An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv...

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P. vivax malaria The consequences of not providing radical cure Ric Price MMV 14th Stakeholders Meeting 12 th October 2017, Bali, Indonesia

Transcript of An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv...

Page 1: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

P. vivax malaria The consequences of not providing

radical cure

Ric Price

MMV 14th Stakeholders Meeting 12th October 2017, Bali, Indonesia

Page 2: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias

Pf

Pv

Thailand: 1965-2001

Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004;

Pv

Pf

Colombia: 1960-2008

Rodriguez et al Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz, 2011

Brazil: 1960-2009

Source: Oliveira-Ferreira et al., Malaria J 9 (1), 2010

Page 3: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

MMV Stakeholders Meeting, Bali Slide 3

Thailand 1993-1996 Child cohort

P. vivax

Page 4: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

MMV Stakeholders Meeting, Bali Slide 4 16/10/17 4

Page 5: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

Reducing Malaria Morbidity and Mortality MMV Stakeholders Meeting, Bali Slide 5

Density of Infection

Species at first presentation

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Number of Recurrences

%

Papua, Indonesia

Page 6: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

The predominant morbidity and mortality of P. vivax is related to its

propensity to recur

MORE SEVERE ANAEMIA

Hae

mag

lobi

n (g

/dl)

More Recurrences

Brazil Indonesia

India

S Korea

Relapses

Drug Resistance

Reinfection Poor Drugs Poor Adherence…

Ris

k of

Dea

th

Page 7: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

Reducing Malaria Morbidity and Mortality MMV Stakeholders Meeting, Bali Slide 7

Andaman Islands Penal Colony 1872-1939

14,000 prisoners All cause mortality 630 per 1000

Page 8: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

Reducing Malaria Morbidity and Mortality MMV Stakeholders Meeting, Bali Slide 8

P. vivax Mortality

Pf

Pv Mixed

Cum

ulat

ive

Ris

k (%

)

1 year Mortality “Falciparum kills you quickly,

vivax kills you slowly”

“Death by a thousand cuts”

Page 9: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

Reducing Malaria Morbidity and Mortality MMV Stakeholders Meeting, Bali Slide 9

High representation with P. vivax after P. falciparum

Thailand

P. vivax Relapses Drive Transmission

Relapses have high rates of gametocyte carriage

Page 10: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

MMV Stakeholders Meeting, Bali Slide 10

Primaquine / Tafenoquine Contraindicated in pregnant women and infants Unsure of the optimal dose (15mg vs 30mg) Poor adherence of Pq Risk of severe haemolysis in G6PD deficiency

Radical Cure Blood Stage

+

Liver Stage

Chloroquine Resistant P. vivax Chloroquine

Or ACT

P. vivax Radical Cure

Page 11: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

Controlling for: Age, Gender, Admission status, Ethnicity, Year

AHR 95% CI P Overall 0.90 0.86-0.95 <0.001

1 to <5yrs 0.85 0.79-0.90 <0.001

5 to <15yrs 0.98 0.86-1.12 0.764

>=15yrs 0.99 0.91-1.08 0.876

2007 0.91 0.85-0.97 0.003

Outpatients 0.89 0.84-0.93 <0.001

n=46,221 High dose Pq

Risk of P.vivax Recurrence

Primaquine Effectiveness

Pharmacy Records

Page 12: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

Effectiveness vs Tolerability The Long And The Short Of It….

Tafenoquine Single Dose

Primaquine…

Adherence Issues

Need for G6PD Testing

High Dose 7days

High Dose 14days

Low Dose 7days

Low Dose 14days

Weekly x8

Page 13: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

Reducing Malaria Morbidity and Mortality MMV Stakeholders Meeting, Bali Slide 13

Conclusions

P. vivax relapses are associated with significant morbidity, indirect mortality, sustained transmission

Radical Cure is vital to achieve malaria elimination milestones o Novel regimens/drugs, G6PD diagnostics, improved adherence

Targeted interventions to prevent recurrence in those at greatest risk

Healthcare providers and policymakers are often scared to prescribe primaquine and don’t recognize the benefits

Page 14: An Update on Severe Vivax Ric Price · 2017. 10. 16. · Rise of Non Falciparum Malarias . Pf . Pv . Thailand: 1965- 2001 Sattabongkot et al Trends in Parasite 2004; Pv . Pf . Colombia:

ICPVR, Manaus 13th June 2017 Slide 14

Menzies Team Nicholas Douglas Nicholas Anstey Tsin Yeo Jutta Marfurt Sarah Auburn Irene Handayani Grennady Wirjanata Rob Commons Zuleima Pava Damian Oyong Steven Kho

Timika Research Unit Rini Poespoprodjo Enny Kenangalem Lenny Burdam Frans Thio Daniel Lampah Gjyse Pontororing Ferryanto Chalfein Pak Prayoga Frans Wabisar Ibu Natalie Ibu Munik

Acknowledgements

NIHRD Emiliana Tjitra Hadjar Siswantoro Muhamed Karyana Armedy Hasugian

PHMC / ISOS Michael Bangs Michael Stone Pasi Penttinen Ketut Gdeumana Sam Koibur Rosaline Noah Wariker Govert Waramori Any many more…

Indonesian CDC Rita Kusriastuti Ferdinand Laihad

Melbourne University Julie Simpson Michael Malloy

UGM Yati Soenarto Yodi Mahendradhata

Dinas Kesehatan Maurits Okesaray Enny Kenangalem Erens Meokbum Rosemini

MORU Lorenz von Seidlein Nick Day Nick White