Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
-
Upload
kellie-ryan -
Category
Documents
-
view
220 -
download
0
Transcript of Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 1/48
RIZON
V
OTER
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 2/48
Open Primaries is a movement of diverse Americans w
simple, yet radical idea: no American should be requ
political party to exercise his or her right to vote.
The mission of Open Primaries is to advocate for open an
primary systems, counter efforts to impose closed primvoters, train and support spokespeople, and participate
of local, state and national open primaries coalitions.
Open Primaries36 West 25th Street – 9th Floor
New York, NY 10010
646.205.0202
www.openprimaries.org
Op
w
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 3/48
M
ETHODOLOGY
Study of Arizona Latino Voters
Methodology Statement
The Open Primaries - Arizona Latino Voter Study was a survey of 1500 Latino Registered Voters conducted f
through November 15th, 2015 by Bendixen & Amandi International. The 1500 completed interviews w
between high frequency voters (defined as those who had participated in 3 or 4 of the last 4 elections) and lo
(defined as those who had participated in 0, 1 or 2 of the last 4 elections) and were further divided in each
represent Latino voter registration in each of Arizona’s 9 Congressional Districts. Registered Democrat
Independent voters were all included in the sample.
The sample selection process for this study was a representative random sample of registered Latino votersselection process including both landlines and cell phones across the Arizona database of registered vote
selecting Latino registered voters from these voter files is extremely accurate. The respondents we
professionally trained bi-lingual interviewers and were provided with language of choice interviewing either
conducted in English or Spanish. This study has a margin of error of +/- 2.5% at a 95% level of confidence.
Respondents were advised that the survey is being conducted by an independent research organization a
attempt to sell anything to them. Additionally, respondents were advised that all responses are kept stric
none of the answers they provided will be attributed to them personally or associated with their name or pe
All respondents were screened to ensure that they were Latino, over the age of 18 and registered to vote.
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 4/48
K
EY
F
INDINGS
Latino voters in Arizona are disillusioned with the state of politics. 75% believe that
are mainly loyal to their party, not their constituents. 93% support changes to the
that would foster more accountability. 90% of Latinos think their community need
and new ways of empowerment.
Latinos respect the electoral gains they have made within the Democratic Party, bis important to make inroads within the Republican Party. They understand th
towards independence (41% of Arizona Latinos are now registered to vote as ind
express a strong desire to vote for the best candidates, regardless of party.
Latinos are critical of government leaders for failing to bring Arizonans together acr
67% express concern that they are rarely if ever contacted by candidates asking for
ARIZONA LATINO VOTER SURVEY
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 5/48
LATINO VOTER PERCEPTIONS OF
POLITICAL LANDSCAPE IN ARIZO
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 6/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
What do you consider to be the top issues facing the State of
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
E duc at io n Im mi gr ati on J ob s & Ec on om y H ea lth ca re S ta te b ud ge t T ax es C om mun ity D iv is io n Y ou th P ro gr am s T
54%48%
36%
16%
9%6% 4% 4%
UP TO THREE RESPONSES ACCEPTED , TOTAL EXCEEDS 100%
6
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 7/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Don't know/No answer
Fair/Poor
Excellent/Good
1%
37%
5%
36%
21% 26%
Arizona is a state with many different communities and cultures. How would you rate how
Arizona’s government leaders have been in respecting all cultures in bringing people in th
together: Excellent, Good, Fair, or Poor?
7
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 8/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT RE
Excellent/Good 23% 18%
Fair/Poor 75% 80%
Don’t know/No answer 2% 2%
BY P ARTY
Arizona is a state with many different communities and cultures. How would you rate how
Arizona’s government leaders have been in respecting all cultures in bringing people in th
together: Excellent, Good, Fair, or Poor?
8
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 9/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
27%
67%
6%
Do you think the Latino community has the elected political
that it needs?
9
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 10/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
BY P ARTY
INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT
Yes 24% 32%
No 70% 62%
Don’t know/No answer 6% 6%
10
Do you think the Latino community has the elected political
that it needs?
