Annexes IV - pland.gov.hk
Transcript of Annexes IV - pland.gov.hk
Annexes
Sustainability Report IV
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Annex IV
Annex IV: Sustainability Report
Annexes
Annexes
Sustainability Report IVObjective
1. TheobjectiveofthisreportistoassessthesustainabilityimplicationsofthePreferredDevelopmentOption1asrecommendedundertheStudyonHongKong2030:PlanningVisionandStrategy(HK2030Study)usingtheComputerAidedSustainabilityEvaluationTool(CASET).
Background
2. TheHK2030Study,transcendedfrompastterritorialplanningstudies,adoptsanapproachdifferentfromthepreviousstudies.ItisanimportantparttotheGovernment’scollaborativeefforttoachieveourvisionas“Asia’s world city”.Towardsthisvision,theStudyaimstoprovideaspatialplanningframeworktoguidefuturelanduseandprovisionofmajorinfrastructureinthenext20to30years.
3. Undertheoverarchinggoalforsustainable development,wehavesetoutthree broad directionsinpreparingourplanningstrategy:(a)providingaqualitylivingenvironment;(b)enhancingeconomiccompetitiveness;and(c)strengtheninglinkswiththeMainland.Thesedirectionsarebothcrosscuttingandinter-dependent.
4. TheHK2030Studyhasbeencarriedoutinfourstages.Weconsiderthat,beingahighlycompactcity,HongKong’sfuturespatialdevelopmentpatternshouldadopttheplanningconceptofclusteringthebulkofdevelopmentaroundmasstransitrailwaystationstofacilitatefastandmassmovementofpeopleinanenvironmentally-friendlymodeoftransport.Betterutilisationofdevelopmentopportunitiesintheexistingbuilt-upareaswhereinfrastructurecapacitiespermitwouldberecommended.Whilemassiveconstructionprogrammeslikethenewtownsofthe1970sto1990swillnotbeembarkedupon,newdevelopmentareas(NDAs)ofamoderatescaleinnorthernNewTerritoriesareproposedtoprovidelandforamixtureofusesincludinghousing,employment,highereducationandhigh-value-added/cleanindustrialprocesses.Thesewillbecomprehensivelyplannedtoprovideanalternativechoiceoflivingwhichemphasisesbothqualitylivingspaceandresident/userconvenience.
1 PreferredDevelopmentOption,undertheHK2030Study,concernsaboutthefuturespatialdevelopmentpattern,outliningwhere,whattypeandhowmuchdevelopmentwouldtakeplaceatdifferentplanninghorizons.Asummaryofthemajorassumptions,planningparametersanddevelopmentproposalsofthePreferredDevelopmentOptionisatAppendix 1.
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Approach
5. ApreliminarysustainabilityassessmentofdifferentinitialdevelopmentoptionsundertheReferenceScenario2wasundertakenduringStage3oftheStudyinNovember2003withaviewtocomparing,inbroad-brushterms,thesustainabilityoftheseinitialdevelopmentoptionsandscopingoutmajorissuesbasedonexistinginformationavailableforfurtherassessmentintheensuingstageofStudy.
6. Forthepurposeofthissustainabilityassessment,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionfortheHK2030Studyiscomparedwiththe“withoutscenario”situationin2030soastoascertaintheacceptabilityofsustainabilityimplicationsofthePreferredDevelopmentOptiontoberecommendedandidentifykeyissuesthatneedtobefurtherexaminedoraddressedduringtheimplementationstage.
7. Underthe“withoutscenario”situation,thepopulationandeconomicgrowthinHongKongisassumedtoincreaseinasimilarmagnitudewiththatoftheHK2030Study,exceptthatthelatterhasassumedahigherintakeoftalent/skilledworkersandinvestorsinthelong-termtobeinlinewiththevisionforgrowthtowardsaknowledge-basedeconomy.Forthisreason,wehaveassumedcertaindegreeofgrowthanddevelopmentevenunderthe“withoutscenario”scenarioandhencetherewillalsobeprovisionofkeyinfrastructure,roadsandrailprojectsaswellasgrowthinvariouseconomicsectorsandfurtherexpansionintheurbandistrictsandintheNewTerritoriestocopewiththedevelopmentpressureandneedsofthesociety.
8. ThedifferencesbetweenthePreferredDevelopmentOptionandthe“withoutscenario”situationinclude,interalia,developmentoffurthercontainerterminalfacilitieseitheratNorthwestLantau(NWLantau)orSouthwestTsingYi(SWTsingYi),NDAsatnorthernNewTerritoriestoaccommodateadditionalpopulation,provisionofnewemploymentnode,highereducationfacilitiesaswellasspecialindustrialuse,andthestrategic
2 UndertheHK2030Study,theReferenceScenariohasbeensetoutaswhatweenvisagethefuturewillbelikebasedonthebroadtrendsandvisiontarget,andbytakingintoaccountexistingpoliciesandknowncommitments.ThekeyassumptionsandconsiderationsusedinderivingtheReferenceScenarioincludepopulation,employment,landrequirementsforvarioustypesofusesuchashousing,economic,transportandkeyinfrastructures.BasedontheresultsandrecommendationsoftheSEAandotherdetailedassessments,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionfortheHK2030StudywillthenbeformulatedinStage4.
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Sustainability Report IVroadlinksandrailwaynetworkassociatedwiththesenewdevelopmentproposals.CommitteddevelopmentproposalandinfrastructureprojectslikeKaiTakPlanningReview,HarbourAreaTreatmentScheme(HATS)Stages2AandB(astrategicsewerageinfrastructureimprovementschemetoimprovetheoverallwaterqualityoftheVictoriaHarbour)havebeenassumedunderallthescenarios.Asummaryofthemajorassumptions,planningparametersanddevelopmentproposalsofthePreferredDevelopmentOptionisatAppendix 1.
9. InviewofthestrategicnatureoftheHK2030Study,manyofthedevelopmentproposalsarebroadlyconceptualandwillbesubjecttofurtherdetailedassessmentsorstudiesbeforeproceedingtotheimplementationstage.Inthisregard,thesustainabilityassessmentconductedatthisstageisgenerallyaqualitativeone,withinputofinformationfromotherdetailedassessmentslikestrategictransportmodelling,economicandfinancialassessmentsaswellasstrategicenvironmentalassessment(SEA),whereappropriate,forquantitativeanalysis.
Scenarios Considered
10. Twoscenarioshavebeenassessedthroughoutthesustainabilityassessment:
“WithoutScenario”: BaselinesituationofHongKongin2030.
Scenario1a: Situationin2030withpossiblenewcontainerterminaldevelopmentatNW Lantauandtheimplementationofthemajordevelopmentproposalsassetoutinparas.7to8andAppendix 1.
Scenario1b: Situationin2030withpossiblenewcontainerterminaldevelopmentatSW Tsing Yiandtheimplementationofthemajordevelopmentproposalsassetoutinparas.7to8andAppendix 1.
