Alumni & Company logistics event...C Complex EU labor market. Long term Demographic developments....
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Alumni & Company logistics event Unfreeze your knees 7 February 2019
Transcript of Alumni & Company logistics event...C Complex EU labor market. Long term Demographic developments....
Alumni & Company logistics eventUnfreeze your knees
7 February 2019
Sophia GrunerFontys University of Applied Sciences
Programme
17:00 Sophia Gruner & Karen de Man
Words of welcome and introduction
17:15 Kees Verweij
Impact robotics on labour
17:30 Erald Verbruggen
The importance of professional growth
and personal development
17:45 Howard Lettinga
Connecting with Noblahblah
18:10 Closing statements
18:20 Drinks and snacks - networking session
20:00 The end
Unfreeze your knees/ 7 February 2019
Karen de ManNuffic – Holland Alumni network
Holland Alumni network
• Launched in 2009
• > 70,000 members worldwide
• > 40 Holland Alumni Associations across the globe
• > 60 online communities – per theme, country, institution and scholarship
• Online and offline activities and events organized worldwide
• Collaboration with Dutch education institutions, embassies and organisations
Holland Alumni
network - logistics
• Launched in 2016
• Alumni events organised in Brazil,
Vietnam, Russia and Germany
• Event calendar includes worldwide
logistics events
Ho Chi Min City, Vietnam St Petersburg, Russia
Sao Paulo, Brazil
Robotics and
automation
Impact on logistics
warehousing and
the labor market
Kees Verweij
Partner
German-Dutch Logistics Conference
Duisburg, April 10, 2018
Buck Consultants International
P.O. Box 1456
6501 BL Nijmegen
The Netherlands
Phone + 31 24 379 02 22
Mobile + 31 6 511 00 950
E-mail [email protected]
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 10
1 Profile Buck Consultants International
⚫ For Private & Public clients
• Infrastructure and logistics projects
• Seaport, airport and inland terminal
development
• Economic development
• Marketing plans
⚫ For Corporate clients
• Footprint strategies & scenarios
• Supply chain design & optimization
• Location advice
• Real estate strategy and projects
• Business strategy development
• Strategic outsourcing (e.g. logistics)
Profiel
⚫ Independent logistics consultancy
⚫ Head office in Nijmegen
⚫ World-wide active
⚫ 65 full-time professionals
⚫ More than 1,500 projects in over 50 countries
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 11
3 Complexity of
labor market
2 Dynamics in logistics/warehousing
1 Increased size of
warehouses
XXL
Growth in e-Commerce/Omnichannel
Sustainable logistics
2 Rise in automation
and robotics
Robotics
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 12
Changes in warehouses
People
Inbound
flows Outbound
flows
Location and
Infrastructure
Building
confiiguration
Inventory and
intra logistics
AmenitiesAccessibility
New requirements for warehouse and direct
surroundings
Robotics
expertise
Location demands
Sustainable
building
3 Increased size of warehouses
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 13
Impact on different types of warehousing
Manufacturing EDC/Wholesale
Retail E-Commerce
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 14
EDC/Wholesale warehouse
Building types
Primary type
Central distribution
center
1 Main storage
technology
Pallet and shelve racking
2 Order
handling
technology
Reach trucks, forklifts,
pallet truck, sorters and
conveyors, automatic
storage and retrieval
systems
3 Typical size 10.000 m2 to 50.000 m2
4 Clear height > 10 m
5 Loading
docks/ doors
1:1.000 m2
6 Depth of unit 100 m to 140 m
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 15
Building types
Primary type
E-Commerce/Retail
fulfillment center
1 Main storage
technology
Pallet and shelve racking,
mezzanine floor handling
2 Order
handling
technology
Reach trucks, forklifts,
pallet ruck, sorters and
conveyors, automatic
storage and retrieval
systems, robotics
3 Typical size 10.000 m2 to 120.000 m2
4 Clear height > 10 m
5 Loading
docks/doors
1:1.000 m2
6 Depth of unit 100 m to 140 m
E-Commerce
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 16
Location of XXL warehouses
EU Rank 1
Port of
Rotterdam
9,891 TUE(10,8% EU)
EU Rank 2
Port of
Antwerp
8,929 TEU(9,7% EU)
EU Rank 3
Port of
Hamburg
11,675 TEU(12,7% EU)
EU Rank 4
Bremer
haven
5,510 TEU(6,0% EU)
Sources: Eurostat Maritime Port Statistics, 2017; Eurostat, 2017; BCI, 2017
Container volume
(in 1,000 TEU)
> 600
300-600
< 300
Inhabitants/sq.km
Retailer
Producer
Multi tenant
LSP
In operation
Announced
XXL warehouse
>40.000 sq.m
XXL warehouses (> 40,000 m2) mainly on corridors
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 17
4 Rise in automation and robotics
BCI 2017
Fixed Flexible Unstructured
Surroundings
Autonomous
Applied
logic
No
logic
Task
co
mp
lex
ity
Industry 1.0
2017
Machine
Industry 2.0
Industry 3.0
Industry 4.0
Human
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 18
Take-up of robotics: different speeds
Human
Advanced robotics
Traditional robotics(“mechanisation”)
Fixed Flexible Unstructured
Surroundings
Autonomous
Applied
logic
No
logic
Task
co
mp
lexit
y
Source: BCG, 2015
laggards
average
front runners
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 19
Why robotics
