Are Candidates Being Superstitious About Ohio and Pennsylvania?
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Are Candidates Being Superstitious
about Ohio and Pennsylvania?
No. Topic Page No.
1. Pre-election EC votes analysis 2
2. Simplest Election Reform 10
3. Election Results 11
4. Post-election comments: EC versus popular votes 16
5. Repeating Obamas re-election scenario 19
6. Interesting EC votes and Winning Popular Votes Correlation 20
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/ (Nov 8, 2012)
President Obama was re-elected
winning both the Electoral
College (EC) votes, 270 needed to
win, and the popular vote.
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/ -
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Dear All:
Romney can win without OH (Ohio) and PA (Pennsylvania), as we see below.
The 11 states where Romney plans to campaign, in the final days, highlighted
in yellow, taken together have 146 Electoral College (EC) votes. If Romneytakes 6 of these 11 states, he can sneak out a victory. The key then become
how the Congressional Districts in Maine and Nebraska split. Without serious
research about whether they are Blue or Red, I have just assigned these
districts arbitrarily to the Democrat or the Republican columns below. If just
one of these districts goes Blue, we will have a 269-269 nightmare.
You can use the EC calculatorclick here to go to the EC calculator and come up
with other scenarios. Since, the US President is elected by the EC, not by the
popular vote, whoever wins in Michigan (MI), for example, will get 16 votes. Thewinners margin in MI can be 100 votes, or 100,000 votes, or even 1 million votes.
The winner will only get 16 EC votes. There is no popular vote tally to decide the
Presidential winner. That is how the EC system works. This method was picked to
prevent the big states, with large populations, from dominating the elections.
Now, let us consider the situation today with the possibility that there is real chaos
if full power is NOT restored in time for the election on November 6, 2012. As an
extreme case, let us say the whole state of New Hampshire (NH) does not vote.The election can still be decided if either Obama or Romney gets to 270 EC votes.
NH, Rhode Island, and Maine, each have 4 EC votes. Even if all three states cannot
vote, the election can be decided. The winner can split the EC 272-262 or 273-261
depending on how the votes go with one of these states not voting. Try it yourself.
If you have young children, or grandchildren, the EC calculator link above can
provide a nice lesson in how government works. Have some fun while you wait for
the campaign to begin.
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/calculator.htmlhttp://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/calculator.htmlhttp://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/calculator.htmlhttp://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/calculator.html -
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OH 18 18 18
OK 7 7 7
OR 7 7 7
PA 20 20 20
RI 4 4 4
SC 9 9 9SD 3 3 3
TN 11 11 11
TX 38 38 38
UT 6 6 6
VT 3 3 3
VA 13 13 13
WA 12 12 12
WV 5 5 5
WI 10 10 10
WY 3 3 3
Total 538 204 188 146 268 270
With the eleven states in play (where Romney will campaign), Obama gets 204 EC votes and
Romney gets 188 EC votes. Now, assign 6 of the 11 states to the Republican column, as shown,
and Romney can eke out a win without OH and PA. The key then becomes how the
Congressional districts in ME and NE split.
http://news.msn.com/politics/state-by-state-a-look-at-where-the-candidates-stand
http://news.msn.com/politics/state-by-state-a-look-at-where-the-candidates-standhttp://news.msn.com/politics/state-by-state-a-look-at-where-the-candidates-standhttp://news.msn.com/politics/state-by-state-a-look-at-where-the-candidates-stand -
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Personally, I think this election is truly historic in that it now offers, especially
after the devastation wrecked by Sandy, two clearly opposite visions of how
government should function for us.
During the primary debate in June of 2011, Romney endorsed shifting theresponsibilities of FEMA to state governments and to private companies. His exact
words were, Every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal
government and send it back to the states, thats the right direction.
And, in response to a question about the agency, Romney added, And if you can
go even further, and send it back to the private sector, that's even better. He also
went a step further and equated government spending for disaster relief with
adding to the National debtthe Debtmind you, not the annual deficit!
Governor Romney has argued, as have other Republicans like his running mate
Ryan and GOP extremists like Cantor, that expenditures by FEMA must be met
with cuts to the budget elsewherethat the federal aid provided to rebuild local
economies after a natural disasteractually contributes to the national debt. Is this
the vision of government that Americans want to support?
This is the question that we must now answer come November 6.
