Applying Gann’s Trading Methodologies to Your Markets · Magic Word (1950) Trading vs....

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Applying Gann’s Trading Methodologies to Your Markets Hima Reddy, CMT

Transcript of Applying Gann’s Trading Methodologies to Your Markets · Magic Word (1950) Trading vs....

Page 1: Applying Gann’s Trading Methodologies to Your Markets · Magic Word (1950) Trading vs. Forecasting ... •Review Gann’s Buying/Selling Point description •Translation of point

Applying Gann’s Trading Methodologies to Your Markets

Hima Reddy, CMT

Page 2: Applying Gann’s Trading Methodologies to Your Markets · Magic Word (1950) Trading vs. Forecasting ... •Review Gann’s Buying/Selling Point description •Translation of point

Disclaimer

The information presented in this Webinar consists of shared thoughts and ideologies, not trading advice. Although Hima Reddy is a Chartered Market Technician and strives to use sound technical analysis, her views and opinions are her own and not in any way those of the Market Technicians Association. Trade securities at your own risk.

Page 3: Applying Gann’s Trading Methodologies to Your Markets · Magic Word (1950) Trading vs. Forecasting ... •Review Gann’s Buying/Selling Point description •Translation of point

William Delbert Gann

Truth of the Stock Tape (1923) Tunnel Thru the Air (1927) Wall Street Stock Selector (1930) New Stock Trend Detector (1936) How to Make Profits Trading in Puts and Calls (1937) Face Facts America (1940) How to Make Profits Trading in Commodities (1941) 45 Years in Wall Street (1949) Magic Word (1950)

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Trading vs. Forecasting

Gann’s Trading Methodologies include: - Retracements (eighths) - Buying and Selling points - Distinct Trade Management rules Gann’s Forecasting Methodologies include: - Angles - Natural Squares - Cycles

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Trading Methodologies: Phases of a Trade

I. Trend Assessment

II. Signal observation

III. Risk assessment

IV. Order placement

V. Trade initiation

VI. Trade management

VII. Trade exit

VIII. Review

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II. Signal Observation

• Review Gann’s Buying/Selling Point description

• Translation of point into visual aids

• Market example

- Double Bottom

- Exceeding Move in Price

- Rapid Move

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Double Bottom

• Gann Buying Point #8: BUY against double or triple bottoms, or buy on first, second, or third higher bottom and buy a second lot after wheat, soybeans, or cotton makes second or third higher bottom, then crosses previous top.

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Double Bottom

AMX (America Movil stock), weekly, as of December 10, 2010

(10/18/07)

(10/24/08) (3/2/09)

(1/6/09)

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Double Bottom – A Closer Look

(2/10/09)

(2/26/09)

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Double Bottom – Possible Entry Points

AMX (America Movil stock), daily, as of June 30, 2009

(3/30/09)

(4/27/09)

(5/15/09)

(6/23/09)

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Exceeding Move in Price Gann Selling Point #3: SAFEST SELLING POINT. Sell on a secondary

rally after wheat, soybeans, cotton, or any commodity has broken the previous bottoms of several weeks or has broken the bottom of the last reaction, turning trend down. This secondary rally nearly always comes after the first sharp decline in the first section of the Bear Campaign.

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Exceeding Move in Price

JNPR (Juniper Networks stock), daily, as of July 23, 2009

(8/11/06)

(10/9/07)

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Exceeding Move in Price

JNPR (Juniper Networks stock), daily, as of February 11, 2008

(8/16/07)

(11/21/07)

(12/24/07)

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Rapid Move

Gann Buying Point #9: BUYING RULES FOR RAPID ADVANCES AT HIGH LEVELS. In the last stages of a Bull Market in a commodity, reactions are small. Buy on 2-day reactions and follow up with STOP LOSS ORDER 1 cent to 2 cents under each day’s low level. Then when the low of a previous day is broken, you will be out. Markets sometimes run 10 to 30 days without breaking low of previous day.

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Rapid Move

SN12 (Soybean futures, July 2012 contract), daily, as of March 3, 2012

(2/16/12)

(2/29/12)

(2/13/12)

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Application of Gann’s Principles

Using Gann’s favorite numbers

- 50%

Applying Gann’s methods to commonly used technical analysis tools

- RSI

- Williams %R

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50% of Time

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50% of Time

PFE (Pfizer, Inc. stock), weekly, as of September 16, 2011

(3/2/09)

(1/10/10)

(7/1/10)

(11/29/10)

(5/31/11)

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Oscillators - RSI

SBK12 (Sugar No. 11 futures, May 2012 contract), daily, as of March 23, 2012

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Oscillators – Williams % R

PBI (Pitney Bowes stock), weekly, as of September 30, 2011

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Hima Reddy, CMT

[email protected]

(917) 674-4462

www.himareddy.com