Agent Based Modelling to Ship Simulators · 2019-12-10 · Agent Based Modelling to Ship...

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Agent Based Modelling to Ship Simulators: Operational Analysis for novel autonomous systems Chloe Woodger-Smith BMT

Transcript of Agent Based Modelling to Ship Simulators · 2019-12-10 · Agent Based Modelling to Ship...

Page 1: Agent Based Modelling to Ship Simulators · 2019-12-10 · Agent Based Modelling to Ship Simulators: Operational Analysis for novel autonomous systems Chloe Woodger-Smith BMT. ...

Agent Based Modelling to Ship Simulators: Operational Analysis for novel autonomous systems

Chloe Woodger-Smith BMT

Page 2: Agent Based Modelling to Ship Simulators · 2019-12-10 · Agent Based Modelling to Ship Simulators: Operational Analysis for novel autonomous systems Chloe Woodger-Smith BMT. ...

Requirement

New projects requiring a new way of thinking and operational analysis to support. What are the

benefits of using simulation.01Timeline

Which tools should be used at each stage of the project.02

03

Contents

Agent Based Modelling Example

Operational analysis of new concepts of operation enabled by autonomous systems.

04Detailed Ship Simulation Example

Operational analysis of new concepts of operation enabled by autonomous systems.

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Requirement

New projects requiring a new way of thinking and operational analysis to support.01

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Why use Simulation?

Benefits of Simulation01Simulation and Modelling allows for the performance of a system to be understood:

Allowing for Improved decision making

Predict current design performance

Fast

Cost effective

Evaluate alternatives to:

Improve design

Optimise support

Minimise vulnerabilities & risk

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Timeline

Types of Models.

A Agent Based Modelling

C Discrete Event Modelling

B Dynamic System Modelling

D Full Ship Navigational Simulation

02

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Timeline

Which tools should be used at each stage of the project.02

Concept Assessment Development Manufacture In-Service Disposal

Co

mp

lexit

y

Low

Hig

h

Shift Risk to the Left Enable Intelligent Decision Support

Agent Based Modelling

Detailed Ship Simulations (REMBRANDT)

Dynamic System Modelling

Digital Thread

Agent Based Modelling Discrete Event Modelling

Feedback/ Iteration

Feedback/ Iteration

Feedback/ Iteration

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Agent Based Modelling Example

Operational Analysis of new Mine-Countermeasures operations and comparison against traditional manned

vessels.03

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Channel Immune

MCM Concept of Operation

Channel Standoff

MCM Concept of Operation

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A Ship, Air or Shore Based CapabilityAgent Based Modelling Example

Operational Analysis of new Mine-Countermeasures operations and comparison against traditional manned

vessels.03

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1 2 3 4 5 6

Tota

l Ope

ratio

n Ti

me

(Hou

rs)

No of Classification Units

1 Survey Unit

2/3 Survey Units

4/5/6 Survey Units

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

1 Channel Immune Vessel

2 Channel Immune Vessels

Channel Stand Off 2xASU 2xACU

Channel Stand Off 4xASU 2xACU

Channel Stand Off 4xASU 3xACU

Total Operation Time (Hours)

Equi

pmen

t Sc

enar

ios

Agent Based Modelling Example

Operational Analysis of new Mine-Countermeasures operations and comparison against traditional manned

vessels.03

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Detailed Ship Simulation Example

Operational analysis of new concepts of operation enabled by autonomous systems.04

BMT REMBRANDT®

(Real Time Manoeuvring Berthing And Training)

3D time domain, navigation and seakeeping

simulation software application.

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Detailed Ship Simulation Example

Operational analysis of new concepts of operation enabled by autonomous systems.04

• Exxon Mobil

• BP

• ENI

• Shell

• Gaslog

• LR

• MOL

• Maersk

• Petronas

• ENI/ Technip

• Golar

• LOC

• China Navigation

• ASV Global

• Thales

• Peel Ports

• Liverpool Pilots

• Glasgow Pilots

• German Pilots (Kiel)

• Indonesia/ Training Schools

• IPC

• China Harbour Eng

• Sime Darby

• Halcrow

• ABP

• Aurecon

• AECOM

• Halcrow

• Vopak

• Vitol

• P&O (Australia)

• Royal Caribbean (US)

• Disney Cruises (US)

• Holland America Lines

• Princess Cruises (US)

• P&O Ferries

• UK MAIB

• US National Transportations SB

• Dutch Safety Board

• Australian Maritime Safety Board

• Swiss / Singapore / Belgium

Ports / TerminalsCommercial Shipping /

Floating Oil & Gas

Cruise & Ferry

Accident Investigation

Pilots & Nautical Schools

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Detailed Ship Simulation Example

Operational analysis of new concepts of operation enabled by autonomous systems.04

Simulating hypothetical encounters and collisions between manned and

unmanned vessels

Utilising Particle Swarm Optimisation (PSO) techniques as part of

COLREGS-cognizant algorithms.

This allows a number of features:

Test robustness of COLREGS cognisant AI software

Validate manoeuvring agility of proposed designs in congested shared

water-space

Simulating equipment failures in heavy weather

Explore emergency response procedures

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Detailed Ship Simulation Example

Operational analysis of new concepts of operation enabled by autonomous systems.04

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Conclusion

Agent Based Modelling to Ship Simulators a spectrum of Operational Analysis for novel autonomous systems05

New Innovative Projects Utilising Autonomous Systems

Creating entirely new operational concepts

Different Types of Simulation

From Agent Based Modelling to Full Ship Simulations

Reduce Risk and Operational/Maintenance Costs

By utilising effective simulation early on in the project

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www.BMT.org

Thank You For ListeningAny Questions?