AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of...

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AI & Strategy Peter Zemsky Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation

Transcript of AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of...

Page 1: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

AI & Strategy

Peter ZemskyDeputy Dean/Dean of Innovation

Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation

Page 2: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE:

LOCALIZED STRATEGIES FOR

GLOBAL TECHNOLOGIESASK ABOUT:

AI SCIENTISTS

SETTING RULES FOR THE

AI RACE

DESIGNING YOUR

AI STRATEGY

IN YOUR FACE: ENSURING FACIAL RECOGNITION

TECHNOLOGY REMAINS A FORCE FOR GOOD

GOVERNING DATA IN

OUR DAILY LIVES

ASK ABOUT: MATHEMATICS

OF

NATURAL INTELLIGENCE

ASK ABOUT:

EMPATHETIC AI

A NEW KIND OF

LEARING

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Social Listening: Cloud

Page 4: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Social Listening: Virtual Reality

Page 5: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Social Listening: AI

Page 6: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Source: economist.com

Page 7: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 8: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 9: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Resource

Allocation?

Peter ZemskyDeputy Dean/Dean of Innovation

Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation

Page 10: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Strategy is about Resource Allocation

Page 11: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Strategy is about Resource Allocation

Page 12: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Source: https://www.cbinsights.com/research/top-acquirers-ai-startups-ma-timeline/

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Traditional Players are Moving

Page 14: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Traditional Players are Moving

$69B

+

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Case: MDLive

Peter ZemskyDeputy Dean/Dean of Innovation

Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation

Page 16: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Proposition

Organization& Execution

Industry Environment

AI technology

Strong employer

interest in

telemedicine…

Highly regulated

…but patient

adoption lagging

Escalating

healthcare costs

Conservative

Page 17: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Creation from Telemedicin

WTP

Costs

Patient convenience – consultations anytime, anywhere

Lower overheads

Resource pooling

Avoid high cost emergency room treatment

Page 18: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Creation from Telemedicin

WTP

Costs

Patient convenience – consultations anytime, anywhere

Patient activation costs

Lower overheads

Resource pooling

Avoid high cost emergency room treatment

Expectation of seeing doctor in person

Lack of physical interventions

Page 19: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Creation from Telemedicin

WTP

Costs

Patient convenience – consultations anytime, anywhere

Patient activation costs

Lower overheads

Resource pooling

Avoid high cost emergency room treatment

Expectation of seeing doctor in person

Lack of physical interventions

How can AI help unlock the value

creation potential of telemedicine?

Page 20: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 21: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 22: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Image courtesy of MDLIVE

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Page 24: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 25: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Inputs: MDLive historical data

Visits per hour

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Inputs: External data sources

Page 27: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Integration: Scheduling Tool

Page 28: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Integration: Scheduling Tool

Page 29: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Integration: Scheduling Tool

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Page 31: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 32: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Poor Fair Good Very Good Excellent

Poor 99% 1% 0% 0% 0%

Fair 1% 98% 0% 0% 0%

Good 0% 1% 99% 1% 0%

Very Good 0% 0% 0% 97% 5%

Excellent 0% 0% 0% 2% 95%

Predicted

Truth

Page 33: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 34: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 35: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Creation through AI

WTP

Costs

Patient convenience – consultations anytime, anywhere

Improved wait times

Service recovery

Patient activation costs – reduced through improved word of mouth

Greater physician utilization and satisfaction

Lower overheads

Resource pooling

Avoid high cost emergency room treatment

Expectation of seeing doctor in person

Lack of physical interventions

Page 36: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Proposition

Organization& Execution

Industry Environment

AI technology

Strong employer

interest in

telemedicine…

Highly regulated

Doctor utilization

Patient wait times

Data integration

Integration ofanalytic insights

…but patient

adoption lagging

Escalating

healthcare costs

Conservative

Service recovery

Page 37: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Machine Learning

Peter ZemskyDeputy Dean/Dean of Innovation

Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation

Page 38: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Source: https://www.mathworks.com/help/nnet/ug/neural-

network-architectures.html

Page 39: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 40: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Source: “Creative Commons iPhone disassembled” by Andrew Mager licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0

Page 41: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Source: ING Bank Website

Page 42: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Same or different from the software-

based digital revolution?

Why is it happening now?

