ACN 007 596 018 For personal use only - ASX · 2008. 6. 18. · Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies...
Transcript of ACN 007 596 018 For personal use only - ASX · 2008. 6. 18. · Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies...
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Level 1
157 Grenfell Street
Adelaide SA 5000
GPO Box 2155
Adelaide SA 5001 Adelaide Brighton Ltd
ACN 007 596 018
Telephone (08) 8223 8000
International +618 8223 8000
Facsimile (08) 8215 0030
www.adbri.com.au
18 June 2008 The Manager Company Announcement Office Australian Stock Exchange Limited Exchange Centre 20 Bridge Street SYDNEY NSW 2000 Dear Sir/Madam We attach copy of presentation being shown by Mr Andrew Poulter, Chief Financial Officer, at the Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference today for release to the market. Yours faithfully Marcus Clayton Company Secretary
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Adelaide Brighton Ltd
Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference
18 June 2008
Presented by: Andrew Poulter, Chief Financial Officer
Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference 18 June 2008 2
Agenda
� ABL profile and geographic spread
� ABL financial performance
� Australian cement industry structure
� ABL strategy overview
� ABL divisional review and markets
� Financing update
� OutlookFor
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Adelaide Brighton profile
� ABL is a leading Australian integrated construction materials and lime producing company, heavily focussed on the growing resources, engineering and infrastructure sectors
� Well positioned to supply all mainland states from its domesticmanufacturing base complemented by long term supply contracts for imported clinker and cementitious materials
� S&P/ASX 200 company with market capitalisation around $2 billion
� 1,300 employees with operations in all mainland states and territories
� Market leader in lime manufacture in Australia, number two position in cement and concrete products and modest position in the aggregates and ready mixed concrete market
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Key Adelaide Brighton market positions
� Market leadership in cement and lime in SA, WA and NT
� Strategic cement positions in NSW, QLD and VIC
� Higher exposure to the growth resources sector:
– Residential, engineering, infrastructure and resource sectors
– Resource sector expansion = increased cement and lime demand
� Focussed downstream positions in QLD, NSW and VIC
– Hy-Tec concrete brand
– Emerging aggregates positions:
NSW: Austen Quarry and Hurd Haulage
VIC: Mawson Group
– ABL continues to evaluate smaller regional opportunitiesFor
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Special dividend EPS
Financial performance – seven year trend
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Product segmentation Geographical segmentation
Sales to outside entities and to JV’s Sales by state including share through JV’s
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Financial performance overview
� Record result in 2007 as cement and lime volumes, pricing and operational improvements offset inflationary pressures
� Increased shareholder returns through increased fully franked dividends and share price growth
� Resource sector - lime demand increasing in line with projections and pricing targets progressively realised
� Cement and lime plant performance sustained at higher levels
� Hy-Tec concrete improved EBIT through internal operating efficiencies and increased demand in QLD and Vic
� NSW aggregates position now established and delivering positive earnings
� C&M Brick adversely impacted by NSW market. SA earnings increased
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Australian cement industry ownership
Glossary
ABL: Adelaide Brighton Ltd BCSC: Blue Circle Southern Cement ICL: Independent Cement & Lime
BPS: Building Products Supplies ASMS: Australian Steel Mill Services CAPL: Cement Australia Pty Ltd
BGCCement
BuckeridgeGroup
100%
Holcim EC Levy
CAPL
ASMS(Slag)
25%
50%
50%
50%
Fly Ash Australia
Heidelberg
Boral Hanson Rinker
BCSC
BoralPozzolan
50%
100%
100%
50%50%
Steel Cement
BPS
BarroGroup
ABL
ICL(NSW VIC)
Sunstate(QLD)
100%
25%
20%
50%50%
50%
23%
Cement& Lime
100%
Cemex
100%100%
Mawsons(VIC)
50%
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Australian cement capacities
Munster 0.5Mt
BGC 1.0Mt
Clinker Manufacturing
Cement Grinding Only
Birkenhead 1.3Mt
Angaston 0.2Mt
Railton 1.2Mt
Waurn Ponds 0.8Mt
Newcastle
Berrima 1.4Mt
Maldon 0.3Mt
Kandos 0.5Mt
Sunstate 1.1Mt(ABL & BCSC)
Bulwer Island 1.0Mt
Gladstone 1.6Mt
Rockhampton 0.1Mt
Northern Cement 0.2Mt
2.2Mt
TasCement Terminal
Townsville
Newcastle
Glebe
ICL (ABL & Barro)CAPL
Domestic clinker capacity circa 8Mt
Cement market 2007Circa 9.6Mt
Pt Kembla 0.2Mt
Kwinana
Western Australia1.3Mt
South Australia0.6Mt
NorthernTerritory0.14Mt
Queensland2.7Mt
NSW2.4Mt
0.15mt
Vic
ABL
Boral
Cement Australia
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Australian cement capacity and demand
