Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented...
Transcript of Annual General Meeting of Shareholders - Norbord...2017 in Review North America Europe Oriented...
Annual General Meeting of ShareholdersMay 3, 2018
Peter GordonChair
Peter WijnbergenPresident & Chief Executive Officer
Forward-Looking Statements & Non-IFRS Financial Information
• All financial references are expressed in US$ unless otherwise noted.
• This presentation contains forward-looking statements and estimates.
• Such statements and estimates are based on assumptions as to the future and on management’s current expectations and are, naturally, subject to risks and uncertainties.
• Actual company results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information.
• Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.
• Additional information can be found in the Company’s annual information form, annual and quarterly MD&A, and on Norbord’s website (www.norbord.com) about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information, and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.
• During the course of this presentation, certain non-IFRS financial information will be presented. Definitions and reconciliation of terms can be found in the Company’s annual and quarterly MD&A.
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AGM 2018
Agenda
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2017 in review
Creating value for shareholders
Confident about the future
AGM 2018
2017 in Review
2017 Highlights
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Annual production records at 9 mills
Specialty product shipments increased 17%
Completed Inverness and Huguley projects
Reduced net debt to capitalization ratio from 41% to 21%
Increased dividend 3 times - $101M total payout
2017 in Review
North America Europe
Oriented Strand Board (OSB) Particleboard Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF) Furniture
Consolidated
$7.05 OPERATING CASH FLOW PER SHARE +$3.39
$672M ADJUSTED EBITDA+$287
$4.49 ADJUSTED EPS (DILUTED) +$2.49
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Safety and Operating Performance Go Hand in Hand
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OSH
A R
eco
rdab
le In
jury
Rat
e2017 in Review
Creating Value for Shareholders
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Our Strategy For Value CreationCreating Value for Shareholders
Largest Global OSB Producer
Shareholder Value
+
=
Markets
• Exposure to US housing recovery
• Quality products aligned with growth customers
• Strong market position in three growth geographies
Low-Cost Operator
+Markets
• High-quality asset base with low operating costs
• Superior margins versus peers
• World-class safety culture
Disciplined Capital Allocator
Markets
• Invest in mills
• Optimize debt profile
• Return cash to shareholders
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56%
23%
21%
63%
4%
28%
5%
Forward-Looking Investment in Growth
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Shipments5.1 Bsf-3/8”
(1) Represents North American non-OSB business (fully divested in 2010).
Creating Value for Shareholders
$631MEBITDA
$672MAdjusted EBITDA
20042.0M US Housing Starts
20171.2M US Housing Starts
Shipments7.9 Bsf-3/8”
(1)
NA Specialty
OSB: A Highly Engineered Product
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Creating Value for Shareholders
1. Debarker
2. Strander
3. Sorting
4. Dryer
5. Resin & wax application
6. Forming
7. Press
8. Cutting,Sanding,
Packaging
Continuous Press: The Advantage of Flexibility
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Product customization to meet customer demand
Reduced material costs & waste
Superior press speeds
Source: Dieffenbacher
Norbord Operates 3 of 6 OSB Continuous Presses in North America
Creating Value for Shareholders
OSB: A Highly Engineered Product
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Creating Value for Shareholders
1. Debarker
2. Strander
3. Sorting
4. Dryer
5. Resin & wax application
6. Forming
7. Press
8. Cutting,Sanding,
Packaging
Finishing End: The Key to Specialty Products
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Creating Value for Shareholders
Strategic Repositioning of La Sarre, Quebec Mill
Specialty +26%
Value to Norbord
Service stable margin specialty markets
Diversify product mix
Increase automation
Project KPIs
32%
21%
47%
2012
17%
24%59%
2017
VAP +14%
Capital cost: $10.4M
Annual benefit: $4.1M
IRR: 32%
Developing & Improving Products
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Creating Value for Shareholders
Norbord’s Long Lengths Panels – Easier to Install
#THANKAFRAMER
Builders reporting labour shortages in 2017
23%
29%
33%
51%
47%
44%
Carpenters-finished
Carpenters-rough
Framing crews
Serious shortage Some shortage
77%
76%
74%
Source: National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) survey; Watch the video at www.thankaframer.com
Tackling Building Industry Challenges
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Creating Value for Shareholders
Norbord donated
US$1.1 million to the Home Builders Institute for
training and educating new construction professionals
24%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Norbord Peer1 Peer2 Peer3 Peer4 Peer5 Peer6 Peer7 Peer8
Track Record of Value Creation
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Creating Value for Shareholders
15 Year Average ROCE %(1)
Source: Capital IQ
$200MDebt permanently repaid
>$1BCapital invested
>$1BDividends paid out
(1) Return on capital employed (ROCE) is a measure of financial performance focusing on cash generation and the effective use of capital. ROCE is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA divided by average capital employed (operating working capital, PP&E, goodwill, intangibles, timberlands & licences).
