An Unbalanced Rising Tide: Recent Trends in International ... New England Regional Forum 20… ·...

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College Board New England Regional Forum Boston, MA Thursday, March 2, 2017 11:15 a.m. - 12:15 p.m. An Unbalanced Rising Tide: Recent Trends in International Student Mobility

Transcript of An Unbalanced Rising Tide: Recent Trends in International ... New England Regional Forum 20… ·...

Page 1: An Unbalanced Rising Tide: Recent Trends in International ... New England Regional Forum 20… · • Strong growth from India, Vietnam, and Mexico. Highlights: South Country 2014

College Board New England Regional Forum

Boston, MA

Thursday, March 2, 2017

11:15 a.m. - 12:15 p.m.

An Unbalanced Rising Tide: Recent

Trends in International Student

Mobility

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Panelists

Matt McGann Director of Admissions Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Molly Witt Associate Director of International Admissions The University of Vermont

Joel Presti Associate Director, International Implementation The College Board, New York Office

Grace Cheng Director of Admission Wellesley College

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Learning objectives of the session

• Learn about the latest trends in international student mobility, especially to the U.S.

• Explore the potential impacts of the recent Executive Order and the current political climate on future intl. student enrollments in the U.S.

• Understand better the institutional pressures facing enrollment managers and how international student recruitment and enrollment are connected

• Gain insight into some best practices employed by diverse institutions to expand and improve the quality and diversity of their international applicant pools, improve yield, and leverage available financial aid

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• Student Body: ~14% enrolled international students representing 50+

countries

• Top 5 countries:

China, Canada, India, South Korea, United Kingdom

Class of 2020: China, Canada, India, South Korea, Japan

• 4-6 weeks of international recruitment group travel (across fall and spring)

• Need-aware for international citizens, but committed to funding 100%

demonstrated financial need

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• 10% of undergraduates are international students

• 457 students from 108 countries

• Top countries by citizenship: China, Canada, South Korea, India,

Thailand, United Kingdom, Turkey, Mexico

• Need-blind admissions process, meet full financial need, but…

• Institutional quota on international students; admit rate ~3%

• Limited international travel (~1 trip annually; Africa in 2014,

2015; Latin America 2017)

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• 7% International Students representing 50+ countries

• Top 5 countries:

China, Canada, India, Nigeria, South Korea

• Travel:

16 weeks combined

• Need-blind admission process, automatic consideration for merit

scholarship

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Learning objectives of the session

• Learn about the latest trends in international student mobility, especially to the U.S.

• Explore the potential impacts of the recent Executive Order and the current political climate on future intl. student enrollments in the U.S.

• Understand better the institutional pressures facing enrollment managers and how international student recruitment and enrollment are connected

• Gain insight into some best practices employed by diverse institutions to expand and improve the quality and diversity of their international applicant pools, improve yield, and leverage available financial aid

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8 NOTE: NOTE: International Students include degree-seeking and non-degree-seeking students. SOURCE: OECD, 2014. Education at a Glance. Figure retrieved from Institute of International Education, Project Atlas, 2015

Long-term growth in the number of students enrolled outside their country of citizenship

Global student mobility is at an all-time high and will continue to grow

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Undergraduates

427K

Graduates 384K

UNDERGRADUATE

Growth from 2015 to 2016

+7.1%

Undergraduates

~221K Graduates ~192K

SOURCE: Institute of International Education. (2016). Retrieved from http://www.iie.org/opendoors

GRADUATE

Growth from 2015 to 2016

+6.0%

Undergraduates continue to drive international student mobility to the U.S., but overall growth is slowing

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Although overall int’l undergraduate student mobility to U.S. universities continues to increase, recent trends reveal most of the growth derives from only a handful of source countries

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

SaudiArabiaChina

Vietnam

India

SouthKoreaMexico

Canada

Approximately 427,000

international undergraduate

students in the U.S. in 2015/16

SOURCE: Institute of International Education. (2016). "International Students by Academic Level and Place of Origin, 2015./16" Open Doors Report on International Educational Exchange. Retrieved from http://www.iie.org/opendoors

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Top 8 Senders of International Undergraduate Students in the U.S.

