ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS SUMMIT MAY 7TH 2018 · State of Alternative Investment – 7 About CAIA...
Transcript of ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS SUMMIT MAY 7TH 2018 · State of Alternative Investment – 7 About CAIA...
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS SUMMITMAY 7TH 2018
Speaker: Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA (Managing Director, CAIA)
Panel:Dan Schwartz, CFA (Vice President, AQR)Eileen Duff (Managing Partner, iCapital)David Hemming (Senior PM, PowerShares by Invesco)
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The State of Alternative Investments: A Global ViewKeith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA
Showcase your Knowledge @CAIA_Keith Black@CAIAAssociation
State of Alternative Investment – 7
About CAIA Association
The global leader in alternative investment education Non-profit established in 2002, based in Amherst, MA, with
offices in Hong Kong, Singapore, Geneva, and London Over 9,000 current charterholders in more than 90 countries 30 vibrant chapters located in financial centers around the
world More than 150 educational and networking events each year Excellence in AI education through the CAIA designation and
the Fundamentals of Alternatives certificate program
State of Alternative Investment – 8
Alternative Investment Education
Alternatives currently represent over $14 trillion in assets under management, while assets in liquid alternatives have grown substantially.
The CAIA Association Mission: Establish the CAIA designation as the benchmark for alternative
investment education worldwide Promote professional development through continuing education,
innovative research and thought leadership Advocate high standards of professional ethics Connect industry professionals globally
State of Alternative Investment – 9
The CAIA Charter Designation
Globally recognized credential for professionals managing, analyzing, distributing, or regulating alternative investments.
Highest standard of achievement in alternative investment education.
Comprehensive program comprised of a two-tier exam process: Level I assesses understanding of various alternative asset classes
and knowledge of the tools and techniques used to evaluate the risk-return attributes of each one.
Level II assesses application of the knowledge and analytics learned in Level I within a portfolio management context.
Both levels include segments on ethics and professional conduct.
State of Alternative Investment – 10
Fundamentals of Alternative Investments
The Fundamentals of Alternative Investments certificate program provides a foundation of core concepts in alternative investments. Fundamentals fills a critical education gap for those
who need to understand the evolving landscape of alternative investments.
Online, 20-hour, self-paced course Earns CE hours for the CIMA®, CIMC®, CPWA®, CPA ®, and CFP®
designations Understand the core concepts in alternative investments Gain confidence in discussing and positioning alternatives
State of Alternative Investment – 11
Are US Equity Markets Rich?
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
S&P
500
P/E
Ratio
S&P 500 P/E Ratio
Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through February 2, 2018.
State of Alternative Investment – 12
Fixed Income 30+ Year Bull Market
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Yiel
d
German Bund 10 Year US 10 YearSource: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through February 2, 2018
State of Alternative Investment – 13
Asset Class Performance
Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Quarterly returns. Annualized volatility and max draw-down are from December 2006 – September 2017.
Ending Sept 2017
1 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr Ann. VolDraw-down
S&P 500 18.6% 14.2% 7.4% 15.7% -45.8%Barclays US Aggregate 0.1% 2.1% 4.3% 3.3% -3.0%US 60/40 10.9% 9.3% 6.6% 9.1% -27.4%
MSCI World 18.2% 11.0% 4.2% 17.1% -49.0%Barclays Global Aggregate -1.3% 0.5% 3.3% 6.2% -7.2%Global 60/40 10.1% 6.8% 4.3% 11.0% -30.9%
Bloomberg Commodities -0.3% -10.5% -6.8% 19.7% -65.9%HFRI Fund Weighted Composite 7.1% 4.7% 3.1% 7.4% -19.0%NCREIF Timberland 3.3% 7.1% 5.2% 4.7% -5.7%NCREIF Farmland 6.2% 12.7% 12.6% 5.5% 0.0%NCREIF Property 6.9% 10.3% 6.2% 5.7% -23.9%Cambridge Associates US Private Equity 16.8% 13.3% 9.6% 9.0% -25.1%Cambridge Associates US Venture Capital 8.0% 14.1% 8.9% 8.2% -18.4%
Global Invested Alternative Assets Portfolio 8.3% 9.3% 6.3% 6.9% -21.9%US 40% Stocks/40% Bonds/20% Portfolio 8.9% 8.4% 6.3% 7.3% -21.9%Global 40% Stocks/40% Bonds/20% Portfolio 8.2% 6.5% 4.6% 8.8% -25.1%
State of Alternative Investment – 14
Public Pension Investment Returns Assumptions
Nearly three-fourths of Public Pensions have reduced their investment return assumption since fiscal year 2010, resulting in a decline in the average return assumption from 7.9% to 7.5%.
