Applied Population Biology -...
Transcript of Applied Population Biology -...
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Applied Population Biology
Brook Milligan
Department of BiologyNew Mexico State University
Las Cruces, New Mexico [email protected]
Fall 2009
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
References
Questions of Importance to Thorough Conservation Plans
How should one determine if a specific conservation plan islikely to succeed?
Given that natural populations generally fluctuate, how canadditional disturbance caused by human activities bymeasured?
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
What habitat requirements exist?How variable is the environment?What human activities influence the environment?
Distribution
Biotic interactions
Morphology
Physiology
Demography
Behavior
Genetics
Human interaction
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
References
Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
Distribution
How are individuals distributed within their habitat?Is new habitat colonized?Does movement or migration occur among habitat patches?
Biotic interactions
Morphology
Physiology
Demography
Behavior
Genetics
Human interaction
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
Distribution
Biotic interactions
What interspecific interactions exist?How have human activities influenced interspecificinteractions?
Morphology
Physiology
Demography
Behavior
Genetics
Human interaction
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
Distribution
Biotic interactions
Morphology
What is the shape, size, color of body parts?What is the function of body parts?Is there geographic variation in morphology?
Physiology
Demography
Behavior
Genetics
Human interaction
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
Distribution
Biotic interactions
Morphology
Physiology
What energy, water, and mineral requirements exist?How is environmental stress managed?
Demography
Behavior
Genetics
Human interaction
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
Distribution
Biotic interactions
Morphology
Physiology
Demography
What is the current population size, how has it changed in thepast?How might population size change in the future?
Behavior
Genetics
Human interaction
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
References
Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
Distribution
Biotic interactions
Morphology
Physiology
Demography
Behavior
What behaviors of an individual allows it to survive andreproduce?How do individuals interact with each other?
Genetics
Human interaction
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
Distribution
Biotic interactions
Morphology
Physiology
Demography
Behavior
GeneticsHow much variation exists in morphological, physiological, andbehavioral traits?How much of that variation is influenced by genetic differencesamong individuals?What fraction of the genome is variable and how variable isthe variable component?
Human interaction
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
References
Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
Distribution
Biotic interactions
Morphology
Physiology
Demography
Behavior
Genetics
Human interaction
How do human activities influence the species?What is known by local people?
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
References
Answers Require Information of Many Sorts
Environment
Distribution
Biotic interactions
Morphology
Physiology
Demography
Behavior
Genetics
Human interaction
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
References
Sources of Information
Published scientific literature
Agency and NGO reports
Fieldwork and monitoringinventories
count of individuals presenttypically covers all individuals
surveys
repeatable sampling design to estimate population sizetypically covers subset of individuals
demography
histories of known (e.g., marked) individualsestimates of growth, survival, and reproductionprojections of population structure possible
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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Using Information to Improve Managaement:Population Viability Analysis (PVA)
Need: quantify outcome under “what if . . . ” conditions
Mathematical population model, including management-basedparameters
Exploration of parameter space: alternative managementoptions
Quantitative assessment of alternative management scenariosin terms of
mean time to an event
extinctionreach a management goal
probability of an event within N years
extinctionpopulation size above or below a threshold
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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PVA Example: Caretta caretta
Declining loggerhead turtle(Caretta caretta)populations
Major mortality of eggs andhatchlings
Extensive effort managingnesting beaches
Is this the rightmanagement strategy?
Are there other managementactions that would bebetter?
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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PVA Example: Pedicularis furbishiae
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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PVA Example: Pedicularis furbishiae
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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PVA Example: Pedicularis furbishiae
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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PVA Example: Pedicularis furbishiae
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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PVA Example: Pedicularis furbishiae
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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PVA Example: Pedicularis furbishiae
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
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Metapopulations
Defining characteristic
shifting mosaic of populations (= subpopulations)linked to some degree by migrationlocally extinct subpopulations are recolonized
Types of metapopulations
equivalent, short-lived populations: e.g., Pedicularis furbishiaesource, sink populations with extinction
one of more large, persistent population(s)remaining small, transient populationsrecolonization of extinct transient populations by colonistsfrom perstent population
source, sink populations with rescue: e.g., California peregrinefalcons
one of more large, persistent population(s)remaining small, not transient, but not self-sufficientpopulationssmall populations rescued by colonists from large population
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology
References
Menges, E. S. 1990. Population viability analysis for anendangered plant. Conservation Biology, 4:52–62.
Brook Milligan Applied Population Biology