Apple inc investment Analysis and Recommendations
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Transcript of Apple inc investment Analysis and Recommendations
Investment Analysis Paper on Apple Inc.
Elijah Clark
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Investment Analysis Paper on Apple Inc.
Apple Inc. (Apple) is a registered publicly traded company established in 1977 and is
currently headquartered in Cupertino, California (Apple Inc., 2015a). The company’s products
and services include mobile communication and media devices, portable digital music players,
personal computers, software, accessories, services, networking solutions, and third-party digital
content and applications. The company sells its products and digital services worldwide through
online media, direct sales force, retail stores, through third-party wholesalers, and cellular
network carriers. The company sells directly to consumers, small and mid-sized businesses,
educational institutions, enterprises, and government agencies. The company’s operations are
based in the Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and retail. In 2014, the company’s direct
and indirect distribution sales channels accounted for 28% and 72% of total net sales (Apple Inc.,
2015a). The unit sales, which consisted of the iPhone, iPad, Mac, and iPod products, was
270,446 million units total within the company’s fiscal year (Apple Inc., 2015a).
Board of Directors
The 2015 proxy statement of Apple stated that the company annually selects its board of
directors, which currently has 10 board members (Apple Inc., 2015a). Shareholders elect board
of directors and the Board periodically reviews the structure of leadership (Apple Inc., 2015a;
Ross, Westerfield & Jaffe, 2013). The Apple proxy includes the biographical details including
qualifying skills, qualities, attributes, and experience of each nominee (Apple Inc., 2015a). The
proxy also contains information regarding how the Board member selection takes place (Apple
Inc., 2015a).
Monitoring Potential of the Firm's Board of Directors
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The Board consists of a diverse group of leaders with backgrounds in senior leadership,
finances, compliance, and risk management. With the exception of the CEO, all Board members
are independent under the rules of NASDAQ and SEC (Apple Inc., 2015a). The Board
committees include: (a) Audit and Finance Committee, responsible for overseeing accounting,
and reviewing financial transactions and risk management (Apple Inc., 2015a); (b)
Compensation Committee, responsible for analyzing compensation arrangements for the
executive officers, CEO, and Board (Apple Inc., 2015a); (c) Nominating Committee, responsible
for assisting the Board in making recommendations concerning members, processes, and
overseeing corporate governance (Apple Inc., 2015a); and (d) Governance Committee, which
advise and recommend matters to the board of directors.
Strengths and Weaknesses of Board Structure
Though Apple does have a Governance Committee in place, the board of directors has
strengths and weaknesses. From the perspective of the Audit Committee, it has a primary
responsibility to oversee risk management at the enterprise level (Apple Inc., 2015a). Having the
Audit Committee only monitoring the enterprise level leaves the Nominating Committee and
Compensation Committee responsible for managing their audits. It would be beneficial to have
the Audit Committee oversee all company audits so that there are no ethical concerns within
each department.
Ethical Concerns
Apple manufactures many of its products in countries with differing labor standards
where the company has less direct oversight (Apple Inc., 2015a). To solve this, Apple’s
corporate governance provides national and international employees with a Business Conduct
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Helpline to report misconduct to the Audit Committee and Finance Committee (Apple Inc.,
2015a). Apple encourages ethical behavior by providing its employees, officers, and Board with
a code of ethics (Apple Inc., 2015a). The code is available on the company’s website.
Competitive Financial Ratio Comparison
Apple’s major competitor is Microsoft Corp. (Microsoft). Microsoft offers products
including operating systems for computing devices, servers, phones, video games, online
advertising, software, management tools, and other intelligent devices (Microsoft Corporation,
2014). Apple and Microsoft are publicly traded companies and compete within similar markets
(Apple Inc., 2015a; Microsoft Corporation, 2014). The selected financial ratio comparison in
Table 1 shows the annual financial statements of Apple (Apple Inc., 2015a) and Microsoft
(Microsoft Corporation, 2014).
Table 1
Apple and Microsoft Selected Financial Information for 2014, 2013, and 2012 (in millions)
Apple Year 2014 Year 2013 Year 2012
Net income $39,510 $37,037 $41,733
Revenue $182,795 $170,910 $156,508
Assets $231,839 $207,000 $176,064
Equity $111,547 $123.549 $118,210
Microsoft Year 2014 Year 2013 Year 2012
Net income $22,074 $21,863 $16.978
Revenue $86,833 $77,849 $73,723
Assets $172,384 $142,431 $131,271
Equity $89,784 $78,944 $66,363
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DuPont Identity
The DuPont identity is a financial statement comparison that evaluates ratios of
accounting numbers (Ross et al., 2013). The DuPont breakdown calculations help determine the
potential value of the organization based on the annual financial performance (Ross et al., 2013).
