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Unit IIIB

Conflicts of the21st Century 

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Post 9/11: Bush Doctrine• “With us or With the Terrorists ” 

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Post 9/11: Bush Doctrine• “With us or With the Terrorists ” 

• Bush Doctrine: US Will Intervene to StopTerrorism(ts)

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Post 9/11: Bush Doctrine• “With us or With the Terrorists ” 

• Bush Doctrine: US Will Intervene to StopTerrorism(ts)

= Truman Doctrine + TERRORISM

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Post 9/11: Bush Doctrine3 Criteria for Intervention

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Post 9/11: Bush Doctrine3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists (anti-American)

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Post 9/11: Bush Doctrine3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists (anti-American)

2. Developing WMDs posing a threat to US

Interests

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Post 9/11: Bush Doctrine3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists (anti-American)

2. Developing WMDs posing a threat to US

Interests3. Tyranny

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Support Terrorists (anti-American)

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Support Terrorists (anti-American)

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 N. KoreaIraq

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 N. KoreaIraq

Saudi

Arabia

Libya

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Developing WMDs posing a threat to US Interests 

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Tyranny 

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Tyranny 

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1st Application: Afghanistan

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1st Application: Afghanistan

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists2. Developing WMDs

3. Tyranny

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1st Application: Afghanistan

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists √ 2. Developing WMDs

3. Tyranny

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1st Application: Afghanistan

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists √ 2. Developing WMDs

3. Tyranny √ 

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1st Application: Afghanistan

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists √ 2. Developing WMDs

3. Tyranny √ 

• Lesson of Munich ? = Intervention 

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1st Application: Afghanistan

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists √ 2. Developing WMDs

3. Tyranny √ 

• Lesson of Munich ? = Intervention 

• Lesson of Vietnam?

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2nd Application: Iraq

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IRAN/IRAQI WAR

1980-1988 

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IRAN/IRAQI WAR

1980-1988 

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IRAN/IRAQI WAR

1980-1988 

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IRAN/IRAQI WAR

1980-1988 

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Gulf War: 1990-1991

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Gulf War: 1990-1991

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Gulf War: 1990-1991

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• Weapons of Mass Destruction 

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• Weapons of Mass Destruction 

• Al Qaeda & 9/11 Connection 

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• Weapons of Mass Destruction 

• Al Qaeda & 9/11 Connection 

• Heinous Dictator 

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2nd Application: Iraq

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists2. Developing WMDs

3. Tyranny

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2nd Application: Iraq

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists √2. Developing WMDs √ 

3. Tyranny

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2nd Application: Iraq

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists √2. Developing WMDs √ 

3. Tyranny √

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2nd Application: Iraq

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists √2. Developing WMDs √ 

3. Tyranny √

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2nd Application: Iraq

3 Criteria for Intervention

1. Support Terrorists √2. Developing WMDs √ 

3. Tyranny √

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MARCH 2003

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MAY 2003

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Interim US Administration

2003-2004

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December, 2003

Interim US Administration

2003-2004

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Free Elections

January, 2005

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Free Elections

January, 2005

 New Constitution

Elections

December, 2005

Nouri al-Maliki

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Hussein Trial& Execution

(12/06)

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• Insurgency 

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Abu Musab al-Zarqawi

• Insurgency 

• Al Qaeda 

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Muqtada al-Sadr 

• Insurgency 

• Al Qaeda 

• Shia

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• Insurgency 

• Al Qaeda 

• Shia

• Kurds 

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Is Iraq Viable?

2010 El i

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2010 Election

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Is Iraq Viable?

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Is Iraq Viable?

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Is Iraq Viable?

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i ?

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Iraq — Worth it?

2007 Th S

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2007: The Surge

2007: The S rge

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2007: The Surge

• 20,000 Additional Troops 

2007: The Surge

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2007: The Surge

• 20,000 Additional Troops • Sunni Awakening 

2007: The Surge

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2007: The Surge

• 20,000 Additional Troops • Sunni Awakening 

• Declining Violence 

2007: The Surge

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2007: The Surge

• 20,000 Additional Troops • Sunni Awakening 

• Declining Violence 

2008: Status of Forces Agreement

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2008: Status of Forces Agreement

• US End to Military Operations, 2010 • US Withdrawal by end, 2011 

• US/Iraq security Cooperation through 2012 

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2008: Status of Forces Agreement

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2008: Status of Forces Agreement

• End Iraq as Forward Base 

2008: Status of Forces Agreement

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2008: Status of Forces Agreement

• End Iraq as Forward Base 

2008: Status of Forces Agreement

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2008: Status of Forces Agreement

• End Iraq as Forward Base 

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2008: Status of Forces Agreement

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2008: Status of Forces Agreement

• End Iraq as Forward Base 

3rd Application: Iran?

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AyatollahKhamenei 

Pres.

Ahmadinejad 

3rd Application: Iran?

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AyatollahKhamenei 

Pres.

Ahmadinejad • Lesson of MAD: IRAN?

Saddam =Hitler  

== Containment? 

3rd Application: Iran?

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AyatollahKhamenei 

Pres.

Ahmadinejad 

3rd Application: Iran?

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AyatollahKhamenei 

Pres.

Ahmadinejad • Lesson of Munich: IRAN?

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PROCONSULS

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The Origins of the American MilitaryCoup of 2012

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PROCONSULS

CHARLES J. DUNLAP, JR.

From Parameters, Winter 1992-93, pp. 2-20.

 Go to Cumulative Article Index.

The letter that follows takes us on a darkly imagined excursion intothe future. A military coup has taken place in the United States--the year is 2012--and General Thomas E. T. Brutus, Commander-in-Chief of the Unified Armed Forces of the United States, nowoccupies the White House as permanent Military Plenipotentiary.

 His position has been ratified by a national referendum, though scattered disorders still prevail and arrests for acts of sedition areunderway. A senior retired officer of the Unified Armed Forces,known here simply as Prisoner 222305759, is one of thosearrested, having been convicted by court-martial for opposing thecoup. Prior to his execution, he is able to smuggle out of prison aletter to an old War College classmate discussing the "Origins of the American Military Coup of 2012." In it, he argues that the

coup was the outgrowth of trends visible as far back as 1992.These trends were the massive diversion of military forces tocivilian uses, the monolithic unification of the armed forces, and the insularity of the military community. His letter survives and ishere presented verbatim.

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3rd Application: Iran?

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AyatollahKhamenei 

Pres.

Ahmadinejad • Lesson of Munich: IRAN?

Admiral

William Fallon 

2007: AppointedCommander U.S. Central

Command (CENTCOM)

3rd Application: Iran?

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AyatollahKhamenei 

Pres.

Ahmadinejad • Lesson of Munich: IRAN?

March, 2008: Resigns

Admiral

William Fallon 

Foreign Policy Challenges: Global

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AyatollahKhamenei 

Pres.

Ahmadinejad • Lesson of Munich: IRAN?

= Containment? 

Foreign Policy Challenges: Global

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Iran• Post Iraq/Afghan Soft Power > Hard Power  

• Lesson of Vietnam: Détente?