk prediction

•  Court outcome prediction

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Emerging Applications (3/3)

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•  Transparency and due diligence

•  Electronic capture of legal !interpretations and compliance!evidence

•  Automated support for change impact analysis

•  The way changes affect other legal documents

•  The way changes affect the satisfaction of business goals and policies

Size

Establishment

erasePersonalData()

Controller Processor

Subject

Data Protection Officer (DPO)

designates ▶︎

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From the Trenches:!Project Experience

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Context

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• Collaborative research projects with:

• SCL: Central Legislation Department

• ACD: Tax Authority

• CTIE: Government’s IT Centre

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Acknowledgements

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SnT

•  Lionel Briand

•  Nicolas Sannier

•  Ghanem Soltana

•  Morayo Adedjouma

Govt. of Luxembourg

•  John Dann

•  Thierry Prommenschenkel

•  Ludwig Balmer

•  Marc Blau

•  Anne-Catherine Ries

•  Jean-Paul Zens

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Project 1!Metadata Extraction (SCL)

• Lack of human resources for annotating the plethora of existing legal texts with metadata

• Metadata is important prerequisite for machine analyzability

• Problem applies to virtually any government and jurisdiction

• Existing solutions are almost entirely manual

• … and further, the results are imprecise

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Comparison

Cross reference not !handled systematically

Shallow metadata

Extremely tedious Requires expensive resources

Without AI With AI

Detailed, accurate metadata

Reduced manual effort Cost-effective use of expertise

Adherence to standardized !metadata schemas

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Our Solution: ARMLET • Toolbox for legal metadata extraction

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CustomisationInput

NLPEngine

TemplateNLP Scripts

Legal Corpus(non-markup)

MDEEngine

Corpus-tailored NLP Scripts(automatically-generated)

Legal Corpus Enhanced with Metadata and Represented

in Markup Format

XMLXML

XMLXML

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Application to Luxembourg Codes

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High-leveldivisions

Art.

Sub-ar6cledivisions

CRs

Total

Part Book Title Chap. Sec. Subsec. Par. Alinea L/N/D

CivilCode 3 3 36 131 154 43 2316 33 3474 361 997 7551

CommercialCode 0 4 21 14 12 0 261 14 489 85 232 1132

PenalCode 0 2 11 86 46 0 671 64 1094 471 912 3357

CodeofCriminalProcedure 0 3 15 33 36 7 529 542 1315 325 1065 3870

NewCodeforCivilProcedure 2 11 90 19 42 30 1322 206 2316 342 821 5201

Total 5 23 173 283 290 80 5099 859 8688 1584 4027 21111

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Results for Structural Metadata

• >20,000 structural markup elements

•  Including >5000 articles and >4000 cross references

• ~91% of generated markup is fully correct

• ~8% of markup needs tweaks (often minor)

• ~1% of markup needs to be manually inserted

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Next Steps

• Ongoing research with SCL on semantic metadata

• Conditions, consequences, modalities (rights, permissions, obligations), interpretation, case law

• Turning ARMLET into a mature product

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Project 2!Policy Simulation (ACD, CTIE)

Simulation data /Test cases

Software system

Specification of legal policies Generate

(SyntheticLuxembourg)

1. Legal compliance

2. Change impact Simulate

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Policy Models

ExecutableSimulator

Simulator Code Generator

Historical Data

Statistical Guidance about the Real Simulation Population

Census / Survey Data

ExpertEstimates

Data Generator

SyntheticPopulation

(if a

vaila

ble)

SimulationResults

Domain Model

Approach

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Example Policy Model

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Domain Model for Personal Income Taxes (Withholding)

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Dependent Type «enumeration»

annual_AEPDeduction

amount start_year end_year number_of_months

Allowance

relation_to_taxpayerDependent

income_type amount start_year end_year is_contributing_to_CNS is_contributing_to_Pension is_assisted_by_spouse

Income

union_status start_year end_year is_separated separation_cause is_living_apart

Household

is_widower widower_since residence_status

Taxpayer

Income Type - EMPLOYMENT- PENSION- AGRICULTURE_AND_FORESTRY- TRADE_AND_BUSINESS- CAPITAL_AND_INVESTMENTS

«enumeration»

- CHILD- RELATIVE- SPOUSE- CHILD_OUTSIDE_HOUSEHOLD- PARENT- OTHER

Legal Union Type- MARRIAGE- PARTNERSHIP

«enumeration»

Residence Type- RESIDENT- NON_RESIDENT

«enumeration»

Separation Cause- MUTUAL_AGREEMENT- BY_COURT- DE_FACTO (DE_FAIT)- UNSPECIFIED

«enumeration»

birth_year country_of_residence

Physical Person

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Modeling Population Characteristics

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- «from histogram» birthYear: Integer [1]

TaxPayer

Source: STATEC, Luxembourg

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Fidelity of Policy Models and Synthetic Population

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•  Ran the simulator over 10 synthetic populations

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Results of S1Results of S2Results of S3Results of S4Results of S5Results of S6Results of S7Results of S8Results of S9Results of S10

•  Results are closely in line with available tax statistics

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Change Impact Analysis

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• Used the simulator to predict the impact of a proposed policy change: abolishment of joint taxation

•  Impact on distribution of tax classes

•  Impact on household taxes

•  Impact on Government revenue

• Detailed report (targeted at legal !professionals) available

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Next Steps

• Applying the simulation approach in other domains

• Social security, healthcare, corporate taxes

• Developing more advanced AI functions

• Example: Prediction of undesirable situations such as loop holes and violation of operating principles

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Concluding Remarks

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Outlook

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•  Role of AI in law is to provide analytical assistance and cut mundane work in regulatory compliance activities

•  Reduction of effort will allow IT and legal professionals to concentrate their scarce time on what matters the most

•  As far as regulatory compliance goes, the function of IT and legal professionals is unlikely to be disruptively changed anytime soon, BUT

•  The way these professionals access and use legal knowledge is already undergoing disruptive change

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Keeping Up to Date

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Examples:

•  Thomson Reuters Digests

•  Stanford’s CODEX!(http://codex.stanford.edu)

•  Computational Legal Studies Blog!(https://computationallegalstudies.com)

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Thank You!

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Questions?