#schoolnetsa #Schoolnetsa Maggie Verster @maggiev Maggie Verster @maggiev.
Annals of the University of North Carolina Wilmington ...PERFORMANCE OF SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INDEXES...
Transcript of Annals of the University of North Carolina Wilmington ...PERFORMANCE OF SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INDEXES...
Annals of the
University of North Carolina Wilmington
International Masters of Business Administration
http://csb.uncw.edu/imba/
PERFORMANCE OF SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INDEXES
OVER DIFFERENT MARKET REGIMES
Maggie A. Land
A Thesis Submitted to the University of North Carolina Wilmington in Partial Fulfillment
of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Business Administration
Cameron School of Business
University of North Carolina Wilmington
2010
Approved by
Advisory Committee
Cetin Ciner Ravija Badarinathi
William Sackley Chair
Accepted by
_____________________________ Dean, Graduate School
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT ............................................................................................................................. iii
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS..........................................................................................................iv
DEDICATION............................................................................................................................v
LIST OF TABLES.....................................................................................................................vi
LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................................ viii
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................1
CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW .....................................................................................3
CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY AND RESULTS ....................................................................6
CHAPTER 4: CONCLUSIONS ................................................................................................14
BIBLIOGRAPHY.....................................................................................................................43
APPENDIX ..............................................................................................................................45
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ABSTRACT
This thesis extends an investigation by Schröder (2007) into the performance of a
group of socially responsible indexes (SRI). Indexes were examined from the time period of
inception of each index to August 2010 or the end of an index’s life. Index performance was
riskadjusted using the Sharpe ratio and compared to the Sharpe ratio of the SRI’s
conventional benchmark. In addition, the excess returns were measured using Jensen’s alpha.
The contribution of this study is the analysis over a longer period of time and the examination
of differences in return patterns during different market regimes. Results from the study
indicate that SRIs perform comparably to their benchmarks and have less risk than indicated
in prior studies.
Audience: Investors, shareholders and academics.
Keywords: socially responsible investing, equity indexes, performance, risk
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
My thanks go to my committee chair, Dr. William Sackley, whose hard work and
guidance as my thesis chair has helped me persevere through the completion of my thesis. I
would also like to acknowledge my committee members, Dr. Cetin Ciner and Dr. Ravija
Badarinathi who each provided their expertise and input in my thesis.
My study could not have been performed without the help and support of the Cameron
School of Business, so I thank the school for providing me with invaluable resources and
motivation. The days in the Edward Jones Room staring at the Bloomberg terminals will
always be remembered.
Special thanks go to my fellow International MBA students; I know it was with their
support and endless encouragement that has kept me motivated. The 2010 UNCW Spring
IMBA class has been a great group of students to study with and each student has taught me
more than I ever would imagine. I would especially like to thank Javier Molto and Ramon
Ausina for their assistance in my data collection.
Finally, I would like to thank my family for their constant support and faith in me
throughout the past year.
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DEDICATION
This thesis is dedicated to my mother and father, Lourdes and David Land, whose
support and encouragement have meant the world to me.
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LIST OF TABLES
Table Page
1. SRI Indexes and their conventional benchmarks .................................................. 6
2. Index Performance versus Benchmark Performance – Mean, Standard Deviation, and Sharpe Ratio ................................................................................ 9
3. Index Performance versus Benchmark Performance – Jensen’s alpha and Beta tests.................................................................................................... 12
4. Descriptive Statistics ......................................................................................... 23
5. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for INSYV vs. FSX5ES...................................................... 24
6. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for CALVIN vs. RIY .......................................................... 25
7. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4EU5X vs. FTREEURB................................................ 26
8. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GEU vs. FTREEURB.................................................. 27
9. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GL1 vs. FTAD01 ........................................................ 28
10. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GGL vs. FTAD01 ....................................................... 29
11. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4UK5X vs. ASX ........................................................... 30
12. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GUK vs. ASX ............................................................. 31
13. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4US1 vs. LOUSAX....................................................... 32
14. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GUS1 vs. LOUSAX.................................................... 33
15. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for HMNIEU vs. MXWO................................................... 34
16. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for HMNIXUS vs. SPX ...................................................... 35
17. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for HMNIXGL vs. MXWO ................................................ 36
18. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for HMNIXSW vs. MXSE.................................................. 37
19. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for JSI vs. SPTSX60........................................................... 38
20. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for KEMSSRITEUR vs. JSSCEURO.................................. 39
21. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for KLD vs. SPX................................................................ 40
22. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for NATUR vs. MXWO ..................................................... 41
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23. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for ETHIEGL vs. SPGLOB ................................................ 42
24. H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for ETHIEEU vs. SXXP ..................................................... 43
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure Page
1. S&P 500 Monthly Performance ........................................................................... 7
2. Sharpe ratio ASPI Index vs. DJ EUROSTOXX Benchmark............................... 16
3. Sharpe ratio CALVIN Index vs. RIY Benchmark .............................................. 16
4. Sharpe ratio 4EU5X Index vs. FTREEURB Benchmark .................................... 16
5. Sharpe ratio 4GEU Index vs. FTREEURB Benchmark ...................................... 17
6. Sharpe ratio 4GL1 Index vs. FTAD01 Benchmark............................................. 17
7. Sharpe ratio 4GGL Index vs. FTADO1 Benchmark ........................................... 17
8. Sharpe ratio 4UK5X Index vs. ASX Benchmark................................................ 18
9. Sharpe ratio 4GUK Index vs. ASX Benchmark.................................................. 18
10. Sharpe ratio 4US1K Index vs. LOUSAX Benchmark ........................................ 18
11. Sharpe ratio 4GUS Index vs. ASX Benchmark .................................................. 19
12. Sharpe ratio HMNIEU Index vs. MXWO Benchmark........................................ 19
13. Sharpe ratio HMNIXUS Index vs. SPX Benchmark........................................... 19
14. Sharpe ratio HMNIXGL Index vs. MXWO Benchmark..................................... 20
15. Sharpe ratio HMNISW Index vs. MXSE Benchmark......................................... 20
16. Sharpe ratio JSI Index vs. SPTSX60 Benchmark ............................................... 20
17. Sharpe ratio KEMSSRITEUR Index vs. JSSCEURO Benchmark ...................... 21
18. Sharpe ratio KLD Index vs. SPX Benchmark..................................................... 21
19. Sharpe ratio NATUR Index vs. MXWO Benchmark.......................................... 21
20. Sharpe ratio ETHIEGL Index vs. SPGLOB Benchmark..................................... 22
21. Sharpe ratio ETHIEEU Index vs. SXXP Benchmark.......................................... 22
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
Socially responsible investing (SRI) results when the societal impact of an investment
is included in the investor’s assetselection process. (Socially Responsible Investing Basic for
Individuals) The growth trend in socially responsible investments and funds has been
significant, with SRI assets rising more than 324 percent from $639 billion in 1995 to $2.71
trillion in 2001. During the same period, the broader universe of assets under professional
management increased less than 260 percent from $7 trillion to $25.1 trillion (2007 Report of
Socially Responsible Investing Trends in the United States, 2008). In the UK, the value of
assets under management by ethical funds has increased from £400 million in May 1992 to
£4,200 million in July 2004 (Collison, Cobb, Power, & Stevenson, 2008). SRI investing has
truly become an integral force in new investment strategies. SRI investments have also been
referred to as ethical funds, or green funds.
