Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

86
ift -unesp Area Effects and Competition in Fragments Roberto A. Kraenkel Institute for Theoretical Physics - UNESP São Paulo Presented at the BioForum-UFRN January 28th, 2010

description

Presented at the BioFprum in Natal, RN, Brazil, in 2010. Joint work with and F. Azevedo and D.J. Pamplona da Silva.

Transcript of Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

Page 1: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

Roberto A. KraenkelInstitute for Theoretical Physics - UNESP

São Paulo

Presented at the BioForum-UFRNJanuary 28th, 2010

Page 2: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

Roberto A. KraenkelInstitute for Theoretical Physics - UNESP

São Paulo

Presented at the BioForum-UFRNJanuary 28th, 2010

Page 3: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

What are area effects

Page 4: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

What are area effects

• Properties of populations may be different depending on the space available.

Page 5: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

What are area effects

• Properties of populations may be different depending on the space available.

• In particular, densities depend on area of the habitat.

Page 6: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

What are area effects

• Properties of populations may be different depending on the space available.

• In particular, densities depend on area of the habitat.

• Common sense says that densities are larger for larger areas.

Page 7: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

What are area effects

• Properties of populations may be different depending on the space available.

• In particular, densities depend on area of the habitat.

• Common sense says that densities are larger for larger areas.

• Why?

Page 8: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Page 9: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

Page 10: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundaries

Page 11: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundariesX

Page 12: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundariesX

growth inside the area

Page 13: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundariesX

growth inside the area

Page 14: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundariesX

growth inside the area

These depend on perimeter of the fragment

Page 15: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundariesX

growth inside the area

These depend on perimeter of the fragment

These depend on the area of the fragment

Page 16: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundariesX

growth inside the area

These depend on perimeter of the fragment

These depend on the area of the fragment

Say the typical radius of the patch is R

Area grows with R^2Perimeter grows with R

Page 17: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundariesX

growth inside the area

These depend on perimeter of the fragment

These depend on the area of the fragment

Say the typical radius of the patch is R

Area grows with R^2Perimeter grows with R

Large Areas -- dominated by growth

Page 18: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundariesX

growth inside the area

These depend on perimeter of the fragment

These depend on the area of the fragment

Say the typical radius of the patch is R

Area grows with R^2Perimeter grows with R

Large Areas -- dominated by growth

Small Areas -- dominated by diffusion

Page 19: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

AREA EFFECTS

Area effects come from:

diffusion through the boundariesX

growth inside the area

These depend on perimeter of the fragment

These depend on the area of the fragment

The larger the area, the larger the density of the population

Page 20: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

However....

Page 21: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

However....

not all populations respond in the same way to area change

Page 22: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

However....

not all populations respond in the same way to area change

Some respond positively to area increase .

Page 23: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

However....

not all populations respond in the same way to area change

Some respond positively to area increase .

Other just respond in the opposite way: as larger the area, smaller the population!

Page 24: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

However....

not all populations respond in the same way to area change

Some respond positively to area increase .

Other just respond in the opposite way: as larger the area, smaller the population!

that’s a minority....

Page 25: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

However....

not all populations respond in the same way to area change

Some respond positively to area increase .

Other just respond in the opposite way: as larger the area, smaller the population!

that’s a minority....We will build models to understand the situation

Page 26: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Fisher, Kolmogorov and Skellam...

Page 27: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Fisher, Kolmogorov and Skellam...

To model the situation we posit an equation with:

Page 28: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Fisher, Kolmogorov and Skellam...

To model the situation we posit an equation with:

Diffusion

Page 29: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Fisher, Kolmogorov and Skellam...

To model the situation we posit an equation with:

Diffusion growth

Page 30: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Fisher, Kolmogorov and Skellam...

To model the situation we posit an equation with:

Diffusion growth

saturation

Page 31: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Fisher, Kolmogorov and Skellam...

To model the situation we posit an equation with:

Diffusion growth

saturation

Page 32: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Fisher, Kolmogorov and Skellam...

To model the situation we posit an equation with:

Diffusion growth

saturation

diffusion

Page 33: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Fisher, Kolmogorov and Skellam...

To model the situation we posit an equation with:

Diffusion growth

saturation

diffusion growth

Page 34: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Fisher, Kolmogorov and Skellam...

To model the situation we posit an equation with:

Diffusion growth

saturation

diffusion growth saturation

Page 35: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Page 36: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Page 37: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Take space to be one-dimensional

Page 38: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

If the habitat is infinite solutions look like:

Take space to be one-dimensional

Page 39: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

If the habitat is infinite solutions look like:

Take space to be one-dimensional

Page 40: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

If the habitat is infinite solutions look like:

Take space to be one-dimensional

If the habitat is finite

Page 41: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

If the habitat is infinite solutions look like:

Take space to be one-dimensional

If the habitat is finite

Page 42: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

If the habitat is infinite solutions look like:

Take space to be one-dimensional

If the habitat is finite

Page 43: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

If the habitat is infinite solutions look like:

Take space to be one-dimensional

If the habitat is finite

Notice: the height of the plateau depends on the size of the patch.

Page 44: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

If the habitat is infinite solutions look like:

Take space to be one-dimensional

How does the maximum density depend on the size

of the patch?

Page 45: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Page 46: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unespHow does the maximum

density depend on the size of the patch?

Page 47: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unespHow does the maximum

density depend on the size of the patch?

maximal density

L

Page 48: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unespHow does the maximum

density depend on the size of the patch?

maximal density

L

There is a minimal length ( area) for a

population to exist on a patch!

(Skellam 1951)

Page 49: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unespHow does the maximum

density depend on the size of the patch?

maximal density

L

There is a minimal length ( area) for a

population to exist on a patch!