Should projected returns continue to decline, investment return assumptions are likely to also to continue their downward trend.
State of Alternative Investment – 15
Market Size of Investments
Source: 2016 Estimates from Aon Hewitt, HFR, Barclays, Preqin
Traditional Investments
Alternative Investments
U.S. Equity $21,100 Private Equity $4,200 Other Developed Market Equity $15,100 Hedge Funds $3,000 Emerging and Frontier Market Equity $4,100 Real Estate Equity $6,700
Emerging Market Debt $3,000 Infrastructure, Farmland, Timberland, and Private Energy
$620
High Yield Bonds and Bank Loans $3,200 Commodity swaps, ETPs and MTNs $230 Dollar Bonds $19,300 Real Estate Debt $6,000 Other Bonds $21,100 Cash $5,100 Total (in $billions) $98,000 Total $14,750
State of Alternative Investment – 16
Participation In Alternatives
Source: Preqin Investor Outlook: Alternative Assets, H1 2018
State of Alternative Investment – 17
Institutional Investor Allocation
Source: Preqin Investor Outlook: Alternative Assets, H1 2018
State of Alternative Investment – 18
Alternative Investment Allocations
The largest endowments have average allocations of: 13% US equity, 19% non-US equity, 11% in fixed income and cash 24% hedge funds, 19% PE/VC, 14% real assets
Source: NACUBO-Commonfund Study of Endowments, 2017
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Real Estate Hedge Funds Private Equity + VentureCapital
Natural Resources
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2017
State of Alternative Investment – 19
Average SWF Asset Allocation
Source: “How do Sovereign Wealth Funds Invest? A Glance at SWF Asset Allocation,” E. Hentov, State Street Global Advisors, December 2015
48.3% 43.8%33.3% 34.8%
35.3% 40.0%
41.0% 37.6%
15.4% 16.2%25.7% 27.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2002 2007 2012 2014Cash and Fixed Income Equities Private Markets
State of Alternative Investment – 20
Avg. Asset Allocation by Investor Type
Source: Preqin 2016
5.4%
11.0%
7.9%
2.5%
5.8%
8.3%9.0%
3.2%
6.3% 6.2%
7.4%
N/A
11.0%
19.0%
6.0%
3.5%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
Private Equity Hedge Funds Real Estate Infrastructure
Private Pensions Public Pensions Sovereign Wealth Funds Endowments and Foundations
State of Alternative Investment – 21
Key Issues Facing Hedge Funds in 2018
Source: Preqin Investor Outlook: Alternative Assets, H1 2018
3%
3%
13%
17%
19%
19%
21%
38%
38%
65%
70%
Notable Investors Exiting Asset Class
Interest Rates
Portfolio Management
Pricing/Valuations
Regulation
Transparency
Governance
Volatility/Uncertainty in Global Markets
Perception of Industry by Public
Fees
Performance
Prop
ortio
n of
Res
pond
ents
State of Alternative Investment – 22
Estimated Hedge Fund AUM Growth
$3,210.7
($500)
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Estimated Assets Estimated Asset Flow
Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Fourth Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com
State of Alternative Investment – 23
Estimated Alternative UCITS AUM Growth
Source: LuxHedge Database. Data as of December 31, 2017
0 €
50 €
100 €
150 €
200 €
250 €
300 €
350 €
400 €
450 €
500 €
AUM
(Mio
Eur)
456.8 €
State of Alternative Investment – 24
Liquid Alternative Market Growth
Source: CAIA and Morningstar
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Real estate-linked Nontraditional bond Bear Market Commodity CurrencyEquity Market Neutral Long/Short Equity Managed Futures Multialternative
State of Alternative Investment – 25
Flows from Active Management
State of Alternative Investment – 26
Estimated Assets by Strategy
Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Third Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com