Confident About the Future
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
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3,000
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020F 2025F
US Single-Family US Multi-Family 30-Year Average
Continuing US Housing Growth
20Source: RISI (historical), Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA) (forecast)
Confident About the Future
HH
H
H Hiccup Downturn
US
ho
usi
ng
star
ts (
00
0s)
H
Pent-Up Demand in US Housing Market
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Confident About the Future
Source: Core Logic, Zillow, Wall Street Journal (March 2018)
-25% 0 25%
Homebuilding Permits in Major Metropolitan Areas Relative to Historic Average (2017)
Months of Housing Supply (January 2018)
US Housing Remains Affordable in OSB Consuming Areas
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Confident About the Future
Housing Cost to Income Ratio (2017)
Above national average (1)
Below national average (1)
Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, LLC
(1) The average US national housing cost to income ratio was 27.9% in 2017.
Demographics Point to Continued Housing Demand Growth
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Confident About the Future
46.9
33.1
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Under 5 Under 15 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+
Source: US Census Bureau
MillennialsAge 22-37
BoomersAge 63-72
Projected US Population by Age Cohort (by 2020)
Pop
ula
tio
n in
mill
ion
s
Growing Repair & Remodel Demand
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Confident About the Future
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OSB consumption - repair & remodel Expenditure - repair & remodel
Bsf
-3/8
” b
asis
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09
USD
bill
ion
s
Source: Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA)
Growing the Industrial OSB Market
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2017 North American Panel Consumption
EWPFurniture Commercial Roofing Engineered Packaging
79%
21%
New Home
62%
38%
Repair & Remodel
OSB Plywood
Source: APA – The Engineered Wood Association, RISI, US Forest Products Annual Market Review and Prospects (USDA FS), US International Trade Commission, Norbord estimates
Confident About the Future
17%
33%
50%
Industrial
MDF & PB
North American Capacity Restarts Needed to Meet Growing Demand
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Confident About the Future
Estimated Incremental OSB Industry Volumes for 2018 & 2019(1)
Incremental
Capacity
2.2Bsf-3/8”
Incremental
Demand
2.3Bsf-3/8”
<
(1) Norbord estimates
Capacity Ramp-Ups Take Time
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Confident About the Future
Jefferson, Texas Mill Ramp-Up
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40%
60%
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100%
120%
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
M8
M9
M10
M11
M12
M13
M14
M15
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M21
M22
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M24
M25
M26
M27
M28
M29
M30
M31
M32
M33
M34
M35
M36
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
66% in first 12 months
Mo
nth
ly c
apac
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uti
lizat
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Demand/Capacity Ratio Expected to Remain Strong
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Confident About the Future
1.201.29
1.36 1.40 1.40 1.45
93% 92% 93% 92% 92%95%
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100%
2017 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E
US housing starts Demand/capacity ratio
Estimated Demand/Capacity Ratio(1)
Dem
and
/cap
acit
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arts
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illio
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(1) Norbord estimates
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Europe: Strong Demand Growth
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Confident About the Future
OSB Share of Structural Panels
Source: Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA), European Panel Federation (EPF) and Norbord estimates
0%
25%
50%
75%
1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
European OSB Demand (million m3)
Source: Eurostat, UN Comtrade Database, Destatis and Norbord estimates
8%2005-2017 CAGR
Inverness Mill Expansion Supports Increased Customer Demand
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Confident About the Future
OSB Gaining Traction in Asia
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Confident About the Future
Upholstered Furniture (Vietnam)
Seismic Performance (Japan)
Interior Finishings(China)
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Asia Europe North America South America
Other (Plywood, PB, MDF/HDF) OSB
Asia – The Next Big Growth Opportunity
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Wood Panel Consumption
Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (2016)
Confident About the Future
<1% OSB
10% OSB
42% OSB
8% OSB
Mill
ion
m3
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Favourable market fundamentals
Clear strategic vision
High-quality assets
Strong operating expertise
Focus on shareholder value
A Great Time to be Invested in NorbordAGM 2018
Questions?