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A D A P T I N G TO C L I M A T E C H A N G EThresholds, Values, Governance

Edited by

W. NEIL ADGERUniversity of East Anglia

I R E N E L O R E N Z O N IUniversity of East AngliaK A R E N L . O'BRIEN

University of Oslo

C A M B R I D G EUNIVERSITY PRESS

BibliothekWasser und Umwelt(TU Darmstadt)

7/30/2019 Adapting to Climate Change Thresholds, Values, Governance

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Contents

List of contributors page viiiPreface xiii1 Adaptation now 1

W. Neil Adger, Irene Lorenzoni and Karen L. O 'BrienPart I Adapting to thresholds in physical and ecological systems 23

2 Ecological limits of adaptation to clima te change 25Garry Peterson

3 Adapting to the effects of clim ate change on wa ter supply reliability 42Nigel W. Arnell and Matthew B. Charlton

4 Protec ting London from tidal flooding: limits to engineeringadaptation 54Tim Reeder, Jon Wicks, Luke Lovell and Owen Tarrant

5 Clim ate prediction: a limit to adaptation? 64Suraje Dessai, Mike Hulme, Robert Lempert and Roger Pielke, Jr

6 Le arn ing to crawl: how to use seasonal climate forecasts tobuild adaptive capacity 79Anthony G. Patt

7 No rse Greenland settlement and limits to adaptation 96Andrew J. Dugmore, Christian Keller, Thomas H. McGovern,Andrew F.Casely and Konrad Smiarowski

8 Sea ice change in Arctic Can ada: are there limits to Inuit adaptation? 114James D. Ford

Part II The role of values and culture in adaptation 1299 Th e past, the presen t and some possible futures of adaptation 131

Ben O rlove10 Do values subjectively define the lim its to climate

change adaptation? 164Karen L. O'Brien

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vi Contents11 Concep tual and practical barriers to adaptation: vulnerability

and responses to heat waves in the UK 181Johanna Wolf, Irene Lorenzoni, Roger F ew, VanessaAbrahamson and Rosalind Raine

12 Values and cost-benefit analysis: economic efficiencycriteria in adaptation 197Alistair Hunt and Tim Taylor

13 Hidden costs and dispara te uncertain ties: trade-offsin approaches to climate policy 212Hallie Eakin, Em ma L. Tompkins, Donald R. Nelson andJohn M. Anderies

14 Com mun ity-based adaptation and culture in theory and practice 227Jonathan Ensor and Rachel B erger

15 Exploring the invisibility of local knowledge in decision-making :the Boscastle Ha rbour flood disaster 240Tori L. Jennings

16 Ad aptation and conflict within fisheries: insights for living withclimate change 255Sarah Coulthard

17 Exploring cultural dimensions of adaptation to climate change 269Thomas Heyd and Nick Brooks18 Ad apting to an unce rtain climate on the Great Plains: testinghypotheses on historical populations 283Roberta Balstad, Roly Russell, Vladimir Gill and Sabine Marx

19 Clim ate change and adaptive hum an migration: lessons fromrural North Am erica 296Robert McLeman

Part III Governance, knowledge and technologiesfor adaptation 31120 W hether our levers are long enough and the fulcrum strong?

Exploring the soft underbelly of adaptation decisionsand actions 313Susanne C. Moser

21 Decentralized planning and climate adaptation: towardtransparent governance 335Timothy J.Finan and Donald R. Nelson

22 Clim ate adap tation, local institutions and rura l livelihoods 350Arun Agrawal and Nicolas Perrin

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Contents vii23 Adap tive governance for a changing coastline : science, policy

and publics in search of a sustainable future 368Sophie N ichols on-Co le and Tim O'Riordan

24 Clim ate change, international cooperation and adaptation intransboun dary water managem ent 384Alena Drieschova, M ark G iordano andhay Fischhendler

25 Decentralization : a window of opportunity for successfuladaptation to climate change? 399Maria Brockhaus and Hermann Kambire

26 Adapting to climate change in Sami reindeer herding:the nation-state as problem and solution 417Erik S. Reinert, Iulie Aslaksen, Inger Marie G . Eira,Svein D. Mathiesen, H ugo Reinert and Ellen Inga Turi

27 Lim its to adaptation: analysing institutional constraints 433Tor Hakon Inderberg and P er Ove Eikeland

28 Accessing diversification, networks and traditional resourcemanagem ent as adaptations to climate extremes 448Marisa Goulden, Lars Otto Ncess, Katharine Vincentand W. Neil Adger

29 Governance limits to effective global financial supportfor adaptation 465Richard J.T. Klein and Annett Mb'hner

30 Organizational learning and governance in adaptationin urban development 476Marte Winsvold,Knut Bj0rn Stokke, Jan Erling Klausenand Inger-Lise Saglie

31 Conclusions: Transforming the world 491Donald R. Nelson

Index 501