Climate Change & Environment

Advisory Team, TCOP

and

Climate Change Adaptation

Team, RSES

Discussion on Draft Report

Transport Forum

15 September 2014

Overview of publication

–Objectives

–Background and Process

–Section I: Climate Risk Management in ADB

–Section II: Experience with Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessment in Transport

–Section III: Experience and Opportunities

–Conclusion and next steps

Presentation outline

1. Take stock of experiences of integrating climate adaptation measures into transport investment projects

2. Identify opportunities to strengthen climate risk management in transport operations

Publication Objectives

• Jan 2013: Initiated by TCOP Climate Change & Environment Advisory Team (CC&E AT)

• May 2013: CC&E AT develop template for case studies and consult TCOP and RSES

• Oct 2013: CC&E AT held training workshop Maximising environmental benefits and climate proofing transport projects. Contents of publication agreed and discussed by CC&E AT and project officers contributing case studies

• Nov 2013 – Jan 2014: Preparation of case studies by TCOP

• January 2014: Overview of proposed publication presented at TCOP Annual Retreat.

• May 2014: RSES Consultant prepares draft, additional PARD case studies added

• July 2014: One on one consultations with project officers that contributed case studies

• 15 Aug 2014: Draft Publication sent to TCOP and Env COP for review

• 19 Aug 2014: Consultation meeting TCOP and Env COP Chairs and Co-Chairs

• 22 Aug 2014: Consultation meeting TCOP and Env COP

• Aug-Sept 2014: Reviews and finalising final draft publication

• 15 Sept 2014: External consultation and discussion on publication at Transport Forum

Publication

Background & Process

• Background on climate

change risks in Asia

Pacific

• ADB policy background,

from Strategy 2020,

through STI-OP to MTR

• Approaches to climate risk

management

Overview of Publication: Section I: Climate Risk Management

at ADB

Taken from RSES Guidance Memo on Climate Change Risk

Screening and Assessment of ADB Projects ,March 2014

Overview of Publication: Section II: Climate Risk and Vulnerability

Assessment Experience

Transport

Subsector

Region Case Studies

Main Roads

& Bridges

PARD PNG: Bridge Replacement for Improved Rural Access Project

CWRD UZB: CAREC Corridor 2 Road Investment Program

SARD Bhutan: SASEC Road Connectivity Project

SERD Viet Nam: Central Mekong Delta Region Connectivity Project

Remote Rural

Roads

EARD PRC: Inner Mongolia Road Development Project

SERD Cambodia Rural Roads Improvement Project

PARD Solomon Islands Road Improvement

PARD Timor Leste Road Network Development Sector Project

Urban SERD Viet Nam: Sustainable Urban Transport Project for Ho Chi Minh

City MRT Line 2

Waterways

and Ports

PARD COO: Avatiu Port Development Project

EARD PRC: Anhui Intermodal Sustainable Transport Project

Overview of Publication Section III: Experience and Opportunities

(A) Methods: Variety of methods being used to suit specific project needs.

Challenges: Inadequate data and capacity. Need for additional time and resources

Opportunity: Climate Projections Consortium

for Asia and the Pacific

(B) Climate Risks and Vulnerabilities Identified: Wide range - thawing of permafrost, increasing storm surges, flooding, landslides.

Challenge: Limited time and resources available within regular scope of project preparation Opportunity: • ADB Climate Change Fund to support assessments • But additional internal and external funding resources

needed to meet the incremental cost of adaptation

Overview of Publication Section III: Experience and Opportunities

(C) Analysis and Selection of Climate-Proofing Options: Many engineering and non engineering options were considered. 7 case studies climate proofed, 1 is climate ready, 3 no change. Adaptation costs range is 0.5% - 8.7% of total project cost . Only 1 project quantified benefits of climate-proofing. Challenges: Preference given to engineering options over non-engineering options. Limited role of economic analysis in adaptation Opportunity: • STAR review of 2012 and 2013 transport portfolio

– 2012: 12 out of 24 projects approved scored positively (>1) against climate resilience objective

– 2013: 15 out of 22 projects approved scored positively (>1) against climate resilience objective

• Consideration of economic benefits of climate proofing needed.

Overview of Publication Section III: Experience and Opportunities

• Experience to date shows that Climate Risk

and Vulnerability Assessment: – Can be undertaken within a reasonable timeframe

and limited resources – Provides more comprehensive understanding of

projected change impacts – A large menu of adaptation options are available –

engineered and non-engineered to increase climate resilience which may not require significant change

– Adaptation is not cost neutral but may not be excessive

Overview of Publication Key Messages

Conclusion and Next steps

• Transport sector is making progress in mainstreaming climate adaptation.

• There are significant capacity and resource challenges to overcome

• Feedback on draft report by 17 September. Final printed publication by October end.

Overview of Publication Conclusion