There are many factors that have led to the growth in SRIs, for example, the rising
concern for global climate change has promoted the creation of unique SRI funds that either
promote green energy and/or exclude any companies involved in nonenvironmentally
friendly actions. SRI funds and indexes also look at new and old political issues including the
human rights crisis in Sudan and the exclusion of companies that do business with some
countries in Africa that have unethical practices. There are many different exclusionary
screens one can place on their investment choices, such as, excluding alcohol, tobacco,
firearms, gambling, or other criteria that at least in the minds’ of many investors, do not
benefit society. In addition to exclusionary criteria, some permit only investments that
promote green energy. According to the EIRIS (Ethical Investment Research Services) the
following are categories of what some SRIs take into account when created:
Animals: animal testing, fur, intensive farming and meat sale
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Corporate ethics: bribery and corruption, social, environmental, and ethical risk
management, and women on the board of directors
Developing countries: commodity extraction, debt, breast milk substitutes, access to
medicines, and tobacco marketing
Environment: environmental management, policy, reporting and performance,
chemicals of concern, climate change and greenhouse gases, mining and quarrying, nuclear
power, sustainable timber, pollution, water pollution, biodiversity, and genetic engineering
Human rights
Military issues
People and stakeholder issues: equal opportunities, community involvement, health
and safety, relationship with customers and suppliers, supply chains, trade unions, and
training and development.
Positive products and services
Other ethical issues: alcohol, contraception and abortion, gambling, pornography and
adult entertainment services, and tobacco
The composition of funds and indexes has guidelines that can significantly change the
composition of the individual SRIs.
One of the major questions that is asked when SRIs are analyzed is: “If you invest in a
socially responsible way, will you receive the same returns as if you were to invest
traditionally?” The purpose of this study will be to see if prior research findings still stand.
With the fluctuations in the market over the past three to four years, there may be a variation
in the performance of SRIs, which this study will investigate by looking at SRI indexes and
comparing their performance to the conventional benchmarks. There will be an expansion
and replication of prior research to compare with earlier studies of SRIs.
CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW
Given society’s changing preferences, SRIs are of great interest to investors and are
attracting much research attention. One of the original scholars of SRI research is Milton
Moskowitz who looked at the theory of a corporation’s performance in response to what
customers and investors perceive about their social responsibility (Moskowitz, 1972). To
demonstrate the value of Moskowitz’s contributions, an annual award is offered to recognize
outstanding quantitative work in socially responsible investing (Moskowitz Prize for Socially
Responsible Investing).
An extensive array of studies has investigated the many different factors of socially
responsible investing from analyzing reasons behind the phenomena, to composition of SRIs,
to analyzing their performance in comparison to benchmarks. Some of the studies have
analyzed the SRI mutual funds, (Bauer, Koedijk, & Otten, 2002)(Hamilton, Jo, & Statman,
1993)(Kreander, Gray, Power, & Sinclair, 2005), some have evaluated individual companies,
and others have compared a mixture of socially responsible investments. Prior studies have
used time frames from the 1980s to the 2000s and current published research does not extend
beyond 2005. A majority of the research found that on average, SRIs performed in line with
regular investments and there was no statistically significant difference.
This thesis will focus on the recent research that investigates the performance of
socially responsible indexes in comparison to their conventional benchmarks. The following
articles will be discussed further to develop the hypothesis for the present research.
1. Is there a Difference? The Performance Characteristics of SRI Equity Indices
(Schröder, 2007).
This study looks at 29 international SRI equity indexes and examines whether there is
a difference in the performance of the SRI in comparison to their conventional benchmark.
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Schröder examines the time frame from fund inception to December 2003. The results
indicate that SRI equity indexes do not display a significant difference in performance but
they do carry higher risk in comparison to their benchmarks. A key factor in this study is that
Schröder finds that the SRI equity indexes and the benchmarks have comparable Sharpe
ratios. This research also explains why indexes are an effective way to measure the socially
responsible aspect of investing in comparison to the appropriate benchmark. Schröder’s
research provides is a foundation for the selection of SRI indexes used in this thesis.
2. Socially Responsible Indexes: Composition, performance and tracking error
(Statman, 2005).
Statman analyzes the different social screens that encourage the creation of SRIs, as
well as the performance of these investments against the S&P 500. The four indexes that
were observed were the Domini 400 index, Calvert index, Citizens index, and the U.S.
portion of the Dow Jones Sustainability Index. The social scores of the indexes focus on
different social characteristics and it is observed that each SRI index has different purposes in
their investment policy. Statman found that SRIs performed better during market booms, but
lagged during market busts.
3. The Financial Performance of the FTSE4Good Indices (Collison, Cobb, Power, &
Stevenson, 2008).
This study centralized the research on the financial performance of the FTSE4Good
indexes over the time period of 1996 to 2005 in which it was discovered that the FTSE4Good
indexes outperformed their benchmarks. There are four main FTSE4Good indexes and they
include an index in the United Kingdom, a European index, a United States index, as well as
a Global index. All of the indexes are based on a larger FTSE index, specifically the FTSE
AllShare Index, FTSE All World Europe Index, FTSE US Index, and FTSE AllWorld
Developed Index, respectively. The difference in performance was attributed to differences
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in risk and the results indicate that investors do not suffer when they follow a socially
responsible strategy.
CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY AND RESULTS
This study looks at 20 investible, international SRI equity indexes and their
conventional benchmarks. The use of benchmarks to compare performance has become
somewhat the research standard and is referred to as the matching approach. Selected
benchmarks are either the official benchmark chosen by the SRI index or the index used in
prior analysis based on a correlation of performance to the SRI fund in question. The SRI
equity indexes are composed of global, European, American, Canadian, British, and Swedish
indexes and are listed in Table 1 with their corresponding ticker. The returns for all indexes
were obtained from the Bloomberg database in a monthly time series.
