Acumen Magazine August 2013

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    ACUMEN 67

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    ACUMEN 67

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    Editors Note

    While foreign investment continues to trickle into Myanmar, the narrative of this

    countrys unbridled progress both politically and economically has come into

    further question over the past month. To be fair, some truly significant events haveoccurred recently that point to a level of progress that even the most hard-nosed

    naysayers would have deemed impossible even one year ago. The World Economic

    Forum, held in Naypyidaw in early June, served as a coming out party of sorts for

    Thein Seins reformist agenda, and provided a frank forum to discuss Myanmars

    political and economic future in the company of the worlds business elite. The

    issuing of two telecom operator licences on June 27 likewise showed that Myanmars

    government is capable of conducting high-level business in a transparent manner,

    and the gains Myanmars people should see from improved connectivity will invariably

    be profound.

    But problems remain. Sectarian tensions show no sign of abating, and there are

    precious few signals on display that the government has any intention of doing

    anything substantive to promote deep and lasting national reconciliation. A new

    press law ratified by the lower house of Parliament threatens to undo many aspects

    of the newfound press freedom enjoyed by Myanmars burgeoning media. And foreign

    investment to date has been less than the government might have hoped it would be,

    owing to investors fears that this country still has a long way to go before investments

    can be considered safe in any way.

    This issue ofACUMEN looks at these issues in-depth from many different angles.

    Our cover story takes a close-up look at the social impact of the two Chinese-funded

    pipelines originating on the Rakhine coast, which despite the obvious financial

    benefits to the government that it will bring about will do little to benefit the people

    directly affected by their development. We look at the pernicious problem of land

    speculation one of the biggest factors limiting foreign investment from coming to

    Myanmar and discuss the state of Myanmars anaemic capital markets with financial

    expert Aung Thura, whose work revolves around demystifying Myanmars confusingand contradictory financial environment.

    As ever in Myanmar, it is difficult to say with any certainty what changes the

    next month will bring, for better or for worse, but ACUMEN remains committed to

    documenting and analysing these developments as Myanmar continues to undergo

    profound and rapid change. A

    CEO / Chief EditorDr. Htet Zan Linn

    DirectorDr. Hein Thu Aung, Tin Tun Kyaw

    Executive EditorPhyo Wai

    Editor English EditionAlex Bookbinder

    EditorsHein Zaw, Khin Win, Su Le`Nandar

    ContributorsMyitmakha, Naing Thit, Isaac Malone

    DesignersAung Aung (AN Computer), Thaw Tar Oo

    Computer OperatorZin Wai Wai Shein

    Marketing DepartmentJanuary Khine Mon, Naw Keziah, Yadanar,

    Nan Mo, May Hsu Mo Mo

    PhotographersAung Kyaw Moe (New Image), Myitmakha,

    Alex Bookbinder, Hein Zaw

    Publisher and CopyrightDr. Htet Zan Linn

    Printer

    Editorial Board

    ACUMEN

    [email protected]

    [email protected], [email protected],

    [email protected], [email protected],

    AdvisorsAdvisorsAdvisorsAdvisorsAdvisorsProf. Dr. Aung Tun ThetProf. Dr. Aung Tun ThetProf. Dr. Aung Tun ThetProf. Dr. Aung Tun ThetProf. Dr. Aung Tun Thet (Senior Advisor, UN Resident Coordinator's Office)

    Dr. Maung Mg TheinDr. Maung Mg TheinDr. Maung Mg TheinDr. Maung Mg TheinDr. Maung Mg Thein (Ph.D. (Law), LL.M., LL.B., B.A.(Law), ANZIIF (Australia), Pg. Dip in Applied Psychology)

    Prof. Maw ThanProf. Maw ThanProf. Maw ThanProf. Maw ThanProf. Maw Than (Rector (Ret), Yangon Institute of Economics Yangon)

    Soe Tint AungSoe Tint AungSoe Tint AungSoe Tint AungSoe Tint Aung (Special Consultant for Advocacy, PSI Myanmar)

    Dr. Tun LwinDr. Tun LwinDr. Tun LwinDr. Tun LwinDr. Tun Lwin (Consultant, Myanmar Climate Change Watch,Tun Lwin Foundation)

    Than LwinThan LwinThan LwinThan LwinThan Lwin (Deputy Governer (Ret), Central Bank of Myanmar)

    Tin Zan KyawTin Zan KyawTin Zan KyawTin Zan KyawTin Zan Kyaw (Principal, Device Business Management Academy)

    Grace Swe Zin HtaikGrace Swe Zin HtaikGrace Swe Zin HtaikGrace Swe Zin HtaikGrace Swe Zin Htaik (Media Advocacy Advisor, PSI Myanmar)

    OfficeNo. 24/26, 4B-C, Race Course Condo, South Race Course Street, TAMWE TOWNSHIP, YANGON

    Tel : (+959) 420033355~66~ 77 (Hot Line), (+959) 73045140, 49317457, 73143313, (+951) 8603886, 8603887

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    ACUMEN 67

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    Cover Story

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    ACUMEN 15ACUMEN 15

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    ACUMEN 17

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    How is electricity so expensive for us?

    asked a Kyaukphyu resident who refused

    to give his name. Of course, there are a

    few people who can afford to pay these

    outrageous sums, but most of us live inpoverty when we should be enjoying the

    prosperity created by natural resources.

    Ko Arakan is incensed by the injustice.

    People in Yangon Region pay just 25

    kyats per kilowatt-hour for electricity, he

    explained. Its absurd that we have to

    pay so much. Nobody around here has

    access to electricity, even though so much

    natural gas is being extracted offshore.

    Its all being sold abroad.

    Kyaukphyu is a crucial node in

    Chinas new energy strategy. Beijing has

    invested billions of dollars to construct twin

    pipelines from Kyaukphyu all the way to

    Yunnan Province in Chinas southwest,

    carrying natural gas from the Bay of

    Bengal and crude oil extracted further

    afield. Strategic planners in Beijing have

    come to view Myanmar as Chinas

    California a western conduit to the

    Indian Ocean. As roughly 40% of Chinas

    oil comes from the west from Africa and

    the Middle East the trans-Myanmar

    pipeline was constructed to allow oil

    shipments to bypass the notoriouslyinsecure Straits of Malacca and provide

    the countrys relatively less-developed

    west with a readily accessible source of

    fuel oil.

    CNPC (China National Petroleum

    Corporation), the Chinese state-run firm

    behind the pipeline project, started

    construction on the pipeline project in

    2009. The firm has already constructed

    storage facilities with the capacity to hold

    300,000 barrels of crude, and has

    constructed six natural gas processing

    stations around Kyaukphyu. These stations

    will allow some 12 billion cubic metres of

    natural gas per year to be transported

    800 or so kilometres between the Rakhine

    coast and Kunming, Yunnans largest city.

    The crude pipeline, which runs parallel

    to the natural gas pipeline, is anticipated

    to carry 22 million metric tons of oil

    There are a few

    people who canafford to pay these

    outrageous sums,

    but most of us live

    in poverty when

    we should be

    enjoying theprosperity created

    by natural

    resources.

    Cover Story

    The path of the twin pipelinesacross Myanmar, which termi-

    nate deep inside ChinasYunnan Province.

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    ACUMEN 19

    annually an estimated 7% of Chinas

    current annual demand. Both pipelines

    are set to come online in mid-2013,

    according to official sources at CNPCs local

    subsidiary, the Southeast Asia Pipeline

    Company.

    Daewoo, a major partner in

    developing the gas fields off the coast of

    Rakhine, claims that natural gas

    exploitation will provide Myanmar with

    US$1.5 billion per year. But locals worry

    that they may never see any benefits from

    the project.We hope well have regular,

    affordable electricity and that the pipelines

    will provide us with employment, said

    Ko Than Win, who lives near the mouth

    of the pipelines.

