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    Are Candidates Being Superstitious

    about Ohio and Pennsylvania?

    No. Topic Page No.

    1. Pre-election EC votes analysis 2

    2. Simplest Election Reform 10

    3. Election Results 11

    4. Post-election comments: EC versus popular votes 16

    5. Repeating Obamas re-election scenario 19

    6. Interesting EC votes and Winning Popular Votes Correlation 20

    http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/ (Nov 8, 2012)

    President Obama was re-elected

    winning both the Electoral

    College (EC) votes, 270 needed to

    win, and the popular vote.

    http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/
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    Dear All:

    Romney can win without OH (Ohio) and PA (Pennsylvania), as we see below.

    The 11 states where Romney plans to campaign, in the final days, highlighted

    in yellow, taken together have 146 Electoral College (EC) votes. If Romneytakes 6 of these 11 states, he can sneak out a victory. The key then become

    how the Congressional Districts in Maine and Nebraska split. Without serious

    research about whether they are Blue or Red, I have just assigned these

    districts arbitrarily to the Democrat or the Republican columns below. If just

    one of these districts goes Blue, we will have a 269-269 nightmare.

    You can use the EC calculatorclick here to go to the EC calculator and come up

    with other scenarios. Since, the US President is elected by the EC, not by the

    popular vote, whoever wins in Michigan (MI), for example, will get 16 votes. Thewinners margin in MI can be 100 votes, or 100,000 votes, or even 1 million votes.

    The winner will only get 16 EC votes. There is no popular vote tally to decide the

    Presidential winner. That is how the EC system works. This method was picked to

    prevent the big states, with large populations, from dominating the elections.

    Now, let us consider the situation today with the possibility that there is real chaos

    if full power is NOT restored in time for the election on November 6, 2012. As an

    extreme case, let us say the whole state of New Hampshire (NH) does not vote.The election can still be decided if either Obama or Romney gets to 270 EC votes.

    NH, Rhode Island, and Maine, each have 4 EC votes. Even if all three states cannot

    vote, the election can be decided. The winner can split the EC 272-262 or 273-261

    depending on how the votes go with one of these states not voting. Try it yourself.

    If you have young children, or grandchildren, the EC calculator link above can

    provide a nice lesson in how government works. Have some fun while you wait for

    the campaign to begin.

    http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/calculator.htmlhttp://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/calculator.htmlhttp://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/calculator.htmlhttp://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/calculator.html
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    OH 18 18 18

    OK 7 7 7

    OR 7 7 7

    PA 20 20 20

    RI 4 4 4

    SC 9 9 9SD 3 3 3

    TN 11 11 11

    TX 38 38 38

    UT 6 6 6

    VT 3 3 3

    VA 13 13 13

    WA 12 12 12

    WV 5 5 5

    WI 10 10 10

    WY 3 3 3

    Total 538 204 188 146 268 270

    With the eleven states in play (where Romney will campaign), Obama gets 204 EC votes and

    Romney gets 188 EC votes. Now, assign 6 of the 11 states to the Republican column, as shown,

    and Romney can eke out a win without OH and PA. The key then becomes how the

    Congressional districts in ME and NE split.

    http://news.msn.com/politics/state-by-state-a-look-at-where-the-candidates-stand

    http://news.msn.com/politics/state-by-state-a-look-at-where-the-candidates-standhttp://news.msn.com/politics/state-by-state-a-look-at-where-the-candidates-standhttp://news.msn.com/politics/state-by-state-a-look-at-where-the-candidates-stand
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    Personally, I think this election is truly historic in that it now offers, especially

    after the devastation wrecked by Sandy, two clearly opposite visions of how

    government should function for us.

    During the primary debate in June of 2011, Romney endorsed shifting theresponsibilities of FEMA to state governments and to private companies. His exact

    words were, Every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal

    government and send it back to the states, thats the right direction.

    And, in response to a question about the agency, Romney added, And if you can

    go even further, and send it back to the private sector, that's even better. He also

    went a step further and equated government spending for disaster relief with

    adding to the National debtthe Debtmind you, not the annual deficit!

    Governor Romney has argued, as have other Republicans like his running mate

    Ryan and GOP extremists like Cantor, that expenditures by FEMA must be met

    with cuts to the budget elsewherethat the federal aid provided to rebuild local

    economies after a natural disasteractually contributes to the national debt. Is this

    the vision of government that Americans want to support?

    This is the question that we must now answer come November 6.

    If Romney wins, it also means that Ryan immediately gets a real shot at the

    Presidency. In my humble opinion, a Ryan Presidency would be far more

    dangerous than a Romney Presidencywho will just keep flip-flopping his way to

    win a second term.

