Adaptation and Mitigation in Urban Areas

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    Adaptation and mitigation in urban areas: synergiesand conflicts

    D. McEvoy MSc, PhD, S. Lindley MSc, PhD and J. Handley OBE, MSc, PhD

    Following the introduction of the national Climate Change

    Programme, initiatives that seek to mitigate greenhouse

    gas (GHG) emissions are now well established in the UK.

    However, there is increasing recognition that adaptation

    to some level of climate change will be necessary, even if areduction in emissions is successful. This is inevitable as

    much of the predicted climate changes over the next

    3040 years have already been predetermined by past and

    present emissions of GHGs. Change is likely to be

    significant. Understanding what the risks are likely to be

    and how best to adapt to them is therefore central to any

    mature climate change strategy. However, the inevitable

    linkages between adaptation and mitigation measures

    represent a particular challenge. Focusing on the

    consequences of climate change for the urban

    environment (where most of the population is

    concentrated and where its impact is likely to be mostkeenly felt), this paper suggests preferred adaptation

    options and provides an evaluation of how these may act to

    reinforce or hamper mitigation efforts. For example,

    moves towards urban densification may contribute to the

    reduction of energy use, yet will have negative implications

    for adaptation. Having a better understanding of the

    synergies, conflicts and trade-offs between mitigation and

    adaptation measures would make a valuable contribution

    to a more integrated climate policy and the effective

    climate-proofing of our towns and cities.

    1. INTRODUCTION

    Mainstream concern about global warming and the influence of

    human activity on this phenomenon can be traced back to the

    1980s and is emphasised by the creation of the

    InterGovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an

    international attempt to consolidate the scientific community.

    The increasingly consensual view of the IPCC is that human

    activities are making a discernible contribution to changes in our

    climate. Initial responses concentrated on reducing the impacts

    of future climate change through mitigationthe reduction of

    greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from anthropogenic sources.

    Although mitigation continues to be the prime focus for policymakers (for example, the Kyoto Protocol came into force in

    2005), the mid to late 1990s witnessed a shift in emphasis, with

    the international scientific community becoming increasingly

    concerned about the risks associated with a changing climate and

    the need for nations and communities to adapt. For example, in a

    special report in 1997,1 the IPCC provided a regional assessment

    of likely vulnerability to the impacts of climate change,

    examining the degree to which human conditions and the naturalenvironment were vulnerable to potential change. Focusing on

    ecosystems, hydrology and water resources, food and fibre

    production, coastal systems, human settlements and human

    health, analyses were conducted in ten continental or sub-

    continental scale regions. The results revealed a wide variation in

    the vulnerability of different populations and environmental

    systems, with Europe likely to feel the worst effects, primarily in

    water-dependent activities such as agriculture. The report also

    raised concerns in relation to temperature increases and extreme

    events and suggested that additional analysis of current

    vulnerability to todays climate fluctuations and existing coping

    mechanisms is needed and will offer lessons for the design ofeffective options for adapting to potential future changes in

    climate.1 The core components of the climate change policy

    agenda are highlighted in Fig. 1.2 Summarising, the mitigation of

    emissions is an anthropogenic intervention to reduce the sources

    and enhance the sinks of GHGs; adaptation is the adjustment in

    natural or human systems to actual or expected climatic stimuli

    Climate change

    (including variability)

    Exposure

    Initial impact oreffects

    Autonomousadaptation

    Residual or netimpacts

    Impacts

    Vulnerabilities

    Policy

    responses

    Planned adaptation

    to the impacts and

    vulnerabilities

    Mitigation ofclimate change

    via GHG sourcesand sinks

    Humaninterference

    Fig. 1. The climate change agenda2

    Municipal Engineer 159 Issue ME4 Adaptation and mitigation in urban areas: synergies and conflicts McEvoy et al. 185

