Adapting to Cc in Madagascar
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Transcript of Adapting to Cc in Madagascar
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Adapting to Climate Change experiencesfrom WCS in Madagascar
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WCS Marine Programs
Belize
Madagascar
IndonesiaCongo
Basin
Coast
New York
KenyaPNG
Fiji
Argentina
& Chile
Beringia
Nicaragua
Bangladesh
Terrestrial programs Marine Programs
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5000 km coastline
Highest coral reef area
Highest coral diversity
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Highest mangrove area
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High dependence on marine
resources:
- 10 million inhab. nearcoast
- 100,000 small scale fishers
- 85% live on less $2/day
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87% reef
threatened(source: Reefs at Risk
Revisited)
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Frequency of future bleaching event in the 2050s
(source: Reefs at Risk Revisited)
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1 ASSESS VULNERABILITY How coral reef and reef dependant societies
are being affected by, and what capacity theyhave to adapt to, climate change impacts ?
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Vulnerability to Climate Change
(Exposure, Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)
The amount of climate change occurring at a particularplace
(source: Maina et al. 2008)
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Vulnerability to Climate Change
(Exposure, Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)
Degree of impact that a stressor has onsomething.
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(source: Cinner et al. 2011)
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(source: McClanahan et al. 2011)
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Vulnerability to Climate Change
(Exposure,Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)
Reflects peoples ability to anticipate andrespond to changes and to minimize, cope withand recover from the consequences of changes
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Calculating Adaptive Capacity Eight indicators
Indicator name How measuredLocal knowledge Recognition of factors affecting fish and
suggestions for intervention
Response to fisheries
decline
Hypothetical response to a 50% decline
Occupational mobility Whether they were forced out of prior
employment and whether they prefer new
occupation.
Wealth Material style of life (PCA of housing
materials and appliances in the household)
Occupational multiplicity Total number of occupations per household
Social capital Membership of community organizations'
Technology Number of gears used by fishing households
Infrastructure PCA of facilities available in the community:
health posts and hospitals, schools etc.
(source: McClanahan, Cinner et al. 2008)
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Household adaptive capacity
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2 DESIGN ADAPTION STRATEGIES
(Exposure,Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)
Marine spatial
planningDecrease fishing
communities
dependence on
reef resources
Strengthencondition of reef
and resources
(decrease local
threats)
Build adaptive
capacity
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Marine spatial planning
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Fish and coral data study sites
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(source: McClanahan et al. 2011)
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(source: McClanahan et al. 2011)
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Donnes utilises:
110 modles de
distribution de Poissons,
Mollusques,
Crustaceae,
Echinodermes
Cartes des habitats
(Mangroves, rcifs
coralliens)
Carte de Vulnrabilitdes rcifs (Maina & al,
2008)
Limite des AMPs
existantes
Logiciel de planification:ZONATION
Rsultats de la priorisation dans la Zone
Economique Exclusive de Madagascar
[Novembre 2010]
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2 DESIGN ADAPTION STRATEGIES
(Exposure,Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)
Marine spatial
planningDecrease fishing
communities
dependence on
reef resources
Strengthencondition of reef
and resources
(decrease local
threats)
Build adaptive
capacity
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A i WCS 261 782
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Appui WCS: 261,782
hectares dAMP dont
90% LMMA
Analyse vulnrabilit
lchelle de lAMP
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Next:
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Next:Temporary fisheryreservesRegional octopusseasonal fishing closure
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Watershedmanagement
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2 DESIGN ADAPTION STRATEGIES
(Exposure,Sensitivity, Adaptive capacity)
Marine spatial
planning
Decrease fishing
communities
dependence on
reef resources
Strengthencondition of reef
and resources
(decrease local
threats)
Build adaptive
capacity
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Building adaptive
capacity
Strengthening community groups responsible for
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Strengthening community groups responsible for
managing resources (PCDDBA, LLMA committee etc.)
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Training
Ad ti t
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Adaptive management
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Merci