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Capex ProjectReport
Acumen Education, Sonari
Group 4Jay Amin | B13028
Sandeep Mishra | B13111Anik Roy | B13010
Ayush Goenka | B13141Ishu Mahajan | B13151
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Acumen Education
The Assistant. General Manager,
Central Bank of India
Jamshedpur
Dear Sir,
Subject: Request for term loan of INR 464 Million
We take this opportunity to collaborate with you for building educational infrastructure in
Jamshedpur, Jharkhand. The state of Jharkhand has been focal point of India’s industrial development
and growth story. Over the years, the state has developed various other industries in addition to the
pioneering enterprise of the steel behemoth; Tata Steel Ltd. Tata Motors is another example of groups’
presence in the state. State due to its rich mineral resources has also become metals and mining
centre of the country. The government is also focussing on promoting the state as a major industrial
centre in the east zone of India. Many industrial hubs in Jharkhand are slated to witness considerablegrowth in business and allied activities. The state is filled with burgeoning educated and middle class
and upper middle class working in these huge enterprises. They are particularly conscious about
education and skill development.
Jharkhand already has world class management institutes such as Xavier Labour Relations Institute
(XLRI) and IIM Ranchi which offer premium post graduate programmes in management. At the
undergraduate level Jharkand has the National Institute of Technology (NIT) Jamshedpur, BIT Sindri
and BIT Mesra which offer engineering degree across multiple disciplines. Jharkhand also has good
medical colleges such as RIMS in Ranchi.
However, Jharkhand lacks presence of a reputed undergraduate commerce college where students
can pursue commerce. At present they have no choice but to move to other educational hubs such as
Delhi, Mumbai or Kolkata. Kolhan University established in 2009 is not up to the mark for the local
gentry.
It is in this context that our group, Acumen Education, has undertaken the onus of constructing and
operating a full-fledged commerce college in Jamshedpur. In view of the existing demand for quality
commerce education we see great potential in the business of establishing and providing highereducational services to the state. The financial case for the same has been built henceforth.
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Business Model
We are starting an undergraduate college which offers degree programs in commerce stream and
computer applications. The degrees offered under the commerce stream will be
1. Bachelors in commerce (B.com)
2. Bachelors in Business Administration (BBA)
3.
Bachelor of Finance and Investment Analysis (BFIA)4. Bachelors in Economics (B.A. Eco)
We will offer the degree of Bachelors in computer application (BCA) under the computer application
stream.
All of the above courses are three year programs with semester system in place. Since many of our
students will be from out of city of Jamshedpur we are also offering a hostel and lodging facility for a
reasonable rate for 50% of the maximum student intake. Each of these courses will have annual
intake of batch of 60 students. Hence each academic year will have 300 students across all the degrees
in total and the total student base of college would be 900 students.
Construction of college is expected to begin in September 2014 and should be completed by March
2016. The college will be operational by June 2016.
Total Cost
Head Cost
Building 463.97
Land & Site Development 39.27
Furniture& Fixtures 20.77Kitchen & Washing Equipment 1.00
Electronic & Other Misc. Equipments 7.34
Preoperative Expenses 8.14
Preliminary Expenses 2.82
Sub Total Capex 543.31
Working Capital Margin 5.58
Contingency Costs 29.87
Total Capex 578.76
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Management and Promoter Group
Acumen Education is a venture by four Business Management graduates from XLRI Jamshedpur to
provide quality Under-graduate education in and around the areas of Jamshedpur. The promoter
group intends to sub-lease the land in the Sonari area and set up a state-of-the art Under-graduate
University. The promoter group comprises individuals with commendable professional and
educational background. None of the promoters have ever been on the defaulter’s list which in turn
makes sure that they are very high on credit worthiness. All of the Promoters have a very strong
credit worthiness and have never been accused of any kind of immoral behaviour and have never
been on the defaulter’s list. A brief snapshot of the Promoter group is given below. The complete
biographies are attached in the appendices.
Name of the company Acumen Education
Proposed date of Incorporation 30-09-2013
Proposed Legal Status Private Limited Company
Proposed to be registered with Registrar of Companies, JamshedpurProposed Board of Directors Ram Kumar Agarwal, Sajjan Bansal,
NareshModi, Pushkar Gupta
Proposed registered office Jamshedpur
Proposed Project Establishing an under-graduateuniversity in Jamshedpur
Expected date of commencement of
operations 01-06-2016
FinancingLong -term debt will be the major source of funding of the fixed assets of our business. The share
capital of the company will be Rs 116 million. The debt-equity ratio (pre-capitalization of interest) will
be 4:1. Therefore, the long term debt that the company seeks is Rs 464 million. This amount will be
utilized towards construction of fixed assets. This is in compliance with the regulation pertaining to
such loans.
The long- term borrowing shall be secured against buildings. The Gross Block value of these buildings
in the opening year is Rs 586 million, which clearly covers the principal amount of the loan that is
sought. The Written down value of these buildings in subsequent years will also be more than the
unpaid principal amount of long-term loan outstanding.
The asset specificity of the assets under consideration is not very general, so these assets in a highly
unlikely case of default can also be disposed off at or below market value.
As per the rules of the bank, despite ours being a company form of organization, the promoters shall
be personally liable for the long-term loan taken.
The Base rate of CBI is currently at 10.25%. The spread on the loan depends on the credit worthiness
and past experience of the promoter. The experience of our promoters in the field of education, the
positive results in the pro-forma estimates despite conservative estimates of our project and pasttrack-record of timely repayment of borrowings by promoters is what will let us get the loan at an
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interest rate of 11.25% i.e. spread of 1% over the base rate of CBI. We believe that this would be a
conservative estimate of interest rate.
As per the credit rating model of a leading bank, our Credit Score is 1 on 10, which gives a poor credit
risk quality in the first year. However, this is for the first year of the project when we are not at full
capacity, over and after year 3 project’s credit capacity improves highly.
As per our discussions, the interest on the loan amount is considered to be charged on simple interest
basis during the construction period of one and half year (1.5 years). The interest accrued during the
first one and a half year is capitalized and paid in the subsequent years.
The total loan repayment period comes out to be 9.5 years with a moratorium being enjoyed on both
principal and interest payment during the construction period of 1.5 years.
The loan is effectively repaid in 8 annual instalments commencing from the end of the first year of
operations on an Equated Yearly Instalment basis.
Debt Repayment Schedule
The long-term loan has been taken for construction of the required buildings and infrastructure for
smooth running of the college. For the first 1.5 years the interest (finance cost) on the loan is not paid
when it’s due but is capitalized and added to the loan amount outstanding. Apart from the first 1.5
years the interest is repaid as and when it is due. The repayment of the outstanding loan begins in FY
2017 (1st year of operations) and the repayment is completed by FY 2024.
Short Term Loan
The short-term loan in our case will be taken in the form of cash credit line from CBI. This loan would
be availed to meet the repayment obligation of debt and to run the operations of the business.
2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
Working CapitalRevolver 81.98 141.58 153.81 150.05 131.73 104.79 74.76 58.90 -
Particulars FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024
Opening Loan
Amount463.18 479.34 511.65 468.90 421.34 368.43 309.56 244.07 171.22 90.17
Finance Cost
Incurred16.16 32.31 57.56 52.75 47.40 41.45 34.83 27.46 19.26 10.14
Finance Cost Paid - - 57.56 52.75 47.40 41.45 34.83 27.46 19.26 10.14
Principal
Repayment- - 42.75 47.56 52.91 58.86 65.49 72.85 81.05 90.17
Ending Loan
Amount479.34 511.65 468.90 421.34 368.43 309.56 244.07 171.22 90.17 -
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Forecast of Financial Performance
As on 31st March 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E Gross Revenues (in Rs. Mn.) 40.95 95.21 164.47 193.01 213.32 223.99 235.19 246.95 259.29
EBITDA (in Rs.
Mn) 17.66 54.45 103.01 125.32 140.72 148.60 156.27 164.33 172.79
EBITDA as %
Sales 43% 57% 63% 65% 66% 66% 66% 67% 67%
EBIT (in Rs.
Mn.) (21.38) 19.83 71.80 96.82 114.45 124.20 133.49 142.97 152.70
EBIT as % Sales -52% 21% 44% 50% 54% 55% 57% 58% 59%
PBT(in Rs. Mn.) (78.94) (45.22) 7.63 33.22 56.83 75.61 96.49 119.36 142.67PBT as % Sales -193% -47% 5% 17% 27% 34% 41% 48% 55%
PAT (in Rs. Mn.) (78.94) (45.22) 7.63 33.22 56.83 75.61 88.52 84.91 100.51PAT as % Sales -193% -47% 5% 17% 27% 34% 38% 34% 39%
Net Worth (in
Rs. Mn.) 36.86 (8.36) (0.73) 32.49 89.32 164.93 253.46 338.37 438.88
DSCR 0.18 0.43 0.87 1.03 1.18 1.27 1.30 1.16 NA
D/E 4.76 4.86 4.51 3.97 3.25 2.38 1.42 0.51 -Outstanding
Term Loan 468.90 421.34 368.43 309.56 244.07 171.22 90.17 - -
Project IRR 25.77%Equity IRR 43.13%
A detailed project report has been enclosed herewith along with other supporting documents to
corroborate the merit of the credit limit sought by Acumen Education. We hope to seek your
participation in the said venture. In the event of the need for any further clarification or information,
we shall be glad to provide the same.