SOURCE: Institute of International Education. (2016). "International Students by Academic Level and Place of Origin, 2015./16" Open Doors Report on International Educational Exchange. Retrieved from http://www.iie.org/opendoors

Top 8 Senders of International Undergraduate Students to the U.S. in 2015/16: Enrollment & YOY

2013/14 – 2015/16

• Annual growth rates of China and Saudi Arabia continues to slow.

• South Korea shows declines for the 4th year in a row, giving up its #2 spot to Saudi Arabia

• Strong growth from India, Vietnam, and Mexico.

Highlights:

Country 2014 2015 2016 2013~201

4 YOY 2014~201

5 YOY 2015~201

6 YOY

China 110,550 124,552 135,629 18% 13% 9%

Saudi Arabia

26,865 30,861 33,952 30% 15% 10%

South Korea 36,992 34,651 32,695 -3% -6% -6%

India 12,677 16,521 19,302 0% 30% 17%

Vietnam 11,886 12,449 14,390 4% 5% 16%

Canada 13,916 13,131 13,223 4% -6% 1%

Mexico 8,311 8,210 9,640 4% -1% 17%

Japan 9,155 8,877 9,285 0% -3% 5%

Rest 140,372 149,572 159,197 6% 7% 6%

Total Int'l Undergraduate Students

370,724 398,824 427,313 9% 8% 7%

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47%

25%

13%

12%

3% 0%

40%

26%

18%

10% 6%

0% Americas

East Asia/Pacific

Europe &Eurasia

MiddleEast/NorthAfricaSouth & CentralAsia

x2.5 more score reports were sent to non-U.S. institutions by international students in 2016 compared to 2011

More international students are considering multiple study abroad destinations

NOTE: Only SAT score reports sent to non-U.S. institutions by international students, defined by a non-U.S./U.S. Territories home address, and those that were sent to institutions outside of their home country were included. SOURCE: College Board, internal analysis of the 2016 cohort retrieved via Cornerstone on 11/4/16.

SAT Score Reports from International Students to Non-U.S. Higher Education Institutions Outside their Home Country,

2011 vs. 2016 Cohort

2011 2016

X2.5 SAT score reports

to non-U.S. institutions

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25%

12%

10% 8%

7%

7%

6%

6%

19%

U.S.

UK

China

France

Australia

Russia

Canada

Germany

All Others

28%

11%

9% 7%

4% 3%

2% 2%

34%

U.S.

UK

Germany

France

Australia

Japan

Spain

Belgium

All Others

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While the US and UK continue to host the most international students, there are newcomers to this landscape

Although the number of students going to US to study has increased, the proportion has decreased.

2016 Worldwide: 4.1 million students

2001 Worldwide: 2.1 million students

Top 8 Host Countries of Globally Mobile Students

NOTE: International Students include degree-seeking and non-degree-seeking students. SOURCE: Institute of International Education, Project Atlas, 2016. Global Mobility Trends.

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Learning objectives of the session

• Learn about the latest trends in international student mobility, especially to the U.S.

• Explore the potential impacts of the recent Executive Order and the current political climate on future intl. student enrollments in the U.S.

• Understand better the institutional pressures facing enrollment managers and how international student recruitment and enrollment are connected

• Gain insight into some best practices employed by diverse institutions to expand and improve the quality and diversity of their international applicant pools, improve yield, and leverage available financial aid

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Learning objectives of the session

• Learn about the latest trends in international student mobility, especially to the U.S.

• Explore the potential impacts of the recent Executive Order and the current political climate on future intl. student enrollments in the U.S.