The DuPont identity allows for the examination of how profit margins, asset turnover, and equity
multiplier affect return on equity (ROE) (Ross et al., 2013). The calculation used to determine
the DuPont identity is profit margins times total asset turnover times equity multiplier equals
ROE (Ross et al., 2013). Table 2 shows the DuPont identity of Apple and Microsoft over the
previous three years.
Table 2
Apple and Microsoft DuPont Identity for 2014, 2013, and 2012
ROE % Profit Margin %
AssetTurnover
EquityMultiplier
Apple Year 2014 35.42% 21.61% .79 2.08
Year 2013 29.98% 21.67% .83 1.68
Year 2012 35.30% 26.67% .89 1.49
Microsoft Year 2014 24.59% 25.42% .50 1.92
Year 2013 15.35% 28.08% .55 1.80
Year 2012 14.00% 23.03% .61 1.83
Differences and Trends
The profit margins for Apple have held relatively steady between 2013 and 2014 at
21.67% and 21.61%. Profit margins for Microsoft have fluctuated with 23.03% in 2012, 28.08%
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in 2013, and 25.42% in 2014. The equity multiplier at Apple has increased from 1.49 in 2012 to
2.08 in 2014. In addition, the company shows a decrease in profit margins, which align with
asset turnover (see Table 2). There are positive revenue increases within both Apple and
Microsoft year over year, which correspond with the growth in assets (see Table 1). Microsoft
has seen a positive trend between net income, revenue, assets, and equity, in addition to an
increase in ROE over the past three years from 14.00% in 2012 to 24.59% in 2014. Furthermore,
Microsoft has had significantly better profit margins than Apple between 2013 and 2014, with a
difference of 6.41% in 2013, and 3.81% in 2014 (see Table 2).
Growth
A dividend growth model analyzes companies that pay dividends under three conditions:
zero growth, differential growth, and constant growth (Ross et al., 2013). Organizations such as
Apple, which has corporate governance, often payout larger dividends than smaller firms
(Adjaoud & Ben-Amar, 2010). Apple has maintained a quarterly dividend payment at $0.47
current regular average per stock share in 2014 (see Table 3). The growth model uses the present
value of dividends to determine its future stock price (Ross et al., 2013). The derived stock price
would be sensitive to the applied discount rate if the dividend growth model zero growth sub-
models would remain constant (Ross et al., 2013).
Dividend Growth Model
The dividend growth model estimates future dividends as reflected in the stock
value based on the present value of those stocks (Ross et al., 2013). The growth rate of an
organization's stock reflects its earnings and dividends. Apple's quarterly dividends have
been constant at $0.47 for the year of 2014 (see Table 3).
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Table 3
Dividend and Stock Price Raw Data for Apple (in millions, except per share amounts).
Apple Year 2014
Net income $ 39,510
Equity $ 111,547
Total dividends paid $ 11,126
Outstanding shares 5,826
Earnings per share (EPS) $ 6.78
Dividends paid per share $ 1.91
Stock price as of 31 Dec 2014 $ 112.82
The overall growth rate needed to calculate the constant growth rate of dividends
uses the formula:
P= ¿k−g
( 1 )
P is the common stock investments present value. Div represents the per share dividends
expected to be paid one year from the day. The denominators k and g show the firm’s growth
rate. K is the required rate of return for equity investors, and g is the growth rate in dividends.
The formula necessary to determine the value of g is:
g = Retention ratio × ROE ( 2 )
The retention ratio is the percentage between generated and retained earnings (Ross et al.,
2013). ROE is an estimate that represents the historical ROE for the organization. The earnings
growth rate based on the assumption of a constant earnings ratio, determine the dividend growth
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rate (Ross et al., 2013). The retention ratio is necessary for determining the growth in earnings.