Table 1. SRI Indexes and their conventional benchmarks
Index Name Ticker Benchmark Name BM Ticker Region
ASPI INSYV DJ EUROSTOXX FSX5ES Eurozone
Calvert Social Index CALVIN Russell 1000 RIY US
Ethical Index Euro ECAPEG13 STOXX Europe 600 SXXP Eurozone
Ethical Index Global ECAPGCMB MSCI World MXWO Eurozone
FTSE4Good Europe 50 4EU5X FSTE AW Europe FTREEURB Europe
FTSE4Good Europe 4GEU FSTE AW Europe FTREEURB Europe
FTSE4Good Global 100 4GL1 FTSE Developed World FTAD01 World
FTSE4Good Global 4GGL FTSE Developed World FTAD01 World
FTSE4Good UK 50 4UK5X FT All Share ASX UK
FTSE4Good UK 4GUK FT All Share ASX UK
FTSE4Good US 100 4US1 FTSE Local USA LOUSAX US
FTSE4Good US 4GUS FTSE Local USA LOUSAX US
Humanix 175 Europe HMNIEU DJ STOXX DJW1 Europe
Humanix 175 US HMNIXUS S&P 500 SPX US
Humanix 200 Global HMNIXGL MSCI World MXWO World
Humanix 50 Sweden HMNIXSW MSCI Sweden MXSE Sweden
Jantzi Social Index JSI S&P/TSE60 SPTSX60 Canada
Kempen SNS Smaller KEMSSRIT HSBC Smaller European JCSCEURO Europe
KLD Domini 400 Social KLDI400P S&P 500 SPX US
Naturaktienindex NX25 MSCI World MXWO World
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The index returns are all converted into USD to allow for comparisons of returns, and the
time frame for analysis includes all the data available for the fund, from inception until the
end of August 2010. Some SRI equity indexes were only available for a brief period of time;
for example, the Humanix Social indexes were only in use from June 2001 to May 2004.
There are several reasons as to why indexes are being analyzed instead of SRI
equities or SRI mutual funds as analyzed in past studies. The advantages of using SRI
indexes are that the SRI screen can be measured directly and the performance of a portfolio
does not interfere with the SRI screens. In addition, the market timing and transaction costs
of investment funds does not need to be considered in analyzing indexes as they would with
individual SRI funds (Schröder, 2007). The performances of these indexes have been risk
adjusted using the Sharpe ratio and also over specified time periods to distinguish trends
during different market regimes. The time periods that are analyzed are differentiated by
whether the market was increasing or decreasing in relation to the S&P 500, shown in Figure
1.
Figure 1. S&P 500 Monthly Performance
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In past studies, SRI indexes have been analyzed over a period of time where the
market may have trended in one predominant direction. Thus, one innovation in this study is
the segmentation of study period by market regime. In addition, the time period for data
analysis has been extended to include all returns available to August 2010. The largest time
frames examined are for KLD Domini 400, one of the oldest SRI equities, which was
examined over 10 years. The shortest time frames studied would be with the Humanix
indexes, at approximately three years each. The time periods that are observed are: the whole
period in which an index is available (from inception to its close if applicable), the time
frame of the 1990s to August 2000 in which the market was expanding, September 2000 to
February 2003, March 2003 to October 2007, November 2007 to June 2009, and the final
period of July 2009 to August 2010. Statman analyzed the KLD against the S&P 500 and
found that there were performance differences in comparison to how the market was
performing (Statman, 2006). His analysis motivated the idea of looking at the performance
of the SRI indexes over the ups and downs of market performance over the past 10 years.
Although prior studies frequently use multifactor models, their use should not be
necessary in this study for three reasons, according to Schröder:
1. SRI indexes do not follow a specific investment style.
2. Indexes are adjusted infrequently.
3. SRI indexes are closely related to their conventional benchmark index.
This study will follow similar methodology to Schröder in the use of the Sharpe ratio, and
will use monthly data for all the indexes, as well as, the onemonth federal funds rate as a
proxy for the riskfree interest rate.
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The Sharpe ratio measues the return above the riskfree interest rate divided by the total
risk of the investment.
(1)
μ = annualized mean of the index’s returns
rf = riskfree interest rate (US onemonth Federal Funds Rate)
σ = Volatility –as measured by the standard deviation of the index’s returns
The purpose of calculating the Sharpe ratio for the SRI indexes and their benchmarks is to
allow for comparison of performance. As seen in Table 2, eight out of the 20 indexes
outperform their conventional benchmark.
Table 2. Index Performance versus Benchmark Performance – Mean, Standard Deviation, and Sharpe Ratio
SRI Indexes Mean Mean BM
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation
BM
Sharpe Ratio
Sharpe Ratio BM
ASPI 0.0306 ‐0.0119 0.2224 0.2322 0.0160 ‐0.1597 CALVIN ‐0.0335 ‐0.0241 0.1785 0.1630 ‐0.3771 ‐0.1597 4EU5X ‐0.0173 0.0395 0.1993 0.2329 ‐0.2070 0.0506 4GEU 0.0006 0.0395 0.2027 0.2329 ‐0.1080 0.0506 4GL1 ‐0.0269 0.0042 0.1733 0.1672 ‐0.3054 ‐0.1102 4GGL ‐0.0215 ‐0.0016 0.1721 0.1754 ‐0.2661 ‐0.1357 4UK5X ‐0.0043 0.0098 0.1771 0.1801 ‐0.1519 ‐0.0728 4GUK ‐0.0051 0.0098 0.1767 0.1801 ‐0.1564 ‐0.0728 4US1 ‐0.0542 ‐0.0663 0.1990 0.1991 ‐0.4076 ‐0.4824 4GUS ‐0.0526 ‐0.0663 0.2004 0.1991 ‐0.3948 ‐0.4824 HMNIEU ‐0.0276 ‐0.0130 0.2257 0.1568 ‐0.1992 ‐0.1893 HMNIXUS ‐0.0511 ‐0.0282 0.0991 0.1619 ‐0.7117 ‐0.2819 HMNIXGL ‐0.0661 ‐0.0130 0.0954 0.1568 ‐0.9177 ‐0.1893 HMNIXSW 0.0596 0.0628 0.2634 0.2901 0.1510 0.1470 JSI 0.1138 0.1216 0.2178 0.2177 0.2651 0.2838 KEMSSRITEUR 0.1199 0.0598 0.2345 0.2211 0.2057 0.0759 KLD 0.1256 0.0937 0.1544 0.1504 0.1629 0.0974 Natur 0.3370 0.0201 0.2251 0.1579 0.7654 ‐0.0542 ETHIEGL 0.1231 0.1396 0.2287 0.2300 0.3922 0.4359 ETHIEEU 0.1890 0.2068 0.1314 0.1308 0.8146 0.8924
i
f i
r SR
σ µ −
= i
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In this table we can see that eight of the 20 indexes outperform for the entire time frame,
which extends from index creation to either when it ended or the end of August 2010
(Outperformance is indicated by the highlighted Sharpe ratio.). The indexes that
outperformed were: ASPI, the US FTSE4Good indexes, Humanix 50 Sweden, Kempen SNS
Smaller European SRI Index, KLD Domini 400 Social index, and Naturaktienindex. While
seven of the 20 indexes outperformed, the comparison shows that six of the 20 indexes have a
higher mean than their benchmark. This accounts for about 35% of the indexes while in prior
research from Schröder, 17 out of 29 (approximately 59%) indexes had a mean excess return
that was higher for the SRI indexes. A higher mean return might only be the result of a
higher risk exposure; the riskadjusted returns should also be compared using the Sharpe ratio.
Eight of the SRI indexes show that the Sharpe ratio is higher than the relevant benchmark,
and for six of these, the SRI indexes outperform the relevant benchmark both in terms of
mean excess returns and the Sharpe ratio. In comparison to Schröder’s work, the results have
improved for the benchmark indexes and have worsened for the SRI indexes, where in the
earlier 18 indexes out of 29 indexes, the Sharpe ratio was higher and in 15 indexes, the mean
excess returns and Sharpe ratio were higher.
By calculating the Sharpe ratios for each period and graphing the results, we visually
see when particular indexes outperform or underperform. The FTSE4Good indexes in
Figures 4 – 11 have similar market movements. The FTSE4Good UK indexes had very high
returns in comparison to the ASX index’s life, but their performance resembles the
benchmark over time. The Humanix indexes in Figures 12 – 15 show that the Humanix SRI
equity indexes underperformed in comparison to their benchmark which may explain why the
indexes ended in May 2004. While the figures show that at times the SRIs may under/out
perform their benchmark, other tests must be calculated to verify whether there is a
significant difference in performance.
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The next part of the study compares the relevant risk of each index to the differences
in characteristics between SRI equity indexes and their conventional benchmarks through the
use of regressionbased tests. The first test looks at the SRI equity index against one
benchmark and will test for out/underperformance. The second test will test for
significance in the differences in risk exposure using equation (2).
Therefore, the basic equation used to measure the relative performance of the SRI
indexes is the linear regression of the excess returns of the SRI index (r ) on the excess
returns of the benchmark index (r ):
(2) = + +
The performance of the SRI indexes is estimated by Jensen’s alpha ( ), i.e., the
excess return that is not explained by the systematic risk exposure with respect to the
benchmark index. As in the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), a β > 1 indicates that the
systematic risk of the SRI index is higher compared to the benchmark. For β < 1 the SRI
index has a lower systematic risk compared to the benchmark.
12
Table 3: Index Performance versus Benchmark Performance – Jensen’s Alpha and Beta tests
Ticker Start Date End date Adj. R 2 Alpha Beta
H0: α = 0 H0: β = 1 INSYV Jan‐04 Aug‐10 0.9785 0.0014 *** 0.9397 *** CALVIN Apr‐00 Aug‐10 0.9685 ‐0.0004 not rejected 1.0748 *** 4EU5X Jul‐01 Aug‐10 0.9403 ‐0.0017 *** 0.8226 *** 4GEU Jul‐01 Aug‐10 0.9667 ‐0.0010 ** 0.8512 *** 4GL1 Jul‐01 Aug‐10 0.9590 ‐0.0013 *** 1.0077 not rejected 4GGL Nov‐01 Aug‐10 0.9877 ‐0.0005 ** 1.0500 *** 4UK5X Jul‐01 Aug‐10 0.9823 ‐0.0005 * 0.9690 ** 4GUK Jul‐01 Aug‐10 0.9922 ‐0.0005 *** 0.9739 *** 4US1 Aug‐06 Aug‐10 0.9509 0.0005 not rejected 0.9691 not rejected 4GUS Aug‐06 Aug‐10 0.9567 0.0006 not rejected 0.9791 not rejected HMNIEU Jun‐01 May‐04 0.8847 ‐0.0004 not rejected 1.3416 *** HMNIXUS Jun‐01 May‐04 0.9614 ‐0.0008 not rejected 1.1683 *** HMNIXGL Jun‐01 May‐04 0.9365 ‐0.0022 ** 1.1368 ** HMNIXSW Jun‐01 May‐04 0.9394 0.0002 not rejected 0.8765 *** JSI May‐01 Aug‐10 0.9723 ‐0.0001 not rejected 0.9819 not rejected KEMSSRITEUR Jan‐99 Aug‐10 0.8860 0.0011 not rejected 0.9789 not rejected KLD May‐90 Aug‐10 0.9262 0.0004 not rejected 0.9887 not rejected Natur May‐03 Jun‐09 0.8270 0.0058 *** 1.2953 *** ETHIEGL Dec‐02 Jun‐08 0.9567 ‐0.0002 not rejected 0.9637 not rejected ETHIEEU Dec‐02 Jun‐08 0.9758 ‐0.0003 not rejected 0.9894 not rejected
* denotes significance at the 10% level ** denotes significance at the 5% level *** denotes significance at the 1% level
In Table 3, Column 4 contains the estimated values for the parameter α. The rejection
of the null hypothesis H0: α = 0 is indicated by asterisks. The results show that Jensen’s alpha,
i.e., the relative riskadjusted performance, is in almost all cases not significantly different
from zero. This provides clear indication that the performance of the SRI equity indexes does
not deviate systematically from their benchmarks. There are nine exceptions compared with
the two exceptions we find in previous work (Schröder, 2007).
The relatively high values for the adjusted R 2 (column 4 of Table 3), which are for
most SRI indexes above 80%, show that the majority of SRI indexes can be well
approximated by the benchmark indexes. Therefore, the results of the SRI stock indexes
using equation (2) show that most of the indexes exhibit no out or under performance
compared to their benchmark and combined with the high estimates for the adjusted R 2 , it can
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be concluded that the majority of the SRI stock indexes deviate only slightly from their
individual benchmark. If such a deviation is significant, it is in most cases due to a β
coefficient different from one.
Column 5 shows the results for the βcoefficients and for the test of H0: β = 1. The
estimated values can be interpreted as a measure of risk relative to the benchmark index. For
some SRI indexes the estimated β is higher than 1; 8 out of the 20 SRI indexes were not
rejected and therefore the null hypothesis could not be rejected while 12 out of the 20 SRI
indexes can be characterized by a statistically significant higher or lower systematic risk.
The 12 that were characterized as statistically significant had 6 that attributed to higher
systematic risk and 6 to lower systematic risk.
These results differ slightly from previous works. Schröeder (2007) obtained the
following results: 19 out of the 29 SRI indexes were significant, and only 5 out of 29 had a β
lower than 1, which exhibits how SRI indexes, over time, are becoming less risky compared
with their benchmark. Although it is outside the scope of this study to ascertain the changing
risk exposure of the SRI indexes over time, it may reflect the availability of additional
investment alternatives within the socially responsible realm. The two indexes that
significantly outperform are ASPI and Naturaktienindex shown in Figures 2 & 19,
respectively.
CHAPTER 4: CONCLUSIONS
The study exhibits that investors can invest in a socially responsible way without the
risk of receiving lower returns, at least on a riskadjusted basis. The SRIs have less excess
returns than in prior studies and their risk is lower. Over time, SRIs have under/out
performed their benchmarks, but for the most part they have moved within their benchmarks’
performance. There was no significant pattern to SRI performance over various time periods
overall, but some groups of SRIs, such as FTSE4Good Indexes and Humanix did behave
similarly within their SRI indexes.
One explanation as to why SRIs have less excess returns could be that social corporate
responsibility in the past represented an uninteresting cost for a company that was perceived
to have few benefits. The popularity and in some cases the obligation of acting socially
responsible has impacted the changes in performance. For example, the United Nations
Global Compact initiative 1 requires all companies that wish to work for the United Nations to
sign and demonstrate that they follow SRI practices that are based on the 10 principles from
the policy. If companies wish to work for international or national public organizations, they
have to implement social responsibility in their organization. It would be interesting to study
whether other factors influence the behavior of SRIs, such as new legislation or societal
changes.
At least one limitation to this study deserves mentioning in hopes of adding value to
future research extensions. Most SRI indexes are owned by proprietary companies and the
data was not accessible. Therefore, opportunities to expand the database would add
credibility to the results. Overall, however, the available data provided a basis for estimating
the regressions which led to the calculated Sharpe ratios and the conclusions which were
drawn.
1 www.unglobalcompact.org – The United Nations Global Compact is a strategic policy initiative for businesses that are committed to aligning their operations and strategies with 10 universally accepted principles in the areas of human rights, labor, environment and anticorruption.
15
Figures 2 – 21 have an xaxis of the time periods and a yaxis of the indexes’ Sharpe ratio Blue lines represent the SRI index and Red lines represent the corresponding benchmark index
Figure 2: Sharpe ratio ASPI Index vs. DJ EUROSTOXX Benchmark
Figure 3: Sharpe ratio CALVIN Index vs. RIY Benchmark
Figure 4: Sharpe ratio 4EU5X Index vs. FTREEURB Benchmark
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
ASPI
DJ EUROSTOXX
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
CALVIN
RIY
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
4EU5X
FTREEURB
16
Figure 5: Sharpe ratio 4GEU Index vs. FTREEURB Benchmark
Figure 6: Sharpe ratio 4GL1 Index vs. FTADO1 Benchmark
Figure 7: Sharpe ratio 4GGL Index vs. FTADO1 Benchmark
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
4GEU FTREEURB
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
4GL1
FTAD01
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
4GGL
FTAD01
17
Figure 8: Sharpe ratio 4UK5X Index vs. ASX Benchmark
Figure 9: Sharpe ratio 4GUK Index vs. ASX Benchmark
Figure 10: Sharpe ratio 4US1K Index vs. LOUSAX Benchmark
‐4.0
‐3.0
‐2.0
‐1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
4UK5X
ASX
‐4.0
‐3.0
‐2.0
‐1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
4GUK
ASX
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
4US1 LOUSAX
18
Figure 11: Sharpe ratio 4GUS Index vs. ASX Benchmark
Figure 12: Sharpe ratio HMNIEU Index vs. MXWO Benchmark
Figure 13: Sharpe ratio HMNIXUS Index vs. SPX Benchmark
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
4GUS LOUSAX
‐2.0
‐1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
HMNIEU MXWO
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
HMNIXUS
SPX
19
Figure 14: Sharpe ratio HMNIXGL Index vs. MXWO Benchmark
Figure 15: Sharpe ratio HMNISW Index vs. MXSE Benchmark
Figure 16: Sharpe ratio JSI Index vs. SPTSX60 Benchmark
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
HMNIXGL
MXWO
‐1.0 ‐0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
HMNIXSW MXSE
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
JSI
SPTSX60
20
Figure 17: Sharpe ratio KEMSSRITEUR Index vs. JSSCEURO Benchmark
Figure 18: Sharpe ratio KLD Index vs. SPX Benchmark
Figure 19: Sharpe ratio NATUR Index vs. MXWO Benchmark
Figure 20: Sharpe ratio ETHIEGL Index vs. SPGLOB Benchmark
‐2.0
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
KEMSSRITEUR
JSSCEURO
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
KLD SPX
‐1.5
‐1.0
‐0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
Natur
MXWO
21
Figure 21: Sharpe ratio ETHIEEU Index vs. SXXP Benchmark
‐5.0
‐4.0
‐3.0
‐2.0
‐1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
ETHIEGL
SPGLOB
‐5.0
‐4.0
‐3.0
‐2.0
‐1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
90‐00 00‐03 03‐07 07‐09 09‐10
ETHIEEU
SXXP
22
Table 4. Descriptive Statistics Mean
Standard Error
Median Standard Deviation
Sample Variance
Range Min Max Sum Count
FSX5ES ‐0.0005 0.0034 0.0029 0.0305 0.0009 0.1909 ‐0.1227 0.0682 ‐0.0361 79
INSYV 0.0010 0.0033 0.0043 0.0290 0.0008 0.1715 ‐0.1091 0.0625 0.0807 79
RIY ‐0.0010 0.0019 0.0039 0.0210 0.0004 0.1248 ‐0.0836 0.0412 ‐0.1257 124
CALVIN ‐0.0015 0.0021 0.0016 0.0229 0.0005 0.1292 ‐0.0806 0.0486 ‐0.1862 124
FTREEURB 0.0012 0.0029 0.0047 0.0302 0.0009 0.1862 ‐0.1196 0.0665 0.1343 109
4EU5X ‐0.0007 0.0025 0.0012 0.0256 0.0007 0.1426 ‐0.0878 0.0549 ‐0.0752 109
FTREEURB 0.0012 0.0029 0.0047 0.0302 0.0009 0.1862 ‐0.1196 0.0665 0.1343 109
4GEU 0.0000 0.0025 0.0025 0.0262 0.0007 0.1549 ‐0.0995 0.0554 0.0025 109
FTAD01 0.0002 0.0021 0.0036 0.0217 0.0005 0.1372 ‐0.0918 0.0454 0.0164 109
4GL1 ‐0.0011 0.0021 0.0017 0.0223 0.0005 0.1269 ‐0.0778 0.0491 ‐0.1228 109
FTAD01 ‐0.0001 0.0022 0.0026 0.0227 0.0005 0.1385 ‐0.0888 0.0497 ‐0.0062 105
4GGL ‐0.0009 0.0022 0.0017 0.0222 0.0005 0.1269 ‐0.0778 0.0491 ‐0.0917 105
ASX 0.0003 0.0022 0.0017 0.0232 0.0005 0.1526 ‐0.0982 0.0544 0.0374 109
4UK5X ‐0.0002 0.0022 0.0003 0.0227 0.0005 0.1422 ‐0.0883 0.0539 ‐0.0174 109
ASX 0.0003 0.0022 0.0017 0.0232 0.0005 0.1526 ‐0.0982 0.0544 0.0374 109
4GUK ‐0.0002 0.0022 0.0015 0.0227 0.0005 0.1439 ‐0.0920 0.0520 ‐0.0204 109
LOUSAX ‐0.0029 0.0038 0.0044 0.0262 0.0007 0.1335 ‐0.0858 0.0477 ‐0.1371 48
4US1 ‐0.0023 0.0038 0.0050 0.0261 0.0007 0.1200 ‐0.0757 0.0443 ‐0.1087 48
LOUSAX ‐0.0029 0.0038 0.0044 0.0262 0.0007 0.1335 ‐0.0858 0.0477 ‐0.1371 48
4GUS ‐0.0022 0.0038 0.0054 0.0263 0.0007 0.1219 ‐0.0772 0.0447 ‐0.1050 48
MXWO ‐0.0005 0.0035 0.0021 0.0204 0.0004 0.0872 ‐0.0512 0.0360 ‐0.0172 35
HMNIEU ‐0.0011 0.0049 ‐0.0062 0.0291 0.0008 0.1424 ‐0.0751 0.0674 ‐0.0375 35
SPX ‐0.0011 0.0036 0.0031 0.0211 0.0004 0.0866 ‐0.0506 0.0360 ‐0.0384 35
HMNIXUS ‐0.0021 0.0042 0.0007 0.0251 0.0006 0.1115 ‐0.0636 0.0479 ‐0.0723 35
MXWO ‐0.0005 0.0035 0.0021 0.0204 0.0004 0.0872 ‐0.0512 0.0360 ‐0.0172 35
HMNIXGL ‐0.0027 0.0041 ‐0.0011 0.0240 0.0006 0.1046 ‐0.0576 0.0470 ‐0.0959 35
MXSE 0.0021 0.0064 0.0049 0.0377 0.0014 0.1528 ‐0.0804 0.0724 0.0749 35
HMNIXSW 0.0020 0.0058 0.0023 0.0341 0.0012 0.1408 ‐0.0719 0.0689 0.0714 35
SPTSX60 0.0031 0.0027 0.0056 0.0281 0.0008 0.2203 ‐0.1319 0.0884 0.3459 110
JSI 0.0030 0.0027 0.0056 0.0280 0.0008 0.2051 ‐0.1218 0.0834 0.3351 110
JSSCEURO 0.0017 0.0024 0.0026 0.0288 0.0008 0.2287 ‐0.1423 0.0864 0.2300 139
KEMSSRITEUR 0.0027 0.0025 0.0064 0.0299 0.0009 0.2171 ‐0.1240 0.0931 0.3800 139
SPX 0.0019 0.0012 0.0044 0.0191 0.0004 0.1266 ‐0.0806 0.0459 0.4631 243
KLD 0.0023 0.0013 0.0025 0.0196 0.0004 0.1169 ‐0.0739 0.0430 0.5508 243
MXWO 0.0007 0.0024 0.0048 0.0208 0.0004 0.1367 ‐0.0918 0.0449 0.0508 73
Natur 0.0067 0.0035 0.0112 0.0295 0.0009 0.2105 ‐0.1307 0.0797 0.4883 73
SPGLOB 0.0038 0.0016 0.0065 0.0133 0.0002 0.0740 ‐0.0380 0.0359 0.2503 66
ETHIEGL 0.0034 0.0016 0.0047 0.0131 0.0002 0.0786 ‐0.0365 0.0421 0.2272 66
SXXP 0.0051 0.0020 0.0054 0.0165 0.0003 0.0995 ‐0.0459 0.0535 0.3334 66
ETHIEEU 0.0047 0.0020 0.0046 0.0166 0.0003 0.1050 ‐0.0463 0.0588 0.3128 66
Benchmark
Table 5: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for INSYV vs. FSX5ES SUMMARY OUTPUT y = INSYV Index
x = FSX5ES Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.989314 R Square 0.978742 Adjusted R Square 0.978466 Standard Error 0.004257 Observations 79
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.064261 0.064261 3545.214 0.000000 Residual 77 0.001396 0.000018 Total 78 0.065657
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% Intercept 0.001450 0.000479 3.026292 0.003365 0.000496 0.002404 0.000184 0.002715 FSX5ES Index 0.939727 0.015783 59.541702 0.000000 0.908299 0.971154 0.898042 0.981412
t‐statistic
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐3.82
Degree of Freedom =
78
10% 5% 2.5% 1% /t/ > 1.6646 1.9908 2.2855 2.6403
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
24
Table 6: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for CALVIN vs. RIY SUMMARY OUTPUT y = CALVIN Index
x = RIY Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.984278 R Square 0.968803 Adjusted R Square 0.968547 Standard Error 0.004069 Observations 124 ANOVA
Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.062734 0.06273
4 3788.5
95 0.000000
Residual 122 0.002020 0.00001
7 Total 123 0.064754
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Uppe r 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept ‐0.000412 0.000366
‐ 1.12694
0 0.2619
80 ‐0.001137 0.000 312 ‐0.001370 0.000545 ‐0.001019 0.000194
RIY Index 1.074788 0.017462
61.551567
0.000000 1.040221
1.109 355 1.029096 1.120480 1.045846 1.103730
t‐statistic H0: β = 1 tstat = 4.28 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
Degree of Freedom =
123 /t/ > 1.6602 1.984 2.2757 2.6259
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
25
Table 7: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4EU5X vs. FTREEURB SUMMARY OUTPUT y = 4EU5X Index
x = FTREEURB Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.969967 R Square 0.940836 Adjusted R Square 0.940283 Standard Error 0.006267 Observations 109
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.066836 0.066836 1,701.52 0.000000 Residual 107 0.004203 0.000039 Total 108 0.071039
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% Intercept ‐0.001703 0.000601 ‐2.835017 0.005480 ‐0.002894 ‐0.000512 ‐0.003279 ‐0.000128
FTREEURB Index 0.822579 0.019942 41.249536 0.000000 0.783047 0.862111 0.770281 0.874877
t‐statistic
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐8.90 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
Degree of Freedom =
108 /t/ > 1.6602 1.984 2.2757 2.6259
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
26
Table 8: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GEU vs. FTREEURB SUMMARY OUTPUT y = 4GEU Index
x = FTREEURB Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.983354 R Square 0.966985 Adjusted R Square 0.966677 Standard Error 0.004779 Observations 109
ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.071567 0.071567 3133.978 4.41E‐81 Residual 107 0.002443 2.28E‐05 Total 108 0.07401
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% Intercept ‐0.00103 0.000458 ‐2.23907 0.027221 ‐0.00193 ‐0.00012 ‐0.00223 0.000176
FTREEURB Index 0.851191 0.015205 55.98194 4.41E‐81 0.82105 0.881333 0.811316 0.891067
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐9.79 /t/ > 1.6602 1.984 2.2757 2.6259
Degree of Freedom =
108
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
27
Table 9: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GL1 vs. FTAD01 SUMMARY OUTPUT y = 4GL1 Index
x = FTAD01 Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.979495 R Square 0.959410 Adjusted R Square 0.959031 Standard Error 0.004514 Observations 109
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.051535 0.051535 2529.145 0.000000 Residual 107 0.002180 0.000020 Total 108 0.053716
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% Intercept ‐0.001278 0.000432 ‐2.955725 0.003838 ‐0.002135 ‐0.000421 ‐0.002412 ‐0.000144
FTAD01 Index 1.007741 0.020038 50.290606 0.000000 0.968018 1.047465 0.955189 1.060293
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = 0.39 /t/ > 1.6602 1.984 2.2757 2.6259 Degree of Freedom =
108
H0: β = 1 NOT REJECTED
28
Table 10: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GGL vs. FTAD01 SUMMARY OUTPUT y = 4GGL Index
