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AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
2014 LONG-TERM PLANNINGPlanning ConferenceVienna, 26 June 2014
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Planning ConferenceSlide 1
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Agenda
▶ Schedule▶ Planning parameters of 2014 LTP▶ Free capacities - areas of potential congestion▶ Projects for 2014 LTP▶ Infrastructure standard▶ Capacity announcements 2015▶ Summary▶ Discussion/questions
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 2 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Agenda
▶ Schedule▶ Planning parameters of 2014 LTP▶ Free capacities - areas of potential congestion▶ Projects for 2014 LTP▶ Infrastructure standard▶ Capacity announcements 2015▶ Summary▶ Discussion/questions
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 3 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Schedule for 2014 LTP
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 4 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Agenda
▶ Schedule▶ Planning parameters of 2014 LTP
▶ Objectives in energy policy
▶ LTP data models▶ Monitoring of 2013 LTP projects
▶ Consumption forecast
▶ Entry model
▶ Free capacities - areas of potential congestion▶ Projects for 2014 LTP▶ Infrastructure standard▶ Capacity announcements 2015▶ Summary▶ Discussion/questions
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 5 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
EU objectives in energy policy
▶ EU energy strategy - long-term objectives▶ Counteracting climate change
▶ Reducing dependence on imports
▶ Promoting growth and employment through competitive energy supply
▶ Energy Action Plan “An energy policy for Europe” ▶ Creating and putting into practice an Internal Energy Market at EU level
▶ Security of energy supply
▶ Energy efficiency and renewable energy sources▶ Binding target: 20% of overall energy consumption from renewable energy sources Renewable Energy
Directive - individual targets for each Member State
▶ 22 January 2014 - 2030 framework for climate and energy policies: 27% renewable energy, 40% less greenhouse gases by 2030
▶ 25 October 2012 - Energy Efficiency Directive: reduction by 1.5% of annual primary energy consumption
▶ Energy technology
▶ External energy policyHelmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 6 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Austria’s objectives in energy policy
▶ “2013-2018 Working Programme of the Austrian Federal Government” ▶ Drafting a 2030 energy strategy
▶ Transposing the EU Energy Efficiency Directive
▶ Achieving the 1.5% energy efficiency target
▶ Continued efforts towards expanding renewable energy
▶ »EU 2020 targets«: Implementing measures to achieve Austria’s self-imposed targets (34% renewable energy; -16% greenhouse gases; +20% energy efficiency)
▶ Active support for 2030 framework for climate and energy policies
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 7 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
LTP data models
Slide 8 | Planning Conference
How much gas is transported into the distribution area, and where and when does this happen?A high level of flexibility must be supported.
How must the distribution systembe structured in order to be able to make all transports possible?The system must be flexible in practical use.
How much gas flows out of the distribution network , and where and when does this happen?Sound data basis available.
Entry model
Exit model
Network model
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Monitoring of LTP 13 projects - pipeline projects
Slide 9 | Planning Conference
Oberkappel Arnreith Bad Leonf . Rainbach Gr. Göttfritz Kirchberg WAG AZ
Laa
TAG AZ
Eggendorf
Grafendorf
St. Margarethen
Weitendorf
Sulmeck Greith
Finkenstein Ebenthal Weisenberg Ettendorf
Bruck/Mur
Pyhrn
Puchkirchen
Krift
Kronstorf
Ebelsberg Kronau
Wr. Neustadt
Schwechatrefinery
Mannswörth
Schönk.
Tall.
Baumgarten
Leop. Aderklaa
WilfleinsdorfHornstein
Lichtenwörth
Fürstenfeld
Edelsthal
St. Michael
Friedburg
Arnoldstein
Reitsham
CS_Baumgarten 1 + 2
Reichersdorf
DN 800 DN 800
Network expansion contract concluded
No network expansion contractDN 500
Semmering
Zagling
DN 500
Stor. fac. Haidach
DN 800 Expected completion date: 31 July 2014Expected
completion date:
15 July 2014
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Monitoring of LTP 13 projects - non-pipeline projects
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 10 | Planning Conference
Proj. no. Project name Status
2012/1 Capacity increase filter separators realised2012/6 Adaptation of Ebenthal station realised
2012/4 Adaptation of Ebelsberg station ongoing
2013/1 Adaptation of St. Margarethen station ongoing
2013/5 Pressure increase Upper Austria extension threshold not reached
2012/2 Reverse flow Auersthal extension threshold not reached
2012/3 Capacity bookings at Baumgarten exit extension threshold not reached
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Analysis of standard load profile customers
Slide 11 | Planning Conference
Eastern market area
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Analysis of standard load profile customers
Slide 12 | Planning Conference
Eastern market area
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Consumption scenarios
Slide 13 | Planning Conference
Eastern market area
stagnation at Status Quo 2014/Q1
all needs stated by the network operators are considered
further changes stated by the network operators are considered
Baseline scenario Maximal scenario
further changes stated by the network operators are considered additional reduction of the consumtion of 1.5 % pa.