Managing Director,Acumen EducationAugust 20, 2014
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ContentsBusiness Model ................................................................................................................................................................. 3
Total Cost .......................................................................................................................................................................... 3
Management and Promoter Group .................................................................................................................................. 4
Financing ........................................................................................................................................................................... 4
Debt Repayment Schedule ................................................................................................................................................ 5
Short Term Loan ................................................................................................................................................................ 5
Forecast of Financial Performance ................................................................................................................................... 6
Contents ............................................................................................................................................................................ 7
Acknowledgement ............................................................................................................................................................ 9
Management and Promoter Group ................................................................................................................................ 10
Credit Worthiness Analysis ............................................................................................................................................. 11
Project Proposal (Undergraduate Private Commerce College) ...................................................................................... 12
Porter’s Five Forces ......................................................................................................................................................... 15
Rationale ......................................................................................................................................................................... 16
Project Implementation Schedule .................................................................................................................................. 17
Project consultant ........................................................................................................................................................... 17
Operations Plan ............................................................................................................................................................... 17Infrastructure .................................................................................................................................................................. 18
Regulatory Compliance ................................................................................................................................................... 19
Forecast Assumptions ..................................................................................................................................................... 20
Fundamental Analysis ..................................................................................................................................................... 21
Liquidity and Coverage Analysis .................................................................................................................................. 21
Profitability Analysis .................................................................................................................................................... 22
Du Pont Analysis.......................................................................................................................................................... 22
Altman Z-Scores .......................................................................................................................................................... 23
NPV Analysis .................................................................................................................................................................... 23
Analysis of NPV, IRR and MIRR of the Project ............................................................................................................. 23
Project IRR ................................................................................................................................................................... 26
Equity IRR .................................................................................................................................................................... 26
Project MIRR ............................................................................................................................................................... 26
Equity MIRR ................................................................................................................................................................. 27
Pay-Back Period .......................................................................................................................................................... 27
Breakeven Analysis ..................................................................................................................................................... 27
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Sensitivity Analysis .......................................................................................................................................................... 28
Risk Mitigation ................................................................................................................................................................ 31
Real Options .................................................................................................................................................................... 32
Balance Sheet (Rs mn) as on financial year ending 31st March ..................................................................................... 33
Statement for Profit and Loss for Years Ended (Rs mn) .................................................................................................. 34
Cash Flow Statement (Rs Mn)For Year Ended: ............................................................................................................... 35
Annexure ......................................................................................................................................................................... 36
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Acknowledgement
We would like to take this opportunity to thank the following individuals for their contribution to our
project. Without their valuable guidance and support, this project would not have been feasible.
Mr. Lawrence Francis, Founder, Lawrence-Kunj and associates.
Mr. Bino Jose, Librarian, XLRI Jamshedpur.
Mrs. Anshu Jha, Central Bank of India, Jamshedpur Branch.
Mr. Kamlesh, Accounts Department, XLRI Jamshedpur.
Mr. Ravi and Mr. Vinay, IT Support, XLRI Jamshedpur.
We would also like to express our sincere gratitude to Prof. S.S., Finance Area, XLRI Jamshedpur. He
has been a constant source of inspiration and the guiding light behind this project.
August 20, 2014
Jamshedpur
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Management and Promoter Group
Acumen Education Pvt. Ltd. is a venture by four Business Management graduates from XLRI
Jamshedpur to provide quality Under-graduate education in and around the areas of Jamshedpur. The
promoter group intends to sub-lease the land in the Sonari area and set up a state-of-the art Under-
graduate University. The promoter group comprises individuals with commendable professional andeducational background. None of the promoters have ever been on the defaulter’s list which in turn
makes sure that they are very high on credit worthiness. All of the Promoters have a very strong
credit worthiness and have never been accused of any kind of immoral behavior and have never been
on the defaulter’s list. A brief snapshot of the Promoter group is given below. The complete
biographies are attached in the appendices.
A Brief Profile of the Promoters is mentioned here-under. The complete CV’s of the promoters are
attached in the appendix:
Ram Kumar Agarwal was a senior consultant in a global Consulting Firm. Prior to that he was apartner with a leading wealth management firm and before that he served as a senior manager in
the Credit Risk Management Group of leading bank. He is an alumnus in Business Management
from XLRI Jamshedpur and an economics graduate from St. Stephens College.
His work experience includes
Senior Consultant, Delloite Consulting LLP (2007-2013)
Partner, Burt Wealth Advisors (2005-2007)
Senior Manager, Credit risk management group, CITI Bank (2003-2005)
Sajjan Bansal served on the board of SEBI. He was also a global business consultant for a
prestigious consulting firm for several years. Prior to that he washead of Statutory Audit and
Compliances department for one of the big four Audit firms. He is a commerce graduate in
accounting and finance from St. Xavier’s College Kolkata and is also a Qualified Chartered
Accountant and Cost Accountant. His comfort with numbers and shrewd business strategies and
analytical acumen ensures a smooth development of finances and business strategies.
His work experience includes:
Whole-time Manager, Securities Exchange Board of India ( 2009-2013)
Senior Consultant, Monitor Group (2005-2009) Senior Mgr. , Statutory Audit and Compliances, Price Waterhouse Coopers (2001-2005)
Naresh Modiwas a board member of the West Bengal Higher Secondary Board. He served as
senior manager in a global Private Equity firm after starting his career in an equity research
company. He is a qualified CFA charter holder and an alumnus in Mechanical Engineering from IIT
KGP and Business Management from XLRI Jamshedpur. He has worked across sectors in key roles
in finance with bulk of experience coming in the banking and oil and gas sector.
His work experience includes
Board Member, West Bengal Higher Secondary Board (2011-2013) Senior Manager, Leonard Green and Partners (2007-2011) Senior Analyst, Nomura Equity Research (2005-2007)
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Pushkar Gupta has worked with the Government of India in the Human Resource Development
Ministry. His most recent stint has been as the Joint Secretary in the Ministry. He is an IAS officer
of batch of 1990. He has worked with MHRD on several initiatives and projects undertaken by
different elected governments to increase private sector participation in education sector. He has
an engineering degree from IIT Guwahati and is an MBA from XLRI Jamshedpur.
Credit Worthiness Analysis
Based on the traditional 5-C model, the following is a credit worthiness check on the promoter group,Acumen Education
1. CHARACTER: The promoters of the trust have maintained a sound professional record with anin-depth understanding of the Education industry. With a strong pedigree in professionaleducation, they have gone on to establish their claim by working with reputed firms in theconcerned industry.
2. CAPITAL: 20% of the investment will be made by the promoters themselves. The promotergroup has already undertaken negotiations in executing the land sub-lease from Tata Steel Ltd.to establish the undergraduate college in Jamshedpur. We can safely assume a growingdemand and high profitability for under graduate education in Jamshedpur. Hence, thepromoters’ capital is not only expected to stay protected but would also grow in the future.
3. CAPACITY : As the business is catering to an ever increasing demand of quality education incourses like BCOM, BBA, BFIA and BA Eco in the under-graduate the overall performance of theventure is expected to improve in the future. Given the prominence of Jharkhand as a major
industrial hub with burgeoning middle class and considering the fact that its cities are wellconnected in terms of rail and road, the students from other parts of the state would find itconvenient to study in Jamshedpur. The case for growing demand in the under-graduateeducation business has been established in a very big way in the subsequent portions of thereport. Moreover, there are few competing colleges offering same program with high quality inthe area hence we can safely expect that within few years of operations we will be operating atfull capacity.
4. COLLATERAL: The University would be constructed on the land sub-leased from Tata SteelLtd. The 7-acre land is located on C.H. Road, Sonari area next to Military camp of Jamshedpur.The promoters would own the college establishment in terms of the infrastructure assets andthe capital expenditure thus incurred. The fixed assets would be offered as the collateral to thelender.
5. CONDITION: While the case for the growing demand and the financial suitability of theenterprise would be dealt with in a very prominent way for most parts of the report, it issufficient to mention here that the growth and demand for under-graduate education is onlybound to increase in India. Already home to two quality institutes like XLRI and NITJamshedpur, the region has substantial number of students who want to pursue non-engineering courses but have to go out of the state to pursue the same. We look at this ventureas a feasible and a quality alternative to cater to this huge demand.
