Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented...

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Annual General Meeting of Shareholders May 3, 2018

Transcript of Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented...

Page 1: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Annual General Meeting of ShareholdersMay 3, 2018

Page 2: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Peter GordonChair

Page 3: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Peter WijnbergenPresident & Chief Executive Officer

Page 4: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Forward-Looking Statements & Non-IFRS Financial Information

• All financial references are expressed in US$ unless otherwise noted.

• This presentation contains forward-looking statements and estimates.

• Such statements and estimates are based on assumptions as to the future and on management’s current expectations and are, naturally, subject to risks and uncertainties.

• Actual company results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information.

• Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

• Additional information can be found in the Company’s annual information form, annual and quarterly MD&A, and on Norbord’s website (www.norbord.com) about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information, and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

• During the course of this presentation, certain non-IFRS financial information will be presented. Definitions and reconciliation of terms can be found in the Company’s annual and quarterly MD&A.

4

AGM 2018

Page 5: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Agenda

5

2017 in review

Creating value for shareholders

Confident about the future

AGM 2018

Page 6: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

2017 in Review

Page 7: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

2017 Highlights

7

Annual production records at 9 mills

Specialty product shipments increased 17%

Completed Inverness and Huguley projects

Reduced net debt to capitalization ratio from 41% to 21%

Increased dividend 3 times - $101M total payout

2017 in Review

North America Europe

Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture

Consolidated

$7.05 OPERATING CASH FLOW PER SHARE +$3.39

$672M ADJUSTED EBITDA+$287

$4.49 ADJUSTED EPS (DILUTED) +$2.49

Page 8: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

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Safety and Operating Performance Go Hand in Hand

8

OSH

A R

eco

rdab

le In

jury

Rat

e2017 in Review

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Creating Value for Shareholders

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Page 10: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Our Strategy For Value CreationCreating Value for Shareholders

Largest Global OSB Producer

Shareholder Value

+

=

Markets

• Exposure to US housing recovery

• Quality products aligned with growth customers

• Strong market position in three growth geographies

Low-Cost Operator

+Markets

• High-quality asset base with low operating costs

• Superior margins versus peers

• World-class safety culture

Disciplined Capital Allocator

Markets

• Invest in mills

• Optimize debt profile

• Return cash to shareholders

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Page 11: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

56%

23%

21%

63%

4%

28%

5%

Forward-Looking Investment in Growth

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Shipments5.1 Bsf-3/8”

(1) Represents North American non-OSB business (fully divested in 2010).

Creating Value for Shareholders

$631MEBITDA

$672MAdjusted EBITDA

20042.0M US Housing Starts

20171.2M US Housing Starts

Shipments7.9 Bsf-3/8”

(1)

NA Specialty

Page 12: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

OSB: A Highly Engineered Product

12

Creating Value for Shareholders

1. Debarker

2. Strander

3. Sorting

4. Dryer

5. Resin & wax application

6. Forming

7. Press

8. Cutting,Sanding,

Packaging

Page 13: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Continuous Press: The Advantage of Flexibility

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Product customization to meet customer demand

Reduced material costs & waste

Superior press speeds

Source: Dieffenbacher

Norbord Operates 3 of 6 OSB Continuous Presses in North America

Creating Value for Shareholders

Page 14: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

OSB: A Highly Engineered Product

14

Creating Value for Shareholders

1. Debarker

2. Strander

3. Sorting

4. Dryer

5. Resin & wax application

6. Forming

7. Press

8. Cutting,Sanding,

Packaging

Page 15: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Finishing End: The Key to Specialty Products

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Creating Value for Shareholders

Strategic Repositioning of La Sarre, Quebec Mill

Specialty +26%

Value to Norbord

Service stable margin specialty markets

Diversify product mix

Increase automation

Project KPIs

32%

21%

47%

2012

17%

24%59%

2017

VAP +14%

Capital cost: $10.4M

Annual benefit: $4.1M

IRR: 32%

Page 16: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Developing & Improving Products

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Creating Value for Shareholders

Norbord’s Long Lengths Panels – Easier to Install

Page 17: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

#THANKAFRAMER

Builders reporting labour shortages in 2017

23%

29%

33%

51%

47%

44%

Carpenters-finished

Carpenters-rough

Framing crews

Serious shortage Some shortage

77%

76%

74%

Source: National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) survey; Watch the video at www.thankaframer.com

Tackling Building Industry Challenges

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Creating Value for Shareholders

Norbord donated

US$1.1 million to the Home Builders Institute for

training and educating new construction professionals

Page 18: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

24%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Norbord Peer1 Peer2 Peer3 Peer4 Peer5 Peer6 Peer7 Peer8

Track Record of Value Creation

18

Creating Value for Shareholders

15 Year Average ROCE %(1)

Source: Capital IQ

$200MDebt permanently repaid

>$1BCapital invested

>$1BDividends paid out

(1) Return on capital employed (ROCE) is a measure of financial performance focusing on cash generation and the effective use of capital. ROCE is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA divided by average capital employed (operating working capital, PP&E, goodwill, intangibles, timberlands & licences).