Minimal scenario
development of the power plants
development of other consumers
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Consumption forecast: energy
Slide 14 | Planning Conference
Eastern market area
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Consumption forecast: power
Slide 15 | Planning Conference
Eastern market area
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Power station projects
Slide 16 | Planning Conference
OberkappelArnreith Bad Leonf Rainbach Gr. Göttfritz Kirchberg WAG AZ
Laa
TAG AZ
Eggendorf
Grafendorf
St. Margarethen
Weitendorf
SulmeckGreith
Finkenstein Ebenthal Weisenberg Ettendorf
Bruck/Mur
Pyhrn
Puchkirchen
Krift
Kronstorf
Ebelsberg Kronau
Schwechatrefinery
Mannswörth
Schönk.
Tall.
Baumgarten
.Aderklaa
Wilfleinsdorf
Hornstein
Lichtenwörth
Fürstenfeld
Edelsthal
St. Michael
Haidach
Arnoldstein
Reitsham
CS_Baumgarten 1 + 2
ZaglingStor. fac. Haidach
75
75
Planned completion date: 2019 [kNm³/h]
Planned completion date: 2024 [kNm³/h]
Graz
75Riedersbach 80
Vienna
Peisching
75
Theiß
75
Power station projects
90Dürnrohr
capacity expansion application 2025
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Entry model
Slide 17 | Planning Conference
capacity contractcapacity contract
capacity contract
annual booking
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Consequences from the consumption scenariosfor storage facilities
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 18 | Planning Conference
Injection/exit Withdrawal/entry
Maximum scenario
Higher probabilityof a smaller dynamic firm part
Higher probabilityof a largerdynamic firm part
Minimum scenario
Higher probabilityof a largerdynamic firm part
Higher probabilityof a smaller dynamic firm part
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Capacity status storage cluster West, exit
Slide 19 | Planning Conference
Exit potential of the upper austrian storages 2015 in comparison to the actual usage in the gas year 2011
Exit
pote
ntial
of t
he u
pper
aus
tria
n st
orag
es [k
Nm
³/h]
Consumption in the distribution area east [kNm³/h]
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Agenda
▶ Schedule▶ Planning parameters of 2014 LTP▶ Free capacities - areas of potential congestion▶ Projects for 2014 LTP▶ Infrastructure standard▶ Capacity announcements 2015▶ Summary▶ Discussion/questions
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 20 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Free capacities - areas of potential congestion
Slide 21 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Congestion
Slide 22 | Planning Conference
Congestion Solution
Entry storage cluster West – Exit Baumgarten
Projects already defined2012/2 reverse flow Auersthal2012/3 exit capacity Baumgarten2012/5 Pressure increase Upper Austria
Tyrol Additional entry capacities required
Wilfleinsdorf New project2014/1 Pipeline section Velm – Mannersdorf and adaptation of Wilfleinsdorf station
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Congestion entry Haidach - exit Baumgarten
Slide 23 | Planning Conference
Oberkappel Arnreith Bad Leonf Rainbach Gr. Göttfritz Kirchberg WAG AZ
Laa
TAG AZ
Eggendorf
Grafendorf
St. Margarethen
Weitendorf
Sulmeck Greith
Finkenstein Ebenthal Weisenberg Ettendorf
Bruck/Mur
Pyhrn
Puchkirchen
Krift
Kronstorf
Ebelsberg Kronau
Wr. Neustadt
Schwechatrefinery
Mannswörth
Schönk.
Tall.