Page 43: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Logic of Traditional Computing

DATA

COMPUTING

Programs

Outcomes

Page 44: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Logic of Machine Learning

DATA

COMPUTING

Outcomes

Programs

Page 45: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Logic of Machine Learning

DATA

COMPUTING

Outcomes

Programs

Page 46: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

DATA

Apple

Not Apple

Page 47: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

COMPUTINGNeural Networks

input layer output layer

hidden layers

DATA

Page 48: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Apple: 99.8%

Page 49: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Same or different from the software-

based digital revolution?

Why is it happening now?

Page 50: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Copyright ©INSEAD 2018. All rights reserved. Materials prepared for academic usage and purposes only. Not to be reproduced, re-distributed or used without the formal authorization from INSEAD.

Why Now?

DATA

Page 51: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Copyright ©INSEAD 2018. All rights reserved. Materials prepared for academic usage and purposes only. Not to be reproduced, re-distributed or used without the formal authorization from INSEAD.

Why Now?

DATA

Page 52: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Copyright ©INSEAD 2018. All rights reserved. Materials prepared for academic usage and purposes only. Not to be reproduced, re-distributed or used without the formal authorization from INSEAD.

Why Now?

COMPUTING

Page 53: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Copyright ©INSEAD 2018. All rights reserved. Materials prepared for academic usage and purposes only. Not to be reproduced, re-distributed or used without the formal authorization from INSEAD.

Why Now?

COMPUTING

Page 54: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

COMPUTING

Page 55: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Creation

Peter Zemsky

Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation

Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation

Page 56: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Creation from AI

WTP

Costs

Novel and improved predictions

Faster predictions

Mass personalization

Breakthroughs in image processing

Breakthroughs in natural language processing (NLP)

Falling costs of (specialized) processing

Explosion of data with digitalization

Strong open source tradition for ML code

Page 57: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Creation from EVs

WTP

Eco friendly image

Tax credits

Lower maintenance costs

Simpler engine technology

Government encouragements (eg ZEV credits)

Costs

Page 58: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Creation from EVs

WTP

Eco friendly image

Tax credits

Lower maintenance costs

High batter costs

Lack of production volume

Lack of cumulative production experience

Simpler engine technology

Government encouragements (eg ZEV credits)

Range anxiety

Charging inconvenience (time, network)

Batter life and resale value

Dealer support

Costs

Page 59: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Copyright ©INSEAD 2018. All rights reserved. Materials prepared for academic usage and purposes only. Not to be reproduced, re-distributed or used without the formal authorization from INSEAD.

Page 60: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource
Page 61: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Value Creation from AI

WTP

Costs

Novel and improved predictions

Faster predictions

Mass personalization

Breakthroughs in image processing

Breakthroughs in natural language processing (NLP)

High fixed costs of acquiring and preparing data

Scarcity of specialized talent

Legal and regulatory risks

Falling costs of (specialized) processing

Explosion of data with digitalization

Strong open source tradition for ML code

Data privacy concerns

Black box and lack of transparency

Risk of bias

Reputational risks

Page 62: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Copyright ©INSEAD 2018. All rights reserved. Materials prepared for academic usage and purposes only. Not to be reproduced, re-distributed or used without the formal authorization from INSEAD.

Page 63: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Choose wisely!

Analytics-driven hiring and retention

Channel management

Churn reduction

Customer acquisition/lead generation

Customer service management

Fraud and debt analytics

Inventory and parts optimization

Logistics network and warehouse optimization

Marketing budget allocation

Next product to buy/individualized offering

Predictive maintenance

Predictive service/intervention

Pricing and promotion

Procurement and spend analytics

Product development cycle optimization

Product feature optimization

Risk modeling

Sales and demand forecasting

Smart capital expenditures

Task automation

Workforce productivity and efficiency

Yield optimization

Source: www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/artificial-intelligence/visualizing-the-uses-and-potential-impact-of-ai-and-other-analytics

Page 64: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Adoption

SoftwareDevelopers

Installed BaseValue Creation +

Positive Feedback & Platforms

Page 65: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Positive feedbacks

Page 66: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Buyers

Seller

+

Positive feedbacks

Page 67: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Buyers

Seller

Functionality

+

Positive feedbacks

Page 68: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Customers

MachineLearning

DataValue Creation

Talent

+

Early Mover Advantages in AI

Page 69: AI & Strategy · 2019. 3. 5. · Deputy Dean/Dean of Innovation Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Strategy and Innovation . Strategy is about Resource Allocation. Strategy is about Resource

Source: https://www.cbinsights.com/research/top-acquirers-ai-startups-ma-timeline/