DiversifyingThe Fronts

Shumukh al-Islam Network

2010

Management of SavageryAbu-Bakr Naji.

2004Vision of the Jihaadi Movement

& The Strategy for the Current Stage

2009

The Call to GlobalIslamic ResistanceAbu Mus’ab al-Suri

2005

Running out of Time; Understanding Jihadist Strategy

Key Sources; Salafist Ideology

Knights Under the Prophet's Banner with the subtitle "Reflections into the Jihad Movement,"

Around 2008, Exoneration of the Nation of the Pen and the Sword of the Denigrating Charge of being Undetermined and Powerless

Dec 2009, The Morning and the Lantern

Ayman al Zawahiri As-Sahab Media Presents General Guidelines for Jihad

Al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri published the second edition of his book “Winds of Paradise,” clarifying in it the proper conduct of suicide operations and how to respond to enemy propaganda against them.

Management of Savagery: The Most Critical Stage Through Which the Ummah Will Pass; Abu Bakr Naji

"The Global Islamic Resistance Call"

Did you read them? –“do you understand these and their relationships?”   “IF not, how can you identify an effective strategy?”

Sayyid Qutb

The Al Qaida Handbook is a document that British police state they found in the Manchester home of Anas al-Liby in 2000 , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_Qaeda_Handbook

Military Studies in the Jihad Against the Tyrants: The Al-Qaeda Training Manual, http://www.bookdepository.com/Military-Studies-Jihad-Against-Tyrants-Anonymous/9781907521249

An English language guide for Westerners seeking to join al-Qaeda has been published, with recommendations on how to cope with the hardships and dangers of life as a jihadist; http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/al-qaeda/9265512/English-language-al-Qaeda-training-manual-revealed.html

Jan 2004: Al-Qaeda has issued a chilling new call to arms to recruits who remain undetected by security agencies. In a terrorist manual published on the internet, Osama bin Laden says:

'After Iraq and Afghanistan will come the Crusader invasion of Saudi Arabia. All fighters all over the world must be ready.' The manual has been masterminded by Saif al-Adel, the organisation's third most senior man and the only terrorist other than bin Laden and his partner Ayman al-Zawahiri to have a $25 million reward on his head.

Al-Qaida Senior LeadershipAl-Qaida Senior LeadershipAl-Qaida Senior LeadershipAl-Qaida Senior LeadershipAQ Associated GroupsAQ Associated GroupsAQ Associated GroupsAQ Associated Groups

Extremist Web PresenceExtremist Web PresenceRecruitersRecruitersExtremist Web PresenceExtremist Web PresenceRecruitersRecruiters

Ideological GroupsIdeological Groups

IdeologuesIdeologuesAssociationsAssociations

Extremist ClericsExtremist ClericsMediaMedia

SchoolsSchoolsMuslim BrotherhoodMuslim Brotherhood

Hizb ut-TahrirHizb ut-Tahrir

Ideological GroupsIdeological Groups

IdeologuesIdeologuesAssociationsAssociations

Extremist ClericsExtremist ClericsMediaMedia

SchoolsSchoolsMuslim BrotherhoodMuslim Brotherhood

Hizb ut-TahrirHizb ut-Tahrir

Non-ViolentNon-ViolentNon-ViolentNon-Violent

““LoneLone Wolves”Wolves”

““LoneLone Wolves”Wolves”

The Extremist PhenomenonThe Extremist Phenomenon

Caliph al-BaghdadiCaliph al-BaghdadiCaliph al-BaghdadiCaliph al-BaghdadiIS GroupsIS Groups

Can now claim allegiance not toJihadist Commander but directly to Caliph—a Political /Religious Leader. IAW Sharia it is Obligatory.

SO: What is it that influence the water temp??

Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn,“the core ideology and belief system” of al-Qaida “is spreading, not shrinking.”- Aug 2014

Do we understand the dynamics' of the “phenomena”.

An Analytic Problem of Understanding Salafist Ideology

5

Ideology/Ideology/Culture/DoctrineCulture/Doctrine

Tawhid

Jihad.

Dawa

Hesba

Sharia.

al-Wala' wa-l-Bara; allegiance and disavowal; Takfir,

Savagery

Hijra

  "The Closing of Bab al-Ijtihad."   The Closing of the Muslim Mind

Salafist doctrines; As-Salaf us-Salih (the Salaf) refers to the first and best three generations of Muslims

The Near and far: Dar al-Islam, the citizenry abide by the ordinances, rules, edicts, and assembly of Islam. Dar al-harb, the House of War. March 3, 1924, the Ottoman Caliphate was abolished, The Caliphate Conference. Cairo. May 1926

"End-of-Time Battle"

Khorasan

Quran, Hadith, jurespudence; Fiqh

While hiding in Afghan caves, al-Zawahiri wrote a second book, Knights Under the Prophet’s Banner, about his career and philosophy as a terrorist. His first book in 1991, Bitter Harvest, gives what one biographer described as “a moral justification for nearly indiscriminate murder under the pretext of jihad.”

