Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

41
ALMA MEDIA Q4 AND FY 2015 Kai Telanne, President and CEO Juha Nuutinen, CFO 12.2.2016 @AlmaMedia_IR 12.2.2016

Transcript of Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Page 1: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

ALMA MEDIAQ4 AND FY 2015

Kai Telanne, President and CEO

Juha Nuutinen, CFO

12.2.2016

@AlmaMedia_IR

12.2.2016

Page 2: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Highlights

Market development

Financial development

Strategy and outlook

Q & A

Agenda

Page 3: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Alma Media’s year 2015 in brief

Operating profit excluding non-recurring items improved – in spite of the difficult economic climate:

• Revenue decreased to MEUR 291.5 in 2015 due to divestments.

• Operating profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 9.3% to MEUR 23.4.

• The operating profit includes net non-recurring items of MEUR -5.7.

• Revenue from digital products and services exceeded the MEUR 100 milestone.

• Strong financial position: equity ratio 42.5% and gearing 59.2%

• The Board’s proposal of capital repayment is EUR 0.12 per share

Business development:

• In Digital Consumer Services, revenue growth with an excellent level of profitability, led by the international recruitment business. In Finland, digital services maintained their level of profit performance.

• Significant acquisitions and divestments in Financial Media and Business Services (Talentum, JM Tieto, Alma360). For the first time, the number of subscribers of Kauppalehti’s digital products exceeded print (53%).

• A difficult year for IL-Media, but there was a positive turn in digital advertising late in the year.

• In Regional Media, operational restructuring and efficiency improvement measures continued and the gradual shift towards paid digital content began.

• Organisational restructuring of national media sales has strengthened Alma’s competitiveness in advertising sales and increased market share.

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Page 4: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN FINLAND

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@AlmaMedia_IR

Page 5: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Advertising sales change 12/2014 - 12/2015

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Source: TNS Media Intelligence

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

Advertising sales total, chg % Newspaper advertising, chg % Online advertising, chg %

Page 6: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Advertising increased in December, with growth in vehicle, food and entertainment advertising

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Total market, change from previous year

Source: TNS Media Intelligence

Total -3.1% Total -2.6% Total +0.6%

P10 2015 vs 2014 P11 2015 vs 2014 P12 2015 vs 2014

-5.3 %

-59.2 %

7.4 %

-7.5 %

2.7 %

6.5 %

-3.9 %

4.1 %

-0.4 %

Other

Tele

Recru

Tourism

Houses

Entert

Food & bev.

Motor v.

Retail

1.6 %

-11.4 %

-0.6 %

-4.6 %

-18.2 %

-0.8 %

2.3 %

-3.8 %

-7.0 %

Other

Tele

Recru

Tourism

Houses

Entert

Food & bev.

Motor v.

Retail

5.2 %

-40.0 %

-34.6 %

-3.7 %

-5.8 %

3.6 %

12.1 %

14.4 %

-2.4 %

Other

Tele

Recru

Tourism

Houses

Entert

Food & bev.

Motor v.

Retail

Page 7: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Digital advertising has established its position as the second-largest area of media advertising, behind newspapers

12.2.2016

Sources: TNS Ad Intelligence monthly monitoring and IAB Finland quarterly monitoring (search engine advertising, directories, Facebook).

@AlmaMedia_FI

Display advertising153,6 M€(53.7%)

Classified advertising

33,9 M€(11.8%)

Search engine advertising and online

directories98,6 M€(34.5%)

Online advertising investments 2015

Total MEUR 286.1

Facebook20.7%

Mobile12.2%

In-stream10%

Other57.1%

Breakdown of display advertising in 2015

Page 8: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Investments by online media type in 2015

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Sources: TNS Ad Intelligence monthly monitoring and IAB Finland quarterly monitoring (search engine advertising, directories, Facebook).@AlmaMedia_FI

Search engine advertising ; 34%

Online services of newspapers; 18%

Classifieds; 14%

Social media; 12%

Online services of TV and radio

broadcasters; 9%

Other online services; 7%

Online services of financial media; 3%

Magazines; 3%

Page 9: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

ALMA MEDIA’S PROFIT PERFORMANCE

12.2.2016

@AlmaMedia_IR

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Page 10: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Revenue decreased due to divestments• Revenue in 2015 decreased by 1.3%, primarily due

to divestments.

