Accessing the Energy Evolution - TortoiseEcofin · 2020. 2. 27. · Natural gas exports1 Liquefied...

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Investing in essential assets Accessing the Energy Evolution Fourth quarter 2019

Transcript of Accessing the Energy Evolution - TortoiseEcofin · 2020. 2. 27. · Natural gas exports1 Liquefied...

  • Investing in essential assets

    Accessing the Energy Evolution

    Fourth quarter 2019

  • Advancements in technology create opportunities

    • The world is embarking on a significant energy transition

    • Technology advancements have increased production of U.S. oil and gas

    • Pipelines play an essential role in transporting energy resources to growing areas of demand, including exports to the rest of the world

    Liquid-rich gas

    NG

    L

    NGL products

    Crude oil

    NG

    L p

    rod

    uct

    s

    Refi

    ned

    pro

    du

    cts

    Dry gas

    Dry gas

    Oil field

    Refinery

    Petrochemical plant

    Power plant

    Gas processing facility

    Fractionator

    Gas storage facility

    Gas field

    Source: Tortoise

    Energy value chain

  • Natural gas

    EIA historical Forecast

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    15

    30

    45

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    75

    90

    105

    2008

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    2019

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    e

    2021

    e

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    e

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    e

    Bill

    ion

    cubi

    c fe

    et p

    er d

    ayU.S. producing ample amounts of low-cost, lower carbon energy supply

    Crude oil

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    21e

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    Mill

    ion

    barre

    ls p

    er d

    ay

    EIA historical Forecast

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    Mill

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    barre

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    ay

    Natural gas liquids (NGLs)

    EIA historical Forecast

    U.S. production outlook

    Source: EIA and Tortoise estimates as of 12/31/2019. The projections on this page are based on industry estimates and are no guarantee of future outcomes.

  • Essential assets

    Stable recurring revenues

    High barriers to entry

    Long-lived

    Inelastic demand

    Monopolistic

    Critical assets that fuel the North American and global economies

    Generally operated with fee-based, long-term contracts

    Capital intensive construction

    Economic lives > 50 years

    Transports energy commodities used for daily needs

    Regulatory oversight

    Real asset class fundamentals Operating characteristics

    Midstream pipeline attributes

    Source: company filings and Tortoise estimates as of 12/31/2019. Note: Total capital investment also includes miscellaneous other projects totaling approximately $34 billion. The projections on this page are based on industry estimates and are no guarantee of future outcomes.

    Robust buildout of energy infrastructure required to facilitate exports to the rest of the world

    Crude oil Gas Natural gas liquids

    Highlighted flows

    Infrastructure growth initiatives 2019e - 2021eApproximately $108 billion in pipeline and related projects

    Bakken $1.1 billion

    Canada $25.2 billion

    Rockies/Niobrara $2.0 billion

    Mid-Continent $6.2 billion

    Gulf Region $12.5 billion

    Marcellus/Utica $11.2 billion

    Permian/Eagle Ford $16.3 billion

  • • International Maritime Organization 2020: increases demand for low sulfur light oil with a low residual fuel oil cut

    • Shale oil is low in sulfur, easy to refine and contains a higher light-end cut with less “bottom-of-the-barrel” material

    Crude oil exports3

    After 40 years, U.S.-produced crude oil now exported outside

    North America

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    • Impending wave of LNG project buildouts as countries transition from coal to natural gas and renewables– India’s demand for LNG is

    set to increase in its effort to double its share of natural gas in the energy mix by 2030 by deploying more than $140B in committed investments

    – South Korea remains a top importer of U.S. LNG and is likely to continue increasing demand

    Natural gas exports1

    Liquefied natural gas now transported internationally

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    25

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    Billio

    n cu

    bic

    feet

    per

    day

    U.S. is exporting low-cost, lower carbon energy to the rest of the world

    Source: IHS and Wood Mackenzie. 1BP, BTU Analytics, East Daley, EIA and Morgan Stanley as of 12/31/2019. 2EIA, EnVantage, IHS, UBS and Wells Fargo as of 12/31/2019. 3EIA as of 12/31/2019. The projections on this page are based on industry estimates and are no guarantee of future outcomes.

    • Exports to high demand regions such as China, India and Europe remain primary outlet for excess inventory

    • Current loading dock capacity for LPGs nearly maxed out, incentivizing approximately 900,000 b/d of capacity additions by midstream operators in 2020

    NGLs exports2

    Ethane used for various consumer products now being

    shipped internationally

    0.5

    1.0

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  • For additional information visit www.tortoiseadvisors.com

    About Tortoise

    Tortoise invests in essential assets – those real assets and services that are indispensable

    to the economy and society. With a steady wins approach and a long-term perspective,

    Tortoise strives to make a positive impact on clients and communities.

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