    But despite the windfall generated by

    the pipeline development, locals have

    largely been locked out thus far. In

    Minbyin village, some 14 miles east of

    Kyaukphyu, the biggest local industry is

    oil but it is gathered the old-fashioned

    way, from hand-dug wells and employing

    rudimentary equipment. This oil is then

    sold to refineries that produce gasoline

    for the domestic market. Local

    landowners charge prospectors a fee

    equal to one-seventh of their findings.

    Most of the oil pits are able to produce

    20 or 25 gallons each, although some are

    able to produce a full barrels worth, or

    50 gallons, claimed U Than Myint, a local

    landowner who derives his income fromartisanal prospectors.

    Residents of Minbyin claim it would

    be difficult to leave their village to seek

    out work else where, despite the dirtiness

    of the work they must do to survive and

    the low pay that comes with it. The land

    where the oil can be found was our

    ancestors land long before it was ours,

    said U Than Myint. Even if we were

    commanded to leave, we really cant

    move elsewhere, he elaborated.

    When asked, the villagers in Minbyin

    seemed largely unaware of the Shwe gas

    project and deep-sea port development

    under construction a few miles away.

    Taking photographs of work sites is

    banned, and local peoples access is highly

    restricted. They [the consortium

    developing the pipeline] have fenced off

    the worksites where the pipelines are

    being laid; nobody can go in, claimed Ko

    Thein Tun, a local resident. Theyve alsobrought in workers from elsewhere and

    have barely hired any locals. I think

    theyve brought in their own people so

    they can do whatever they want, with no

    concern for our needs, he explained.

    While the pipeline project is ostensibly

    a joint venture with Myanmars Ministry

    of Energy putting up 49.1% of the

    construction costs and CNPC investing the

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    Cover Story

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    Feature

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    ACUMEN 25

    Yangon skyline from Golden Hill Towers - soelin/Flickr

    ACUMEN 25

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    26 ACUMEN www.myanmarb2bmagaz ine . com August 2013

    Ko Maung Maung has no intention of

    going abroad to look for work which,

    at age 35, is still a viable option for him.

    Instead, he works as a land broker

    buying and selling land around Yangon.Business is good. Investing in land is a

    lucrative business, he said. We often turn

    profits of more than 50% on each plot we

    sell.

    He has been in the business since

    economic reforms got underway in 2010.

    I dont rush into thee investments but

    it does pay to be quick. After I find out

    that a project is starting, I rush to buy

    land in the area, he said.

    Things get really lucrative when the

    government is interested in his property,claimed Ko Maung Maung, as he can earn

    massive profits, selling land for three times

    what he purchased it for in most cases.

    He is unapologetic about his line of work.

    Lots of rich people are interested in land

    speculation, he explained, because you

    can make much more money than in other

    businesses.

    Land prices in Myanmar have broken

    world records due to pervasive

    speculation, claim foreign business

    interests. And its true: office space in

    Yangon now goes for as much as centralLondon or Manhattan, owing to crushing

    demand and limited supply.

    U Soe Thane, an influential minster in

    the Presidents office, announced that the

    government would no longer announce

    where it intends to launch projects, as

    speculators have historically pounced on

    this news and driven up land prices,

    wasting the governments money in the

    process, he claimed. From now on, if we

    say a project will be constructed in the

    south, you can assume itll actually be built

    in the north, he joked.But its no laughing matter. In Yangon,

    nearly 90% of properties are residential,

    with a mere 6% zoned as being for

    industrial use. Thats problematic for

    people who want to set up factories or

    establish offices, as would-be investors find

    themselves at the mercy of ruthless

    speculators.

    Feature

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    ACUMEN 27

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    28 ACUMEN www .myanma r b2bmag a z i n e . c om August 2013

    There is more empty industrial space

    in Yangon than there are factories, and

    we dont have a solution for that yet,

    claimed U Myint Zaw, vice-chairman of

    Myanmars Chamber of Commerce.

    Speculators pay minimal taxes on the

    undeveloped property in their possession,

    which serves to dissuade construction. If

    the authori t ies make sure these

    speculators pay proper taxes, this will

    allow people who really want to build

    factories to do so and will drive down

    land prices, he explained.

    According to Dr. Kyaw Latt, an expert

    on industrialization, 40% of Yangons area

    should be zoned for industrial use, butindustrial development is hampered by

    land speculation that makes building

    factories uneconomical.

    The Myanmar government , in

    cooperation with the Japan International

    Cooperation Agency (JICA) has launched

    a Strategic Urban Development Plan for

    Greater Yangon. While developing a

    There is more

    empty industrial

    space in Yangon

    than there are

    factories, and we

    dont have asolution for that

    yet.

    Feature

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    ACUMEN 29

    master plan for the ci ty and i ts

    surrounding regions is long overdue, the

    announcement of these plans has had the

    unintended consequence of attracting

    speculators, and land prices have risenastronomically as a result.

    In Dalla Township, a quick ferry ride

    across the river from downtown Yangon,

    land prices have surged fivefold over the

    last year, from roughly two million kyats

    per hectareto 12 or 15 million as of mid-

    2013, fol lowing the government s

    announcement that it intends to build a

    bridge connecting the two sides of the

    river.

    There is widespread concern that

    foreign investors will be put off frominvesting in Myanmar due to the countrys

    sky-high land prices, and a lack of foreign

    capital and know-how may, in turn,

    prevent Myanmar from developing.The

    Directorate of Investment and Company

    Administration, the first stop for foreigners

    looking to invest in Myanmar, has

    allegedly instructed would-be foreign

    buyers to look at purchasing land further

    afield in Ayeyarwaddy Division due

    to sky-high prices around Yangon.High prices have also precluded land

    from changing hands, as buyers are not

    willing to meet the astronomical demands

    of speculators. Many of the cronies the

    profited from their close links to the

    former military regime are set to earn a

    windfall, as they were able to amass vast

    amounts of land through their personal

    relationships with Myanmars former

    military rulers. These cronies have come

    to dominate the land market, said a

    businessman that used to enjoy close tieswith Ne Wins Burma Socialist Programme

    Party, who refused to be named. The joke

    is that, in areas where foreigners are

    allowed to buy land in Thailand, it is much

    cheaper than it is in Myanmar. Its absurd

    abnormal that Myanmars land prices are

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    30 ACUMEN www .myanma r b2bmag a z i n e . c om August 2013

    Yadanarpon Diamond Plaza, inMandalay, exemplifies the rapidgrowth of Myanmars real estatemarket - even if these gains arelargely speculative in nature.

    Feature

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    ACUMEN 31

    so high.

    The problem is not limited to

    Yangon, say insiders familiar with

    the property market. High land

    prices have had a knock-on effect

    for the prices of apartments, which

    have also soared in recent months.

    For this reason, U Soe Thane is

    loath to disclose future project sites.

    Look at Dalla, he laments. Land

    prices went through the roof really

    quickly, so its important that we

    dont give too much away.

    Ko Maung Maung notes thatprice controls may be an effective

    solution to bring prices back down

    to earth, but of course this isnt

    something hes keen to see happen.

    The government can dictate what

    it wants, and theres nothing we can

    do about it. I guess everything in

    life is the result of fate! he laughed. A

    These croniesThese croniesThese croniesThese croniesThese cronies

    have come tohave come tohave come tohave come tohave come todominate the landdominate the landdominate the landdominate the landdominate the land

    market.market.market.market.market.

    The joke is that, inThe joke is that, inThe joke is that, inThe joke is that, inThe joke is that, in

    areas whereareas whereareas whereareas whereareas where

    foreigners areforeigners areforeigners areforeigners areforeigners are

    allowed to buyallowed to buyallowed to buyallowed to buyallowed to buyland in Thailand, itland in Thailand, itland in Thailand, itland in Thailand, itland in Thailand, it

    is much cheaperis much cheaperis much cheaperis much cheaperis much cheaper

    than it is inthan it is inthan it is inthan it is inthan it is in

    Myanmar.Myanmar.Myanmar.Myanmar.Myanmar.