    The devastation caused by Sandy is a visible one and easy to see. The devastation

    that will be caused by heartless cuts in all types of social spending (now being

    called entitlements) like Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, health care,

    education, and so on, to the point of serious injury to society at large, will be

    difficult to see but will turn out to be a thousand timeseven a million times -

    more devastating.

    Most of those who support the extremism of the GOP, and the implicit racism, I

    am sorry to say, are poor and uneducated white Americans. They have been taught

    to hate their fellow brethren - blacks, Hispanics, or anyone unlike them in any way.

    The ugly face of American racism is now staring us all in the face. A recent poll

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    now says that the majority of Americans are racist. These poor whites support the

    GOP richthe 1% - in the unreal hopeof, someday, becoming rich themselves in

    this land of great opportunity.

    It is just like the poor whokeep dreaming of winning the

    lottery some day and

    becoming rich. Lottery

    spending is almost an

    addiction with some of the

    poor. Sadly, this land of

    opportunity has turned, over

    the last 30 plus years since

    Reagan was elected

    President, into a land for the

    businesses and corporations

    to exploit and do what they

    wish. Now, thanks to Citizens

    United, corporations are

    people too and Romney

    shamelessly asks employers

    to tell their employees how tovote. There is nothing illegal

    about it! Is this the America

    we want to live in?

    Employment laws, and all other business related laws, have been changed.

    The pendulum has swing too far to favor corporations so that they can exploit

    labor and move jobs at will, hire and fire at will, and not even offer a living

    wage with basic benefits. That is the reason why jobs are disappearing. Now

    Romney and Ryan have the gall to talk about Chrysler shifting jobs to China.

    The truth is that the jobs being created in China are to increase production in China

    for cars that will be built and sold in China. Tariffs are imposed by the Chinese

    for goods to be sold in China if they are not made in China.

    Here it is! And I was so afraid that I may have been

    grossly unfair in my characterization of the poor whites.

    "If you have no education, and you work with your

    hands, you like him. It's like, 'Wow, if I was rich,

    that's how I would live!' The girls, the cars, the fancy

    suits. His ostentatiousness is appealing to them."

    Courtesy:

    http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08

    /donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_t

    he_reality_star_was_thinking.html

    The Refreshing Honesty of Trump's

    Advisers

    ByJosh Voorhees

    Posted Thursda Nov. 8 2012 at 11:38 AM ET

    http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.josh_voorhees.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.josh_voorhees.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.josh_voorhees.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.josh_voorhees.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/11/08/donald_trump_s_friends_and_staff_explain_what_the_reality_star_was_thinking.html
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    It is time for the USA to consider the same for goods to be sold in the USA.

    That is also what we used to do in the USA before income tax became the

    primary source ofgovernments revenues.

    The income tax law was enacted in 1913 - just before President Woodrow Wilsontook office - and required a Constitutional Amendment. The top marginal tax rate

    then was only 7% when Wilson started his first term. He increased the top tax rate

    to 77% in order to avoid piling up a huge budget deficit when the United States

    entered World War I. Under President Franklin Roosevelt, the top tax rate went up

    to 94%, during World War II, to keep the annual budget deficits under control.

    And, all of this was done, with Republican support, since our politicians then

    behaved far more responsibly than what we have seen the GOP doing, to derail

    President Obama and make him a one term President. This was the game planagreed upon by the GOP within hours after Obama took the oath of office.

    If this is the type of America we want to live in, even after seeing the devastation

    wrecked by Sandythe choice is clearVOTE FOR THE ROMNEY-RYAN

    ticket and let the private sector handle the next BIG hurricane.

    May be Governor Christie should show some real statesmanship and start

    campaigning with President Obama to show the GOP nutcases the way!

    To the poor whites, who continue to support the tea-party vision of GOP

    extremism, I have only this to say. There is only one road out of poverty and to the

    middle class. That is education. We must continue to support education and not

    support any budget cuts (like Ryan advocates) that target education programs. In

    fact, I would go so far as to say anyone who wants an education, even a college

    level education, should be able to get itfor FREEif he or she can get admitted

    to the college of their choice. This is the only road to prosperity. The second is

    tariffs on all goods sold in the USA that are NOT made in the USA. If companies

    want to take American capital abroad, slap them with a tax of at least 25%. (Thiswill surely need some tweaking but the principle is what counts!) Then let them do

    what they want and build factories wherever they want and hire whom they want.

    There is no other way JOBS WILL RETURN. This is what they still do in many

    countries. The UGLY face of capitalism has revealed itself in the USA.