Alternative UCITS
Total Hedge Fund Industry
State of Alternative Investment – 27
Estimated Number of Funds: HF vs. FoF
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
FoF HF
Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Fourth Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com
State of Alternative Investment – 28
Funds with Inflows vs. Outflows
Outflows52.82%
Inflows47.18%
Single-Manager Funds
Outflows78.00%
Inflows22.00%
Fund of Funds
Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Fourth Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com
State of Alternative Investment – 29
Distribution of Industry Assets: Firm AUM Tier
46.11%
15.51%
10.77%
7.46%
13.70%
6.45%
By # of Firms
< $100 Million $100 to $250 Million $250 to $500 Million$500M to $1 Billion $1to $5 Billion > $5 Billion
1.01%1.76%2.68%3.64%
22.05%
68.86%
By Firm AUM Size
< $100 Million $100 to $250 Million $250 to $500 Million$500M to $1 Billion $1to $5 Billion > $5 Billion
Source: HFR® Global Hedge Fund Industry Report – Fourth Quarter 2017 | Copyright 2017. All rights reserved. | www.HedgeFundResearch.com
State of Alternative Investment – 30
Rising Sector Dispersion
Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through February 6, 2018
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
Gro
wth
of $
1 w
ith th
e S&
P 50
0 TR
Cor
rela
tion
3 Year Rolling Correlation with S&P 500 Index
0.91 - Technology0.91 - Industrials0.90 - Consumer Discretionary0.85 - Financials0.83 - Materials0.81 - Health Care0.79 - Average0.75 - Consumer Staples0.69 - Energy0.41 - Utilities$2.24 - Growth $1 of SPX
State of Alternative Investment – 31
Private Capital AUM by Asset Class
Source: Preqin Online Products
1,215
1,673
2,238 2,2582,456
2,7583,038
3,288
3,8053,944
4,268
4,582
4,925
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Jun-17
Ass
ets u
nder
Ma
nage
men
t ($b
n)
Private Equity Private Debt Real Estate Infrastructure Natural Resources
State of Alternative Investment – 32
Private Capital Dry Powder by Asset Class
Source: Preqin Online Products
1,004
234
249
160
181
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Dry
Pow
der
($bn
)
Private Equity Private Debt Real Estate Infrastructure Natural Resources
State of Alternative Investment – 33
Private Equity Assets Under Management
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
582 594 598 663 713
888
1,162
1,477 1,4301,586
1,7331,807
1,947
2,189 2,2422,388
2,582
2,829
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Jun-17
Ass
ets u
nder
Ma
nage
men
t ($b
n)
Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)
State of Alternative Investment – 34
Private Equity Dry Powder by Fund Type
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
256307 325 311 291
388
528
635682 675
619 599560
674 689
754
838
954
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17
Dry
Pow
der
($bn
)
Buyout Venture Capital Growth Other
State of Alternative Investment – 35
Annual Capital Called up and Distributed by Private Equity Funds
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 H1 2017
Capital Called up ($bn) Capital Distributed ($bn) Net Cash Flow ($bn)
State of Alternative Investment – 36
Venture Capital Public Market Equivalent
Source: Preqin Online Products . As of June 2017
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
PME
Val
ue (X
)
Vintage Year
KS PME Using Russell 2000 TR (X)
If PME index value (X) is >1, private equity has outperformed the public market
State of Alternative Investment – 37
Venture Capital Deals* Completed Globally
Source: Preqin Online Products *Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, secondary stock purchases and venture debt.
