ACTUARIAL 2
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Transcript of ACTUARIAL 2
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Dr Sanjeewa Perera
Department of Mathematics
University of Colombo
FM 2002 ACTUARIALMATHEMATICS IFM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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CHAPTER 2
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MATHEMATICS I
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Introduction "What is the value today of a random sum of
money which will be paid at a random time in the
future?
A=Random amount, T=Random Time
Present Value=AvT
Expected Present Value = E[AvT]
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MATHEMATICS I
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A
T
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Meaning of E[AvT]
Average present value of the actual payment.
Averages are reasonable in the insurance context
since, from the company's point of view.
The average cost (and income) per policy is therefore
a reasonable starting point from which to determine
the premium. The expected present value is usually referred to as
the Actuarial present value in the insurance context.
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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Insurance Contracts
Consist of two parts:
Benefit payments,
Premium payments
A life insurance policy paying benefit bt if death
occurs at time thas actuarial present value E[bTvT].
The actuarial present value is also called theNet single premium.
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MATHEMATICS I
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Life Insurance
The net single premium is the average valueof the benefit payments, in today's money.
The net single premium is the amount of the
single premium payment which would berequired on the policy issue date by an
insurer with no expenses (and no profit
requirement). The actuarial present value ofthe premium payments must be at least equal
to the actuarial present value of the benefit
payments, or the company would go
bankrupt.
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MATHEMATICS I
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What we want to do now?
Next two methods are developed for
computing the net single premium forcommonly issued life insurances and
develops methods for computing the
actuarial present value of the premium
payments. These two sets of methods are
then combined to enable the computation of
insurance premiums.
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MATHEMATICS I
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Important Facts
In the case of life insurance, the amount that is paidat the time of death is usually fixed by the policy and
is non-random. The net single premium for an insurance which pays
1 at the time of death is then E[vT].
In insurance notation: bar: an insurance paid at thetime of death, subscripts: statuswhose death causesthe insurance to be paid.
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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1
exp( )1v i
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-Year Pure Endowment Insurance This pays the full benefit amount at the end of the nth
year if the insured survives at least nyears.
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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1, if ( ) , if ( ),
0, if ( ) 0, if ( )
n
t
T x n v T x nb Z
T x n T x n
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Show that
Since if the benefit is paid, the benefit paymentoccurs at time n,
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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nn x n xE v p
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Use the life table to find the net single premium for a 5
year pure endowment policy for (30) assuming aninterest rate of 6%.
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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5
5 30 5 30
The net single premium for the pure endowment polic
0.7409
y i
.
s
1E v p
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n-Year Term Insurance
This type insurance provides for a benefit paymentonly if the insured dies within n years of policy
inception.
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MATHEMATICS I
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Rule of Moments FM 2002 ACTUARIALMATHEMATICS I13
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Whole Life Insurance The full benefit is paid no matter when the insured
dies in the future.
The whole life benefit can be obtained by taking
the limit as n (approaches to infinity) in the n-yearterm insurance setting.
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MATHEMATICS I
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Suppose that T(x) has an exponential distribution withmean 50. If the force of interest is 5%, find the net singlepremium for a whole life policy for (x), if the benefit of $1000 is payable at the moment of death.
T(x) is exponentially distributed with 1/50.
Net single premium = E[1000 vT]
Net single premium = E[1000 exp(-T(x))]
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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0
1[1000exp( ( ))] 1000exp( 0.05 ) exp50 50
=285.71
tE T x t dt
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For a whole life insurance of 1000 on (x) with benefitspayable at the moment of death, you are given:
Calculate the single benefit premium for this insurance.
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MATHEMATICS I
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n-Year Endowment Insurance
Provides for the payment of the full benefit at thetime of death of the insured if this occurs before time
n and for the payment of the full benefit at time n
otherwise.
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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: [ ]T n
x nA E v
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Another idea Let Z1 , Z2 and Z3be the PV of term, pure endowment
and endowment insurances.
Clearly Z3 =Z1 + Z2 . E[Z3]= E[Z1]+E[Z2].
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MATHEMATICS I
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Deferred Insurance For an n-year deferred whole insurance, a benefit ispayable if the insured dies at least n years followingissue:
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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m-Year Deferred n-Year Term Insurance
Provides the same benefits as nyear term insurance
between times m and m + n provided the insured
lives myears.
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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| ( , ][ 1 ( ( ))]
T
m n x m m nA E v T x
|
m n
t
m n x t x x t
m
A v p dt
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Constant mortalityFM 2002 ACTUARIALMATHEMATICS I22
Assume mortality is based on a constant force andinterest is also based on a constant force of interest . Find expressions for the APV for the following types ofinsurances:
Whole life insurance -year term life insurance -year endowment life insurance -year deferred life insurance
Find the expression for the above insurance if weassume De oivr slaw.
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Non Fixed Constant Benefits Insurances All of the insurances discussed thus far have a fixedconstant benefit. Increasing whole life insuranceprovides a benefit which increase linearly in time.Similarly, increasing and decreasing n-year terminsurance provides for linearly increasing(decreasing) benefit over the term of the insurance.
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MATHEMATICS I
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Insurances Payable the End of the Year of Death Direct computation of the net single premium for
an insurance payable at the time of death is
impossible using only the life table.
These net single premiums can be easily related to
the net single premium for an insurance that is
payable at the end of the year of death. For these insurance Z depends on Curtate life time
K.
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MATHEMATICS I
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Consider n-year term insuranceFM 2002 ACTUARIALMATHEMATICS I
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Whole life FM 2002 ACTUARIALMATHEMATICS I26
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- year endowment insurance The APV of a (discrete) endowment life insurance is the sum ofthe APV of a (discrete) term and a pure endowment:
The policy pays a death benefit of 1 at the end of the year ofdeath, if death is prior to the end of n years, and a benefit of 1 ifthe insured survives at least n years.
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MATHEMATICS I
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Summary
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MATHEMATICS I
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Computation using Life Table Consider whole life insurance policy
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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1
1
0
1
0
[ ]
= ( ( ) )
=
K
x
k
k
k x k
k x
A E v
v P K x k
dv
l
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Show that
How would you compute this using the life table?
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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1 1: :x x
n n
A A
1 [ , ):
[ , ) 1:
[ 1 ( ( ))]
= [ 1 ( ( ))]
nn
xn
n
nx
n
A E v T x
E v K x A
1 1: :
=
x xn n
n n x nn x
x
A A
lv p v
l
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Use the life table to find the net single premium fora 5 year endowment policy for (30), with death
benefit paid at the moment of death, assuming an
interest rate of 6%.
The net single premium for a pure endowment
policy is
For the endowment policy, the net single premiumfor a 5 year term policy must be added to this
amount. From the relation given earlier,
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MATHEMATICS I
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The relationship between insurances payable at
the time of death and insurances payable at the
end of the year of death is used to complete the
calculation. This gives
FM 2002 ACTUARIAL
MATHEMATICS I
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