Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed...

41
Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results 11 Nov 2019 Ticker: BCPG (SET)

Transcript of Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed...

Page 1: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Analyst Meeting3Q2019 Results11 Nov 2019Ticker: BCPG (SET)

Page 2: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Agenda

2

3Q19 Key highlights

Portfolio & Projects in pipelines

Performance

Business Outlook

Page 3: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Agenda

3

3Q19 Key highlights

Portfolio & Projects in pipelines

Performance

Business Outlook

Page 4: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

3Q19 Key Highlights

4

“Our first step in hydropower plant and in CLMV.”

“75 MW in pipelineswith JPY 36 per kWh”

“4 projects to test energy innovation in regulatory Sandbox”

New Acquisition in Nam San 3A ERC Sandbox

Secure high tariff in Japan

Page 5: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

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Hydro and Hybrid Potential

High Growth of Electricity Demand

Abundance of hydro resources, potential for up to 26 GW of

hydro power plant with current up-and-run approximately 5 GW

Complimentary of wind solar and hydro resources in South East

Asia region, an opportunity for hybrid power plant

Energy demand expect to increase with CAGR c. 8% until 2030

Location advantage allowing Lao to export power to neighbor

Approximately 15 GW of exporting capacity signed

Thailand 9,000 MW

Malaysia 300 MW

Cambodia 200 MW

Vietnam 5,000 MW

Myanmar 300 – 400 MW

Current MOU to export power to neighbor

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12

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Hydro (Rainfall)

Solar (Irradiation)

Wind (Wind Speed)

Complimentary of each resource in SEA regionLaos PDR At-A-Glance

Lao PDR as the battery of Asia

Page 6: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

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El Nino means "the little boy.“

Dry conditions follow the warm water to the central and northern Australia and southeast Asia.

While the wetter conditions impact Pacific coastal South America.

La Nina means "the little girl.“

La Nina is characterized by the opposite process.

Dry conditions in Pacific coastal South America, and much wetter conditions in northern Australia and southeast Asia

Source: International Research Institute for climate and Society, UNESCAP

What are El Nino and La Nina?

La Nina effectEl Nino effect

El Nino (the warm phase) and La Nina (the cold phase), typically last for 9-12 months each, but in rare cases can last over multiple years

El nino and La nina Effect

Page 7: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

40%45%50%55%60%65%

5.0

5.1

5.2

5.3

2016 2017 2018 2019 CAPA

CITY

FAC

TOR

(%)

IRR

(HRS

/ DAY

)Irradiation Forecasting by Global Signal

7Source&Remarks: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S.A. / * Base on actual data

Strong

El Nino

La Nina

Strong

(Dry condition in SE Asia)

(Wetter condition in SE Asia)

+3 oC

-3 oC

0 oC

> +0.5 oC = Possibility of El Nino0 oC = Neutral< -0.5 oC = Possibility of La Nina

The trend move to neutral or weak La Nina.

Right mix of renewable technology will build resilience into our portfolio

Historical Performance * Solar TH

Hydro LA

Page 8: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Chance of El nino and La nina

8

Hybridizing impacts to the power plants

*Estimated El Nino and La Nina

in SE Asia for September – December 2019

30% El Nino

60% ENSO-Neutral*

10% La Nina

Power Plants El Nino La Nina

Solar Power Plants Benefit Not benefit

Wind Power Plants Not benefit Benefit

Hydro Power Plants Not benefit Benefit

Solar Power plants are mostly benefit from El Nino according to intensified radiation caused by the drought weather.

Hydro Power Plant and Wind Power Plants are benefit from La Nina according to Low air pressure, which is likely to cause Monsoon, Depression and Typhoon.

Source: International Research Institute for climate and Society, UNESCAP*ENSO-Neutral = Above-average sea surface 0 oC temperature across the equatorial.

Page 9: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Nam San 3A: Project Fact Sheet

9

First expansion to Lao PDR with strong growth potential

Technology and revenue risk diversification

Stable cashflow

Acquired the asset from the extensively experienced

hydropower plant developer, Phongsubthavy group, which is

operating several hydropowerplants inLaos.