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    Ask what the GOP has done for you. Ask if you are a good Christian. Ask if Jesus

    wants you to hate blacks and Hispanics and Asians and coloreds. Ask if you really

    believe that it was Gods will that a woman be raped and become pregnant. Ask if

    a woman can really shut down her system and avoid getting pregnant if she is

    raped. Ask if you will say the same if it was your wife, your daughter, your sister,or your mother, or some other female relative or dear friend, who was getting

    raped. If you believe in all of this, then your choice is clear. VOTE for Akin, vote

    for Murdock, vote for a straight Republican ticket, and for the Romney-Ryan ticket

    that will keep you in permanent bondage and with handouts from private charities.

    Soon, there will be no food stamps too. (BTW, it is the poor whites that are

    predominantly on food stamps, not blacks or Hispanics, or illegal immigrants).

    The GOP vision (tax cuts for the rich, deep cuts in social spendingjust call them

    entitlements - and no cuts in military spending) is neither Christian nor American.

    If Martin Luther King were alive today, guess what he would say? I had a dream.

    And that dream is turning into a nightmare!

    So, please VOTE and make a wise choice. It is YOUR future and the American

    dream that is at stake. To me the choice is clear and I have spoken my mind.

    I bear no malice in my heart. Life, liberty, freedom, and the pursuit of happiness -

    like our founding fathers envisioned - belong to all. But it is also time for some

    serious soul searching and some plain speakingespecially after Hurricane Sandy.

    If Christie and Bloomberg can do it, so can the rest of us.

    Very sincerely

    V. Laxmanan

    November 1, 2012.

    Why Mitt Lost

    He couldnt separate himself from the Republican Partys growing

    extremism.

    ByJacob Weisberg| Posted Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2012, at 3:24 AM ET

    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_co

    uldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.html

    http://www.slate.com/authors.jacob_weisberg.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.jacob_weisberg.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.jacob_weisberg.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/the_big_idea/2012/11/why_romney_lost_he_couldn_t_separate_himself_from_the_republican_party_s.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/authors.jacob_weisberg.html
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    Electoral College Tie with switch in CO, CT and ME

    The 11 States where Romney plans to

    campaign in the final days are placed in

    Other column. Obama leads without themand wins if these 11 states go Democratic.

    Scenario 2

    The Nightmare!

    State EC Votes Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican

    AL 9 9 9

    AK 3 3 3

    AZ 11 11 11

    AR 6 6 6

    CA 55 55 55

    CO 9 9 9

    CT 7 7 7

    DE 3 3 3DC 3 3 3

    FL 29 29 29

    GA 16 16 16

    HI 4 4 4

    ID 4 4 4

    IL 20 20 20

    IN 11 11 11

    IO 6 6 6

    KS 6 6 6

    KY 8 8 8

    LA 8 8 8

    ME 2 2 2

    ME1 1 1 1

    ME2 1 1 1

    MD 10 10 10

    MA 11 11 11

    MI 16 16 16

    MN 10 10 10

    MS 6 6 6

    MO 10 10 10

    MT 3 3 3NE 2 2 2

    NE1 1 1 1

    NE2 1 1 1

    NE3 1 1 1

    NV 6 6 6

    NH 4 4 4

    NJ 14 14 14

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    NM 5 5 5

    NY 29 29 29

    NC 15 15 15

    ND 3 3 3

    OH 18 18 18

    OK 7 7 7OR 7 7 7

    PA 20 20 20

    RI 4 4 4

    SC 9 9 9

    SD 3 3 3

    TN 11 11 11

    TX 38 38 38

    UT 6 6 6

    VT 3 3 3

    VA 13 13 13

    WA 12 12 12WV 5 5 5

    WI 10 10 10

    WY 3 3 3

    Total 538 204 188 146 269 269

    If CT turns RED, inexplicably, and CO goes BLUE, and both the ME Congressional districts

    go for the GOP, we will have an EC tie. Can CT flip to the RED column?

    An alternative scenario for a Romney win is GOP taking MN with the rest of scenario 2

    remaining in effect. In all these scenarios OH and PA are irrelevant to the Presidential win.

    Since this was posted, Over the past few days, its become clear that Romney is trying to build

    a winning path with or without Ohios 18 electoral votes. Obama has had a slight but persistent

    edge in most polls. No Republican candidate has won the presidency without winning Ohio.

    http://news.yahoo.com/romneys-path-win-indies-stoke-no-errors-193739014--election.html

    The simplest election reform that will ensure a more popular

    vote like outcome is for more states to split their EC votes (say

    up to 50%) by Congressional districts, just like Maine (ME)and Nebraska (NE) have done. The simple EC tallies

    illustrated here show how the election outcome will get quite

    complicated if such a reform is instituted. In fact, it is so

    simple that it could be accomplished for the 2016 elections.

    http://news.yahoo.com/romneys-path-win-indies-stoke-no-errors-193739014--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/romneys-path-win-indies-stoke-no-errors-193739014--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/romneys-path-win-indies-stoke-no-errors-193739014--election.html
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    Once Texas and Florida turn BLUE, due to inevitable

    demographic trends, the GOP will not be able to win any

    future Presidential elections.