11. SinceScenarios1aand1bonlydifferfromeachotheronthepossiblelocationofthefuturecontainerterminal,theywillbecomparedwiththe“withoutscenario”situationaltogetherinthefollowingparagraphs.Findingsonthedifferencebetweenthesetwoscenarioswillbehighlightedinthetext,whereappropriate.
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Assumptions Made
12. ThefollowingassumptionsweremadeundertheHK2030Studyfortheassessment:
(a) Populationwillincreaseupto7.2millionby2010,7.8millionby2020and8.4millionby2030.
(b) GDPgrowthratesperannumareassumedtobe4%(between2005and2010),3.5%(between2011and2020)and3%(between2021and2030)respectively.
(c) PendingcompletionoftheEcological,FisheriesandWaterQualityImpactAssessmentStudyfortheproposedcontainerterminaldevelopmentatNWLantau,bothpossiblecontainerterminallocationsinNWLantauandSWTsingYihavebeentakenintoaccountintheStudy.
(d) Cross-boundaryinteractionswillbeimprovedthroughthecompletionofnewcross-boundarylinksincludingtheHongKong-ShenzhenWesternCorridor(SWC),HongKong-Zhuhai-MacaoBridge(HZMB),Guangzhou-Shenzhen-HongKongExpressRailLink(ERL).Anothercross-boundarylinkatLiantang/HeungYuenWaihasbeenproposedforfurtherstudiesanditsdetailshasnotbeentakenintoaccountinthecurrentReferenceScenario.
(e) Agradualchangefromcoaltogaspowergeneration,supplementedbyenvironmentallysustainablesourcesofenergyhasbeenassumed.
(f) Expenditureoninfrastructuralfacilitieswillbeincreasedforsupportingthenewdevelopmentsintheterritory.
(g) PossibleroadandrailinfrastructuresaregenerallybasedontheThirdComprehensiveTransportStudy,theSecondRailwayDevelopmentStudyandthelatestNWNTTrafficandInfrastructureReview.MajortransportinfrastructuresassumedtotakeplaceundertheStudyarelistedinAppendix 1.
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Sustainability Report IVAffected Indicators
13. Afterrespondingtotheprescribedquestions,32indicatorshavebeenconfirmedas“affectedindicators”and10indicatorsarefoundtobelessaffectedunderScenario1a(Appendix 4).Thesame32indicatorsarefoundaffectedunderScenario1bbeingassessed.
Economy
14. Affectedindicators:Cost-Benefit,FixedCapital,PrivateRentandUnemploymentRate
(a) Theassessmentindicatedsmallimprovementtothecost-benefitandunemploymentrateandmoderateimprovementtothefixedcapitalandprivaterent.
(b) TheeconomicandfinancialassessmentsconductedinStage4re-affirmedthat,overallspeaking,thefinancialcostoftheproposedinfrastructuraldevelopmenttotheGovernmentcan,inbroadterms,becoveredbytherevenuereturnsubjecttofurtherdetailedassessment.DevelopmentoftheNDAsinthenorthernNewTerritoriesmightbringaboutsomeeconomiccostforusingtherurallandresource.Withrespecttothefuturecontainerterminaldevelopment,theanalysisconcludedthatbothpossiblelocations,i.e.NWLantauandSWTsingYi,havetheirbenefitsgiventheircloseproximitytotheproposedHZMBandtheexistingcontainerterminalsinKwaiTsingDistrictrespectively.
(c) Overallspeaking,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionwouldenhanceHongKong’seconomiccompetitivenessthroughtheprovisionofadequatelandforCBDGradeAoffices,generalbusinessuse,specialindustrialuse,NDAsdevelopment,strategictransportnetworkandanewcontainerterminal.Also,theHKIA2025recentlyannouncedbytheAirportAuthorityHongKong,hassuggestedthatstudiesonthefeasibilityoftheconstructionofathirdrunwaywillbeconducted.
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(d) Althoughthereisnoquantitativedataonthenumberofjobplacestobecreatedduringtheconstructionandoperationstagesoftheproposeddevelopments,nodoubtitwillhelpreducetheunemploymentrateofHongKonginthemediumtolong-termwhentheyarecommenced.Moreover,theStudyhasassumedahigherintakeoftalentandskilledworkersafter2021inordertofilltheshortageintheworkingpopulationagainstprojectedemployment.
(e) Withtheproposeddevelopments,itisexpectedthatprivaterentwillstabiliseinthelongrunasaresultofadequatehousingsupplyinthemarketwiththeNDAsdevelopment,furtherdevelopmentofnewtownsandurbanrenewalprojectstomeetlong-termhousingneeds.
Health and Hygiene
15. Affectedindicators:CommunicableDiseasesandRespiratoryDiseases
(a) Theassessmenthasrevealedslightimprovementtotheindicatorsoncommunicableandrespiratorydiseases.
(b) Theadoptionofarail-baseddevelopmentapproachforthefutureNDAs,togetherwithotherenvironmentallyfriendlymodesoftransport,isexpectedtoinducereductioninvehicularemissionsinthemediumtolong-term.AccordingtotheresultsoftheSEAundertakenfortheStudy,theairqualitymodellingindicatesgeneralimprovementsin2030withtheimplementationofthecommittedcontrolmeasures.However,theconcentrationofsomeairpollutantsinsomeareaswouldworsen.Thesechanges,coupledwithpositivedesignintransportinfrastructure(suchasplacingstrategicroadundergroundorsubmergedandminimizingthroughtrafficinresidentialneighbourhoods),advancementoftechnologies(likeswitchingtoEuroIVorVemissionstandardsinfutureyears)couldhelpimprovetheairqualityandhencereducerespiratorydiseases.
(c) Regardingtheindicatorofcommunicablediseases,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionadvocatesthedevelopmentoflowtomedium-densityNDAstoprovidemorechoicesoflivingtopeople,whichwillalsohelpthinningoutthecongestedurbanenvironment.Theurbanenvironmentwillbefurtherimprovedthroughurbanrenewal
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Sustainability Report IVprojectsaswellasvariouspedestrianplansandareaimprovementplansinselectiveurbandistricts.Thelesscongestedandwell-vegetatedenvironmentwillhelpreducethepopulationsusceptibletothesehealththreats.
Natural Resources
16. Affectedindicators:ConstructionWasteandEnergyConsumption
(a) ThereismoderatedeteriorationintheconstructionwasteindicatorparticularlyunderScenario1a,wherereclamationandconstructionofadditionalroadlinkstoconnectthe‘artificialisland’withexistingtransportnetwork(thoughcontainerterminaldevelopmentcouldalsobeviewedasavaluabledepositoryforsurplusconstructionanddemolitionmaterials)willgeneratealotofwasteduringconstruction.ThedeliveryofinertC&DmaterialsforbeneficialreuseinMainlandreclamationprojectsmayneedtocontinueiflocalpublicfilloutletsremaininsufficient.
