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Adaptation to climate change through renewable energy: factors affecting adoption of solar electricity in Western Australian households
GENEVIEVE SIMPSON, PHD CANDIDATE, UWA
The University of Western Australia
Outline
Adaptation vs Mitigation Motivations for installation
• Diffusion of Innovation• Geographic variability
Costs and benefits of PV in WA Social vs Environmental Justice Concluding remarks
The University of Western Australia
Solar PV – Adaptation vs Mitigation
Mitigation (Couture and Gagnon, 2010)• Reduced greenhouse gas emissions
Adaptation (Hess, 2013)
• Protect against increased tariffs• Prepare for increased demand• Self sufficiency?
Environmental and economic benefits Incentives and subsidies available!
The University of Western Australia
Motivation for installation
Why do people install systems? • What policies can assist uptake?• Are incentives required for uptake?
Literature:• Looks at willingness to install (Baskaran et al., 2013)• Difference between socioeconomics (Balcombe, 2013)• Looks at ‘decision time’ as opposed to reasoning
(Rai and Robinson, 2013)
How is my research different?
The University of Western Australia
Motivation for installation
Difference 1: Links ‘Diffusion of Innovation’
(Rogers, 2003)
The University of Western Australia
Motivation for installation
Differences in installers (Rogers, 2003)
Satisfaction issues:• kWh consumption ≠ kW capacity• Increase in tariffs = No decrease in bills• Feed-in vs consumption• Misallocated rebates
Early adopter Early majority
Reason for adopting Environmental / technological Economic
Income High disposable income Marginal disposable income
Source of information Self-educated Peer-to-peer
Role in adoption process Act as authority Further peer network
The University of Western Australia
Motivation for installation
Installation Rate
High Low
SEIFA
High Kingsley and Woodvale
(SEIFA – 10 Installation 25%)
City Beach
(SEIFA – 10 Installation 11%)
LowMaddington and Orange Grove
(SEIFA – 3 Installation 24%)
Alexander Heights, Girrawheen,
Koondoola, Marangaroo
(SEIFA – 3 Installation 18%)
Regional community for comparison: Carnarvon
SEIFA = Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas
Difference 2: Compares communities
Identify geographic trends
The University of Western Australia
Motivation for installation
Methodology – Mixed methods• Neighbourhoods with different installation and SEIFA selected• Isolate households with systems • Survey households (Dillman et al., 2009) • Questions to differentiate installers and determine reliance on rebates• Self-selection of interview subjects• Interview to elucidate reasons behind trends
The University of Western Australia
Motivation for installation
Results:• WA has ‘early majority’ installation?• Installations economically viable?• Likelihood of continued recommendation?• Need for continued subsidies?• Need for other policy e.g. education?• Difference between geographical regions?
The University of Western Australia
Domestic PV in WA
Positive environmental outcomes BUT negative social justice outcomes
Costs Benefits
Increase in tariffsReduced emissions
(Couture and Gagnon, 2010)
Inequitable distribution of network charges(Mercer, 2012)
Potential reduced wholesale electricity price(Tveten et al., 2013)
Potential increase in network charges(Kerr, 2013)
Potential decrease in network charges(Thornton and Monroy, 2011)
Potential increase in awareness
(Rai and Robinson, 2013)
The University of Western Australia
Social vs Environmental Justice
‘Socio-ecological dilemma’ (Earle and Siegrist, 2008) In energy literature:
• Related to generation siting (Gross, 2007)
• Related to availability of electricity (Moore, 2013) Self-interest in environmental decisions:
• Doubt that others will do the right thing• Personal commitment to do the right thing• Support for environment & community, no support for industry
(Syme et al.,1999)
The University of Western Australia
Social vs Environmental Justice
SocialJustice
EnviroBenefits
No su
ppor
t for
sol
ar
Tarif
fs = m
eans
teste
d
Subsid
ies
= lo
w inco
me
All sho
uld su
ppor
t sola
r
Larg
e-sc
ale
Small-sca
le
Subsid
ies fo
r eve
ryon
e
The University of Western Australia
Social vs Environmental Justice
Methodology – Mixed methods• Same neighbourhoods as for motivation• Mixed method survey for all households (Dillman et al., 2008)• Survey questions - binary choices based on social or environmental
preferences, beliefs (Faiers and Neame, 2006)• Self-selection of interview subjects• Interview to elucidate reasons behind trends
The University of Western Australia
Social vs Environmental Justice
Results:• Preference for social or environmental outcomes?• Link between belief in climate change and preference?• Domestic PV installers considered ‘community’ or ‘industry’?• Difference between geographic regions?