• Talentum’s effect on revenue was MEUR +5.8.

• JM Tieto’s effect on revenue was MEUR +3.4.

• Alma 360’s effect on revenue was MEUR -3.6.

• The effect of Regional Media’s newspaper divestments on revenue was MEUR -9.8.

• In National Consumer Media and Regional Media, advertising and content revenue have decreased in recent years. The sales of digital products and services are growing, but they are not sufficient to compensate for the loss of revenue that accumulates from the decline in print media.

12.2.2016 @AlmaMedia_IR

76.6 78.6

Q4 2014 Digital ConsumerServices

Financial Media andBusiness Services

National ConsumerMedia

Regional Media Q4 2015

1.9

4.2

-0.1

-4.4

295.4 291.5

2014 Digital ConsumerServices

Financial Media andBusiness Services

National ConsumerMedia

Regional Media 2015

5.9

5.5

-5.3

-10.9

MEUR

MEUR

Page 11: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

5.6

7.1

Q4 2014 Digital ConsumerServices

Financial Media andBusiness Services

National ConsumerMedia

Regional Media Group operations Q4 2015

0.9 0.2

1.2

-0.4-0.4

• Operating profit excluding non-recurring items for the full year 2015 was MEUR 23.4, or 8.0% (7.2%) of revenue.

• Total expenses decreased by MEUR 0.5, or 0.2%, to MEUR 277.4 (277.9).

• Depreciation and impairment included in the total expenses amounted to MEUR 16.8 (15.7).

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Operating profit excluding non-recurring items improved

21.423.4

2014 Digital ConsumerServices

Financial Media andBusiness Services

National ConsumerMedia

Regional Media Group operations 2015

4.31.3

-1.2-0.7

-1.8

MEUR

MEUR

Page 12: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

MEUR 100 milestone exceeded in revenue from digital products and services – growth accelerated in Q4

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Segment’s share of the Group’s digital revenue

MEUR

Q4 digital business revenue grew by 17.7%. The growth rate in 2015 was 8.7%.

44 4049

57

78 8495

10312.9 % 13.1 %15.7 %

18.0 %

24.3 %28.1 %

32.0 %

35.3 %

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Revenue from digital business Share of total revenue

4.5 %12.0 %

23.7 %59.7 %

Regional MediaNational Consumer MediaFinancial Media and Business ServicesDigital Consumer Services

Page 13: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

• Media business brands operated with a multi-channel approach.• Digital consumer and business services have been developed

in-house and obtained by acquisitions.• Divestments have also been made.

Alma’s digital product portfolio has grown substantially since the late 1990s

2000 2005 2010 20151995

Page 14: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Alma’s operations in Finland and internationally

• Alma’s international business is growing and profitable.

• The most significant investments in the international recruitment business were made in 2012: LMC, Profesia and CV Online acquisitions totalled more than MEUR 70.

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286 260 252 235

3237 37 45

2012 2013 2014 2015

Domestic Foreign operations Not Allocated

35 3223

17

1 2

511

2012 2013 2014 2015

Domestic Foreign operations Not Allocated

1,362

430

Domestic Foreign operations

Employees 2015

Revenue 2012–2015

Operating profit 2012–2015

Page 15: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

FINANCIAL REVIEW

Juha Nuutinen, CFO

@AlmaMedia_IR

Page 16: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Long-term financial targets

Alma Media’s financial targets

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Target

Digital business growth 16.3% 36.8% 8.4% 11.9% 8.7% > 15%

Return on Investment (ROI), %

26.1% 13.8% 10.0% 9.8% 6.9 % > 15%

Dividend payout ratio* 103% 45% 50% 63% 92% > 50%

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* Includes capital repayment to shareholders.