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 11/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
Do you think your elected officials in the state legislature and in Conloyal to their community or mainly loyal to the political party they b
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Party Community Both No answer
75%
9% 10%6%
11
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 12/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
Would you support changes to our election system that wou
elected officials being more loyal and accountable to the vote
93%
4% 3%
12
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 13/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
Do you think we need new strategies and new ways for empo
90%
8%2%
13
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 14/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
A group of Latino Republican leaders held a press conference recentRepublican presidential candidates for demeaning remarks about imDo you expect the Republican Party will take action in response?
39%
53%
8%
14
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 15/48
Latinos are the fastest growing segment of the populatand represent a large portion of Arizona’s registered vote
eligible voters in Arizona are Latino and that number is p
25% by 2030. However, Latinos only represented 14% of
the last election.
I’d like to read you a few statements about why Latinos innot be voting. For each statement please tell me whet
the statement is true or false.
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 16/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEYNOVEMBER 2015
31%
68%
1%
People are too busy to vote.
16
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 17/48
ARIZONA
LATINO
VOTERS
SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
The important political decisions are made before
get to vote. So it doesn’t matter who the people vo
47%50%
3%
17
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 18/48
ARIZONA
LATINO
VOTERS
SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT RE
True 50% 49%
False 47% 47%
Don’t know/No answer 3% 4%
BY P ARTY
The important political decisions are made before people get
So it doesn’t matter who the people vote for.
18
M li i i d ’ d d b h L i
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 19/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
51%46%
3%
Most politicians don’t understand or care about the Latino
community, so why bother to vote?
19
M t liti i d ’t d t d b t th L ti
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 20/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT REPU
True 50% 61% 3
False 46% 37% 6
Don’t know/No answer 4% 2%
BY P ARTY
20
Most politicians don’t understand or care about the Latino
community, so why bother to vote?
M t liti i d ’t d t d b t th L ti
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 21/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
ENGLISH SPANISH
True 48% 60%
False 49% 37%
Don’t know/No answer 3% 3%
BY L ANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW
21
Most politicians don’t understand or care about the Latino
community, so why bother to vote?
d d l d d ’ ll
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 22/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
67%31%
2%
Candidates rarely contact us, and we don’t really
understand the choices.
22
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 23/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015 23
TRUE
Candidates rarely contact us, and we don’t really understand
the choices.67%
Most politicians don’t understand or care about the Latino
community, so why bother to vote?51%
The important political decisions are made before people get
to vote. So it doesn’t matter who the people vote for.47%
People are too busy to vote 31%
WHY ARE LATINO VOTERS UNDERPERFORMISUMMARY
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 24/48
Historically, the majority of the Latino electorate in Arizosupport the Democratic Party and Democratic candidates a
important element of the Democratic coalition in the state. Th
number of elected Latino members of Congress, the state le
government.
I’d like to ask you a few questions about the historic linkages community and the Democratic Party in Arizona. For eac
statements, please tell me whether you agree or disagree wit
The Democrats in Arizona have no power so even when Latin
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 25/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
The Democrats in Arizona have no power so even when Latin
elected as Democrats they cannot accomplish anything.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat/Strongly disagree
Strongly/Somewhat agree
3%
21%
25%
32%
19% 44%
25
The Democrats in Arizona have no power so even when Latin
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 26/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
The Democrats in Arizona have no power so even when Latin
elected as Democrats they cannot accomplish anything.
BY AGE
18-34 35-49 50-64
Strongly/Somewhat agree 36% 41% 46%
Somewhat/Strongly disagree 62% 57% 51%
Don’t know/No answer 1% 2% 4%
26
The Democrats in Arizona have no power so even when Latin
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 27/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
The Democrats in Arizona have no power so even when Latin
elected as Democrats they cannot accomplish anything.
