Adapting to Cc in Madagascar

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    Adapting to Climate Change experiencesfrom WCS in Madagascar

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    WCS Marine Programs

    Belize

    Madagascar

    IndonesiaCongo

    Basin

    Coast

    New York

    KenyaPNG

    Fiji

    Argentina

    & Chile

    Beringia

    Nicaragua

    Bangladesh

    Terrestrial programs Marine Programs

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    5000 km coastline

    Highest coral reef area

    Highest coral diversity

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    Highest mangrove area

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    High dependence on marine

    resources:

    - 10 million inhab. nearcoast

    - 100,000 small scale fishers

    - 85% live on less $2/day

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    87% reef

    threatened(source: Reefs at Risk

    Revisited)

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    Frequency of future bleaching event in the 2050s

    (source: Reefs at Risk Revisited)

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    1 ASSESS VULNERABILITY How coral reef and reef dependant societies

    are being affected by, and what capacity theyhave to adapt to, climate change impacts ?

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    Vulnerability to Climate Change

    (Exposure, Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)

    The amount of climate change occurring at a particularplace

    (source: Maina et al. 2008)

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    Vulnerability to Climate Change

    (Exposure, Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)

    Degree of impact that a stressor has onsomething.

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    (source: Cinner et al. 2011)

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    (source: McClanahan et al. 2011)

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    Vulnerability to Climate Change

    (Exposure,Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)

    Reflects peoples ability to anticipate andrespond to changes and to minimize, cope withand recover from the consequences of changes

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    Calculating Adaptive Capacity Eight indicators

    Indicator name How measuredLocal knowledge Recognition of factors affecting fish and

    suggestions for intervention

    Response to fisheries

    decline

    Hypothetical response to a 50% decline

    Occupational mobility Whether they were forced out of prior

    employment and whether they prefer new

    occupation.

    Wealth Material style of life (PCA of housing

    materials and appliances in the household)

    Occupational multiplicity Total number of occupations per household

    Social capital Membership of community organizations'

    Technology Number of gears used by fishing households

    Infrastructure PCA of facilities available in the community:

    health posts and hospitals, schools etc.

    (source: McClanahan, Cinner et al. 2008)

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    Household adaptive capacity

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    2 DESIGN ADAPTION STRATEGIES

    (Exposure,Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)

    Marine spatial

    planningDecrease fishing

    communities

    dependence on

    reef resources

    Strengthencondition of reef

    and resources

    (decrease local

    threats)

    Build adaptive

    capacity

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    Marine spatial planning

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    Fish and coral data study sites

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    (source: McClanahan et al. 2011)

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    (source: McClanahan et al. 2011)

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    Donnes utilises:

    110 modles de

    distribution de Poissons,

    Mollusques,

    Crustaceae,

    Echinodermes

    Cartes des habitats

    (Mangroves, rcifs

    coralliens)

    Carte de Vulnrabilitdes rcifs (Maina & al,

    2008)

    Limite des AMPs

    existantes

    Logiciel de planification:ZONATION

    Rsultats de la priorisation dans la Zone

    Economique Exclusive de Madagascar

    [Novembre 2010]

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    2 DESIGN ADAPTION STRATEGIES

    (Exposure,Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)

    Marine spatial

    planningDecrease fishing

    communities

    dependence on

    reef resources

    Strengthencondition of reef

    and resources

    (decrease local

    threats)

    Build adaptive

    capacity

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    A i WCS 261 782

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    Appui WCS: 261,782

    hectares dAMP dont

    90% LMMA

    Analyse vulnrabilit

    lchelle de lAMP

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    Next:

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    Next:Temporary fisheryreservesRegional octopusseasonal fishing closure

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    Watershedmanagement

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    2 DESIGN ADAPTION STRATEGIES

    (Exposure,Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)

    Marine spatial

    planning

    Decrease fishing

    communities

    dependence on

    reef resources

    Strengthencondition of reef

    and resources

    (decrease local

    threats)

    Build adaptive

    capacity

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    Building adaptive

    capacity

    Strengthening community groups responsible for

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    Strengthening community groups responsible for

    managing resources (PCDDBA, LLMA committee etc.)

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    Training

    Ad ti t

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    Adaptive management

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    Merci