AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture...

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AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan, UMBC-GEST P. Houser, NASA-GSFC, J. Walker, University of Melbourne, and HYDROS Science Team

Transcript of AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture...

Page 1: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 1

HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data

Assimilation

X. Zhan, UMBC-GESTP. Houser, NASA-GSFC,

J. Walker, University of Melbourne, andHYDROS Science Team

Page 2: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 2

HYDROS: Hydrosphere States Mission

Spinning 6m dish

• NASA Earth System Science Pathfinder mission;• Surface soil moisture w/ 4%vol. accuracy and Freeze/Thaw state

transitions;• Revisit time: Global 3 days, boreal area 2 days• L-band Radiometer sensing 40km brightness temp. with H & V polarization;• L-band Radar measuring 3km backscatters with hh, vv, hv polarization;• Soil moisture products: 3km radar retrievals, 40km radiometer retrievals and

10km radar and radiometer combined retrievals.

Page 3: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 3

36 km – Radiometer footprint

9 km Soil moisture product

3 km Radar footprint

1 2 3

4 5 61

7 8 9

2 3 4

7 865

9

13 14 15 16

121110

SM retrieval approaches:1) Fine scale radar;2) Coarse scale radiometer;3) Median scale combined;

Why combined method?

1) Account for missing data.2) Use noisy high-res radar to

downscale coarse radiometer.3) Use information in overlapped

observations.

Assimilation approach: Assimilate radar backscatter and

radiometer brightness observations into a combined soil moisture retrieval.

HYDROS OSSE: Observing System Simulation Experiment

To access the potential accuracy of HYDROS instruments in soil moisture retrievals using a set of 1km land surface states simulation data

Page 4: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 4

TOPLATS 1km hydrological model input and output from Crow [2001] (SM, vegetation, soil, Tsoil, Tskin, Precip(Rf )) for the Red-Arkansas River Basin for 34 days from May 26 to June 28, 1994.

AVHRR NDVI composite from June 1995;

Vegetation and Soil parameters derived by HYDROS Science Team;

Data Domain Land Cover

OSSE Simulation Data Set

Page 5: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 5

Update State estimate with observation:

Update the error Covariance:

Forecast steps:

Project the State ahead:

Project the error Covariance ahead:

)0,,ˆ(ˆ1 kkk uf

XX

kTkkkk QAPAP

1

Update steps:

Compute the Kalman gain:

))0,ˆ((ˆˆ kkkkk hK XOXX

kkkk PHKIP )(

Tkkkk

Tkk

k HPHR

HPK

Data Assimilation merges observations & model predictions to provide a superior state estimate:

Xa = Xb + K (O - Ô) Ô = h(Xb,0)

Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) tracks the conditional mean of a statistically optimal estimate of a state vector X through a series of forecast and update steps

Extended Kalman Filter Data Assimilation

Page 6: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 6

1 km SM,LC, ST, Tsoil, Tskin, NDVI, rf

3/36 km Sigmas36 km Tbs

3/36 km Sigmas36 km Tbs

1 km Sigmas1 km Tbs

Radar forward model

Radiometer forward model

Gaussian NoiseGaussian Noise

3/9/36 km SM Retrievals

aggregate

3/9/36 km SM “Truth”

3/9/36 km SM Retrieval Errors

Resample or aggregate

EKF DA Retrieval Data Flow Chart

aggregate

3/36 km Precipitation

3/36 km SM Estimate

LSM

Aggregateforcing

EKF Data Assimilation Algorithms

Page 7: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 7

144

3

2

1

...

SM

SM

SM

SM

X

144

144,3,

1

144,3,

144

1,3,

1

1,3,

1441

1441

...

.........

...

...

...