• Understand better the institutional pressures facing enrollment managers and how international student recruitment and enrollment are connected

• Gain insight into some best practices employed by diverse institutions to expand and improve the quality and diversity of their international applicant pools, improve yield, and leverage available financial aid

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Importance of financial aid for international students’ decision-making varies by region

9% 11% 13% 10% 4% 5% 8%

14% 21% 11%

15%

13% 10% 8%

23%

26%

21% 20%

22% 22%

14%

52% 41%

53% 55% 60% 63% 71%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Very important

Important

SomewhatimportantNot important

Not applicable

NOTE: International students in this figure are those who attended a high school outside of the U.S. and indicated that they are applying to U.S. higher education institutions for the incoming years of Fall 2015/Spring 2016 and onwards. Total international respondents totaled over 1,600. SOURCE: Internal analysis of College Board post-SAT May 2015 administration.

Importance of Availability of Financial Aid in Higher Ed Application Process of U.S.-bound Prospective

International Students

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International students at private nonprofits are the more likely than students at other institution types to receive institutional financial aid.

Only about 1 in 6 international undergraduate students received some form of institutional aid

Share of Total International Degree-seeking

Undergraduate Students who Received Need

or Non-need Based Institutional Financial

Aid, 2014/15

All U.S. Institutions

Private Nonprofit

Public, 2 year

Public, 4 year

For-profit

17%

36% 13%

1% 6%

NOTE: International students is defined as non-resident aliens. Data excludes institutions that did not respond to questions in the Annual Survey of Colleges. SOURCE: Internal analysis of College Board Annual Survey of Colleges, 2014/15 – 2015/16.

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The number of U.S. institutions awarding financial aid has been stable

NOTE: International students is defined as non-resident aliens. Data excludes institutions that did not respond to questions in the Annual Survey of Colleges. SOURCE: Internal analysis of College Board Annual Survey of Colleges, 2011/12-2015/16.

Number of U.S. Institutions Awarding Financial Aid & Distribution of Financial Aid to International

Undergraduate Students, 2011/12-2014/15

Over 800 institutions awarded over $1.1 billion in financial aid to international undergraduate degree-seeking students in 2014/15.

$796

$907 $992

$1,165 701

744 784

815

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Nu

mb

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of

Inst

itu

tio

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Tota

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anci

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id A

war

de

d

Mill

ion

s

Total Financial Aid Awarded to International Students (in millions)

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U.S. higher ed institutions receiving the most SAT score reports from international students are relatively similar across sending countries but variances also exist, revealing differences in brand awareness, proactive recruitment, and student behavior.

Reputation & rankings are important, but other factors influence decision-making

U.S. Universities with the Most SAT Score Reports by Select Sending Countries, 2016 Cohort

China

Ohio State University Columbus

Pennsylvania State University

University of Washington

Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

Purdue University West Lafayette

Boston University

UC Berkeley

University of Wisconsin Madison

UC Los Angeles

UC San Diego

University of California Irvine

University of Michigan

Case Western Reserve University

New York University

University of California Davis

University of Southern California

Northeastern University

UC Santa Barbara

University of Connecticut

Indiana University Bloomington

India

Purdue University West Lafayette

UC Berkeley

UC Los Angeles

Cornell University

Georgia Institute of Technology

Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

New York University

University of Michigan

Stanford University

University of Southern California

Pennsylvania State University

University of Pennsylvania

University of Texas Austin

Boston University

MIT

Harvard College

Princeton University

Carnegie Mellon University

UC San Diego

Ohio State University Columbus

UAE

New York University

Purdue University West Lafayette

UC Berkeley

UC Los Angeles

Pennsylvania State University

University of Michigan

Georgia Institute of Technology

Boston University

Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

Ohio State University Columbus

University of Pennsylvania

University of Texas Austin

Cornell University

University of Southern California

UC San Diego

Stanford University

Northwestern University

Northeastern University

Columbia University

Carnegie Mellon University

Vietnam

Temple University

Dickinson College

Franklin And Marshall College

Texas Christian University

Drexel University

Clark University

Gettysburg College

Gustavus Adolphus College

Northeastern University

Worcester Polytechnic Institute

Lafayette College

Univ. of Massachusetts Amherst

Case Western Reserve University

Lawrence University

Miami University: Oxford

University of Richmond

Colgate University

Grinnell College

University of Cincinnati

Connecticut College

NOTE: International country is defined by SAT Reasoning test takers reporting a College Board school code outside the U.S. Where the country of the College Board school code is not known, the reported home address as it existed at the time they took the SAT was used. Where home address is not available, the test taker's test center location was used. SOURCE: College Board, 2016 College-Bound Seniors, Non-US Group.

