Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

download Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

of 10

Transcript of Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    1/10

    Engineering and Construction November 23, 2011

    Sadbhav EngineeringBloomberg: SADE IN EQUITYReuters: SADE.NS

    Accounting: GREENPredictability: GREENEarnings Momentum: GREEN

    Ambit Capital and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that Ambit

    Capital may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should not consider this report as the only factor in making their investment decision.

    Please refer to the Disclaimers at the end of this Report.

    NOT RATED

    COMPANY VISIT NOTE

    Nitin Bhasin

    Tel: +91 22 3043 [email protected]

    Chhavi Agarwal

    Tel: +9122 3043 [email protected]

    Stock Information

    CMP: `119

    Mkt cap: `18bn/US$344mn

    52-wk H/L: `158/91

    3M ADV: `12mn/US$0.2mn

    Beta: 1.5x

    BSE Sensex: 16,065

    Nifty: 4,812

    EPS (FY13E) consensus: `12.4

    Stock Performance (%)

    1M 3M 12M YTD

    Absolute -6.9 -12.4 -16.4 1.2

    Rel. to Sensex -2.6 -11.9 1.6 22.9

    Performance (%)

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    Nov-10 M ar-11 Jul-11 Nov-11

    30

    80

    130

    180

    Sensex Sadbhav Eng (R s)

    Sadbhav has outperformed its peersover the last 3 years

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    Nov-

    08

    Apr-

    09

    Sep-

    09

    Feb-

    10

    Jul-

    10

    Dec-

    10

    May-

    11

    Oct-

    11

    Sadbhav IVRCL NCC L&T

    Source: Bloomberg, Ambit Capital research; Note:Prices are indexed to 100

    A solid, sensible construction playSadbhavs stock price has risen 26% over the last two years whilst allother infrastructure/construction companys stock prices have fallen25-80%. This superlative performance can be attributed to Sadbhavs:(a) superior accounting quality; (b) continuing strength in costcompetitiveness; and (c) well funded infra BOT assets. Industry leading44% CAGR in revenues and steady net margins over FY09-11 signifythe importance of well-managed balance sheet for deliveringprofitable growth. The stock (including embedded value of `81/share)presently trades at 11.5x FY13E consensus EPS (an 36% premium topeers).

    Competitive Position: STRONG Change to this position: POSITIVE

    Accounting and corporate governance checks signify credibility:Superior cash flow management (positive CFO and FCF in FY09 and FY10)and relatively low level of unclassified loans & advances (21% of FY11networth) underscore Sadbhavs superior accounting quality versus its peers.However, on corporate governance checks, Sadbhav is an average companyin the sector because of: (a) lower managerial remuneration as a proportionof PBT (3.7% in FY11) and (b) mainly equity route to invest in BOT subsidiaries.Relative to other road developers (IRB, ITNL and Ashoka), the company reportslower but more comprehensible EBITDA margins of 11%, which haveremained stable (as compared to ~20% margin reported by IRB in FY11).

    Gaining competitiveness in a crumbling world: In our competitivemapping of the Indian EPC sector, Sadbhav not only stands as the strongest

    player, it has continuously gained competitiveness over the last 3 years.Despite a relatively lower revenue base and lower networth (which keep itsprequalification competitiveness moderate), Sadbhavs markedly superior coststructure gives it industry leading cost competitiveness. Steady gross blockturnover, lower fixed and financial costs underscore this cost competitiveness.Relatively low debt: equity (0.6X vs 1-1.5X for most peers) and superior costcompetitiveness should enable Sadbhav to bid competitively against its peers

    who are capital starved and reeling under rising financial cost pressures.

    More gains from its BOT portfolio: Whilst Sadbhav also has a higherproportion of its networth (50%) invested in its BOT subsidiaries, whatdifferentiates Sadbhav from its peers (who have struggled with their BOTportfolios) is how Sadbhav has: (a) switched between the cash (roads and

    others) and BOT contracts as per the market conditions; (b) demonstratedtimely (in fact, ahead of schedule) execution of its BOTs through incentives forsub-contractors; and (c) used external equity funding for completing projects.

    We believe timely and controlled cost construction of BOT roads can make upfor the underperformance of traffic flows. Most of Sadbhavs peers have

    witness 25-50% time and cost overruns and lower traffic. In contrast, Sadbhavis ahead of schedule in most of its BOTs under construction and witnessingstrong traffic in operational assets.