Baumgarten
Leop. Aderklaa
WilfleinsdorfHornstein
Lichtenwörth
Fürstenfeld
Edelsthal
St. Michael
Friedburg
Arnoldstein
Reitsham
CS_Baumgarten 1 + 2
Reichersdorf
Network expansion contract concluded
Network expansion contract required
Semmering
ZaglingStor. fac. Haidach1 April 2016
1 January 2017 1 January 2017
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Capacity status storage cluster West, entry
Slide 24 | Planning Conference
applicantEntry-/ Exit
pointdirection
capacity
enlargement
capacity
product
Wes
t 4/
3
HD
L 10
0 /
2
HD
L 10
0V
Rev
.AU
/BM
Sta
tion E
bel
sber
g
Dru
ckan
heb
ung
Ober
öst
erre
ich
West 4/3
HDL 100/2
HDL 100V
Station Ebelsberg
West 4/3
HDL 100/2
HDL 100V
Station Ebelsberg
Druckanhebung
OÖFNG
2007
/11
2008
/1
2011
/5
2012
/2
2012
/3
2012
/6
2012
/5
01.0
8.20
14
15.0
7.20
14
15.0
7.20
14
01.0
1.20
17
01.1
0.20
14
+18
Monat
e
ab K
EV
01.08.2014 +18 month of KEV
kWh/h kWh/h kWh/h
Status Quo 01.04.2014 Entry SK 9260591 9260591
astora Haidach Entry 715041 SK x x o + 715041 715041
astora Haidach Entry 559500 SK x x o + 559500 559500
EGS 7 Fields Entry 170848 SK x o + 170848 170848
EGS 7 Fields Entry 501674 SK x o + x 501674
Gazprom Haidach Entry 1734450 SK x x x o + x 1734450
KEA Entry 3681513 10705980 12985115x necessary project
o improves the quality of the standard capacity
+ improves the control of the Linzer Ring
capacity expansion application allocable capacity
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Capacity status storage cluster West, exit
Slide 25 | Planning Conference
applicantEntry-/ Exit
pointdirection
capacity
enlargement
capacity
product
Wes
t 4
/ 2
Wes
t 4
/ 3
HD
L 10
0/2
HD
L 10
0V
CS
Kro
nst
orf
West 4/2
West 4/3
HDL 100/2
HDL 100V
2007
/11
2007
/11
2008
/1
2011
/5
01.0
1.20
14
01.0
8.20
14
15.0
7.20
14
15.0
7.20
14
ca. 20
18
01.01.2014 01.08.2014
kWh/h kWh/h kWh/h
Status Quo 01.04.2014 Exit SK 5990835 5990835
RAG ES Puchkirchen Exit 1119000 SK x 1119000 1119000
astora 1/1 Haidach Exit 218645 SK x x x 218645 218645
astora 1/2 Haidach Exit 496396 SK x x x x 496396
astora Haidach Exit 559500 SK x x x x 559500
EGS 7 Fields Exit 495224 SK x x x 495224
EGS 7 Fields Exit 176176 SK x x x x
Gazprom Haidach Exit 1734450 SK x x x x x
KEA Exit 5526226 7328480 8879600
capacity expansion application projekts allocable capacity
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Capacity status storage cluster West, exit
Slide 26 | Planning Conference
Exit potential of the upper austrian storages 2015 in comparison to the actual usage in the gas year 2011
Exit
pote
ntial
of t
he u
pper
aus
tria
n st
orag
es [k
Nm
³/h]
Consumption in the distribution area east [kNm³/h]
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
consumption analysis Tyrol
Slide 27 | Planning Conference
▶ Additional capacity required from Nov. to March: approx. 85,000 kWh/h
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Possible linepack use Tyrol
Slide 28 | Planning Conference
▶ Additional new customers from 2/2012: approx. 200 MW▶ No add. freely allocable capacity can be booked with bayernets▶ Analysis:
▶ Taking into account additional customers at a coincidence factor of 0.5▶ Temperature pattern as in previous three years
outt
ake
pres
sure
Kie
fers
feld
en s
tatio
n [b
arg]
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Solution proposals for Tyrol
▶ Proposal 1: interruptible capacity + flow commitment = freely allocable capacity▶ + can be implemented easily▶ - additional costs▶ - legal issues yet to be clarified
▶ Proposal 2: interruptible capacity + measures specified in Section 25 GWG ▶ + no additional costs▶ - consumers must be able to reduce capacity in case of congestion▶ - more complex solution
▶ AGGM is in favour of Proposal 2▶ If no agreement is reached, Proposal 1 will have to be implemented
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 29 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Congestion at Wilfleinsdorf
Slide 30 | Planning Conference
▶ Current situation:▶ 17.6 bar pressure reduction between Velm and Wilfleinsdorf, load at all-time high
▶ Mitterndorf-Mannersdorf pipeline was built in 1957
▶ Gate valve facility - replacement investments badly needed
Velm
Gate valve facility Mitterndorf
Wilfleinsdorf
Mannersdorf
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Congestion at Wilfleinsdorf
▶ Objectives▶ Comply with specified pressure
