Advancing Cross Line Office Execution: Achieving the Climate Goal Strategy

U N I T E D S T A T E S D E P A R T M E N T O F C O M M E R C E

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D

A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Advancing Cross Line Office Execution:

Achieving the Climate Goal Strategy

Presentation to the NOAA Science Advisory BoardClimate Working Group

Presenter: Dr. Robert DetrickOAR AA, Climate Goal Champion

June 30, 2012Washington, D.C.

N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

The Rising Demand forClimate Science and Services

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Recreation

Hydropower

Commerce

Farming

Coasts Ecosystems

Wind Energy Private Sector

July 30-31, 2012 – Climate Working Group Meeting


Climate Goal: An informed society anticipating and responding to climate and its impacts*•Improved scientific understanding of the changing climate system and its impacts•Assessments of current and future states of the climate system that identify potential impacts and inform science, service, and stewardship decisions•Mitigation and adaptation efforts supported by sustained, reliable, and timely climate services•A climate-literate public that understands its vulnerabilities to a changing climate and makes informed decisions

Societal Challenges– Climate Impacts on Water Resources– Coasts and Climate Resilience– Changes in the Extremes of Weather and Climate– Sustainability of Marine Ecosystems

Climate Goal Strategy

July 30-31, 2012 – Climate Working Group Meeting 3* As stated in NOAA’s NGSP

Information Delivery and Decision SupportNOAA uses its national and regional infrastructure to deliver climate services today

Assessments of Climate Change and Impacts NOAA is a leader in national and regional climate impact assessments Over 70% of Federal IPCC AR4 WG1 authors were from NOAA

Climate Change Research and ModelingInternational award winning models of the global climatePredictions and projections across climate timescales

Climate Observations and MonitoringNOAA operates over 90 observation and monitoring systemsNOAA is mandated to monitor and provide access to climate data and information

July 30-31, 2012 – Climate Working Group Meeting 4

Security

Forestry

Water

Health

Infrastructure

Oceans

Other

Energy

LandManagement

Global

NOAA provides critical assets in science & service to a Federal partnership

NOAA’s AssetsPartnerships & Collaboration

*Representative Organizations & Sectors

*

*


• NOAA’s strategy and goals remain relevant.• Multi line execution is required to achieve goals.• The Climate Service Line Office proposal was

developed to address organizational challenges for the Climate Goal.

• Proposal was never implemented, but organizational challenges still exist.

• Solutions for achieving NOAA’s climate strategy must work within existing organizational structures.

Background



• No Organizational Changes– NOAA will work within existing authorities and organizational structures to

advance the corporate strategy for the Climate Goal

• All NOAA AAs are engaged– Per the Strategy Execution & Evaluation (SEE) NOAA Administrative Order

(NAO), AA’s must coordinate with the Climate Goal Champion, and other appropriate Senior Executives, to execute NOAA’s climate strategy.

• AA Climate Goal Board – a forum to improve multi-line execution– An AA Climate Goal Board, chaired by the Climate Goal Champion, will help

the AAs carry out their responsibilities under the SEE NAO.

• Adaptive management– Regular review of frameworks, execution activities, and leadership to

promote maximum effectiveness

Advancing Cross Line Office Execution:Achieving the Climate Goal Strategy


Director of Planning CFO

Executing Programs

AOP

Director of Planning CFO

Executing Programs

AOP

DUS-O

Strategy Lead Budget Lead

Executing Programs

Planning Directors CFOs

Executing Programs

PPI AA

IP AOPs

Performance Plans

Coordinating Execution to Advance the Climate Goal within SEE

• Champions Lead via IPs, Execution Agreements

• Collaborating AAs and SO Directors Execute via AOPs

• DUS-O Enforces via SES Performance Plans

• Councils serve as forums for coordination and collaboration

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Executive Working Group

Executive Working Group

AA Climate Goal Board

(Chaired by Goal Champion)