    ****************************************************

    Election Results (Projected EC Votes) on November 6, 2012

    Winner declared WITHOUT vote counts in AK and HI

    State EC

    Votes

    EC Votes

    (Dem)

    EC Votes

    (Rep)

    Popular Vote

    (Dem)

    Popular Vote

    (Rep)

    Diff. in Pop.

    Vote (for Dem)

    AL 9 9 753,611 1,204,738 -451,127

    AK 3 3AZ 11 11 638,536 825,228 -186,692

    AR 6 6 355,476 582,902 -227,426

    CA 55 55 2,092,953 1,684,881 408,072

    CO 9 9 1,008,293 952,522 55,771

    CT 7 7 648,987 480,001 168,986

    DE 3 3 252,547 165,476 87,071

    DC 3 3

    FL 29 29 4,049,171 3,987,660 61,511

    GA 16 16 1,717,669 2,010,928 -293,259

    HI 4 4

    ID 4 4 55,822 117,775 -61,953IL 20 20 2,830,342 2,019,562 810,780

    IN 11 11 1,125,275 1,392,497 -267,222

    IO 6 6 739,946 664,978 74,968

    KS 6 6 380,007 572,992 -192,985

    KY 8 8 679,105 1,086,970 -407,865

    LA 8 8 751,659 1,135,533 -383,874

    ME 2 2 264,467 183,349 81,118

    ME1 1 1

    ME2 1 1

    MD 10 10 1,464,345 889,022 575,323

    MA 11 11 1,745,432 1,071,424 674,008MI 16 16 1,686,081 1,401,399 284,682

    MN 10 10 980,446 911,535 68,911

    MS 6 6 471,683 610,272 -138,589

    MO 10 10 1,163,343 1,446,788 -283,445

    MT 3 3 44,021 54,843 -10,822

    NE 2 2 266,657 432,720 -166,063

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    NE1 1 1

    NE2 1 1

    NE3 1 1

    NV 6 6 427,370 368,286 59,084

    NH 4 4 311,131 280,197 30,934

    NJ 14 14 1,854,308 1,284,856 569,452NM 5 5 342,916 277,031 65,885

    NY 29 29 3,036,362 1,882,348 1,154,014

    NC 15 15 2,175,557 2,271,415 -95,858

    ND 3 3 119,558 177,448 -57,890

    OH 18 18 2,631,001 2,542,132 88,869

    OK 7 7 417,397 842,746 -425,349

    OR 7 7 608,636 486,309 122,327

    PA 20 20 2,857,694 2,570,559 287,135

    RI 4 4 262,464 146,295 116,169

    SC 9 9 664,467 888,544 -224,077

    SD 3 3 130,499 194,611 -64,112TN 11 11 942,730 1,435,912 -493,182

    TX 38 38 3,049,495 4,335,814 -1,286,319

    UT 6 6 148,953 417,377 -268,424

    VT 3 3 177,027 81,728 95,299

    VA 13 13 1,768,382 1,706,788 61,594

    WA 12 12 1,034,453 802,526 231,927

    WV 5 5 225,774 396,943 -171,169

    WI 10 10 1,218,265 1,102,292 115,973

    WY 3 3 63,151 154,492 -91,341

    Total 538 332 206 50,633,464 50,532,644 100,820

    Obama re-elected by the EC and Popular Votes; Pop. Votes from FOX News 11/6/2012

    See also results at http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/

    CNN Projected Obama Re-elected at 11:25 PM, I projected Obama winning

    at 11:00 PM based on his holding on to the lead in OH, FL, and CO.

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-

    second-term-fox-news-projects/

    http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/
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    Obama Projected as Winner, Romney

    Campaign Not Yet Ready to Concede (11:51 PM)

    Obama defeats Romney to win second term, Fox News projects

    Read more:http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6

    The following fromhttp://news.msn.com/politics/election-day-2012-obama-romney

    Barack Obama won:Virginia,Nevada,Wisconsin,Oregon,Colorado,Iowa,New

    Mexico,California, Hawaii,Washington,Minnesota,New Hampshire,

    Pennsylvania(Romney had made a last-ditch effort to secure a win in

    Pennsylvania in the final days of the campaign),New Jersey,New York,

    Michigan, Vermont,Delaware,District of Columbia,Maine,Maryland,

    Massachusetts,Connecticut,Rhode Island,andIllinois.