(b) MSWgenerationislikelytohavestabilisedorbeguntodecrease.However,aspointedoutintheHK2030SEA,theoperationofthenewcontainerterminalatNWLantau,ifselected,willinvolvesignificantmaintenancedredging,whichwillcausesignificantimpactstothelimitedcapacityofthemuddisposalareas.Thismayresultintheneedtofurtherextend/replacetheexistingmuddisposalareas.Ontheotherhand,thereisalsoaneedtohandlethecontaminatedmudatSWTsingYi,shouldthefuturecontainerterminalbelocatedhere(Scenario1b).ThesitefortheproposedLokMaChauLoop,whichwaspreviouslybeingusedasadumpingsiteforsoftsediment(ofwhichaboutonemillionm3couldbecontaminated),alsorequiresfurtherstudied.
(c) Increaseinpopulationandeconomicactivitiesmayinducecorrespondingincreaseintheconsumptionofenergy.However,theHK2030SEAconcludedthattherearemany‘cleanenergy’sourcesdevelopedorbeingdeveloped,e.g.theuseofdistrictcoolingsystem,windorsolarenergy.Thesuccessfulintroductionofthese‘clean’or‘freeofcharge’energyinfuturewillhelpreduceourenergyconsumptioninthelong-term.Moreover,giventhatarail-based
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approachhasbeenrecommendedinthedevelopmentofNDAsundertheStudy,itisconsideredthattherewillbeimprovementstothisindicatorinthelongrunasNDAdwellersareexpectedtorelymainlyonthismodeofpublictransportinconnectingtheurbanareas.Theconstructionofmajorroadsandportinfrastructureswillalsohelpimprovetheenergyefficiencyaspectasboththepeopleandgoodscouldbemovedinashorterandfastermannerwhichwillbebeneficialtosavetheenergyconsumed.TheimpactsofNDAsdevelopment(whichmaybelessenergyefficientduetolongertraveldistance)andurbanrenewalprojects(resultinginmorepeoplemovingoutfromthecongestedcitycentre)mayhavebeenoffsetinviewofthelongplanninghorizonofthisstrategicstudy.
Society and Social Infrastructure
17. Affectedindicators:EducationAttainment,EducationExpenditure,HousingInadequacy,HousingWaitingList,LivingSpaceandOpenSpaceShortfall
(a) Theassessmenthasrevealedmoderateimprovementstotheindicatorsonhousinginadequacyandhousingwaitinglistwhilstsmallimprovementtothelivingspaceindicator.
(b) ThePreferredDevelopmentOptionwillsetforthstrategytoprovideadequatelandforhousingdevelopmentfortheincreasedpopulation.Intheperiodbetween2003and2030,atotalrequirementofabout924,000units(averaging34,000peryear)hasbeenassumed.ThroughthedevelopmentoftheNDAs,furtherdevelopmentofnewtownsandurbanrenewalprojects,itwillprovidesufficientprivateandpublichousingunitstomeetfutureneedsandhencehelpshortenthewaitinglistandaddressthehousinginadequacyinHongKong.
(c) Ontheotherhand,oneofthebroadplanningdirectionsoftheStudyistoprovideabetterqualitylivingenvironmentthroughbetterurbandesign,implementationofvariouspedestrianplansandareaimprovementplansinselectiveurbandistrictsaswellastheprovisionof‘quality’openspacetopeople.Bothscenarioshavesimilarperformanceinthisrespect(smalltomoderateimprovementtotheindicatorsonlivingspaceandopenspaceshortfall).
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Sustainability Report IV(d) Theindicatorsoneducationattainmentandexpenditureareexpected
toimproveslightlyunderbothscenariosastheproposedNDAswouldreservelandfordevelopmentofadditionalhighereducationfacilities.
Biodiversity
18. Affectedindicators:ManagedMarineHabitat,ManagedTerrestrialHabitat,MarineEco-valueandTerrestrialEco-value
(a) AccordingtothefindingsoftheHK2030SEA,bothcontainerterminaloptionswouldhavenegativeimpactsontheindicatorsonmarineandterrestrialeco-values,inparticulartheNWLantaucontainerterminaloption.Comparativelyspeaking,the“withoutscenario”situationperformsslightlybetterthanScenarios1aand1bonthesetwoindicators.
(b) TheSEAfindingsre-affirmedthatthedeterminingfactorofthemarineeco-valueindicatoristhelocationofthefuturecontainerterminal.ThepossibleNWLantaucontainerterminalislocatedincloseproximitytoanecologicallysensitivearea.Thenewcontainerterminal,ifselectedtobelocatedinNWLantau,willdisturbthehabitatoftheinternationallyprotectedChineseWhiteDolphinaswellasthedesignatedMarineParkatShaChauandLungKwuChauandapotentialMarineParkinSouthwestLantau(FanLau).Conversely,theenvironmentalperformanceofTsingYicontainerterminaloptionwillbesimilartothe“withoutscenario”,i.e.aslightimprovementtotheindicatorwhentheproposedHATSStage2A(targetedforcompletionin2013)andStage2B(subjecttotheresultsofreviewtobecarriedoutin2010/11)aswellasotherseweragemasterplansareimplementedinfuture.
(c) Theassessmentindicatedthattheremaybemoderatenegativeecologicalimpactstotheindicatoronterrestrialeco-value,particularlytheproposeddevelopmentatLokMaChauLoopforspecialeconomicuse,whichislocatedincloseproximitytotheMaiPoRamsarsiteandissurroundedbycontiguousfishpondswithhighecologicalvalue.ThesiteisinvicinityoftheWetlandConservationAreaandhenceitspotentialecologicalimpactwouldneedtobecarefullyassessedbeforeproceedingtotheimplementationstage.
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(d) Ontheotherhand,itisfoundthatbothScenarios1aand1bwillperformslightlybetterthanthe“withoutscenario”totheindicatorsonmanagedmarinehabitatandmanagedterrestrialhabitat.Thisismainlybecausethoseareaswhichareofecologicalimportance,suchasRamsarsite,SitesofSpecialScientificInterest,WetlandConservationAreaandBufferArea,CountryandMarineParks,etc.havebeendefinedasoneofthe“no-go”areasundertheHK2030Studyandwillnotbeconsideredasasourceofsupplyinmeetingthelandrequirementofvarioususesatastrategicplanninglevel.
(e) Inconclusion,theHK2030SEAproposedfurtherstudiesbeconductedtounderstandingreaterdetailtheimpactsandsignificanceofpotentialhabitatlossordegradation.Whilst,alltheproposedmajordevelopmentswillbesubjecttodetailedEIAstudiesatthedetailedplanningstage.