    Darryn McEvoyInternational Centre for Integrated

    Assessment and Sustainable

    Development (ICIS), University of

    Maastricht, the Netherlands

    Sarah LindleyCentre for Urban & Regional

    Ecology (CURE), University

    of Manchester, UK

    John HandleyCentre for Urban & Regional

    Ecology (CURE), University

    of Manchester, UK

    Proceedings of the Institution of

    Civil EngineersMunicipal Engineer 159December 2006 Issue ME4

    Pages 185191

    Paper 100005Received 06/07/2006

    Accepted 05/09/2006

    Keywords:environment/social impact/

    town & city planning

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    or their effects, which moderates harm or exploits beneficial

    opportunities.3

    Traditionally, climate change action has tended to be

    dichotomised between the two camps of mitigation and

    adaptation, with policy and research communities treating the

    two categories of response separately. In policy terms, the first

    UK climate change programme was launched in 1994 and revised

    in 2000. The revised programme placed a strong emphasis on

    stimulating a transformation towards a low carbon economy.4

    As a consequence, the reduction of GHG emissions was the

    primary focus of policy setting in the UK, with little consideration

    of adaptation objectives and minimal integration of specific

    issues and possible solutions. Initiatives that seek to mitigate

    GHG emissions are now fairly well established in the UK (for

    instance, the Energy Savings Trust and the Carbon Trust were set

    up by the UK Government to help improve residential and

    business energy efficiency, as well as to promote the development

    of alternative technologies). Interestingly, the traditional

    separation of the mitigation and adaptation agendas is further

    illustrated by the creation of the UK Climate Impacts Programme

    (UKCIP) in 1997an organisation quite distinct from thosedealing with mitigation measures. The UKCIP remit, as dictated

    by national Government, is to increase our understanding of the

    impacts of climate change and provide guidance on how best to

    respond. Built up over the past ten years, UKCIP now acts as a

    gatekeeper to a substantial knowledge base on impacts and

    adaptation in the UK.

    Attempts to link the climate change mitigation and air pollution

    agendas are even more embryonic.5,6 The need to take a more

    holistic view of the full range of impacts of different sectors is

    recognised but the difficulties in coordinating associated action

    are further reinforced by the involvement of a range of different

    bodies. In terms of air quality management, for example, the

    division at national Government level is often also mirrored at

    the local scale, providing a considerable barrier to truly holistic

    action at the scale of towns and cities.

    However, more recently the policy agenda has begun to recognise

    that even with mitigation efforts some degree of climate

    change is inevitable, with the change becoming much more

    significant in the second half of this century.7 As such it is now

    recognised that we need to be planning for adaptation, as well as

    continuing mitigation efforts. This is reflected in the 2006 UK

    Climate Change Programme, which includes a dedicated chapter

    on adaptation for the first time,8 as well as highlighting theurban-based research being carried out as part of the Building

    Knowledge for a Changing Climate (BKCC) research programme.9

    Elsewhere, the Nottingham Declaration on Climate Change,

    originally set up to promote mitigation activity, was relaunched

    in 2005 and now adopts a broader approach to the risks

    associated with climate change. At the supra-national scale,

    it is intended that adaptation will also feature more strongly

    in the second European Climate Change Programme (currently

    under consultation), and in research terms both mitigation and

    adaptation (and their trade-offs) are being considered as part of

    the ADAM project (http://www.adamproject.eu).

    Moves towards considering both types of response as part of

    a more coherent programme in both the UK and the EU represent

    an explicit acknowledgement by decision makers that both

    mitigation and adaptation are important in reducing the risks

    associated with climate changethat is, both limiting the adverse

    effects of change and adapting to what is unavoidable. For

    instance, the introduction to the UK programme states that in

    order to cope with the impacts of climate change we need to

    adaptthis action is complementary to our efforts to reduce

    emissions to avoid dangerous levels of climate change.8 This

    also suggests that the adaptation agenda is considered to have

    matured enough for linkages to be made explicit.