The formula used for calculating the retention ratio is:
Retention Ratio=Net Income−DividendsNet Income
( 3 )
Apple’s total dividend amount paid in 2014 is $1.91 per share, and the net income is
$39.51 billion (see Table 3). The retention ratio for Apple is .72 (see Table 4). The
organization’s equity is $111,547 (see Table 3). The ROE is 35.42% as determined by the
formula:
ROE=Net IncomeEquity
( 4 )
In 2014, Apple's earnings growth rate was 25.45% (see Table 4). Consequently, the
growth results showcased present a feasibly expected growth rate for the organization.
Table 4
Growth Rate for Apple
Analysis Formula Year 2014
ROE Net income / Equity 35.42%
Retention ratio 1 – (dividends / net income) .72
Earnings growth rate Retention ratio x ROE 25.45%
Price to earnings ratio Market value per Share / Earnings per Share
19.37%
Issues with Using the Growth Model
Utilizing a growth model requires an enormous amount of speculation to forecast future
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dividends. In the case of Apple, while the company has been providing a constant and positive
dividend payout, it has only been steady and constant since 2013. Predicting the future value of
the dividend can be tricky considering Apple’s scattered dividend payout history. The company
constantly began paying quarterly dividends in May of 1987 until November of 1995 (Apple
Inc., 2015b). Between 1995 and 2013, there were only two payout periods, which were in 2012
(Apple Inc., 2015b). The growth model does not predict whether this non-paying growth gap will
occur again.
Reasonableness of Constant Growth
The dividend discount model according to Foerster & Sapp (2005) is unique from the
dividend growth model. In addition, the Gordon growth model and dividend discount model
constant growth sub-model have indistinguishable formulas (Foerster & Sapp, 2005; Ross et al.,
2013). As a result, the dividend growth model and dividend discount model formulas are unique
(Foerster & Sapp, 2005; Ross et al., 2013). By calculating the dividend growth model and
dividend discount model, Apple will continue at a constant growth within the coming years.
Annual Report
The company believes that research and development (R&D) along with marketing and
advertising (M&A) are critical to the development and sale of its products and technologies
(Apple Inc., 2015a). To satisfy the consumers, the company uses a growth strategy that targets
individuals, businesses, enterprises, educational institutions, and government agencies (Apple
Inc., 2015a). Apple is operationally an industry leader in product innovation, consumer loyalty,
and brand awareness. Apple’s competitors are exploring similar growth strategies by providing
products and services at little profit, no profit, or even at a loss in order to compete with the
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company’s offerings (Apple Inc., 2015a).
The company’s future financial condition and operating results are dependent upon the
company’s ability to ensure a continual and timely flow of competitive products, services, and
innovative technologies (Apple Inc., 2015a). Projects focused on mobile communication, media
devices, personal computers, software, and accessories create real options that have an impact on
the company’s financial health (Ross et al., 2013).
Potential Real Options
There are real options available that support Apple with its strategic growth strategy. The
influence of information technology has tremendously affected the business sector (Mukherji,
2002; Kotler & Keller, 2012). Demand for innovation technology, rising competition, and rapid
technological advances are the primary drivers behind the technology industry (Mukherji, 2002).
At Apple, technology leverages the company’s ability to create unique and innovative
technological products and services. Within the highly competitive information technology
industry, Apple has room for growth by concentrating on constantly growing sectors such as
mobile communication, media devices, personal computers, software, and accessories (Apple
Inc., 2015a).
Real options and adjustments occur when new projects such as computer platforms,
mobile devices, and software have altering possibilities to adjust as technology and market
conditions change (Ross et al., 2013). Apple can utilize real options during a project to determine
an effective and strategic direction for the success of the project (Ross et al., 2013). The real
options available to Apple include expansion, abandonment, and timing opportunities for active
projects (Ross et al., 2013). Apple is committed to satisfying the consumer product and
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technology demand by creating new and innovative products (Apple Inc., 2015a). Consequently,
the company has continued to implement real options by extending its partnerships with digital
content providers, and expanding its online and retail facilities to reach effectively more
customers (Apple Inc., 2015a).
Capital Budgeting Process
Based on the size of Apple, the chief financial officer does not have the authority
individually to approve capital budgeting projects regarding the company's long-term objectives
(Apple Inc., 2015a). Specifically, the Audit Committee and Finance Committee are responsible
for overseeing and approving the company’s large financial transactions and enterprise risk.
Additionally, the Compensation Committee determines the grant and bonus amount distributed
to the company’s executive officers. Its Audit Committee, Finance Committee, and Risk
Oversight Committee govern the company’s investment activities, which include key members
of management (Apple Inc., 2015a; Ross et al., 2013).