    Mitt Romney won:Arizona,Arkansas,Georgia,Idaho,Indiana,Kansas,

    Kentucky,Louisiana,Mississippi,Missouri,Nebraska(four of the five electoral

    votes),North Carolina,North Dakota,Oklahoma,South Carolina,Tennessee,

    South Dakota,Texas,Utah,West Virginia,Wyoming

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/06/obama-defeats-romney-to-win-second-term-fox-news-projects/#ixzz2BVbfXvL6http://news.msn.com/politics/election-day-2012-obama-romneyhttp://news.msn.com/politics/election-day-2012-obama-romneyhttp://news.msn.com/politics/election-day-2012-obama-romneyhttp://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=VA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BVA&form=bngeex#51001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=VA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BVA&form=bngeex#51001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=VA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BVA&form=bngeex#51001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NV&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNV&form=bngeex#32510http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NV&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNV&form=bngeex#32510http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NV&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNV&form=bngeex#32510http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWI&form=bngeex#55001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWI&form=bngeex#55001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWI&form=bngeex#55001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=OR&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BOR&form=bngeex#41001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=OR&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BOR&form=bngeex#41001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=OR&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BOR&form=bngeex#41001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=CO&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BCO&form=bngeex#08001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=CO&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BCO&form=bngeex#08001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=CO&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BCO&form=bngeex#08001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=IA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BIA&form=bngeex#19001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=IA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BIA&form=bngeex#19001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=IA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BIA&form=bngeex#19001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NM&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNM&form=bngeex#35001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NM&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNM&form=bngeex#35001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NM&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNM&form=bngeex#35001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NM&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNM&form=bngeex#35001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=HI&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BHI&form=bngeex#15001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWA&form=bngeex#53001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWA&form=bngeex#53001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=WA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BWA&form=bngeex#53001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=MN&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BMN&form=bngeex#27001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=MN&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BMN&form=bngeex#27001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=MN&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BMN&form=bngeex#27001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NH&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNH&form=bngeex#33001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NH&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNH&form=bngeex#33001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NH&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNH&form=bngeex#33001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=PA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BPA&form=bngeex#42001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=PA&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BPA&form=bngeex#42001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NJ&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNJ&form=bngeex#34001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NJ&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNJ&form=bngeex#34001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NJ&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNJ&form=bngeex#34001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NY&q=elections%2B2012%2Bpresident%2BNY&form=bngeex#36001http://www.bing.com/elections/state?state=NY&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  • 7/31/2019 Are Candidates Being Superstitious About Ohio and Pennsylvania?

    14/23

    Page 14 of23

    Since this was first posted: Time to wake up GOP extremists

    http://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--

    election.html

    New York Mayor Bloomberg endorses

    Obama

    By JOSH LEDERMAN | Associated Press 22 mins ago

    WASHINGTON (AP)New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg backed President

    Barack Obama over Republican Mitt Romney on Thursday, saying the incumbent

    Democrat will bring critically needed leadership to fight climate change after theEast Coast devastation wrought by Hurricane Sandy.

    http://news.msn.com/politics/new-york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-1

    As New York continued to pick up the pieces after the superstorm devastated parts

    of the city this week, Bloomberg said Sandy had made the stakes of the election

    even clearer.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2

    http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-

    endorses-obama-193913320--election.html

    Please note that Bloomberg was critical of Obama and did call Obamas first

    term a disappointment. The following is an exact quote from the OlivierKnox article (see the second of above links).

    New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg on Thursday bemoaned President

    Barack Obama's "disappointing" first term in office. He complained the Democrat

    "devoted little time and effort" to pragmatic, centrist problem-solving while

    wielding "partisan attacks." He charged he has "embraced a divisive populist

    agenda focused more on redistributing income than creating it."

    And then the billionaire entrepreneurendorsed Obama over Mitt Romney.

    http://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/photos/mayor-michael-bloomberg-speaks-media-seward-park-high-photo-022134594.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/photos/mayor-michael-bloomberg-speaks-media-seward-park-high-photo-022134594.htmlhttp://news.msn.com/politics/new-york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-1http://news.msn.com/politics/new-york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-1http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-01/a-vote-for-a-president-to-lead-on-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-01/a-vote-for-a-president-to-lead-on-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-01/a-vote-for-a-president-to-lead-on-climate-change.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-01/a-vote-for-a-president-to-lead-on-climate-change.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/citing-climate-change-york-bloomberg-endorses-obama-193913320--election.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/nyregion/bloomberg-endorses-obama-saying-hurricane-sandy-affected-decision.html?pagewanted=2http://news.msn.com/politics/new-york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-1http://news.yahoo.com/photos/mayor-michael-bloomberg-speaks-media-seward-park-high-photo-022134594.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/york-mayor-bloomberg-endorses-obama-191824919--election.html
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    http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-