    Premium valuations for superior quality and performance: The stock(including embedded value) is presently trading at 11.5X and 1.9X FY13 oneyear-forward earnings and book, respectively. The relative valuations are a36% premium to Sadbhavs construction peers. Excluding consensus currentembedded value of`81/share, the stock is trading at 3.7X and 0.6X one year-forward earnings and book, respectively.. This premium is clearly warrantedgiven Sadbhavs superior cash flow generation profile, no immediate equitydilution risks and a strong balance sheet for capturing growth when the Indianinfrastructure & construction sector recovers.

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    2/10

    Sadbhav Engineering

    Ambit Capital Pvt Ltd 2

    Company Financial Snapshot

    Company Background

    Incorporated in 1988, Sadbhav Engineering is anEngineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC)company catering to the roads/highways, mining and

    irrigation sectors. The roads segment dominatesSadbhavs revenues (82% of revenues in FY11) andorder book (74% of order book in FY11). Apart fromthe core construction business, the company has aninfrastructure asset portfolio of four operationalprojects and five road projects under construction(roads). The firms promoters (Vishnubhai Patel family),hold 48% stake in Sadbhav Engineering which in turnholds a 78% stake in its BOT asset portfolio subsidiary,Sadbhav Infrastructure Pvt Ltd (SIPL).

    Event Calendar

    CY Event

    1988Incorporated by acquiring M/s BhavnaConstruction Company

    1989 Bagged first project from Sardar SarovarNarmada Nigam Ltd

    2001 Awarded first direct EPC project from NHAI

    2006Awarded first BOT project (Ahmedabad RingRoad Project)

    2006 Raised an IPO of`537mn

    2007 QIP placement of`920mn

    2008Commercial operations started for AhmedabadRing Road Project

    2010Raised `1.2bn from rights issues and `4bnfrom the sale of 22.22% stake in SIPL.

    Profit and Loss (consolidated)Y/E March ( mn) FY09 FY10 FY11

    Net Sales 10,974 13,340 23,294

    Optg Exp 9,549 11,268 19,952

    EBITDA 1,544 2,332 3,608

    Depreciation 378 565 789

    Interest Expenses 673 1,412 1,574

    PBT ex EO 574 726 1,409

    Tax 197 459 638

    Consolidated Adj. PAT 433 353 919

    Profit and Loss RatiosEBITDA Margin (%) 14.1% 17.5% 15.5%

    Adj Net Margin (%) 3.9% 2.6% 3.9%

    Profit and Loss (stand-alone)Y/E March ( mn) FY09 FY10 FY11

    Net Sales 10,609 12,565 22,092

    Optg Exp 9,487 11,143 19,710

    EBITDA 1,123 1,422 2,381

    Depreciation 157 233 269

    Interest Expenses 269 380 550

    PBT ex EO 829 980 1,757

    Tax 196 441 562

    Adj. PAT 637 526 1,205

    Profit and Loss Ratios

    EBITDA Margin (%) 10.6% 11.3% 10.8%

    Adj Net Margin (%) 6.0% 4.2% 5.5%

    Balance Sheet (consolidated) Balance Sheet (stand-alone)

    Y/E March ( mn) FY09 FY10 FY11

    Total Assets 13,692 18,821 30,929

    Fixed Assets 10,118 13,001 24,385

    Current Assets 6,174 9,658 12,304

    Investments 1,246 1,441 3,264

    Total Liabilities 13,692 18,821 30,929

    Total networth 4,199 4,129 10,740

    Total Debt 9,383 14,551 20,028

    Current Liabilities /Provisions 2,867 4,646 6,014

    Balance Sheet ratios

    ROE (%) 13.0% 10.0% 15.0%

    RoCE (%) 7.8% 4.7% 7.2%

    Net Debt/Equity (x) 2.2 3.4 1.7

    Total Debt/Equity (x) 2.2 3.5 1.9

    Y/E March ( mn) FY09 FY10 FY11

    Total Assets 5,656 8,295 10,379

    Fixed Assets 1,545 2,101 2,298

    Current Assets 5,522 10,659 14,341

    Investments 1,246 1,441 3,264

    Total Liabilities 5,656 8,295 10,379

    Total networth 3,435 3,915 6,257

    Total Debt 2,111 4,239 3,961

    Current Liabilities /Provisions 2,666 5,907 9,524

    Balance Sheet ratios

    ROE (%) 20.2% 14.3% 23.7%

    RoCE (%) 14.9% 9.5% 15.6%

    Net Debt/Equity (x) 0.6 1.0 0.5

    Total Debt/Equity (x) 0.6 1.1 0.6

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company.