If Romney wins, it also means that Ryan immediately gets a real shot at the
Presidency. In my humble opinion, a Ryan Presidency would be far more
dangerous than a Romney Presidencywho will just keep flip-flopping his way to
win a second term.
The devastation caused by Sandy is a visible one and easy to see. The devastation
that will be caused by heartless cuts in all types of social spending (now being
called entitlements) like Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, health care,
education, and so on, to the point of serious injury to society at large, will be
difficult to see but will turn out to be a thousand timeseven a million times -
more devastating.
Most of those who support the extremism of the GOP, and the implicit racism, I
am sorry to say, are poor and uneducated white Americans. They have been taught
to hate their fellow brethren - blacks, Hispanics, or anyone unlike them in any way.
The ugly face of American racism is now staring us all in the face. A recent poll
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now says that the majority of Americans are racist. These poor whites support the
GOP richthe 1% - in the unreal hopeof, someday, becoming rich themselves in
this land of great opportunity.
It is just like the poor whokeep dreaming of winning the
lottery some day and
becoming rich. Lottery
spending is almost an
addiction with some of the
poor. Sadly, this land of
opportunity has turned, over
the last 30 plus years since
Reagan was elected
President, into a land for the
businesses and corporations
to exploit and do what they
wish. Now, thanks to Citizens
United, corporations are
people too and Romney
shamelessly asks employers
to tell their employees how tovote. There is nothing illegal
about it! Is this the America
we want to live in?
Employment laws, and all other business related laws, have been changed.
The pendulum has swing too far to favor corporations so that they can exploit
labor and move jobs at will, hire and fire at will, and not even offer a living
wage with basic benefits. That is the reason why jobs are disappearing. Now
Romney and Ryan have the gall to talk about Chrysler shifting jobs to China.
The truth is that the jobs being created in China are to increase production in China
for cars that will be built and sold in China. Tariffs are imposed by the Chinese
for goods to be sold in China if they are not made in China.
Here it is! And I was so afraid that I may have been
grossly unfair in my characterization of the poor whites.
"If you have no education, and you work with your
hands, you like him. It's like, 'Wow, if I was rich,
that's how I would live!' The girls, the cars, the fancy
suits. His ostentatiousness is appealing to them."
Courtesy:
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08
/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_t
he_reality_star_was_thinking.html
The Refreshing Honesty of Trump's
Advisers
ByJosh Voorhees
Posted Thursda Nov. 8 2012 at 11:38 AM ET
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.josh_voorhees.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.josh_voorhees.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.josh_voorhees.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.josh_voorhees.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.html -
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It is time for the USA to consider the same for goods to be sold in the USA.
That is also what we used to do in the USA before income tax became the
primary source ofgovernments revenues.
The income tax law was enacted in 1913 - just before President Woodrow Wilsontook office - and required a Constitutional Amendment. The top marginal tax rate
then was only 7% when Wilson started his first term. He increased the top tax rate
to 77% in order to avoid piling up a huge budget deficit when the United States
entered World War I. Under President Franklin Roosevelt, the top tax rate went up
to 94%, during World War II, to keep the annual budget deficits under control.
And, all of this was done, with Republican support, since our politicians then
behaved far more responsibly than what we have seen the GOP doing, to derail
President Obama and make him a one term President. This was the game planagreed upon by the GOP within hours after Obama took the oath of office.
If this is the type of America we want to live in, even after seeing the devastation
wrecked by Sandythe choice is clearVOTE FOR THE ROMNEY-RYAN
ticket and let the private sector handle the next BIG hurricane.
May be Governor Christie should show some real statesmanship and start
campaigning with President Obama to show the GOP nutcases the way!
To the poor whites, who continue to support the tea-party vision of GOP
extremism, I have only this to say. There is only one road out of poverty and to the
middle class. That is education. We must continue to support education and not
support any budget cuts (like Ryan advocates) that target education programs. In
fact, I would go so far as to say anyone who wants an education, even a college
level education, should be able to get itfor FREEif he or she can get admitted
to the college of their choice. This is the only road to prosperity. The second is
tariffs on all goods sold in the USA that are NOT made in the USA. If companies
want to take American capital abroad, slap them with a tax of at least 25%. (Thiswill surely need some tweaking but the principle is what counts!) Then let them do
what they want and build factories wherever they want and hire whom they want.