Leisure and Cultural Vibrancy
19. Affectedindicators:ArchaeologicalSites,HistoricalSites,SignificantLandscapeFeatures(Area)andSignificantLandscapeFeatures(Point)
(a) GiventheHK2030Studyisconductedatastrategiclevel,itwouldnotbepracticalnorpossibleforthePreferredDevelopmentOptiontosaythatithasbeendrawnuptoavoidpotentialimpactstoallarchaeologicalandhistoricalsites.Forthisreasonandontheunderstandingthatbotharchaeologicalsites,andhistoricalandculturalsitesofconservationvaluehavebeendefinedas“no-go”areasundertheStudy,theassessmentconcludedthatthescenarioswillhaveaveryslightdeteriorationtotheindicatorsonarchaeologicalandhistoricalsites.Nevertheless,considerationwouldbegiventoprotectthesesitesandrecommendnecessarymitigationmeasuresduringthedetailedplanningstageatdistrictplanninglevel.AnotherexampleisthatduringthearchaeologicalsurveycarriedoutfortheSWC,NgauHomShekBeachSitehasbeenidentifiedasasiteofculturalheritageandarescuedexcavationhasbeencarriedoutbeforecommencementofwork.Performanceofthe“withoutscenario”situationwouldbeslightlybetterthanScenarios1aand1bbutnoremarkableimprovementtothesetwoindicatorsisanticipatedunlesstherearechangestotheconservationpolicyinfuture.
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Sustainability Report IV(b) Theassessmentrevealedthattherewillbesmalldeteriorationtothe
indicatorsonsignificantlandscapefeatures(area)andsignificantlandscapefeatures(point)mainlyinconsiderationofthefuturecontainerterminaldevelopmentateitherLantauorTsingYi,NDAsdevelopmentatnorthernNewTerritories,furtherdevelopmentofnewtownsaswellastheassociatedstrategicroads,railwaysandkeyinfrastructuretocopewiththegrowthinpopulationandincreaseineconomicactivities.AccordingtotheSEAfindings,developmentofNWLantaucontainerterminal,ifselected,mayaffecttheopenseascapesaswellasthenaturalcoastlineanduplandofLantauIsland,whichisverysensitivetochangeandmaybedifficulttomitigatethevisualimpacts.Also,developmentoftheNDAsintheNewTerritoriesmayresultinimpactstothenaturallandscapes,whichmaynotbeeasilyreplenishedoncedamaged.Assuch,specialattentionneedstobemadeatthedetailedplanningstage.The“withoutscenario”situation,comparingwithScenarios1aand1b,isexpectedtoperformbetterinviewofnoNDAsdevelopmenthasbeenassumed.
Environmental Quality
20. Affectedindicators:BeachWaterQuality,CarbonDioxideEmittedPerYear,CriteriaAirPollutants,ExcessiveNoise,MarineWaterQuality,RiverWaterQualityandToxicAirPollutants
(a) Asawhole,alltheindicatorstriggeredarefoundtohavegeneralimprovementsunderbothscenarioswiththeimplementationofthecommittedcontrolmeasures.However,theconcentrationofsomeairpollutantsinsomeareaswouldworsen.Theassessmentgenerallyechoeswiththefindingsofthepreliminarysustainabilityassessmentconductedin2003.
(b) Onmarinewaterquality,theHK2030SEAconcludedthattherewillbeanoverallimprovementinthewaterqualitywithinHKSARinthemediumtolong-termmainlybecauseoftheimplementationoftheHATSandvariousseweragemasterplans.Stage2AoftheHATSisanticipatedtobecompletedin2013whereastheimplementationofitsStage2Bwillbesubjecttoareviewtobecarriedoutin2010/11.UponfullimplementationoftheHATS,waterqualityinthe
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VictoriaHarbourWaterControlZone(WCZ)isexpectedtoimprovesignificantly.
(c) TheSEAfindingsalsopointedoutthatlarge-scaleconstruction/reclamationworkforportfacilitiesmayhavesignificantimpactstothewaterflowpatterns.Duringtheconstructionstage,theSWTsingYioptionwouldleadtoelevatedSuspendedSolid(SS)levelsintheWesternBufferWCZandhenceadverselyaffectthedispersionofthepollutiondischargedfromtheStonecuttersIslandSewageTreatmentWorks(STW).Ontheotherhand,theNWLantauoptionwouldleadtoelevatedSSlevelsinNorthWesternWCZ,resultingfromthedredgingandfillingforthereclamationprogramme.Moreover,thephysicalpresenceofthenewcontainerterminalwouldhavepotentialdisruptiontotheexistingsewageoutfallofTaiOSTWandreprovisioningofitsoutfallwouldberequired.
(d) CompletionoftheHATSandplannedseweragemasterplanswouldbringaboutmoderateimprovementtothebeachwaterqualityasaresultoftheprovisionofdisinfectionfacilitiesattheStonecuttersIslandSTW,whichwillgreatlyreducetheproportionofbacteriallevelinVictoriaHarbourWCZandWesternBufferWCZ.Theresultisthepossiblere-openingofthebathingbeachesintheTsuenWanareawithinthestudytimeframeof2010.
(e) Nevertheless,theSEAalsopointedoutthatwithimplementationoftheseproposals,thebackgroundwaterpollutionlevelfromPearlRiverandShenzhencatchmentswillbemoreinfluentialtoHongKonginthefuture.
(f) Majorsourcesofcriteriaairpollutantsandtoxicairpollutantswouldbemotorvehicleandpowerplants.Infuture,theHK2030SEAidentifiedthatthemostimportantcontributortoHongKong’sairpollutionin2030willbefrompowergeneration3.Thecontributionofthemarineemissionsin2030isexpectedtoincrease.Theairqualitymodellingresultsalsorevealedthatthereislikelytobegeneralimprovementsintheairqualityin2030withtheimplementationofthecommittedcontrol
3 BasedontheairqualitymodellingfindingsoftheSEA,73%ofSO2,36%ofPM10and40%ofNOXisduetopowergeneration,whilst36%ofNOXisduetomarinevesseltrafficcomparedtoa12%contributionofNOXfromroadbasedvehicles.
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Sustainability Report IVmeasures.However,theconcentrationofsomeairpollutantsinsomeareaswouldworsen.Theimprovementinairqualityismainlyduetotheadoptionofarail-baseddevelopmentapproachfortheNDAsandtheuseofenvironmentallyfriendlymodesoftransport,technologicaladvancement(e.g.possibleintroductionofEuroVemissionstandards,useofwindandsolarenergy,etc.)andmorecross-boundarycooperationonenvironmentalmattersareexpectedinthecomingyears.
(g) Theassessmentindicatedasmallimprovementtotheindictoronexcessivenoiseunderbothscenarios.Therewillbeanimprovementtotheoverallnoiseenvironmentinthefuture,especiallyintheexistingindustrialandresidentialinterfaceareasinviewofthedecreaseinindustrialactivitiesandcontinuedeconomictransformationinHongKong,despitethefactthattrafficvolumemayincreasewiththegrowthintotalpopulationinHongKong.Accordingtotheroadtrafficnoisemodellingresults,therewillbeadecreaseinproportionoftotalpopulationsusceptibletoexcessivenoise4.Withaviewtoidentifyingproblematicareastoreducepotentialroadtrafficnoiseimpacts,preliminarynoiseassessmenthasbeencarriedoutfortheNDAsbeforethePreferredDevelopmentOptionisfinalized.Besides,itisalsoanticipatedthatwiththedevelopmentonquietconstructionmethod/equipmentaswellastheadoptionofarail-basedapproachanduseofenvironmentallyfriendlymodesoftransportinthemediumtolong-term,thenoiseimpactscouldbecontrolledtoanacceptablelevel.