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    3/10

    Sadbhav Engineering

    Ambit Capital Pvt Ltd 3

    Exhibit 1:Growth in stand-alone revenues (LHS) ismainly driven by captive orders; EBITDA and PATmargins have remained stable

    0

    5

    1015

    20

    25

    FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

    Rs bn

    3%

    5%

    7%9%

    11%

    13%

    Road ( Captive BOTs) Road (External Clients)

    Mining Irrigation

    EBITDA margin (RHS) PAT margin (RHS)

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company Note (a) We have taken stand-alone revenues on the LHS.

    Exhibit 2:High revenue growth from captive ordershelped improve working capital and gross blockturnover significantly in FY11

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

    Working capital turnover (x)

    Gross Block turnover (x)

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company

    Exhibit 3:Completion of BOTs and external equityinfusion significantly lowered debt:equity in FY11

    - 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0

    FY08

    FY09

    FY10

    FY11

    Stand-alone (x) Consolidated (x)

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company

    Exhibit 4:Stand-alone return ratios are ahead of peers;consolidated ratios will rise gradually as BOT revenues,cash flows and earnings rise, as visible in FY11

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

    RoE (SA) RoE (Cons)

    RoCE (SA) RoCE (Cons)

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company. SA denotes standaloneand Cons denotes Consolidated.

    Exhibit 5:Investment and loans to BOTs have declinedas a proportion of networth in FY11 as incrementalinvestments in BOTs were met through BOT stake sale

    Year (`mn)

    EquityInvestment

    in BOTs

    Loans toBOTs

    A+BC as % ofNetworth

    C as % ofCapital

    employed

    (A) (B) (C )

    FY08 844 202 1,046 37% 24%

    FY09 1,096 72 1,168 34% 21%

    FY10 1,441 1,423 2,864 73% 35%

    FY11 3,244 39 3,283 52% 32%

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company. We have taken standalone

    data for our analysis

    Exhibit 6:BOT funding mainly from internal cash flowsand external equity, rather than heavy debt raisings

    (1,500)

    -

    1,500

    3,000

    4,500

    6,000

    FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

    CFO (SA) (Rs mn) FCFF (SA) (Rs mn)

    Investment in BOTs (Rs mn) Incremental debt (Rs mn)

    Fresh equity raise (Rs mn)

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company. Note: In FY08 Sadbhav raised

    Rs920mn through QIP. In FY11, Sadbhav raised Rs1.2bn from rightsissues and Rs4bn from the sale of a 22.22% stake in SIPL.

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    4/10

    Sadbhav Engineering

    Ambit Capital Pvt Ltd 4

    Order book driven by captive BOTs

    Exhibit 7:For the last 18 months, BOT orders are notthe ones driving order inflows

    0

    9

    18

    27

    36

    45

    FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 1HFY12

    Rs bn

    BOT roads Road others Mining Irrigation

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company

    Exhibit 8:Faster execution of well-funded BOT assets isbringing the Book to bill (BTB) ratio lower since FY10

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 1HFY12

    Rs bn

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    BOT roads Road others

    Mining Irrigation

    BTB - BOT roads (x) (RHS) BTB - Overall (x) (RHS)

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company. Note: (a) We have takenstand-alone data for analysis; (b) For calculating book-to-bill for 1HFY12,segmental revenues and order flow for 2HFY11 is divided as per FY11

    BOT Portfolio- benefits accruing

    Unlike its peers, Sadbhav Engineering (SEL) has been able to complete most of itsprojects in time or ahead of schedule, thus controlling the costs of construction forits BOT assets. Presently, it has five assets under construction. Of these, nearlythree roads are ahead of schedule which could materially improve the profitabilityof the group, as Sadbhav Infrastructure Pvt Ltd (SIPL) (the asset holding subsidiaryof SEL) shares the benefits of early tolling with the parent SEL. The assets under

    construction require another `4.4bn of equity over next 18 months (of which`2.5bn has to be contributed by Sadbhav). SEL intends to infuse equity in SIPLbefore March 2012 (thereby raising its stake to ~82%) at a valuation similar to the

    valuation at which a private equity investor took a 22.22% stake in Sept 10.