BY L ANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW
ENGLISH SP
Strongly/Somewhat agree 40%
Somewhat/Strongly disagree 58%
Don’t know/No answer 2%
27
R bli th j it t i A i d d 't b t L ti i
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 28/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat/Strongly disagree
Strongly/Somewhat agree
4%
14%
36%
27%
19%
41%
28
Republicans are the majority party in Arizona and don't care about Latino is
should become more active in the Republican Party because there is power
Republicans are the majority party in Arizona and don't care about Latino is
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 29/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
Republicans are the majority party in Arizona and don't care about Latino is
should become more active in the Republican Party because there is power
INDEPENDENT DEMOCRAT
Strongly/Somewhat agree 56% 50%
Somewhat/Strongly disagree 40% 48%
Don’t know/No answer 5% 2%
29
BY P ARTY
L i h i h k i A i I ’ j f i b
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 30/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
Latinos are on the right track in Arizona. It’s just a matter of time begain more influence. The Latino community should stick with the De
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat/Strongly disagree
Strongly/Somewhat agree
5%
14%
32%
22%
27%
36%
30
Whil L ti D t h b l t d t ffi th
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 31/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
While many Latino Democrats have been elected to office th
been able to deliver on the issues the Latino community care
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat/Strongly disagree
Strongly/Somewhat agree
5%
16%
37%
11%
31%
27%
31
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 32/48
INSIGHTS INTO THE
INDEPENDENT VOTER
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 33/48
41% of Arizona Latinos are registered to vote as indepenAmong young voters, it is even higher.
I’d like to read you a few statements about why Lat
Arizona may be registering as independents. For each sta
please tell me whether you think the statement is true or f
ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS
People register as independent because they feel they don’t
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 34/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
about politics to join one or the other party.
ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS
54%43%
3%
34
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 35/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
Being an independent is a way to focus on the candidates an
ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS
61%34%
5%
35
The major political parties spend too much time fighting and
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 36/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
enough time solving problems so it makes sense not to join. ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS
76%22%
2%
36
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 37/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
Latinos want to see good candidates, regardless of what part
ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS
88%
10%
2%
37
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 38/48
41% of Latino voters in Arizona are now reg
Independents. Speaking from your own ex
we would like to learn what the motivat
deciding to become an independent.
ASKED ONLY OF INDEPENDENTS
Which of the following best describes why you chose to regi
d d
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 39/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
an Independent?
ASKED ONLY OF INDEPENDENTS , UP TO TWO RESPONSES ACCEPTED – TOTALS EX
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
I want to be able to
vote for the best
candidate
I don't want any party
telling me who to
vote for
I am Independent The political climate
in Arizona is too
partisan and negative
I did not know much
about either party
I don't want to get
mail or phone calls
51%
21%
15%12%
7% 2%
39
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 40/48
PROFILE OF THE
ARIZONA LATINO VOTE
A
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 41/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
Age
19%
27%30%
24%
41
G d
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 42/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
47%53%
42
Gender
What is the highest level of education that you have complet
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 43/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Elementary school Highschool/GED Two-year or technical
school
College graduate Don't know/No
answer
7%
25%
31%
35%
2%
43
What is the highest level of education that you have complet
What is your total annual household income before taxes?
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 44/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
What is your total annual household income before taxes?
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Less than $25K $25-50K $50-75K $75-100K $100K+ Don't know/
answer
17%
25%
20%
13% 14%
11
44
How long have you lived in Arizona?
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 45/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Less than 5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16-20 years 20+ years Don't know/
answer
3% 7% 8% 7%
73%
2%
45
How long have you lived in Arizona?
Congressional District
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 46/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 CD 7 CD 8 C
9%
16%
27%
7%
5% 4%
15%
8%
46
Congressional District
Do you consider yourself to be conservative moderate
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 47/48
ARIZONA LATINO VOTERS SURVEY
NOVEMBER 2015
Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat/Very liberal
Moderate
Very/Somewhat conservative
4%
11%
32%
24%
14%
15%
25%
47
7/23/2019 Arizona Latino Voter Attitude Survey
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/arizona-latino-voter-attitude-survey 48/48
FERNAND R.
30FAMANDI@BENDIXEN
FOR MORE INFORMATION,
CONTACT: