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    .Decision Support Systems 30 2000 139151

    www.elsevier.comrlocaterdsw

    Estimating drugrplasma concentration levels by applying neuralnetworks to pharmacokinetic data sets

    Kristin M. Tolle a,), Hsinchun Chen a,1, Hsiao-Hui Chow b,2

    aMIS Department, Karl Eller Graduate School of Management, Uniersity of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA

    bCollege of Pharmacy, Uniersity of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA

    Abstract

    Predicting blood concentration levels of pharmaceutical agents in human subjects can be made difficult by missing data

    and variability within and between human subjects. Biometricians use a variety of software tools to analyze pharmacokinetic

    information in order to conduct research about a pharmaceutical agent. This paper is the comparison between using a

    feedforward backpropagation neural network to predict blood serum concentration levels of the drug tobramycin in pediatric

    cystic fibrosis and hemotologiconcologic disorder patients with the most commonly used software for analysis of

    pharmacokinetics, NONMEMw. Mean squared standard error is used to establish the comparability of the two estimation

    methods. The motivation for this research is the desire to provide clinicians and pharmaceutical researchers a cost effective,

    user friendly, and timely analysis tool for effectively predicting blood concentration ranges in human subjects. q2000

    Published by Elsevier Science B.V.

    Keywords: Artificial neural networks; Medical applications; Medical user interfaces; Pharmaceutical estimation applications; Pharmacoki-

    netic prediction

    1. Introduction

    Artificial neural networks, which have strong sta-

    tistical prediction capabilities, continue to gain ac-

    ceptance as data analysis tools. Testing in this and

    other research has shown that neural networks can be

    trained to estimate plasma concentration values of

    pharmaceutical agents without relying on complex

    )

    Corresponding author. Tel.: q1-520-621-3927. . E-mail addresses: [email protected] K.M. Tolle ,

    [email protected] H. Chen , [email protected] H.-H. Chow .

    1Tel.: q1-520-621-4153.

    2Tel.: q1-520-626-4055.

    computation models andror cumbersome statistical

    prediction applications. If the need for complex mod-

    eling were eliminated, testing results could be gener-

    ated more quickly and easily than it is accomplished

    using currently available technology.w xBrier et al. 3 examined the use of neural net-

    works for population pharmacokinetic analysis, con-

    cluding that NONMEM and the neural networks

    provided comparable predictions of plasma drugconcentrations. Our research question was to deter-

    mine whether a neural network application specifi-

    cally designed for the prediction of blood serum

    concentration levels of pharmaceutical drugs could

    be an effective replacement for current statistical

    analysis methodologies. Our goal was to create an

    intelligent tool that could assist clinicians in opti-

    0167-9236r00r$ - see front matter q 2000 Published by Elsevier Science B.V. .P I I : S 0 1 6 7 - 9 2 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 9 4 - 4

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    mally administering drugs and provide pharmaceuti-

    cal scientists with valuable data gathered in clinical

    settings, more promptly and efficiently.

    In this paper, we first present a brief background

    description of pharmacokinetic analysis, statistical

    prediction methods, and neural networks. Next, we

    discuss an experiment in which we compared the

    predicative capability of a neural network application

    with NONMEM, the industry standard application

    currently used for pharmacokinetic data analysis.

    The paper then describes usability issues associated

    with a proposed neural network application, the user

    interface, the types of analysis for which it could be

    used to assist medical researchers and clinicians in

    their work, and the social implications of adopting

    the neural network application in place of NON-

    MEM and similar data analysis tools.

    1.1. Background

    1.1.1. Pharmacokinetic analysis

    Pharmacokinetics is the study of how various

    biological processes influence the effectiveness of

    drugs the quantifying of determinates of drug

    concentration.

    Information about the proper administration of

    pharmaceutical drugs in clinical settings is obtained

    from varied sources. Some data are collected follow-

    ing a very formal set of procedures. Much of theinformation, however, must be obtained by observ-

    ing the actual clinical administering of the drugs.

    However, the non-stringent nature by which clinical

    treatments are administered results in many of the

    data gathered in clinical settings being in a format

    which is not easily applicable to standardized statisti-

    cal and data analysis.

    Although clinical information gathering does not

    use rigorous methodology, data collected from clini-

    cal studies of pharmaceutic agents are still very

    useful to assist clinical physicians in modulatingw xtreatment dosages to patients in their care 13 . Such

    data record the administration of a drug to individu-

    als and the subsequent observation of drug levels .most often in blood plasma . The study of this type

    w xof information is referred to as Pharmacokinetics 2 .

    In rigorous methods of gathering population dataon a particular drugs effects, an individual the

    .subject contributes one instance of information. In

    clinical settings, a patient may contribute multiple

    instances of information, potentially occurring over

    an extended period of time, thereby creating the need

    for an analysis model, which takes into consideration

    a time series of responses known as repeated

    measures. Related to this is the problem known as

    imbalance, in which one patient may contribute a

    series of data, while another patient may only pro-

    duce one datum. A third issue, confounding, occurs

    when a patient is given specific dosages of a particu-

    lar drug based on that patients prior reactions, in

    contrast to more stringent methods that requirew xdosages to be given randomly 13 . These issues

    make it difficult to devise statistical analysis tools to

    predict pharmacokinetic parameters such as blood

    serum concentration levels, volume of distribution,and clearance how quickly a pharmaceutical agent

    .leaves the blood stream .Other data analysis problems stem from popula-

    .tion within patient demographics such as age,

    weight, seriousness of the illness, gender, etc. Some

    demographic data may change during the period

    when treatment is administered, further complicating

    determination of the proper administration of drug

    dosages.

    1.1.2. Statistical prediction methodologies

    The current standard for the analysis of popula-

    tion pharmacokinetic data is the application NON-MEM, developed by the University of California at

    San Francisco. NONMEM is a data analysis tech-nique for fitting nonlinear mixed effects statistical

    .regression-type models that is mainly applied in the

    estimation of pharmacokinetic and pharmacody-w xnamic data 2 . NONMEM users must have high

    levels of understanding of statistics and pharmacoki-w xnetics 5 in order to use the application successfully.

    Furthermore, a user must initially determine the ap-

    propriate statistical model for the NONMEM pro-

    gram to use for data analysis before any interactionwith an application is undertaken and this can take

    many hours or days to complete.

    The UNIX version of NONMEM requires the use .of FORTRAN-like commands Fig. 1 to convey

    modeling and data information to the application,

    which further complicates NONMEM usage. Only a

    small number of researchers in the field of biomet-

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    Fig. 1. An example of a NONMEM session.

    rics have the skills needed to be proficient at phar-macokinetic data analysis using NONMEM, making

    them a scarce and expensive resource.

    Several other computerized methods of doing

    pharmacokinetic analysis exhibit varying degrees ofw xusability and predictive capabilities, but Roe et al. 9

    found NONMEM to be more flexible, have fewer

    limitations in modeling of data, and be consistently

    more successful at predicting pharmacokinetic pa-

    rameters than other similar applications. Since these

    are important issues to pharmaceutical researchers,

    NONMEM remains the accepted standard for con-

    ducting pharmaceutical studies.

    1.1.3. Estimation using neural networks

    Different models of neural networks exist. Gen-

    eral details about artificial neural networks can bew xfound in Ref. 11 . A taxonomy of the types of

    w xartificial neural networks can be found in Ref. 7 .

    Our design employs a connectionist, feedforwardrbackpropagation neural network.

    Since the predictive capability of neural networks

    is typically nonlinear, it is appropriate to explain that

    feedforward neural networks perform a kind of non-

    linear regression in which a multilayer network is

    trying to find a low-order representation in the

    weights between the network layers. That representa-

    tion itself is, in general, a nonlinear function of the

    physical input variables that allows for the interac-

    tions of relationships among many input variables atw xone time 10 . Thus, the inputs become dependent on

    one another through network interaction and ulti-

    mately, generate nonlinear estimations as output

    variables.

    Backpropagation, selected for our design, is a

    neural networking algorithm in which activation is

    passed forward through the network and the output

    unit activations are compared with a teaching vector.

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    These represent the inputroutput pairs. The compar-

    ison of inputroutput pairs results in error scores,

    which are used to propagate changes back down

    through the layers of weights. Weights represent the

    numerical strength of the connections or links be-

    tween a node and its neighbors in a neural networkw x1 and can have either positive or negative valuesw x11 . These weights represent the AintelligenceB of

    the network the essence of its predictive capabil-

    ity.

    The role of an activation function is to combine

    the input being broadcast to a node from other nodes

    in a network. A typical activation function com-

    presses the network activation impinging on a nodew xbetween predetermined limits 1 usually a value

    between zero and one. We chose a sigmoidal, or

    s-shaped, activation function on the basis of its

    excellent predictive capabilities demonstrated in a

    previous experiment involving the estimation of toxinw xconcentration in soil samples 4 .

    During the learning process, the sigmoidal unit isroughly linear for small weights a net input near

    .zero and gets increasingly nonlinear in its response

    as it approaches its points of maximum curvature on

    either side of the midpoint. Thus, at the beginning of

    learning, when weights are small, the system is

    mainly linear and seeking a linear solution. As the

    weights grow, the network becomes increasingly

    nonlinear and begins to move toward a nonlinear

    solution to the problem. This linearity property makesthe units more robust and allows the network to

    reliably attain the same solution in repeated experi-w xmentation 10 . Thus, two different training sessions,

    using the same input data and randomly initialized

    weights, should consistently predict the same results.

    1.1.4. Neural network parameters

    The ability to train multilayer networks is an

    important step toward building intelligent applica-

    tions. Neural networks must learn their own repre-

    sentations because it is not possible to program themw xby hand 8,10 . The optimization of neural network

    parameters is critical in order to achieve the best

    possible predictive ability.

    Five different parameters can be adjusted in the

    creation of a backpropagation neural network: hid-

    den units, number of layers, learning rate, momen-

    tum and number of epochs. The number of hidden

    units refers to the number of nodes plus a threshold

    node which are to be placed between the input and

    output vectors. Layers represent the number of layers

    of hidden units between the input and output vectors.

    Learning rate is the numeric value by which the

    weights between the input, hidden, and output layers

    are adjusted. Momentum is a parameter, which can

    increase the pace of learning, potentially reducing

    the amount of time that it takes to train the network.

    The number of epochs refers to the number of times

    a data set is applied to the neural network for

    training, tuning, and testing.

    1.1.5. Currentr possible scenario

    For researchers, the greatest problem with the

    current system is that they must develop their own

    statistical prediction models in order to study a drug. .This is a time-consuming process often days and

    takes a high level of skill.Work conducted in research facilities commer-

    .cial, private, and academic conduct analysis on

    pharmaceutical agents currently is reported to re-

    searchers either as information accompanying a drug

    or through journal articles and other publications.

    Clinicians must rely on the accuracy of such research

    although in practise, they develop a AfeelB for the

    effectiveness of a drug at a certain blood level

    concentrations for specific patients. They therefore

    dose drugs based both on past experience and recom-

    mended dosages generated by pharmaceutical com-panies and researchers without having any opportu-

    nity for discussion of findings. Also, the physicians

    data and knowledge may or may not be shared with

    colleagues within their facility andror field.

    No application exists today which would allow

    medical practitioners to quickly and easily adjust

    dosage to patients who have differing pharmacoki-

    netic parameters, which means they must rely on

    documentation and experience to correctly dose a

    patient to maintain a plasma concentration level in

    an effective range.Providing clinicians with NONMEM would not

    necessarily generate more research; the software re-

    quires an ability to do extensive statistical modeling

    beyond the skills of many clinicians. In contrast, a

    neural network works empirically. Once a patients

    pharmacokinetic parameters are entered, the best

    possible dosing regimen for a particular individual

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    can be found simply by using slider bars to adjust

    dose and the interval time between dosages. This

    application would not only be an effective clinical

    tool, but could also facilitate information sharing,

    resulting in better care for patients.

    Pharmaceutical researchers would also benefit.

    Studies could be conducted more quickly than if they

    had to develop a prediction model for every study.

    Because the neural network would train itself to

    maximum prediction efficiency when given a certain

    set of parameters, the researcher could generate sev-

    eral studies in the amount of time it previously took

    to do one.

    2. Experimental test bed for population analysis

    The data set for our experiment contained infor-

    mation regarding tobramycin, a drug used for re-pressing infectious diseases of the blood. Patients

    eligible for the study had been diagnosed with either

    cystic fibrosis or a hemotologiconcologic disorder,

    were less than 18 years of age, had been receiving

    tobramycin more than 24 h, and had had peak and

    trough concentration blood samples taken at approxi-

    mately 2 and 6 h post-initiation of a 30-min drug

    infusion of tobramycin.

    The data set, collected from 1983 to 1992, consti-

    tuted a total of 311 instances of patient information

    gathered from 101 patients. Originally, this informa-tion was collected for a study to determine whether

    illness had a significant effect on the effectiveness of

    the tobramycin. The parameters of the data set are

    shown in Fig. 2.

    There were two possibilities for data set represen-

    tation: if peak and trough concentration levels were

    ignored, the data set would contain 622 data points.

    If peak and trough concentrations were predicted

    separately, the data set would contain 311 data points.

    Consistent with most data sets collected in clinical

    settings, several patients had contributed a small

    number of inputs while others had many inputs over

    an extended period of time.

    3. The experiment

    3.1. NONMEM analysis

    The NONMEM analysis used 622 data points and

    predicted blood concentration values for each patient

    in the NONMEM study without consideration ofpeak and trough values. The pharmacokinetic model

    used for estimating blood serum concentration can .be represented in Eq. 1 .

    y Cl rV T .i ik 1 y e .i oC s e y Cl rV . 1 . .ti j i i jy Cl rV t .i iCl 1 y e .i

    Supporting equations for clearance and volume of . .distribution are found in Eqs. 2 and 3 .

    h1Cl s u = ln weight qu =age e 2 . .i 1 i 3 ih1

    Vsu =

    ln weight e 3 . .i 2 iwhere for child i, C is the observed concentrationi jat measurement j. k is the infusion rate. T is thei o i

    Fig. 2. Data set parameters.

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    Table 1

    Normalization of input parameters

    Input parameter Test I Test II

    Age agermax. age agermax. age

    Sex nra nra

    Illness nra nra

    Weight weightrmax. wt. weightrmax. wt.

    Dose dosermax. dose dosermax. doseInterval between dosages intervalrmax. interval intervalrmax. interval .Time of blood drawn generic Test I only timermax. time .Time of blood drawn peak Test II only timermax. time .Time of blood drawn trough Test II only timermax. time

    infusion time. t is the dosing interval. T is thei i jelapsed time at measurement j after the end of

    infusion. Cl is the clearance. V is the volume ofi idistribution and ln is the natural log.

    3.2. Neural network testing phases

    In our initial test, which directly matched the

    NONMEM analysis, the original data set was di-

    vided into the six demographic and dosage inputs

    plus the time of the blood drawing resulting in a total

    of 622 data points. A single output was generated

    the plasma concentration of tobramycin given at the

    time of blood drawn. The network topology was a

    seven-inputrone-output neural network with 30 hid-

    den units.

    In the second test, the original 311 data points

    were presented to the neural network. Peak and

    trough concentrations were predicted as separate val-

    ues. The resulting network topology was eight inputs

    and two outputs with 23 hidden units.

    In both data sets, two-thirds of the data pointswere used for the training phase of the neural net-

    work. The remaining data points were used for the

    tuning phase. The input units were normalized as

    shown in Table 1 for both tests. This resulted in the

    best predictive capability from the neural network.

    The output vector of the neural network, a value

    between 0 and 1, needed to be modified in order to

    make comparisons between the networks output

    vector and the actual data. This value was normal-

    ized to the same range of values. This was done .using the formula found in Eq. 4 .

    ln actual concentration y ln minimum concentration value . .4 .

    ln maximumconcentrationvalue y ln minimum concentration value . . .

    3.3. Neural network parameters

    The goal of selecting the settings for the different

    parameters for a neural network is to minimize the

    Table 2Testing parameter ranges

    Parameter Range Increment

    Epochs 010 000 1

    Hidden units 360 1

    Learning rate 0.050.60 0.05

    Momentum 0.050.90 0.05

    .mean standard squared error MSSE . While other

    parameters are held constant, each parameter is tested

    using the data set. The ranges of parameters tested

    are shown in Table 2 and the optimal parameters,

    Table 3Optimal parameters selected

    Test I Test II

    Epochs 5400 800

    Hidden units 30 23

    Learning rate 0.35 0.4

    Momentum 0.0 0.0

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    Fig. 3. Results of Test I one-way analysis of variance and paired two sample t-test.

    which were selected are shown in Table 3. Although

    momentum was tested, it was not used in the final

    selection of parameters due to increased MSSE in

    the results.

    3.4. Results of testing

    The most direct comparison between the neural

    network results and the NONMEM analysis was Test

    Fig. 4. Results of Test II one-way analysis of variance and paired two sample t-test.

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    I no separation of peak and trough concentra-

    tions, 622 data points. The result of these tests

    showed that the neural network could predict blood

    concentration levels more successfully than NON-

    MEM, however, not at a statistically significant level.

    The best result was obtained when peak and trough

    concentrations were predicted separately in Test II.

    In Figs. 3 and 4, created using MiniTabw, the

    one-way analysis of variance shows that the neural

    network predicted blood serum concentration levels

    better than NONMEM. The mean squared error .MSE associated with the prediction was lower in

    each of those cases. The p-value for Test I, the most

    direct comparison, was approximately 10%. The p- .value for Test II, which represents the lowest best

    p-value, was approximately 9%.

    4. A medical decision support application for clin-icians and researchers

    4.1. Usability issues

    In order for a software application to be widely

    accepted, regardless of its type, it must be easy to

    use. The growing emphasis on usability is one of the

    most dominant of the current trends in computingw x6 .

    NONMEM has two difficulties: the application

    can be complex to use and the development ofprediction models is required. A biometrician de-

    scribed the process of model development as taking

    a AvariableB length of time, sometimes as long as a

    day or several days. Since the cost of a typical

    biometricians time is expensive, there would be a

    cost benefit if he spent less time modeling and more

    time conducting research about gathered data. The

    biometrician also found the application difficult to

    use both because of the FORTRAN-like commands

    and the operating system in which it was used .UNIX .

    Timeliness of information: in clinical settings, it is

    necessary to have relevant drug information readilyw xavailable 12 . Since a neural network should be able

    to generate predictions in a few minutes or seconds,

    clinicians could get information instantly, not read

    about them later after a biometrician has performed a

    study.

    Ultimately, the criterion for acceptance is based

    on the performance of the application how accu-

    rately it works. Proof that the neural network will

    consistently predict blood concentration values equal

    to or better than currently accepted statistical tech-

    niques must be provided to researchers in order to

    convince them to change from their proven method-

    ologies.

    4.2. The data analysis tool

    The goal is to create an application that clinicians

    and researchers can reliably use to generate concen-tration levels and potentially other parameters as

    .well and perform trend analyses. Clinicians would

    then have necessary information at their fingertips

    and pharmaceutical researchers would have a tool to

    make the analysis of data easier.

    The proposed interface would address two possi-

    ble types of analysis: prediction and data analysis. At

    invocation of the application, users could choose

    which of these tools they would prefer to use. The

    interface will be developed for use on a wide variety

    of platforms, using Java as the interface development

    tool.

    Our proposed data analysis tool was developed in .ANSI C the neural network component , with a

    Delphi interface component on Windows NT. Delphi

    and NT provide a convenient environment for quick

    prototyping. Several medical and pharmacy school

    researchers have participated in the design of this .analysis tool Fig. 5 .

    4.2.1. Whatif analysis

    The Whatif analysis interface would be able to

    determine the potential blood concentration level in a

    patients blood stream. Two key types of data would

    be provided to the neural networks input vector:

    patient data and drug application data. Patient data

    are parameters such as age, weight, illness, etc. Drug

    application data are the clinicians dosing regimen

    such as dosage, dosing interval, time of blood drawn,etc.

    As previously noted, patient data vary over time.

    Patients get older, may gain or lose weight, and

    perhaps grow increasingly ill or show signs of recov-

    ery. Whatif analysis will be a helpful tool to assist

    clinicians in predicting what the plasma concentra-

    tion level will be, based on changes.

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    Fig. 5. Main screen of pharmacokinetic predictor.

    A likely scenario follows: a patient with cystic

    fibrosis was admitted to the hospital at the age of

    3.25 years. The patient was treated for an infection

    with tobramycin. Two years later, the patient reen-ters the hospital for treatment of another infection.

    The patients previous data are helpful, but certain

    demographics have altered, so reaction to the drug is

    likely to be different. The patient is now age five.

    Between the ages of 3 and 5, children grow very

    rapidly, usually experiencing a considerable weight

    gain. The infection is less advanced than it was

    during the previous visit. At the minimum, three

    parameters have changed. The Whatif analysis can

    accept information changes and quickly predict a

    blood concentration level for a particular dosing

    regimen.

    Drug applications can also be dynamic. Perhaps, a

    clinician would prefer to see a particular concentra-

    tion level in a patient, for instance, the recommended

    optimal level. By using the Whatif analysis, the

    clinician could alter the dosage or dosing interval to

    reach the desired blood serum concentration level in

    the patient. This strategy would be particularly useful

    if previous dosing information about the patient were .unavailable Fig. 5 .

    A likely scenario here might be one in which thepatient had never been previously treated, but is now

    entering the hospital with an infectious disorder. The

    clinician could enter patient data and within a few

    seconds determine, based on that information, what

    that patients blood concentration level will be after

    administration of a particular dosage andror dosing

    interval. Information could be reentered until the

    clinician determines the regimen that best fits the

    desired concentration level without having to test the

    patients reaction to the drug by dosing him or her

    and then drawing blood and checking peak and .trough concentrations Fig. 6 .

    Graphing ability would be incorporated into the

    interface, allowing the clinician to choose a parti-

    cular drug application parameter such as dosage,

    holding all other parameters constant. The Whatif

    analysis would display a chart showing the blood .concentrations for different dosages Fig. 7 .

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    Fig. 6. Data parameter selection screen of pharmacokinetic predictor.

    Since the data set and the weights associated with

    it would already exist, predicting the blood concen-

    tration level of the patient would be a quick and easy

    process, requiring only a few seconds of CPU pro-

    cessing time. At present, no application of this kind

    is available to assist clinicians in finding an effective

    dose range for an individual patient.

    4.2.2. The training session

    Targeted toward meeting the requirements of

    pharmaceutical researchers, the Training Session in-

    terface would be used to present new data sets to the

    neural network for analysis or to take an existing

    data set and alter the fields included to analyze how

    highly each input is correlated with predicting the

    output. Additionally, the interface would be useful to

    a researcher who might wish to predict peak and

    trough concentrations or a single concentration level

    either peak, trough or a generic value. The Train-

    ing Session would give researchers the flexibility to

    set their own input and output vectors, allowing them

    to conduct a broad range of research relating to a

    particular drug in a short period of time.

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    Fig. 7. Graph of weight vs. concentration based on selected parameters.

    A possible scenario might involve a pharmaceuti-cal company that would like to determine whether

    the type of illness a patient has is highly correlated

    with the blood concentration level of a drug. The

    data set is loaded into the Training Session and input

    and output vectors are established. The neural net-

    work is trained the first time, including the illness

    parameter and then a second training session is run

    with the parameter removed. The Training Session

    can present the researcher with error information. If

    the error is significantly higher during the second

    session, it can be concluded that the illness is likely

    to be a highly correlated parameter and that perhaps,

    the drug is better for use in treating some illnesses

    than others.

    An important usability feature of the Training

    Session will be the ability to automatically scale and

    normalize the data set, select optimal network pa-

    rameters, and train the network to predict values,

    without the users having to understand the complex-ity of neural networking. No extensive training for

    the researcher would be required.

    5. Conclusions and future work

    The results of the study comparing NONMEM

    and neural network show that the neural network has

    predictive capability equal to or better than NON-

    MEM. Although statistical significance was not es-

    tablished, we were able to prove that a neural net-

    work can accurately predict blood concentration level

    in human subjects making the two methods inter-

    changeable tools for effectively estimating concen-

    tration levels.

    In addition to accuracy, the neural network appli-

    cation has the advantage of producing results empiri-

    cally, without the need for developing statistical

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    prediction models. This puts the power of generating

    results in the hands of clinicians who may not be

    well trained in this type of analysis methods. Further,

    it enables biometricians to have more time to con-

    duct analyses. As a cost effective, accurate pharma-

    cokinetic estimation application, it should be an ex-

    cellent tool for both researchers and practitioners.

    The future directions of this project are to com-

    plete the proposed modules in the prototype. Once

    these are completed, we plan to conduct a usability

    study and cost benefit analysis with both clinicians

    and researchers to investigate adoption issues and

    functionality.

    Acknowledgements

    This project was supported in part by the follow-

    ing grants: Special Information Services, National .Library of Medicine NLM , National Institutes of

    .Health NIH , ASemantic Retrieval for Toxicology

    and Hazardous Substance DatabasesB, 1996 1997; .National Cancer Institute NCI , National Institutes

    .of Health NIH , AInformation Analysis and Visual-

    ization for Cancer LiteratureB, 19961997; and AT

    &T Foundation Special Purpose Grants in Science

    and Engineering, 19941996.

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    Kristin M. Tolle is a PhD candidate of

    Management Information Systems at theUniversity of Arizona where she re-

    .ceived her MS in MIS 1997 . She is

    also a senior member and research asso-

    ciate of the UArMIS Artificial Intelli-

    gence Lab. She received her BS in

    Computer Information Systems from .Boise State University 1988 . Tolle is a

    recipient of a research fellowship from

    the National Library of Medicine and

    the Oak Ridge Institute for Science and

    Education. She has published several journal and conference

    articles on topics ranging from medical information retrieval,

    natural language processing, intelligent agents and neural networkmedical decision support systems.

    Dr. Hsinchun Chen is a McClelland Pro-

    fessor of Management Information Sys-

    tems at the University of Arizona and

    head of the UArMIS Artificial Intelli-

    gence Lab. He received the PhD degree

    in Information Systems from New York

    University in 1989. He is the author of

    more than 70 journal articles covering

    semantic retrieval, search algorithms,

    knowledge discovery and collaborative

    computing in leading information tech-

    nology publications such as DecisionSupport Systems, Journal of the American Society for Information

    Science, and Communications of the ACM. He serves on the

    editorial board of the Journal of the American Society for Infor-

    mation Science and Decision Support Systems. He is an expert in

    digital library and knowledge management research, whose work

    has been featured in various scientific and information technolo-

    gies publications including Science, Business Week, NCSA Ac-

    cess Magazine, WEBster and HPCWire.

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    ( )K.M. Tolle et al.r Decision Support Systems 30 2000 139151 151

    Dr. Hsiao-Hui Chow is an Assistant

    Professor of Pharmacy at the University

    of Arizona and an affiliate member of

    the Arizona Cancer Center. Dr. Chow

    received her bachelors of Science de- .gree from Taipei Medical College 1983

    and her PhD from State University of .New York at Buffalo 1989 . She con-

    ducts research on the characterization of

    the disposition of drugs in the body,

    identification and understanding factors

    which may influence the disposition ki-

    netics and responses of xenobiotics, and development of pharma-

    cokinetic and pharmacodynamic models in quantitating and pre-

    dicting the kinetic processes of drug absorption, distribution,

    elimination and response. She has published several articles in the

    areas of pharmacokinetics and biopharmaceutics.