American Foreign Policy and East Asia
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Transcript of American Foreign Policy and East Asia
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American Foreign Policy and East
Asia
Spring, 2014
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(North)East Asia?
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Relationship
Trade Deficit?Rising China?
Energy issues?
Human
Rights?
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Relationship
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After World War ‖
Bilateral Approach(hub-and-spoke)
The U.S. &
Japan (1951), South Korea(1953),
Nationalist China (1954)
NATO
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Why the bilateral approach?
• Relative Size of the Regional Actors• Geographic Characteristics • State-level Factors: Japan’s Characteristics
• Diversity• Institutional Path-dependence
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Relationship
China-Taiwan-US
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China-Taiwan-US• Current Relationship between China and
Taiwan? Couldn’t be better!
- In February, the first official direct talk since 1949.- A possible summit in November?
- Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement (June, 2013)
- Allowing Chinese tourists to visit Taiwan - Direct flight between China and Taiwan
Since Ma, Ying-Jeou became the president in 2008
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China-Taiwan-US• Trade: (in hundred million dollars)* Year Total Export to
TaiwanImport fromTaiwan
2007 1245 235 10102008 1292 259 10332009 1062 205 8572010 1454 297 11572011 1600 351 12492012 1690 368 13222013 1972 406 1566
*China’s Taiwan Affairs Office
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China-Taiwan-US• People visiting each other’s territory (in ten thousand)*
Year Taiwanese toMainland
Chinese to Taiwan
Total
2007 463 23 4862008 437 28 4652009 448 94 5422010 514 166 6802011 526 184 7102012 534 263 7972013 516 292 808
*China’s Taiwan Affairs Office
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China-Taiwan-US
• 1950: During Korean War, Deployment of The Seventh Fleet • 1954-55/1958: The First and Second Taiwan Strait Crisis • 1979: U.S. Recognition of The PRC & The Taiwan Relations Act• 1995-1996: The Third Taiwan Strait Crisis• 2005: China passed the Anti-Secession Law
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1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
The Trigger--U.S. approval of a visa for Lee Teng-hui to visit the United States (May, 22, 1995)
What happened:Series of Missile Tests by China and Taiwan
China: July, 1995 / August, 1995 /March, 1996
Taiwan: September, 1995
The U.S. :Deployment of two carrier battle groups
March, 1996
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1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
• Taiwanese Domestic Politics
Taiwan
ChinaUS
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Relationship
China-Japan-US
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China-Japan-US• Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ)• BBC Interview
From CNN
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Relationship
Japan-Korea-US
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Japan-Korea-US
• Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes
/West Sea
Dokdo / Takeshima
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Japan-Korea-US
• Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes
2) History : Yasukuni shrine, Comfort women,
and history textbook.
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Relationship
North Korea-US-Others
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North Korea
-1st Nuclear Crisis (1993-1994)
North Korea Threatened to
withdraw from NPT
Carter’s mediation
Agreed Framework
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North Korea-2nd Nuclear Crisis (2002-)
October, 2002: North Korea admitted that
it had a secret nuclear weapons program
August, 2003: Six-Party Talk
October, 2006: North Korea tested its first
nuclear weapons
May, 2009: the second test
Feb, 2013: the third test
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North Korea• Divergent Interests?
Source: Inside Multilateralism: The Six-Party Talks by John S. Park
Issue U.S. PRC Japan ROK
High priority
Nuclear Proliferation
Refugees
Ballistic Missiles
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North Korea
• Change of Leadership in North Korea
• Change in Chinese perception of North Korea?
• Recent events:
- Unofficial meeting between North Korea and Japan regarding the investigation on kidnapped Japanese
-North Korea threatened to conduct another nuclear test
-Efforts to resume six-party talks
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Conclusion
• Pivot to Asia?• Complicated relationship between states in
East Asia• Pay attention to news this week! 23-25: Japan 25-26: Korea (Malaysia / Philippines)