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Credit Worthiness: Numerical Scorecard
The attempted calculation of the numerical score for the credit worthiness of the project displays astrong performance. The scores improve from 1.0 to 6.1 on a 10 point scale during the explicitforecast period.The scorecard includes ratios/indicators from profitability and liquidity considerations.
Parameter Total D/ENet
Debt/EBITDA
Current
RatioROE
EBIT
Interest
Coverage
DSCR NPMEBITDA margin
trendTotal
Weights 0.5 2 0.25 0.25 2 1 2 2 10
Value(FY2017) 4.76 30.84 3.89 (2.14) 0.32 0.18 (1.92) -
Score 1 1 8 1 1 1 1 1.0
Value(FY2018) 4.86 10.16 3 5.41 0.81 0.43 (0.48) Favourable
Score 1 1 7 10 1 1 1 10 3.2
Value(FY2019) 4.51 4.97 2.1 (10.5) 1.83 0.87 0.046 Favourable
Score 1 1 5 1 4 2 1 10 3.6
Value(2020) 3.97 3.58 1.89 1.02 2.5 1.03 0.172 Favourable
Score 3 3 4 3 6 3 1 10 4.6
Value(2021) 3.25 2.59 1.79 0.64 3.4 1.18 0.27 Favourable
Score 4 5 4 2 7 3 1 10 5.3
Value(2022) 2.38 1.78 1.78 0.46 4.64 1.27 0.34 Stable
Score 6 7 4 1 10 3 1 5 5.3
Value(2023) 1.42 0.98 1.77 0.35 6.78 1.3 0.38 Stable
Score 8 9 4 1 10 3 1 5 5.8
Value(2024) 0.51 0.28 1.76 0.25 11.48 1.16 0.34 Stable
Score 9 10 4 1 10 3 1 5 6.1
Project Proposal (Undergraduate Private Commerce College)
Business Model
The Business Model is to develop and operate an Undergraduate commerce college in Jamshedpur,Jharkhand at Sonari. The above said location is currently leased by (Indian Army) and we havedecided to sub-lease the land from m/s Tata Steel Ltd. We plan to construct an academic block,residential hostel and library along with other land development for sports activities and parking. Thecollege is expected to enrol a total of 900 students across all the disciplines and years of degree at aparticular point in time once the college reaches its full capacity i.e. in 2019. We are targeting wards(who want to pursue non-medical and non-engineering education) of working middle and upper classpopulation in state of Jharkhand. We expect an increase in their already high affluence with growingindustrialisation of the state and a commensurate increase in their buying power. We also believe thatthis market is uncontested space till date and is expected to remain so in the near future.
We will attract and recruit full-time faculty to provide quality education to our students in order toestablish a strong brand (as a provider of solid educational foundation) for our college amongst the
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student fraternity. We forsee a shortage of faculty in this state but we intend to attract them fromneighbouring states where higher educational faculty are plenty for example Kolkata (West Bengal)and Bhubaneswar (Orissa).
Theme
To develop a UG commerce collegecampus in Jamshedpur within an area of 28,338 sqm. The main
idea is to capture UG commerce education demand in Jharkhanddue to absence of such an institute.We propose a business plan which is essentially exploiting a market gap in Jharkhand’s Education
Industry. We hope that this institute will cater to the growing demands of the city and the adjoining
districts in the state.Education Industry outlook
A Macro-Economic Perspective
Education in India
The Indian education sector is said to be one of the largest sun rise sectors of the Indian economy.
According to the India Ratings1 report on Education sector in India, the market size of Indian
education sector is set to increase to Rs. 602,410 crore ($109.84 billion) by FY15 from Rs 341,180
crore in FY12. This increase is majorly due to the increased emphasis on quality education by the
Indian middle class. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of the education sector over the
period FY05-FY12 was 16.5%.
At present there are about 7002 universities and around 35,000 colleges. 85% of these students are
pursuing bachelor’s degree and about 16% of this student population is pursuing engineering and
technology programmes. But recently a huge spurt has been seen in the number of students opting for
commerce and arts courses. The government intends to increase the number of students going in forhigher education to 30% by 2020 and to fulfill this goal India needs around 35,000 3 colleges.
Although the Government’s expenditure spend on education is 3.35% of the GDP (FY12 Budget
estimates) the quality of education in the government run institutes as well as the infrastructure of
these institutes is abysmally poor. Therefore, there is a need of private institutes in the country.
Why Jamshedpur?
Jamshedpur, which is predominantly an industrial city, is the largest urban conglomeration4 of
Jharkhand. It houses factories of Tata steel, Tata Motors, Tinplate, etc. All the middle level and seniorlevel managers of these companies reside in Jamshedpur. There are also many small scale industries
located in Adityapur Industrial Estate. Adityapur has also been a major industrial hotspot for many
years. Thus, there is no doubt as to the buying power of people residing in Jamshedpur.
Jamshedpur is very well connected to other major cities in the country and there are frequent bus
services available from Jamshedpur to other neighboring major cities such as Ranch and Kolkata.
1 India ratings 2013 Outlook: Indian Education Sector2 India Brand Equity Foundation – www.ibef.org updated as of June 14, 20143 Estimate of Ministry of Human Resource Development (HRD)4 www.wikipedia.com
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Jamshedpur has a high literacy rate of 85.94%4 much higher than national average of 74%. It also has
good quality schools such Sacred Heart Convent, Loyola school which will help our institute get the
required number of students per year. Thus, because Jamshedpur performs exceptionally well on the
parameters of demographics, connectivity and buying power we chose Jamshedpur as the location of
our institute.
Jharkhand Market Size: Commerce College
We have estimated the market size by using:
A bottom up approach with the help of primary data gathered from schools in and aroundJamshedpur.
A top-down analysis by gathering secondary data from the data provided through NCERT.
From both the above approaches the estimated demand per year is c.3000 from top-down approach
and around 30% of the students enrolling for higher education as per bottom-up approach.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
• Experienced and qualified
promoters
• Unique Location
• Professional Management
• Highly credible promoters
Weakness
• Promoters unfamiliar with
government machinery in the
state and lack the right network
of stakeholders
• Promoters handling the project
for the first time
• Promoters Lack the marketing
knowhow for going to marketOpportunity
• Very big middle class population
• Increasing literacy rate
• Lack of good institution in the
area
• Rising demand for quality non-
science undergraduate
institutions
• Excellent infrastructure in
Jamshedpur (good connectivity)
Threats
• Migration of students to
other states (e.g. Kolkata)
• Greater inclination towards
engineering
• Lack of availability of
lecturers and professors
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Porter’s Five Forces
1. Threat of New Entrant: Threat of new entrant and Competitive Rivalry is low (L) due to two main
reasons –
- High regulatory requirements in the state to open a college of this size and stature
- The long run effort required to build up reputation to run a college successfully
2. Buyer Power: Buyer Power and Threat of Substitution is low for this type of college as there is no
other college in Jharkhand which offers courses in B.Com, BBA, and BFIA etc. This will be a unique
opportunity for the students of Jharkhand to pursue these upcoming degree courses.
3. Supplier Power: The supplier power in our case is high because it is very difficult to retain
professors in a state like Jharkhand where the culture of such degree courses is not very prevalentand many employers of the talent do not exist.
4. Substitutes Power: Although there are many other courses which are remote substitutes for the
target market, the courses offered cover majority of the commerce undergraduate courses and so
students will definitely find the degree mix of the college exhaustive for their undergraduate
degree consideration set.
5. Competitive Rivalry: Due to growing nature of the market and absence of a university offering
such courses with a strong brandname the college will rarely face any rivalry.
6.
Overall the project is very attractive due to combination of the above mentioned market dynamics inthe industry.
Competitive
Rivalry (L)
Threat of
New
Entrant (L)
Buyer
Power (L)
Threat of
Substitution
(L)
Supplier
Power (H)
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7. The profitability of such projects will be very high because of high bargaining power of the college
which will translate into premium fees and full capacity this can be observe from high EBITDA margins
that are projected in our report as well as looking at Industry EBITDA which is about 45-55%.
Rationale
Increasing Demand of Higher education in Jharkhand
The Indian middle class has woken up to the need of quality education. The aspiring middle class of
our country sees higher education an essential requirement for a smooth career of their children.
Jharkhand is no exception to this trend. It has a population of around 3.3 croresand a literacy rate
which has seen major correction from 53.56% in 2001 to 66.41% in 2011. The trend of past data
suggests that more and more students of the state are going for higher education. Therefore, the
demand for higher education in this state is bound to witness a huge spike. But to cater to thisincreased demand there are hardly a few good institutes and even lesser to satiate the demand of
students aspiring for commerce education.
Why a Commerce College?
During our preliminary analysis we found out that Jharkhand has premiere institutes in the field of
engineering (NIT Jmashedpur, BIT Mesra). Jharkhand also houses the world-renown XLRI which runs
postgraduate programmes in management. Even medical aspirants have been catered to by the
opening of Rajendra Institute of Medical Sciences (RIMS, Ranchi). But what it lacks is a good quality
commerce college which offers courses for undergraduate students.