(Nam San 3A)

The in-bound river to Mekong with fewer seasonality effect 69 MWNam San 3A

In-bound to Mekong River

Mekong River

Location Nam San River, Xiengkhouang Province

Type Run-of-river

Installed Capacity 69 MW

Concession• Concession agreement with Government of Laos for

27 years period after COD• Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) basis

Purchase Price• 4,424 MTHB - Paid• 891 MTHB – upon completion of negotiation to

increase tariff

COD date 29 January 2016

Off-taker

• Power Purchase Agreement with Electricite du Laos for 27 years period after COD

• Take-or-pay basis• Tariff rate at 6 – 7 US cents per kWh

Project Summary

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Chiba 1 project has finished EPC selection process and ready for construction.

Projects update in Japan

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25 MW under construction, while 50 MW are prompt to construct

KomaganeCOD 1H20

25MW

20MW

Constructing

YabukiCOD 2H21

Chiba 1

Got exemption from Grid connection work application and requesting FDP permission.Secured FiT at 36 JPY/kWh.

Yabuki

Secured36 JPY/kWh

Granted grid connection work application and secured FiT at 36 JPY/ kWh.In the process of EPC selection.Deadline of COD without PPA period cut is 30 Sep 2020.

Construction Progress >60%

ChibaCOD 1H21*

30MW**Ready to Build

Komagane

Chiba 2

Remark: *Chiba 1 exp.COD by 1H21 & Chiba 2 exp.COD by 2H22 **Chiba 1: 20 MW / Chiba 2: 10MW

Chiba 2 project has finished Land acquiring .

Land Prompt

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ERC Sandbox projectsLeading to test energy innovations in Regulatory Sandbox campaign

Management Project Energy Town 77 (Peer to Peer with blockchain technology)

Smart City Prototype Development Project at CMU(The Smart City)

Sun Share Smart Green Energy Community Project

(Smart Grid Network System)

Lom Ligor Project (Energy Storage Systems)

Source: Energy Regulatory Committee 11

Page 12: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Agenda

12

3Q19 Key highlights

Portfolio & Projects in pipelines

Performance

Business Outlook

Page 13: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Operating 404 MW

Developing158 MW

Total562 MW

Business footprint in 5 countries in Asia

13

Unit: contracted capacity or equity MW

Thailand 4 SPPs and 9 VSPPs

(147.8 MW.)

Rooftop 12 MW.Under construction

Indonesia3 SPPs

(157.5 MW.)

Developing 24 MW

Philippines1 SPPs

(14.4 MW.)

Developing 5.6 MW

Laos1 SPPs (69MW.)

Remark: *Including wind power plant project of 9.0 MW

Location Scheme Contracted MW.

Thailand

AdderTHB 8.00THB 3.50

118 MW9.0 MW*

FiTTHB 5.66THB 4.12

12.0 MW8.9 MW

JapanFiT

JPY 40JPY 32

10 MW4 MW

LaosFiT

USD 0.06-0.07 69 MW.

Philippines Fit

USD 0.13 14.4 MW

IndonesiaFit

USD 0.96USD 0.05-0.07

45.4 MW112.1 MW

Japan5 VSPPs

(17.4 MW.)

Developing 116.5 MW

Page 14: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

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29 MW (5.6 MW under development)

181.5 MW (24.0 MW under development)

282.1 MW (128.5 MW under

development)69.0 MW

64.4%3.1%

15.1%

17.5%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

3 hrs 4.1 hrs 4.3 hrs

8.7 hrs

14 hrs

22.5 hrs

Estimated Yearly Power Generation by technology *

Contracted MW by TechnologyY2018 Seasonality by Technology

(Capacity factor %)

561.6 MW

Geothermal (ID)

Hydro (LA)

Wind (PH)

Solar (TH)Solar (JP)

Wind (TH)

Average capacity factor in hours by TechnologyUnit: GWh

Unit: MW

Remarks : * Calculate base on capacity factor (%) in 2018

> 2,000 GWh / year

Well-diversified portfolioin 4 major types of technology

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148

335 326

2016 2017 2018 2019 2024

Portfolio growth from existing pipeline

15

…......

Remarks : Not including wait for grid projects in Japan of 41.5 contracted equity MW / **Solar equivalent are calculate to be compared with Solar power plant in Thailand

Unit: MW

Current portfolio and pipelines

Current pipeline guarantees a growth of 30% in the next 5 years

520 MW

Solar Equivalent **

404 MW*

12.0 MW TH 202025.0 MW JP 202040.0 MW JP 202110.0 MW JP 20225.6 MW PH 202224.0 MW ID 2024

Current pipeline1,300 MW1,500 MW

Solar Equivalent **

Page 16: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Agenda

16

3Q19 Key highlights

Portfolio & Projects in pipelines

Performance

Business Outlook

Page 17: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Financial highlights for 3Q19