5,308 5,506 5,431
6,804
8,313
9,920
10,980
12,015
13,019
11,944
11,145
4550
3746
62 58 58
100
148143
182
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Agg
rega
te D
eal V
alue
($bn
)
No.
of D
eals
No. of Deals Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
State of Alternative Investment – 38
Number of Venture Capital Deals* by Region
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online. *Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, secondary stock purchases and venture debt.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
No.
of D
eals
North America Europe Greater China India Israel Other
State of Alternative Investment – 39
Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals* by Region
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online. *Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, secondary stock purchases and venture debt.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
No.
of D
eals
North America Europe Greater China India Israel Other
State of Alternative Investment – 40
Unlisted Natural Resources Dry Powder by Primary Strategy
Source: Preqin Natural Resources Online
1 2 3 2 3 3 5 6 9 8 10 87 9 6 8 7 8 5 9 11 11 11 10
40
63 73 70 7078
91
111123 135
163152
1
22 1 2
24
8
75
6
6
0
12 2 3
4
4
5
45
5
4
0
00 0 0
10
1
01
1
1
0
50
100
150
200
250
Water
Timberland
Metals & Mining
Energy
DiversifiedNatural ResourcesAgriculture/Farmland
State of Alternative Investment – 41
Unlisted Natural Resources Funds in Market by Primary Geographic Focus
Source: Preqin Natural Resources Online. As of January 2018
112
54
17
58
67
27
9
22
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
No. of Funds Raising Aggregate Capital Targeted ($bn)
State of Alternative Investment – 42
Natural Resources
Source: Preqin Online Products
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Agriculture/Farmland
ConventionalEnergy
RenewableEnergy
Metals &Mining
Timberland Water
Sectors that Investors View as Presenting the Best Opportunities, 2016 vs. 2017
12/1/2016 12/1/2017
State of Alternative Investment – 43
Natural Resources
Source: Preqin Investor Interviews, December 2017
3%
7%
5%
0%
8%
10%
7%
10%
49%
4%
6%
6%
7%
7%
9%
11%
11%
37%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Equity Market Movements
US Domestic Policy
US Trade Policy
Unwinding of Central Bank Balance Sheets
Currency Market Movements
Low Interest Rates
Possibility of Interest Rate Rises
Geopolitical Landscape
Commodity Price Movements
Investor Views on the Macroeconomic Factors that Had the Biggest Impact on Their Natural Resources Portfolios in 2017 vs. Predictions for 2018
2018 2017
State of Alternative Investment – 44
Hedging Inflation
Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through February 28th 2018
(0.80)
(0.60)
(0.40)
(0.20)
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
1/1/
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36 Month Rolling Correlation to CPI
S&P 500 Bloomberg Commodity
State of Alternative Investment – 45
Inflation Betas
Where can institutional investors turn to hedge their inflation risk? Studies have found that a few assets can hedge inflation risk
(positive inflation beta), while the majority of institutional assets have a risk to rising inflation (negative inflation beta)
Within equities, smaller cap stocks and less capital intensive sectors have even greater inflation risk
In practice, many institutions build a real assets allocation, investing 5% to 20% of the portfolio in timberland, farmland, linkers and commodity futures
“Deflating Inflation: Redefining the Inflation-Resistant Portfolio”, Bernstein Global Wealth Mgmt, 2010
20 Year US Treasuries
S&P 500 3 Month T‐bills
Farmland Commodity Futures
‐3.1 ‐2.4 0.3 1.7 6.5
State of Alternative Investment – 46
Timing Commodity Investments
Average Returns by Stage of the Business Cycle, 1959-2004
