April 19, 2017… · Q1 2017 Investor update | Q1 2017 Record profitability in Q1 2017 Revenue (€...

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Investor update Q1 2017 April 19, 2017

Transcript of April 19, 2017… · Q1 2017 Investor update | Q1 2017 Record profitability in Q1 2017 Revenue (€...

Page 1: April 19, 2017… · Q1 2017 Investor update | Q1 2017 Record profitability in Q1 2017 Revenue (€ million) Moving average ROI %** EBIT* (€ million) ROS %** Q1 2017 3,661 Q1 2016

Investor update Q1 2017 April 19, 2017

Page 2: April 19, 2017… · Q1 2017 Investor update | Q1 2017 Record profitability in Q1 2017 Revenue (€ million) Moving average ROI %** EBIT* (€ million) ROS %** Q1 2017 3,661 Q1 2016

Questions

Conclusion

Financial review

Operational review

Q1 2017

Agenda

Investor update | Q1 2017 2

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Record profitability in Q1 2017

Investor update | Q1 2017 3

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Significant progress continues

EBIT up 13% overall

and in all Business

Areas

Revenue up 7% overall

and in all Business

Areas

Record Q1 EBIT, ROS and ROI

Volumes

Up 4%

Share repurchase program in progress

2% revenue development

on acquisitions

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Investor update | Q1 2017 Q1 2017

Record profitability in Q1 2017

Revenue

(€ million)

Moving average

ROI %**

EBIT* (€ million) ROS %**

Q1 2017

3,661

Q1 2016

3,430

334 376

Q1 2017 Q1 2016

15.2

Q1 2017 Q1 2016

14.5

Q1 2017

10.3

Q1 2016

9.7

*EBIT = Operating income excluding identified items **ROS% = EBIT/revenue and Moving average ROI (in %) = 12 months EBIT/12 months average invested capital

Q1 2017 Q1 2016

-336 -287

Net cash from

operating activities

5

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Revenue and EBIT up in all Business Areas

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Revenue up, mainly due to higher volumes

Investor update | Q1 2017

€ million Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Δ%

Revenue 3,430 3,661 7

EBIT (Operating income excluding identified items) 334 376 13

Operating income 357 376 5

Ratio, % Q1 2016 Q1 2017

ROS* 9.7 10.3

Moving average ROI* 14.5 15.2

Increase

Decrease

Revenue development Q1 2017

-4 -2

Operational review

*ROS% = EBIT/revenue. Moving average ROI (in %) = 12 months EBIT/12 months average invested capital

-3 -2

7

2

72

4

Price/Mix

-1

Volume Total Exchange rates Acquisitions/Divestments

Announced an ambition to use

100% renewable energy and

become carbon neutral by

2050

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Decorative Paints Performance Coatings Specialty Chemicals

Volume growth overall, driven by Decorative Paints and Specialty Chemicals

AkzoNobel

2 2

-2-1

Quarterly volume development in % year-on-year

Quarterly price/mix development in % year-on-year

-2 -2-1-1

-4

-2

0

2

-3 -1

-2 -2-3

-1

-4-3 -3

-4

4

11

5

2 21

4

-2-3

-2-2-1

6

3 2

9

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

1

Operational review

2016

2017

8

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Partnership between AkzoNobel

and peace movement

MasterPeace to color 100 “Walls

of Connection”

Decorative Paints Q1 2017: Positive volumes in all regions

Investor update | Q1 2017

€ million Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Δ%

Revenue 861 922 7

EBIT (Operating income excluding identified items) 52 77 48

Operating income 52 77 48

Ratio, % Q1 2016 Q1 2017

ROS* 6.0 8.4

Moving average ROI* 12.0 13.8

Revenue development Q1 2017 Increase

Decrease

-5

3

-3

*ROS% = EBIT/revenue. Moving average ROI (in %) = 12 months EBIT/12 months average invested capital

Operational review

79

Exchange rates

1

Acquisitions/Divestments

0

Price/Mix

-3

Volume Total

9

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Performance Coatings Q1 2017: Growth across a number of segments

Investor update | Q1 2017

Increase

Decrease

Revenue development Q1 2017

€ million Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Δ%

Revenue 1,388 1,471 6

EBIT (Operating income excluding identified items) 186 187 1

Operating income 186 187 1

Ratio, % Q1 2016 Q1 2017

ROS* 13.4 12.7

Moving average ROI* 30.4 28.6

-6 -2

-2

*ROS% = EBIT/revenue. Moving average ROI (in %) = 12 months EBIT/12 months average invested capital

Operational review

62

Total Exchange rates Acquisitions/Divestments

5

Price/Mix

-1 Volume

0

10

A new research and

innovation hub opened in

Felling, UK

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Specialty Chemicals Q1 2017: Volumes up in all business units and regions