(h) Ontheriverwaterqualityindicator,theproposedNDAsandconstructionoftheassociatedroadandrailwayprojectsmayinevitablyaffectriverwaterqualitybothduringconstructionandoperationstages.Thiscouldbemitigatedtosomeextentwiththeprovisionofsewerageinfrastructure.Nevertheless,itissuggestedthattheextentofimpactsshouldbeexaminedfurtheratthedetailedplanningstage.
4 ResultsoftheSEArevealedthatthetotalpopulationexposedtoaroadtrafficnoiselevelof>70dB(A)L10(1hour)willbeatabout1.4millionin2030,or17%ofthetotalpopulation.
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Mobility
21. Affectedindicators:FreightCosts,TravelDistanceandTravelSpeed
(a) Theassessmenthassmalltomoderateimprovementtotheindicatorsonfreightcosts,traveldistanceandtravelspeed,andtheresultisinlinewiththatofthepreliminaryassessmentconductedin2003.
(b) Withthecompletionofthenewcross-boundarytransportinfrastructurelikeSWC,HZMBandERL,itwillgreatlyimprovetheaccessibilitybetweenHongKongandtheMainland,inparticulartheconnectionbetweenourportandairportwiththePRDregion.Itisanticipatedthattherewillbeageneralreductionoffreightcosts.Inconsiderationofthepossiblecontainerterminallocations,theNWLantauwouldhavetheadvantageoflocatingclosetotheHZMB,whilsttheSWTsingYisitewillbenefitfromthecomparativelylowerinter-terminalcost.
(c) Comparingwiththecurrentsituation,theStrategicTransportAssessmentresultsindicatedthatthetraveldistancerequiredtoworkandschoolisexpectedtoimproveveryslightlyinfutureyearsthoughmorepopulationwouldbeaccommodatedinNDAsinthenorthernNewTerritories.Withtheproposedtransportroadlinksandrailwayprojectsimplemented,itisconsideredthatthestrategiccorridorswouldbeabletocopewiththedemands.Nevertheless,localtrafficproblemswouldneedtobedealtwithseparatelyatthedetailedplanningstage.
(d) Ontheindicatoroftravelspeed,theStrategicTransportAssessmentrevealedthattheaveragevehiculartravelspeedisexpectedtomaintainorimproveveryslightlyinfutureyearswiththeimplementationoftheplannedcross-boundaryanddomestictransportinfrastructureaswellasotherplanningstrategiestomeetfutureneedsofpopulationgrowthandincreaseineconomicactivities,e.g.adoptionofarail-basedapproachindevelopingtheNDAs.NewcontainerterminalatNWLantau,ifselected,willalsoresultinanimprovementtocargovehiclemovementintheurbanarea.
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Sustainability Report IVOther Major Considerations:Non-quantifiable indicators
22. Apartfromtheabove,thefollowingnon-quantifiableindicatorsshouldbetakenintoaccount:
(a) ThePreferredDevelopmentOptionfortheHK2030StudyisformulatedbasedonourvisiontodevelopHongKongasthe“Asia’sworldcity”.Ithastakenintoaccounttherequirementforprovisionofadequatelandtomeetthefutureneedsforpopulationandeconomicgrowth,housing,employment,developmentofanewcontainerterminal(withlocationateitherNWLantauorSWTsingYi)andotherstrategicinfrastructure.IndevisingthePreferredDevelopmentOption,weneedtoensurethatthedevelopmentstrategiesformulatedundertheStudycouldberealizedinasustainablemannerandwouldbeconducivetoenhancethequalityofourlivingenvironment.
(b) Inlinewiththepreliminarysustainabilityassessmentconductedin2003,thePreferredDevelopmentOption,apartfromsettingstrategytomeetlong-termhousingneeds,assumesthatexistingurbansiteswouldbedevelopedfirst.Asaresult,existingandplannedinfrastructurecouldbebetterutilizedandthecostofdevelopingNDAscouldalsobespreadouttoalongertimeframe.SuchanapproachisalsoinharmonywiththeGovernment’sFirstSustainableDevelopmentStrategyannouncedin2005,whichemphasizestheimportancetospeedupimprovementstotheolderurbanareaenvironment.
(c) ThePreferredDevelopmentOptionwouldenhanceHongKong’soverallurbanlandscapethroughthinningoutofpopulationfromthecongestedurbandistricts,urbanrenewalprojects,KaiTakPlanningReviewandanumberofareaimprovementschemes.Thiswillhelpfosterasenseofplaceamongstthecitizens,providepeoplewithagreenerandcleanerenvironmentaswellasanimprovedaestheticalvaluebothintermsofthecityscapesandurbanlayout,whichwillinturnresultinimprovementstothesocial,psychologicalandbehavioraldimensionsofthecommunityandhelpachieveourvisionofprovidingpeoplewithaqualitylivingenvironment.
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(d) Ontheotherhand,accordingtothefindingsoftheHK2030SEA,thekeylandscape(andvisual)impactsrelatingtothePreferredDevelopmentOption(underbothScenarios1aand1b)willbethatassociatedwiththefundamentalchangeinlandscapecharacterresultingfromtheNDAsdevelopmentinthenorthernNewTerritories.TheSEA,bymakingreferencetothe“LandscapeCharacterMapofHongKong”publishedbythePlanningDepartment,concludedthatitwillbeimpossibletomitigatetheimpactsresultingfromtransformationfromlargelyrurallandscapestomedium-tohigh-riseurbanenvironment.Tominimizethepossiblelandscapeandvisualimpactsonthesurroundingarea,thelayoutfortheNDAswillbedrawncarefullyandmitigationmeasuressuchaslandscapeplantingandsteppedbuildingheightswouldberecommendedatthedetailedplanningstage.
DevelopmentofthefuturecontainerterminalatNWLantau,ifselected,willresultinmoresignificantlyadverselandscapeimpactsthanSWTsingYicontainerterminaloptionastheexistinglandscapecharacterofNWLantauisremoteandexposed,characterizedbyopenseascapes(punctuatedbymarinevessels)aswellasnaturalcoastlineanduplandsofLantauIsland.Thisarea,accordingtotheHK2030SEA,isverysensitivetochangeanditwillbeimpossibletomitigatethevisualimpactsoftheportfacilitiesontourists,hikersandpleasurecrafts.
(e) Withrespecttotheurbandesignaspect,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionaimsatprovidingbetterqualitylivingenvironmenttopeoplethroughtheprovisionofpedestrianfriendlyenvironment,improvedopenspacenetworkaswellasbetteraccessforthedisabledandelderly.ThesearewitnessedintheimplementationofNDAsdevelopment,urbanrenewalprojects,theon-goingareaimprovementschemesandpedestrianplansinvariousurbandistricts.Again,thisalsoechoeswiththeGovernment’srecentlyannouncedFirstSustainableDevelopmentStrategy,whichrecommended,interalia,theneedtopromotesustainableurbanplanninganddesignpracticesthatwillensureHongKongtobecomeanattractiveandenjoyableplaceinwhichtoliveandwork.