Beta
Beta is a volatility measurement of a stock mutual fund or exchange traded funds
(Radović & Aleksandar, 2012; Ross et al., 2013). Beta measures the responsiveness of a stock’s
return to the market’s return. Additionally, beta measures a security’s systematic risk sensitivity
and is determined by a firms’ characteristic (Radović & Aleksandar, 2012). The average beta is
1.0, and a stock with a beta of 1.0 moves precisely with the market (Ross et al., 2013). A higher
than average beta represents a greater degree of rising and falling. In contrast, a beta lower than
1.0 indicates an active security’s price that will rise and fall less. Using beta is more reliable
when being applied to a portfolio of companies. Industry beta reduces estimation error when
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determining if a firms’ operation is similar to industry operations. In regards to Apple, the beta
coefficient is 0.94 as of December 31, 2014 (Reuters, n.d.); which indicates a lower risk factor if
held within a well-diversified portfolio (Ross et al., 2013). Considering Apple has a beta
coefficient of less than 1.0, it is less volatile than the general market.
Expected Return – CAPM
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) represents the implied expected return on a security
in relation to its beta (Ross et al., 2013). CAPM calculates the required rate of return for risky
assets. The required rate of return is the increased expected value based on inherent risk of
assets. The formula for CAPM is:
R s=Rf + β × ( Rm−R f ) ( 5 )
The Rs variable is the expected return; Rf represents the investor rate if they were to
invest money risk-free; β is the beta of security; and Rm and Rf are the differences between the
expected market return and the risk-free rate (Ross et al., 2013). invest. The United States
Treasury 52 week bill rate was .22% as of December 31, 2014 (U. S. Department of the
Treasury, 2015). To find the expected rate of return, the formula is:
Rm=Rf +Risk premium ( 6 )
Rf represents the risk-free rate, and Rm represents the expected return. According to Ross
et al. (2013), the average historical equity premium is 6.9%, so 7% or .07 is an estimate for the
equity risk premium. The expected market return value is .0722, calculated from .0022 + .07.
The CAPM is .0659, as determined by calculating .0022 + .94 x (.0700 - .0022). The expected
rate of return for Apple is 6.59%.
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Dividend Growth Model versus CAPM
CAPM and dividend growth model (DDM) are prominent models used for evaluating
potential investments. CAPM is used to evaluate whether an investment can grow by considering
risk and comparing to market averages. DDM uses detailed financial projections to measure the
value of future dividends to determine the stock value (Ross et al., 2013). CAPM is valued based
on the calculated beta, risk-free rate, and market return rate (Ross et al., 2013).
In regards to Apple, the estimated growth rate in earnings is 25.45% (see Table 4). Given
a $1.91 total dividend for 2014 and a $112.82 price per share as of December 31, 2014; the
discount rate for Apple is 27.14% according to the formula:
R s= ¿P
+g ( 7 )
Rs is the discount rate or cost of equity (Ross et al., 2013); Div is the estimated dividend per
share to be received next year; P is the stock share price; and g is the constant expected growth
rate in dividends.
To find the expected rate of return for a stock or portfolio, CAPM is a useful tool. DDM
fails to consider risk directly, while the CAPM is a matter of restrictive assumptions. The
advantage of CAPM is that it looks at more factors than DDM when determining the value.
Considering both CAPM and DDM rely on future assumptions, neither is considered a perfect
investment tool.
Debt and Equity
Determining the company debt, equity, and weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
helps determine stock research and provides details into the returns shareholders should expect in
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the long-term. WACC is the minimum return that company’s need in order to satisfy investors.
Additionally, knowing the company’s equity and debt gives insight into what is needed for the
company to break even on its investments. The two types of capitals include debt and equity.
WACC is used by companies to determine the cost necessary to raise capital through debt and
equity. The capital structure that produces the highest firms value is the one in which maximizes
shareholders' wealth.
Equity
The difference between the market value of equity and the book value is that the market
value of equity considers growth potential. As the company’s stock price and outstanding shares
change in value, so does its market value of equity (Ross et al., 2013). The calculation used to
determine the market value equity is stock price multiplied by the number of outstanding shares.
