APVI State of Solar breakfast
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Transcript of APVI State of Solar breakfast
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Australian Centre for Advanced Photovoltaics
“World-leading solar technology at UNSW”
Martin A. Green
UNSW Australia
PERC
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Annual capacity increase
EPVIA, IAEA, GWEA, Bloomberg
Coal
Gas Turbines
Photovoltaics
Nuclear
Wind
Hydro
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Annual capacity increase (Bloomberg April 2015)
Bloomberg, 2013
GW GW
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Annual capacity increase (Bloomberg April 2015)
Bloomberg, 2013
GW GW
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Annual capacity increase (Bloomberg April 2015)
Bloomberg, 2013
GW GW
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Annual capacity increase (Bloomberg April 2015)
Bloomberg, 2013
GW GW
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Annual capacity increase (Bloomberg April 2015)
Bloomberg, 2013
GW GW
New York, Easter 1900
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Annual capacity increase (Bloomberg April 2015)
Bloomberg, 2013
GW GW
New York, Easter 1900
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Annual capacity increase (Bloomberg April 2015)
Bloomberg, 2013
GW GW
New York, Easter 1900
New York, Easter 1913
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Annual capacity increase (Bloomberg April 2015)
Bloomberg, 2013
GW GW
New York, Easter 1900
New York, Easter 1913
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
“Submerged” progress
25%
World’s
energy
1% World’s
electricity
Wind
PV
Nuclear
1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Insta
lled
ca
pa
city,
GW
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW 0
5
10
15
20
25
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
Eff
icie
ncy,
%
UNSW
First 20% cell
UNSW
First 20% Si cell
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
China Sunergy CTO
CSG Solar CEO
ANU Director
Tech Transfer
UNSW PV CoE/ Suntech CTO
Suntech/ Sunergy/ JA Solar/ Sunrise Global
ACAP Director)
Trina, Hanwha CTO
First 20% Si cell
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW 0
5
10
15
20
25
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
Eff
icie
ncy,
%
UNSW
First 20% cell
UNSW
25% PERC/PERL cells
PESC
PERC
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW 0
5
10
15
20
25
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
Eff
icie
ncy,
%
UNSW
First 20% cell
UNSW
25% PERC/PERL cells
PESC
PERC
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5P
ER
C c
apacity,
GW
Source: NDP Solarbuzz
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
First 20% cell
New Tyree Energy Research Building
Education
UNSW
• World’s 1st PV engineering degree
• 1st graduates 2004
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
First 20% cell
New Tyree Energy Research Building
Education
UNSW
• World’s 1st PV engineering degree
• 1st graduates 2004
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Zhengrong Shi, 12th PhD student, 1992
“First Solar Billionaire”
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Billion $ recipe
Organise Local Capital
Appoint Ex-UNSW CEO and/or CTO
Set up production linegenerate cash flow
Internationallycertify products
IPO : NYSE, NASDAQ
Billion $ company
UNSW linked (~70% Chinese product)
$3.5b
$7.6b
$0.8b
$0.4b
$2.9b
2007 : China largest PV manufacturer
$1.0b
Strong technical links to key players
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Major players in PV emergence
CHINA
AUSTRALIA
(expertise,
founders,
CTOs)
USA
($$ - NYSE,
NASDAQ)
GERMANY
(policy, market)
Cel
ls,
mod
ule
s
Sil
icon
,
equ
ipm
ent
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
Technology Hub Asia/Pacific
VP Tech
Founders COO CSO CTO
CTO
Founder ex-COO CTO
VP Tech CTO (Founders)
CTO
CTO
VP Tech. VP(US)
Senior Engineers
CTO
Head R&D
Hon. President, New Energy Labs
CTO, Founder
Photovoltaics - Electricity from Sunlight UNSW
UNSW landmark achievements
20% silicon cell 1985
20% concentrating module 1989
20% standard module 1993
20% multicrystalline cell 1998
25% silicon cell 2008
40% concentrating module 2014
30% standard module 2015?
40% standard module 2016?