Gorton/Rouwenhorst, “Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures”, Financial Analysts Journal, 2006
Stocks Commodities
Early Expansion 16.3% 6.8%
Late Expansion 10.4% 16.7%
Early Recession ‐18.6% 3.7%
Late Recession 19.7% ‐1.6%
State of Alternative Investment – 47
Potential Demand: Rebalancing from Equities
Commodity prices have declined while equity markets have risen sharply
State of Alternative Investment – 48
Potential Demand: Electric Cars
France and the UK have banned the sale of new gasoline and diesel vehicles after 2040
1 million electric vehicles sold in 2017, half in China, with estimates of 14 million vehicles per year by 2025
Growth in electric vehicles is bullish for natural gas, copper, lithium, and cobalt and bearish for gasoline and lead
Significant deficits of cobalt expected through 2020Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, and Benchmark Mineral Intelligence
State of Alternative Investment – 49
Private Debt Assets under Management
Source: Preqin
227
411
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Jun-17
Ass
ets U
nder
Man
agem
ent (
$bn)
Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)
State of Alternative Investment – 50
Private Debt AUM by Fund Type (As of June 2017)
Source: Preqin
0
50
100
150
200
250
Direct Lending Distressed Debt Mezzanine Special Situations Venture Debt
Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)
State of Alternative Investment – 51
Private Debt Funds in Market by Fund Type
Source: Preqin. As of January 2018
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
No. of Funds Raising Aggregate Capital Targeted
Venture Debt
Special Situations
Fund of Funds
Mezzanine
Distressed Debt
Direct Lending
Yield Breakdown by Fund Type
• Venture Debt: 20%
• Private Debt FoF: 10% – 12%
• Special Situation: 10.8%
• Mezzanine: 8.8%
• Distressed Debt: 7.3%
• Direct Lending: 7.5%
State of Alternative Investment – 52
Private Debt Geographic Focus
Source: Preqin
178
82
31
44
88
42
11 8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
Private Debt Funds in Market by Primary Geographic Focus (As of January 2018)
No. of Funds Raising Aggregate Capital Targeted ($bn)
62% 58% 57%
26%25% 24%
6%9% 11%
6% 8% 8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18
Make-up of Investors in Private Debt by Location
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
State of Alternative Investment – 53
Dry Powder: Private Debt vs. Buyout
Source: Preqin
111 104 116 131 132
190 176215
196 196
476 477
423388
360
432 447473
535 530
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Dec
-08
Dec
-09
Dec
-10
Dec
-11
Dec
-12
Dec
-13
Dec
-14
Dec
-15
Dec
-16
Ma
r-17
Dry
Pow
der
($bn
)
Private Debt Buyout
Growth of Dry Powder over the past 9 years:
• Private Debt has grown 77% • Buyout has grown 11%
State of Alternative Investment – 54
Key Challenges Facing Unlisted Infrastructure Managers in 2018
Source: Preqin Fund Manager Survey, November 2017
19%
19%
20%
20%
20%
23%
33%
36%
59%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Fulfilling Investor Demand
Volatility/Uncertainty in Global Markets
Fundraising
Interest Rates
Performance
Fee Pressure
Deal Flow
Regulation
Valuations
Proportion of Respondents
State of Alternative Investment – 55
Unlisted Infrastructure AUM
Source: Preqin Online Products
65 67 64 6886 75
110 106 109148 15034
51 62
94
125 146
165 190216
238268
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
12/31/2007 12/31/2008 12/31/2009 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 6/1/2017
Ass
ets u
nder
Ma
nage
men
t ($b
n)
Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)
State of Alternative Investment – 56
Investor Preference
Source: Preqin Investor Interviews, December 2017
13%18%
28%37%
44%46%
49%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
SocialWaste ManagementTelecommunications
UtilitiesTransport