Page 17: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

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Revenue breakdown

October–December• Content revenue +5.5%.

• Talentum’s effect on content revenue MEUR +4.1.

• Advertising revenue +5.2% • Advertising sales for print media -2.2% • Online advertising sales +20.7% • Talentum’s effect on advertising sales revenue

MEUR +1.0.

Full year 2015• Content revenue -4.9% due to lower circulations of

print media.• Advertising revenue +0.3%

• Advertising sales for print media -10.2% • Online advertising sales +11.0%

27.738.6

10.2

76.6

29.240.6

8.7

78.6

Content sales Advertising Sales Net sales ofservices

Revenue

Q4 2014 Q4 2015

5.5 %

5.2 %

-14.9 %

2.6 %

110.1146.4

38.8

295.4

104.7146.9

39.9

291.5

Content sales Advertising Sales Net sales ofservices

Revenue

2014 2015

-4.9 %

0.3 %

2.8 %

-1.3 %

Page 18: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

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Operating profit breakdown

1.9 1.8 0.13.8

-2.0

5.6

2.8 2.1 1.33.4

-2.5

7.1

Digital ConsumerServices

Financial Mediaand Business

Services

NationalConsumer Media

Regional Media Group operations Alma Media total

Q4 2014 Q4 2015

46.0%11.5%

968.9%

-9.4%

-21.4%

26.3 %

9.2 6.7 3.7 9.6

-7.7

21.413.4

8.02.5

8.9

-9.5

23.4

Digital ConsumerServices

Financial Mediaand Business

Services

NationalConsumer Media

Regional Media Group operations Alma Media total

2014 2015

46.6%19.1%

-31.4%

-7.0%

-22.7%

9.3 %

Page 19: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Digital Consumer Services in 2015: strong international growth• Revenue from the recruitment business increased by 20.5% and it accounted for 73.6% (67.5%) of the segment’s revenue in 2015.

• In Finland, Alma Media’s digital services maintained their profit level.

• The business was highly profitable, with operating profit excluding non-recurring items increasing by 47% compared to 2014.

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Revenue and operating profit (excluding non-recurring items)MEUR

14.7 15.316.6

1.9

4.0

2.8

Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15

+54.6% +46.0%

+13.1% +12.9%

55.8

61.7

9.213.4

2014 2015

+46.6%

+10.5%

Page 20: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Financial Media and Business Services in 2015: significant acquisitions and divestments

• Online business accounted for 41.7% (43.0%) of the segment’s revenue.

• For the first time, the number of subscribers of Kauppalehti’s digital products exceeded print (53%).

• Profitability excluding non-recurring items improved to a good extent. Talentum had a minor effect on the result for the full year.

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Revenue and operating profit (excluding non-recurring items)MEUR

14.0

12.5

18.2

1.8 2.1 2.1

Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15

-1.4% +11.5%

+2.3% +30.0%

53.058.5

6.7 8.0

2014 2015

+19.1%

+10.3%

Page 21: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

National Consumer Media in 2015: encouraging growth in mobile advertising late in the year• Online business accounted for 29.8% (27.0%) of the segment’s revenue.

• Content revenue -13.2% to MEUR 24.7 due to the decrease in Iltalehti’s circulation

• Advertising sales -8.6% to MEUR 16.8: print media advertising sales -22.6%, online advertising sales -2.1%

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Revenue and operating profit (excluding non-recurring items)MEUR

11.2

9.9

11.1

0.1 0.71.3

Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15

-13.7%

+968.9%

-13.7% -0.9%46.9

41.6

3.7 2.5

2014 2015

-11.3%

-31.4%

Page 22: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Regional Media in 2015: continued structural reforms• Online business represented 3.5% (2.6%) of revenue.

• Content revenue -8.7% to MEUR 59.8. Advertising sales -9.9% to MEUR 56.3: print media advertising sales -11.1%, while online advertising sales +23.2%.