Main reasons are:
⚫ Reduction of operational cost
⚫ Reduction of recruitment problems
⚫ Improvement of process quality and consistency
⚫ Improvement of employees job satisfaction
⚫ Increasing output and process flexibility
⚫ Less spillage and higher efficiency
⚫ Safer operation
Source: Cisco
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 20
Estimate of average wage/hour for elementary jobs
De
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ark
Be
lgiu
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Sw
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Fin
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Ire
land
Fra
nce
Luxe
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ou
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ia
Ne
the
rla
nd
s
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ly
Eu
ro (
17)
Ge
rma
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UE
(2
8)
Un
ite
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ingd
om
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ain
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ece
Cyp
rus
Slo
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23
20 2018
17 17 1715
14 1414 14
1211
119
87
65
2-8
Co
st
of
rob
ot
Bron: RB, 2016
Total operational cost for a robot would be
around €18-20/hour vs. average wages in
the Eurozone of €14-15/hour
Cost development robots vs wages
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 21
Impact on location choice and warehouse
Multimodal locations
Large consumer
areasConcentration
of manufacturing
XXL
Logistics
hotspots
E-fullfilment
centers
Manufacturing
warehousing
Retail
warehousing
EDC/RDC
Type of
warehouse
Specific building
characteristics with
automation
Specific building
characteristics with
robotics
ManufacturingHigh bay
Standard grade A
building
EDC/RDC Build to suitStandard grade A
building
Retail Build to suit
Standard grade A
building
E-Commerce
Standard Grade A
building with large
mezzanines
Standaard grade A
building
with large
mezzanines
Hotspots will continue to growLarger but standard
building dimensions
Conclusion: Relatively low impacts
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 22
Short term
Shortages at the labor market
A shortage of well-qualified personnel
forces companies to search for
alternative solutions for employment:
e.g. choosing locations with less
shortages, robotisation
C Complex EU labor market
Long term
Demographic developments
After 2020, the aging of the EU
population will become a major factor.
In 2040, the same amount of work has
to be done with 25% less employees
Expected labor shortages transport 2025
5 Impact on labor market
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 23
Impact on logistics labor
An Amazon order picker walks about
18 km per shift and picks an order every 33
seconds (112 picks/hour)
In combination with a robot, the order picker can
pick orders 2x as much (230 picks/hour)
The number of employees at Amazon has
grown in 2014-2017, even though the
number of robots has increased from 1,400
to 45,000 2014 2017
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 24
Which processes to be automated/robotised?
Pallet pick Case pick Item pick Packing
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 25
Impact of robotics for logistics labor needs
Warehouse
activities
Average division of activities Impact
robotics
Manufacturing
Warehouse
EDC/
Wholesale
Retail E-Commerce Savings
potential
labor
Pallet pick 80% 20% 10% 0% 70-90%
Case pick 15% 40% 45% 10% 50-75%
Item pick 5% 30% 35% 40% 50-75%
Packing 0% 10% 10% 50% 40-60%
= Focus area for robotics
Source: Assessment St Onge/BCI,2017
= Savings potential personnel
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 26
Calculation impacts robotics on labor in DC’s
© Buck Consultants International, 2017 26
The Netherlands and NR Westphalia:
⚫ About 3,000 warehouses larger than 10.000 m2
⚫ Robotics in 60% of warehouses until 2030: 10% front runners and 30%
laggards
⚫ Savings potential: between 40-90% for 4 types of warehouse
⚫ Numbers of job lost to robotics in the warehouse: about 70,000 jobs, or about
45-50 per warehouse in 2030
However:
⚫ Autonomous increase of distribution activities between now and 2030: at least
+2 million m2 of warehouses larger than 10,000 m2 build each year
⚫ Shortages on the logistics labor market will increase in the Netherlands and
NR Westphalia until 2030
Conclusion: It looks like the rise of robotics will overall not take logistics
jobs away, but be necessary to accommodate growth of the sector
© Buck Consultants International, 2018 27
Logistics future of Germany/Netherlands
Minus
• Loss of jobs at
specific warehouses
• Limited choice on
labor market
Plus• Replace monotonous work
activities
• Increase in productivity
logistics sector
• Solution ofor demographic
long term trend and possible
growth of new DC’s
• Innovation in logistics sector
• Safer working environment
Logistics alumni & company eventThe importance of professional growth and development
February 7th 2019
Technologie- und Gründerzentrum
Niederrhein GmbH (TZN), Industriering
Ost 66, 47906 Kempen Gernany
▪ Introduction
▪ The importance of professional growth and development
“I’ve always strived for personal development” … the question is why…