Renewable EnergyEnergy (Excl. Renewables)
Proportion of Respondents
Sectors that Investors View as Presenting the Best Opportunities
9%12%
14%28%
36%36%
47%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
SecondariesDebt
Fund of FundsValue Added
Core-PlusOpportunistic
Core
Proportion of Respondents
Strategies that Investors View as Presenting the Best Opportunities
State of Alternative Investment – 57
Open-Ended Infrastructure Fund Launches
Source: Preqin Infrastructure Online
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
No. of Funds Already in Market No. of Funds Launched No. of Funds Liquidated
State of Alternative Investment – 58
Key Challenges Facing Private Real Estate Managers in 2018
Source: Preqin Fund Manager Survey, November 2017
10%
11%
15%
16%
19%
19%
24%
24%
33%
37%
62%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Fee Pressure
Fulfilling Investor Demands
Availability/Pricing of Debt Financing
Regulation
Fundraising
Exit Environment
Volatility/Uncertainty in Global Markets
Performance
Interest Rates
Deal Flow
Valuations
Proportion of Respondents
State of Alternative Investment – 59
Performance: PrEQin Index by Asset Class
Source: Preqin Real Estate Online
0
50
100
150
200
250
12/1
/200
73/
1/20
086/
1/20
089/
1/20
0812
/1/2
008
3/1/
2009
6/1/
2009
9/1/
2009
12/1
/200
93/
1/20
106/
1/20
109/
1/20
1012
/1/2
010
3/1/
2011
6/1/
2011
9/1/
2011
12/1
/201
13/
1/20
126/
1/20
129/
1/20
1212
/1/2
012
3/1/
2013
6/1/
2013
9/1/
2013
12/1
/201
33/
1/20
146/
1/20
149/
1/20
1412
/1/2
014
3/1/
2015
6/1/
2015
9/1/
2015
12/1
/201
53/
1/20
166/
1/20
169/
1/20
1612
/1/2
016
3/1/
2017
6/1/
2017
Ind
ex R
etur
n (R
ebas
ed to
100
as o
f 31-
Dec
-200
7
PrEQIn Real Estate PrEQIn Private Equity PrEQIn Infrastructure PrEQIn Private Debt MSCI US REIT
State of Alternative Investment – 60
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
PME
Va
lue
(X)
KS PME Using MSCI US REIT KS PME Using S&P 500 TR
Real Estate: Public Market Equivalent (PME)
Source: Preqin Real Estate Online, All Regions
If PME value (X) is >1, private real estate has outperformed the public market
State of Alternative Investment – 61
US Average Cap Rate vs. US 10 Year Yield
Source: CAIA and Bloomberg. Data through December 2017
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1/1/
2001
5/1/
2001
9/1/
2001
1/1/
2002
5/1/
2002
9/1/
2002
1/1/
2003
5/1/
2003
9/1/
2003
1/1/
2004
5/1/
2004
9/1/
2004
1/1/
2005
5/1/
2005
9/1/
2005
1/1/
2006
5/1/
2006
9/1/
2006
1/1/
2007
5/1/
2007
9/1/
2007
1/1/
2008
5/1/
2008
9/1/
2008
1/1/
2009
5/1/
2009
9/1/
2009
1/1/
2010
5/1/
2010
9/1/
2010
1/1/
2011
5/1/
2011
9/1/
2011
1/1/
2012
5/1/
2012
9/1/
2012
1/1/
2013
5/1/
2013
9/1/
2013
1/1/
2014
5/1/
2014
9/1/
2014
1/1/
2015
5/1/
2015
9/1/
2015
1/1/
2016
5/1/
2016
9/1/
2016
1/1/
2017
5/1/
2017
9/1/
2017
Yiel
d
Spread US Avg. Cap Rate US 10 Year Yield
State of Alternative Investment – 62
Closed-End Private Real Estate AUM
Source: Preqin Real Estate Online
20 36 38 38 5496 130 165 169 176 150 164 136
201 195 228 238 245
43 42 39 5868
92
144
243 229 216 297
395 456
504555
575 542565
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Ass
ets u
nder
Ma
nage
men
t ($b
n)
Dry Powder ($bn) Unrealized Value ($bn)
State of Alternative Investment – 63
Closed-End Private Real Estate Dry Powder by Strategy
Source: Preqin Real Estate Online
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
12/1/2007 12/1/2008 12/1/2009 12/1/2010 12/1/2011 12/1/2012 12/1/2013 12/1/2014 12/1/2015 12/1/2016 12/1/2017
Debt Core Core-Plus Value Added Opportunistic Distressed
September 2018 Exam
The Global Benchmark In Alternative Investment Education
The CAIA Charter
Global Presence
Member Asset Class Focus and Regional Distribution
Data: Member Survey, May 2017
55%
13%
32% AmericasAsia-PacificEurope, Middle-East, Africa
CAIA Members work across a variety of asset classes globally.