    Academic analysis has suggested that interest in a single climate

    policy option arises from the appeal of creating winwin

    solutions.10 However, others argue that mitigation and

    adaptation are, in effect, substitutes for each other and in some

    cases may actually compete for resources.11 Understanding the

    linkages, synergies and conflicts between adaptation and

    mitigation measures therefore represents a considerable

    challenge for decision makers. It is entirely plausible that

    (particularly within the built environment) the results of

    improving our understanding may actually reveal that, despite

    their attractiveness, truly winwin solutions may be few and far

    between, with trade-offs between conflicting goals morecommonplace. The following section provides an overview of

    some of the key interactions, synergies and differences between

    the two different approaches. Section 3 analyses in further detail

    what mitigation and adaptation actually mean in the context of

    the urban environment.

    2. INTERACTIONS, SYNERGIES AND DIFFERENCES

    BETWEEN MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION

    The contemporary notion of climate change implies something

    that is anthropogenically induced and occurring over a relatively

    short timescale. Since this speed of change is one of the reasons it

    presents a particular challenge, even a slowing of the rate of

    climate change could prove to be of substantial benefit to both

    human and wildlife communities. For humankind, it would

    influence the urgency and magnitude of adaptation necessary,

    and for the natural world around us it would improve the

    prospects for animals and plants to adapt to new climate

    conditions.12 As such, there is obvious interdependence between

    mitigation and adaptation in that they are both deliberate human

    responses aimed at reducing the overall risks associated with

    climate changemitigation seeks to reduce the drivers of

    climate-related hazards, while adaptation targets vulnerability

    and exposure to these hazards. In terms of the built environment

    (the people, buildings and other infrastructure associated withtowns and cities) this includes the sort of measures shown in

    Table 1.13 However, the design of integrated, and effective,

    climate policy is a significant challenge as long time frames,

    scientific uncertainty about impacts and about social and

    economic futures all conspire to test the abilities of existing

    decision-making processes.14

    A further common link between the two approaches is the

    capacity of a system to respond. For example, adaptive capacity

    can be simply defined as the ability of a system to adjust to

    climate change; it is thought to be determined by a range of

    factors including technological options, economic resources,human and social capital, and governance.11 Mitigation has

    similar determinantsin particular the availability and

    penetration of new technology (although technological solutions

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    have a role to play in both mitigation and adaptation, it should be

    recognised that soft engineering has a particularly important

    role in adapting cities to climate change (see Table 1)) and the

    willingness and capacity of society to change (information and

    awareness-raising can be useful tools to stimulate positive

    change and this has been recognised with the funding of a UK

    climate change communications initiative that aims to inspire

    collective climate action).

    In the built environment other linkages exist. For example, both

    mitigation and adaptation are driven (and influenced) by

    development pressures. Urban areas are centres of economicactivity, implying a concentration of high-energy intensity, and

    therefore a mitigation response is needed to reduce energy flows

    and the ecological footprint of our towns and cities.15 This

    ecological footprint inevitably includes aspects of a climate

    footprint associated with GHG emissions and the loss of carbon

    sinks through land cover change.16,17 On the other hand,

    adapting our cities to climate change is equally important if we

    are to ensure resilience to climate-related hazards such as

    flooding, heat stress and geohazards.13,18,19 (The research project

    Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change in the Urban

    Environment (ASCCUE), which is part of the wider BKCC research

    programme, examines adaptation response through strategicplanning and urban design (http://www.sed.manchester.ac.uk/

    research/cure/projects/current/asccue.htm).) It is also important

    that any response to climate change, whether mitigation or

    adaptation, is embedded within the wider context of sustainable

    development, contributing to a combination of economic,

    environmental and social wellbeing, as well as associated

    environmental protection and control in specific sectors.

    Although outside the scope of this paper, a move towards more

    joined-up thinking (in relation to the integration of climate

    change and sustainable development approaches, concepts and

    language) poses a significant challenge.

    Although there are discernible synergies between the two

    responses, the challenge is that mitigation and adaptation are

    very different in what they mean and how they work.20 First,

    there is an obvious mismatch in terms of scale, both spatially and

    temporally. Mitigation efforts are typically driven by national

    initiatives operating within the context of international

    obligations (the slogan Think Global, Act Local picks up on this),

    whereas adaptation to climate change and variability tends to be

    much more local in nature, often in the realm of local/regional

    economies and land managers.21 As well as the spatial element,

    there are also differences in the timing of effects. As GHGs

    have long residence periods in the atmosphere, the results of

    mitigation action will only be seen in the longer term.