Capacity fully utilised since 2002
Imports fundamental to meet increasing domestic demand
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Industry Capacity
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Imported cement and clinker flows
BGC
Kwinana
0.125mt
Sunstate Cement
Darwin
Pt Kembla
Bulwer Is
0.750mt
0.250mtICL Melbourne
Townsville
• ABL and BGC the principal importers
• ABL Pt Kembla switched from imports to BCSC supply ex Berrima
Clinker
Cement
0.6mt
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ABL lime capacities
Adelaide Brighton lime capacity circa 1.2mt
Western Australia1.1Mt
South Australia45kt
NorthernTerritory30kt Queensland
New South Wales
Mararanka
VIC
Angaston Dongara 80kt
Munster 1,000kt
TAS
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ABL strategy overview
� Focused and relevant vertical integration– Downstream concrete – cement pull through
– Concrete products – long term growth in higher margin market sectors
– Aggregates and sand – Austen Quarry plus future aligned acquisitions
– Geographic and market spread – balanced portfolio and leverage
� Lime development– Resource sector growth +3.0% 2008
– Projected volume increases of 295k tonne by 2012
– Further potential for WA lime price increases over the next five years
– Mataranka lime plant in Northern Territory at capacity
• Feasibility study for $30m expansion to meet future ERA demand
• Angaston plant in SA covering NT peak demand
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Lime development – major projects
Project ‘000t 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total
HIsmelt Stage 1 20 20
Alcoa Wagerup 3rd Train 30 45 20 20 115
Boddington Gold 10 5 15
BHP Ravensthorpe Nickel 15 10 15 40
HIsmelt Stage 2 50 50
Worsley Expansion 2 50 10 60
Ranger 10 20 30
Tiwest 5 5
South Australian projects 5 10 15 20 30 80
TOTAL 35 35 75 105 45 40 80 415
Incremental totals 70 145 250 295 335 415For
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NORTHERN CEMENTCement
MATARANKA LIMELime
DONGARA LIMELime
COCKBURN CEMENTMUNSTER, KWINANALime, Cement, Drymix
ADELAIDE BRIGHTON CEMENTBIRKENHEAD
Cement, Drymix, Fly Ash
ADELAIDE BRIGHTON CEMENTANGASTONCement and LimeBLANCHETOWNGypsum
C&M BRICKADELAIDEConcrete products
ALTERNATIVE FUEL COMPANYADELAIDE (50% owned)
Alternative Fuel
MORGAN CEMENT/VALES PTCement/Fly Ash
HY-TEC QLDReady mixed concrete
HY-TEC NSWReady mixed concrete
SUNSTATE CEMENT(50% owned)
Cement, Drymix
INDEPENDENT CEMENT AND LIME(50% owned)
Cement, Lime, Drymix, Slag
HY-TEC VICReady mixed concrete
C&M BRICKBENDIGO, CAMPBELLFIELDConcrete Products
C&M BRICKMOOREBANK, NOWRA, CANBERRAConcrete Products
EXMOUTHLimestone
RAWLINNA QUARRYLimestone
AUSTEN QUARRYAggregates
HURD HAULAGE/KANCON/HASTINGSAggregates/sands/ready mixed concrete
INDEPENDENT CEMENT AND LIME(50% owned)THORNTON/KEMBLA GRANGECement, lime, drymix, fly ash
MAWSONS(50% owned)REGIONAL VICTORIA/SOUTHERN NSWReady mixed concrete/aggregates
ADELAIDE BRIGHTON CEMENTGEELONG QUARRYLimestone/sand
Adelaide Brighton’s geographic spread
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Mawsons operations
Acquired 50% mid December 2007. Established business with strong regional presence in Northern Victoria
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ABL strategy overview
2007 – 2011 operational improvement - Cement and Lime– $2.5m cost down benefit delivered in 2007
– $22.5m EBIT improvement over the next four years
– $45m capital investment programme ongoing
– Reliability and process improvement
• Raw material flow – shellsand conveying
• Lime kiln 5 and 6 cyclone build up elimination
• Coal firing Munster kiln 6 - feasibility to extend to cement kilns
– Defers need for permanent switch of 2 x 250kt cement kilns to lime production until 2012
– Maintains margins using own manufacture versus import
– Birkenhead shutdown strategy
• Major - minor 24 month cycle
• February major target to manage electricity demand risk
• 2008 shutdown completed in May vs July 2007 – higher H1 2008 costs
Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference 18 June 2008 18
ABL strategy overview
Emissions trading and climate change– ABL has a higher carbon footprint than other construction materials
companies due to intensity of upstream (cement and lime manufacture) in its business mix
– ABL pursuing Emissions Intensive Trade Exposed status for cement and lime through trade industry associations
• Awaiting outcomes of Government green paper July 2008
• Potential for allocation of free credits in first phases of scheme
– ABL is prepared for NGER reporting from July 2008 and is partnering with PwC for independent audit ratification
– ABL is progressing strategies to mitigate the future carbon risk
• Optimising plant efficiency to benchmark standards
• Substitution of cementitious additives and fillers
• Securing long term supplies of slag and fly ash
• Targeting carbon offsets such as increased use of biomass fuels
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Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference 18 June 2008 19