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U.S. higher ed institutions receiving the most SAT score reports from international students are relatively similar across sending countries but variances also exist, revealing differences in brand awareness, proactive recruitment, and student behavior.

Reputation & rankings are important, but other factors influence decision-making

U.S. Universities with the Most SAT Score Reports by Select Sending Countries, 2016 Cohort

China

Ohio State University Columbus

Pennsylvania State University

University of Washington

Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

Purdue University West Lafayette

Boston University

UC Berkeley

University of Wisconsin Madison

UC Los Angeles

UC San Diego

University of California Irvine

University of Michigan

Case Western Reserve University

New York University

University of California Davis

University of Southern California

Northeastern University

UC Santa Barbara

University of Connecticut

Indiana University Bloomington

India

Purdue University West Lafayette

UC Berkeley

UC Los Angeles

Cornell University

Georgia Institute of Technology

Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

New York University

University of Michigan

Stanford University

University of Southern California

Pennsylvania State University

University of Pennsylvania

University of Texas Austin

Boston University

MIT

Harvard College

Princeton University

Carnegie Mellon University

UC San Diego

Ohio State University Columbus

UAE

New York University

Purdue University West Lafayette

UC Berkeley

UC Los Angeles

Pennsylvania State University

University of Michigan

Georgia Institute of Technology

Boston University

Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

Ohio State University Columbus

University of Pennsylvania

University of Texas Austin

Cornell University

University of Southern California

UC San Diego

Stanford University

Northwestern University

Northeastern University

Columbia University

Carnegie Mellon University

Vietnam

Temple University

Dickinson College

Franklin And Marshall College

Texas Christian University

Drexel University

Clark University

Gettysburg College

Gustavus Adolphus College

Northeastern University

Worcester Polytechnic Institute

Lafayette College

Univ. of Massachusetts Amherst

Case Western Reserve University

Lawrence University

Miami University: Oxford

University of Richmond

Colgate University

Grinnell College

University of Cincinnati

Connecticut College

NOTE: International country is defined by SAT Reasoning test takers reporting a College Board school code outside the U.S. Where the country of the College Board school code is not known, the reported home address as it existed at the time they took the SAT was used. Where home address is not available, the test taker's test center location was used. SOURCE: College Board, 2016 College-Bound Seniors, Non-US Group.

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Learning objectives of the session

• Learn about the latest trends in international student mobility, especially to the U.S.

• Explore the potential impacts of the recent Executive Order and the current political climate on future intl. student enrollments in the U.S.

• Understand better the institutional pressures facing enrollment managers and how international student recruitment and enrollment are connected

• Gain insight into some best practices employed by diverse institutions to expand and improve the quality and diversity of their international applicant pools, improve yield, and leverage available financial aid

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Regional Divisions of the United States

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Total Public and Private High School Graduates, by Region, 2000-01 through 2031-32

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High School Graduates by Region and Race/Ethnicity - Northeast

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A growing number of students from Asia are entering the U.S. education system even earlier

Top Places of Origin of International Diploma-Seeking Secondary

Students in the U.S., 2015

China 33,907

55%

South Korea 6,329 10%

Vietnam 3,485

6%

Mexico 2,421

4%

Japan 1,317

2%

Other 14,314

23%

SOURCE: The Boston Globe, http://buff.ly/1WTp8qi. IIE, 2016.

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Panelists

Matt McGann - [email protected] Director of Admissions Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Molly Witt - [email protected] Associate Director of International Admissions The University of Vermont

Joel Presti - [email protected] Associate Director, International Implementation The College Board, New York Office

Grace Cheng - [email protected] Director of Admission Wellesley College