There is no other way JOBS WILL RETURN. This is what they still do in many
countries. The UGLY face of capitalism has revealed itself in the USA.
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Ask what the GOP has done for you. Ask if you are a good Christian. Ask if Jesus
wants you to hate blacks and Hispanics and Asians and coloreds. Ask if you really
believe that it was Gods will that a woman be raped and become pregnant. Ask if
a woman can really shut down her system and avoid getting pregnant if she is
raped. Ask if you will say the same if it was your wife, your daughter, your sister,or your mother, or some other female relative or dear friend, who was getting
raped. If you believe in all of this, then your choice is clear. VOTE for Akin, vote
for Murdock, vote for a straight Republican ticket, and for the Romney-Ryan ticket
that will keep you in permanent bondage and with handouts from private charities.
Soon, there will be no food stamps too. (BTW, it is the poor whites that are
predominantly on food stamps, not blacks or Hispanics, or illegal immigrants).
The GOP vision (tax cuts for the rich, deep cuts in social spendingjust call them
entitlements - and no cuts in military spending) is neither Christian nor American.
If Martin Luther King were alive today, guess what he would say? I had a dream.
And that dream is turning into a nightmare!
So, please VOTE and make a wise choice. It is YOUR future and the American
dream that is at stake. To me the choice is clear and I have spoken my mind.
I bear no malice in my heart. Life, liberty, freedom, and the pursuit of happiness -
like our founding fathers envisioned - belong to all. But it is also time for some
serious soul searching and some plain speakingespecially after Hurricane Sandy.
If Christie and Bloomberg can do it, so can the rest of us.
Very sincerely
V. Laxmanan
November 1, 2012.
Why Mitt Lost
He couldnt separate himself from the Republican Partys growing
extremism.
ByJacob Weisberg| Posted Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2012, at 3:24 AM ET
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_co
uldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.html
http://www.slate.com/authors.jacob_weisberg.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.jacob_weisberg.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.jacob_weisberg.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.jacob_weisberg.html -
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Electoral College Tie with switch in CO, CT and ME
The 11 States where Romney plans to
campaign in the final days are placed in
Other column. Obama leads without themand wins if these 11 states go Democratic.
Scenario 2
The Nightmare!
State EC Votes Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican
AL 9 9 9
AK 3 3 3
AZ 11 11 11
AR 6 6 6
CA 55 55 55
CO 9 9 9
CT 7 7 7
DE 3 3 3DC 3 3 3
FL 29 29 29
GA 16 16 16
HI 4 4 4
ID 4 4 4
IL 20 20 20
IN 11 11 11
IO 6 6 6
KS 6 6 6
KY 8 8 8
LA 8 8 8
ME 2 2 2
ME1 1 1 1
ME2 1 1 1
MD 10 10 10
MA 11 11 11
MI 16 16 16
MN 10 10 10
MS 6 6 6
MO 10 10 10
MT 3 3 3NE 2 2 2
NE1 1 1 1
NE2 1 1 1
NE3 1 1 1
NV 6 6 6
NH 4 4 4
NJ 14 14 14
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NM 5 5 5
NY 29 29 29
NC 15 15 15
ND 3 3 3
OH 18 18 18
OK 7 7 7OR 7 7 7
PA 20 20 20
RI 4 4 4
SC 9 9 9
SD 3 3 3
TN 11 11 11
TX 38 38 38
UT 6 6 6
VT 3 3 3
VA 13 13 13
WA 12 12 12WV 5 5 5
WI 10 10 10
WY 3 3 3
Total 538 204 188 146 269 269
If CT turns RED, inexplicably, and CO goes BLUE, and both the ME Congressional districts
go for the GOP, we will have an EC tie. Can CT flip to the RED column?
An alternative scenario for a Romney win is GOP taking MN with the rest of scenario 2
remaining in effect. In all these scenarios OH and PA are irrelevant to the Presidential win.
