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Federal AviationAdministration
1Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
1
Agenda
• Aviation Authorization Bill
• Economic issues and pressures
• Aviation forecasts
• NPIAS update
• Appropriation and authorization status
Federal AviationAdministration
2Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
2
History of FAA authorizing legislation
Airport and
Airway
Improve-
ment Act
1982
1987
Airport and
Airway
Safety and
Capacity
Expansion
Act
Aviation
Safety and
Capacity
Expansion
Act
1990
1992
Airport and
Airway Safety,
Capacity, Noise
Improvement
and Intermodal
Transportation
Act
Federal
Aviation
Reauth.
Act
1996
2000
AIR-21
Vision 100
2003
2007
Authorization
expired
9/30/2007(followed by a
series of short-
term extensions)
You are
here
2011
Federal AviationAdministration
3Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
3
Economic issues and pressures
• Economic environment
—Producers
—Consumers
—Taxpayers
—Investors
• Federal budget environment
• Airport and Airway Trust Fund (AATF) revenues
Federal AviationAdministration
4Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
4
Economic issues and pressures (cont’d)
• Stakeholder concerns:
—Airport owners and operators
—Traveling public
—Neighboring communities
—Airlines and aviation user groups
—State aeronautical agencies
—Consultant community
—Contracting community
—Elected and appointed officials (Federal, state and local)
—Underwriters, rating agencies and bond insurers
—Other units within the FAA (e.g., Air Traffic Organization, Runway
Safety Office, Flight Standards, Flight Procedures, Policy Office, etc.)
—Other Federal agencies (e.g., FHWA, TSA, EPA, USACOE, etc.)
—Federal oversight units (GAO, OIG, OMB)
Federal AviationAdministration
5Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
5
2011 Aerospace Forecast highlights
• Domestic enplanements on mainline and regional air carriers
increased from 630.8 million in 2009 to 635.3 million in 2010
(0.7%):
—Domestic mainline carrier enplanements dropped 0.7%
—Domestic regional carrier enplanements increased 5.0%.
• Total landings and takeoffs at FAA and contract towers were
down 3.2% from 2009:
—Air carrier activity decreased by 1.4%
—Commuter/air taxi activity decreased by 1.1%.
—General aviation activity decreased 5.1%.
Federal AviationAdministration
6Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
6
2011 Aerospace Forecast highlights (cont’d)
• Total mainline air carrier and regional enplanements forecast to
increase from 712.6 million in 2010 to 1.27 billion in 2031
(average annual rate of 2.8%).
• Domestic enplanements projected to increase 3.0% in 2011 and
then grow an average of 2.5% per year during the remaining
20-year forecast period.
• International enplanements forecast to increase 7.8% in 2011 and
then grow an average of 4.3% per year for the rest of the period.
• Total system enplanements are expected to reach one billion in
2021, and in 20 years (by 2031):
—560 million more passengers on U.S. airlines, doubling RPMs.
—35% more tower operations
—61% more aircraft handled
Federal AviationAdministration
7Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
7
2011 Aerospace Forecast highlights (cont’d)U.S. Commercial Air Carriers—System Enplanements by Fiscal Year
Federal AviationAdministration
8Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
8
2011 Aerospace Forecast highlights (cont’d)
• The industry will continue its recovery in 2011 driven by growing
demand for air travel as the economy strengthens.
• Recovery in demand is modest as high unemployment continues to
constrain consumer spending on all items, including air travel.
• Major risk factors:
—Higher and more volatile energy prices
—Slower economic growth
—Capacity constraints at congested airports
—Airline consolidation
—Concerns about climate change and environmental impacts
Federal AviationAdministration
9Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
Fluctuation is normal
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Total U.S. passenger enplanements, in millions, 1960-2010 (2010 estimated)
Northwest Mountain Region Conference
Seattle, Washington
April 2011
Federal AviationAdministration
10Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
10
NPIAS snapshot as of September 30, 2010
Airport Type
Number of
Airports
% of U.S.