The feedback that we got from the academic fraternity regarding quality of education being offered in
Kolhan University with which our college experiences some overlap regarding the courses being
offered wasn’t positive. Therefore, we feel that Jharkhand has huge unmet demand for a good quality
commerce college. In fact, as of now students willing to pursue commerce at undergraduate level are
being forced to shift base to either New Delhi or Mumbai, just because of lack of a good quality
Commerce college in the state.
Why a not a Medical or an Engineering College?
Jharkhand already has a well-established engineering college and a medical college, NIT-Jamshedpur
and RIMS respectively. Existing presence of such big names in the state would make it tough for a
private medical or engineering college to carve a niche for itself within a few years.
Another factor influencing our decision is that the investment required to establish an engineering
college is much higher than that to set-up a commerce college because engineering colleges have
multiple streams and each of these streams require independent labs. Building these labs is extremely
expensive. The same is true for medical colleges. The equipment in these labs is also a huge expense.
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Attracting and recruiting faculty for medical and engineering colleges away from government colleges
in Jharkhand or getting faculty from other states to our college would also be extremely tough.
Therefore, we didn’t consider opening a Medical or Engineering college in Jharkhand.
Project Implementation Schedule
Tasks Start Date Completion Date
Month Ending
Land Acquistion Sept2013 Sept2014
Loan application & award Jan 2014 Sept 2014
Construction Sept 2014 Mar2016
External Development Sept2014 Mar2016
Hostel Construction Mar2015 Mar2016
Academic Block Mar2015 Jan, 2016
Libarary construction Sept 2014 Mar2016
Project consultantWe have hired reputed Consultants to conduct and provide a preliminary feasibility of the proposed project.
The key financial inputs are based on the discussions between us and various specialists:
Project Consultants
Architect Yogesh Katyal of KalpaakritiStructural Designer N.K. Shah Structural Engineers
Contractor Lawrence Francis of Lawrence-Kunj &Associates
Legal Counsel Luthra & LuthraEducation Sector Consultant Ankur Jain from TIME Education
Operations Plan
Items Details
Degrees conferred Bcom/BBA/BCA/ B. Econ/ BFIA
Students per degree per year (students in one class room) 60
Intake per year 300
Total Students Bcom 180
Total Students BBA 180
Total Students Econ 180Total Students Bachelor of Finance and Investment
Analysis 180
Total Students BCA 180
Total Students in the College at any time 900
Shifts 8:00 am to 1:00pm and 2:00pm to 7:00 pm
Total hrs of classes per week 20 hrs
Total Months in a Semester 4
Total Semesters in a year 2
Semester 1 July to October
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Semester 2 December to March
Total Amount of Faculty 22
Infrastructure
Land
We propose to lease a land area of 7 acre to house:
1. Academic block
2. Library
3. Hostel
Along with the same we propose to develop the remaining 80% of the land for roads, sewage systems,
street lamps, playing fields and parking. We are keeping so much land for two reasons a) In order to
have an option to expand in the future if the demand is higher than we expected b) To avoid
competition by blocking the available land in Jamshedpur (we might also sublease / rent the same for
family functions, school events and other events requiring land for the functions).
Academic Block
We propose to build a 3 floor academic building with area of 1500sqm with 8 Lecture halls, 1 Staff
room, 2 computer labs with 60 computers each and internet available in the academic area with Wifi.
First two floors will house the lecture halls and the third floor will house faculty offices. The whole
block will have AC through independent units. The academic block will also have Projectors & audiovisual instruments as well as other IT equipment such as printers and Xerox. Academic block will have
adequate furniture and fixtures for students as well as faculty for conducting classes.
Library
Library will be housed in an air-conditioned single floor building with area of 650sqm. It will include
adequate sitting furniture such as Tables and chairs as well as book wracks of steel on the lines
similar to the library at XLRI. We estimate that the total book requirement and hence total books in
the library will be 7200 books. This is after taking into account 3 books requirement per enrolled
student and 100 books requirement per faculty.
Hostel
We plan to build a hostel with capacity of 450 residents in the area of 1860sqm. There will be two
building each of 930 sqm one with 4 floors and other with 5 floors because it is difficult to construct a
high-rise building in Jamshedpur due to geological reasons. Hostel will also have mess facility housed
in one of the buildings. The student rooms will have spartan furniture for e.g. cots, table and chair and
mess will have cooking equipment for catering and cooking for residents.
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The major Components of cost are given below:
Head Cost
Building 463.97
Land & Site Development 39.27
Furniture& Fixtures 20.77
Kitchen & Washing Equipment 1.00Electronic & Other Misc. Equipments 7.34
Preoperative Expenses 8.14
Preliminary Expenses 2.82
Sub Total Capex 543.31
Working Capital Margin 5.58
Contingency Costs 29.87
Total Capex 578.76
Regulatory Compliance
Registration as a society under Societies Recognition Act, 1860
Obtaining “No Objection Certificate” from the Directorate ofHigher Education (DoHE)
Sub-Leasing the Land Required
Affiliation with a recognised University ( Ranchi University)
Follow the guidelines stated by UGC.
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Forecast Assumptions
Revenue from student fees
The student demand forecast is done by both a top-down approach and a bottom-up approach.
In the bottom-up approach we gathered primary data from schools in and around Jamshedpur.
Other places we considered include Bokaro, Ranchi and Dhanbad
We have assumed that we would provide for five degree courses with a maximum capacity of 60students in each course per year i.e. a total intake of 300 students.
In the bottom up approach we found that 30.62% of the total students in the schools take up non-science courses mainly commerce.
In the top down analysis we calculated the demand in Jharkhand by taking the data of number ofstudents enrolled in major districts in Jharkhand in class 12 and found that at least 3370 studentswould want to take up the courses offered by us. We expect that about 10% (a conservativeestimate) i.e. 300 students to take admission in our college.
We have assumed that in the first year of commencement i.e. FY2017, only 70% of the studentcapacity is utilized thus assuming that 210 students take admission in the first year. We have alsoassumed that the increase in capacity utilization increases to 85% in the second year and thenreach our maximum capacity henceforth.
We have assumed the fees to be INR 1.5 lakhs per year and have grown the fees at the rate of 5%YoY which is also equal to the inflation rate in education industry. Thus our revenues from studentfees have increased from INR 31.5 Mn in FY2017 to INR 199.46 Mn in FY2025, a CAGR of 25.94%.
The Operating Expenses are all estimated line-by-line using a top-down analysis, where this teamhas gone into great detail as to estimate minute details of the expenses, The detailed calculationsare provided in the Annexure.
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
I n R s M n
Revenue Growth & Breakup
Fees Revenue Hostel Revenue
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Revenue from Hostel fees
The hostel demand forecast for students is done by estimating the expected no of students perannum.
The maximum capacity for hostel accommodation is capped at 450 students. We have alsoassumed that only 50% of the incoming batch is given hostel accommodation.
In the first year of commencement i.e. FY2017, we have provided hostel accommodation to 105students and have reached our peak hostel capacity of 450 students in FY2019.
We have charged an annual hostel fee of INR 90K and have grown the same at the rate of 5% i.e. atthe inflation rate in the education industry.
We have also assumed a hostel outsourcing margin of 60% in FY2017 which has grown to 70% inFY2019 after which it is kept constant at the same level in our explicit forecasting period. We payhigh outsourcing costs initially because our hostel facilities are not fully operational and thus wepay higher. When we reach our maximum capacity in FY2019, we keep a higher amount of hostel
revenues with us and is constant in line with maximum hostel capacity henceforth. Net revenues (Inclusive of hostel outsourcing margin) has increased from INR 5.67 Mn in FY2017
to INR 41.89 Mn in FY2025, a CAGR of 28.4%.
The operating expenses are estimated line-by-line with a detailed estimation of each minutecomponent, the details of these are present in the annexure
Fundamental Analysis
Liquidity and Coverage Analysis
We can see that the DSCR of our company is low in the first few years this is because it takes time
before the admissions in the college pick-up. The DSCR of the company is greater than one 2020
onwards
The current ratio of the company is high in the 2017 but then it starts declining. This is because of
the working capital loan that the company takes to meet its operational cost and also its long-term
loan repayment
Interest coverage ratio for our company is increasing significantly over the years this is because
the long-term loan gets repaid over the years and also the operating income of the college
increases with time
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
DSCR 0.18 0.43 0.87 1.03 1.18 1.27 1.30 1.16
Current Ratio 3.89 3.00 2.10 1.89 1.79 1.78 1.77 1.76
Quick Ratio 3.28 2.55 1.77 1.58 1.50 1.50 1.49 1.49
Interest Coverage 0.32 0.81 1.83 2.50 3.40 4.64 6.78 11.48
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Profitability Analysis
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Operating Margin -52.2% 20.8% 43.7% 50.2% 53.7% 55.4% 56.8% 57.9% 58.9%
Net Profit Margin -192.8% -47.5% 4.6% 17.2% 26.6% 33.8% 37.6% 34.4% 38.8%
Operating Leverage (1.17) 3.25 1.62 1.45 1.37 1.32 1.29 1.27 1.25
Financial Leverage 0.27 (0.44) 9.41 2.91 2.01 1.64 1.38 1.20 1.07
Total Leverage (0.32) (1.42) 15.26 4.22 2.75 2.17 1.79 1.52 1.33
In the initial years the Net profit margin is negative. This is because of the burden of interest costs.