    Adaptation, on the other hand, has a stronger element of

    immediacy.

    This disconnection in space and time can make it difficult for

    people to link the consequences of their activity with

    long-term environmental consequences. It also raises the

    question of environmental equitythat is, who are the likely

    beneficiaries of the different types of response? Mitigation,

    being an action targeted at the longer term, attaches value to

    the interests of future generations and as such can be

    considered an altruistic response by society. That said, greater

    integration with air pollution control and management might

    help overcome some of these issues given the relatively clear

    links in time and space between air pollutant emissions andpoor air quality. Conversely, the impacts of climate change are

    felt more immediately by society (e.g. weather extremes

    causing flooding or heat waves, such as the 2003 event that

    killed tens of thousands of people across Europe22) and

    adaptation is typically viewed as everyday self-interest. In the

    case of longer-term engineering (or re-engineering) of the built

    environment this distinction may not be quite as clear, but it is

    nevertheless more tangible and demonstrable than may be the

    case for purely mitigation measures.

    This inevitably leads to a consideration of trade-offs, in particular

    who pays and who benefits

    20

    and whether there is a willingnessto invest if the benefits of climate change response are perceived

    to be private.14 It is also important to note discrepancies in that

    those responsible for the majority of emissions (i.e. developed

    Possible climate impacts Impact on built environment Example adaptation measures

    Example links to mitigation (reducing theclimate footprint of adaptationmeasures)

    Drier summers withreduced soil moisturecontent and wetterwinters

    Subsidence, flooding Reduce exposure of vulnerableplaces by hard and softengineeringReduce vulnerability of buildingmaterialsAvoid at risk locations

    Consider whole life cycle of emissions ofhard and soft engineering projects,including air pollution emissions6

    Consideration of need to travel whensiting new development

    A larger proportion ofextremely hot v. extremelycold days

    Reduced heating demand offsetby increased cooling demands

    Provide enhanced coolingwithout loss of efficiency ofwinter heating systems

    Heating and cooling to rely on renewablesources

    Adaptation to target vulnerableelements at risk

    Consideration of negative impacts of air-conditioning

    Warmer and driersummers

    Greater requirement foroutdoor living and access tourban open space

    Reduce exposure and providecooling through green and blueinfrastructure

    Consider whole lifecycle of emissionsUse trees as additional carbon sinks

    More extreme events Damage to building fabric Greater resilience of buildingsand infrastructureUse of different materials

    Decentralised energy infrastructureConsideration of the embodied energyof materials used

    More frequent droughts Water shortages Storage and recycling of water Possible implications for biofuels, etc.

    Table 1. A summary of some key climate change impacts and mitigation/adaptation responses13

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    countries) also have the highest adaptive capacity, while the

    poorest countries, producing the lowest emissions, are most

    vulnerable to the impacts of a changing climate and this has an

    influence on the urgency that is attached to any mitigation

    response. This also holds true within national territories, with

    uninsured, unaware and relatively immobile populations living

    in poorer-quality accommodation often being hardest hit. In

    reality, those most vulnerable to climate change are those already

    at a socio-economic disadvantage in society.

    Another important difference between the approaches relates to

    those involved. Not only are decisions taken in different policy

    domains, but different stakeholder communities are also

    involved. Mitigation policy is primarily focused on

    decarbonisation and involves interaction with the large

    emitting sectors such as energy and transport. The limited

    number of key personnel and their experience of dealing with

    long-term investment decisions mean that the mitigation agenda

    is more sharply defined. In contrast, those involved in the

    adaptation agenda come from a wide variety of sectors that are

    sensitive to the impacts of climate change and operate at a range

    of spatial scales from national planning authorities down toindividual building owners. As a result, the implementation of