x = FTAD01 Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.993880 R Square 0.987797 Adjusted R Square 0.987679 Standard Error 0.002516 Observations 105
ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.052788 0.052788 8337.594 0.000000 Residual 103 0.000652 0.000006 Total 104 0.053441
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% Intercept ‐0.000512 0.000246 ‐2.084006 0.039634 ‐0.000999 ‐0.000025 ‐0.001156 0.000133
FTAD01 Index 1.050019 0.011499 91.310429 0.000000 1.027213 1.072826 1.019840 1.080198
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = 4.35 /t/ > 1.6602 1.984 2.2757 2.6259
Degree of Freedom =
104
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
29
Table 11: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4UK5X vs. ASX SUMMARY OUTPUT y = 4UK5X Index
x = ASX Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.991172 R Square 0.982423 Adjusted R Square 0.982259 Standard Error 0.003023 Observations 109 ANOVA
Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.054666 0.05466
6 5980.4
43 0.000000
Residual 107 0.000978 0.00000
9 Total 108 0.055644
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept ‐0.000492 0.000290
‐ 1.69899
5 0.0922
26 ‐0.001066 0.0000
82 ‐0.001252 0.000267 ‐0.000973 ‐0.000012
ASX Index 0.969037 0.012531
77.333324
0.000000 0.944196
0.993877 0.936174 1.001899 0.948246 0.989828
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1% H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐2.47 /t/ > 1.6602 1.984 2.2757 2.6259
Degree of Freedom =
108
Reject H0: β = 1 with 97.5% confidence
30
Table 12: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GUK vs. ASX SUMMARY OUTPUT y = 4GUK Index
x = ASX Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.996109 R Square 0.992234 Adjusted R Square 0.992161 Standard Error 0.002010 Observations 109
ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.055216 0.055216 13671.1 0.000000 Residual 107 0.000432 0.000004 Total 108 0.055648
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% Intercept ‐0.000521 0.000193 ‐2.705261 0.007943 ‐0.000902 ‐0.000139 ‐0.001026 ‐0.000016 ASX Index 0.973903 0.008329 116.923467 0.000000 0.957391 0.990415 0.952059 0.995747
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐3.13 /t/ > 1.6602 1.984 2.2757 2.6259
Degree of Freedom =
108
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
31
Table 13: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4US1 vs. LOUSAX SUMMARY OUTPUT y = 4US1 Index
x = LOUSAX Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.975694 R Square 0.951979 Adjusted R Square 0.950935 Standard Error 0.005774 Observations 48
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.030399 0.030399 911.909
4 0.000000 Residual 46 0.001533 0.000033 Total 47 0.031932
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept 0.000502 0.000838 0.599211 0.55197
2 ‐0.001185 0.0021
90 ‐0.001750 0.002755 ‐0.000905 0.001910
LOUSAX Index 0.969118 0.032092
30.19783 7
0.00000 0 0.904520
1.033717 0.882886 1.055351 0.915246 1.022990
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐0.96 /t/ > 1.6779 2.0117 2.3155 2.6846 Degree of Freedom =
47
H0: β = 1 NOT REJECTED
32
Table 14: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for 4GUS1 vs. LOUSAX SUMMARY OUTPUT y = 4GUS Index
x = LOUSAX Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.978598 R Square 0.957654 Adjusted R Square 0.956733 Standard Error 0.005461 Observations 48
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.031028 0.03102
8 1040.2
84 0.000000
Residual 46 0.001372 0.00003
0 Total 47 0.032400
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept 0.000609 0.000793 0.76754
4 0.4466
80 ‐0.000988 0.0022
05 ‐0.001522 0.002740 ‐0.000723 0.001940
LOUSAX Index 0.979096 0.030356
32.253429
0.000000 0.917992
1.040200 0.897528 1.060664 0.928138 1.030054
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐0.69 /t/ > 1.6779 2.0117 2.3155 2.6846 Degree of Freedom =
47
H0: β = 1 NOT REJECTED
33
Table 15: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for HMNIEU vs. MXWO SUMMARY OUTPUT y = HMNIEU Index
x = MXWO Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.942363 R Square 0.888048 Adjusted R Square 0.884655 Standard Error 0.009886 Observations 35
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.025584 0.02558
4 261.768
5 0.000000
Residual 33 0.003225 0.00009
8 Total 34 0.028810
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept ‐0.000413 0.001672
‐ 0.24683
3 0.80656
7 ‐0.003813 0.0029
88 ‐0.004981 0.004156 ‐0.003241 0.002416
MXWO Index 1.341577 0.082920
16.179261
0.00000 0 1.172876
1.510278 1.114935 1.568219 1.201247 1.481906
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1% H0: β = 1 tstat = 4.12 /t/ > 1.6909 2.0322 2.3451 2.7284
Degree of Freedom =
34
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
34
Table 16: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for HMNIXUS vs. SPX SUMMARY OUTPUT y = HMNIXUS Index
x = SPX Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.981072 R Square 0.962502 Adjusted R Square 0.961366 Standard Error 0.004936 Observations 35
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.020637 0.020637 847.046
5 0.000000 Residual 33 0.000804 0.000024 Total 34 0.021441
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept ‐0.000782 0.000835 ‐
0.935451 0.35635
1 ‐0.002481 0.00091
8 ‐0.003065 0.001502 ‐0.002196 0.000632
SPX Index 1.168255 0.040141
29.10406 3
0.00000 0 1.086589
1.24992 2 1.058540 1.277971 1.100323 1.236188
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1% H0: β = 1 tstat = 4.19 /t/ > 1.6909 2.0322 2.3451 2.7284
Degree of Freedom =
34
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
35
Table 17: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for HMNIXGL vs. MXWO SUMMARY OUTPUT y = HMNIXGL Index
x = MXWO Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.968713 R Square 0.938405 Adjusted R Square 0.936538 Standard Error 0.006045 Observations 35
ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.018372 0.018372 502.7537 0.000000 Residual 33 0.001206 0.000037 Total 34 0.019578
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% Intercept ‐0.002181 0.001022 ‐2.133863 0.040376 ‐0.004260 ‐0.000102 ‐0.004975 0.000613