Content
29
Introduction
30
▪ 1989 – 1992 University Nijmegen
▪ 1992 – 1993 Military Service (based in Germany)
▪ 1993 – 1996 University of Applied Science Venlo / Nationale Vervoers Academie (VA)
▪ 1996 – 2004 ERP & Supply Chain Management consultancy
– Consultant, Lead –Consultant, Project Manager
▪ 2005 – 2013 Vestas
– Manager Materials Management, Manager Operations, Director Service
▪ 2013 – 2015 ABB / Power One
– Director Service EMEA (Product Group Solar)
▪ 2015 – 2017 Nordex – Acciona
– Head of Global Service Operations
▪ 2017 – 2019 Meyer Burger AG
– Head of Global Service
▪ 2019 SDEX Consulting & Interim management
Current tasks & responsibilities
31
▪ Leading Regional Service China, East Asia, South-East Asia, and ‘Rest Of World’,
▪ Leading Global Service Support functions @Headquarter in Switzerland
▪ Leading Global Service Product Support functions at productions locations
▪ Leading Global Installation & Commissioning project management (equipment)
Focus area’s
▪ Restructuring Global Service (process excellence) and transfer Service HQ from Europe to China
▪ Implementing Global Service Supply Chain processes (including global service parts pricing strategy, 3PL/4PL and local sourcing Asia)
▪ Develop new service products / Industry 4.0
▪ Last but not least: own and drive the Global Service P/L
Professional growth and developmentGoogle…
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I use google …this one* seems to be closest to what I have experienced
“Professional growth is all about gaining new skills and experience […] Personal development fits alongside professional growth — so if you want to progress in your career, you’ll need to develop personally first. That’s the only way you’ll be able to handle your fears, take on more responsibility, and succeed with greater challenges […] When you expand your skills beyond your current role you’re preparing yourself for more and that makes you more valuable to employers.”
*Source: www.cv-library.co.uk/career-advice/development/5-ways-manage-professional-development/
The importance of professional growth and developmentMotivation
33
▪ What is motivating human beings to go outside of their comfort zone, take on new challenges and have a career / move up the (social) ladder?
Money
Social benefit, welfare of others
Social status, respect, power
Because it’s fun… ?
The importance of professional growth and developmentMy lessons learned, why I did what I am still doing…
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▪ Be passionate
Choose a job you love, and you will never have to work a day in your life. Confucius
▪ Be authentic
You can only go so far pretending to be someone you are not. Stay true to yourself and develop your own style
▪ Be flexible
Throughout my career, mobility has been an important factor:
• Consultant travelling to Almelo, Leuven, Milaan, Tel Aviv and Grand Rapids Michigan USA
• Vestas travelling to Hamburg, Vienna, Boekarest, Aruba, Curacao
• ABB Rotterdam, Phoenix USA, Florence, Rome, Paris, Madrid, Helsinki, Zurich
• Nordex Hamburg, Pamplona, Paris, Chicago
• Meyer Burger Thun CH, Taiwan, China, Singapore, Kuala Lumpur / Penang, South Korea
Conclusion
35
You could probably find as many dissertations on the subject of personal growth and professional development as there are people. But you need to figure out your own motivation why you want to grow and develop and what you want to achieve
My ‘career’ happened because I am not afraid of taking on new challenges as well as being flexible in terms of balancing private life and work life. Yet I did not actively pursue a career like a professional sportsman / -woman and make sacrifices upfront
Above all, I love what I am doing. Passion is the energy -source to make things happen and be able to endure the sometimes challenging situations
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Growing old is mandatoryGrowing up is definately optional
Connecting with no blah blah
Communicating
What is
blah blah blah?
Communicating
Enter the
Noblahblah
Zone!
Connecting with no blah blah
Five favorite
fundamentals
Fundamental 1
Be highly
audience
sensitive
Communicating
Interaction!
Interaction. Go to…
kahoot.com
Connecting with no blah blah
1. Be highly audience sensitive
Fundamental 2
Manage
audience
expectations
Connecting with no bla hblah
1. Be highly audience sensitive
2. Manage audience
expectations
I have to say it…
You guys
are great!
Fundamental 3
Always
compliment
your audience
Connecting with no blah blah
1. Be highly audience sensitive
2. Manage audience
expectations
3. Always compliment the
audience
Fundamental 4
Smile!
Connecting with no blah blah
Instinct
Freeze.
Flight.
Fight!
The battle
From
Stage fright!To
Stage fight!
Fundamental 5
Unfreeze the
knees!
Connecting with no blah blah
1. Be highly audience sensitive
2. Manage audience expectations
3. Always compliment the audience
4. Smile!
5. Unfreeze the knees
Go forth and connect!
THANK YOU!
Contact details
• Sophia Gruner – Fontys - [email protected]
• Howard Lettinga – NoBlahBlah – [email protected]
• Karen de Man – Nuffic – [email protected]
• Marchje van der Veen – Nuffic – [email protected]
• Erald Verbruggen – SDEX – [email protected]
• Kees Verweij – BCI Global – [email protected]