Project LeadProject Lead

Execution AgreementsExecution

Agreements

Project PlanProject Plan

NOAACFO

Other LOAAs

Other LOAAs

Collaborating AAs and SO Directors


Champion


Societal Challenge:Climate Impacts on Water Resources

July 30-31, 2012 – Climate Working Group Meeting8

Demand for Water Resource Information• Will this drought intensify and when will it

end?• Should I expect more droughts in the future?• Will the precipitation patterns I have come to

know and rely on change in the future? • Will changes in snowpack impact tourism in

my area?• What is the impact on wild fire outlooks?• Does my community need to upgrade our

water storage and runoff systems?NOAA Products and Services• Monitor and Forecast Drought and Flood

Related Conditions• NIDIS Partnerships (Including Stakeholder

Engagement)• Conduct impacts (or risk) assessments,

develop decision tools and outlooks


Demand for Coastal Impacts Information• Will my home continue to be safe from

coastal inundation?• How will a changing environment/climate

impact community development?• Will tourism and economic development be

impacted by coastal change?• Will the frequency, track and intensity of

coastal storms change?

Societal Challenge:Coasts and Climate Resilience

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NOAA Products and Services• Coastal Inundation Modeling• Observations and Monitoring of Coastal Areas• Forecasting of Coastal Storms• Information for Adaptation Planning• NOAA sea-level standards have been adopted

by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers for civil works programs.



Societal Challenge:Changes in the Extremes of Weather and Climate

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Demand for Weather and Climate Extremes Information• Infrastructure Decisions:

• How much water should I expect at one time?• How dry could it get and for how long?• Public Health Decisions:

• Will heat waves become more frequent?• Pocket Book Decisions:

• How much insulation should I buy for my home?• What does my business need to know?

NOAA Products and Services• Data and Information Products (e.g., Precipitation

frequency estimates, BAMS State of the Climate report)

• Looking to the future (e.g., Seasonal forecasts; Dec-Cen models)

• Advancing Understanding: (e.g., atmospheric rivers and “Drought Busters”)



Societal Challenge:Sustainability of Marine Ecosystems

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Demand for Information on Marine Ecosystem Impacts• How are ocean physical and chemical conditions changing?• When will fish stocks be impacted? Can I catch more or less?

• How will protected species be impacted?• When will ocean acidification impact sea food industries?• What will the impact be on shipping and harbors?• What will the impact be on tourism and recreation?• What will the impact be on global food security?

NOAA Products and Services• Ocean observations: physical, chemical, biological• Impact assessments: productivity, species, users• Projections: climate, ocean , biological, social/economic• Explanations: why are things changing?• Climate-Ready resource management: • Fisheries, protected species, communities, economies



• NOAA has many tools for documenting execution agreements.– Implementation Plans – identify multi-year expectations and Level 1 requirements;

foundational document for developing more detailed agreements– Annual Operating Plans – current year commitments– Mid and End-year Execution Reviews – progress to plan– Formal Cross-Line execution agreements

• Service Level Agreements and Memorandums of Understanding• Funding transfers (NOAA Policy 06-P0001, signed in 2006)• Others TBD (e.g. CRADA – Cooperative Research And Development

Agreements)

• Project Leads will evaluate:– Most appropriate tool to use– Effectiveness of the tools– Need for additional tools

Execution Agreements



Project Leads and Executive Working Groups must demonstrate to the AA Climate Goal Board that they are:

– Considering external activities, and establishing NOAA’s role within a broader context

• Climate Change Adaptation Task Force• National Climate Assessment• USGCRP Strategic Plan and Priorities• National Academy of Sciences Risk Framework• NOAAs Grand Science Challenge Workshops and SAB• Etc... (other sources as relevant to the activity)

– Reviewing relevant existing user needs assessments; attempt to conduct additional needs assessments, if appropriate

External Engagement andUser Needs Assessments



• Integration of NOAA’s pieces– Past SAB CWG recommendations on integrating NOAA capabilities– How can NOAA best use the AA Climate Goal Board forum to support

NOAA’s mission for climate: science, service, and data stewardship?

• Prioritizing new investments based on time scales– Understanding of all climate time scales is important for society.– How should NOAA distribute its limited resources for this research?

• Observation and Monitoring– Observing infrastructure requires attention.– How does NOAA evaluate observing system priorities for climate?

• Societal Challenges– What key gaps in understanding need to be filled to advance products

and information services within the societal challenge areas?

Key Issues


Advancing Cross Line Office Execution: Achieving the Climate Goal Strategy

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