After the Honeymoon? The Next Decade of South-South Development Cooperation Emma Mawdsley...

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After the Honeymoon? The Next Decade of South-South Development Cooperation Emma Mawdsley [email protected] Slide 2 2 Gillian Hart, 2009 One history of development Slide 3 Asian Tigers/NICs Bandung Conference Non-Aligned Movement Demand for a New International Economic Order (NIEO) South-South Development Cooperation Development history with the South as agent Slide 4 Slide 5 Asian Tigers/NICs Bandung Conference Non-Aligned Movement Demand for a New International Economic Order (NIEO) South-South Development Cooperation Global financial crisis; Eurozone crisis Emerging markets; rising powers; visible and expanding SSDC BRICS; G20; reform of the WB, IMF etc Paradigm shift with the South as (an) agent Slide 6 Busan, Korea, 2011 Slide 7 Slide 8 Where were the Southern development partners in 2000? Contributing approximately 5% global ODA Almost entirely invisible in academic debate, textbooks, development courses, media discussion, policy analysis Represented only as recipients in global development governance Slide 9 DAC: The Development Assistance Committee of the OECD (2000) 9 The (International Development) world in 2000 Slide 10 Slide 11 Slide 12 Early responses to the (re-)emerging rising powers as development partners Overwhelming focus on China Range of responses, but much highly sceptical, and some extremely critical E.g. Moises Naim (2007): toxic aid and rogue donors Expectations of socialising the non-DAC donors E.g. DAC outreach Slide 13 Slide 14 Slide 15 Slide 16 China is prowling the globe in search of energy sources (The Guardian, Nov. 2005) Slide 17 The rise of the South MATERIAL development financing IDEATIONAL development norms ONTOLOGICA L development identity Slide 18 18 Slide 19 1) Material: development means A rise in the absolute amount and relative share of ODA/ODA-like and broader development financing Slide 20 The global financial crisis and traditional donors http://devpolicy.org/end-of-the-aid-boom-the-impact-of-austerity-on-aid-budgets-and-implications-for-australia/ Slide 21 Slide 22 Punching above their weight Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and the relative price of Southern goods and services Slide 23 Punching above their weight Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and the relative price of Southern goods and services Particular importance in some sectors and places http://aiddata.org/blog/how- important-are-private-and-non-dac- sources-of-global-development- finance Slide 24 Punching above their weight PPP and relative price of Southern goods and services Particular importance in some sectors and places Much more substantial contributions to wider development financing Slide 25 http://eurodad.org/1543461/ Slide 26 http://idcr.cprindia.org/blog/lines-credit Indian Development Cooperation Research, Centre for Policy Research Indian Lines of Credit Slide 27 Punching above their weight PPP and relative price of Southern goods and services Particular importance in some sectors and places Much more substantial contributions to wider development financing Above all, offering choice in development financing for partner countries Slide 28 2) Ontological: development identities Kapoor (2008): national virility, donor identity Caring at a distance presumes: the construction of Northern actors as carers who are active and generous and of Southern actors as cared for, passive and grateful (Silk, 2004: 230). Slide 29 After Hurricane Katrina Sri Lanka offered aid to the US. Even though it was only a small amount of money, this symbolic act was important for Sri Lanka to regain dignity and to escape from the status of a pure recipient country, as a victim country. Now Sri Lanka had become a donor country. It also showed how Sri Lanka could feel compassionate to Westerners, being generous, within their capabilities, to the distant needy, but also able to rebalance the asymmetric relations that had developed after the tsunami, where Westerners were always donors and generous, and Asians were always recipients and forced to be grateful (Korf 2007: 370-1) 29 Slide 30 Slide 31 First Co-Chairs of the Global Partnership for Development Cooperation: Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Minister of Finance, Nigeria. Armida Alisjahbana, Minister of State for National Development Planning, Indonesia. Justine Greening, DFID, United Kindgom. Slide 32 Western donors Southern development cooperation partners CharityOpportunity Moral obligation to the unfortunate Solidarity with other Third World countries Expertise based on superior knowledge, institutions, science and technology Expertise based on direct experience of pursuing development in poor country circumstances Sympathy for different and distant Others Empathy based on a shared identity and experience The virtue of suspended obligation, a lack of reciprocation The virtue of mutual benefit and recognition of reciprocity Mawdsley 2012 Slide 33 3) Ideational: development norms Ability to set or lead the agenda in a particular field or realm Ability to ignore or resist dominant rules or expectations From norm/rule takers to norm/rule makers Slide 34 Paragraph 2 of the Busan Outcome Document (2011): The nature, modalities and responsibilities that apply to South-South cooperation differ from those that apply to NorthSouth cooperation. At the same time, we recognise that we are all part of a development agenda in which