17

By numbers

EBITDA Presenting resiliency

583.5Unit: THB mn

Net profitStable earnings

401.2

MWLeading renewable player in Asia Pacific

561.6

ND/E On ground financial leverage

1.12x

Div. YieldCommitment to shareholders

3.51%

Key takeaway

New acquisition “Nam San 3A”, the first step in Hydro and CLMV while begin a key driver for next year growth

1

Recurring profit and EBITDA maintain YoY from new projects offset absence of Nagi&Nikaho which will impact the last quarter

2

Geothermal come back as shutdown drops top up with favorable seasonality for wind power plant in the Philippines

3

4 Continue to deliver stable dividend payment

Page 18: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

702 770 775

419

50.7%56.4% 58.4%

45%

2016 * 2017 2018 9M19Revenue Capacity factor (%)

672 729 732389

95.8% 94.7% 94.5% 92.7%

2016 * 2017 2018 9M19EBITDA EBITDA margin (%)

Nam San 3A Historical Performance

18

5,3363,852 3,598

9.7%15.0% 16.3%

2016 2017 2018Total Assets ROA (%)

Steady CF secured by concession agreement

517 578 586283

73.6% 75.1% 75.6%67.4%

2016 * 2017 2018 9M19 Net profit Net Profit Margin (%)

Unit: THB million

Current ROA of hydro power plant is more than double from BCPG’scurrent level.

Unit: THB million

Operating Revenue

EBITDA

Past performance and EBITDA margin stable at high level.

Remarks: * 11 months of operation due to COD at 29 Jan 2016

Assets

Net profit

Page 19: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Nam San 3A Acquisition (Management Estimate) as of 20 September 2019

19

Total Purchase Price 5,357 MB

Payment Method

A. Loan to 3A to repay seller debt 2,399 MB

B. 3A Share Purchase 2,958 MB

Contingent Considerations (Part of Total Purchase Price) 897 MBProvision (1) – Current Liab 186 MBProvision (2) – Non-Current Liab 711 MB

Fair value of net assets acquired is recognized at value based on management estimates. The result will be finalized within one year.

Working capital & Fixed assets

26.2 M฿

Intangible assets

4,356.0 M฿(Value is based on the terms of Power Purchase Agreement with

EDL)

Deferred tax liabilities103 M฿

Revalued net

assets

1,868 M฿

Purchase consideration

2,958 M฿

Other Liabilities 12 M฿

Inter co Loan from

BCPG group 2,400 M฿

Goodwill

1,090 M฿

Goodwill is subject to annual impairment test and

represents as followed- Potential benefits from new PPA- Business relationships with seller in future- Enhancement in BCPG’sexpertise

3

2

1

Intangible asset of 4356 MB will be amortized over

23.3 years

2

3

Share Purchase Price is the net payment after

loan to repay seller debt

1Purchase Price Allocation

Page 20: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

675 782 714

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19Solar (TH) Wind (TH) Other (TH)

2,102 2,253

9M18 9M19

+7.2% YoY+5.8% YoY

64 73 66

15.6%17.7%

15.8%

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19

Generation Capacity factor (%)

138.9 MW + 12 MW

TH performance

+2.3% YoYUnit: GWh

Rainy season (TH) is the main pressure on generation

197 211

16.6%17.1%

9M18 9M19

Unit: GWh+7.1% YoY

Power generation & Capacity factor (%)

Rainy season cut generation QoQ in 3Q19. While YTD still rise from the overall favorable weather.

Full quarter of operation and strong wind season help generation from Lomligor rise by 68.8% QoQ.

9.0 MW

20

-10.3% QoQ +68.8% QoQ

34

13.1%

19.4%

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19

Generation Capacity factor (%)

Revenue (TH)

-8.7% QOQ

Unit: THB million

7

16.5%

9M18 9M19

Revenue growth YTD remain strongsfrom favorable solar performance and newly COD of Lomligor.

Page 21: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

149

403

176

9M18 9M19

59

154

65 60

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19Solar (JP) exc. Nagi&NikahoNagi&NikahoOther (TH)

-8.5% QoQ

14 5 5

14.3% 14.3%13.1%

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19

Generation Capacity factor (%)

3814

12.8%12.8%

9M18 9M19

JP performanceMonetization still the main pressure

Power generation & Capacity factor (%)

-63.9% YoY -61.8% YoYUnit: GWh

14.7 MW + 116.5 MW

Absence of Nagi and Nikaho still the main pressure on generation in 3Q19(YoY) and 9M19 (YoY). But will come to an end in this quarter. 21

-7.0% QoQ

Revenue (JP)

Unit: THB million

-61.3% YoY -56.2% YoY

Revenue from existing assets after last year monetization remain stable QoQ and growing at 17% YTD.