The University of Western Australia
Concluding remarks
Decisions are largely political:• Support environmental outcomes• Acknowledge ‘human vote’ risks
Widely known policies generate polar responses (Stokes, 2013)
Adaptation and mitigation strategies must strike a balance between:• Environmental benefits• Social justice outcomes
Research can inform least-risk policies for on-going renewable support
The University of Western Australia
Supervisors: Julian Clifton and Matthew Tonts
References: Balcombe, P., D. Rigby, and A. Azapagic. 2013. “Motivations and barriers associated with adopting microgeneration energy technologies in the UK.”
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 22: 655-66. Baskaran, R., S. Managi, and M. Bendig. 2013. “A public perspective on the adoption of microgeneration technologies in New Zealand: A multivariate
probit approach.” Energy Policy 58: 177-88. Couture, T. and Y. Gagnon. 2010. “An analysis of feed-in tariff remuneration models: Implications for renewable energy investment.” Energy Policy
38(2): 955-65. Dillman, D., J. Smyth, and L. Christian. 2009. Internet, Mail and Mixed-mode Surveys - The Tailored Desion Method - Third Edition. New Jersey: John
Wiley & Sons, Inc. Dillman, D., J. Smyth, L. Christian, and A. O’Neill. Year. “Will a mixed mode (mail/Internet) procedure work for random household surveys of the general
public.” In Annual conference of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), New Orleans, Louisiana Earle, T. C. and M. Siegrist. 2008. “On the Relation Between Trust and Fairness in Environmental Risk Management.” Risk Analysis 28(5): 1395-414. Faiers, A. and C. Neame. 2006. “Consumer attitudes towards domestic solar power systems.” Energy Policy 34(14): 1797-806. Gross, C. 2007. “Community perspectives of wind energy in Australia: The application of a justice and community fairness framework to increase social
acceptance.” Energy Policy 35(5): 2727-36. Hess, D. J. 2013. “Transitions in Energy Systems: The Mitigation–Adaptation Relationship.” Science as Culture 22(2): 197-203. Kerr, P. 2013. “Bill shock for WA businesses.” The West Australian. Published Online. Mercer, D. 2012. “Financial divide - Solar panel houses 'shirk dues'.” The West Australian. Published Online. Moore, S. 2013. “Envisioning the Social and Political Dynamics of Energy Transitions: Sustainable Energy for the Mediterranean Region.” Science as
Culture 22(2): 181-88. Rai, V. and S. A. Robinson. 2013. “Effective information channels for reducing costs of environmentally-friendly technologies: evidence from residential
PV markets.” Environmental Research Letters 8(1): Published Online. Rogers, E. M. 2003. Diffusion of innovations - Fifth Edition: Free Press. Stokes, L. C. 2013. “The politics of renewable energy policies: The case of feed-in tariffs in Ontario, Canada.” Energy Policy 56: 490-500. Syme, G. J., B. E. Nancarrow, and J. A. McCreddin. 1999. “Defining the components of fairness in the allocation of water to environmental and human
uses.” Journal of Environmental Management 57(1): 51-70. Thornton, A. and C. R. Monroy. 2011. “Distributed power generation in the United States.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 15(9): 4809-17. Tveten, Å. G., T. F. Bolkesjø, T. Martinsen, and H. Hvarnes. 2013. “Solar feed-in tariffs and the merit order effect: A study of the German electricity
market.” Energy Policy(In press).