Annual Media Conference 2021 - Alpiq
Transcript of Annual Media Conference 2021 - Alpiq
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Agenda
2
1. Alpiq reports strong results of operations
2. 2020 Key Financial Figures
3. Positive earnings expected for 2021, below the previous year
4. Alpiq focused on strengths and expanding commercialisation
5. Current situation regarding electricity agreement is dangerous for Alpiq
6. Questions and answers
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Business model proves itself in COVID-19 pandemic
• EBITDA before exceptional items: CHF 262 million• Higher demand for flexible power production and higher market volatilities• New investments in Swiss large-scale hydropower currently not economical
Solid and strengthened balance sheet thanks to systematic financial strategy
• Net cash flows from operating activities increased: CHF 117 million• Sound liquidity: CHF 1 billion • Equity ratio has improved: 51.2 percent
Strategy implementation and growth phase• Stable shareholder structure, smaller Board of Directors• Alpiq is expanding energy trading and B2B business throughout Europe• Antje Kanngiesser is the Alpiq Group’s new CEO from 1 March 2021
3
Alpiq reports strong results of operations
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
2020 Key Financial Figures
4
Alpiq reports strong results of operations
Results of operations
• Strong results of operations in all three business divisions
• Operating cash flow from continuing operations increased
• Solid and strengthened balance sheet thanks to systematic financial strategy
• Positive earnings expected for 2021, below the previous year, main drivers: electricity and CO2 prices hedged on the wholesale markets but one-off effects no longer apply
Net debtEBITDA before EINet revenue before EI Earnings after tax fromcontinuing operations (IFRS)
117
-17
+134
249
206
+43
2019 2020 31 Dec 2019 31 Dec 2020
FX e
ffec
t
2020
2019
-131
Bus
ines
sde
velo
pmen
t
-105
4,059 3,823
-236
110
262157
FX e
ffec
t
2019
Bus
ines
sde
velo
pmen
t
-5
2020
+152
-226
166
395
2019
FX e
ffec
t
Bus
ines
sde
velo
pmen
t
2020
-3
+392
Operating cash flow from continuing operations (IFRS)
CH
F m
illio
n
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Development of EBITDA by business division (I)
5
Generation Switzerland benefited from higher hedged electricity prices
Generation Switzerland
• Higher hedging prices compared to the previous year
• Higher production volumes in the area of nuclear power – high availability of the plants
135
29
Var
ious
109
-6Pr
oduc
tion
volu
mes
EBIT
DA
2019
befo
re E
I
Pric
e ef
fect
3
EBIT
DA
2020
befo
re E
I
CH
F m
illio
n
CHF million 2019 2020
Ø hedging price (standard product, no partner agreement) at the time of transfer in EUR/MWh 34.0 38.9
Ø hedging exchange rate at the time of transfer in EUR/CHF 1.0800 1.1581
Ø hedging price (standard product, no partner agreement) at the time of transfer in CHF/MWh 36.7 45.1
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Development of EBITDA by business division (II)
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International power production positive
9469 59
FX e
ffec
t
-8
-25
EBIT
DA
2019
befo
re E
I
Div
estm
ent
Kla
dno/
Zlín
EBIT
DA
2019
befo
re E
Iw
/o K
ladn
o/Zlín
Bus
ines
sde
velo
pmen
t
-2
EBIT
DA
2020
befo
re E
I
Generation International
• Renewable Energy Sources: lower production volumes due to weather conditions, lower energy prices and a loss of feed-in tariffs at the Italian plants
• Thermal power production: unexpected repairs required at Spanish gas-fired combined-cycle power plant. Italian plants up on previous year thanks to higher availability
CH
F m
illio
n
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Development of EBITDA by business division (III)
7
Energy trading very successful thanks to market volatilities
56
99
46
EBIT
DA
2020
befo
re E
I
EBIT
DA
2019
befo
re E
I
-3Bus
ines
sde
velo
pmen
t
FX e
ffec
t
Digital & Commerce
• Market opportunities and higher volatilities in trading successfully leveraged
• Higher earnings in the optimisation of the hydropower portfolio in Switzerland and in the optimisation in Italy
• Optimised trading strategies in Merchant Trading benefit from sharply rising prices
• Further investments in (industrial and commercial) customer business
CH
F m
illio
n
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Alpiq reports strong results of operations
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All three business divisions made positive contributions to earnings
8
Digital & Commerce: volatilities successfully leveraged in trading
Generation International: stable result of thermal power production
Generation Switzerland: higher electricity prices
69
135
56
59
99
-62019 2020
Digital & Commerce
Generation International w/o Kladno/Zlín
Generation Switzerland
EBITDA before EI
CH
F m
illio
n
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Exceptional items on EBITDA level
9
Alpiq uses alternative performance measures to measure and present its operating performance, making adjustments to the IFRS results for so-called exceptional items (EI).