• Operating profit excluding non-recurring items remained at 6.6% of revenue. Non-recurring items, including structural reforms late in the year, weighed down operating profit.

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Revenue and operating profit (excluding non-recurring items)MEUR

38.3

31.633.9

3.8 2.7 3.4

Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15

+2.1% -9.4%

-8.7% -11.5%

145.2134.4

9.6 8.9

2014 2015

-7.0%

-7.5%

Page 23: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Cash flow from operating activities and investments

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-0.9

-21.9

3.45.7

Q4 14 Q4 15

MEU

R

Gross investments

Proceeds from sales of assets

Cash flow from operating activities

Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15

ME

UR

8.78.2

6.2

16,7

8.7

Page 24: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Interest-bearing liabilities

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Net debt Q2/2013-Q4/2015 Net debt distribution

Q4/2015

Financial leasing 65.0

Financial loans 25.6

Commercial papers 0.0

Cash and cashequivalents

-14.4

Total 76.2

97.6

71.1 67.863.4 62.1

76.2

Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15

ME

UR

Page 25: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Equity ratio and Gearing

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IFRS

Equity ratio, % Gearing, %

42.6 42.5

2014 2015

68.5

59.2

2014 2015

Page 26: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Earnings per share and equity per share

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-0.01-0.07

0.20 0.20

2014 2015EPS wo non-recurring itemsNon-recurring items

0.19 0.13

0.70 0.64

0.470.71

2014 2015Retained earningsRestricted equity

1.17

1.35

Page 27: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Balance sheet

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Assets Liabilities

215274

41

54

Q4 2014 Q4 2015

Long-term assetsShort-term assets

328

256

83 91

69109

104

129

Q4 2014 Q4 2015Shareholders' equityNon-Ib debtIb debt

328

256

Page 28: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

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Depreciation of intangible assets – timetable

3.0

3.7 3.84.3

6.5

4.1

3.1

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016S 2017S 2018S

Depreciations on business combinations

MEUR

Page 29: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Talentum

Financial Review 2015

Page 30: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Talentum 2015 in brief

Achievements Challenges

• Positive trend in Talentum Group’s operating

income without non-recurring items

continued

• Operating profit without non-recurring items

was EUR 5.4 million (EUR 4.1 million)

• Operating income without non-recurring

items in Magazines Finland improved

markedly mainly due to circulation revenue

increase and cost management

• Also Talentum Pro and Direct Marketing

generated excellent results

• Operating income without non-recurring

items in Magazines Sweden and in Events

decreased

• As a result of Talentum’s impairment testing,

the company recognised a write-down

totalling EUR 9.9 million. The write-down

concerns publishing rights and goodwill and

was allocated to Magazine Business

Sweden.

• Advertising sales continued to decrease in

both Magazines Finland and Magazines

Sweden

Page 31: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Talentum Financial Review

Sales progression R12M

72,3 72,5 72,4

73,172,6

60,0

62,0

64,0

66,0

68,0

70,0

72,0

74,0

Q4/2014 Q1/2015 Q2/2015 Q3/2015 Q4/2015

EBIT margin progression R12M

without non-recurring items

4,1

4,4

4,9

5,65,4

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

6,0

Q4/2014 Q1/2015 Q2/2015 Q3/2015 Q4/2015

Page 32: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

EBIT development 2015

Excluding one-off items

2,5

0,2 0,2

1,31,0

-1,1

4,1

3,3

-0,2

0,1

1,7 1,5

-1,1

5,4

-2,0

-1,0

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

6,0

MagazinesFinland

MagazinesSweden Events Pro Direct Marketing Other Total

2014 2015

M€

Page 33: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

STRATEGY AND OUTLOOK

Kai Telanne

@AlmaMedia_IR

Page 34: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Strategic development areas

Multi-channel content

Marketing solutions

Digital servicesResources and

expertise

We will build new capacities, seek efficiency and

accelerate growth in digital services and media.