The stock price for Apple as of December 31, 2014 was $112.82, and the shares outstanding
were 5,826 (see Table 3). Consequently, the market value of equity for Apple is $657,289
million. Additionally, the expected rate of return for Apple is 6.59% and is equal to the equity
cost of capital (Ross et al., 2013). The expected rate of return for Apple is determined by using
the CAPM formula (see Equation 5).
Debt
Evaluating the cost of debt allows investors to understand the riskiness of the company.
A company with a high debt presents greater risk of doing business. A company can obtain debts
through loans, bonds, and many other forms. The long-term debt value for Apple as of
September 27, 2014 was $28,987 million, with a tax rate of 26.1% (Apple Inc., 2015a). The
company had an interest expense of $384 million (Apple Inc., 2015a). Taking Apple’s $6,310
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million current portion of debt into consideration, the company has a total debt of $35,297
million, and a borrowing rate of 1.08% (=$384 / $35,297). Consequently, the after tax cost of
debt for the company is .80%, determined by using the formula:
After tax cost of debt=(1−Tax rate ) × Borrowing rate ( 8 )
Weighted Cost of Capital
A company’s assets are financed by equity and debt. Taking into account Apple’s CAPM
of 6.59%, the cost of equity is also 6.59% as determined by the CAPM formula (see Equation 5).
The WACC is the company’s average pay to its security holders that is necessary to finance
assets. Apple’s market value of equity is $657,289 million, and the company’s total debt is
$35,297 million. Consequently, the weight of equity is 94.9%, as determined by the formula:
Weight of Equity= Market Value of EquityMarket Valueof Equity+Total Debt
( 9 )
The weight of debt for the company is 5.10%, and is determined by using the formula:
Weight of Debt= Total DebtMarket Value of Equity+Total Debt
( 10 )
Based on the equity and debt value, the total market value of Apple’s WACC is $692,586
million. To find the weighted average cost of capital for Apple, the formula used is:
RWACC=s
b+s× Rs+
bb+s
× Rb × (1−t c ) ( 11 )
Utilizing Apple’s equity and debt market values, in addition to the company’s tax rate
and stock return value, Apple’s weighted average cost of capital is 5.86 (see Appendix A). Based
on the results of the WACC, Apple pays 5.86% on every dollar that it finances. In addition, the
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company has a return on investment capital of 27.14% (see Equation 7). Considering Apple
generates a higher return on investment than the cost of raising capital, it has excess returns.
Consequently, the company has a positive excess of returns and will likely see its value increase
in the future.
Capital Budgeting Assumptions
Equity can also be measured in market value rather than book value (Ross et al., 2013).
Profitable projects raise both book value and market value of equity. Projects funded with debt
raise the debt level. At some point, however, the debt may become exhausted if the company
does not generate a high return on investments. Investors use various methods to determine the
effects of a project’s financial value. Capital budgeting involves making assumptions about a
project’s future. Based on the results of a capital budget, investors can make their decision on
whether they should invest based on the risk. However, assumptions may lead to inaccurate
information and unexpected results. WACC helps determine whether a project is feasible and
worth the financial risk (Ross et al., 2013). The assumption is that a high WACC will continue to
produce positive results at a constant rate. Consequently, the project risk will remain low.
Competitive Review of Debt and Equity Mix
Microsoft is a registered publicly traded company that competes within similar markets
as Apple (Apple Inc., 2015a; Microsoft Corporation, 2014). Microsoft and Apple offer products
including operating systems for computing devices, portable media players, mobile phones and
tablets, software, management tools, and personal computers. Additionally, both companies
distribute their products worldwide through online media, direct sales force, retail stores, through
third-party wholesalers, and cellular network carriers. Similar to Apple, Microsoft sells its
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products and services directly to consumers, small and mid-sized businesses, educational
institutions, enterprises, and government agencies (Microsoft Corporation, 2014).
Competitive Review
Microsoft had a beta coefficient of 0.88 as of December 31, 2014 (Reuters, n.d.); which
indicates a lower risk factor if held within a well-diversified portfolio (Ross et al., 2013). The
expected market return value is .0722, calculated by adding the United States Treasury 52 week
bill of .0022 and the average historical equity premium of .07. The CAPM is .0610, as
determined by calculating .0022 + .88 x (.0700 - .0022). The expected rate of return for
Microsoft is 6.10%. The estimated growth rate in earnings for the company is 14.70%. Given a
$1.07 total dividend paid per share for 2014, and a $47.02 price per share as of December 31,
2014; the discount rate for Microsoft is 16.97%. The stock price for Microsoft as of December
31, 2014 was $47.02, with shares outstanding of 8,299. Consequently, the market value of equity
for Microsoft is $390,219 million.