Since this was posted, Over the past few days, its become clear that Romney is trying to build
a winning path with or without Ohios 18 electoral votes. Obama has had a slight but persistent
edge in most polls. No Republican candidate has won the presidency without winning Ohio.
http://news.yahoo.com/romneys-path-win-indies-stoke-no-errors-193739014--election.html
The simplest election reform that will ensure a more popular
vote like outcome is for more states to split their EC votes (say
up to 50%) by Congressional districts, just like Maine (ME)and Nebraska (NE) have done. The simple EC tallies
illustrated here show how the election outcome will get quite
complicated if such a reform is instituted. In fact, it is so
simple that it could be accomplished for the 2016 elections.
http://news.yahoo.com/romneys-path-win-indies-stoke-no-errors-193739014--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/romneys-path-win-indies-stoke-no-errors-193739014--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/romneys-path-win-indies-stoke-no-errors-193739014--election.html -
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Once Texas and Florida turn BLUE, due to inevitable
demographic trends, the GOP will not be able to win any
future Presidential elections.
****************************************************
Election Results (Projected EC Votes) on November 6, 2012
Winner declared WITHOUT vote counts in AK and HI
State EC
Votes
EC Votes
(Dem)
EC Votes
(Rep)
Popular Vote
(Dem)
Popular Vote
(Rep)
Diff. in Pop.
Vote (for Dem)
AL 9 9 753,611 1,204,738 -451,127
AK 3 3AZ 11 11 638,536 825,228 -186,692
AR 6 6 355,476 582,902 -227,426
CA 55 55 2,092,953 1,684,881 408,072
CO 9 9 1,008,293 952,522 55,771
CT 7 7 648,987 480,001 168,986
DE 3 3 252,547 165,476 87,071
DC 3 3
FL 29 29 4,049,171 3,987,660 61,511
GA 16 16 1,717,669 2,010,928 -293,259
HI 4 4
ID 4 4 55,822 117,775 -61,953IL 20 20 2,830,342 2,019,562 810,780
IN 11 11 1,125,275 1,392,497 -267,222
IO 6 6 739,946 664,978 74,968
KS 6 6 380,007 572,992 -192,985
KY 8 8 679,105 1,086,970 -407,865
LA 8 8 751,659 1,135,533 -383,874
ME 2 2 264,467 183,349 81,118
ME1 1 1
ME2 1 1
MD 10 10 1,464,345 889,022 575,323
MA 11 11 1,745,432 1,071,424 674,008MI 16 16 1,686,081 1,401,399 284,682
MN 10 10 980,446 911,535 68,911
MS 6 6 471,683 610,272 -138,589
MO 10 10 1,163,343 1,446,788 -283,445
MT 3 3 44,021 54,843 -10,822
NE 2 2 266,657 432,720 -166,063
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NE1 1 1
NE2 1 1
NE3 1 1
NV 6 6 427,370 368,286 59,084
NH 4 4 311,131 280,197 30,934
NJ 14 14 1,854,308 1,284,856 569,452NM 5 5 342,916 277,031 65,885
NY 29 29 3,036,362 1,882,348 1,154,014
NC 15 15 2,175,557 2,271,415 -95,858
ND 3 3 119,558 177,448 -57,890
OH 18 18 2,631,001 2,542,132 88,869
OK 7 7 417,397 842,746 -425,349
OR 7 7 608,636 486,309 122,327
PA 20 20 2,857,694 2,570,559 287,135
RI 4 4 262,464 146,295 116,169
SC 9 9 664,467 888,544 -224,077
SD 3 3 130,499 194,611 -64,112TN 11 11 942,730 1,435,912 -493,182
TX 38 38 3,049,495 4,335,814 -1,286,319
UT 6 6 148,953 417,377 -268,424
VT 3 3 177,027 81,728 95,299
VA 13 13 1,768,382 1,706,788 61,594
WA 12 12 1,034,453 802,526 231,927
WV 5 5 225,774 396,943 -171,169
WI 10 10 1,218,265 1,102,292 115,973
WY 3 3 63,151 154,492 -91,341
Total 538 332 206 50,633,464 50,532,644 100,820
Obama re-elected by the EC and Popular Votes; Pop. Votes from FOX News 11/6/2012
See also results at http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/
CNN Projected Obama Re-elected at 11:25 PM, I projected Obama winning
at 11:00 PM based on his holding on to the lead in OH, FL, and CO.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-
second-term-fox-news-projects/
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/ -
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Obama Projected as Winner, Romney
Campaign Not Yet Ready to Concede (11:51 PM)
Obama defeats Romney to win second term, Fox News projects
Read more:http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6
The following fromhttp://news.msn.com/politics/election-day-2012-obama-romney
Barack Obama won:Virginia,Nevada,Wisconsin,Oregon,Colorado,Iowa,New
Mexico,California, Hawaii,Washington,Minnesota,New Hampshire,
Pennsylvania(Romney had made a last-ditch effort to secure a win in
Pennsylvania in the final days of the campaign),New Jersey,New York,
Michigan, Vermont,Delaware,District of Columbia,Maine,Maryland,
Massachusetts,Connecticut,Rhode Island,andIllinois.