These interest costs reduce as and when the repayment of loan takes place. The Net profit Margin
for our company shall stabilize at around 38% in the long run
The operating margin for our company is initially negative this is because of lower number of
admissions in the first year but as we have more number of students the fixed costs get
apportioned over larger number of students and leads to an increase in margins
Financial leverage of our company is initially high as we have both long-term loan and Working
capital loan but with repayment of loan it starts getting reduced
Du Pont Analysis
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
ROE (2.14) 5.41 (10.48) 1.02 0.64 0.46 0.35 0.25 0.23
PAT/Net Sales -192.8% -47.5% 4.6% 17.2% 26.6% 33.8% 37.6% 34.4% 38.8%
Net Sales/TA 6.9% 17.1% 31.2% 38.7% 45.2% 49.9% 55.2% 60.9% 57.9%
TA/Total Equity 16.0 (66.8) (723.7) 15.3 5.3 2.7 1.7 1.2 1.0
ROE is negative in 2017 is because our Net profit margin is negative in the initial years this is
because of the interest cost of the loan that is taken and also because demand shall take time to
pick up
From the asset turnover ratio we can see that it is only with time i.e. as and when the demand
increases the assets starts to get utilized efficiently. Our major assets are the buildings that we
have constructed
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Altman Z-Scores
The Altman Z-score for our company is very low for the first 5 years. In fact the company lies in
the distress zone. The Z-score improves after that but still the company is in the grey zone w.r.t
bankruptcy
There has been huge investment in buildings and therefore the book value of the these buildings
is high. The rating is inversely related to the book value of the assets and this is the reason that
our company gets a low Altman Z-score
The main reason for low Altman Z-score is the negative working capital that our company has but
this is because the tuition fee is collected in advance from students
NPV Analysis
Analysis of NPV, IRR and MIRR of the Project
To evaluate the feasibility of the project we will be using the SCF techniques as we have already learntthat they are superior to any other techniques.
Actual tax paid is Zero till FY 2022 as the business losses of the previous years were set off. Postwhich, we have taxed the taxable income at 30% plus the applicable cess.
Denominator:
Unlevered Cost of Equity (ρ)
We have calculated the NPV of the project using the Adjusted Present Value Method
We acquired the asset betas or the unlevered betas of comparable firms in the educationbusiness from yahoo finance.
The overall unlevered beta or asset beta of Acumen Education is calculated by taking the meanof the asset betas of firms in the education business.
For Pvt. Firms 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
WC/TA 0.718 (0.13) (0.24) (0.28) (0.29) (0.27) (0.22) (0.16) (0.13) 0.15
RE/TA 0.847 (0.13) (0.22) (0.22) (0.17) (0.06) 0.11 0.32 0.55 0.72
EBIT/TA 3.1 (0.04) 0.04 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.28 0.31 0.35 0.34
BE/TL 0.42 0.06 (0.01) (0.00) 0.07 0.19 0.37 0.59 0.83 0.98
Sales/TA 0.998 0.07 0.17 0.31 0.39 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.61 0.58
Z Score (0.22) (0.09) 0.34 0.67 1.04 1.45 1.93 2.42 2.77
Zone Distress Distress Distress Distress Distress Grey Grey Grey Grey
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Levered Cost of Equity
Levered Cost of Equity can be given by the equation
ρ +( ρ-kd)*D/E = ke
Where
D = Market value of Debt
E = Market Value of Equity
ρ = Unlevered Cost of Equity
Kd = Cost of Debt
Ke = Levered Cost of Equity
However, here we note that the Debt and Equity both are market values hence we see a circularityproblem, so in order to avoid that we used the Goal-Seek function to arrive at correct values of Equityand Levered Cost of Equity (Ke).
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Now the WACC can be calculated by using both Kd, Ke and estimated market values of equity andbook value of debt each year.
Item Value
Asset Beta 0.68
Effective Tax Rate 30.9%
Risk Free Rate 8.50%
Market Risk Premium 7.12%
Unlevered Cost of Equity 13.34%
Remarks:
Risk free rate of return is taken as the yield on 10-year government bonds
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Numerator:
APV Method
1) In APV method we have estimated the FCF by the following steps2) We calculate the EBIT for respective years3) Then we calculate the Taxable EBIT by taking the Depreciation as per IT Act into consideration
and adding the interest expense on long term loan as well as the working capital revolver4) Then this income is adjusted for carry-forwards of tax-credits and then the tax payable is
estimated5) Then we substract this tax payable from EBIT and add back book depreciation and subtract
any investments in WC or CAPEX and then add back any debt repayments
Terminal Growth Rate has been assumed to be 8.50 % (current risk free rate)Terminal Value = 2863.29
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
DF (Rho
13.34%)
0.88 0.78 0.69 0.61 0.53 0.47 0.42 0.37 0.32
FCFF 17.55 56.45 101.06 100.11 109.54 114.06 118.26 122.83 127.77
Terminal
Value
(g=5%)
2863.29
PV 15.48 43.94 69.41 60.66 58.56 53.80 49.21 45.10 968.99
Unlevered
Value
1365.16 1,529.75 1,677.40 1,800.13 1,940.19 2,089.51 2,254.22 2,436.71 2,638.98 2,863.29
Tax Shield - - - - - - 121.62 7.30 3.10
P.V. of Tax
Shield
54.30 61.54 69.75 79.06 89.60 101.56 115.11 8.85 2.73 0.00
Enterprise
Value
1419.46 1,591.29 1,747.15 1,879.19 2,029.80 2,191.06 2,369.32 2,445.56 2,641.71 2,863.29
Debt 511.65 550.88 562.91 522.24 459.61 375.81 276.01 164.93 58.90 -
Equity Value 907.81 1,040.41 1,184.23 1,356.95 1,570.19 1,815.26 2,093.31 2,280.63 2,582.81 2,863.29
D/E 0.56 0.53 0.48 0.38 0.29 0.21 0.13 0.07 0.02 -
Ke 14.52% 14.15% 13.89% 13.72% 13.60% 13.50% 13.43% 13.37% 13.30% 13.34%Kd 11.25% 11.81% 12.19% 12.35% 12.47% 12.56% 12.67% 12.95% 15.00% 0.00%
WACC 12.09% 12.08% 12.13% 12.28% 12.47% 12.68% 12.89% 13.07% 13.24% 13.34%
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
EBIT (21.38) 19.83 71.80 96.82 114.45 124.20 133.49 142.97 152.70
Taxable EBIT (48.13) (2.43) 52.75 80.46 100.50 112.46 123.77 135.09 146.47
Taxable EBIT
(Carry Forward)
2.18 80.46 100.50 112.46 123.77 135.09 146.47
Tax Paid If no
Loan
- - (0.67) (24.86) (31.05) (34.75) (38.24) (41.74) (45.26)
Add: Dep. 39.04 34.62 31.21 28.50 26.27 24.40 22.78 21.36 20.09
Capex 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change in WC (0.11) 2.00 (1.28) (0.35) (0.13) 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.24
FCFF 17.55 56.45 101.06 100.11 109.54 114.06 118.26 122.83 127.77
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Project IRRFY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
FCF 17.55 56.45 101.06 100.11 109.54 114.06 118.26 122.83 127.77
Terminal Value 2863.29
Initial
Investment
-627.45
Project IRR 25.77%
Equity IRRFY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
EBIT (21.38) 19.83 71.80 96.82 114.45 124.20 133.49 142.97 152.70
Tax Paid - - - - - - (7.96) (34.45) (42.16)
Capex 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change in WC (0.11) 2.00 (1.28) (0.35) (0.13) 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.24
Add: Dep 39.04 34.62 31.21 28.50 26.27 24.40 22.78 21.36 20.09
LT Debt Repaid (42.75) (47.56) (52.91) (58.86) (65.49) (72.85) (81.05) (90.17) -
ST Debt Repaid 81.98 59.60 12.23 (3.76) (18.31) (26.94) (30.03) (15.87) (58.90)
Interest Paid (57.56) (65.05) (64.17) (63.60) (57.61) (48.59) (37.00) (23.61) (10.02)
FCFE -115.80 (0.79) 3.44 (3.11) (1.26) (0.83) 0.43 0.45 0.48 61.94
Terminal Value 2863.29
-115.80 -0.79 3.44 -3.11 -1.26 -0.83 0.43 0.45 0.48 2,925.23
Equity IRR 43.13%
Project MIRR
As we see that the MIRR of the project is well above the WACC. Hence it is a feasible project and will add wealth.