    153250132.html

    Geraldo slams GOP bloodlust over

    Benghazi

    ByDylan Stableford, Yahoo! News|The Lookout6 hrs ago

    Geraldo Rivera slammed the politicization of the attack in Benghazi, firing offa

    series of tweetswhile hunkered down at home in Edgewater, N.J., during

    Hurricane Sandy. Rivera, the Fox News contributor and "Geraldo at Large" host,

    criticized the controversy being pushed by some conservatives.

    President Obamas first term was a disappointment, like Mayor Bloomberg has

    rightly said. His second termwe do not know. But the country is at least moving

    slowly in the right direction. But, the direction that the Romneys, and especially

    the Ryans, want to take us is certainly NOT the direction we want to go.

    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_wh

    ite_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.html Why Do

    White People Think Mitt Romney Should Be President? By Tom Scocca

    A chilling article about racism works in America: Is the past is repeating itself?

    http://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-

    age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1

    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_cong

    ress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlHow to Stop

    Employers from telling workers whom to vote for?

    http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-

    colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3Battleground ColoradoEveryone is on the edge

    http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/author/dylan-stableford/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/author/dylan-stableford/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/author/dylan-stableford/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/https://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttp://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html?hpt=hp_t3http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/jurisprudence/2012/11/how_congress_can_stop_employers_from_telling_workers_how_to_vote.htmlhttp://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://inamerica.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/01/parallels-to-countrys-racist-past-haunt-age-of-obama/?hpt=hp_c1http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/scocca/2012/11/mitt_romney_white_vote_parsing_the_narrow_tribal_appeal_of_the_republican.htmlhttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttps://twitter.com/GeraldoRiverahttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/author/dylan-stableford/http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.htmlhttp://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/geraldo-benghazi-gop-bloodlust-153250132.html
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    The EC Versus the Popular Vote

    The idea of electing the President by the EC vote, as opposed to the Popular vote,

    was conceived to prevent states with large populations from dominating the

    elections. The merits of this time worn and well-established system are quite

    obvious if we consider the following 2012 Presidential election results. The table

    lists the states with 10 or more EC votes, which also have the largest populations.

    Key 2012 Presidential Election ResultsState Electoral

    College(EC)

    Votes

    Popular

    Votes(Democrat)

    Popular

    Votes(Republican)

    Diff. in

    Pop. Vote(for Dem)

    Votes

    perEC

    (Dem)

    Votes

    per EC(Rep)

    The most populous statesCalifornia, CA 55 5,581,991 3,635,571 1,946,420 35,389

    Texas, TX 38 3,294,440 4,555,799 -1,261,359 33,194

    Florida, FL 29 4,143,362 4,096,346 47,016 1,621

    New York, NY 29 3,862,281 2,211,951 1,650,330 56,908

    Illinois, IL 20 2,916,811 2,090,116 826,695 41,335

    Pennsylvania, PA 20 2,907,448 2,619,583 287,865 14,393

    Ohio, OH 18 2,686,609 2,586,467 100,142 5,563

    Georgia, GA 16 1,761,761 2,070,221 -308,460 19,279Michigan, MI 16 2,490,290 2,097,107 393,183 24,574

    North Carolina, NC 15 2,178,388 2,275,853 -97,465 6,498

    New Jersey, NJ 14 1,924,329 1,361,154 563,175 40,227

    Total 270

    The Swing States of 2012 Presidential ElectionVirginia, VA 13 1,885,188 1,772,304 112,884 8,683

    Indiana, IN 11 1,136,196 1,409,124 -272,928 24,812

    Minnesota, MN 10 1,542,915 1,320,035 222,880 22,288

    Wisconsin, WI 10 1,613,350 1,408,745 204,605 20,461

    Colorado, CO 9 1,238,490 1,125,391 113,099 12,567

    Iowa, IO 6 816,429 727,928 88,501 14,750Nevada, NV 6 528,801 462,422 66,379 11,063

    Maine, ME 4 375,904 274,257 101,647 25,412

    New Hampshire, NH 4 366,089 325,668 40,421 10,105

    Total 73

    Courtesy: Vote totals as given on November 8, 2012 at 8:00 a.m. by

    http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/

    http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/
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    Let us consider the two most populous states, California (CA) and Texas (TX). The

    Democrats took CA with 55 EC votes and the Republicans took TX with 38 EC

    votes. The difference in popular votes in CA was 1,946,420 or nearly 1.95 million.

