Apresentação do PowerPoint · 2020-02-21 · BROAD COVERAGE OF MUNICIPALITIES Municipalities % of...
Transcript of Apresentação do PowerPoint · 2020-02-21 · BROAD COVERAGE OF MUNICIPALITIES Municipalities % of...
3Q19 Results
Economic-Financial Office and Investor Relations Office
DISCLAIMER
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements referring to SABESP’sbusiness outlook, operating and financial results estimates, and growth prospects. Theseare only forecasts, and as such, they are exclusively based on SABESP’s managementexpectation in relation to the future of business and its continuous access to capital tofinance the Company’s business plan. These forward-looking statements largely dependon changes in market conditions, governmental rules, industry performance and theBrazilian economy, among other factors, in addition to risks exhibited in disclosuredocuments filed by SABESP. Therefore, they are subject to changes without prior notice.
AGENDA
1 COMPANY OVERVIEW
2 OUR OPERATIONS
3 OUR FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
4 SPMR – WATER SITUATION
...ONE OF THE LARGEST WATER AND SEWAGE PROVIDERS IN THE WORLD
COMPANY OVERVIEW MAIN OPERATIONAL INDICATORS(1)
Water Sewage
Connections (million)(2) 9.9 8.3
Coverage (%) (3) 97 89
Treatment(%) (4) --- 77
Retail (in million inhabitants) 27.0 23.7
Wholesale (in million inhabitants) 1.0 0.6
IPM (%) (5) 29.4 ---
IPDt (6) 288 ---
Network (7) 80.3 55.3
SPMR water treatment capacity (8) 82.3 25.8
(1) As of September 30, 2019
(2) Active and inactive water connections. It includes Guarulhos and Santo André
(3) Services available. It includes Guarulhos and does not include Santo André
(4) Consumer units connected to the sewage treatment – It does not include Guarulhos and Santo André
(5) Micromeasured water loss
(6) Water loss – Liters/connection x day
(7) Water - includes water mains / Sewage - includes ocean outfall and trunk collectors
(8) Cubic meters per second (m³/s)
*Source: Depth Water Yearbook 2014-2015
Sabesp is one of the largest water and sewage service providers in the world based on the number of Customers*
Natural monopoly, low operating risk
Serves the City of São Paulo and 371 out of 645 municipalities in the State, covering around 69% of State's urban population
Number of employees: 14,018
4
São Paulo
Regional SystemsSPMR
73.9% ofTotal Revenue
...WITH STRONG CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE % (1)
We are a mixed capital company, majority-owned by the State of São Paulo, with significant private ownership
State Law 11,454/2003 requires the State of São Paulo to own at least 50% + 1 of Sabesp voting shares
Law nº 13,303/16 – Government-Controlled Companies Law
100% Common Shares: 683,509,869
Dividend Policy: 25% - Pay Out: 27.9%
Market Cap: R$ 33.9 billion (1)
5(1) September/2019
AGENDA
1 THE COMPANY
2 OUR OPERATIONS
3 OUR FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
4 SPMR – WATER SITUATION
90% of water volume and revenue come from residential, commercial and industrial customer
90% of sewage volume and revenue come from residential, commercial and industrial customer
DIVERSIFIED CONSUMER BASE
WATER BILLED VOLUME BY TYPE OF CUSTOMER SEWAGE BILLED VOLUME BY TYPE OF CUSTOMER
WATER REVENUES BY TYPE OF CUSTOMER* SEWAGE REVENUES BY TYPE OF CUSTOMER*
7*Managerial information
Residential 83%
Commercial 9%
Industrial 2%
Public 2%
Wholesale 4%
Residential 85%
Public 2%
Wholesale 1%
Commercial 10%
Industrial 2%
Residential 63%
Commercial 21%
Industrial 5%
Public 7%
Wholesale 4%
Residential 60%
Commercial 25%
Industrial 6%
Public 8%
Wholesale 1%
BROAD COVERAGE OF MUNICIPALITIES
Municipalities% of Total Revenues
(9M19)Remaining Period
(Years)
São Paulo 43.6 21
São Bernardo do Campo 3.1 40
Guarulhos (1) 2.4 39
Praia Grande 2.1 29
Osasco 1.9 10
Santos 1.8 26
São José dos Campos 1.6 19
Barueri 1.5 26
Diadema 1.2 25
Itaquaquecetuba 1.0 28