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
Project MIRR vs WACC
WACC Project MIRR
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
FCFF 17.55 56.45 101.06 100.11 109.54 114.06 118.26 122.83 2,991.06WACC 12.08% 12.13% 12.28% 12.47% 12.68% 12.89% 13.07% 13.24% 13.34%
Re-investment Factor 2.61 2.33 2.08 1.85 1.64 1.45 1.28 1.13 1.00
Value at the end of 9 years (627.45) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4,199.06
Project MIRR 23.52%
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Equity MIRRFY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
FCFE (0.79) 3.44 (3.11) (1.26) (0.83) 0.43 0.45 0.48 2,925.23
Cost of Equity 14.15% 13.89% 13.72% 13.60% 13.50% 13.43% 13.37% 13.30% 13.34%
Re-investment
Rate
2.76 2.42 2.13 1.87 1.65 1.46 1.28 1.13 1.00
Value after 9
years
115.80 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,922.8
Equity MIRR 43.15%
As the Cost of Equity is less than the equity MIRR it will add value to the shareholders wealth
Pay-Back Period
We have calculated the payback period, which is the time that their capital would be invested in thecompany. It comes out to be 7 years and 3 months from the gestation period.
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026
FCFF 17.55 56.45 101.06 100.11 109.54 114.06 118.26 122.83 127.77 138.63
Cash Flow 17.55 74.00 175.05 275.16 384.70 498.76 617.02 739.85 867.61 1,006.24
Initial 627.45
Pay Back Period- 7 years and 3 Months
Breakeven AnalysisFor Year 2017
For our project to break-even in the FY 2017 (on a profit before tax basis in the first year of
operation), the tuition fee to be charged per annum per student comes out to be Rs 2.65 lakhs.
For Year 2018
For our institute to break-even by FY 2018 (on a profit before tax basis in the second year of
operation), the tuition fee to be charged per annum per student comes out to be Rs. 2.48 lakhs.
If we charge the same fees i.e. 1.5 lakhs per student per annum then we find that even if we operate at
full capacity we are unable to break even on PBT basis in the first year of operation.
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
50.00%
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
Equity MIRR vs WACC
Cost of Equity Equity MIRR
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Sensitivity Analysis
Rho vs Groth rate
Growth
Rho
1,419 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0%
12.5% 1,373 1,464 1,574 1,713 1,890 2,128 2,460
12.8% 1,313 1,394 1,492 1,614 1,767 1,968 2,24113.0% 1,258 1,331 1,419 1,525 1,659 1,831 2,059
13.3% 1,208 1,274 1,352 1,446 1,563 1,711 1,905
13.5% 1,161 1,221 1,291 1,375 1,478 1,607 1,773
13.8% 1,118 1,172 1,235 1,311 1,402 1,515 1,658
14.0% 1,077 1,127 1,184 1,252 1,333 1,433 1,557
14.3% 1,040 1,085 1,137 1,198 1,271 1,359 1,468
The Sensitivity analysis above suggests that NPV is highly sensitive to rho and growth rate
The Beta unlevered used is 0.68, the risk free rate is 8.5% and the equity risk premium is 7.12% 5.
The rho for our business comes out to be 13.34% and the growth assumed id 8.5%
As we can see that despite conservative assumptions the NPV of the project is strong and
therefore, this project has tremendous potential
NPV vs Change in Staff Salary
Staff salary forms a major portion of our costs and therefore we thought of studying the sensitivity of
NPV with respect to staff salary. At present we have assumed that each professor on an average
charges Rs 8 lakhs per annum even if there was a 15% increase in this salary we would have a good
NPV for this project.
5 Calculate by Mr. Pitabas Mohanty
Change in
Staff Salary
NPV (Rs
mn)
-15% 1,446
-10% 1,437
-5% 1,428
0% 1,419
5% 1,410
10% 1,402
15% 1,393
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PV vs Change in Student FEE
Since, student fee is our only source of revenue it is important to study the impact of change in student fee peracademic year on NPV. A fall of 15% in student fee from the current Rs 1.5 lakh per annum would result in a fall in
NPV but only to 1,236 mn. Thus, this project has huge potential
Project MIRR vs Staff Salary
It is important to study the impact of staff salary on project MIRR. In the worst case a 15% increase in staff salary will
lead to reduction in project MIRR by 1.3%
Change in
Student
Fee
NPV (Rs
mn)
-15% 1,236.84-10% 1,297.57
-5% 1,358.45
0% 1,419.46
5% 1,480.60
10% 1,798.50
15% 1,954.71
%Change in
Staff Salary
%Change in
Project MIRR
-15% 1.3%
-10% 0.8%
-5% 0.4%
0% 0.0%
5% -0.4%
10% -0.9%
15% -1.3%
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Project MIRR vs Change in Student Fee
The impact of change in student fee is observed over project MIRR. A 15% reduction in student fee leads to an
approximate 9% reduction in project MIRR.
Interest Rate vs NPV
% change inInterest rate
% change inNPV
-13.333% -0.63%
-8.889% -0.42%
-4.444% -0.21%
0.000% 0.00%
4.444% 0.21%
8.889% 0.43%
13.333% 0.66%
17.778% 0.89%
Interest Rate vs Equity MIRR
% change inInterest Rate
% change inEquity MIRR
-13% 0.62%
-9% 0.42%
-4% 0.21%
0% 0.00%
4% -0.21%
9% -0.43%
13% -0.66%
18% -0.79%
% Change in
student Fee % Change in
Project MIRR
-15% -8.9%
-10% -5.8%
-5% -2.8%
0% 0.0%
5% 2.7%
10% 14.8%
15% 20.0%
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Risk Mitigation
Construction Period Risk
Risk Factor Risk Nature Proposed Mitigation Mechanism
Regulatory Risks -
Approvals needed from variousGoverning Authorities
- Risks involved in leasing land of
required amount
-
Thorough screening of consultants to behired
- All regulations to be obtained before
starting construction- MOU for land leasing to be signed
beforehand- Land leasing to be done before any
project execution
Construction Defectand Cost OverrunRisk
- Stringent qualification criteria for EPCContractor to be followed including pastexperience
-
Quality Requirements to be strictlymentioned in EPC Contract- Timelines and project milestones to be
clearly communicated- Regular Supervision onsite report
collection to be done- Contingency Provision made for current
cost overrun- Insurance to cover damages
- Performance security clause to be addedin
Operating Period Risk
Student/Sales Risk - Marketing and branding exercises to be
followed in target schools and collegefairs before start of term
Availability ofProfessors/Lecturers
- Enter into long term contracts with
lecturers- Scouting for faculty to begin 3 months
before actual hiring- Admin team can be easily hired from
Jamshedpur- Create a pool of part time faculty in caseof emergency
Other Cost ItemsSecurity Risk
- Long term contracts to be executed for all
other services like electricity, internet,library subscriptions
- Performance clauses to be entered in
wherever possible- Backup to be created for emergency
services like electricity etc
Interest Riskmitigation
- To be entered into long term fixedinterest rate with Bank
Property destructionRisk
-
Insurance for fire and theft on all assetsto be taken
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Real Options
Option to expand intake capacity in Jamshedpur
The institute has repaid all its debt, both long term and short term by the end of year 9. It will start
generating excess cash from the year after. Hence the company will be in a position to take a decision
regarding expanding its current capacity of student intake of 300 per year and total capacity of 900
per year. It can also think of expanding its hostel facility if it is in demand. Hence effectively and in asimple format it has 2 options:
Option1: To expand the per year student intake capacity of 300 per year
Option2: To expand the hostel facility for students
Option3: Increase the variety of courses being offered
In case of these available options, institute holds the right of whether to invest in such expansion
plans or not. Further the constructed land is ~20% of leased land currently and hence there are no
bound restrictions for imposing of these constructions except for demand criteria. Hence the institute
can be said to have a call option in making the investment decisions.
In terms of expiry period of such option, we think that for capacity expansion, it is 5 years, i.e. FY2021,
where we will be able to gauge the demand increase in our institute. For the expansion of hostel, 3
years is perfect time where we will be able to gauge the demand where the number of students
enrolled is well above the capacity of the hostel, thus giving us an idea of the popularity for such
services. For increased course variety offer, investment needs to go into faculty training and into
capacity development. In order to gauge the demand we feel the perfect timing would be after we
have achieved the current plan, i.e. after 6 years i.e. FY2022.
A common framework for all the three investment options is shown below:
The value of such options cannot be computed precisely as the future projected numbers with
probabilities are not available.