The long-term debt value for Microsoft as of June 30, 2014 was $20,654 million, with a
tax rate of 21%. The company had an interest expense of $597 million. Considering Microsoft
had zero current portion of debt, the company’s total debt is $20,654 million, with a borrowing
rate of 2.90% (=$597 / $20,654). The total after tax cost of debt for the company is 2.29% (see
Equation 8). Microsoft’s market value of equity is $390,219 million, and the company’s total
debt is $20,654 million. Consequently, the weight of equity is 94.98% (see Equation 9). The
weight of debt for the company is 5.02% (see Equation 10). Considering Microsoft’s equity and
debt market values, in addition to the company’s tax rate and stock return value, Microsoft’s
weighted average cost of capital is 5.9% (see Appendix B).
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Table 5
Microsoft and Apple Debt and Equity Information (in millions, except for capm, debt borrowing
rate, tax rate, and wacc)
Apple Value
Market value of equity $ 657,289
Market value of debt $ 35,297
CAPM 6.59%
Debt borrowing rate 1.08%
Tax rate 26.1%
WACC 5.86%
Microsoft Value
Market value of equity $ 390,219
Market value of debt $ 20,645
CAPM 6.10%
Debt borrowing rate 2.90%
Tax rate 21%
WACC 5.9%
Apple has a higher market value of equity and debt than Microsoft (see Table 5). In
addition, Apple’s WACC is higher than Microsoft, which signifies that Apple has a higher
financial risk and capital structure (Ross et al., 2013). Consequently, Microsoft requires a lower
rate of return on projects with raised capital. Considering the overall company value, Apple has
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$267,070 million more in equity than Microsoft, and $14,652 million more in debt, making
Apple’s debt-to-equity ratio greater than Microsoft’s.
Capital Structure Theories
Capital structure is the financial framework used by organizations, which includes the
equity and debt mix. Using a combination of debt and equity, capital structure helps
organizations select the most optimal form of financing to maximize market value and minimize
the cost of capital. Companies have the ability to lower weighted average cost of capital if they
have financial leverage (Agca & Mozumdar, 2004). Financial leverage is regarded to as a firm's
fixed cost of finance (Ross et al., 2013). The company's WACC decreases with financial
leverage until the optimal debt ratio is achieved. Once the ratio is achieved, the WACC rises with
additional debt (Ross et al., 2013). Financial interest is tax deductible, which increases debt
capital structure and is beneficial for tax benefits. Considering trade-off theory assumes company
bankruptcy risk, the market capital is increased as the WACC decreases (Agca & Mozumdar,
2004).
According to the trade-off theory, firms turn to debt to relieve financial needs.
Additionally, large companies may rely on less debt unless they have a large amount of cash
flow. Within the trade-off theory, accumulated debt is used to capture tax shields and leverage
firm benefits (Ross et al., 2013). In addition, the theory works best within company's that have
high growth potential. Trade-off theory helps organizations determine the most optimal debt-to-
equity ratio by balancing the cost and benefits. In addition, the theory states that there are
advantages to financing projects with company debt.
Pecking-order theory is aimed at companies with a large borrowing capacity and states
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that firms finance their projects through internal funds. In situations where there are no internal
funds, organizations may issue debt, and then equity as a last resort (Faulkender, Milbourn, &
Thakor, 2006). Smaller firms often borrow at a smaller rate based on needs rather than optimal
capital structure. Consequently, pecking-order theory can easily be applied to these types of
firms. However, the theory fails smaller firms because smaller firms are less likely to have an
abundance of cash on hand and debt is often the best option. Pecking-order theory states that the
financial decisions within a firm are affected by the managements attempt to minimize
shareholder supervision (Faulkender, Milbourn, & Thakor, 2006). Furthermore, the theory states
that bonds are a lesser risk for stock declines. Considering it is likely that firms will need cash
within the future for projects, the theory suggest cash should accumulate so that capital markets
are not fully needed in the future (Ross et al., 2013).
Selecting the optimal capital structure is crucial in uncertain business environments. To
determine the proper capital structure, a company should have a comprehensive understanding of
its financial position. Selecting the right capital structure is situational and dependent upon the
needs of the company. For optimal results, management must weigh all long-term options before
selecting either trade-off theory or pecking-order theory.