Mitt Romney won:Arizona,Arkansas,Georgia,Idaho,Indiana,Kansas,
Kentucky,Louisiana,Mississippi,Missouri,Nebraska(four of the five electoral
votes),North Carolina,North Dakota,Oklahoma,South Carolina,Tennessee,
South Dakota,Texas,Utah,West Virginia,Wyoming
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6http://news.msn.com/politics/election-day-2012-obama-romneyhttp://news.msn.com/politics/election-day-2012-obama-romneyhttp://news.msn.com/politics/election-day-2012-obama-romneyhttp://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=VA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BVA&form=bngeex#51001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=VA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BVA&form=bngeex#51001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=VA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BVA&form=bngeex#51001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NV&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNV&form=bngeex#32510http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NV&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNV&form=bngeex#32510http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NV&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNV&form=bngeex#32510http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWI&form=bngeex#55001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWI&form=bngeex#55001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWI&form=bngeex#55001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=OR&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BOR&form=bngeex#41001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=OR&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BOR&form=bngeex#41001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=OR&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BOR&form=bngeex#41001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=CO&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BCO&form=bngeex#08001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=CO&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BCO&form=bngeex#08001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=CO&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BCO&form=bngeex#08001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=IA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BIA&form=bngeex#19001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=IA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BIA&form=bngeex#19001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=IA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BIA&form=bngeex#19001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NM&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNM&form=bngeex#35001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NM&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNM&form=bngeex#35001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NM&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNM&form=bngeex#35001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NM&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNM&form=bngeex#35001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWA&form=bngeex#53001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWA&form=bngeex#53001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWA&form=bngeex#53001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=MN&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BMN&form=bngeex#27001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=MN&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BMN&form=bngeex#27001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=MN&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BMN&form=bngeex#27001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NH&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNH&form=bngeex#33001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NH&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNH&form=bngeex#33001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NH&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNH&form=bngeex#33001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=PA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BPA&form=bngeex#42001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=PA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BPA&form=bngeex#42001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NJ&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNJ&form=bngeex#34001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NJ&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNJ&form=bngeex#34001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NJ&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNJ&form=bngeex#34001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NY&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNY&form=bngeex#36001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NY&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7/31/2019 Are Candidates Being Superstitious About Ohio and Pennsylvania?
14/23
Page 14 of23
Since this was first posted: Time to wake up GOP extremists
http://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--
election.html
New York Mayor Bloomberg endorses
Obama
By JOSH LEDERMAN | Associated Press 22 mins ago
WASHINGTON (AP)New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg backed President
Barack Obama over Republican Mitt Romney on Thursday, saying the incumbent
Democrat will bring critically needed leadership to fight climate change after theEast Coast devastation wrought by Hurricane Sandy.
http://news.msn.com/politics/new-york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-1
As New York continued to pick up the pieces after the superstorm devastated parts
of the city this week, Bloomberg said Sandy had made the stakes of the election
even clearer.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-
endorses-obama-193913320--election.html
Please note that Bloomberg was critical of Obama and did call Obamas first
term a disappointment. The following is an exact quote from the OlivierKnox article (see the second of above links).
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg on Thursday bemoaned President
Barack Obama's "disappointing" first term in office. He complained the Democrat
"devoted little time and effort" to pragmatic, centrist problem-solving while
wielding "partisan attacks." He charged he has "embraced a divisive populist
agenda focused more on redistributing income than creating it."