Page 22: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

830 848 790

69.3% 73.6% 71.4%

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19Thailand JapanLaos Gross Profit Margin

2,505 2,445

70.4% 73.1%

9M18 9M19

16.0% 15.6% 18.5%

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19

1,839 1,845

73.4%75.4%

9M18 9M19

Remark: EBITDA from operation, excluding other revenue and share of profit from associates and one-time items

Revenue & EBITDA

-10.4% QoQ

Selling and administrative expense%SG&A/Sales increased QoQ in 3Q19partially from expenses arising due to hydropower plant acquisition.

EBITDA%SG&A/Sales

COD of new projects fully offset the impact from JP monetization

16.5% 17.3%

9M18 9M19

22

+0.3% YoY+1.3% YoYRevenue

-4.8% YoY -2.4% YoY

-6.8% QoQ

RevenueRainy season in Thailand and absence of Japan’s projects (Nagi and Nikaho) led to QoQ and YoY drop in operating revenue respectively.

Unit: THB million

EBITDADespite Japan assets monetization, EBITDA in 3Q19 still slightly growth YoY from the full period recognition of two “WVO” projects, “Lomligor” and partially from “Nam San 3A” as well as 9M19 YoY.

Unit: THB million

576 652 584

69.4% 76.9% 73.9%

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19EBITDA EBITDA margin

Page 23: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

14 7 13

43.2%

22.6%

40.4%

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19Sellable output Capacity factor (%)

36 39

32.0%37.9%

9M18 9M19

23

Amortization (8.5) (8.1) (7.9) (24.9) (24.2)

One-time items - - - - -

Net share of profit 20.6 (12.1) 16.3 28.8 33.4

Unit: THB million

Stronger wind speed from seasonality QoQ (Generation +80.9%) and lower interest expense from successful negotiation support robust growth QoQ over 520% in 3Q19.

Share of profit from associatesWind power plant in the Philippines

Favorable seasonality boost generation

Sellable output and Capacity factor (%)

Share of profit

Unit: M kWh

Remark: Sellable output based on holding percentage

+8.3% YoY

53.7 57.6

9M18 9M19

29.1

-3.9

24.2

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19

+7.3% YoY-16.9% YoY

-8.5% YoY

+80.9% QoQ

+520.5% QoQ

While lower wind speed compared to last year.

Operating: 14.4 MW

Developing: 5.6 MW

Page 24: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

192.6 169.8 199.5

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19

24

Operation get back to close to full capacity

Sellable output and Capacity factor (%)

306 298 317

91.9% 90.8% 95.3%

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19Sellable output Capacity factor (%)

923 921

93.5% 93.3%

9M18 9M19

-0.2% YoY

Unit: GWh

Unit: THB million

-5.0% YoY

Amortization (99.6) (95.4) (92.7) (291.3) (283.5)

One-time items - - - (122.7) -

Net share of profit 93.0 74.4 106.8 172.8 273.8

586.8 557.3

9M18 9M19

Strong operational performance in 3Q19without major maintenance shutdown drives share of profit growth both YoY and QoQ.

Share of profit

Share of profit from associatesGeothermal power plants in Indonesia

+17.5% QoQ

+3.6% YoY

+6.4% QoQ

+3.5% YoY

Operating: 157.5 MW

Developing: 24.0 MW

Remark: Sellable output based on holding percentage

Page 25: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

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221.7 165.9 223.7

3Q18 2Q19 3Q19Indonesia The Philippines

Amortization (108.1) (103.6) (100.6) (316.2) (307.8)

One-time items: - - - (122.7) -

Refinancing related expenses - - - (122.7) -

Net share of profit* 113.6 62.3 123.1 201.6 307.1

Unit: THB millionBoost in share of profit (before amortization) on QoQ (+34.8%) supported by both geothermal power plant, Indonesia, from strong operational performance and favorable seasonality wind speed to wind power plant, the Philippines. While YTD drop is a result of shutdown of geothermal power plant in 2Q19.

Share of profit from associates

Refinancing related expense in 2Q18 is a factor to drive YoY of 9M19 (+52.3%).