Hedge Funds 65%
Fixed Income Alternatives 50%
Private Equity 45%
Real Estate 41%
Commodities 39%
Managed Futures 32%
Real Assets Infrastructure, Farmland, Timberland 30%
Structured Products 29%
Venture Capital 18%
0 18 35 53 70
Membership Growth
*2017 Data through May 2017
561
3,265
5,700
9,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*
Level I Curriculum – Third Edition
Core Concepts Professional Standards & Ethics Introduction to Alternative
Investments Real Assets Hedge Funds Private Equity Structured Products Risk & Portfolio Management
Level II Curriculum – Third Edition
Advanced Core Concepts Professional Standards & Ethics Venture Capital & Private Equity Hedge Funds & Managed Futures Real Estate/Real Assets Commodities Structured Products Manager Selection, Due Diligence &
Regulation Research Issues & Current Topics Risk & Risk Management Asset Allocation & Portfolio
Management
Current & Integrated Topics Available
Free at caia.org
Level I Topic Approximate Exam Weight
Professional Standards and Ethics 15% – 20%
Introduction to Alternative Investments 20% – 25%
Real Assets including Commodities 10% – 20%
Hedge Funds 10% – 20%
Private Equity 5% – 10%
Structured Products 10% – 15%
Risk Management and Portfolio Management 5% – 10%
Level I Exam Topics
Level II Topic Approximate Exam Weight
Multiple Choice Constructed Response
Professional Standards and Ethics 0% 10%
Current and Integrated Topics 0% 10%
Asset Allocation and Institutional Investors 8-12% 0-10%
Private Equity 11-15% 0-10%
Real Assets 13-17% 0-10%
Commodities 5-7% 0-10%
Hedge Funds and Managed Futures 18-22% 0-10%
Structured Products 5-7% 0-10%
Level II Exam Topics
Examination Format and Scheduling
Level I
Section 1: 100 questions / 120 minutesSection 2: 100 questions / 120 minutes
Both CAIA exams are administered internationally in computerized format exclusively at proctored Pearson VUE
test centers.
Level II
Section 1: 100 questions / 120 minutesSection 2: 3 essays / 120 minutes
Once you have purchased your Level I or Level II exam, you will receive a
confirmation email with a link that will allow you to schedule your exam
appointment.
Study guides outlining keywords and learning objectives Workbooks with sample exercises Candidate orientation sessions Study calculator to plan your course of study Third party preparatory course and programs Level I & Level II sample exams
Candidate Support & Tools
Visit CAIA.org/preparing
Fees (in USD) Level I Level II Annual Membership (in USD)
Program Enrollment $400 Full $350
Exam Registration $1,250 $1,250 Affiliate $175
TOTAL $1,650 $1,250 Retired $175
Emerging Market* $100
Early Registration Discount -$100 -$100 2-Year Full $650
Retake Fee $450 $450
Curriculum cost (in USD) Level I Level II
Textbook & readings $125 $125
Standards of Practice handbook $0 $0 *Based on MSCI Emerging Market Indices
Fees
67% 66% 66%
59%61%
63%60%
66%68% 67%
70%
66%
59%57%
50%
70%
90%
Level ILevel II
Pass Rates
CAIA Charter
Academic Partnerships - Americas
A complete list of CAIA’s academic partners globally can be found at caia.org.