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    Feature

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    ACUMEN 33ACUMEN 33

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    ACUMEN 35

    Myanmar has long been theconnectivity basket case of Asia.Only 10% of the population hasa mobile phone a figure eclipsed even

    by war-torn Afghanstan, which, at 50%

    mobile penetration, is still on the low end

    for the continent. So when the government

    announced its intention in January to hand

    out two operator licences to foreign

    providers, many in Myanmar let out a

    collective sigh of relief, anticipating the

    day when dropped calls and expensiveservice would be a thing of the past.

    From an initial list of 22 contenders,

    a shortlist of 12 was announced in early

    April. The candidates were a diverse array

    of companies and consortiums from across

    the globe, keen to acquire a slice of

    Myanmars untapped market for telecom

    services. Two winners would be

    announced on June 27, and the global

    telecom industry awaited the results with

    baited breath.

    Following an extensive vetting

    process, carried out by a state-appointed

    panel in consultation with by German IT

    firm Roland Berger, the two finalists were

    announced on schedule on June 27. The

    lucky pair were Norways Telenor and

    dark-horse candidate Ooredoo, from the

    small Persian Gulf emirate of Qatar, both

    of whom pledged to have networks

    covering at least half of Myanmars

    population by early 2014.The tendering

    committee chose a joint venture between

    Japans Marubeni and France Telecom as

    a back-up choice in case one of the twograntees is unable to fulfil its commitment

    to build a network.

    The telecoms tendering process has

    been considered by outside observers to

    be an important litmus test for the trans-

    parency of Myanmars economic reforms

    to date. The governments telecom mas-

    ter plan called for two foreign companies

    to establish networks, but maintains the

    While phone cards arereadily available on the streets of

    Yangon, only 10% of Myanmars popu-

    lation currently uses a cell phone.

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    Feature

    Even in war-torn Afghanistan,cell penetration has

    eclipsed 50% of the population -imfti/Flickr.

    Bidders in the tenderingprocess, including as Irish-owned, Jamaica-based Digicel,made efforts to raise brandawareness before the June 27announcement.

    Mobile phone shops, like this one in

    Yangons Hledan Junction area, havemultiplied since the governementreduced SIM card prices over the pastyear. There will be more to come asnew networks come online.

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    ACUMEN 37

    incumbency of state-run Myanmar Posts

    and Telecommunications (MPT) which

    is at present Myanmars sole operator

    and also granted a licence to Yadanapon

    Teleport, a joint venture between MPT

    and a number of local companies with

    close links to the state.

    I think there is a pent-up demand,

    basically, in this society for mobile com-

    munications, said Telenors president and

    chief executive, Jon Frederik Balsaas, in

    an interview with CNBC following the

    announcement. This is a very important

    infrastructure, this is a phenomenal en-

    abler to many aspects of private life and

    institutional life in the country we be-

    lieve mobile has a future here; we know

    that it will take time to build it up, but we

    know that penetration is sure to grow

    rapidly.

    Accord ing to a recent report by

    consulting firm McKinsey and Co.,

    Myanmars telecom sector is likely to

    contribute as much as US$6.4 billion to

    the countrys GDP by 2030, up from a

    paltry US$100 million in 2010. For Telenor

    and Ooredoo, the lucre provided by their

    share of these anticipated gains is

    impossible to deny.

    Telenor was widely tipped to be a

    top contender for a licence, as the

    company has a proven track record in

    the region. The company has the largest

    market share in neighbouring Bangladesh,

    is the number two operator in Thailand

    and the third-largest in Malaysia. Although

    it has not disclosed the precise terms of

    its investment as yet, its proven ability to

    build networks in underserved, green-field

    markets undoubtedly strengthened its bid.

    Ooredoos bid was considered a long

    shot by many observers, despite its

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    commitment to invest an astronomical

    US$15 billion in Myanmar over a 15-year

    period. Roland Berger estimated that

    potential licensees would need to invest

    an estimated US$2 billion to establish anew network from the ground up. The

    high figure promised by Ooredoo has

    prompted speculation about its ability to

    realise quick returns on its investment,

    but how much the company really cares

    about this is debatable.

    Both Ooredoo and Telenor are

    enterprises operated by their respective

    state governments, and the Al-Thani

    dynasty in charge of Qatar has made

    significant moves in recent years to

    improve the countrys regional and

    international status, moving out of the

    shadows created by its much larger

    neighbours, including Saudi Arabia and

    the United Arab Emirates. A major move

    into Myanmars telecoms sector despite

    the questionable returns the project will

    deliver would serve to improve the tiny

    emirates international standing, and

    bolster its newfound status as an

    international power broker in many of the

    worlds conflicts a role it has attempted

    to play, to varying degrees of success, in

    both Afghanistan and Syria.The past year has seen a wave of

    anti-Muslim sentiment envelop Myanmar,

    and Ooredoosaffiliations with a Muslim

    government was thought by many to

    preclude it from getting a licence. To the

    governments credit, it appears to have

    cast aside political considerations when

    making its decision, basing the results on

    which companies would be able to best

    deliver results. But the transparency of

    the tendering process has done little to

    placate many of Myanmars radical

    Buddhists, who are incensed that a majorpiece of Myanmars new infrastructure will

    be in nominally Muslim hands.

    At le as t on e pr om inen t monk

    affiliated with the Buddhist-nationalist 969

    movement, Ashin Wimala, has called for

    a boycott of Ooredoos services. Despite

    a recent public statement by the

    presidents office in support of 969-

    Feature

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    ACUMEN 39

    Cell phone towers - like this one in California- are set to become a much more commonsight around Myanmar in the near future -

    Gary Lerude/Flickr

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    40 ACUMEN www.myanmarb2bmagaz ine . com August 2013

    affiliated monk Ashin Wirathu, Set Aung,

    the minister in charge of the selection

    committee, is unrepentant, claiming that

    choosing Ooredoo shows just shows how

    transparent we are and how unbiased.

    The politics of race and religion aside,

    the new entrants have other issues to

    contend with namely, the fact that

    Myanmar has not yet passed a long-awaited telecommunications bill, and its

    proposed contents are still a matter of

    dispute. Potential entrants to Myanmars

    telecom market have essentially made a

    blind investment into a very shaky

    regulatory environment where their

    property rights may not be secure.

    Indeed, a last-minute attempt by the

    lower house of parliament to stall the

    announcement of the winners speaks to

    the vested interests of Myanmars

    entrenched corporate classes, which still

    have significant sway over the decision-

    making process and whose influence has

    - admirably been resisted by the

    selection committee. But this is not enough

    to allay investors fears. The telecom

    law needs to come in place before thefinal framework for the licence is spelled

    out and made clear in this second phase

    after we won this first round here,Balsaas

    told CNBC.

    While largely unenforced nowadays,

    restrictive laws limiting freedom of speech

    remain on the books, and international

    NGO Human Rights Watch (HRW) has

    warned would-be entrants to Myanmars

    telecom sector to avoid collaborating with

    the government to keep tabs on dissidents.

    HRW sent a letter to both winners

    expressing their concerns following the

    announcement, but received no reply from

    Ooredoo to alleviate their concerns.

    The establishment of new mobile

    networks in Myanmar should serve to

    greatly improve the countrys economicperformance and the lives of many of its

    citizens. How this will play out in practice,

    however, remains to be seen. At the very

    least, however, Myanmars current mobile

    phone users can look forward a future of

    greatly improved services as much lower

    costs and millions will come to enjoy

    the long-overdue benefits of mobile

    communications for the first time. A

    Feature

    On the phone, Hledan Market, Yangon.

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    ACUMEN 43ACUMEN 43

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    The main talking point from JunesWorld Economic Forum, held inNay Pyi Taw in June, was AungSan Suu Kyis admission that she would

    like to run for the countrys Presidencywhen the elections come around in 2015

    for those also not in the know, Elvis

    Presley has been found dead at his

    Tennessee home.

    But there was another point she made,

    in front of a packed audience at the

    Myanmar International Convention

    Centre, which spoke more candidly of the

    countrys future. Talking of the increased

    interest from foreign companies investing

    in Myanmar, Daw Suu said that while

    many companies were visiting the countryto assess the current situation, few were

    really taking any real action and actually,

    there isnt much investment coming in.