    adaptation measures is likely to encounter greater institutional

    complexity.10

    3. MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION IN THE BUILT

    ENVIRONMENT

    When concentrating on the consequences of climate change for

    our towns and cities, it is useful to clarify what each response

    entails in relation to the built environment. For instance,

    mitigation (in terms of decarbonisation) relies on two main

    responses: reducing the amount of energy required by end-users

    (e.g. by improving energy efficiency) and reducing the carbon

    intensity of the energy actually supplied (e.g. by increased use of

    alternative fuels, particularly renewables). For adaptation of the

    built environment, the main climate-related hazards of concern

    in the UK (as indicated in Table 1) are increased temperatures,

    changing precipitation patterns (more rainfall in winter; less in

    summer) and an increase in the frequency of extreme events, with

    the possibility of more storm events. Adaptation will thus be

    primarily concerned with changes in processes, practices, or

    structures to moderate damage or realise opportunities, as well as

    adjustments to reduce the vulnerability of communities, regions

    or activities.23

    In terms of mitigation policymaking, improving energy efficiency

    is typically targeted at end-use residential, commercial, industrial

    and transport sectors. However, a more comprehensive scientific

    analysis of the urban environment emphasises the city as a

    complex system that is subject to continuous processes of

    development and change, with energy, natural resources and

    resultant waste treated as either flows or chains.15,24,25 The

    metabolism of the urban system and its resultant emissions is

    strongly influenced by the urban formthat is, its spatial

    organisation.26 The greater the density of development, the less

    the need for travel and the greater the viability of large-scale

    efficiency initiatives such as community heating systems.Consequently, the advocacy of high-density mixed-use

    settlement (commonly known as the compact city) has

    increasingly been translated into land-use policy in England and

    the rest of Europe.27 In the UK the promotion of higher-density

    developments, includingthe useof brownfieldsites, wasone of the

    keythemes of theinfluential Lord Rogersreport Towards an Urban

    Renaissancepublished in 1999.28 However, although

    consolidation is central to the urban renaissance agenda and can

    act to reduce energy demand and transport emissions, it can also

    be in sharp conflict with adaptation measures as well as wider

    sustainable development objectives (particularly social

    dimensions, e.g. ensuring access to natural greenspace for all

    urban dwellers). As such, strategic planning has a pivotal role to

    play in ensuring that any new development, restructuring or

    retrofitting of our towns andcities is adequately climate-proofed

    and contributes to truly sustainable development.19

    Increasing the built mass of urban areas conflicts with the

    adaptation agenda in two main ways: it not only acts to intensify

    the urban heat island effect,29,30 but densification and the issue of

    urban creep can also pose problems for urban drainage.31

    Adapting our cities to a future climate would therefore benefit

    from greater consideration of ecological principles, in particular

    the use of green and blue spaces to produce cooling, provide

    storage and enable infiltration.19,32,33

    From recent experience,however, it is evident that greenspace is often the loser in urban

    development processes, and it is clear that a more balanced

    approach to densification is neededfor example, some land

    classified as brownfield may actually have useful multi-

    functional attributes.32 Furthermore, cities poorly designed for

    the predicted hotter summers of the future are likely to become

    uncomfortably hot, leading to increased use of air-conditioning

    and a consequent reinforcement of climate change.34 There may

    also be indirect effects as a result of people escaping

    uncomfortable city conditions by travelling to more comfortable

    locations, inevitably leading to increased car emissions.

    The interactions between climate-related hazards and the

    elements at risk (exposure units/receptors) in our towns and cities

    are complex and subject to numerous and complicated feedback

    processes.35 This is also true for interactions between different

    exposure units (see Fig. 2). Although not the primary driver,

    changes to our climate will interact with urbanisation processes

    (such as densification) to amplify the impact on the built

    environment; for instance riverine flooding may combine with

    flooding from overwhelmed storm drains and sewers to heighten

    the seriousness of urban flooding.36 In this regard, greenspace

    (with the incorporation of sustainable urban drainage

    measures37,38) has an important role to play. Ideally, new

    development should consider the storage and infiltration ofrainwater, with particular emphasis on retaining the most

    permeable areas.33 In reality, issues such as the paving over of

    gardens in suburban areas are emerging problems that are

    contributing to a greater risk from flood events in the future.19,39

    As well as addressing the form of urban areas, adaptation

    measures are also applicable at other spatial scales, including

    neighbourhood and even individual building scales (see Fig. 3).