Key Adelaide Brighton performance drivers
� Optimise capacity utilisation– Increase plant capacities and maintain consistent output
– Optimise intrastate logistic flexibility
� Operating performance – mitigate rising energy costs– Maximise plant efficiencies and deliver performance improvement
programmes
– Expand alternate fuels (wood, waste oil and coal) to supplement gas usage
� Import supply chain flexibility to meet future demand increases
– Develop long term SE Asian relationships and additional supply contracts
– Optimise import and domestic cement and clinker supply chains
Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference 18 June 2008 20
Cement market position
� Continued robust demand in all markets, but New South Wales remains weak
� ABL YTD volumes circa 5% above last year
� Increased cement sales volumes met by increased cement mill output using imported clinker
� Long term import clinker supply contract strategy
– Flexible supply to QLD, VIC, NT and WA
– Additional long term clinker and slag supply contracts signed in 2008
– Strength of AUS $ has favoured import contract pricing
� Western Australia and Queensland port constraints continue
� Rising global clinker pricing ($40+ US) and high freight costs
($30+ US) have increased import parity pricing
� Inflationary cost inputs drive the need for domestic price increases
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Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference 18 June 2008 21
WA gas supply
� WA gas supply and pricing– ABL coal strategy reduced Munster gas demand by 50%
• Kiln 6 coal milling and firing $19m investment began 1 Jan 2008• Mitigated 2006 – 08 gas price increases• Secured gas supply for three year contract• Change in gas supplier fortunate, little impact from Varanus
� Varanus Island gas curtailment
– Secondary supply issues to electric power generation
– ABL has secured full power needs at higher, but manageable prices
– Can mitigate by managing peak period power demand– Limited downstream impact on lime demand from resource sector
� WA gas supply constraints mitigated by coal fuel strategy
� Varanus gas supply curtailment drives short term electricity pricing
Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference 18 June 2008 22
Concrete and Aggregates
� Operations in QLD, NSW and Victoria under the Hy-Tec brand
� Total annual output 1m cubic metres of ready mixed concrete
� Service precast, civil projects, industrial, commercial, high rise – lower residential profile
� Improved operating costs delivered record 2007 EBIT
� Improved mix designs - use of alternate materials
� Established aggregates position in NSW
– Self sufficient in New South Wales from Austen Quarry
– Emerging position in northern NSW – Hurd Haulage
� Quarry development potential – three to ten year horizon
– Feasibility study on Exmouth lime JV quarry in WA
– Potential to serve Gorgon field pipeline development
– Modest (circa $5m) potential for a three year EBIT stream
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Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference 18 June 2008 23
Concrete Products
� Number two position nationally in the concrete products market with C&M Brick operations in NSW, SA and Victoria
� New South Wales market remains depressed due to cyclically low demand and new market entrant
� Operational planning to match capacity with future demand
� Senior management capabilities strengthened to drive further performance improvement
� Campbellfield (VIC) wet cast plant and Moorebank (NSW) efficiencies improving
� Adelaide benchmark for plant efficiency and customer service
� C&M well positioned for future market growth in NSW, Victoria and SA
Merrill Lynch Emerging Companies Conference 18 June 2008 24
Financing update
� Opening 2008 facilities:
– $60m working capital facility expiring March 2008
– $300m medium term expiring March 2009
� March 2008:
– $60m working capital facility extended March 2009
– $120m increase in facilities through March 2009
� June 2008 credit approval with CBA, NAB and Westpac:
– $310m 2 year facilities expiring June 2010
– $210m 3 year facilities expiring June 2011
� Tight credit markets prompted early refinancing negotiations
� Additional facilities secured in constrained debt markets
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Outlook
� 2008 cement demand forecast - circa 5% above 2007
� 2008 lime demand forecast - circa 3% above 2007
� International shipping rates remain very high. Cement supply is tight and international cement pricing remains very robust
� Acquisitions performing to plan – 2008 contribution
� First time contribution from Mawsons
� ABL’s fully franked dividend growth will be sustained by earnings growth and strong operating cash flows
� $8m increased interest expense due to higher borrowings, bank margins and cash rate increases
� Net profit after tax for 2008 expect to be between $118m - $125m
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