And then the billionaire entrepreneurendorsed Obama over Mitt Romney.
http://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/photos/mayor-michael-bloomberg-speaks-media-seward-park-high-photo-022134594.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/photos/mayor-michael-bloomberg-speaks-media-seward-park-high-photo-022134594.htmlhttp://news.msn.com/politics/new-york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-1http://news.msn.com/politics/new-york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-1http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-01/a-vote-for-a-president-to-lead-on-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-01/a-vote-for-a-president-to-lead-on-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-01/a-vote-for-a-president-to-lead-on-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-01/a-vote-for-a-president-to-lead-on-climate-change.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://news.msn.com/politics/new-york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-1http://news.yahoo.com/photos/mayor-michael-bloomberg-speaks-media-seward-park-high-photo-022134594.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.html -
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http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-
153250132.html
Geraldo slams GOP bloodlust over
Benghazi
ByDylan Stableford, Yahoo! News|The Lookout6 hrs ago
Geraldo Rivera slammed the politicization of the attack in Benghazi, firing offa
series of tweetswhile hunkered down at home in Edgewater, N.J., during
Hurricane Sandy. Rivera, the Fox News contributor and "Geraldo at Large" host,
criticized the controversy being pushed by some conservatives.
President Obamas first term was a disappointment, like Mayor Bloomberg has
rightly said. His second termwe do not know. But the country is at least moving
slowly in the right direction. But, the direction that the Romneys, and especially
the Ryans, want to take us is certainly NOT the direction we want to go.
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_wh
ite_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.html Why Do
White People Think Mitt Romney Should Be President? By Tom Scocca
A chilling article about racism works in America: Is the past is repeating itself?
http://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-
age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_cong
ress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlHow to Stop
Employers from telling workers whom to vote for?
http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-
colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3Battleground ColoradoEveryone is on the edge
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/author/dylan-stableford/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/author/dylan-stableford/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/author/dylan-stableford/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/https://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttp://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/author/dylan-stableford/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.html -
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The EC Versus the Popular Vote
The idea of electing the President by the EC vote, as opposed to the Popular vote,
was conceived to prevent states with large populations from dominating the
elections. The merits of this time worn and well-established system are quite
obvious if we consider the following 2012 Presidential election results. The table
lists the states with 10 or more EC votes, which also have the largest populations.
Key 2012 Presidential Election ResultsState Electoral
College(EC)
Votes
Popular
Votes(Democrat)
Popular
Votes(Republican)
Diff. in
Pop. Vote(for Dem)
Votes
perEC
(Dem)
Votes
per EC(Rep)
The most populous statesCalifornia, CA 55 5,581,991 3,635,571 1,946,420 35,389
Texas, TX 38 3,294,440 4,555,799 -1,261,359 33,194
Florida, FL 29 4,143,362 4,096,346 47,016 1,621
New York, NY 29 3,862,281 2,211,951 1,650,330 56,908
Illinois, IL 20 2,916,811 2,090,116 826,695 41,335
Pennsylvania, PA 20 2,907,448 2,619,583 287,865 14,393
Ohio, OH 18 2,686,609 2,586,467 100,142 5,563
Georgia, GA 16 1,761,761 2,070,221 -308,460 19,279Michigan, MI 16 2,490,290 2,097,107 393,183 24,574
North Carolina, NC 15 2,178,388 2,275,853 -97,465 6,498
New Jersey, NJ 14 1,924,329 1,361,154 563,175 40,227
Total 270
The Swing States of 2012 Presidential ElectionVirginia, VA 13 1,885,188 1,772,304 112,884 8,683
Indiana, IN 11 1,136,196 1,409,124 -272,928 24,812
Minnesota, MN 10 1,542,915 1,320,035 222,880 22,288
Wisconsin, WI 10 1,613,350 1,408,745 204,605 20,461
Colorado, CO 9 1,238,490 1,125,391 113,099 12,567
Iowa, IO 6 816,429 727,928 88,501 14,750Nevada, NV 6 528,801 462,422 66,379 11,063
Maine, ME 4 375,904 274,257 101,647 25,412
New Hampshire, NH 4 366,089 325,668 40,421 10,105
Total 73
Courtesy: Vote totals as given on November 8, 2012 at 8:00 a.m. by
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/ -
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Let us consider the two most populous states, California (CA) and Texas (TX). The
Democrats took CA with 55 EC votes and the Republicans took TX with 38 EC
votes. The difference in popular votes in CA was 1,946,420 or nearly 1.95 million.
Since only the EC votes determine the Presidential winner, the additional popularvotes obtained by President Obama in CA CANNOT be applied, for example, to
counteract the deficit of the popular votes in the swing state of Indiana (IN) where
the Democrat Obama lost by only 272, 928.