QoQ growth led by strong wind and resilient geothermal power plant

Remark: *Net share of profit = Share of profit (after amortization) – one-time items

Share of profit from operation (before amortization)

640.5 614.9

9M18 9M19

-4.0% YoY+0.9% YoY

+34.8% QoQ

Page 26: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

136 132 129 130 136

3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 3.1%*

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19Interest expense Effective Kd

Finance cost

2626

Unit: THB million

IBD breakdown by maturity IBD breakdown by currency

9.8% 19.4%

90.2% 80.6%

2018 3Q19< 1 year Due after 1 year

51.1% 58.0%

43.0% 31.9%5.9% 10.1%

2018 3Q19THB JPY USD

IBD breakdown by Fixed-Floating rate

3Q19 Financial expenses increase 4.7% QoQ due to draw down of loan to acquire “Nam San 3A”. For 9M/2019, an increase in finance expenses was due to a rising policy interest rate from early 2018.

9.8% 22.9%

90.2% 77.1%

2018 3Q19Fixed rate Floating rate

Kd (%) still maintained in range despite new investmentFinance cost and Kd (%)

+4.7% QoQ

+1.7% YoY-0.2% YoY

389 395

3.2% 3.3%

9M18 9M19

Remark: The average finance costs calculated by a simple average method. If calculated by using weighted average method , the average finance cost in Q3/2019 will be around 3.46%.

Page 27: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Core profitFull period recognition and new projects help maintained despite JP monetization

27

412 405 454 433 410

49.6% 49.7%56.2%

51.0% 51.83%

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

Core profit Core profit margin

Core profit:Q3/2019 core profit is relatively stable though there was an assets disposal in Q3/2018. Thanks to positive factors supported from (1) Full-quartered operation of “Lomligor” (2) Acquisition of hydro power plant “Nam San 3A” on late of September 2019 (3) An increased in share of profit from associates from the geothermal power plants in Indonesia (4) Favorable weather for Thai solar. While QoQ drop are mainly from rainy season in Thailand.

Overall, 9 months of 2019, core profit still slightly increase YoY from strong performance of TH solar, newly COD and full period recognition of two “WVO” solar projects.

Unit: THB million

Core profit & Core profit margin (%)

Remark: Core profit equals to net profit minus FX gain/loss and one-time items

1,283 1,296

51.2% 53.0%

9M18 9M19

+1.0% YoY-0.6% YoY-5.3% QoQ

Page 28: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Net profitStabilize earnings if one-time gain from JP monetization are excluded

28

1,139

310 492 464 401

137.3%

38.0%60.9% 54.7% 50.78%

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

Net profit Net profit margin

Net profit:Unlike 3Q18, there is no one-time gain in 3Q19.Especially the gain from asset monetization in 3Q18, Nagi and Nikaho of THB 794.7 mn. Hence, this resulted in a decline of net profit in YoY, though Core profits still consider stable for QoQ and growth at 1% YTD.

Unit: THB million

Net profit & Net profit margin (%)

1,9091,357

76.2%55.5%

9M18 9M19

Remark: Core profit equals to net profit minus FX gain/loss and one-time items

-13.5% QoQ

-64.8% YoY -29.0% YoY

Page 29: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Financial position

48.0% 40.3%

49.3%52.0%

31,55838,376

2018 3Q19

Equity Other Liabilities Interest-bearing debt

1.26 1.08 1.48

2017 2018 3Q19

D/E Ratio

D/E Ratio Covenant

Covenant = 3.0x

29

Total assets

0.30 0.32 0.32

0.31 0.32

0.61 0.64 0.32

68.5% 57.7% 66.7%

2017 2018 1H19Second half performanceFirst half performance

Total dividend (THB/Share)

DPR

Dividend Payment

Dividend policy = not less than 40% of the Company’s net profit based on separated Financial Statement

Utilizing room of leverage for the continuous growth

12.84 15.1610.49

2017 2018 3Q19

ROE (%)

ROE

Page 30: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Agenda

30

3Q19 Key highlights

Portfolio & Projects in pipelines

Performance

Business Outlook

Page 31: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

31Source : Mckinsey, Energy Insights Global Energy Perspective (Jan 2019)

Renewables expected to be 50% of global power supply by 2035

Global power generation

Over the next 20 years, the push will be on to electrify everything -transportation, industrial equipment, heating and air-conditioning -and to power these with renewables plus storage

Page 32: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

+10 GW of RE by 2030 Recently announced 5.5 GW offshoreTop ranked wind speed at Taiwan strait