Page 19: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Confident About the Future

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Page 20: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020F 2025F

US Single-Family US Multi-Family 30-Year Average

Continuing US Housing Growth

20Source: RISI (historical), Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA) (forecast)

Confident About the Future

HH

H

H Hiccup Downturn

US

ho

usi

ng

star

ts (

00

0s)

H

Page 21: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Pent-Up Demand in US Housing Market

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Confident About the Future

Source: Core Logic, Zillow, Wall Street Journal (March 2018)

-25% 0 25%

Homebuilding Permits in Major Metropolitan Areas Relative to Historic Average (2017)

Months of Housing Supply (January 2018)

Page 22: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

US Housing Remains Affordable in OSB Consuming Areas

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Confident About the Future

Housing Cost to Income Ratio (2017)

Above national average (1)

Below national average (1)

Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, LLC

(1) The average US national housing cost to income ratio was 27.9% in 2017.

Page 23: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Demographics Point to Continued Housing Demand Growth

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Confident About the Future

46.9

33.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

Under 5 Under 15 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+

Source: US Census Bureau

MillennialsAge 22-37

BoomersAge 63-72

Projected US Population by Age Cohort (by 2020)

Pop

ula

tio

n in

mill

ion

s

Page 24: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Growing Repair & Remodel Demand

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Confident About the Future

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20

40

60

80

100

120

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2002

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OSB consumption - repair & remodel Expenditure - repair & remodel

Bsf

-3/8

” b

asis

20

09

USD

bill

ion

s

Source: Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA)

Page 25: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Growing the Industrial OSB Market

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2017 North American Panel Consumption

EWPFurniture Commercial Roofing Engineered Packaging

79%

21%

New Home

62%

38%

Repair & Remodel

OSB Plywood

Source: APA – The Engineered Wood Association, RISI, US Forest Products Annual Market Review and Prospects (USDA FS), US International Trade Commission, Norbord estimates

Confident About the Future

17%

33%

50%

Industrial

MDF & PB

Page 26: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

North American Capacity Restarts Needed to Meet Growing Demand

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Confident About the Future

Estimated Incremental OSB Industry Volumes for 2018 & 2019(1)

Incremental

Capacity

2.2Bsf-3/8”

Incremental

Demand

2.3Bsf-3/8”

<

(1) Norbord estimates

Page 27: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Capacity Ramp-Ups Take Time

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Confident About the Future

Jefferson, Texas Mill Ramp-Up

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

M1

M2

M3

M4

M5

M6

M7

M8

M9

M10

M11

M12

M13

M14

M15

M16

M17

M18

M19

M20

M21

M22

M23

M24

M25

M26

M27

M28

M29

M30

M31

M32

M33

M34

M35

M36

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3

66% in first 12 months

Mo

nth

ly c

apac

ity

uti

lizat

ion

Page 28: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Demand/Capacity Ratio Expected to Remain Strong

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Confident About the Future

1.201.29

1.36 1.40 1.40 1.45

93% 92% 93% 92% 92%95%

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

50%

75%

100%

2017 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E

US housing starts Demand/capacity ratio

Estimated Demand/Capacity Ratio(1)

Dem

and

/cap

acit

y ra

tio

in %

An

nu

al U

S h

ou

sin

g st

arts

in m

illio

ns

(1) Norbord estimates

Page 29: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

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Europe: Strong Demand Growth

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Confident About the Future

OSB Share of Structural Panels

Source: Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA), European Panel Federation (EPF) and Norbord estimates

0%

25%

50%

75%

1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

European OSB Demand (million m3)

Source: Eurostat, UN Comtrade Database, Destatis and Norbord estimates

8%2005-2017 CAGR

Page 30: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Inverness Mill Expansion Supports Increased Customer Demand

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Confident About the Future

Page 31: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

OSB Gaining Traction in Asia

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Confident About the Future

Upholstered Furniture (Vietnam)

Seismic Performance (Japan)

Interior Finishings(China)

Page 32: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

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Asia Europe North America South America

Other (Plywood, PB, MDF/HDF) OSB

Asia – The Next Big Growth Opportunity

32

Wood Panel Consumption

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (2016)

Confident About the Future

<1% OSB

10% OSB

42% OSB

8% OSB

Mill

ion

m3

Page 33: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

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Favourable market fundamentals

Clear strategic vision

High-quality assets

Strong operating expertise

Focus on shareholder value

A Great Time to be Invested in NorbordAGM 2018

Page 34: Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture Consolidated

Questions?