    She clarified that point a few days later

    at a party rally in Pyin Oo Lwin, citing

    the countrys lack of rule of law a point

    she has been vocal on for some time as

    well as the poor infrastructure in a country

    that has been practically isolated to the

    international community for 50 years as

    reasons why international businesses are

    not yet ready to pour their money into an

    economy which is the poorest in theASEAN region.

    If there is no rule of law, she said,

    it is impossible for a country to develop.

    There should be a guarantee that their

    investment and businesses will not be

    stolen or confiscated if they make an

    investment in Myanmar.

    A recent Reuters report said that

    Myanmar attracted $1.4 billion in foreign

    investment in the 2012-2013 fiscal year,

    and while that figure was reasonable in

    a country that has only recently opened

    up to the international community, it is along way short of boosting an economy

    that, according to a recent report by global

    consulting firm McKinsey, needs $170

    billion in foreign investment for the first

    stage of its economic transition.

    While there may appear to be a

    perception that foreign investment has

    slowed in recent months, many in

    Myanmars business community argue that

    may not necessarily the case, or that there

    might be other reasons at play that

    investment is taking longer than some

    expected to filter into the country.Sally Austen, international legal consultant

    for Myanmar Legal Services, who

    specialises in aiding foreign companies

    in moving into Myanmars market says

    that while there has seemingly been a

    slow increase in action from foreign

    investors, that should not come as too

    much of a surprise and there might be

    other factors at play.

    It is worth noting that the process of

    establishing an entity and getting a

    Myanmar Investment Commission Permit

    [required by companies to register inMyanmars market] can take three to six

    months. No capital will come into the

    country until this has happened, she said.

    Another factor, according to Austen,

    may be that international companies,

    particularly large multinationals, want to

    take more time in their process of moving

    into a new market in order to ensure that

    Feature

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    Feature

    Myanmars burgeoning property market- as evidenced by Mandalays booming -has been criticised by many as being a

    bubble, and has served to dissuadeforeign investment.

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    ACUMEN 47

    One major issue for many potential investors is a lack of clarity

    around US Sanctions. While the EU announced a permanent

    ending of all economic sanctions in April, the US has only

    suspended sanctions, in a move that many believe gives the

    US government more power should the Myanmar governmentdecide to backslide on reforms. While that decision has been

    supported by many Human Rights groups particularly since

    the outbreak of anti-Muslim violence in recent months - there

    are those in Americas business community who feel that the

    State Departments ambiguous stance is stifling American

    companies interested in investing.

    Speaking to Voice of America during a US Delegation of

    business people, which visited Myanmar in February, Darren

    Brookes, Asia Pacific Senior Legal Counsel for Caterpillar

    Machinery, said that the sanctions made many businesspeople

    cautious about investing.

    Right now, we would like to see more reliability or morestability in the fact that the sanctions have to be lifted, so its not

    like you can come in and invest $100 million right away, he

    said.

    The lack of stability around US sanctions indirectly leads to

    other issues too, particularly with regards to accessing money.

    While the US Treasury announced in February that it would

    authorise transactions with four Myanmar banks namely

    Ayeyarwady Bank, Asia Green Development Bank, Myanma

    Economic Bank and Commercial Bank in a move that was

    aimed at encouraging responsible US investment in Myanmar,

    instances remain where transactions to those banks from the

    US have been blocked, leaving people without access to their

    money.It is legal for US banking institutions to do business with

    certain banks in Myanmar, but we havent seen that translate

    into a system that works properly, said Travis W Baker of

    Scipio Services, who deal with a number of US investors looking

    to invest in Myanmar. US banks are still hesitant to do anything

    directly with banks in Myanmar, he said before adding that

    there had been instances of transactions from the US to Myanmar

    being blocked even if the transaction referenced Myanmar in

    the description but was not necessarily heading for the country.

    As a result, people have to carry hard currency into the country,

    or hope that their landlord or business has a foreign bank

    account, but there are always costs to doing business like that,

    he said, referring to transfer fees and bank charges.Even without the rule of law situation, legal issues persist

    too. Industries such as banking, finance and insurance, as well

    as the much talked about telecommunications sector, are all

    expected to introduce new legislations in the coming months,

    while the oil & gas sector - an economy that has long attracted

    the bulk of Myanmars foreign investment it is still governed

    by laws and regulations from almost 100 years ago. These will

    need to be updated if serious foreign investment is to flood in. A

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    66 ACUMEN www .myanma r b2bmag a z i n e . c om July 201366 ACUMEN www .myanma r b2bmag a z i n e . c om July 2013

    advertising.pmd 6/6/2013, 6:23 PM66

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    advertising.pmd 7/9/2013, 10:14 AM66

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    ACUMEN 51ACUMEN 51

    MCC A Franchise Empire.pmd 7/9/2013, 10:16 AM51

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    ACUMEN 53

    as evidenced by our eponymous foundation (the MCC

    Foundation) and our work with the EERI. Were launching

    another EERI project soon, with Italian government funding.

    Were looking to establish the first private university in

    Myanmar once laws are changed allowing us to do so. Wehope to establish five faculties, and will award both bachelors

    and masters degrees in computer science, engineering,

    environmental science/resource management, as well as a loosely

    affiliated school of business management.

    Weve also moved to establish a joint bachelors degree

    program in technology with Rangsit University in Thailand,

    and will offer a school of multimedia and creative arts in

    conjunction with the governments University of Culture. We

    also offer diploma courses on multimedia game development at

    five schools around the country.

    We have also established an international software

    development centre as part of our ICT services side of thebusiness. This encompasses data centres and supply chain

    management services. We hire our own graduates to run the

    centre and theyre well positioned to conduct business with

    foreign partners. Were working to establish a new cloud

    computing architecture for clients in enterprise and the

    government.

    What is your franchising model like? To my knowledge,What is your franchising model like? To my knowledge,What is your franchising model like? To my knowledge,What is your franchising model like? To my knowledge,What is your franchising model like? To my knowledge,

    youre the only company in Myanmar that doesyoure the only company in Myanmar that doesyoure the only company in Myanmar that doesyoure the only company in Myanmar that doesyoure the only company in Myanmar that does

    anything like it .anything like it .anything like it .anything like it .anything like it .

    The company was established in 1989, and we launched

    our educational franchises in 1990 or 1991 starting in Mandalay.

    Over time, we expanded outward to become the largest suchcompany in Myanmar comprising some 170 franchises around

    the country as of 2013.

    Im interested in hearing more about this.Im interested in hearing more about this.Im interested in hearing more about this.Im interested in hearing more about this.Im interested in hearing more about this.

    From the outset, we were interested in franchising as a

    way to grow the business. Its tough to set up branches in other

    regions, primarily due to administrative and capital

    constraints.We decided to start franchising after expanding our

    business out into a couple of different sectors. We realised that

    it would be easier to take a hands-off approach to our franchises,

    and in this way it would also be easier to build our brands. We

    derive regular income from the franchises, in the form of royalties

    and annual fees.We are able to charge for the ancillary aspects of the

    business: we issue the certificates and diplomas, for example,

    and franchisees need to purchase our teaching materials and

    use our system. The investment is theirs, of course, and they

    derive the bulk of the profits, but this sort of arrangement is

    mutually beneficial. And the benefits are manifold: by placing

    highly-skilled graduates across formerly underserved parts of

    the country, we make it easier for our other businesses to grow

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    in the future. We profit from creating human capital, which we

    are then able to leverage into building other areas of the business.

    In terms of service provision, its much easier to do this on

    a franchise basis, as filling a contract for electricity billing in

    Taunggyi, for example, would be difficult to carry out fromYangon. Our teaching services arent the only services we

    franchise out. Providing services to local governments is a

    specialty of ours, and we are able to do so efficiently due to our

    franchise-based business model.