    A range of climate-related factors can compromise the integrity

    of buildings (and other infrastructure) in the UK, with the most

    critical identified as flooding, wind and driving rain, subsidence

    and soil movement.

    29

    Adapting to these potential hazards willinvolve consideration of the location and layout of development,

    landscape architecture, building design, appropriate use of

    materials and provision of outdoor spaces.18,40

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    The location and layout of a new development is particularly

    important in minimising flood risk, with the vulnerability of

    a building to flooding partly a function of its design and

    the materials used, as well as being crucially dependent on theheight of the floodwater in relation to the floor level of the

    structure.41 The layout of a development can also be an

    important influence in reducing the urban heat island effect.40

    Adaptation of the built environment should ideally seek to

    simultaneously address the resilience of the building fabric to a

    changing climate, with the incorporation of energy-saving

    measures (and renewable technologies) where possible. Explicit

    consideration of where winwin (or at least low-regret)

    solutions exist, combined with the identification of examples

    of maladaptation, would be of considerable benefit to best

    practice guidelines. This knowledge could then be used to

    improve the sustainability of our buildings and otherinfrastructure through legislation and guidance, while

    simultaneously contributing to the mitigation agenda. Regional

    spatial strategies, local development frameworks, building

    regulations and the code for

    sustainable homes are all

    potential policy tools for

    achieving this.

    Reducing the carbon intensity

    of energy supply is the second

    important strand of the

    mitigation armoury.

    Traditionally, the energy

    infrastructure in the UK has

    been a centralised system with

    large power stations

    generating electricity that is

    distributed to end-users

    through a national grid. These

    power stations, with their

    requirement for large amounts

    of water for cooling purposes, are often located near water

    sources and as such are at risk from sea level rise and flooding

    under changing climatic conditions. In urban areas and their

    hinterlands, power lines may also be increasingly at risk fromother climate change impacts such as storms and geohazards

    that is, where this infrastructure is exposed to hazards beyond the

    severity anticipated by the initial design capacities. A further

    threat relates to anticipated future loadings that inevitably link

    not only to climatic change but also to socio-economic change

    (GENESIS is another BKCC research project, which is analysing

    the impact of climate change on the electricity supply industry

    (http://esi.eerc.bris.ac.uk/)). This applies equally to other urban

    infrastructure, for example the transport network.

    Conversely, the promotion of renewables tends to favour

    decentralisation of energy supply and there is obvious resonance

    between this form of mitigation and adapting to climate change

    (particularly in relation to security of supply issues). That said,

    although there is a policy goal to increase the percentage of

    renewable supply, it is not clear how the different technologies

    will perform under changed conditions. For instance, increased

    storminess may have operational implications for technologies

    such as wind turbines. Furthermore, biomass is currently being

    promoted as an alternative fuel source within the UK, but it is

    unclear whether this will remain a viable option in times of water

    scarcity and whether this activity is associated with land-use

    change and emissions characteristics that may have negative

    impacts in other areas. The operation and effectiveness of

    renewable options under changed climatic conditions and theirpossible conflicts with adaptation (for instance, in terms of land

    use) are topics that are currently under-researched.

    4. CONCLUSIONS

    Although climate change may bring some opportunities to urban

    areas in the UK, this paper has illustrated that the challenges are

    likely to be considerable. Heat extremes, geohazards, storms, and

    coastal and riverine flooding are four key issues likely to be faced

    in the future. Due to the complexity of the climate change issue, it

    has been argued that planned responses to these hazards need to

    be holistic and act at a variety of spatial scales. Of particularimportance is strategic urban planning, which has a critical role

    to play in climate-proofing our towns and cities, primarily

    through guiding development to suitable locations and ensuring

    Regional level:

    Levels of study

    socio-economic trends, etc.

    Conurbation level:

    open space system:

    compostion and spatial pattern

    Neighbourhood level:

    interaction of exposure units

    openbuilthumanMainlevelsofinvestig

    ation

    Site level:

    open space mechanics:

    structural and functional

    attributes

    ?