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Page 35: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Kauppalehti and Talentum together are now Alma Talent.

Page 36: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

The integration of Talentum and Alma Media – the combination is being implemented at two levels

Alma Talent

Group functions

Digital Consumer ServicesMarketplaces

Financial Media and Business Services

production and distribution of financial information: Kauppalehti, Kauppalehti

Business Information Services, Objektvision.se

National Consumer Media Iltalehti

Regional Media Alma Regional Media and the Group

printing and distribution company Alma Manu

Group functions

Magazine Business Finlandpublishes magazines for professionals in print and online, e.g. Talouselämä,

Arvopaperi, Tekniikka&Talous

Magazine Business Swedenpublishes magazines for professionals in print and online, e.g. Affärsvärlden,

Ny Teknik

Eventsoffers events and training and acts as B2B media for executives and experts

Books and Legal Trainingproduces legal and professional

literature and online services and offers training

Direct Marketingtelemarketing operationsIntegration of business areas

Integration of Group functions

Page 37: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

• The annual cost synergies expected from the combination may amount to EUR 4–5 million, and the integration costs resulting from the combination will be approximately EUR 1–2 million in the first year of operation following the combination.

• The new business unit’s management team will start on 13 February:

Combination process

Juha-Petri Loimovuori (CEO of Talentum and head of the management team)

Arno Ahosniemi (editorial staff)Tuomas Hämäläinen (content sales)Tiina Järvilehto (media sales)

Otto Mattsson (Kauppalehti Business Information Services)Tapio Teppo (Talentum Events)Pia Ruusukivi (digital development) Maria Ampiala (Talentum Pro)

37

Page 38: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

November December Q1/2016 Q2/2016 Q3/2016

Execution of the exchange offer and redemption of minority shares

17 November Decision regarding the execution of the purchase bid and share issue Final result.

Offer execution tradeAnnouncement on redemption proceedings

Appointment of special representative 14 December 2015 Redemption proceedings begin

Talentum’s Extraordinary General Meeting 15 December 2015

Q1/2016 Arbitrators appointed 19 January 2016

Q2/2016 Confirmation of redemption rightConfirmation and payment of collateral amountTalentum delisting

Redemption proceedings estimated duration Q3/2016

Estimated timetable of Talentum’s delisting

Page 39: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Sustainable growth while making use of digitisation opportunities: growing the service business

• Alma has expanded beyond the sphere of traditional media to various system and expert services, such as:• in the real estate business, a housing marketplace

system and information services.• in the recruitment business, HR consulting and

recruitment systems.• in the automotive trade, ERP systems and systems

for requesting bids

• Kauppalehti Business Information Services, JM Tieto and Alma Manu have launched new initiatives to complement their existing businesses.

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Page 40: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

Outlook

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• The Finnish economy is expected to show zero growth or only slight growth in 2016. Alma Media’ssignificant operating countries in Eastern Central Europe, such as the Czech Republic and Slovakia, are expected to see continued economic growth, but at a lower rate than in 2015.

• Macroeconomic development affects both consumer demand and advertising volume. Thestructural transformation of advertising will continue in 2016; online advertising will grow, whileprint media advertising will decline. Total advertising volume is not expected to increase in Finland in 2016.

• The Talentum acquisition completed in late 2015 will increase Alma Media’s revenue and operating profit in 2016. In 2016, Alma Media expects its full-year revenue and operating profit excluding non-recurring items to increase from the 2015 level. The full-year revenue for 2015 was MEUR 291.5, and operating profit excluding non-recurring items was MEUR 23.4.

Page 41: Analyst presentation Q4 and FY 2015

4112.2.2016 @AlmaMedia_IR

THANK YOU!

Upcoming events in the investor calendar:

• Report by the Board of Directors and Financial Statements: 25 February 2016

• Annual General Meeting: 17 March 2016

• Q1 result: 29 April 2016

• CMD: 17 May 2016 /Helsinki