Likewise, the excess popular votes obtained by the Republican candidate Romney
in Texas (1,261,359, or nearly 1.3 million votes) cannot be applied towards the
deficit in Florida, for example, which was only 47,016 (as of November 8, 2012,
with 100% reporting according tohttp://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/).
If such a resetting of popular votes is permitted there would be literal chaos. The
win in Indiana would be completely overshadowed if only popular vote counts
were used. In the 2012 election, President Obama has, fortunately, won both the
EC and popular votes handily.
Or, consider this. The eleven (11) most populous states listed in the upper portion
of the table have a combined 270 EC votes, enough to determine the Presidential
winner. Obama won eight (8) of these states, with only three (3) states, with a total
of 69 EC votes going to Romney. Likewise, of the nine (9) swing states listed in
the lower portion of the table (OH and PA were also considered swing states but
appear in the upper portion of the table), only one state (Indiana, IN) was won by
Romney. The swing states include a mix of both small and big states.
However, if the President is elected entirely by the popular vote, there would be
NO INCENTIVE of any kind for a future Presidential candidate to campaign in
anything but just these 20 statesor only 40% of the nation. That would seem like
a very unfair way to pick the President.
As it is, the 2012 Presidential winner was called by the networks around 11:30 PM
on November 6, 2012, without any votes being counted in both Alaska and Hawaii.
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/ -
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Also, the winner could be decided without the votes being fully counted in Florida.
By 11 PM, with Obama holding the lead in Florida (which only briefly went to
Romney during the counting process, the difference in favor of Romney at that
time was about 2000 votes but it quickly changed to a 15,000 vote deficit for
Romney), and also in OH and CO, it became obvious, at least to me, that PresidentObama would be re-elected, very comfortably, and I said so, in private emails to a
few friends.
The bottom line: LEAVE the EC alone.The reform needed is the splitting of
the EC votes further by Congressional districts as is now being done in Maine
and Nebraska. A BIG chunk of the 29 EC votes from Florida would have been
allocated to Romney if FL were split into congressional districts. Of course, the
same also applies elsewhere in states that are now predominantly RED states.Currently, the votes cast for the Democratic candidate are totally meaningless in
these states. Just look at the EC map on page one. A huge chunk of the country is
painted RED. However, the BLUE states, some of which are also highly populous,
did decide the election this time around. That was not the case in 2000.
Of course, everyone seems to conveniently forget that if Al Gore had won his
home state of Tennessee (TN), he would have been declared President-elect on
election night itself and the FL recount would have been entirely unnecessary and
the ensuing recount chaos in Florida (FL) could have been avoided! Romney-Ryan
lost in their home states of MA and WI while Obama-Biden won their home states
of IL and DE. Winning in your home state does make a difference and lends
legitimacy. May be that is where future Presidential candidates should start!
May be Romney could focus on rebuilding the Republican Party (by providing a
real alternate GOP vision and sharing his deepest convictions), or towards the
privatizing of natural disaster relief efforts by eliminating the need for FEMA
which (i.e., spending on national disasters) he felt strongly was adding to the
national debt! Personally speaking, of all the things that were said during this
campaign, I find that to be not just the most offensive but also the most stupid and
downright callous of all. One can only take the free-enterprise and capitalism
arguments so far. We are a nation of families and communities. If you dont
believe me, just ask the victims of Hurricane Sandy who are still recovering.
-
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Page 19 of23
Repeating the Obama Re-election
Scenario
If one considers the inevitable demographic trends, with future increases in the
Hispanic/Latino population in the South, especially in the border states such as
Florida, Texas, and Arizona, the future actually looks very bleak for the GOP and
some serious soul-searching is required about the future direction of the
Republican party. The GOP extremism in social policies (abortion, immigration,
social spending cuts), tax policy and government spending (tax cuts for the rich, no
cuts in military spending, gutting social spending, even spending for education, not
to mention privatization of Social Security, Medicare, etc.) and the blatant racismof the Tea party wing will NOT take the GOP into the 21
stcentury.
The mere fact that President Obama could be re-elected, with the economy just
puttering away, reflects not a victory for Obama but a failure on the part of the
GOP to articulate an acceptable alternative vision of government. The Akins, the
Murdochs, and yes, even the Ryans, have NO future in the GOP.
Yes, the GOP needs another Reagan in order to win any future Presidential
elections.