    Since only the EC votes determine the Presidential winner, the additional popularvotes obtained by President Obama in CA CANNOT be applied, for example, to

    counteract the deficit of the popular votes in the swing state of Indiana (IN) where

    the Democrat Obama lost by only 272, 928.

    Likewise, the excess popular votes obtained by the Republican candidate Romney

    in Texas (1,261,359, or nearly 1.3 million votes) cannot be applied towards the

    deficit in Florida, for example, which was only 47,016 (as of November 8, 2012,

    with 100% reporting according tohttp://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/).

    If such a resetting of popular votes is permitted there would be literal chaos. The

    win in Indiana would be completely overshadowed if only popular vote counts

    were used. In the 2012 election, President Obama has, fortunately, won both the

    EC and popular votes handily.

    Or, consider this. The eleven (11) most populous states listed in the upper portion

    of the table have a combined 270 EC votes, enough to determine the Presidential

    winner. Obama won eight (8) of these states, with only three (3) states, with a total

    of 69 EC votes going to Romney. Likewise, of the nine (9) swing states listed in

    the lower portion of the table (OH and PA were also considered swing states but

    appear in the upper portion of the table), only one state (Indiana, IN) was won by

    Romney. The swing states include a mix of both small and big states.

    However, if the President is elected entirely by the popular vote, there would be

    NO INCENTIVE of any kind for a future Presidential candidate to campaign in

    anything but just these 20 statesor only 40% of the nation. That would seem like

    a very unfair way to pick the President.

    As it is, the 2012 Presidential winner was called by the networks around 11:30 PM

    on November 6, 2012, without any votes being counted in both Alaska and Hawaii.

    http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/
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    Also, the winner could be decided without the votes being fully counted in Florida.

    By 11 PM, with Obama holding the lead in Florida (which only briefly went to

    Romney during the counting process, the difference in favor of Romney at that

    time was about 2000 votes but it quickly changed to a 15,000 vote deficit for

    Romney), and also in OH and CO, it became obvious, at least to me, that PresidentObama would be re-elected, very comfortably, and I said so, in private emails to a

    few friends.

    The bottom line: LEAVE the EC alone.The reform needed is the splitting of

    the EC votes further by Congressional districts as is now being done in Maine

    and Nebraska. A BIG chunk of the 29 EC votes from Florida would have been

    allocated to Romney if FL were split into congressional districts. Of course, the

    same also applies elsewhere in states that are now predominantly RED states.Currently, the votes cast for the Democratic candidate are totally meaningless in

    these states. Just look at the EC map on page one. A huge chunk of the country is

    painted RED. However, the BLUE states, some of which are also highly populous,

    did decide the election this time around. That was not the case in 2000.

    Of course, everyone seems to conveniently forget that if Al Gore had won his

    home state of Tennessee (TN), he would have been declared President-elect on

    election night itself and the FL recount would have been entirely unnecessary and

    the ensuing recount chaos in Florida (FL) could have been avoided! Romney-Ryan

    lost in their home states of MA and WI while Obama-Biden won their home states

    of IL and DE. Winning in your home state does make a difference and lends

    legitimacy. May be that is where future Presidential candidates should start!

    May be Romney could focus on rebuilding the Republican Party (by providing a

    real alternate GOP vision and sharing his deepest convictions), or towards the

    privatizing of natural disaster relief efforts by eliminating the need for FEMA

    which (i.e., spending on national disasters) he felt strongly was adding to the

    national debt! Personally speaking, of all the things that were said during this

    campaign, I find that to be not just the most offensive but also the most stupid and

    downright callous of all. One can only take the free-enterprise and capitalism

    arguments so far. We are a nation of families and communities. If you dont

    believe me, just ask the victims of Hurricane Sandy who are still recovering.

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    Repeating the Obama Re-election

    Scenario

    If one considers the inevitable demographic trends, with future increases in the

    Hispanic/Latino population in the South, especially in the border states such as

    Florida, Texas, and Arizona, the future actually looks very bleak for the GOP and

    some serious soul-searching is required about the future direction of the

    Republican party. The GOP extremism in social policies (abortion, immigration,

    social spending cuts), tax policy and government spending (tax cuts for the rich, no

    cuts in military spending, gutting social spending, even spending for education, not

    to mention privatization of Social Security, Medicare, etc.) and the blatant racismof the Tea party wing will NOT take the GOP into the 21

    stcentury.

    The mere fact that President Obama could be re-elected, with the economy just

    puttering away, reflects not a victory for Obama but a failure on the part of the

    GOP to articulate an acceptable alternative vision of government. The Akins, the

    Murdochs, and yes, even the Ryans, have NO future in the GOP.