Investor update | Q1 2017

Increase

Decrease

Revenue development Q1 2017

€ million Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Δ%

Revenue 1,206 1,289 7

EBIT (Operating income excluding identified items) 164 176 7

Operating income 164 176 7

Ratio, % Q1 2016 Q1 2017

ROS* 13.6 13.7

Moving average ROI* 16.5 18.1

-3

-1 -3

*ROS% = EBIT/revenue. Moving average ROI (in %) = 12 months EBIT/12 months average invested capital

Operational review

7

2

5

Price/Mix Volume Acquisitions/Divestments Exchange rates Total

11

Imagine Chemistry initiative

generated 200 innovative ideas

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Strong financial foundation for growth and value creation

Investor update | Q1 2017 12

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Free cash flow continues to improve

Investor update | Q1 2017

€ million

Q1 2016 Q1 2017

EBITDA 487 534

Interest paid -4 -4

Tax paid -37 -88

Changes in working capital, provision* and other -538 -517

Capital expenditures (including intangible assets) -125 -128

Free cash flow, excluding pension top-up payments -217 -203

Pension top-up payments -245 -212

Free cash flow (from operations) -462 -415

Financial review

*Provisions include recurring pension contributions Free cash flow (from operations) = Net cash from operating activities minus Capital expenditures and Investment in intangibles

13

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Investor update | Q1 2017

IAS19 pension deficit €0.7 billion

Key pension financial assumptions Q1 2016 Q1 2017

Discount rate 2.4% 2.4%

Inflation rate 3.0% 3.1%

233

266

Other

(694)

Deficit end

Q1 2017

(35)

UK Buy-in

(49)

Asset return

over P &L

Inflation

on DBO

77

Discount

rates on DBO

(196)

Top-ups

Deficit end

Q4 2016

(990)

Pension deficit development in Q1 2017

€ million Decrease Increase

Financial review 14

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Investor update | Q1 2017

Further de-risking of pension liabilities including £0.3 billion non-cash buy-ins*

Various activities to reduce liabilities

£8.7 billion insurance buy-ins for UK schemes (2014-17). $0.7 billion buy-out relate to a US scheme (2013)

Active management of interest rate and inflation exposure, with around 80 percent of overall defined benefit obligation risks hedged

Almost 60 percent of longevity risk is covered by insurance contracts and hedging

Financial topics

80

6061

21

16

Longevity hedging Interest and

inflation hedging

Defined benefit

obligations

100 2

Other post-retirement benefits

ICI PF UK

Other pension plans

CPS UK

*Total year to date March 2017

15

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Investor update | Q1 2017

Concluding remarks

16

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AkzoNobel and leading global container shipping company Maersk Line signed a

strategic sustainability partnership to reduce carbon emissions per container

shipped by 10%

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More than 200 children in Egypt’s 6th of October City benefited from a major

renovation of their school’s facilities, organized as part of our Human Cities initiative

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Safety in the marine industry to be improved after AkzoNobel, oil and gas tanker

operator Barrier Group and DroneOps joined forces to develop a drone capable of

remotely inspecting enclosed spaces and ballast water tanks

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Significant progress continues

Improvement program on

track (deliver €100 - 200

million savings)

EBIT up 13% overall

and in all Business

Areas

Revenue up 7% overall

and in all Business

Areas

Record Q1 EBIT, ROS and ROI

Share repurchase

program executed

2% revenue development

on acquisitions

Volumes up 4%

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Outlook

We expect EBIT for 2017 to be around €100 million higher than 2016,

as a result of growth momentum and continuous improvement,

assuming no material change in market and economic dynamics.

We continue to anticipate positive developments for EMEA, North America and Asia,

improving during the year, while Latin America is expected to stabilize. Market trends

experienced in the second part of 2016, including for the marine and oil and gas

industries, are expected to continue during the first half of 2017.

We have structurally improved our ability to respond to developments in our markets

and continue taking appropriate measures to deal with higher raw material prices in

an inflationary environment.

Investor update | Q1 2017 21

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Safe Harbor Statement

This presentation contains statements which address such key issues as

AkzoNobel’s growth strategy, future financial results, market positions, product development, products in

the pipeline, and product approvals. Such statements should be carefully considered, and it should be

understood that many factors could cause forecasted and actual results to differ from these statements.

These factors include, but are not limited to, price fluctuations, currency fluctuations, developments in raw

material and personnel costs, pensions, physical and environmental risks, legal issues, and legislative,

fiscal, and other regulatory measures. Stated competitive positions are based on management estimates

supported by information provided by specialized external agencies. For a more comprehensive discussion

of the risk factors affecting our business please see our latest Annual Report, a copy of which can be found

on the company’s corporate website www.akzonobel.com.

Investor update | Q1 2017 22