Just take a look at the table of the most populous states (270 EC votes) and the
swing states (73 EC votes). Of these, Obama captured 201 EC votes in the most
populous states and 62 EC votes in the swing states for a total of 263 EC votes. All
that a future Democrat needs to win the Presidency is another 7 EC votes. Oregon
(OR) and/or Connecticut (CT), each having 7 EC votes, will readily make up the
difference. Democrats simply have to focus on these states and they can continue
to win Presidential elections forever. It is actually going to get easier for a
Democrat to win in the future as the RED states like FL, TX, and AZ start turning
BLUE as the demographics change.
Fortunately, the Hispanic/Latino (and also the Asian) populations, as they settle
and integrate into the American fabric, will start manifesting their latent
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conservative tendencies. Actually, these communities are far more socially and
fiscally conservative than white Americans. Herein also lies the future leadership
of the GOP. But the task of re-defining the GOP must begin today. This also means
bilingual credentials for any future Presidential candidate. Amigos will be most
welcome in the new and changing America!
A Hispanic/Latino POTUS in 2048 or 2052? Yes, quite likely!
Interesting Correlation between the
EC votes and Popular Vote Margin
Figure 1: The winning popular vote margin in New York (for Obama) was
1,650,330 votes. Dividing this by 29, the number of EC votes for NY, gives the
56,908
41,335
20,461
10,105
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
NY IL WI NH
Winningpopularvo
temargin
EC Votes 29 20 10 4
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Winning Vote Margin per EC vote mentioned in the last two columns of the above
table. For NY it is 56,908 per EC vote. For NH, it was 10,105 votes per EC vote
and so on. Notice the rough doubling in the winning vote margin as the EC votes
doubled between NH, WI and IL. Also of interest is the fact that between NY, IL,
and WI, the additional 10 EC votes required roughly an additional 20,000 votes.This translates to a roughly linear relationship between the winning popular vote
margin and the EC votes, as seen below in Figure 2.
******************************************************************
Figure 2: A nice linear trend. As the winning popular vote margin increases, the
number of EC votes gained by the winner also increasesalmost linearly - as wesee here with the four states, NH, WI, IL, and NY with increasing EC votes. The
slope of the line (joining NH and NY) is 5.34 EC votes per 10,000 popular votes.
******************************************************************
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000
Winning popular vote margin
ECv
otesgainedbywinner
NH
NY
IL
WI
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Figure 3: Using the NH-WI-IL-NY line as the basis for comparison, in Indiana
(IN), the winner gained 11 EC votes, or one extra EC vote compared to the winner
in Wisconsin (WI). This is also consistent with the slight increase in the winners
popular vote margin. The winners in Pennsylvania (PA) and Texas (TX), on the
other hand received far too many EC votes relative to their popular vote margins.
This is due to the winner-take-all system currently in place. (Alternatively, the
winner in IL received only 20 EC votes, the same as the winner in PA, with 26,942
additional popular votes.)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000
Winning popular vote margin
ECvotesgainedbywinner TX
PA
IN
IL
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Figure 4: Using the same NH-WI-IL-NY line as the basis for comparison, the number of
EC votes gained by the winner is plotted here as a function of the popular vote winning
margins for the most populous states and the swing states (total of 20 states) listed in the
table above. Eight states fall on this trend line. For the same winning vote margin, thethree states FL, TX, and CA are seen to yield disproportionately large number of EC
votes. This is because of the winner-take-all method currently being used to award the
EC votes. This picture will change drastically if a hybrid method is used and each state is
divided into Congressional districts (as in Maine and Nebraska).
Divide each state up into Congressional districts and let a maximum of 50% of the EC
votes be awarded to the district winner. If the state has an odd number of EC votes, as
with FL (29), award the extra EC vote (15 EC votes) to the winner of the state as a whole
and the remaining by dividing the state up into (14 for FL) districts. For CA (55), award28 EC votes to the overall winner and 27 by dividing the state up into 27 districts, and so
on. If the state has even number of EC votes (e.g., Michigan with 16 or Texas with 38),
the overall winner takes 8 (for Texas 19) and the state gets divided into 8 districts (or 19
districts for Texas). Or, have an extra district (as in NE) for the extra EC vote. Obviously,
such a reform can be implemented without the need for any constitutional amendments.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000
Winning popular vote margin
ECvotesgainedbywin
ner