we participate on the basis of common goals and shared principles. In this context, we encourage increased efforts to support effective cooperation based on our specific country situations. The principles, commitments and actions agreed in the outcome document in Busan shall be the reference for SouthSouth partners on a voluntary basis. [emphasis added] Slide 35 3) Ideational: development norms From ODA to Other Official Finance (widening the construct of development finance), and blurring/blending of aid with other tools Slide 36 3) Ideational: development norms From ODA to Other Official Finance (widening the construct of development finance), and blurring/blending of aid with other tools From poverty reduction to (again) economic growth as the central analytic of development Slide 37 3) Ideational: development norms From ODA to Other Official Finance (widening the construct of development finance), and blurring/blending of aid with other tools From poverty reduction to (again) economic growth as the central analytic of development From social sector (health, gender, education) and soft wiring (good governance) to financialisation, infrastructure and productivity Slide 38 3) Ideational: development norms From ODA to Other Official Finance (widening the construct of development finance), and blurring/blending of aid with other tools From poverty reduction to (again) economic growth as the central analytic of development From social sector (health, gender, education) and soft wiring (good governance) to financialisation, infrastructure and productivity The direction of movement has been towards non-DAC modalities Slide 39 The last decade or so Ongoing concerns and criticisms, but overall Consolidation, expansion and growing capacity of South-South Development Cooperation partners Clear signs of approval (and sometimes preference) within partner countries Growing real and apparent respect from traditional donor community (e.g. rhetorics, partnerships) Changing international development ideas, institutions, and governance Slide 40 Slide 41 After the honeymoon..? New/growing/inherent/specific issues for SSDC: Domestic factors Financial risk Protest and resistance in partner countries Squaring non-interference with strategic imperatives and ground realities Changing identities and interests The North fights back Slide 42 1) Domestic factors Slide 43 Dilma and Lula Narendra Modi Park Geun-hye Slide 44 Even India has started giving Billions of dollars of aid to Afghanistan, Bangladesh, far away African countries yet we are accepting aid from western countries. Its a real puzzle. Will someone throw some light about this mystery? Satish, posted 5 Dec 2012, The Hindu, online Slide 45 http://www.eco nomist.com/new s/briefing/21582 257-most- dramatic-and- disruptive- period- emerging- market-growth- world-has-ever- seen Slide 46 2) Financial risks Fuelling unsustainable sovereign, public and private debt? Slide 47 2) Financial risks Fuelling unsustainable sovereign, commercial and private debt? Badly performing loans/defaults Slide 48 2) Financial risks Fuelling unsustainable sovereign, commercial and private debt? Badly performing loans/defaults Corruption http://www.economist.com/new s/middle-east-and- africa/21597896-presidents- decision-get-rid-central-bank- governor-bad-news-now Goodluck Jonathan firing Central Bank Governor, Lamido Sanusi Slide 49 3) Agency and resistance in partner countries May 2014: one Chinese worker killed and 10 others taken hostage in Cameroon by Boko Haram. Slide 50 It is nave to think that there is no danger of imperialism from the East. In world power politics the East has as much design on us as the West and would like us to serve their own interests. (Jomo Kenyatta, 1965, quoted in Larkin 1971, 138). Slide 51 4) Non-interference? Slide 52 5) Changing identities and interests Slide 53 For the emerging economies, G20 membership mainly challenges their previous understandings of their role as countries and representatives of the (poor) global South. Their economic and geopolitical interests which brought them into the G20 only converge with the [Lower Income Countries] to a limited extent. A genuinely new joint development agenda based on equality is therefore very unlikely to emerge within the G20 without more transparency in relation to these realities and without the demystification of SSC. Gleichmann (2010: 14-15) Slide 54 6) The North fights back Redefining ODA; expansion of development financing vehicles; more open credit and loans for domestic firms and consultancies; (stronger) turn to financial and productive sectors Mawdsley (in progress); Banks et al (in progress) Resistance to reform of global architecture and governance Vestergaard and Wade (2013) Coopting Southern partners Abdenur and Fonseca (2014) Slide 55 Looking back, looking forward MATERIAL development financing IDEATIONAL development norms ONTOLOGICA L development identity Slide 56 MATERIAL Can development grants and loans be sustained? IDEATIONAL Can traditional SSDC narrative and modalities be sustained? ONTOLOGICAL Can Southern identity claim be sustained? Slide 57 MATERIAL Can development grants and loans be sustained? IDEATIONAL Can traditional SSDC narrative and modalities be sustained? ONTOLOGICAL Can Southern identity claim be sustained? In whos interests? Will evolving SSDC contribute to just, progressive, equitable sustainable development ? Where and how does this align with/depart from different Southern and Northern development interests, agendas and practices?