MXWO Index 1.136849 0.050702 22.422171 0.000000 1.033695 1.240003 0.998266 1.275432
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = 2.70 /t/ > 1.6909 2.0322 2.3451 2.7284 Degree of Freedom =
34
Reject H0: β = 1 with 97.5% confidence
36
Table 18: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for HMNIXSW vs. MXSE SUMMARY OUTPUT y = HMNIXSW Index
x = MXSE Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.970135 R Square 0.941161 Adjusted R Square 0.939378 Standard Error 0.008385 Observations 35 ANOVA
Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.037116 0.037116 527.853
7 0.000000 Residual 33 0.002320 0.000070 Total 34 0.039436
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept 0.000163 0.001420 0.115126 0.90904
3 ‐0.002725 0.003 052 ‐0.003717 0.004044 ‐0.002239 0.002566
X Variable 1 0.876487 0.038149 22.97506
6 0.00000
0 0.798871 0.954 103 0.772214 0.980760 0.811924 0.941050
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐3.24 /t/ > 1.6909
2.032 2 2.3451 2.7284
Degree of Freedom =
34
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
37
Table 19: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for JSI vs. SPTSX60 SUMMARY OUTPUT y = JSI Index
x = SPTSX60 Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.986189 R Square 0.972569 Adjusted R Square 0.972317 Standard Error 0.004647 Observations 111 ANOVA
Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.083443 0.083443 3864.57
3 0.000000 Residual 109 0.002353 0.000022 Total 110 0.085796
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Uppe r
95% Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept ‐0.000083 0.000444 ‐
0.187861 0.85133
5 ‐0.000962 0.00 0796 ‐0.001246 0.001079 ‐0.000819 0.000652
SPTSX60 Index 0.981937 0.015795
62.16569 0
0.00000 0 0.950631
1.01 3244 0.940527 1.023348 0.955733 1.008141
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐1.14 /t/ > 1.6602
1.98 4 2.2757 2.6259
Degree of Freedom =
110
H0: β = 1 NOT REJECTED
38
Table 20: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for KEMSSRITEUR vs. JSSCEURO SUMMARY OUTPUT y = KEMSSRITEUR Index
x = JSSCEURO Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.941729 R Square 0.886854 Adjusted R Square 0.886028 Standard Error 0.010099 Observations 139
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.109513 0.10951
3 1073.8
26 0.000000
Residual 137 0.013972 0.00010
2 Total 138 0.123485
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept 0.001114 0.000858 1.29861
4 0.1962
58 ‐0.000582 0.0028
11 ‐0.001127 0.003355 ‐0.000307 0.002535 JSSCEURO Index 0.978887 0.029872
32.769277
0.000000 0.919817
1.037957 0.900855 1.056918 0.929417 1.028356
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐0.71 /t/ > 1.6602 1.984 2.2757 2.6259
Degree of Freedom =
138
H0: β = 1 NOT REJECTED
39
Table 21: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for KLD vs. SPX SUMMARY OUTPUT y = KLD Index
x = SPX Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.962556 R Square 0.926513 Adjusted R Square 0.926207 Standard Error 0.005338 Observations 242
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.086219 0.086219 3025.89
7 0.000000 Residual 240 0.006839 0.000028 Total 241 0.093058
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept 0.000368 0.000345 1.067445 0.28684
4 ‐0.000311 0.0010
48 ‐0.000527 0.001264 ‐0.000201 0.000938
SPX Index 0.988656 0.017973
55.00815 1
0.00000 0 0.953251
1.024061 0.941990 1.035322 0.958978 1.018333
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐0.63 /t/ > 1.6602 1.984 2.2757 2.6259
Degree of Freedom =
241
H0: β = 1 NOT REJECTED
40
Table 22: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for NATUR vs. MXWO SUMMARY OUTPUT y = Natur Index
x = MXWO Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.910731 R Square 0.829430 Adjusted R Square 0.827028 Standard Error 0.012288 Observations 73
ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.052129 0.052129 345.2519 0.000000 Residual 71 0.010720 0.000151 Total 72 0.062849
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% Intercept 0.005787 0.001439 4.021720 0.000142 0.002918 0.008656 0.001978 0.009596
MXWO Index 1.295266 0.069709 18.580955 0.000000 1.156270 1.434263 1.110755 1.479778
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = 4.24 /t/ > 1.6663 1.9935 2.2892 2.6458
Degree of Freedom =
72
Reject H0: β = 1 with 99% confidence
41
Table 23: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for ETHIEGL vs. SPGLOB SUMMARY OUTPUT y = ETHIEGL Index
x = SPGLOB Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.978436 R Square 0.957337 Adjusted R Square 0.956670 Standard Error 0.002736 Observations 66
ANOVA Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.010747 0.010747 1436.12
1 0.000000 Residual 64 0.000479 0.000007 Total 65 0.011226
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept ‐0.000212 0.000350 ‐
0.605390 0.54706
1 ‐0.000912 0.0004
88 ‐0.001142 0.000718 ‐0.000797 0.000373
SPGLOB Index 0.963667 0.025429
37.89618 5
0.00000 0 0.912867
1.014468 0.896157 1.031178 0.921226 1.006109
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1% H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐1.43 /t/ > 1.6686 1.9971 2.2945 2.6536
Degree of Freedom =
65
H0: β = 1 NOT REJECTED
42
Table 24: H0: α = 0 ,H0: β = 1 for ETHIEEU vs. SXXP SUMMARY OUTPUT y = ETHIEEU Index
x = SXXP Index Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.988038 R Square 0.976218 Adjusted R Square 0.975847 Standard Error 0.002572 Observations 66 ANOVA
Df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.01738
4 0.017384 2627.12
3 0.000000
Residual 64 0.00042
3 0.000007
Total 65 0.01780
7
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P‐value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Lower 90.0%
Upper 90.0%
Intercept ‐0.000258 0.00033
1 ‐
0.778643 0.43905
9 ‐0.000920 0.000 404 ‐0.001138 0.000622 ‐0.000811 0.000295
SXXP Index 0.989361
0.01930 3
51.25547 2
0.00000 0 0.950799
1.027 922 0.938115 1.040606 0.957145 1.021577
t‐statistic 10% 5% 2.5% 1%
H0: β = 1 tstat = ‐0.55 /t/ > 1.6686
1.997 1 2.2945 2.6536
Degree of Freedom =
65
H0: β = 1 NOT REJECTED
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APPENDIX