Enplanements Examples
Large Hub (>1.0% of all enplanements) 29 68.0% O’Hare, Midway, Detroit,
and Minneapolis
Medium Hub (0.25 - 1.0% of all enplanements) 37 20.0% Cleveland Hopkins or
Columbus
Small Hub (0.05 - 0.25% of all enplanements) 72 8.0% Akron-Canton or Dayton
Non-Hub (>10,000 enplanements, but less than
0.05% of all enplanements)
244 3.0% South Bend
Non-Primary Commercial Service (>2,500 enplanements and scheduled service)
121 0.1% Toledo
Relievers (>100 based aircraft or 25,000 annual
itinerant operations—other criteria apply as well)
269 0.0% OSU or Rickenbacker
General Aviation 2,560 0.0% Springfield
Existing NPIAS airports = 3,332 99.1%
+ Low Activity Landing Areas 16,402 0.9%
= Grand Total 16,732
Federal AviationAdministration
11Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
11
NPIAS snapshot as of September 30, 2010 (cont’d)
• $52.2 billion of AIP-eligible infrastructure development for all
categories of airports over the next 5 years.
• This is an increase of 5% ($2.5 billion) over the last report issued
2 years ago.
Federal AviationAdministration
12Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
In $ millions, with rescissions reflected
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$0.0
$500.0
$1,000.0
$1,500.0
$2,000.0
$2,500.0
$3,000.0
$3,500.0
$4,000.0
Authorized 2,025 2,970 2,161 2,214 2,280 2,347 2,410 2,475 3,200 3,300 3,400 3,458 3,520 3,587 3,700 3,515 3,515 3,515
Appropriated 1,800 1,690 1,450 1,450 1,460 1,700 1,950 1,896 3,195 3,300 3,400 3,380 3,472 3,515 3,515 3,515 3,515 3,515
FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
AIP Authorization and Appropriation Levels
Historical Data Source: FAA, Office of Airport Planning and Programming (APP-520) records
Federal AviationAdministration
13Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
13
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
$0.0
$500.0
$1,000.0
$1,500.0
$2,000.0
$2,500.0
$3,000.0
$3,500.0
$4,000.0
Discretionary $1,100.00 $2,015.30
Nonprimary $338.60
State Apportionment $291.30
Cargo $93.50
Passenger $786.40
ARRA Regular AIP
Note: Total AIP Discretionary in FY-2008
included an unprecedented level of funds
(about $622 million) converted because
many sponsors elected to carry over their
Entitlements.
In $ millions for airport grants, compared to FY-2008 AIP
Federal AviationAdministration
14Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
Federal AviationAdministration
15Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
15
Phased projects can drive increased
mobilization costs
Increased costs means less
infrastructure built
Delayed bidding can erode
competitive bid environment
Problems with material suppliers and
subcontractors
More grants to administer
Impacts of repeated short-term extensions
Uncertainty about entitlements and
carryover
Impacts to bid cycles
Difficulty planning
FAA
Contracting
community
Consulting
community
Airport
sponsors
State
aeronautical
agenciesImpact Categories
Increased phasing
Protracted construction
More potential construction impacts
Northwest Mountain Region Conference
Seattle, Washington
April 2011
Federal AviationAdministration
16Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
16
Longer-term reauthorization status
Northwest Mountain Region Conference
Seattle, Washington
April 2011
Federal AviationAdministration
17Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
• Multiple audits currently underway by DOT Office of the Inspector
General (OIG), Government Accountability Office (GAO) and
others.
• Not limited to ARRA-funded projects.
• Focus on transparency, job reporting, compliance with all Federal
laws, audit and reporting compliance.
Increasing focus on accountability
Federal AviationAdministration
18Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
Increasing focus on accountability
Federal AviationAdministration
19Presentation to Alan Yamamoto (Office of Sen. Inouye)
January 14, 2011
Honolulu, Hawaii
MAASTO
Cincinnati, Ohio
July 2011
Increasing focus on accountability