TW

Business opportunity in the region

500 MW of solar bidding set to start on 8 Aug 2019Target RE to meet 20% by 2025 Target 100 MW COD 2020

MY

Thailand: PDP 2018 - Solar rooftop, floating solar, wind, digital energy, biomassJapan: Biomass Development with FiT of JPY 24 per kWhThe Philippines: Expansion of existing pipeline, Off-grid Solutions, merchant market Indonesia: Expansions and new exploration awaits

Opportunity at Current Footprints

Potential Expansion

Battery of AsiaGood resource for hydro and wind power plantCenter of regional elec. transmission system by 2025

LA

10% p.a. Elec. Demand Growth+27 GW of Renewable by 2030 (12 GW Solar)Visibility on 2019 Projects

VN

+50 GW of Renewable by 2030Gov’t strong support on ESSTarget RE share from currently 8% to 30 - 35% by 2040

KRRetirement of Coal Plants+38 GW of Renewable by 2036Liberalized Retail Market

AU

32

Page 33: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

33

35th ASEAN Summit and Related Summits

Page 34: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Financial Statement

34Remark: *Restated **Excluding gain/(loss) on FX and one-time items

Overall business performance

Unit: THB million 3Q18 3Q19Change

(%)2Q19

Change (%)

9M18 9M19Change

(%)

Revenue from sale and redering of service 829.7 790.0 -4.8% 847.6 -6.8% 2,505.0 2,445.4 -2.4%Cost of sale and rendering of services (254.3) (226.2) -11.0% (223.6) 1.2% (741.3) (656.8) -11.4%Gross profit 575.4 563.8 -2.0% 624.0 -9.6% 1,763.7 1,788.7 1.4%Administrative expenses (181.7) (145.8) -19.7% (132.4) 10.1% (462.1) (422.5) -8.6%

Administrative expenses (132.7) (145.8) 9.9% (132.4) 10.1% (413.1) (422.5) 2.3%Tax income/expense related to IFF (49.0) - NA - NA (49.0) - NA

EBITDA 576.2 583.5 1.3% 651.5 -10.4% 1,839.1 1,844.5 0.3%0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%Operating profit 393.7 418.0 6.2% 491.6 -15.0% 1,301.6 1,366.2 5.0%0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0%Share of profit of investment in associates 113.6 123.1 8.3% 62.3 97.5% 201.6 307.1 52.3%Other income/(expense) 802.3 2.8 -99.7% 6.3 -55.9% 907.0 11.7 -98.7%Gain/(loss) on foreign exchange 69.1 (8.3) -112.0% 31.2 -126.7% (10.5) 60.5 676.2%EBIT 1,265.0 412.5 -67.4% 529.1 -22.0% 2,198.1 1,438.4 -34.6%Finance costs (136.4) (136.2) -0.2% (130.1) 4.7% (388.7) (395.2) 1.7%EBT 1,242.2 399.3 -67.9% 461.3 -13.4% 2,011.0 1,350.3 -32.9%Income tax expense (benefit) (102.9) 1.9 -101.8% 2.5 -26.8% (101.6) 6.3 -106.2%

Income tax expense (benefit) (15.6) 1.9 -111.9% 2.5 -26.8% (14.3) 6.3 -144.2%Tax expense related to IFF (87.3) - NA - NA (87.3) - NA

Net profit 1,139.3 401.2 -64.8% 463.8 -13.5% 1,909.4 1,356.6 -29.0%Recurring profit * 411.9 409.5 -0.6% 432.6 -5.3% 1,283.3 1,296.1 1.0%Basic Earnings per Share (THB) 0.57 0.20 -64.9% 0.23 -13.0% 0.96 0.68 -29.2%

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Financial Statement

35

Unit: THB million 2018% of total

assets3Q19

% of total assets

Change (%)