    There are a lot of wildcards when it comes toThere are a lot of wildcards when it comes toThere are a lot of wildcards when it comes toThere are a lot of wildcards when it comes toThere are a lot of wildcards when it comes to

    franchising and a big one is maintaining standards.franchising and a big one is maintaining standards.franchising and a big one is maintaining standards.franchising and a big one is maintaining standards.franchising and a big one is maintaining standards.

    I spoke with the CEO of YKKO (a local restaurantI spoke with the CEO of YKKO (a local restaurantI spoke with the CEO of YKKO (a local restaurantI spoke with the CEO of YKKO (a local restaurantI spoke with the CEO of YKKO (a local restaurant

    chain) about this and he claimed he refuses to switchchain) about this and he claimed he refuses to switchchain) about this and he claimed he refuses to switchchain) about this and he claimed he refuses to switchchain) about this and he claimed he refuses to switch

    to a franchise model because he thinks he wouldntto a franchise model because he thinks he wouldntto a franchise model because he thinks he wouldntto a franchise model because he thinks he wouldntto a franchise model because he thinks he wouldnt

    be able to control the qual i ty of YKKOs products .be able to control the qual i ty of YKKOs products .be able to control the qual i ty of YKKOs products .be able to control the qual i ty of YKKOs products .be able to control the qual i ty of YKKOs products .

    What do you think?What do you think?What do you think?What do you think?What do you think?Weve made push to get ISO certification for our franchises,

    starting in Yangon and expanding the initiative to Mandalay.

    Much of what we do is standardised our teaching franchisees

    use a fixed curriculum, which we prepare for them. While we

    are hands-off, its not as though theres no oversight on our part.

    We do regular performance reviews on all our staff and

    franchisees.

    How do most franchises operate? Are franchiseesHow do most franchises operate? Are franchiseesHow do most franchises operate? Are franchiseesHow do most franchises operate? Are franchiseesHow do most franchises operate? Are franchisees

    both owners and managers, or do owners/investorsboth owners and managers, or do owners/investorsboth owners and managers, or do owners/investorsboth owners and managers, or do owners/investorsboth owners and managers, or do owners/investors

    generally hire managers to take over day-to-daygenerally hire managers to take over day-to-daygenerally hire managers to take over day-to-daygenerally hire managers to take over day-to-daygenerally hire managers to take over day-to-day

    operations?operations?operations?operations?operations?

    At first, owners act as managers and many even do theirown teaching, As their business expands, they are likely to

    appoint dedicated managers if their business reaches a certain

    size. In rural areas, franchises can only be so large, so we see

    more of this kind of integration with smaller, rural operations.

    Whats really interesting is that franchises have a tendency to

    spread organically entrepreneurs from areas without franchises

    see their success and then transport the concept back home.

    For us, its interesting, because it allows us to grow, without

    necessarily making a concerted effort to do so.

    What happens to franchises that dont follow the rules?What happens to franchises that dont follow the rules?What happens to franchises that dont follow the rules?What happens to franchises that dont follow the rules?What happens to franchises that dont follow the rules?

    If they dont follow the stipulations of the ISOIf they dont follow the stipulations of the ISOIf they dont follow the stipulations of the ISOIf they dont follow the stipulations of the ISOIf they dont follow the stipulations of the ISO

    certification and/or MCCs own internal benchmarks?certification and/or MCCs own internal benchmarks?certification and/or MCCs own internal benchmarks?certification and/or MCCs own internal benchmarks?certification and/or MCCs own internal benchmarks?Can they have their franchises pulled?Can they have their franchises pulled?Can they have their franchises pulled?Can they have their franchises pulled?Can they have their franchises pulled?

    Weve done so in the past. I look at performance; once a

    year franchisees have to make a presentation on their successes

    at a conference I hold once a year, and franchisees must file

    monthly reports. We only inspect intermittently, but will evaluate

    their performance once a year, in terms of how much they

    make, how much is going on.

    If they break the rules, thats really bad copying textbooks,

    changing them slightly and publishing it as their own work, for

    example. Thats plagiarism. If they can do this, they wont buy

    books from us anymore. We can catch this because when they

    purchase texts, they lower the number of students they claim

    are enrolled, so we can figure out that theyre using othermaterials and pocketing the difference. We also had one incident

    where a franchisee actually produced his own fake certificates

    that dilutes the brand and the quality of education it stands

    for. Instant termination, in that case, as stipulated in the contract

    we enter into with our franchisees. Well also close franchises if

    they dont perform very well, but we classify the viability of our

    franchises based on where they are located: rural, urban or

    somewhere in between. Depending on classification, their annual

    fees are higher or lower, and we hand out favours based on

    how well they perform based on how well they do in evaluations.

    U Tin Win Aung

    Interview

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    Ar e th er e ev er in sta nc es whe re a fr an chi se e ke ep sAre th er e ev er in sta nc es whe re a fr anc hi se e ke ep sAr e th er e ev er in sta nc es whe re a fr an chi se e ke ep sAre th er e ev er in sta nc es whe re a fr anc hi se e ke ep sAr e th er e ev er in sta nc es whe re a fr anc hi se e ke ep s

    on providing services without your authorization?on providing services without your authorization?on providing services without your authorization?on providing services without your authorization?on providing services without your authorization?

    This can happen, yes. Franchisees have been known to

    cut all ties with MCC and carry on themselves without paying

    royalties. This has only happened on a few occasions, and theygenerally change brand names as a result. Theres a disincentive

    to do this, however, as the MCC brand stands for quality, and it

    makes business sense to maintain a relationship with home

    office for this reason alone. We also provide them with plenty

    of tools to succeed in their home communities, and we have

    even taken franchisees to conferences held abroad to help them

    grow their businesses and expose them to international best

    practices. So while a few former franchisees have successfully

    gone independent, these have been few and far between, and

    there are good reasons for franchisees to avoid doing so.

    Let s turn the discussion towards the prospects forLet s turn the discussion towards the prospects forLet s turn the discussion towards the prospects forLet s turn the discussion towards the prospects forLet s turn the discussion towards the prospects for

    ICT development in Myanmar more generally. WhatICT development in Myanmar more generally. WhatICT development in Myanmar more generally. WhatICT development in Myanmar more generally. WhatICT development in Myanmar more generally. What

    sort of strategy is Myanmar pursuing? And how doessort of strategy is Myanmar pursuing? And how doessort of strategy is Myanmar pursuing? And how doessort of strategy is Myanmar pursuing? And how doessort of strategy is Myanmar pursuing? And how does

    MCC fit in?MCC fit in?MCC fit in?MCC fit in?MCC fit in?

    I used to be actively involved in planning ICT policy withthe Myanmar ICT Association, but I dont do that anymore. I

    used to think up solutions for Myanmars ICT problems in

    conjunction with my colleague, Ko Thein Oo. We were responsible

    for a lot of the work that took place on ICT over the past couple

    of decades. Now I dont want to insinuate that the government

    didnt do anything on this front: they certainly did. But whats

    most important is actually putting these things in place, and

    thats what we did. Unfortunately, the Association disintegrated

    somewhat over the years, and many of the decisions we wanted

    to enact never came to pass.

    The government really needs to have a more standardised

    way to deal with external consultants. This isnt just the case forICT its important across all sectors, but for ICT its particularly

    important because of how embryonic ICT development in

    Myanmar is at present. To be honest, implementation of ICT

    reforms only goes halfway here; theres a lot of incompetence.

    We try to point out mistakes to the government, but they dont

    like it when we make suggestions. They keep us out of the

    decision-making and consulting process. To be honest, a lot of

    what happens here is for show there isnt a lot of substance

    behind policy decisions, and politicians are more concerned

    with appearances than with outcomes. This isnt just a problem

    with the government: this is a problem on all levels of society in

    this country. For there to be substantive change when it comes

    to ICT policy, things really do need to change. There aregovernment departments that are proactive and responsive,

    but these are few and far between, and comprehensive reforms

    need to be made.