    Exhibit 9:Sadbhav Infrastructure Pvt Ltd (SIPL) road BOT asset details

    ProjectCost

    Totalequity

    requirements

    SIPLEquityshare

    Equityalready

    investedby SIPL

    Length(km)

    Type

    ` mn

    SIPLStake

    Scheduledcompletion

    date

    Actual/expected

    completiondate ` mn ` mn ` mn

    Equity tobe

    investedby SIPL

    uptoFY13E

    RoEFY11

    RoEFY10

    Operational Assets

    Ahmedabad Ring Road 76 Toll 5,008 80% Jan-07 521 417 417 NA -14% -21%Aurangabad - Jalna 69 Toll 2,770 100% Aug-09 829 829 829 NA -23% -21%

    Mumbai - Nasik 100 Toll 7,901 20%50% in

    Apr-101,206 241 241 NA NA NA

    Nagpur - Seoni 56 Annuity 4,897 50% Jun-10 1,098 549 316 NA -22% NA

    Total 20,576 3,654 2,036 1,803

    Under Construction Assets

    Dhule - Palasner 97 Toll 14,200 27% Jun-12 Dec-11 3,550 959 753 206 NA NA

    Maharasthra bordercheck post

    NA Toll 14,264 90% 1,560 1,404 1,277 127 NA NA

    Rohtak - Panipat 80 Toll 12,134 100% Oct-13 Dec-12 2,427 2,427 607 1,820 NA NA

    Bijapur - Hungund 35 Toll 12,571 77% Mar-13 Nov-11 1,370 1,055 1,055 - NA NA

    Hyderabad - Yadgiri 100 Toll 4,802 60% May-12 Mar-12 1,000 600 314 286 NA NA

    Total 57,971 9,907 6,444 4,005 2,439

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    5/10

    Sadbhav Engineering

    Ambit Capital Pvt Ltd 5

    Exhibit 10:BOT cash flows increased significantly inFY11 as revenues rose marginally and interest costsremained stagnant

    (1,000)

    -

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

    Rs mn

    Revenues PAT CFO Interest payment

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company (a) The above analysis iscalculated as Consolidated less stand-alone

    Exhibit 11:Consolidated RoEs may remain low but willincrease gradually as cash flows rise from presentoperational assets and assets coming up for operations

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

    RoE (SA) RoE (Cons)

    RoCE (SA) RoCE (Cons)

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company

    Exhibit 12:Explanation for our forensic accounting scoresSegment Score Comments

    Accounting GREENIn our forensic accounting analysis of 20 construction companies, Sadbhav is in the top-quartile both on the aggressive accounting parameter and the cash manipulation parameter.

    Predictability GREENSadbhav has always made timely disclosures regarding its future strategy, expected businessmomentum and expected earnings performance in their conference calls

    Earnings momentum GREENOver the last six months, FY2012 and FY2013 consensus EPS have been revised upward by15%-20%.

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Sadbhav, Bloomberg

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    6/10

    Sadbhav Engineering

    Ambit Capital Pvt Ltd 6

    Valuations

    Relative valuations historical perspective

    Unlike its peers whose valuations have seen historical lows in the last threemonths, Sadbhav valuations remain sturdy on account of (a) improving financialperformance and external equity infusion into BOT assets, and (b) continuing

    strength of the construction business.

    Exhibit 13:Sadbhav is trading at a 20% discount to its5 year historical 1-year forward PE of 14x

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11

    (Rs)

    20x

    16x

    12x

    8x

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Bloomberg, Note (a) We have takenstand-alone consensus EPS for our analysis

    Exhibit 14:Sadbhav is trading at a 17% discount of toits 5 year historical 1-year forward PB of 2.5x

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11

    (Rs)

    3.0x

    2.5x

    2.0x

    1.5x

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Bloomberg Note (a) We have takenstand-alone consensus BVPS for our analysis

    Embedded value for Sabhav has witnessed upgrades over the last couple of years;(consensus embedded value estimates: Jun-09:`15/share, Apr-10:`44/share,Nov-10: `67/share and Oct-11:`81/share). The present embedded value implies

    `15.5bn valuation for SIPL, which is a 14% discount to the valuation (`18bn)ascribed by private equity investors in August 2010 while infusing `4bn for 22.2%stake. Adjusting for the consensus embedded value, Sadbhavs stock is trading at1-year forward P/E and P/B of 3.5x and 0.6x, respectively, which is a significantdiscount to its 2 year historical average.