Cash and cash equivalents 2,425.3 7.7% 2,640.0 6.9% 8.9%Trade accounts receivable 523.8 1.7% 594.7 1.5% 13.5%Other current assets 226.1 0.7% 343.2 0.9% 51.8%Total current assets 3,175.2 10.1% 3,577.9 9.3% 12.7%Investments in associate & subsidiaries 13,500.7 42.8% 13,671.7 35.6% 1.3%Property, plant and equipment 12,945.3 41.0% 13,726.7 35.8% 6.0%Goodwill and Intangible assets 1,765.6 5.6% 7,105.6 18.5% 302.5%Other non-current assets 171.0 0.5% 294.1 0.8% 72.0%Total non-current assets 28,382.6 89.9% 34,797.9 90.7% 22.6%Total Assets 31,557.9 100.0% 38,375.9 100.0% 21.6%Short-term borrowings & current portions 1,520.6 4.8% 3,862.3 10.1% 154.0%Long-term borrowings 14,046.6 44.5% 16,089.9 41.9% 14.5%Other liabilities 848.5 2.7% 2,966.3 7.7% 249.6%Total liabilities 16,415.6 52.0% 22,918.4 59.7% 39.6%Equity attributable to owners of the Company 15,142.1 48.0% 15,457.3 40.3% 2.1%Non-controlling interests 0.1 0.0% 0.1 0.0% 0.0%Total liabilities and Equity 31,557.9 100.0% 38,375.9 100.0% 21.6%

Consolidated Statement of Financial Position

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Financial Statement

36

Unit: THB million 9M18 9M19 YoY ChangeNet cash from (used in) operating activities 1,881.8 1,412.2 (469.6)

Net cash from (used in) investing activities 1,640.9 (4,565.1) (6,206.0)

Net cash from (repay to) financing activities (2,572.3) 3,397.4 5,969.7

Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 950.4 244.5 (705.9)

Cash and cash equivalents at 1 January 2,004.0 2,425.3 421.3Effect of exchange rate changes on balances held in foreign currencies

(42.3) (29.9) 12.4

Cash and cash equivalents at end period 2,912.2 2,640.0 (272.2)

CAPEX (1,408.0) (4,487.9) (3,079.9)

Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows

Page 37: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Conventional solar & wind projects in Thailand

37

No. ProjectLocation

Operating Entity

% of Shareholding

Installed Capacity

(MW)

Contracted Capacity

(MW)Tariff Power Structure Off Taker CODDistrict Province

1 BCPG 1Bang Pa-in Ayutthaya BCPG N.A.

9.8 8

Adder THB 8/kWh

PEA 5/08/11BCPG 2 35.6 30 EGAT 16/07/12

2 BSE-BNN Bumnetnarong Chaiyaphum BSE 99.9 25.2 16

PEA

6/03/133 BSE-BPH Bang Pahan Ayutthaya BSE 99.9 25.2 16 5/04/134 BSE-BRM Prakonechai Buriram BSE-BRM 99.9 12.5 8 19/03/145 BSE-BRM1 Nongkee Buriram BSE-BRM 1 99.9 12.5 8 11/04/146 BSE-CPM1 Bumnetnarong Chaiyaphum BSE-CPM 1 99.9 12.6 8 24/04/147 BSE-NMA Dan Khun Tod NakhonRatchasima BSE-NMA 99.9 12.6 8 10/04/148 BSE-PRI Kabinburi Prachinburi BSE-PRI 99.9 25.0 16 21/04/14

9 Co-op: WSC Wiset Chai Chan Angthong BSE-PRI N.A. 5.0 5.0

FiT: THB 5.66/unit PEA(25 years)

23/12/16

10 Co-op: BPI Bang Pa-in Ayutthaya BSE-PRI N.A. 5.0 5.0 14/03/17

11 Co-op: AYA Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya

Ayutthaya BSE - PRI N.A. 2.0 2.0 23/12/16

12 Co-op (WVO)Saraburi Phra Phutthabat Saraburi BCPG N.A. 5.0 5.0

FiT: THB 4.12/unit PEA(25 years)

20/7/18

13 Co-op (WVO)Kanchanaburi Tha Muang Kanchanaburi BCPG N.A. 3.94 3.94 23/7/18

14 Lomligor Pak Panang Nakhon Sri Thammarat LLG 99.9 10.0 8.965 Adder THB 3.5/kWh PEA

(25 years) 11/4/19

Contracted capacity of 147.9 MW

Page 38: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Other solar projects in Thailand

38

Total contracted capacity in pipeline of 34.6 MW as of 2Q19. COD target by 2019.