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Sustainability Report IV(f) ThePreferredDevelopmentOptionformulatedundertheStudyis
preparedwithreferencetotheGovernment’slatestpolicyinitiativesandtheresultsofvariousdetailedimpactassessmentsaswellastheviews/commentsofthecommunityobtainedduringthestudyprocess.Togaugetheviewsofthepublic,atotalofthreeroundsofconsultationhadbeenconductedin2001,2002and2003respectively.TosolicittheviewsoftheMainlandauthorities,inparticulartheirviewsandcooperationonthetopicofstrengtheninglinkswiththeMainland,theStudyTeam,duringStage3PublicConsultation,visitedvariousplanningbureaux/authoritiesinthePRDregionandMacao.Inthelightoftheabove,thepublicacceptabilityofthePreferredDevelopmentOptionformulatedundertheStudymightbepositive.AsummaryofcommentsreceivedinthepreviousthreestagesofpublicconsultationisatAppendix 3.
Analysis and Evaluation
23. TheSustainabilityAssessmentdiagramisatAppendix 2.
24. Itisnotedthatbothscenarios1aand1b,i.e.withpossiblecontainerterminallocationsatNWLantauorSWTsingYi,willbringaboutimprovementtotheEconomy,HealthandHygiene,SocietyandSocialInfrastructure,andEnvironmentalQuality,buthaveadverseeffectsonsomeoftheindicatorsunderBiodiversityandLeisureandCulturalVibrancy.Incomparison,scenario1b(SWTsingYicontainerterminaloption)willbringaboutlesserenvironmentalimpactsthanscenario1a(NWLantaucontainerterminaloption).
Major Cross-sectional Issues
25. Thefindingsofthepreliminarysustainabilityassessmentconductedin2003isgenerallyapplicabletotheassessment.Inbrief,itisrevealedthattheenvironmentalimpactsaremainlycausedbydevelopmentoftransportationinfrastructureandportfacilitiesaswellasNDAsatthenorthernNewTerritories.PendingthecompletionoftheEcological,FisheriesandWaterQualityImpactAssessmentStudyfortheproposedcontainerterminaldevelopmentatNWLantau,wewillhaveamorein-depthandthoroughunderstandingofthelikelyimpactsofthetwopossiblecontainerterminallocations.Withrespecttotheimpactsofothermajordevelopment
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proposals,theyhavebeenassessedandevaluatedinbroadtermsundertheHK2030SEAand/orthedetailedtechnicalassessmentsbeforethePreferredDevelopmentOptionisfinalized.Furtherstudies/assessmentswouldbecarriedoutatthedetailedplanningstage.
26. AsstrengtheninglinkswiththeMainlandisoneofthemajorplanningdirectionsoftheHK2030Study,theimpactsonenvironmentismainlycausedbytheconstructionofcross-boundarystrategicroadlinkandrailprojectslikeHZMBandERLaswellasthepossibledevelopmentoftheFrontierClosedArea(FCA),inparticulartheLokMaChauLoop,tocaterforourfuturedevelopmentneedsinviewofitsproximitytotheexisting/plannedcross-boundaryfacilitiesandShenzhen’scentralbusinessdistrict.Fromamacrodevelopmentpointofview,developmentoftheLoopaswellastheFCAwillhaveeconomicbenefitsifitcancombinethestrengthsofHongKongwiththoseofShenzhen.Ontheotherhand,developmentofadditionalcross-boundarytransportfacilities,apartfromthebenefitsofmakingoptimizeduseofboththeportsandairportsinthePRDregionandprovidingimpetusforHongKong’sfurthergrowth,itwillinturnsupportandenhancedevelopmentofthePRDregionfromtheeconomicdevelopmentpointofview.Fromthesocialperspective,suchdevelopmentswillalsohelpspeeduptheintegrationofHongKongwiththeMainland.Nevertheless,inviewofthecomplexityoftheseissues,detailedassessmentsarethereforerequiredtoassessthepossibleimpactsattheimplementationstage.RegardingthefutureuseoftheareastobereleasedfromtheFCA,aconsultancystudywillsoonbecommissionedbythePlanningDepartmentwithaviewtoformulatingaplanningframeworktoguidetheconservationanddevelopmentofthearea.
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Sustainability Report IVRecommendation
27. ThesustainabilityofthePreferredDevelopmentOptionfortheHK2030StudyisconfirmedasitwillhelprealizeourvisiontodevelopHongKongas“Asia’sworldcity”.Themajorproposalswouldprovideforthenecessaryinfrastructuretocopewithourfuturepopulationandeconomicgrowth.Theywillalsobringaboutpositiveeffectsonthesocialaspectintermsofprovidingabetterqualitylivingenvironmentandenhancingtheaccessibilitiestodifferentkindsoffacilities.Inaccordancewiththefindingsoftheassessment,bothscenariosperformmuchbetterthanthe“withoutscenario”situation.ThereisnosignificantdifferencebetweenScenarios1aand1binmostofaspects,excepttheTsingYicontainerterminaloptionwillperformslightlybetteronthoseindicatorsrelatedtoBiodiversity.
Attachments
Appendix1: MajorAssumptions,PlanningParametersandDevelopmentProposalsofthePreferredDevelopmentOption
Appendix2: SustainabilityAssessmentDiagramAppendix3: Asummaryofcommentsreceivedinthepublic
consultationsofthepreviousthreestagesoftheHK2030Study
Appendix4: AlistofthoseindicatorstriggeredintheSustainabilityAssessmentprocessbutareconsideredirrelevanttotheScenario
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Appendix 1
Major Assumptions, Planning Parameters and Development Proposals of
the Preferred Development Option
Thefollowingisasummaryofmajorplanningparametersanddevelopmentproposals,assumptionsonkeyinfrastructurefacilities,roadnetworkandrailprojectsassumed.
I. Population and Employment
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Note:Assumespopulationwillgrowataslowerrateofabout0.7%perannum.Asteadyrateofeconomicgrowth(annualGDPgrowthat4.0%initiallyandgraduallyfallingto3.0%)isassumed.
Base Year 2010 2020 2030ResidentPopulation 6.8 7.2 7.8 8.4Employment 3.0 3.5 3.7 4.0(inmillion)
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Sustainability Report IVII. Housing Land Requirement
III. Economic Land Requirement
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Note:‘GeneralBusiness’landusecoversprivateoffices(excludingCBDGradeAoffices),industrial/officeuses,flattedfactoriesandprivatestorages.‘SpecialIndustrialUses’involvehighvalue-added,high-techproductionandlogisticsactivitiessuchasindustrialestates,scienceparkandCyberport,etc.Thefloorspacerequirementtakesintoaccounttheexistingsurplusstockandtheneedtoaccommodatea‘naturalvacancy’factor,alevelofvacancyevenunderanormalhealthymarketsituation.