CHF million 20202019
(adjusted)
Development of decommissioning and waste disposal funds 20 111
Effects from business disposals 62 -19
Impairment losses and onerous contracts -108 -48
Restructuring costs and litigation -3 -24
Fair value changes (accounting mismatch) 60 38
Total exceptional items on EBITDA level 31 58
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Development of operating cash flow from continuing operations
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Alpiq has increased net cash flows from operating activities
-17
117
-27
111
42
Net
cas
h flo
ws
from
oper
atin
g ac
tivi
ties
of c
ontinu
ing
oper
atio
ns20
19
Dev
iation
EBIT
DA b
efor
e EI
152
Exce
ptio
nal i
tem
son
EBIT
DA lev
el
Var
ious
Hig
her
liabi
litie
s fr
omde
com
mis
sion
ing
and
was
tedi
spos
al f
unds
202
0
Tran
sfer
of
the
Sw
iss
high
-vol
tage
gri
d
-20
Red
uction
in r
ecei
vabl
es f
rom
deco
mm
issi
onin
g an
d w
aste
disp
osal
fun
ds 2
019
Cha
nge
in p
rovi
sion
for
Nan
t de
Dra
nce
in 2
020
-33
Mar
ket
prem
ium
2020
del
ayed
-64
Cha
nge
in d
eriv
ativ
es20
19 –
2020
(inc
l. ga
s st
orag
e)
-3912
Net
cas
h flo
ws
from
oper
atin
g ac
tivi
ties
of c
ontinu
ing
oper
atio
ns20
20
CH
F m
illio
n
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Development of liquidity
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Reduction mainly a result of repayment of loans and refund to Bouygues
108 25
25
FX e
ffec
t
Inte
rest
pai
d
-96
Net
rep
aym
ent
ofcu
rren
t fin
anci
allia
bilit
ies
(loa
ns)
Net
cas
h flo
ws
from
inve
stin
g ac
tivi
ties
of
disc
ontinu
ed o
pera
tion
s(K
iel,
Bou
ygue
s)
13 -8
Liqu
idity
befo
re n
et c
ash
flow
sfr
om in
vest
ing
activi
ties
of
disc
ontinu
ed o
pera
tion
s
1,030-67
Liqu
idity
at31
Dec
202
0
Var
ious
Gai
ns o
n di
spos
al:
Torm
oser
öd,
Flex
itri
city
Hyb
rid
inte
rest
pai
d
1,101
Liqu
idity
at31
Dec
201
9
963
-37
-29
Ope
rating
cas
h flo
w
-72
Inve
stm
ents
Div
iden
ds a
ndin
tere
st r
ecei
ved
CH
F m
illio
n
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Maturity profile at 31 December 2020
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Financial liabilities staggered over long term
• Liquidity of CHF 963 million (31 December 2019: 1,101)
• Financial liabilities of CHF 1,212 million (31 December 2019: 1,307)
963
31 Dec 2020
293
2021 20232022 2024 20272025 2026 2028 2029
7
2030 et seq.