▶ 40 barg outgoing pressure at Wilfleinsdorf
▶ Increase usable linepack in new South line
▶ Renew existing pipelines
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 31 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Master plan Wilfleinsdorf
Slide 32 | Planning Conference
pressure reduction: intake pressure Velm station (new south pipeline) - outtake pressure Wilfleinsdorf station
planning zero case
BA1 BA2 zus. BA3
NO consumptionpipeline Velm-
Mannersdorfstation
Wilfleinsdorfpipeline Mannerdorf-
Wilfleinsdorf
[kNm³/h] [bar] [bar]
NNÖ 6.6
NBE 17.4
NNÖ 10
NBE 25
consideration of additional
consumption19.2 5
options
[bar]
load at all-time high 17.6 8.2 3.4
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Project 2014/1
Slide 33 | Planning Conference
▶ Section 1: Pipeline segment Velm-Mannersdorf 12.8 km, DN 250, PN 70▶ Section 2: Adaptation of Wilfleinsdorf station
Section 1
Section 2
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Agenda
▶ Schedule▶ Planning parameters of 2014 LTP▶ Free capacities - areas of potential congestion▶ Projects for 2014 LTP▶ Infrastructure standard▶ Capacity announcements 2015▶ Summary▶ Discussion/questions
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 34 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Projects for 2014 LTP
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 35 | Planning Conference
Proj. no. Project name Status
2007/9 Pipeline segment Bruck/Mur - Styrian/Carinthian border
withdrawn
2007/10 Pipeline segment Styrian/Carinthian border - Ebenthal
withdrawn
2012/4 Adaptation of Ebelsberg station ongoing
2013/1 Adaptation of St. Margarethen station ongoing
2013/5 Pressure increase Upper Austria extension threshold not reached up to now
2012/2 Reverse flow Auersthal extension threshold not reached up to now
2012/3 Additional capacity requirement at Baumgarten exit
extension threshold not reached up to now
2014/1 Pipeline segment Velm-Mannersdorf and adaptation of Wilfleinsdorf station
approval process pending
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Agenda
▶ Schedule▶ Planning parameters of 2014 LTP▶ Free capacities - areas of potential congestion▶ Projects for 2014 LTP▶ Infrastructure standard▶ Capacity announcements 2015▶ Summary▶ Discussion/questions
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 36 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Infrastructure standard
Slide 37 | Planning Conference
Source: BMWFW, Risikobewertung 2014
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Capacity announcements 2015
Slide 38 | Planning Conference
Entry standard capacity
Exit standard capacity
[kWh/h] [kWh/h]
storagefree aviable capacity cluster East 13,066,092 6,455,898free aviable capacity cluster West 0 0allocable capacity 37,831,472 24,424,520
productionallocable capacity 1,920,518
bio mass gas productionallocable capacity 22,130
allocable capacity 2015
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Agenda
▶ Schedule▶ Planning parameters of 2014 LTP▶ Free capacities - areas of potential congestion▶ Projects for 2014 LTP▶ Infrastructure standard▶ Capacity announcements 2015▶ Summary▶ Discussion/questions
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 39 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Summary
▶ Capacity demand can be covered for all consumers▶ Precondition: additional capacity at Kiefersfelden
▶ Announced capacity for storage facilities at a high level▶ Storage cluster West
▶ Entry: 952,000 Nm³/h standard capacity
▶ Exit: 790,000 Nm³/h standard capacity
▶ Storage cluster East▶ Entry: 2,413,000 Nm³/h standard capacity
▶ Exit: 1,383,000 Nm³/h standard capacity
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 40 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Discussion
▶ Are there any additional interests that have not been taken into account in the 2014 LTP?
▶ Is the schedule for preparing the LTP acceptable? Approval for LTP expected between October and December.▶ Budget approval for project implementation
▶ Annual capacity booking
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014Slide 41 | Planning Conference
AGGM Austrian Gas Grid Management AG
Helmut Wernhart I 26 June 2014
Contact/publishing information
Floridsdorfer Hauptstraße 1floridotower1210 ViennaAustriaPhone: +43 (1) 27 560-28870Fax: +43 (1) 27 [email protected]/en
Helmut Wittmann
Slide 42 | Planning Conference