Total 10+ / Avg. 60.0 26
TOP 10 CONTRACTS
Municipality of São Paulo
Expires in 2040. Transfer of 7.5% of the Gross Revenue* to the Municipal Fundfor Environmental Sanitation and Infrastructure
Minimum investment of 13% of the Gross Revenue, net of Cofins and Pasep
Municipality of Guarulhos**
Expires in 2058. Transfer of 4% of the Gross Revenue to the Municipal Fund for Environmental Sanitation and Infrastructure
Investment of R$ 3.3 bilhões over 40 years
Municipality of Santo André**
Expires in 2059. Transfer of 4% of the Gross Revenue to Municipal Fund for Environmental Sanitation and Infrastructure
Investment of R$ 917 milion over 40 years
* Excluiding: (i) COFINS and PASEP taxes and (ii) unpaid bills of publicly owned properties in the city of São Paulo
** Guarulhos and Santo André contracts have debt guarantee that are suspended in court duringthe contractual term
(1) Program and Service Contract from 2007 to Sep/2019
CONTRACTUAL BASE
MAIN CONTRACTS
8
Nº Municipalities % of Revenue
2019 2018 2017 2019 2018 2017
Renewed / Secured (1) 319 304 285 92.1 81.2 81.7
Metropolitan Region Without Contract 16 25 35 2.5 6.6 9.1
Expired Contracts / Under Negotiation 9 10 16 0.8 2.6 1.2
To be expired (2019 - 2025) 3 4 05 0.2 1.1 0.2
To be expired (2026 - 2030) 25 27 27 3.8 7.1 6.3
Total Retail 372 370 368 99.4 98.7 98.5
Wholesale 3 4 5 0.6 1.3 1.5
Total Sabesp 375 374 375 100.0 100.0 100.0
(1) Operation started in January 2019 / Considers 50% of sewage revenue
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
State Law
11,454 /2003
Federal Law 11,445/2007
Judged by the Supreme Court in
2013
Bill of Law 4,162/2019
State Government of São Paulo – Controlling Shareholder
State law requires the State of São Paulo to own at least 50% + 1 voting shares at all times
Sanitation Regulatory Framework
Obligation to install the service regulation → Municipal, State level or Consortium
Clarifies the payment conditions of non-amortized investments → up to 4 years
Disbursement of federal funds conditioned to the existence of a contract
Concession Power
Sanitation services in metro regions are subject to shared responsibility between State and Municipality (judged by the Supreme Court in 2013)
If not metro region, concession power belongs to the municipality
Revision of Sanitation Regulatory Framework
The Bill of Law proposed by the Federal Government was approved by the Lower House
Next step will be the approval of the Senate
If changes are made in the Senate, the Bill of Law will return to the Lower House for its final revision
9
TARIFF REVIEW
METHODOLOGY OF TARIFF REVIEW (PRICE CAP)
10
TaxesRequired Revenue
Average
Tariff (P0)
Output of
the Model
= + +
Income Tax
Revenue
Taxes
OPEX +
Personnel
Energy
Materials
Others
Water
Sewage
Others
RABt –RAB0
Initial Asset Base
(-) Depreciation
(+) WK Variation
(+) Capex
Asset
Useful LifeSabesp 4 year Business Plan
+
Arsesp Review
CAPEX
Billed
Volume
W
A
C
C
(8,11%)
ORDINARY TARIFF REVISION (OTR)
(1) Regulatory Asset Base
1ª OTR 2ª OTR
April/2013 – April/2017 April/2017 – April/2021
RAB (R$ Billion)(1) 26.7 39.0
WACC (%) 8.06 8.11
Fator X (%) 0.9386 0.6920
TARIFF READJUSTMENTS AND REVISIONS
READJUSTMENTS AND REVISIONS INDEXES
11
Pass-through to tariff of values transferred to Municipal Infrastructure Funds limited to 4% Resolution 870 of May 13, 2019
General Quality Index (effective in 2020) Resolution 898 of August 11,2019
PDI - Quadrennial Research and Technological Development Program for Innovation (to be applied on tariffs in 2020) Resolution 920 ofNovember 11, 2019
Methodology for Updating the RAB (3rd OTR) Resolution 941 ofDecember 13, 2019
Tariff Structure Revision → Forecast: December of 2020
Schedule of stages of 3rd OTR Forecast: 1st half 2020
OTR- Ordinary Tariff Revision
ETR- Extraordinary Tariff Revision
2015 - Readjustment + Residual + ETR = 15.24%
IPCA Index – Between the readjustement/revision periods