    ?

    Fig. 3. Levels of investigation: adaptation in the urbanenvironment (from the ASCCUE project)

    Long spell of

    hot summer

    weather

    Greenspace

    condition

    Soil moisture

    deficit

    develops

    Air

    quality

    Heat island

    intensifies

    Human

    comfort

    Soil

    shrinkage

    Shading and

    evaporative

    cooling

    Building

    integrity

    Evapo-

    transpiration

    by greenspace

    +

    +

    ++

    +

    + +

    Fig. 2. Conceptual model demonstrating possible interactions between urban greenspace, buildingintegrity and human comfort35

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    that urban drainage and heat issues are adequately addressed. In

    particular, soft engineering solutions such as the promotion of

    green and blue infrastructure are considered valuable responses,

    helping to moderate the impacts of climate change by cooling

    urban areas as well as providing storage and infiltration capacity.

    On the face of it, the most notable winwin example is that of

    urban forestry. Not only do trees play an important adaptation

    role but they also act as sequesters of carbon. However, even this

    is not a straightforward solution, since some species of trees are

    actually associated with the emissions of ozone precursors.6

    Further research is therefore required to understand the full

    implications of any planned developments and to ensure that any

    remaining negative consequences are minimised. There is also

    the potential to develop regional parks near to urban areas. These

    would not only provide an important adaptation alternative for

    urban inhabitants escaping the heat of our cities, but would also

    be capable of hiding substantial recreational activity and

    reducing visitor demand on more vulnerable landscapes.21

    For many high-density towns and cities in the UK it is likely that

    retrofitting and other innovative initiatives (such as the use ofgreen roofs that can reduce energy requirements as well as

    performing adaptation functions) may be required. However,

    there are also significant opportunities for the uptake of

    adaptation measures associated with major programmes of urban

    restructuring and regeneration. It is vital that these new

    developments adopt climate conscious planning and design

    criteria if problems are to be avoided in future years. At this

    strategic level, it is argued that the relationship between

    adaptation and mitigation is predominantly one of trade-offs. As

    discussed previously, higher densities favour mitigation by

    reducing the need to travel and contributing to improvements in

    energy efficiency. However, it is important that a balance is

    struck between these mitigation attributes and the need to retain

    and promote land uses that moderate adverse climate change

    impacts.

    Evidence indicates that climate change risks will be location-

    specific and dependent on the type of hazard faced. For

    instance, research has shown that the type and severity of

    impact on the urban environment varies according to

    neighbourhood type, for example city centre, restructuring,

    densifying suburbs, new build.19 As such, adaptation strategies

    will need to be evidence-based where possible, and it is at this

    local scale where the greatest synergies between mitigation and

    adaptation exist. The interaction is most obvious in terms ofurban design. Building height, layout and spacing, building

    material and albedo, shading, ventilation and air-conditioning

    all influence energy requirements (and hence emissions). These

    factors are also important considerations for the adaptation

    agenda, and synergies should be exploited wherever possible.

    In addition, less traffic and low-energy buildings will also help

    to reduce waste heat from anthropogenic sources within the

    urban environment, thus helping to minimise the effect of the

    urban heat island.

    This paper has scoped out the synergies and conflicts that exist

    between mitigation and adaptation agendas, with more detailedanalysis of the implications for the built environment. Although

    this is a research area very much in its infancy, this knowledge is

    important for those responsible for the planning, design and

    maintenance of our towns and cities. Improving our

    understanding of this area may actually reveal that truly

    winwin solutions are rare and trade-offs between conflicting

    goals are more commonplace (particularly at the conurbation

    scale). Place-based integrated assessments appear to hold

    greatest potential for exploiting any synergies that do exist, with

    an effective planning system and innovative urban design crucial

    for combining mitigation and adaptation measures and hence

    promoting more effective climate-proofing of the urbanenvironment.

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

    Reference to adaptation in the urban environment has been

    drawn from research conducted for the ASCCUE project, funded

    by EPSRC/UKCIP (proposal number GR/S19233/01).

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