    Ac tu al ly , th is is somet hi ng I d li ke to di scu ss . ManyAc tu al ly , th is is some th ing I d li ke to di scu ss . ManyAc tu al ly , th is is somet hi ng I d li ke to di scu ss . ManyAc tu al ly , th is is some th ing I d li ke to di scu ss . ManyAc tu al ly , th is is some th ing I d li ke to di scu ss . Many

    off icials in this country have begun to discuss theoff icials in this country have begun to discuss theoff icials in this country have begun to discuss theoff icials in this country have begun to discuss theoff icials in this country have begun to discuss the

    notion of e-Government, ways to take governmentnotion of e-Government, ways to take governmentnotion of e-Government, ways to take governmentnotion of e-Government, ways to take governmentnotion of e-Government, ways to take government

    service provision online. Many people have alsoservice provision online. Many people have alsoservice provision online. Many people have alsoservice provision online. Many people have alsoservice provision online. Many people have also

    speculated that offering more government servicesspeculated that offering more government servicesspeculated that offering more government servicesspeculated that offering more government servicesspeculated that offering more government services

    online will act as a way to reduce corruption. Theonline will act as a way to reduce corruption. Theonline will act as a way to reduce corruption. Theonline will act as a way to reduce corruption. Theonline will act as a way to reduce corruption. The

    government has been discussing these initiatives forgovernment has been discussing these initiatives forgovernment has been discussing these initiatives forgovernment has been discussing these initiatives forgovernment has been discussing these initiatives for

    ages, but l i t t le progress has been made as yet toages, but little progress has been made as yet toages, but l i t t le progress has been made as yet toages, but little progress has been made as yet toages, but l i t t le progress has been made as yet to

    implement these systems. Why has the governmentimplement these systems. Why has the governmentimplement these systems. Why has the governmentimplement these systems. Why has the governmentimplement these systems. Why has the governmentbeen so slow to adopt them?been so slow to adopt them?been so slow to adopt them?been so slow to adopt them?been so slow to adopt them?

    Sure, the government set up e-Government initiatives long

    ago, but this is a repeat, of sorts: they need to start from the

    beginning. There were some positive changes after e-

    Government initiatives were put in place, which I helped initiate.

    It was great; we had almost unlimited access to the prime

    ministers office, and we saw our ideas translated into policy.

    We had real successes, but it was difficult to make it work in

    Prof. Dr. Aung Tun Thet

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    the end, primarily due to a lack

    of know-how on the part of

    the people entrusted with

    implementing it. To be honest,

    Myanmar was not and is not,in some respects ready for

    e-Government, as the

    infrastructure required to

    implement such a system

    simply isnt in place yet. There

    needs to be a framework in

    place before the government

    can effectively provide services

    through e-Government-type

    systems.

    For starters, there needs

    to be better data. Thegovernment isnt going to get

    anything accomplished unless

    the government has decent

    data at its disposal which it can

    then use to guide policy. Some

    of this data could theoretically

    be worth millions of dollars

    but theres no database

    currently in existence for the

    government to use. Moreover,

    the data in these databases

    about public works and

    demographic information needto be constantly updated:

    unless the government has

    reliable data at its disposal, it

    will not be able to make

    relevant policy decisions that

    are receptive to the needs of

    the people. The government

    thinks that it can throw money

    at the problem, that by building

    infrastructure, all things will

    sort themselves out.

    But this sort of technolog-

    ical determinism has its draw-backs. Infrastructure on its own

    is useless without a master

    plan: a comprehensive notion

    of what youre going to do with

    that infrastructure once you

    have it in place. What I have

    found is that the government

    tends to think that all it needs

    Interview

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    ACUMEN 57

    to do is put the infrastructure in place and things will sort

    themselves out. But this is never the case: unless the govern-

    ment has a good idea of what it is going to use the infrastruc-

    ture for, it will waste a ton of money building it. Aside from

    technical concerns, its important to have proper people in-volved as well: there are project managers out there that are

    inefficient, and then there are the kinds of personalities that

    be crushed by foreign competition? Are you going tobe crushed by foreign competition? Are you going tobe crushed by foreign competition? Are you going tobe crushed by foreign competition? Are you going tobe crushed by foreign competition? Are you going to

    ask for government protection?ask for government protection?ask for government protection?ask for government protection?ask for government protection?

    At present, we dont have any government protection in

    the IT sector, which is a challenge, but were confident that we

    can persevere. The fact of the matter is that we really do needthe technical assistance and capital from abroad: foreign

    companies are going to come to us and want a partner to enter

    into Myanmars underdeveloped IT market. Honestly, it all comes

    down to how well we prepare: the foreign onslaught is inevitable,

    so we have to be as prepared as possible. We need to improve

    infrastructure, improve HR, and bring expats into the fold. Ive

    already hired a couple of foreigners to help us get up to

    international standard. Ive also invited chairmen and managing

    directors from well-established global firms to consult with us,

    in an effort to promote collaboration between our company and

    multinationals. I think its important we show them we have

    something to offer, and that its in their best interests to partnerwith us as opposed to out-competing us entirely.

    But whether we partner with international firms or not,

    theres a lot that still needs to be done in this country. And

    while foreign companies can add much-needed capacity, itll be

    up to us to develop these systems ourselves, to develop supply

    chains on our own and train people on how to operate in a

    newly modernized environment. It will be up to us to develop

    all of this, and whether or not we are able to deliver will be up

    to us alone. If we are able to create efficient supply chains of our

    own, well be able to compete with multinationals directly. I feel

    that MCC can be a true player in Myanmar, and have entered

    into negotiations with a number of companies to develop strategic

    partnerships, including SAP and Oracle. But theyve been honestwith me, and have made it known that we cant be an exclusive

    partner for them in Myanmar. That doesnt mean we wont be

    able to provide service and installation for their products,

    however. Were looking at establishing a cloud computing

    architecture at the moment, and then well give the software

    away to the government as a loss-leader. We want the

    government to understand the value modernizing their systems.

    Im also setting up an international software development

    centre at the moment, and will hire many MCC graduates to get

    it up and running. By 2014, I hope to have four or five hundred

    employees, expanding to a thousand or so over the next couple

    of years. As we have one graduating class every six months, I

    provide graduates with jobs straight away. Were looking to setup four data centres around the country, at Yatanarpon,

    Mandalay, Naypyidaw and Yangon, with the one in Naypyidaw

    dedicated for government use and the Mandalay and Yangon

    ones dedicated for our own internal use. We arent planning to

    rent or sell space to other companies.

    Business-to-business links are a new phenomenon inBusiness-to-business links are a new phenomenon inBusiness-to-business links are a new phenomenon inBusiness-to-business links are a new phenomenon inBusiness-to-business links are a new phenomenon in

    Myanmar, where historically business has beenMyanmar, where historically business has beenMyanmar, where historically business has beenMyanmar, where historically business has beenMyanmar, where historically business has been

    will get things accomplished, by hook or by crook.

    One of our first major implementation projects was for the

    prison system, and we managed to put that in place and its

    working rather well, I must say. It wasnt easy to establish it, but

    we did it, and it marks the most notable example of an IT-

    based solution youll find in the Myanmar government at the

    moment. This is a reflection on the vision of the government

    officials to allow us to set this up, as well as the managers in

    charge of actually putting the systems in place. I hope that this

    is just the beginning.