    Yes, the GOP needs another Reagan in order to win any future Presidential

    elections.

    Just take a look at the table of the most populous states (270 EC votes) and the

    swing states (73 EC votes). Of these, Obama captured 201 EC votes in the most

    populous states and 62 EC votes in the swing states for a total of 263 EC votes. All

    that a future Democrat needs to win the Presidency is another 7 EC votes. Oregon

    (OR) and/or Connecticut (CT), each having 7 EC votes, will readily make up the

    difference. Democrats simply have to focus on these states and they can continue

    to win Presidential elections forever. It is actually going to get easier for a

    Democrat to win in the future as the RED states like FL, TX, and AZ start turning

    BLUE as the demographics change.

    Fortunately, the Hispanic/Latino (and also the Asian) populations, as they settle

    and integrate into the American fabric, will start manifesting their latent

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    conservative tendencies. Actually, these communities are far more socially and

    fiscally conservative than white Americans. Herein also lies the future leadership

    of the GOP. But the task of re-defining the GOP must begin today. This also means

    bilingual credentials for any future Presidential candidate. Amigos will be most

    welcome in the new and changing America!

    A Hispanic/Latino POTUS in 2048 or 2052? Yes, quite likely!

    Interesting Correlation between the

    EC votes and Popular Vote Margin

    Figure 1: The winning popular vote margin in New York (for Obama) was

    1,650,330 votes. Dividing this by 29, the number of EC votes for NY, gives the

    56,908

    41,335

    20,461

    10,105

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    NY IL WI NH

    Winningpopularvo

    temargin

    EC Votes 29 20 10 4

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    Winning Vote Margin per EC vote mentioned in the last two columns of the above

    table. For NY it is 56,908 per EC vote. For NH, it was 10,105 votes per EC vote

    and so on. Notice the rough doubling in the winning vote margin as the EC votes

    doubled between NH, WI and IL. Also of interest is the fact that between NY, IL,

    and WI, the additional 10 EC votes required roughly an additional 20,000 votes.This translates to a roughly linear relationship between the winning popular vote

    margin and the EC votes, as seen below in Figure 2.

    ******************************************************************

    Figure 2: A nice linear trend. As the winning popular vote margin increases, the

    number of EC votes gained by the winner also increasesalmost linearly - as wesee here with the four states, NH, WI, IL, and NY with increasing EC votes. The

    slope of the line (joining NH and NY) is 5.34 EC votes per 10,000 popular votes.

    ******************************************************************

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000

    Winning popular vote margin

    ECv

    otesgainedbywinner

    NH

    NY

    IL

    WI

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    Figure 3: Using the NH-WI-IL-NY line as the basis for comparison, in Indiana

    (IN), the winner gained 11 EC votes, or one extra EC vote compared to the winner

    in Wisconsin (WI). This is also consistent with the slight increase in the winners

    popular vote margin. The winners in Pennsylvania (PA) and Texas (TX), on the

    other hand received far too many EC votes relative to their popular vote margins.

    This is due to the winner-take-all system currently in place. (Alternatively, the

    winner in IL received only 20 EC votes, the same as the winner in PA, with 26,942

    additional popular votes.)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000

    Winning popular vote margin

    ECvotesgainedbywinner TX

    PA

    IN

    IL

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    Figure 4: Using the same NH-WI-IL-NY line as the basis for comparison, the number of

    EC votes gained by the winner is plotted here as a function of the popular vote winning

    margins for the most populous states and the swing states (total of 20 states) listed in the

    table above. Eight states fall on this trend line. For the same winning vote margin, thethree states FL, TX, and CA are seen to yield disproportionately large number of EC

    votes. This is because of the winner-take-all method currently being used to award the

    EC votes. This picture will change drastically if a hybrid method is used and each state is

    divided into Congressional districts (as in Maine and Nebraska).

    Divide each state up into Congressional districts and let a maximum of 50% of the EC

    votes be awarded to the district winner. If the state has an odd number of EC votes, as

    with FL (29), award the extra EC vote (15 EC votes) to the winner of the state as a whole

    and the remaining by dividing the state up into (14 for FL) districts. For CA (55), award28 EC votes to the overall winner and 27 by dividing the state up into 27 districts, and so

    on. If the state has even number of EC votes (e.g., Michigan with 16 or Texas with 38),

    the overall winner takes 8 (for Texas 19) and the state gets divided into 8 districts (or 19

    districts for Texas). Or, have an extra district (as in NE) for the extra EC vote. Obviously,

    such a reform can be implemented without the need for any constitutional amendments.

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000

    Winning popular vote margin

    ECvotesgainedbywin

    ner