Haram

Sunni - Shia

Amirul Mu'mineen

Mujtahid specialist on the deduction of the Islamic rules from four major sources: the Qur'an, Hadith, conscience of the community, and reasoning.

Quraysh

Fatwa

council for Ahl al-Hall wa al-Aqd ; those who loose and bind

Blooodline – Tribe - Fighting Commander

Madhi

The Cloack

Two Calips

al Qaeda names its primary enemy as "the Jews and Crusaders.“The second is the so-called "apostate rulers, The IS reverse!

Dar al-Kufr

CdW

Al-Qaida

Extremist’s Battlespace February 2015

Extremist Groups

Ethiopia

Kenya

TurkestanIslamic Party

PakistanConstellation

AQ, IMU, IJU, TTP, HQN, LeT, JeM, LeJ

Al-Qaida inThe Arabian

Peninsula

Al-Qaida inIslamic Magreb

Islamic State

Islamic Emirateof the

Caucasus

Al-Shabaab

Islamic Emirateof Afghanistan

Egypt (Includes Sinai)

(15 groups)

Ansar al-ShariaTunisia

Ansar al-Sharia

Morocco

Libya(4 groups)

Ansar Dine

Islamic Constitution Front

Jundal-Khilafah

Ansar al-ShariaShinquit

(Mauritania)

Ansar al-ShariaGao

Du’at al-ShariaAnsaru

Tatarstan Jamaat

Harakat Ansar

Lebanon(3 Groups)

Abdullah AzzamBrigades

Al-Murabitun

Muslim Renewal

JamaatAnsarulla

Operational Theatre

Cyber: AQ Electronic Army

Main Effort

Al-Nusrah Front

&Syrian Groups

Gaza/West Bank

(3 Groups)

AQ Kurdish Battalions

Ansarullah Bangla

Al-Qaida inThe Indian

Subcontinent

Islamic Emirate

of Nigeria

Islamic State

Jund al-Khalifa

al-L’tisam of the Koran and Sunnah

Jund al-Khilafa Ansar al-Tawhid fi Bilad al-Hind

Tehrik-e-Khilafat-o-Jihad

Wilayah Khurasan

7 x Dagestan Groups3 x Chechen Groups

Uqba bin Nafi Brigade

Al-SuriStrategic Depth Confrontation in open

fronts, the most

favourite are 1. Afghanistan:2. Central Asian Countries and areas behind the river:3. Yemen and Arabian Peninsula:3. Yemen and Arabian Peninsula:4. Al-Sham land [TC: Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Israel, Palestine] and Iraq:

By this, here are the priority areas as per their importance:1. Countries of the Arabian Peninsula, al-Sham countries, Egypt, and Iraq.This land contains the holy places, oil, Israel, and countries surrounding it..2. Countries of North Africa from Libya to Mauritania:3. Turkey, Pakistan and countries of central Asia: It contains the second largest reserves of oil in the world. It contains a huge and historical Islamic movement. It is considered to provide strategic depth tothe Jihadist movement and Arab resistance.4. The remainder of Islamic countries:

According to: The Call for Global Islamic Resistance by Abu-Mus‘ab al-Suri

Al-Zawahiri Maghreb strategy

Al-Zawahiri Strategic Vision

Al Zawahiri and Al Suri combined Plan and intentAl Zawahiri and Al Suri combined Plan and intent

Let’s not forget:Pak?

2000 2003 2006 2007 2010 2013

The First Phase Known as “the awakening” lasted from 2000 to 2003, or more precisely from the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 in New York and Washington to the fall of Baghdad in 2003

The Second Phase “Opening Eyes” 2003 until 2006.

The Third Phase This is described as “Arising and Standing Up” and should last from 2007 to 2010.

“There will be a focus on Syria”

The Fourth Phase Between 2010 and 2013, al-Qaida will aim to bring about the collapse of the hated Arabic governments. The estimate is that “the creeping loss of the regimes’ power will lead to a steady growth in strength within al-

Qaida.”

Al-Qaida’s purported strategy can be broken down into seven “phases” which span from 2000 until 2020

The Fifth Phase This will be the point at which an Islamic state, or caliphate, can be declared. The plan is that by this time, between

2013 and 2016The Sixth Phase from 2016 onwards there will a period of “total confrontation.”

The Seventh Phase This final stage is described as “definitive victory.” The rest of the world will be so beaten down by the “one-and-a-half million Muslims,” the caliphate will undoubtedly succeed. This phase should be completed by 2020, although the war shouldn’t last longer than two years.

June 2014 2016 2020

ISIS/ Daesh intent, still permissible for AQ Al Qaida Overall intent, plan and vision

Abu Bakr al-BaghdadiSelf declaredCaliph: Ibrahimi

Al-Qaida’s purported strategy can be broken down into seven “phases” which span from 2000 until 2020

Bayat (oath of allegiance) Friction - Dispute - Dissolves