    What are the prospects for IT development onceWhat are the prospects for IT development onceWhat are the prospects for IT development onceWhat are the prospects for IT development onceWhat are the prospects for IT development once

    foreign investment comes in? Wont the local industryforeign investment comes in? Wont the local industryforeign investment comes in? Wont the local industryforeign investment comes in? Wont the local industryforeign investment comes in? Wont the local industry

    At present, we dont have anyAt present, we dont have anyAt present, we dont have anyAt present, we dont have anyAt present, we dont have any

    government protection in thegovernment protection in thegovernment protection in thegovernment protection in thegovernment protection in the

    IT sector, which is a challenge,IT sector, which is a challenge,IT sector, which is a challenge,IT sector, which is a challenge,IT sector, which is a challenge,

    but were confident that we canbut were confident that we canbut were confident that we canbut were confident that we canbut were confident that we canpersevere. The fact of thepersevere. The fact of thepersevere. The fact of thepersevere. The fact of thepersevere. The fact of the

    matter is that we really domatter is that we really domatter is that we really domatter is that we really domatter is that we really do

    need the technical assistanceneed the technical assistanceneed the technical assistanceneed the technical assistanceneed the technical assistance

    and capital from abroad:and capital from abroad:and capital from abroad:and capital from abroad:and capital from abroad:

    foreign companies are going toforeign companies are going toforeign companies are going toforeign companies are going toforeign companies are going to

    come to us and want a partnercome to us and want a partnercome to us and want a partnercome to us and want a partnercome to us and want a partnerto enter into Myanmarsto enter into Myanmarsto enter into Myanmarsto enter into Myanmarsto enter into Myanmars

    underdeveloped IT market.underdeveloped IT market.underdeveloped IT market.underdeveloped IT market.underdeveloped IT market.

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    conducted between pri-conducted between pri-conducted between pri-conducted between pri-conducted between pri-

    vate companies and thevate companies and thevate companies and thevate companies and thevate companies and the

    government or companiesgovernment or companiesgovernment or companiesgovernment or companiesgovernment or companies

    and consumers directly.and consumers directly.and consumers directly.and consumers directly.and consumers directly.

    What kind of business-to-What kind of business-to-What kind of business-to-What kind of business-to-What kind of business-to-business links do you havebusiness links do you havebusiness links do you havebusiness links do you havebusiness links do you have

    with other companies?with other companies?with other companies?with other companies?with other companies?

    MCC has B2B (business-

    to-business) links with a

    Singaporean company, a UK-

    based company operating in

    Malaysia, and a company from

    Thailand. The Thai company

    has over two thousand

    software engineers. It s a

    conglomerate of sorts, as it

    bought up a lot of smallercompanies to reach the size it

    has attained today. It s

    inspirational, really: Id like to

    mimic that sort of success here

    in Myanmar. This is going to

    be especially important after

    2015, when the AEC (ASEAN

    Economic Community) comes

    into effect, which will gradually

    liberalise Myanmars labour

    markets and its access to other

    markets in the region. Were

    going to be forced to go regional,so to speak. It is through these

    B2B linkages with our regional

    counterparts that we are going

    to be able to grow and thrive

    in Southeast Asias post-2015

    business environment.

    Working with these other

    companies, we were definitely

    the junior partners in the

    relationship: its now time to

    step it up to the next level and

    make MCC a player to be

    reckoned with in Myanmarsrapidly-emerging economy.

    Many thanks for your time.Many thanks for your time.Many thanks for your time.Many thanks for your time.Many thanks for your time.

    Thank you very much. A

    Interview

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    Interview

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    ACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMEN : What motivated you to return to Myanmar?: What motivated you to return to Myanmar?: What motivated you to return to Myanmar?: What motivated you to return to Myanmar?: What motivated you to return to Myanmar?

    What role do you foresee for Thura Swiss in MyanmarsWhat role do you foresee for Thura Swiss in MyanmarsWhat role do you foresee for Thura Swiss in MyanmarsWhat role do you foresee for Thura Swiss in MyanmarsWhat role do you foresee for Thura Swiss in Myanmars

    changing economy?changing economy?changing economy?changing economy?changing economy?

    Aung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung Thura ::::: We have been in Myanmar for one-and-a-halfyears now. We started operations in January 2012, and before

    that I was living in Switzerland, working in banking. The last role

    I had was as a trader of equity derivatives, exotic options, and

    structured products; these are my primary areas of expertise. I

    had an interest in Myanmars capital and financial markets for a

    long time, but I couldnt just come back and say, Lets enter financial

    markets! I mean, the capital markets arent developed yet, and

    you cant just go into the banking sector. I wanted to set up something

    independent my own company. I didnt want to join with an

    existing bank, and I realised that research was one area where I

    could build up a network and reputation in a very short period of

    time. We have many foreign investors coming to meet with us,and have a wide range of domestic contacts. With research, its

    also great because theres a steady cash flow, so we get paid to

    learn about the Myanmar market ourselves!

    Currently, research is really important, because there is very

    little information available about Myanmar. Typically, we find that

    investors now are in a preliminary phase of their engagement

    with Myanmar. They are just coming to check things out, they

    want to learn about the Myanmar market, but they are not really

    investing yet. So the most demand will be in research, at the

    beginning at least. At a later stage, we want to expand to our

    consulting business further. In Myanmar, research and consulting

    often go hand-in-hand; they arent completely independent. We

    do research, and then advise companies on how to proceed basedon the research we conduct. In the long-term, however, I see us

    focusing more on capital markets. We have already written one

    equity research report [on Serge Puns FMI Co.], and we see

    ourselves as filling the role of educators, to inform the people about

    the importance of capital market development.

    ACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMEN : What is the state of capital markets in: What is the state of capital markets in: What is the state of capital markets in: What is the state of capital markets in: What is the state of capital markets in

    Myanmar now, and what are some fundamental thingsMyanmar now, and what are some fundamental thingsMyanmar now, and what are some fundamental thingsMyanmar now, and what are some fundamental thingsMyanmar now, and what are some fundamental things

    that need to change for them to be effective?that need to change for them to be effective?that need to change for them to be effective?that need to change for them to be effective?that need to change for them to be effective?

    Aung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung Thura ::::: There are various things. For the moment, the

    most important aspect is encouraging understanding of capital

    markets. Daiwa, a Japanese company, is currently building a stockexchange in Myanmar, but we feel as though they are focusing too

    much on the technical aspects [of establishing a bourse] alone. its

    pointless to have a technologically perfect stock exchange if nobody

    is using it. People need to be educated. It will be important to talk

    to Myanmar companies and ask them if they are interested in

    getting listed, or if theyre interested in having an IPO [Initial Public

    Offering], but having spoken to many of them we found that many

    of these concepts were foreign to them.

    Interview

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    We also ask local companies what their financing

    requirements are. A mid-range company - which, for example,

    might have a capitalization of US$40 million - may feel it needs

    another $20 million. We might say, We can advise you in this

    process, but we will only do so if you agree to be transparent withus. We will not sell your shares unless you are, because our own

    reputation is at stake, and we will not work with you unless we

    truly believe in your company and can work on a strategy together

    to move things forward. Transparency and accountability are our

    primary concerns, and are notions we are trying very hard to

    promote.

    ACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMEN : The notion of transparency in Myanmar has: The notion of transparency in Myanmar has: The notion of transparency in Myanmar has: The notion of transparency in Myanmar has: The notion of transparency in Myanmar has

    been nonexistent. I take it there are certain accountingbeen nonexistent. I take it there are certain accountingbeen nonexistent. I take it there are certain accountingbeen nonexistent. I take it there are certain accountingbeen nonexistent. I take it there are certain accounting

    standards, etc, but are they enforceable? When youstandards, etc, but are they enforceable? When youstandards, etc, but are they enforceable? When youstandards, etc, but are they enforceable? When youstandards, etc, but are they enforceable? When you

    analyse a company, can you say with certainty that theanalyse a company, can you say with certainty that theanalyse a company, can you say with certainty that theanalyse a company, can you say with certainty that theanalyse a company, can you say with certainty that the

    information youre receiving is reliable? Do mostinformation youre receiving is reliable? Do mostinformation youre receiving is reliable? Do mostinformation youre receiving is reliable? Do mostinformation youre receiving is reliable? Do most

    Myanmar companies make an effort at transparencyMyanmar companies make an effort at transparencyMyanmar companies make an effort at transparencyMyanmar companies make an effort at transparencyMyanmar companies make an effort at transparency yet,yet,yet,yet,yet,

    or is this something they are as yet largely unaware of?or is this something they are as yet largely unaware of?or is this something they are as yet largely unaware of?or is this something they are as yet largely unaware of?or is this something they are as yet largely unaware of?