No. Type Segment Relation-ship

Project Location Contracted Capacity

Terms (year)

Tariff power structure

Status/ COD

1 Rooftop Industrial Subsidiary Kingboard Uthai, Ayutthaya 0.752 MW 20 Private PPA COD 1/12/2018

2Rooftop Commercial Partner

Habito, T77, Sansiri

Wattana, Bangkok 0.053 MW 25 Private PPA COD 12/1/2019

3Rooftop

Commercial/Residential

Partner T77, Sansiri Wattana, Bangkok 0.376 MW 25 Private PPA COD 1/5/2019

4 Rooftop Commercial Partner Sansiri Several cities 0.379 MW 25 Private PPA Under construction

5 Rooftop School Partner Satitpattana

Bangkok 0.528 MW 25 Private PPA Under construction

6 Rooftop Gas station Partner Lots Several cities 0.523 MW 15 – 20 Private PPA Under construction

7 Rooftop Commercial Partner CMU Mueang, Chiangmai

12.0 MW 26 Private PPA Under construction

8 Rooftop Mixed Partner Lots Several cities 20.01 MW 15-25 Private PPA In progress

9 Floating Industrial Partner BangchakBiofuel

Bang pa-in, Ayutthaya

0.2 MW 25 Private PPA In progress

Page 39: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power

Conventional solar projects in Japan

39

Contracted capacity of 14.7 MW

39

No. Project % ofInvestment Location Irradiation

(kWh/m2/year)Installed Capacity

(MW)

Contracted Capacity

(MW)

Feed-in Tariff (FiT)

(JPY/kWh)PPA Period

(Year) Off Taker Status

Operation1 S1

(Natkatsugawa) 100.0 Kagoshima, Japan 1,405 0.9 0.7 40 20

Kyushu Electric Power Company

COD 15/08/14

2 S11 (Takamori ) 100.0 Kumamoto, Japan 1,376 1.3 1.0 40 20 COD 16/02/15

3 S19 (Nojiri) 100.0 Miyazaki, Japan 1,433 1.1 0.9 40 20 COD 24/02/15

4 Tarumizu 100.0 Kagoshima, Japan 1,369 9.7 8.1 40 20 COD 31/08/15

5 Gotemba 100.0 Shizuoka, Japan 1,291 4.4 4.0 32 20 Tokyo Electric Power Company COD 16/04/18

Developing

6 Komagane 100.0 Nagano, Japan 1,472 32.0 25.0 36 20 Chubu Electric Power Company Expect to COD within 1H20

7 Yabuki 100.0 Fukushima, Japan 1,294 27.9 20.0 36 20 Tohoku Electric Power Company Expect to COD within 2H21

8 Chiba 1 100.0 Chiba, Japan 1,362 27.0 20.0 36 20 Tokyo Electric Power Company Expect to COD within 1H21

9 Chiba 2 100.0 Chiba, Japan 1,362 13.0 10.0 32 20 Tokyo Electric Power Company Expect to COD within 2H22

Under development10 Nagota 100.0 Kagoshima, Japan 1,448 30.0 24.0 36 20

Wait for Grid11 Isakida 100.0 Kagoshima, Japan 1,463 4.4 3.5 36 20

12 Shimoyunohira 100.0 Oita, Japan 1,330 9.6 8.0 36 20

13 S5 100.0 Kagoshima, Japan 1,371 7.2 6.0 36 20

Sold to IFFNikaho 100.0 Akita, Japan 1,136 13.2 8.8 40 20 Tohoku Electric Power Company COD 15/07/16

Nagi 100.0 Okayama, Japan 1,329 14.4 10.5 36 20 Chugoku Electric Power Company COD 02/03/17

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Group’s Business Structure

40

Public

BSE BSE-BRM BSE-BRM1 BSE-CPM1 BSE-NMA BSE-PRI LLG TDED

Thailand

Singapore

99.9% 99.9% 99.9% 99.9% 99.9% 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%

BSEH

100.0%

BCPGI SEGHPL

33.3%

GreenergyHoldings

GreenergyPower BCPG Wind

100.0% 100.0% 100.0%The Netherlands

JapanPetrowind

Energy

The Philippines 40.0%

HMJ BCPGJ

EPC(1) AM(2) Investment(3) Project Under Development

Operating Projects

Operating Projects

Operating Projects

100.0% 100.0%

100.0% 51.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

100.0%

(1) EPC = Groups of companies doing such business as (1) a turnkey EPC contractor and (2) an operation and maintenance contractor for solar power plants in Japan(2) AM = an Asset Management company rendering operation and maintenance service for the Tiramizu project and its remaining shares of 49.0% are held by a juristic person (3) Investment = companies investing in solar farms in Japan as TK investor

Laos

BCPGIndochina

99.9%

Nam San 3A

100.0%

Page 41: Analyst Meeting 3Q2019 Results - listed companybcpg.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20191111-bcpg-am3q20… · Chance of El nino and La nina 8 Hybridizing impacts to the power