Productivity
Factor
(0.6920%)New Average
Tariff= 1
Inflation
(IPCA)
100x Previous
Average Tariff
QualityFactor*
-
+
ANNUAL TARIFF ADJUSTMENT FORMULA
+/-
REGULATORY SCHEDULE - ARSESP
*To be applied on tariffs in 2020
Add 954 thousand new connections by 2023
Add 1.2 million new connections by 2023
Coverage: from 90% in 2018 (89% 9M19) to 93% in 2023*
Treatment: from 76% in 2018 (77% 9M19) to 84% in 2023
WATER AND SEWAGE OPERATIONS
WATER CONNECTION EVOLUTION (million) WATER COVERAGE (Connection in 000’s)
SEWAGE CONNECTION EVOLUTION (million) SEWAGE COVERAGE (´000s)
12
Guarulhos Santo André
8.3* It includes Guarulhos
9.9
Guarulhos Santo André
Metropolitan Water Program
Tietê Project
Corporate Program for Water Loss Reduction
Clean Stream Program
Clean Wave Program
New Pinheiros River Project
CAPEX AND FINANCING
CAPEX PLAN OF R$ 18.7 BILLION FROM 2019 TO 2023
FINANCING MAIN PROGRAMS
(*) Book Value – Includes non-cash items
(**) Book Value – Items that affected cash
Additional information is presented in
Note 31 of the 3Q19 Financial Information
13
Financial Values (in R$ million)
3.735*
1.917**
AGENDA
1 COMPANY OVERVIEW
2 OUR OPERATIONS
3 OUR FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
4 SPMR – WATER SITUATION
CDI 14%
TR 13%
TJLP 10%IPCA 11%
PREFIXED (Dóllar) 11%
PREFIXED (Yen)17%
LIBOR 24%JICA 16%IBRD 3%
IADB 19%
Foreign Loans 1%
Eurobond 11%
Debentures(Cap. Market)
23%
BNDES 11%
CEF 12%
Others 4%
LONG TERM AND LOW COST FUNDING
DEBT AMORTIZATION PROFILE (R$ million)
15
TOTAL DEBT BREAKDOWN DEBT BY INDEXOR
Local Currency – 50.8%
Foreign Currency – 49.2%
Nominal Average Cost of DebtLocal 7.10%
Foreign 3.47%General 5.22%
CONSISTENT PERFORMANCES
NET REVENUE (R$ million) NET INCOME (R$ million)
ADJUSTED EBITDA* (R$ million)
Adjusted EBITDA / Adjusted EBITDA Margin Without Construction – LTM 16
DIVIDEND / PAY OUT
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Dividend (R$) 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.2 1.0 1.2
Pay Out (%) 27.9 27.9 27.9 27.9 27.9 27.9
Outstanding Shares* 683.5 683.5 683.5 683.5 683.5 683.5
* Million
HISTORICAL LEVERAGE (R$ million)
ADJUSTED TOTAL DEBT VS. ADJUSTED EBITDA* ADJUSTED EBITDA* VS. FINANCIAL EXPENSES**
NET DEBT VS. ADJUSTED EBITDA*
* Adjusted EBITDA – LTM / ** Financial Explosures paid - LTM / Calculated in accordance with CPCs/IFRS 17
RATINGS
AgenciesNational
ScaleGlobalScale
Standard & Poors brAAA BB-
Fitch Rating AA (bra) BB
Moody's Latam Aa2.br Ba2
18
COVENANT – ADJUSTED NET DEBT vs. EBITDA
COVENANT – ADJUSTED TOTAL DEBT vs. EBITDA
19
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS (R$ million)
20
* R$ / 000 shares
** Last 12 months
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M19
Net Revenues 7,809 8,580 9,231 9,927 10,738 11,316 11,213 11,712 14,098 14,608 16,085 13,287
Adjusted EBITDA 2,865 2,727 3,222 3,371 3,605 4,007 2,919 3,974 4,572 5,269 6,541 5,786
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 36.7 31.8 34.9 34.0 33.6 35.4 26.0 33.9 32.4 36.1 40.7 43.5
Adj. EBITDA without Constr. Margin 46.3 41.2 44.7 43.2 43.0 44.6 34.4 46.6 43.3 45.4 48.8 63.5
Net Income 863 1,508 1,630 1,381 1,912 1,924 903 536 2,947 2,519 2,835 2,310
Net Margin (%) 11.0 17.6 17.7 13.9 17.8 17.0 8.1 4.6 20.9 17.2 17.6 17.4
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M19
Total Assets 17,206 20,243 23,293 25,019 26,476 28,274 30,355 33,707 36,745 39,546 43,565 45,838
Total Debt 6,865 6,560 8,209 8,423 8,875 9,450 10,786 13,122 11,964 12,101 13,153 13,667
Short-term Debt 1,449 1,010 1,240 1,629 1,343 641 1,207 1,526 1,247 1,747 2,104 1,714
Long-Term Debt 5,416 5,548 6,970 6,794 7,533 8,809 9,579 11,595 10,718 10,354 11,049 11,953
Foreign Currency Debt 2,281 1,746 2,249 3,053 3,216 3,699 4,346 6,618 5,660 5,673 6,669 6,729
Shareholders' Equity 6,758 8,439 9,682 10,546 11,257 12,931 13,304 13,717 15,419 17,513 19,552 21,802
Total Debt/Total Cap. (%) 50.4 43.7 45.9 44.4 44.1 42.2 44.8 48.9 43.7 40.9 40.2 38.5