    Exhibit 15:Ex-embedded value, Sadbhav is trading at a1-year forward PE of 3.5x which is a discount of 57% toits average 2 year historical PE of 8.1x

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    Jun-09

    Oct-09

    Feb-10

    Jun-10

    Oct-10

    Feb-11

    Jun-11

    Oct-11

    11x

    9x

    7x

    5x

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Bloomberg, Note: We have takenconsensus data for our analysis.

    Exhibit 16:Ex-embedded value, Sadbhav is trading at a1-year forward PB of 0.6x which is a discount of 58% toits average 2 year historical PB of 2.3x

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    Jun-09

    Oct-09

    Feb-10

    Jun-10

    Oct-10

    Feb-11

    Jun-11

    Oct-11

    2.5x

    2x

    1.5x

    1x

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Bloomberg, Note: We have takenconsensus data for our analysis.

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    7/10

    Sadbhav Engineering

    Ambit Capital Pvt Ltd 7

    Relative valuations to its construction peersOn FY13 PE multiple, whilst including the embedded value Sadbhav trades at apremium to peers, excluding the embedded value it trades at a discount to itsconstruction peers. This highlights that market values Sadbhavs BOT assets closerto the valuation ascribed by the PE investors and at a premium to valuationascribed to peers BOT assets. However, at the same time, the relative discount

    excluding embedded value signifies that market does not value the coreconstruction business materially different to peers such as IVRCL and NCC. Webelieve that going forward Sadbhavs valuations (ex-embedded value) can alsotrade at a premium to others as its relatively low debt: equity and superior costcompetitiveness enable it to bid competitively and grow faster as compared to itscapital starved peers.

    Exhibit 12: Relative valuation on standalone basis including and excluding embedded values

    P/E (X) P/B (X)

    CMPMarket

    cap

    Embeddedvalue

    (Oct- 11)

    Embeddedvalue

    includingembedded

    value

    excludingembedded

    value

    includingembedded

    value

    excludingembedded

    value

    Company/Metric

    (`) (` bn) (`/share) (` bn) FY12 FY13 FY12 FY13 FY12 FY13 FY12 FY13L&T 1,227 751 398 244 17.9 15.6 12.1 10.6 3.1 2.7 2.1 1.8

    Sadbhav 119 18 81 12 12.6 11.5 4.0 3.7 2.3 1.9 0.7 0.6

    Punj Lloyd 48 16 0 0 18.9 9.7 18.9 9.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

    HCC 21 13 18 11 NA NA NA 6.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1

    NCC 39 10 18 5 7.8 6.9 4.2 3.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2

    Simplex 198 10 0 0 7.8 6.1 7.8 6.1 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7

    IVRCL 33 9 15 4 9.1 8.9 4.9 4.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2

    Gammon 53 7 50 7 8.9 6.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

    Patel 85 6 79 6 6.0 6.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1

    CCCL 18 3 0 0 17.6 6.8 17.6 6.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

    KNR 98 3 20 1 4.9 5.4 3.9 4.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5

    Average (excluding L&T and Punj) 8.7 7.2 4.7 4.0 9.3 7.3 5.4 4.1

    Average 11.2 8.4 7.4 5.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.5

    Source: Company, Ambit Capital research, Industry, Bloomberg, Note: (a) Share prices and market cap data is as on Nov-22, 2011 (b) We have usedour stand-alone estimates for NCC, IVRCL, CCCL and KNR and consensus estimates for others. (c) We have taken stand-alone EPS and BVPSconsensus data for L&T, Sadbhav, HCC, Gammon and Patel and consolidated consensus data for Punj Lloyd and Simplex.