No
Decision to invest High Demand
Don’t Invest
InvestYes
P
1-P
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Balance Sheet (Rs mn) as on financial year ending 31st March
FY17E FY18E FY19E FY20E FY21E FY22E FY23E FY24E FY25E
Liabilities
Share Capital 115.8 115.8 115.8 115.8 115.8 115.8 115.8 115.8 115.8
Retained Earnings (78.9) (124.2) (116.5) (83.3) (26.5) 49.1 137.7 222.6 323.1
Term Loan 468.9 421.3 368.4 309.6 244.1 171.2 90.2 0.0 0.0
Working Capital Revolver
82.0 141.6 153.8 150.0 131.7 104.8 74.8 58.9 0.0
Trade Payables 1.9 3.7 5.6 6.6 7.3 7.6 8.0 8.4 8.8
Total 589.6 558.3 527.1 498.7 472.4 448.6 426.4 405.7 447.7
Assets
Net Fixed Assets (WDV)
580.0 545.4 514.2 485.7 459.4 435.0 412.2 390.9 370.8
Stock 0.7 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1
Pre Paid Expenses 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0
Cash & Bank Balances 6.2 9.5 10.0 10.4 10.9 11.4 12.0 12.5 74.8
Preliminary Expenses (To be w/o) 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 589.6 558.3 527.1 498.7 472.4 448.6 426.4 405.7 447.7
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Statement for Profit and Loss for Years Ended (Rs mn)
2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
Revenue From Student
Fees 31.50 73.24 126.51 148.47 164.09 172.30 180.91 189.96 199.46
Revenue From Hostel Fees 9.45 21.97 37.95 44.54 49.23 51.69 54.27 56.99 59.84
Total Revenue 40.95 95.21 164.47 193.01 213.32 223.99 235.19 246.95 259.29
Land Lease Cost 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20
Employee Costs 8.32 16.38 26.37 27.69 29.07 30.53 32.06 33.66 35.34
Hostel Costs Outsourcing 3.78 7.69 11.39 13.36 14.77 15.51 16.28 17.10 17.95
Marketing Expenses 0.53 0.55 0.58 0.61 0.64 0.67 0.71 0.74 0.78
SG&A 4.28 4.95 5.81 6.19 6.48 6.67 6.86 7.07 7.29
Maintenance Costs 2.05 4.76 8.22 9.65 10.67 11.20 11.76 12.35 12.96
Preliminary Expenses
Written Off 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 - - - -
Other Expenses 1.58 3.66 6.33 7.42 8.20 8.61 9.05 9.50 9.97
Operational Expenses 23.29 40.76 61.46 67.69 72.60 75.39 78.91 82.62 86.50
Operational Expense margin 56.9% 42.8% 37.4% 35.1% 34.0% 33.7% 33.6% 33.5% 33.4%
EBITDA 17.66 54.45 103.01 125.32 140.72 148.60 156.27 164.33 172.79
EBITDA Margin 43.1% 57.2% 62.6% 64.9% 66.0% 66.3% 66.4% 66.5% 66.6%
Dep. & Amortization 39.04 34.62 31.21 28.50 26.27 24.40 22.78 21.36 20.09
EBIT (21.38) 19.83 71.80 96.82 114.45 124.20 133.49 142.97 152.70
EBIT Margin -52.2% 20.8% 43.7% 50.2% 53.7% 55.4% 56.8% 57.9% 58.9%
Interest Expenses 57.56 65.05 64.17 63.60 57.61 48.59 37.00 23.61 10.02
PBT (78.94) (45.22) 7.63 33.22 56.83 75.61 96.49 119.36 142.67
PBT Margin -
192.8%-47.5% 4.6% 17.2% 26.6% 33.8% 41.0% 48.3% 55.0%
Taxes Due - - - - - - 7.96 34.45 42.16
PAT (78.94) (45.22) 7.63 33.22 56.83 75.61 88.52 84.91 100.51
PAT Margin -
192.8%-47.5% 4.6% 17.2% 26.6% 33.8% 37.6% 34.4% 38.8%
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Cash Flow Statement (Rs Mn)For Year Ended:
2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
A) Cash Flows From
Operating Activities
Profit Before Taxes (78.9) (45.2) 7.6 33.2 56.8 75.6 96.5 119.4 142.7
Depreciation 39.0 34.6 31.2 28.5 26.3 24.4 22.8 21.4 20.1
Preliminary Expenses
Written Off 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Interest on Term Loan 57.6 52.8 47.4 41.4 34.8 27.5 19.3 10.1 0.0
Interest on Working Capital
Advance 0.0 12.3 16.8 22.2 22.8 21.1 17.7 13.5 10.0
Funds from Operations 18.2 55.0 103.6 125.9 141.3 148.6 156.3 164.3 172.8
Working Capital Investments 0.7 1.3 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6
Cash Generated From
Operations
18.9 56.3 105.3 126.7 141.9 148.9 156.6 164.7 173.4
Net Cash Flows From
Operating Activities 18.9 56.3 105.3 126.7 141.9 148.9 148.6 130.2 131.2
B) Cash Flows From
Investing Activities
- - - - - - - - -
C) Cash Flows From
Financing Activities
Working Capital Advance
Raising/(Repayment) 82.0 59.6 12.2 (3.8) (18.3) (26.9) (30.0) (15.9) (58.9)
Dividend Payment
Interest on Term Loans (57.6) (52.8) (47.4) (41.4) (34.8) (27.5) (19.3) (10.1) 0.0
Interest on WC Advances 0.0 (12.3) (16.8) (22.2) (22.8) (21.1) (17.7) (13.5) (10.0)
Loan Repayment (42.8) (47.6) (52.9) (58.9) (65.5) (72.9) (81.1) (90.2) 0.0
Net Cash Flows From
Financing Activities
(18.3) (53.0) (104.8) (126.2) (141.4) (148.4) (148.1) (129.6) (68.9)
Increase in Cash
Balance 0.6 3.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 62.3
Closing Cash Balance (Refer
Balance Sheet) 6.2 9.5 10.0 10.4 10.9 11.4 12.0 12.5 74.8
Opening Cash Balance 5.6 6.2 9.5 10.0 10.4 10.9 11.4 12.0 12.5Min. Cash Balance 6.2 9.5 10.0 10.4 10.9 11.4 12.0 12.5 12.5
Surplus/ Deficit from Cash
Flow
(81.4) (56.3) (11.8) 4.2 18.8 27.4 30.6 16.4 121.2
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Annexure
A1. Building Construction Cost
1. Academic block includes 3 floors with areas of 1500 Sq. metre each.
2. Hostel will include 2 blocks one with 4 floors and the other with 5 floors. The cumulative capacity of the
9 floors would be 450 students.
Building
Parameters
Area (Sq Ft of
Construction)
Construction
(Rs/Sq. Ft)
Total Cost (Rs
mn)
Rooms Design, Number &
Specification
Academic Block 48,420 3,500 169.4 2 floors with 8 lecture halls, 2computer rooms and 2 staff room,1 floor with 30 professor office
Library 7,000 3,500 24.5 2 floors with 17 racks for books
Hostel 90,000 3,000 270.0 50 students per floor in floor areaof 10,000 sq. Ft., with 9 floors.Total Capacity of 450 students
Total 1,45,420 463.9
A2. Land and Site Development Cost
1. We have taken a land lease for a total area of 7 acres (304920 Sq. feet)
2. Total land area under construction is estimated to be 43140 Sq. feet which would include the academic
block, hostel and library.
3. Our construction area is ~20% of the total area. The extra land would be used for parking space
development, playground, guard posts, roads and other land development activities. Cost of such
activities at a per Sq. ft. level is indicated in the table.
Parameters Area (Sq. ft) Cost (Rs/ Sq. Ft) Total Costs (Rs Mn)Total Land under Construction 43,140 Academic Block 16,140
Library 7,000
Hostel 20,000
Total Leased Land 304,920
Total Unconstructed Land 261,780 150 39.27
A3. Furniture and Fixtures
Parameters Particulars Cost (Rs Million)
Electrical Fixtures 2.5% of construction Cost 11.60
Academic Block Furniture 900 students capacity @ Rs5,000 per student 4.50
Library Furniture 17 rack and chair units @ Rs10,000 per unit 0.17
Hostel Furniture 450 rooms @10,000 per room 4.50
Total Costs 20.77
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A4. SG&A Expenses (in Rs. Mn)
1. We have assumed that the electricity charges are Rs. 5/unit and have appreciated at the rate of
5% YoY. The rate is in line to current commercial rate.
2. Electricity usage is based on the average electricity usage in each room and by each computer.
3.
Library running costs involved the magazines, newspapers and online gateway subscriptions.
4. We have provided for 0.5% of fees collected for various student related activities. Cost of
stationery and teaching material costs have been approximated to be 1% of total fees collected
each year.