Investments 1,734 2,059 2,194 2,440 2,536 2,716 3,211 3,482 3,878 3,388 4,177 3,735
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M19
Dividend Declared (R$/ share) 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.5 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.2 1.0 1.2 -
Pay Out (%) 34.3 26.1 28.0 47.3 27.9 27.9 27.9 27.9 27.9 27.9 27.9 -
Dividend Yield (%) 4.7 5.0 4.7 4.9 2.7 3.0 2.2 1.2 4.2 3.0 3.8 -
Outstanding shares (million) 227.8 227.8 227.8 227.8 227.8 683.5 683.5 683.5 683.5 683.5 683.5 683.5
AGENDA
1 COMPANY OVERVIEW
2 OUR OPERATIONS
3 OUR FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
4 SPMR – WATER SITUATION
22
SPMR – WATER SITUATION (01/31/2020)
AVERAGE PRODUCTION (m³/s)
VOLUME STORAGE (%)
PRODUCTION SYSTEMS – AVERAGE PRODUCTION (m³/s)
Production Systems 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Cantareira 32.6 23.7 14.1 22.0 25.0 23.9 23.9
Guarapiranga 13.6 14.2 14.9 13.9 13.3 13.4 12.7
Alto Tietê 12.0 13.8 12.1 11.7 11.8 12.9 14.3
Rio Claro 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.4 3.1
Rio Grande 4.8 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.3
Alto Cotia 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2
Baixo Cotia 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.2
Riberão Estiva 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
São Lourenço 1.6 3.1
Total 69.0 62.2 52.0 58.5 60.6 60.9 62.6
WATER INFLOW (m³/s)
SPMR – WATER SITUATION
WATER SUPPLY SYSTEM STRONGER THAN BEFORE THE WATER CRISIS OF 2014/2015
RESERVOIRS 2013 2019 Var. %
Reservoirs (water right) (m³/s) 70.4 80.3 14%
Maximum storage capacity (hm³)(without the technical reserve)
1,816 1,945 7%
Transfers between reservoirs (m³/s) 13.2 35.4 168%
PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION 2013 2019 Var. %
Urban population in the area served (source: SEADE) 20.1 20.9 3.6%
730,000 inhab.
Total water treatment capacity (m³/s) 73.4 82.3 12%
Water production systems 8 9 -
Average monthly production (m³/s) 69.1 62.3 (10%)
Average residential consumption (m³/month) 13.0 10.6 (18%)
Treated water transfers between the systems (m³/s) Up to 3 Up to 12 300%
IPDT (water loss Liters/connection x day) in the SPMR 434 319 (27%)
23
WATER PLAN FOR SPMR – FROM 2015 TO 2019 (MAIN ACTIONS)
24
DESCRIPTION FLOW (m³/s)
PURPOSEAVAILABILITY/ SECURITY
INITIATIVES ACCOMPLISHED IN 2015Reversal increase from Guaratuba River to the Ponte Nova reservoir by 0.5 m³/s
0.5Recover the storage volume and ensure Alto Tietê's water source
Reversal from the Guaió River to the Taiaçupeba reservoir: 1 m³/s 1.0
Increase of the ABV Water Treatment Station production from 15 to 16 m³/s Transfer water from Guarapiranga to the Cantareira area via the aqueduct system
Interconnection between: Pequeno River → Grande River (Billings) → Taiaçupeba (Alto Tietê) 4 m³/s
4.0Recover the storage volume and ensure the Alto Tietê reservoirTransfer water to Cantareira’s area
1 m³/s transfer increase from Taquacetuba to Guarapiranga (from 4 to 5 m³/s)
1.0Ensure Guarapiranga's water sourceTransfer water to Cantareira’s area
TOTAL 2015 6.5
INITIATIVES ACCOMPLISHED IN 2018Jaguari → Atibainha Interconnection: 5.13 m³/s to the Cantareira system (security increase)
5.1Recover storage volume and ensure the Cantareira System's water source
São Lourenço Production System: 6.4 m³/s 6.4 Produce 6.4 m³/s for the Greater São Paulo's western region
TOTAL 2018 11.5
INITIATIVE PLANNED FOR 2020
Reversal from Itapanhaú River (Ribeirão Sertãozinho) to the Biritiba reservoir 2.0 Recover the storage volume and assure Alto Tietê's water source
TOTAL 2019 2.0
TOTAL 2015 – 2019 20.0
SPMR – WATER SITUATION
January 9, 2020
www.sabesp.com.br
IR Contacts
Mario Azevedo de Arruda Sampaio Angela Beatriz AiroldiHead of Capital Markets and IR Investor Relations [email protected] [email protected]+55 (11) 3388-8664 +55 (11) 3388-8793