283334
182
4911 32 5 17
Lease financial liabilitiesLiquidity Private placementsBank loansBonds
CH
F m
illio
n
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Net debt
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Reduction of gearing ratio (net debt/EBITDA before exceptional items) due to higher results of operations
• Net debt of CHF 249 million (31 December 2019: 206)
• Net debt/EBITDA before exceptional items of 1.0 (31 December 2019: 1.9)
856714
247 206 249
609480
395301
166 110262
2.7
2.22.4
1.5
1.9
1.0
3.2
2014 20172015 2016 2018 2019 (adjusted) 2020
1,299
1,939
Net debt Net debt/EBITDA before exceptional itemsEBITDA before exceptional items
CH
F m
illio
n
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Solid balance sheet
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Solid and strengthened balance sheet thanks to systematic financial strategy
• Sound liquidity: CHF 1.0 billion(31 December 2019: CHF 1.1 billion)
• Equity ratio: 51.2 %(31 December 2019: 49.9 %)
49.9%
0.3%
62.0%
50.0%37.7% 39.7%
0.1%
60.3%
48.8%
51.2%
7,360 CHF million 7,368 Mio. CHF million
31 Dec 2019 (adjusted) 31 Dec 2020
Assets held for sale
Current assets Liabilities
Liabilities held for sale
Non-current assets Equity
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
• Alpiq has not distributed a dividend since 2015 due to the difficult economic situation
• Systematic management means a dividend is now possible again for the first time:
• Strong results of operations in 2020
• Solid and strengthened balance sheet thanks to divestments/debt reduction
• Focused strategy on core business and expanding commercialisation
• The Board of Directors of Alpiq Holding Ltd. will submit a proposal to the Annual General Meeting to distribute a dividend of CHF 46 million (CHF 1.40 per share) for the 2020 financial year on account of the positive earnings situation
Dividend distribution
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Dividend distribution on account of the positive earnings situation
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Outlook: Positive earnings expected for 2021, below the previous year
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• Hedged electricity and CO2 prices on the wholesale markets will have a positive effect on earnings in 2021
• However: positive one-off effects from the 2020 financial year no longer apply
• Extended overhaul of the Leibstadt nuclear power plant will have a major impact on earnings in 2021
• It is not yet possible to fully assess the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic
CHF million 2019 2020 2021 2022
Ø hedging price (standard product, no partner agreement) at the time of transfer in EUR/MWh 34.0 38.9 46.9 51.6
Ø hedging exchange rate at the time of transfer in EUR/CHF 1.0800 1.1581 1.1420 1.0850
Ø hedging price (standard product, no partner agreement) at the time of transfer in CHF/MWh 36.7 45.1 53.6 56.0
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Alpiq focused on strengths and expanding commercialisation
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Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
With no electricity agreement, security of supply is not guaranteed
• Energy Strategy: Switzerland depends on imports in the winter• As a third country, Switzerland relies on the goodwill of exporting countries• Main suppliers Germany and France are reducing nuclear and coal
capacities for winter electricity
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Current situation regarding electricity agreement is dangerous for Alpiq
With no electricity agreement, there are no resources to maintain hydropower
• Hydropower is climate friendly, reliable and extremely flexible• Hydropower ideally complements wind and photovoltaics• Capital can only be earned by marketing the flexibility of hydropower in
Europe across borders
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
Financial calendar 2021
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26 August 2021 Interim results 2021
Alpiq Holding Ltd. | Annual Media Conference 2021
This communication contains, among other things, forward-looking statements and information. Such statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding management objectives, business profit trends, profit margins, costs, returns on equity, risk management or the competitive environment, all of which are inherently speculative in nature. Terms such as "anticipate," "assume," "aim," "goals," "projects," "intend," "plan," "believe," "try," "estimate," and variations of such terms, and similar expressions have the purpose of clarifying forward-looking statements. These statements are based on our current estimates and assumptions, and are therefore to some extent subject to risks and uncertainties. Therefore, Alpiq's actual results may differ materially from, and substantially contradict, forward-looking statements made expressly or implicitly. Factors contributing to or likely to cause such divergent outcomes include, but are not limited to, the general economic situation, competition with other companies, the effects and risks of new technologies, the Company's ongoing capital needs, financing costs, delays in integrating mergers or acquisitions, changes in operating expenses, currency fluctuations, changes in the regulatory environment on the domestic and foreign energy markets, oil price and margin fluctuations for Alpiq products, attracting and retaining qualified employees, political risks in countries where the Company operates, changes in applicable law, the realisation of synergies and other factors mentioned in this communication.Should one or more of these risks, uncertainties or other factors materialise, or should any of the underlying assumptions or expectations prove incorrect, the results may differ materially from those stated. In light of these risks, uncertainties or other factors, the reader should not rely on such forward-looking statements. The Company does not assume any obligation beyond those arising out of law to update or revise such forward-looking statements, or to adapt them to future events or developments. The Company points out that past results are not meaningful in terms of future results. It should also be noted that interim results are not necessarily indicative of the year-end results.This communication is neither an offer nor an invitation to sell or buy securities.
Disclaimer
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