Base 2010 2020 2030
Demand Req’t Year 2003–30 2003–30 CBDGradeA 4.1 5.1 5.8 6.7 2.6 2.7OfficesGeneral
33.0 35.5 36.2 38.2 5.2 5.4BusinessSpecial
4.0 5.5 6.0 6.7 2.7 2.9IndustriesTotal 41.1 46.2 47.9 51.6 10.5 11.0(GFAinmillionm2)
Note:Intheperiodbetween2003and2030,atotalrequirementofabout924,000units(averaging34,000peryear)isassumed.
Base Year 2010 2020 2030HousingStock 2,394 2,642 2,948 3,319AccumulativeRequirement - 248 553 924(inthousandunits)
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Todeterminetheoptimumlocationforthenewterminal,twolocations,namelyNorthwestLantauandSouthwestTsingYi,havebeenexaminedundertheStudyonHongKongPort–MasterPlan2020(HKP2020Study).WhilstadecisiononthepreferredlocationforthenewterminalispendingcompletionoftheEcological,FisheriesandWaterQualityImpactAssessmentStudyfortheproposedcontainerterminaldevelopmentatNorthwestLantau,theHK2030StudyhastakenintoaccountbothpossiblecontainerterminallocationsintheReferenceScenarioforthepurposeofassessment.
IV. Strategic Infrastructure
Port Development Ourassumptionsforfuturecontainerthroughputandterminal
capacitiesareasfollows:
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Source:HKP2020Study
Note:Themaximumcapacityoftheexistingcontainerport(CT1to9)isaround18.6millionTEUs,withapotentialforfurtherincreaseby1.7millionTEUs,andpossiblymoreifadditionallandandotherproductivitymeasuresareintroduced.Iftheprojecteddemandisrealized,thereislikelytobeaneedforanewcontainerterminal(CT10)inthefirsthalfofthenextdecade.
Base Year 2010 2020 2030Cargo Throughput 12.8 18.0 28.8 34.5Terminal Capacity CT1–8,CT9(part) 13.1 - - -CT1–9 - 19.8 21.7 23.0CT10 - - 7.2 11.6Total 13.1 19.8 28.9 34.6(inmillionTEUs)
Annexes
Sustainability Report IVPort Back-Up (PBU) Land
ThecurrentsupplyofPBUlandis378hain2003.TheHKP2020StudypredictsthatthetotaldemandforPBUlandwillincreasewithportthroughputbutthetrendfortheseusestomoveovertheboundarynearthecargocentresinthePRDisexpectedtocontinue.IftheprojecteddemandofPBUlandistoberealized,wewouldneedtoidentifyadditionallandtoaddressthisdemand.
Airport
In2005,theHongKongInternationalAirport(HKIA)providedservicesto40.7millionpassengersandhandled3.4milliontonnesofcargo.TheAirportAuthorityHongKonghasrecentlypublishedanupdateoftheAirportMasterPlan(knownastheHKIA2025)toguidethefuturedevelopmentoftheHKIAupto2025.Ithasprojectedthatby2025,HKIAwillserve80millionpassengers,handle8milliontonesofcargoand490,000aircraftmovementseachyear.
AlthoughithasproposedstudiesonthefeasibilityfortheconstructionofathirdrunwayattheHKIA,thisproposalhasnotbeentakenonboardunderthePreferredDevelopmentOptionoranyofthe“WhatIf”Scenariosforassessmentintheabsenceofanydetailsonthisproposalatthisstage.
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Base Year 2010 2020 2030PBULand Demand 260 204 309 398Supply 378 - - -Knownsources - 439 480 500(inhectares)
Source: HKP2020 Study and Planning Department’s estimation
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IV Sustainability Report
V. Committed and Assumed Major Transport Projects
Railway Projects
Major Road Projects
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By 2010(committedinadditiontoexistingrailnetwork)• TseungKwanOSouthStation• KowloonSouthernLink• SheungShuitoLokMaChauSpurLineBy 2020(inadditionto2010network)• ShatintoCentralLink• KwunTongLineExtension• NorthernLink• HongKongSectionofGuangzhou-Shenzhen-HongKong
ExpressRailLink• WestIslandLine• SouthIslandLine(East)By 2030(inadditionto2020network)• NorthHongKongIslandLine• SouthIslandLine(West)
By 2010(committedinadditiontoexistingnetwork)New Territories• Route8(ShatintoTsingYi)• CastlePeakRoadWidening(TsuenWanArea2toSiuLam)Cross Boundary• HongKong-ShenzhenWesternCorridor• DeepBayLink
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Sustainability Report IV
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Notes:1. *TheStrategicNorth-SouthLinkbetweenNWNTandNorthLantau
standsforthepossiblealternativeoptionsbeingconsideredintheNWNTTrafficandInfrastructureReview,whichcovercandidateprojectsofLamTeiTunnel,TaiLamChungTunnel,TsingLungBridge,TuenMunWesternBypass,TuenMun-ChekLapKokLink,TuenMunEasternBypass,andLinkOptionsbetweenTuenMunandLantau.
By 2020(inadditionto2010network)Hong Kong• Central-WanChaiBypass• IslandEasternCorridorImprovement(CausewayBay-
NorthPoint)Kowloon• GascoigneRoadFlyoverwidening• CentralKowloonRoute• TrunkRoadT2(KaiTak–ChaKwoLing)New Territories• ToloHighway/FanlingHighwaywidening
(IslandHouseInterchange-Fanling)• TseungKwanO-LamTinTunnel• CrossBayLinkatTseungKwanO• Hiram’sHighwayDualling(ClearwaterBayRoad-SaiKungTown)• LantauRoadP1(TungChung–SunnyBay)• *StrategicNorth-SouthLinkbetweenNWNTandNorthLantauCross Boundary• ^HongKong-Zhuhai-MacaoBridge(HZMB)• HZMB’sNorthLantauHighwayConnection
By 2030(inadditionto2020network)Hong Kong• TheFourthHarbourCrossing• Route4(KennedyTown–Aberdeen)asanalternativeto
SouthIslandLine(West)New Territories• EasternHighway(NENTtoKowloon)• TsingYiLantauLink-withCoastalroadand
ChokKoWanLinkRoad(PaTauKwuSection)
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IV Sustainability Report
VI. Demand for Cross-Boundary Road Traffic
UndertheReferenceScenario,thedailycross-boundary(two-way)vehicletrafficonanormalweekdayisassumedasfollows:
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Car Bus / Coach TotalBase Year 8,200 3,600 11,8002010 34,900 4,800 39,7002020 63,000 9,400 72,4002030 96,400 12,900 109,300
Goods Vehicle Container Truck TotalBase Year 14,800 12,800 27,6002010 24,400 23,100 47,5002020 35,000 35,400 70,4002030 39,400 39,900 79,300
2.^TheGovernmentsofGuangdong,HongKongandMacaohavecommissionedaconsultanttostudyonthelocationsandarrangementsoftheBoundaryCrossingFacilities(BCF)underthemodeof“SeparateLocationofBCF”fortheHZMB.