In 2014 Apple had a long-term debt of $28,987 million, with a net income of $39,510
million. Consequently, the company has the annual funds necessary to fully pay its short-term
and long-term debt obligations. The ratio of debt at the company is optimal for maximizing
market capitalization and debt levels. Apple and Microsoft both exemplify the use of capital
structure theory and have a relatively low debt level compared to equity (see Table 5).
Considering both companies have high cash holdings, and the primary source of financing new
projects come from retained earnings, this supports the pecking-order theory.
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Summary
The profit margins for Apple over the past three years have been relatively steady
between 21.67% in 2012 and 2013, to a current 21.61%, which represents a small decline over
the past year. The company has a net income of $39.51 billion (see Table 3). The company’s
retention ratio is .72 (see Table 4), and the ROE is 35.42% (see Table 4). In 2014, Apple's
earnings growth rate was 25.45% (see Table 4). Consequently, the company has a feasibly
expected growth rate for the future. Apple's quarterly dividends have been constant at $0.47 for
the year of 2014 (see Table 3), which reflects the growth rate of the organization's stock. Price to
earnings ratio for Apple is 19.37%, which is lower than the company’s growth rate. A lower
price-to-earning ratio signifies less growth opportunities (Ross et al., 2013).
Apple has a beta coefficient of 0.94, which is less than the market average of 1.0, making
the company less volatile and less risky than the general market. The CAPM for Apple is .0659.
Consequently, the expected rate of return is 6.59%, which is lower than the average historical
equity premium of 7% (Ross et al., 2013). Based on the equity and debt value, the total market
value of Apple’s WACC is $692,586 million, with a weighted average cost of capital of 5.86%.
Apple generates a higher return on investment than the cost of raising capital, which signifies
that the company has excess returns and will likely see a value increase in the future. As of April
13, 2015, the current value of Apple’s stock is $126.85, which is an increase of $14.03 from its
December 31, 3014 value of $112.82. Within a highly competitive and evolving industry, the
company’s valuation is dependent on the company’s ability to continually develop and innovate
new products and services. As the leader within its industry and as a dividend paying company
with a high stock value that continues to increase; based on the company's financial data, Apple’s
stock is recommend as an investment.
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Reference
Adjaoud, F., & Ben-Amar, W. (2010). Corporate governance and dividend policy: Shareholders’
protection or expropriation? Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 37(5/6), 648–
667. doi:10.1111/j.1468-5957.2010.02192.x
Agca, S. and Mozumdar, A. (2004). Firm size, debt capacity, and corporate financing choices.
doi:10.2139/ssrn.687369
Apple Inc. (2015a). Apple Inc. 2015 annual meeting of shareholders. Retrieved from
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Appendix A
Weighted average cost calculations for Apple.
The formula used to determine the weighted average is:
RWACC=s
b+s× Rs+
bb+s
× Rb × (1−t c )
S is the equity market value (in millions) = $657,289
B is market value of debt (in millions) = $35,297
Rs is the stock return (CAPM) = 6.59%
Rb is the debt borrowing rate = 1.08%
tc is the average tax rate = prov. of income tax / before tax = $13,973 / $53,483 = 26.1%
RWACC=$ 657,289
$ 35,297+$657,289×6.59 %+ $35,297
$35,297+$ 657,289× 1.08 %× (1−26.1 %)
= $657,289/692,586 x .0659 + $35,297/692,586 x .0108 x (1 - .261)
= .949 x .0659 + .0510 x .0108 x .739
= 5.86%
26
Appendix B
Weighted average cost calculations for Microsoft.
The formula used to determine the weighted average is:
RWACC=s
b+s× Rs+
bb+s
× Rb × (1−t c )
S is the equity market value (in millions) = $390,219
B is market value of debt (in millions) = $20,645
Rs is the stock return (CAPM) = 6.10%
Rb is the debt borrowing rate = 2.90%
tc is the average tax rate = prov. of income tax / before tax = $5,746 / $27,820 = 21%
RWACC=$ 390,219
$20,645+$ 390,219× 6.10 %+ $ 20,645
$ 20,645+$ 390,219×2.90 % × (1−21 %)
= $390,219/410,864 x .061 + $20,645/410,864 x .029 x (1 - .21)
= .949 x .061 + .0502 x .029 x .79
= 5.9%