    Aung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung Thura ::::: As we all know, in Myanmar some companies

    have two sets of books, maybe three or four sets of books. This

    means that transparency can often be a risky proposition for them,

    if true information about the nature of their finances were to leak.

    Everyone is a bit scared. But I think its up to the government to

    promote this, because if they really want capital markets to develop,

    people need to be comfortable that things are moving in the right

    direction. Even if the past was a bit shady, signals need to be sent

    that things are improving. But there is a balance that needs to be

    struck. In the past, companies rarely paid appropriate taxes, andof course this is something that needs to change. But, on the other

    hand, if the government becomes keen to pursue companies to

    pay back taxes, these companies would have no incentive to become

    transparent.

    So I propose that the government develop an amnesty

    scheme, saying, for example, that within two years [companies]

    must attain a certain level of transparency. But if these companies

    havent done so within the defined period, this will open them up

    to prosecution. In the interests of moving on, however, some of the

    problems of the past will need to be forgiven, although there should

    still be measures to regain some of lost tax revenue, such as, lets

    say, a 10% penalty on the profit companies failed to report in the

    past. This gives companies an opportunity to break with the pastand become transparent over time. Its difficult for companies who

    have opaque pasts to become transparent without such schemes.

    ACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMEN : Do you think theres any political will to do: Do you think theres any political will to do: Do you think theres any political will to do: Do you think theres any political will to do: Do you think theres any political will to do

    this? There are state-linked and military-linkedthis? There are state-linked and military-linkedthis? There are state-linked and military-linkedthis? There are state-linked and military-linkedthis? There are state-linked and military-linked

    enterprises that are rather secretive and would have aenterprises that are rather secretive and would have aenterprises that are rather secretive and would have aenterprises that are rather secretive and would have aenterprises that are rather secretive and would have a

    lot to lose if there were to be a comprehensive push forlot to lose if there were to be a comprehensive push forlot to lose if there were to be a comprehensive push forlot to lose if there were to be a comprehensive push forlot to lose if there were to be a comprehensive push for

    transparency.transparency.transparency.transparency.transparency.

    Aung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung Thura::::: I was referring more to the private sector, but for

    successful capital markets to emerge you need companies to trust

    that they can become transparent, and for the government to

    establish a framework that allows them to do so. If a company

    doesnt want to become transparent, thats another thing I imagine

    that some would be willing to pay appropriate taxes, but they

    need to be assured that they will not be prosecuted for what they

    did in the past. As far as state-owned enterprises go, they tend to

    lose a lot of money, because they have out-dated technology and

    are often located in remote areas. Their policies are generally

    determined more by political concerns than sound economics, such

    as promoting jobs in certain areas. Many of these companies may

    simply cease to exist, as they have little intrinsic value.

    Military conglomerates will need to reform, as well. The main

    Interview

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    and extending access to finance. The barriers to entryand extending access to finance. The barriers to entryand extending access to finance. The barriers to entryand extending access to finance. The barriers to entryand extending access to finance. The barriers to entry

    are high: companies will need to show a minimumare high: companies will need to show a minimumare high: companies will need to show a minimumare high: companies will need to show a minimumare high: companies will need to show a minimum

    capitalization of 500 million Kyats (US$5.3 million) ascapitalization of 500 million Kyats (US$5.3 million) ascapitalization of 500 million Kyats (US$5.3 million) ascapitalization of 500 million Kyats (US$5.3 million) ascapitalization of 500 million Kyats (US$5.3 million) as

    well as two years profitability. I would imagine thatwell as two years profitability. I would imagine thatwell as two years profitability. I would imagine thatwell as two years profitability. I would imagine thatwell as two years profitability. I would imagine that

    these kinds of figures would lock out a lot of smallerthese kinds of figures would lock out a lot of smallerthese kinds of figures would lock out a lot of smallerthese kinds of figures would lock out a lot of smallerthese kinds of figures would lock out a lot of smallercompanies that also need access to financing, whichcompanies that also need access to financing, whichcompanies that also need access to financing, whichcompanies that also need access to financing, whichcompanies that also need access to financing, which

    would serve to further enrich Myanmars biggestwould serve to further enrich Myanmars biggestwould serve to further enrich Myanmars biggestwould serve to further enrich Myanmars biggestwould serve to further enrich Myanmars biggest

    companies because they will be the only ones with thecompanies because they will be the only ones with thecompanies because they will be the only ones with thecompanies because they will be the only ones with thecompanies because they will be the only ones with the

    resources to be able to list. First of all, who do youresources to be able to list. First of all, who do youresources to be able to list. First of all, who do youresources to be able to list. First of all, who do youresources to be able to list. First of all, who do you

    think the stock exchange is going to benefit immediately?think the stock exchange is going to benefit immediately?think the stock exchange is going to benefit immediately?think the stock exchange is going to benefit immediately?think the stock exchange is going to benefit immediately?

    Second of all, for companies that are just shy of theSecond of all, for companies that are just shy of theSecond of all, for companies that are just shy of theSecond of all, for companies that are just shy of theSecond of all, for companies that are just shy of the

    capitalization requirements to list, what can be done forcapitalization requirements to list, what can be done forcapitalization requirements to list, what can be done forcapitalization requirements to list, what can be done forcapitalization requirements to list, what can be done for

    them? What measures can be taken to improve theirthem? What measures can be taken to improve theirthem? What measures can be taken to improve theirthem? What measures can be taken to improve theirthem? What measures can be taken to improve their

    access to financing?access to financing?access to financing?access to financing?access to financing?

    Aung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung ThuraAung Thura::::: Myanmar is a bit odd. In other countries, there is

    a clear distinction between private companies and public companies,

    and public companies are usually listed. In Myanmar, the situation

    is that there are many public companies that are not likely to be

    listed once the exchange is established. While these companies

    enjoy public status, their shares are not traded on an exchange,

    as is standard practice elsewhere in the world.

    Over the past year, the government allowed new public

    companies to form once again, but without a securities exchange

    law in place, public companies function in a very unregulated

    manner. Around 60 companies were formed over the past year,

    but there are no tough requirements in place in terms of formulating

    a prospectus, for example. In other countries, a prospectus is

    generally around 300 pages, but here it might be six pages. There

    was one company that recently released a detailed and professionalprospectus of around 90 pages, but its not as though there was

    anything legally binding that compelled them to do so. They did

    this of their own accord, as they saw it as increasing their chances

    of attracting investment.

    In terms of actually being allowed to sell shares, the process

    is pretty simple companies have to submit their prospectuses to

    DICA (Directorate of Investment and Company Administration),

    and if their applications are approved, they can begin to sell shares.

    But because there are basically no formal exchanges, companies

    often do so in odd ways. Ive seen companies selling shares from

    booths outside of City Mart [a Yangon supermarket].

    There are also many public companies that are not true

    public companies. Companies are often motivated to go public toavail themselves of certain advantages; for example, the government

    is now hesitant to give contracts to private companies, as they do

    not want to be seen as favouring the cronies that have long

    dominated Myanmars economy. Forming a public company is a

    typical way of circumventing this problem; the public company

    will get the contract, which it will then subcontract out to its private

    affiliate.

    Many public companies are managed like private companies

    problem is that, until now, they have received special treatment

    from the state and would not have had to pay taxes. From here

    on, they will no longer have exclusive access to certain economic

    areas. If they do not start to reform, especially with foreign

    investment coming in, they might be left behind as foreign

    companies will not want to partner with them, as they will perceive

    their products to be inferior to those produced by the private sector.

    These companies will have to decide whether they want to privatise,

    and by doing so reduce their military affiliations. If they do this,

    they can be removed from sanctions lists and become viable partners

    for international investors.

    ACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMENACUMEN : We discussed the stock exchange before,: We discussed the stock exchange before,: We discussed the stock exchange before,: We discussed the stock exchange before,: We discussed the stock exchange before,

    which is a big step forward in terms of modernizationwhich is a big step forward in terms of modernizationwhich is a big step forward in terms of modernizationwhich is a big