5. Insurance costs are approximated to be 0.080% of the net assets. Hence it will decrease with
time due to depreciation.
Items 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025EElectricity Costs 0.73 0.77 0.82 0.86 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10
Library Running Cost 2.01 2.01 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02
Internet Connection
Expenses0.60 0.63 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.77 0.80 0.84 0.89
Student Activities 0.16 0.37 0.63 0.74 0.82 0.86 0.90 0.95 1.00
Cost of Stationary &
Teaching Material0.32 0.73 1.27 1.48 1.64 1.72 1.81 1.90 1.99
Insurance Cost Per year 0.46 0.44 0.41 0.39 0.37 0.35 0.33 0.31 0.30
Total 4.28 4.95 5.81 6.19 6.48 6.67 6.86 7.07 7.29
A5. Operating Expenses (Rs mn)
1. We have kept the teacher: student ratio to be constant at 40. We have calculated the
requirement of teachers each year using this ratio and the number of incoming students. We
have assumed that the initial salary would be 0.8 Mn. INR and grows at the inflation rate of 5%.
2. The current student teacher ratio is sufficient for 5 courses having 5 different subjects in each
semester and one teacher being expected to take up 3 subjects in a semester across courses
across the years.
3.
In the marketing expenses, we have factored the cost of advertising in 4 newspapers and havefound the average cost of Ad printing to be Rs400/Sq.cm.. Print page and the billboard costs to
be 10% of the print ad cost.
4. We have assumed the margin for outsourcing costs to be 60% in FY2017 which increases at the
rate of 5% each year to 70% in FY2019 and then remains constant henceforth.
5. We have assumed the other expenses to be 5% of the total fees collected each year.
6. We have assumed the maintenance costs to be 5% of the total revenues generated each year.
7. The total lease land required is assumed to be 363550 Sq. Feet with a total cost of INR 2.2 Mn.
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Particulars 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
Variable Components
Staff Salary Costs 8.32 16.3 26.3 27.6 29.0 30.5 32.0 33.6 35.3
Marketing Expenses 0.53 0.55 0.58 0.61 0.64 0.67 0.71 0.74 0.78
Electricity Costs 0.73 0.77 0.82 0.86 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10
Internet Expense 0.60 0.63 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.77 0.80 0.84 0.89
Student Activities 0.16 0.37 0.63 0.74 0.82 0.86 0.90 0.95 1.00
Hostel Outsourcing Costs 3.78 7.69 11.3 13.3 14.7 15.5 16.2 17.1 17.9
St. & Teaching Material 0.32 0.73 1.27 1.48 1.64 1.72 1.81 1.90 1.99
Other Expenses 1.58 3.66 6.33 7.42 8.20 8.61 9.05 9.50 9.97
Fixed Components
Land Lease Cost 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20
Library Running Cost 2.01 2.01 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02
Maintenance Cost 2.05 4.76 8.22 9.65 10.6 11.2 11.7 12.3 12.9
Insurance Cost 0.46 0.44 0.41 0.39 0.37 0.35 0.33 0.31 0.30
Prel. Exp. Written off 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 - - - -
Total Opex 23.2 40.7 61.4 67.6 72.6 75.3 78.9 82.6 86.5
Total Variable Costs 16.0 30.7 48.0 52.8 56.7 59.6 62.6 65.7 69.0
Total Fixed Costs 7.29 9.98 13.4 14.8 15.8 15.7 16.3 16.8 17.4
% of Variable Costs to Total 68% 75% 78% 78% 78% 79% 79% 79% 79%
A6. Pre-Operating Expense
Interest charge has been taken at 1% above the CBI base rate of 10.25%. This was done in
consultation with CBI officer, who assured us that only 1% premium is charged for promoters with
prior experience as ours.
1. While calculating the Staff Salary & Training costs we have assumed that we will hire the
required staff 3 months before opening the college.
2. Office and administrative costs include salary costs of admin staff and other staff and also
includes other expenses.
Particulars (Rs Mn) FY2015E FY2016E
Interest Charge DuringConstruction
16.16 32.31
Cost of Professional Report,Studies, websites etc
0.25 0.75
Branding & Marketing 0.18
Staff Salary & Training 0.62 1.87
Travelling 0.10 0.10
Office and Administrative 0.58 0.58
Land Lease 1.10 2.20
Total 18.81 38.00
Total At the end of 2016 to Bal.Sheet
56.81
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A7. Balance Sheet of FY 2016E
This is the balance sheet at the end of Y0 or FY2016E. This includes the capitalized interest in both
assets and term loan.
A8. Distribution of Pre-operative and Contingency in Fixed Assets
1. Electronic equipment include computers, projectors & A/V and other equipments(Printers,
Xerox, WIFI equipment ) which includes requirements for each
2. Cost of other office equipments is taken at 10% which is sufficient to cover such costs.
3. Pre-operative expenses and Contingency has been added into the assets by taking the pro-rata
asset value in each class to the total asset as per initial level.
Particulars (Rs Mn) Initial Share ofPreoperative
Share ofContingency
Total
Building & Others 503.24 53.70 28.24 585.1
Electronic Equipments 6.69 0.71 0.38 7.77
Furniture and Fixtures 20.77 2.22 1.17 24.15
Kitchen Equipment 1.00 0.11 0.06 1.16
Other Office Equipment 0.67 0.07 0.04 0.78
Total 532.3 56.81 29.88 619.0
Liabilities ( Rs Mn)
Share Capital 115.75
Term Loan 511.47
Total 627.23
Assets (Rs Mn)
Net Fixed Assets 618.82
Cash & Bank Balances 5.58
Preliminary Expenses 2.82
Total 627.23
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A9. Revenue Analysis
Particulars FY2017E
Per Student Fees (Rs Mn) 0.15
Per Student Hostel Fees (Rs Mn) 0.09
2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025EIntake Capacity Per Year 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300
Students In the College 210 465 765 855 900 900 900 900 900
Capacity Utilization 23% 52% 85% 95% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
% Capture of Y1 Student 70% 85% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Hostel Capacity 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450
Hostel Utilization 23% 52% 85% 95% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Revenue from Fees 31.5 73.2 126.5 148.5 164.1 172.3 180.9 190.0 199.5
Revenue from Hostel 9.5 22.0 38.0 44.5 49.2 51.7 54.3 57.0 59.8
Total Revenue 41.0 95.2 164.5 193.0 213.3 224.0 235.2 246.9 259.3
A10. Tax Calculations
Gross Block – Asset Schedule as per IT Act
2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
PBT as per
P&L (78.9) (45.2) 7.6 33.2 56.8 75.6 96.5 119.4 142.7
(+) Dep. As per
P&L 39.0 34.6 31.2 28.5 26.3 24.4 22.8 21.4 20.1
(-) Dep. As per
IT Act 65.8 56.9 50.3 44.9 40.2 36.1 32.5 29.2 26.3
TaxableIncome
(105.7) (67.5) (11.4) 16.9 42.9 63.9 86.8 111.5 136.4
EBDT Tax (39.9) (10.6) 38.8 61.7 83.1 100.0 119.3 140.7 162.8
EBDT Post
Absorption of
EBDT Loss - - - 50.1 83.1 100.0 119.3 140.7 162.8
Dep. (65.8) (56.9) (50.3) (44.9) (40.2) (36.1) (32.5) (29.2) (26.3)
Taxable
Income Post
Absorption of
Unabsorbed
Dep.
- - - - - - 25.8 111.5 136.4
Tax Payable - - - - - - 8.0 34.4 42.2
Blocks of Assets Dep. Rate as per IT Act Gross Block Of Asset as on FY2016
Building Block I 10% 585.18
Furniture Block-I 10% 26.09Computer Block-I 60% 7.77
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A11. Personnel Expenses
Particulars 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
Students enrolled 210 465 765 855 900 900 900 900 900
Teacher : student 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40
Professors / Lecturers
required 8 15 23 23 23 23 23 23 23
Avg. Salary/year (Rs
Mn) 0.80 0.84 0.88 0.93 0.97 1.02 1.07 1.13 1.18
Total Costs for
Professor (Rs Mn) 6.4 12.6 20.3 21.3 22.4 23.5 24.7 25.9 27.2
Ratio of Professors to
Supp. Staff 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Support staff
(Administration) 4.00 7.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50
Average Salary per
year (Rs Mn) 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.51 0.53
Total Admin Staff Cost
(Rs Mn)
1.44 2.84 4.56 4.79 5.03 5.28 5.55 5.83 6.12
Ratio of Profs. to
cleaning staff 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Other Staff 4.00 7.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50
Average Salary per
year (Rs Mn) 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18
Total Support Staff
Costs (Rs Mn) 0.48 0.95 1.52 1.60 1.68 1.76 1.85 1.94 2.04
Total Personnel Costs 8.3 16.4 26.4 27.7 29.1 30.5 32.1 33.7 35.3