Amsa annual national leadership development seminar 30 aug 2010
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Transcript of Amsa annual national leadership development seminar 30 aug 2010
AUSTRALIA’S FUTURE HEALTH
Australian Medical Students Association (AMSA) Annual National Leadership Development Seminar
CANBERRA –
30 August 2010
Professor Jim Bishop AOChief Medical Officer
Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing
Health Expenditure per capita, public and private expenditure, OECD countries, 2008 ($US PPP)
7538
5004
4627
42104079 4063 3970
3793 3737 3696 36773540 3470
3359 33533129 3060 3008 2902 2870
2729 2687 2683
2151
1801 1781 1737
14371213
999852 767
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
1. Refers to insured population rather than resident population. 2. Current expenditure. 3. 2006. 4. 2007. Source: OECD, OECD Health Data, June 2010
Public expenditure on health Private expenditure on health
OECD HEALTH DATA 2010How Does AUSTRALIA Compare
AUSTRALIA’S RANKING AMONGOECD COUNTRIES 1987-2006
Source: AIHW Australia’s Health 2010
SELF-
ASSESSED PHYSICAL & MENTAL HEALTH, 2007
Source: AIHW Australia’s Health 2010
MAJOR DISEASE BURDEN in AUSTRALIA
BROAD CAUSE MORTALITY TRENDS IN AUSTRALIA
Source: AIHW
Source: AIHW Australia’s Health 2010
AGED ADJUSTED DEATH RATESFrom CVD, 1907 -
2006
ALL CANCER –
MORTALITY/INCIDENCE
ratios for selected countries -
2008
Source: IARC 2010.
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
Kenya
Nigeria
Egypt
Viet N
amTurk
eyInd
iaChinaRuss
iaSou
th Afric
aGreec
eBraz
ilJa
pan
Czech
Rep
ublic
Italy
United King
domCana
daGerm
any
Sweden
New Zealan
dUSA
Austra
liaM
orta
lity-
to-in
cide
nce
ratio
MalesFemales
CHANGES IN DEATH RATES IN MALES
using Joinpoint
Analysis
Source: Tracey et al –
Cancer Institute NSW
CHANGES IN DEATH RATES IN FEMALES Using Joinpoint
Analysis
Source: Tracey et al –
Cancer Institute NSW
CANCERS WITH REDUCING DEATH RATES 1997 to 2006 –
ALL AGES
Lung, -18.5Colon, -19.6 Prostate, -19.7
Leukaemia, -23.7
Stomach, -29.4
Head and Neck, -23.7
Bladder, -18.5
Testicular, -42.2
Breast, -13.8
Cervix, -38.3
NHL, -25.1
Unknown, -24.8
Rectum, -19.9
Bowel, -19.7
All cancers, -13.8
, -24.3
-18.5
Kidney, -24.1
, -15.2
-31.9
, -21.1
-19.0-19.0
, -18.9
-7.9
-45
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
Male FemaleSource: Tracey et al, Cancer Institute NSW
PROJECTED BURDEN of MAJOR DISEASE GROUPS, 2010
Source: AIHW Australia’s Health 2010
TRENDS IN LEADING CAUSESOF DISEASE BURDEN 2003-2023
Source: AIHW Australia’s Health 2010
TOTAL CANCER CASES & DEATHS per year (1972 to 2036)
Source: Cancer Institute NSW
HOW CAN HEALTH BE
IMPROVED ?
THE KEYS TO PREVENTION
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0
Tobacco
Blood pressure
Overweight/obesity
Physical inactivity
Blood cholesterol
Alcohol
Fruit/vegetables
Illicit drugs
Air pollution
Unsafe sex
% DALYs
Total of 32%
Source: Table 4.1 AIHW Australia’s Health 2008
AUSTRALIA’S RANKING AMONGOECD COUNTRIES 1987-2006
Source: AIHW Australia’s Health 2010
SMOKING IN AUSTRALIA
SMOKINGSTATUS
NSW VIC QLD WA SA TAS ACT NT AUS
Daily 16.4 16.5 17.2 14.8 16.5 22.7 14.7 25.3 16.6
Weekly 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3
Less than Weekly
1.4 1.7 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.5
Ex-smoker 24.7 24.4 25.7 28.3 24.1 26.5 24.8 22.4 25.1
Never smoked
56.3 55.9 54.5 54.3 56.2 48.6 57.9 49.8 55.4
National
Drug Strategy Household Survey 2007Source: 2007 Household Survey, Australian Government
AUSTRALIA’S INITIATIVES IN TOBACCO CONTROL
Advertising Bans
Under the counter at retail sites
Banning smoking in restaurants, pubs and cars
Graphic warnings on cigarette packets
Anti-tobacco campaigns
Increase in tobacco excise
Plain packaging
OBESTITY INCREASING FOR ALL
Source: AIHW: Australia’s Health 2008
AUSTRALIAN HEALTH SURVEY
Four components run by ABS 2011-13
-
Health Survey- ATSI Health Survey
-
Nutrition and Physical Activity Survey
-
Health measurement Survey
Around 50,000 participants
De-identified data available as summary statistics, tables
MILESTONES IN CANCER CONTROL
Public health measures in smoking reduction,
screening breast, cervix, bowel, health literacy
Adjuvant treatment of breast, lung and bowel
cancer
New anti-cancer drugs and symptom control drugs
Cancer research translated into practice
Cancer registries, data linkage and analysis
NON-COMMERCIAL CANCER RESEARCH EXPENDITURE, 2004
(A$ per CAPITAL)
Source: Eckhouse
et al (2007), ABS
PRIORITY HEALTH AREAS
SOURCE: NHMRC Research funding 2010 facts book
SUPPORTS FOR CLINICAL DECISION MAKING
Evidence Base
Highest Impact
Range of best practice tools
Successful implementation methods
Monitor and report
CLINICAL GUIDELINES
MEASURES IN WORKFORCE
$5.4 billion
from 1 July 2010Additional $632m -
5,500 places for GPs
-
5,400 pre-vocational GP Places
-
680 Specialist places
Health Workforce Australia established Initial emphasis on Clinical training places
CONCLUSIONS
Orientated to known burden of disease
Emphasis on prevention, early interventions
Driven by evidence from medical research
More opportunities for clinical training
Evidence based standards and guidelines implemented and monitored
AUSTRALIA’S FUTURE HEALTH SERVICES