3. ItshouldbenotedthatprojectsassumedarepurelypostulatesforstrategictransportassessmentsofthedevelopmentscenariosundertheStudy.Theneed,scopeandtimingofeachoftheassumedtransportprojectswouldbesubjecttofurtherreview.
4.TheproposedLiantang/HeungYuenWaicontrolpointandtheconnectiontotheShenzhenEasternCorridor,whichissubjecttofurtherstudies,hasnotbeenincludedinthePreferredDevelopmentOptionforassessment
Annexes
Sustainability Report IVVII. Other Strategic Infrastructure
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WasteManagement
SewageTreatment
PowerSupply
WaterSupply/Treatment
Telecommunications
• ThecapacityofsolidwastehandlingfacilitiescouldbeenhancedbyextensionofexistinglandfillsandplanningofnewlandfillsaswellasdevelopmentofintegratedwastemanagementfacilitiesandtheEcoPark.
• RemainingstagesoftheHATSandseweragemasterplanreviewswillbecompletedbefore2020.
• Gradualchangefromcoaltogaspowergeneration,supplementedbyotherformsofrenewableenergysuchaswindpower,solarenergy(nomajorlandimplications)etc.
• Dongjiangwaterwillremainasoneofthemajorsourcesofrawwaterandthesupplyquantityshouldbecommensuratewiththedemand.
• Desalinationisoneofthepossiblealternativewatersources.Coastalsitesforsuchinstallationsmayberequiredsubjecttofurtherstudy.
• AfeasibilitystudyontheengineeringstrategyfortheTotalWaterManagementinHongKongisbeingconductedwhichwillmapoutthelong-termstrategyonthedistributionofwatersupplyfromvarioussourcesformeetingthewaterdemand.
• ExtensionofTeleportisenvisagedtocaterforlong-termrequirement.
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IV Sustainability Report
VIII. Major Development Proposals / Projects
ThefollowingmajordevelopmentproposalsareassumedtotakeplaceorcompletedwithinthestudytimeframeoftheHK2030Study:
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Development ProposalsCentralReclamationIIICyberportHongKongDisneylandHongKongInternationalAirportDevelopmentsKaiTakDevelopmentLantauConceptPlanproposalsLogisticsParkatSiuHoWanNewDevelopmentAreas-KwuTungNorth,FanlingNorth&PingChe/TaKwuLing(Three-in-OneScheme)andHungShuiKiuNgongPing360OceanParkRedevelopmentRecoveryParkinTuenMunScienceParkatPakShekKokTseungKwanOFurtherDevelopmentTungChungDevelopmentUrbanrenewalprojects(various)WanchaiDevelopmentIIWestKowloonCulturalDistrict
Annexes
Sustainability Report IVAppendix 2
Sustainability Assessment Diagram(Assessment Year : 2030)
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Indicators Without Scenario 1a Scenario 1b ScenarioArchaeologicalsites Beachwaterquality Carbondioxide
emittedperyearCommunicablediseases Constructionwaste
Cost-Benefit Criteriaairpollutants Educationattainment Educationexpenditure Energyconsumption Excessivenoise Fixedcapital Freightcosts Historicalsites
Housinginadequacy Housingwaitinglist Livingspace
Managedmarinehabitat
Managedterrestrialhabitat
Marineeco-value Marinewaterquality Openspaceshortfall Privaterent Respiratorydiseases Riverwaterquality Significantlandscape features(area)Significantlandscape
features(point)Terrestrialeco-value
Toxicairpollutants Traveldistance Travelspeed Unemploymentrate
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IV Sustainability Report
Legends
Annotatesnochangetothecurrentbaselinesituation
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Improvement DeteriorationVery Small Small
Moderate
Moderate to Large
Large
Very Large
Note:Scenario1a:PreferredDevelopmentOptionwithpossiblecontainerterminallocationatNorthwestLantauScenario1b:PreferredDevelopmentOptionwithpossiblecontainerterminallocationatSouthwestTsingYi
Annexes
Sustainability Report IVAppendix 3
A Summary of Comments Received in the Previous Three Stages of HK2030 Public Consultation
ConsultationforStage1(formulationofobjectives),Stage2(keyissuesandevaluationcriteria)andStage3(scenarioanddevelopmentoptions)werecompletedinApril2001,March2002andMarch2004.Belowisasummaryofmajorcommentsreceivedinthesethreestagesofpublicconsultation:
Stage 1
• TherearelargedegreeofcommunityconsensusonthemissionoftheHK2030StudywhichistoachievethevisionforHongKongtobecomeAsia’sworldcityandamajorcityofChina;
• TheImportanceofsustainabledevelopmentandbetterlivingenvironmenthasbeenwidelyrecognised;
• Itisagreedthatthereisaneedtoenhanceattractivenessofharbourandcityscape;
• Populationpolicyisneeded;and• NeedforstrongtieswithPRDhasbeenestablished.
Stage 2
• Itisurgedforadditionalcross-boundarytransportconnections;• Betterutilizationoflandandwaterresourcesareneeded;and• Thereisaneedtostrikeabalancebetweeneconomic
development,e.g.furtherportexpansion,andenvironmentalsustainability.
Stage 3
• Theprovisionofaqualitylivingenvironmentasakeyplanningdirectionissupported,anditisurgedformeasurestoenhancethelivingenvironmentbeputinplaceassoonaspossible;
• ThedirectionofstrengtheninglinkswithMainlandissupported;
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IV Sustainability Report
• Theneedfora‘vision-driven’populationassumptionfor2030hasbeenaccepted,however,theassumptionofthepopulationmaybeonthehighside;
• Itisconsideredthattheprevailingdevelopmentdensitylevelsaregenerallyacceptable,however,lowerplotratiosshouldbeintroducedonnewdevelopmentsitessuchastheharbour-fronts;
• Therearediverseviewsonconsolidationordecentralizationdevelopmentpattern;
• TherearediverseviewsondevelopmentoftheFrontierClosedArea(FCA).Thosedidnotsupportmainlyforconservationorenvironmentalprotectionreasons,othersurgedforanearlyopeningupoftheFCAandthatdevelopmentsshouldbeallowedintheFCA;
• ThereareoverwhelmingurgefortheGovernmenttominimisetheextentofreclamation,andtoenhancepublicinvolvementintheplanningofharbour-frontareas;and
• Therearemixedviewsontheneedforauniversitytown.
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Sustainability Report IV
Appendix 4
Indicators Triggered in the SustainabilityAssessment Process but are
Considered Not Relevant to the Scenarios
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IndicatorsCancerElderlycareservicesFreshwatersupplied
IncomedifferentialLandfillcapacityLocalfreshwaterMunicipalwaste
RegisteredvolunteersStudentsjoiningcommunityservicesUrbtixticketssales
Reasons for Removing IndicatorsNotrelevantNodirectimpactNosignificantimpact;DonjiangwateristhemoreimportantsourceofwatersupplytoHongKongNodirectimpactNodirectimpactNodirectimpactNosignificantdifferenceinquantityofmunicipalwastepercapitaisanticipatedNotrelevantNotrelevant
Notrelevant