36,36,

36,36,

SMSM

SMSM

SM

T

SM

TSM

T

SM

T

H

kmhvkmhv

kmhhkmhh

bb

bb

kmvkmv

kmhkmh

)]([ VHXZKXX bba

EKF Data Assimilation Algorithm

144,3,

1,3,

36,

36,

...

kmhv

kmhh

kmv

kmh

b

b

T

T

Z

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AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 8

1. Do DA retrievals only at 3km scale and aggregate them up to 9km scale, use a former instrument error rate setup to compare the DA retrieval accuracy with mathematical inversion method:tb1: Use Tbv & Tbh onlyts1: Combine Tbv & Tbh with vv, hh & vh

Tbv & Tbh : 36km obs having 1.0K noise

vv, hh & vh: 3km obs having 0.5dB noise

2. Retrieve SM by using 36km Tb inversed SM rather than a LSM as Xb and assimilating sigmas into Xb with reproduced OSSE data: Kp = 0.15 and 3x3 moving average smoothing;

3. Retrieve SM by using 36km Tb inversed SM rather than a LSM as Xb and assimilating sigmas into Xb with various sigma noise levels: Kp = 0.05, 0.10, or 0.15

EKF Data Assimilation Retrieval Experiments

Page 9: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 9

___ EKF DA Retrieval, ___ Math InversionPrevious OSSE data set with sigma noise = 0.5dB

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

RMSD_sda

RMSD_sdi

Day [DOY 146-179]

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

RMSD_sda

RMSD_sdi

Day [DOY 146-179]

tb1 ts1

RMSD of EKF DA SM Retrievals

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AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 10

RMSE of Different SM Retrievals

Reproduced OSSE data set with sigma noise Kp = 0.15

Sigma Inversion: Mathematically inverse sigmas

EKF Assimilation: 2D EKF 144 elements of X and 434 element Z

Tb Inversion: Mathematically inverse Tbh or Tbv0

2

4

6

8

10

12

145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180

Day of Year [1994]

Sigma Inversion

EKF Assimilation

Tb Inversion

Page 11: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 11

Spatial Comparison of Different SM Retrievals

Reproduced OSSE data set with sigma noise Kp = 0.15

Sigma Inversion

EKF Assimilation

Tb Inversion

-50 -20 -10 -4 4 10 20 50 %VMSRMSE = 6.7%

RMSE = 6.5%

RMSE = 10.5%

Page 12: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 12

Impact of Sigma Noise on SM Retrievals

Kp = 0.05

Kp = 0.10 Kp = 0.15

Dry area

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180

Day of Year [1994]

Sigma Inversion

EKF AssimilationTb Inversion

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180

Day of Year [1994]

Sigma Inversion

EKF AssimilationTb Inversion

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180

Day of Year [1994]

Sigma Inversion

EKF AssimilationTb Inversion

Page 13: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 13

Impact of Sigma Noise on SM Retrievals

Kp = 0.05

Kp = 0.10 Kp = 0.15

Wet area0

2

4

6

8

10

12

145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180

Day of Year [1994]

Sigma Inversion

EKF AssimilationTb Inversion

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180

Day of Year [1994]

Sigma Inversion

EKF AssimilationTb Inversion

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180

Day of Year [1994]

Sigma Inversion

EKF AssimilationTb Inversion

Page 14: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 14

-50 -20 -10 -4 4 10 20 50 %VMS

Impact of Sigma Noise on SM Retrievals

Kp = 0.10 RMSE = 9.2%

Kp = 0.15 RMSE = 10.3%

Kp = 0.05 RMSE = 6.3%

Page 15: AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004Slide 1 HYDROS Radiometer and Radar Combined Soil Moisture Retrieval Using Kalman Filter Data Assimilation X. Zhan,

AMS’04, Seattle, WA. January 12, 2004 Slide 15

Using Kalman Filter data assimilation algorithm may combine HYDROS passive and active observations to produce useful median resolution soil moisture data;

KF DA can also be used for SM retrieval with a more physically detailed land surface model for the background estimate Xb;

With EKF DA retrieving SM, VWC and Ts simultaneously may be possible by using all radar and radiometer observations.

Summary and Discussions