(Skellam 1951)

Page 50: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Page 51: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any truth in these conclusions?

Page 52: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any truth in these conclusions?

Seems so....

Page 53: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any truth in these conclusions?

Seems so....

PDBFF results for understorey birds in

fragments of Amazonian forest

(Ferraz et alli, Science 2007)

Page 54: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any truth in these conclusions?

Seems so....

PDBFF results for understorey birds in

fragments of Amazonian forest

(Ferraz et alli, Science 2007)

Main hypothesis: non-interacting populations

Page 55: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unespCompetition models in patchesjoint work with F.S. Azevedo

Page 56: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unespCompetition models in patchesjoint work with F.S. Azevedo

This is written in non-dimensional variables. This is not essential. What it means: both species diffuse, grow, saturate and compete.

Page 57: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unespCompetition models in patchesjoint work with F.S. Azevedo

Let species 1 be competively stronger

than species 2

This is written in non-dimensional variables. This is not essential. What it means: both species diffuse, grow, saturate and compete.

Page 58: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unespCompetition models in patchesjoint work with F.S. Azevedo

Let species 1 be competively stronger

than species 2

This is written in non-dimensional variables. This is not essential. What it means: both species diffuse, grow, saturate and compete.

Page 59: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unespCompetition models in patchesjoint work with F.S. Azevedo

Let species 1 be competively stronger

than species 2

Recall: if space is unbouded ==> competitive exclusion

This is written in non-dimensional variables. This is not essential. What it means: both species diffuse, grow, saturate and compete.

Page 60: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Competition models in patches

Page 61: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Competition models in patches

Page 62: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Competition models in patches

Let the patch have area A and plot the maximal density against the

area

Page 63: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Competition models in patches

Let the patch have area A and plot the maximal density against the

area

Species 1

A

max. density

Page 64: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Competition models in patches

Let the patch have area A and plot the maximal density against the

area

Species 1 Species 2

AA

max. densitymax. density

Page 65: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Competition models in patches

Let the patch have area A and plot the maximal density against the

area

Species 1 Species 2

Population 2 grows with area

decrease

AA

max. densitymax. density

Page 66: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Competition models in patches

Let the patch have area A and plot the maximal density against the

area

Species 1 Species 2Competitive exclusion is not valid!

Population 2 grows with area

decrease

AA

max. densitymax. density

Page 67: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Competition models in patches

Let the patch have area A and plot the maximal density against the

area

Species 1 Species 2Competitive exclusion is not valid!

Strong coexistence

Population 2 grows with area

decrease

AA

max. densitymax. density

Page 68: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Let us re-phrase it

Page 69: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Let us re-phrase it

We have coexistence mediated by habitat restriction

Page 70: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Let us re-phrase it

We have coexistence mediated by habitat restriction

Indeed: area reduction affects the stronger competitor

Page 71: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Let us re-phrase it

We have coexistence mediated by habitat restriction

Indeed: area reduction affects the stronger competitor

On a certain scale, the weaker competitor gets release of competitive pressure

Page 72: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Let us re-phrase it

We have coexistence mediated by habitat restriction

Indeed: area reduction affects the stronger competitor

On a certain scale, the weaker competitor gets release of competitive pressure

So, what we found is competitive release induced by area effects.

Page 73: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any chance seeing this in nature?

Page 74: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any chance seeing this in nature?

PDBFF data ( M. L.S.P. Jorge, Biol. Conser. v. 141(2008) 617.)

Page 75: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any chance seeing this in nature?

PDBFF data ( M. L.S.P. Jorge, Biol. Conser. v. 141(2008) 617.)

Page 76: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any chance seeing this in nature?

PDBFF data ( M. L.S.P. Jorge, Biol. Conser. v. 141(2008) 617.)

acouchies (Myoprocta sp., Dasyproctidae, Rodentia)

agoutis (Dasyprocta sp., Dasyproctidae, Rodentia)

Page 77: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any chance seeing this in nature?

PDBFF data ( M. L.S.P. Jorge, Biol. Conser. v. 141(2008) 617.)

acouchies (Myoprocta sp., Dasyproctidae, Rodentia)

agoutis (Dasyprocta sp., Dasyproctidae, Rodentia)

Page 78: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Any chance seeing this in nature?

PDBFF data ( M. L.S.P. Jorge, Biol. Conser. v. 141(2008) 617.)

acouchies (Myoprocta sp., Dasyproctidae, Rodentia)

agoutis (Dasyprocta sp., Dasyproctidae, Rodentia)

Fitted Model

Page 79: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Discussion

Page 80: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Discussion

To fit a model doesn’t prove it is right...

Page 81: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Discussion

To fit a model doesn’t prove it is right...

We could imagine other models that reproduce the data

Page 82: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Discussion

To fit a model doesn’t prove it is right...

We could imagine other models that reproduce the data

Ours is possibly the simplest...

Page 83: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Discussion

To fit a model doesn’t prove it is right...

We could imagine other models that reproduce the data

Ours is possibly the simplest...

On a theoretical perspective we could argue that “there is no competition” ( as competition for resources is indirect)

Page 84: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Discussion

To fit a model doesn’t prove it is right...

We could imagine other models that reproduce the data

Ours is possibly the simplest...

On a theoretical perspective we could argue that “there is no competition” ( as competition for resources is indirect)

Better: consider consumer-resource models

Page 85: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Discussion

To fit a model doesn’t prove it is right...

We could imagine other models that reproduce the data

Ours is possibly the simplest...

On a theoretical perspective we could argue that “there is no competition” ( as competition for resources is indirect)

Better: consider consumer-resource models( we are working on it...)

Page 86: Area Effects and Competition in Fragments

ift-unesp

Thank for your attention

Roberto [email protected]