Academic Partnerships - EMEA
Academic Partnerships - APAC
A complete list of CAIA’s academic partners globally can be found at caia.org.
Association Partnerships
Banks Consultants Fund Managers Regulators Pension Funds & Endowments
HSBC
Citi
Credit Suisse
UBS
Barclays Capital
Deutsche Bank
CambridgeAssociates
New England Pension Consultants
Mercer
Willis Towers Watson
Blackrock
Goldman Sachs
J.P. Morgan
Morgan Stanley
State Street
U.S. SEC
MAS Singapore
SFC Hong Kong
FCA UK
CIMA Cayman
APG
Teacher RetirementSystem of Texas
Chicago Teachers
Ontario TeachersCalPERS
Harvard Management Co.
Sample Employers
Top companies seek to hire CAIA Charterholders.Sample job postings from the CAIA Career Center
International Relationship Manager. CFA, CAIA or working toward preferred.
Equity Investment Research -Manager. CIMA, CAIA, and/or CFA charter holders or candidates will be looked favorably upon.
International Trading ManagerMBA, CFA, CAIA or CMT preferred
CAIA is Preferred
Senior Quantitative Research Analyst. CFA, CAIA, CIMA
Senior Credit SpecialistCFA / CAIA / FRM / PRM is considered highly advantageous.
Risk Management - AssociateIndustry certifications, such as a CFA, CAIA, or FRM, are a plus.
Why maintain an active CAIA membership? Top 5 reasons from Members:
2
1
3
4
5
Data: Member Survey, May, 2017
To use the CAIA designation.
To position myself for future career opportunitiesand access the CAIA Career Center.
To maintain my knowledge of alternatives and stay current in the industry through CAIA publications and research.
To access CAIA benefits through Member News and volunteer opportunities.
To take advantage of CAIA Chapters’ educational and social events.
Career Value of the CAIA Charter
Use of CAIA marks in professional documents Chapter educational and networking events Global network of more than 9,000 Members Globally-recognized designation Education and Research at CAIA.org Self-evaluation Tool Ongoing Education CAIA Career Center
Member Benefits
EarlyRegistration
Apr 2 – May 14, 2018
RegularRegistration
May 15 – Aug 6, 2018
Level I ExamSept 3 – 14, 2018
Level II ExamSept 17 – 28, 2018
APR MAY JUNE JULY AUG SEPT
Exams September 2018 – Notable Dates
AMERICAS
Millissa Allen, CAIAAmherstManaging Director of Business Developmentdirect: +1 413 549 [email protected]
Cody DurantAmherstBusiness Development Manager direct: +1 413 549 3313 [email protected]
EUROPE, MIDDLE-EAST, AFRICA
Laura Merlini, CAIAGenevaManaging Director of Business Developmentdirect: +41 796 154 [email protected]
Tammy JohnstonLondonGlobal Business Development [email protected]
ASIA-PACIFIC
Joanne MurphyHong KongManaging Director, APACdirect: +852 3752 [email protected]
Wendy LeungHong KongAssistant Director, APACdirect: +852 3752 [email protected]
Peter Douglas, CAIASingaporePrincipaldirect: +65 6536 4241 [email protected]
Global Business Development Contacts
www.caia.org
The Global Benchmark In Alternative Investment Education
The CAIA Charter
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS SUMMITMAY 7TH 2018
Speaker: Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA (Managing Director, CAIA)
Panel:Dan Schwartz, CFA (Vice President, AQR)Eileen Duff (Managing Partner, iCapital)David Hemming (Senior PM, PowerShares by Invesco)