    Relative valuations to its road developer peers

    Exhibit 13:Relative Valuation to other road developersCMP Mcap P/E P/B

    Company

    (`) (US$ mn) FY11E FY12E FY13E FY11E FY12E

    RoEFY11

    RoCEFY11

    Sadbhav 119 341 11.7 9.6 8.7 1.8 1.8 15% 11%

    IRB 142 896 9.7 8.8 8.9 1.6 1.4 20% 19%

    Ashoka 239 239 10.9 8.5 8.0 1.2 1.1 31% 17%

    ITNL 178 658 7.1 6.4 6.5 1.3 1.1 22% 72%

    Average 9.8 8.3 8.0 1.5 1.3

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Company, Bloomberg Note (a) Prices are as on Nov 22, 2011. (b) We have taken consolidated EPS and BVPSconsensus data our analysis.

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    8/10

    Sadbhav Engineering

    Ambit Capital Pvt Ltd 8

    Exhibit 14:Sadbhav now trades at a justified premiumto IVRCL and NCC and a much lesser discount to L&T onthe 1-yr forward PE multiple

    -

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Oct-08

    Apr-09

    Oct-09

    Apr-10

    Oct-10

    Apr-11

    Oct-11

    IVRCL (x) NCC (x)SADE (x) L&T (x)

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Bloomberg, Note: We have taken

    consensus stand-alone data for our analysis.

    Exhibit 15:On 1-yr forward PB basis, Sadbhav trades inline with IRB , but at a premium to ITNL

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    Feb-09

    May-09

    Aug-09

    Nov-09

    Feb-10

    May-10

    Aug-10

    Nov-10

    Feb-11

    May-11

    Aug-11

    Nov-11

    IRB(x) Sadbhav (x) ITNL (x)

    Source: Ambit Capital research, Bloomberg, Note: We have taken

    consensus consolidated data for our analysis.

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    9/10

    Sadbhav Engineering

    Ambit Capital Pvt Ltd 9

    Institutional Equities Team

    Saurabh Mukherjea, CFA Head of Equities (022) 30433174 [email protected]

    Research

    Analysts Industry Sectors Desk-Phone E-mail

    Aadesh Mehta Banking / NBFCs (022) 30433239 [email protected]

    Anand Mour FMCG (022) 30433169 [email protected]

    Ankur Rudra, CFA Technology / Education Services (022) 30433211 [email protected]

    Ashvin Shetty Automobile (022) 30433285 [email protected]

    Bhargav Buddhadev Power / Capital Goods (022) 30433252 [email protected]

    Chandrani De, CFA Metals & Mining (022) 30433210 [email protected]

    Chhavi Agarwal Construction / Infrastructure (022) 30433203 [email protected]

    Dayanand Mittal Oil & Gas (022) 30433202 [email protected]

    Gaurav Mehta Derivatives Research (022) 30433255 [email protected]

    Hardik Shah Technology / Education Services (022) 30433291 [email protected]

    Krishnan ASV Banking (022) 30433205 [email protected]

    Nitin Bhasin Construction / Infrastructure / Cement (022) 30433241 [email protected]

    Pankaj Agarwal, CFA NBFCs (022) 30433206 [email protected]

    Parita Ashar Metals & Mining / Media / Telecom (022) 30433223 [email protected]

    Puneet Bambha Power / Capital Goods (022) 30433259 [email protected]

    Rakshit Ranjan, CFA Mid-Cap (022) 30433201 [email protected]

    Ritika Mankar Economy (022) 30433175 [email protected]

    Ritu Modi Cement (022) 30433292 [email protected]

    Shariq Merchant Consumer (022) 30433246 [email protected]

    Sales

    Name Regions Desk-Phone E-mail

    Deepak Sawhney India / Asia (022) 30433295 [email protected]

    Dharmen Shah India / Asia (022) 30433289 [email protected]

    Dipti Mehta India / Europe (022) 30433053 [email protected]

    Pramod Gubbi, CFA India / Asia (022) 30433228 [email protected]

    Sarojini Ramachandran UK +44 (0) 20 7614 8374 [email protected]

    Production

    Sajid Merchant Production (022) 30433247 [email protected]

    Kausalya Vijapurkar Editor (022) 30433284 [email protected]

    Praveen Mascarenhas Database (022) 30433251 [email protected]

  • 8/2/2019 Ambit _Sadbhav Engineering_A Solid, Sensible Construction Play_23Nov2011

    10/10

    Sadbhav Engineering

    Ambit Capital Pvt Ltd 10

    Explanation of Investment Rating

    Investment Rating Expected return(over 12-month period from date of initial rating)

    Buy >5%

    Sell