ABSTRACT

5
Anand Kumar, Daniel Roberts, Kenneth Wood, Bruce Light, Joseph E. Parrillo, Satendra Sharma, Robert Suppes, Daniel Feinstein, Sergio Zanotti, Leo Taibert, David Gurka, Aseem Kumar, and Mary Cheang ABSTRACT Background. Current guidelines recommend antimicrobial initiation within one hour of presentation of severe sepsis and septic shock but no clinical studies are available to support this recommendation. Objective: To determine the prevalence and impact on mortality of delays in initiation of effective antimicrobial therapy from initial onset of recurrent/persistent hypotension of septic shock. Design, Setting and Patients: A retrospective cohort study using the medical records of 2731 adult patients with septic shock spread among 14 intensive care units (4 medical, 4 surgical, 6 mixed medical/surgical) and 10 hospitals (4 academic, 6 community) in Canada and the United States between July 1989 and June 2004 was performed. Main Outcome Measure: Survival to hospital discharge. Results: Among the 2154 septic shock patients (78.9% total) who received effective antimicrobial therapy only after the onset of antimicrobial effective for isolated or suspected pathogens within the first hour of documented hypotension was associated with a survival rate of 79.9%. Each hour of delay in antimicrobial administration over the ensuing 6 hours was associated with an average decrease in survival of 7.6%. By the 2 nd hour after onset of persistent/recurrent hypotension, in-hospital mortality was significantly increased relative to receiving therapy within the first hour (odds ratio 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-2.48). In multivariate analysis (including APACHE II score and therapeutic variables), time to initiation of effective antimicrobial therapy was the single strongest predictor of outcome. Median time to effective antimicrobial therapy was 6 hours (25-75 th percentile, 2.0-15.0 hrs.) Conclusion: Effective antimicrobial administration within the first hour of documented hypotension is associated with increased survival to hospital discharge in The Duration of Hypotension Prior to Initiation of Effective Antimicrobial Therapy is the Critical Determinant of Survival in Human Septic Shock

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Page 1: ABSTRACT

Anand Kumar, Daniel Roberts, Kenneth Wood, Bruce Light, Joseph E. Parrillo, Satendra Sharma, Robert Suppes, Daniel Feinstein, Sergio Zanotti, Leo Taibert, David Gurka,

Aseem Kumar, and Mary Cheang

ABSTRACT Background. Current guidelines recommend antimicrobial initiation within one hour of presentation of severe sepsis and septic shock but no clinical studies are available to support this recommendation. Objective: To determine the prevalence and impact on mortality of delays in initiation of effective antimicrobial therapy from initial onset of recurrent/persistent hypotension of septic shock.Design, Setting and Patients: A retrospective cohort study using the medical records of 2731 adult patients with septic shock spread among 14 intensive care units (4 medical, 4 surgical, 6 mixed medical/surgical) and 10 hospitals (4 academic, 6 community) in Canada and the United States between July 1989 and June 2004 was performed.Main Outcome Measure: Survival to hospital discharge.Results: Among the 2154 septic shock patients (78.9% total) who received effective antimicrobial therapy only after the onset of recurrent or persistent hypotension, a strong relationship between the delay in effective antimicrobial initiation and in-hospital mortality was noted (adjusted odds ratio 1.119 [per hour delay], 95% confidence interval 1.103-1.136, p<0.0001). Administration of an

antimicrobial effective for isolated or suspected pathogens within the first hour of documented hypotension was associated with a survival rate of 79.9%. Each hour of delay in antimicrobial administration over the ensuing 6 hours was associated with an average decrease in survival of 7.6%. By the 2nd hour after onset of persistent/recurrent hypotension, in-hospital mortality was significantly increased relative to receiving therapy within the first hour (odds ratio 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-2.48). In multivariate analysis (including APACHE II score and therapeutic variables), time to initiation of effective antimicrobial therapy was the single strongest predictor of outcome. Median time to effective antimicrobial therapy was 6 hours (25-75th percentile, 2.0-15.0 hrs.)Conclusion: Effective antimicrobial administration within the first hour of documented hypotension is associated with increased survival to hospital discharge in adult patients with septic shock. Despite a progressive increase in mortality with increasing delays, only 50% pf septic shock patients receive effective antimicrobial therapy within 6 hours of documents hypotension. (Crit Care Med 2006;34(6):1589-1596

The Duration of Hypotension Prior to Initiation of Effective Antimicrobial Therapy is the Critical

Determinant of Survival in Human Septic Shock

The Duration of Hypotension Prior to Initiation of Effective Antimicrobial Therapy is the Critical

Determinant of Survival in Human Septic Shock

Page 2: ABSTRACT

0-0-.49

0.5-.99

1-1.99

2-2.99

3-3.99

4-4.99

5-5.99

6-8.99

9-11.99

12-23.99

24-35.99

>36

1.0

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.0

Survival fraction

Cumulative effective antimicrobial initiation

Time from hypotension onset (hrs)

Fra

cti

on

of

tota

l p

atie

nts

Cumulative effective antimicrobial initiation following onset of septic shock-associated hypotension and associated survival. X axis represents time (hrs) following first

documentation of septic shock-associated hypotension.

The Duration of Hypotension Prior to Initiation of Effective Antimicrobial Therapy is the Critical

Determinant of Survival in Human Septic Shock

The Duration of Hypotension Prior to Initiation of Effective Antimicrobial Therapy is the Critical

Determinant of Survival in Human Septic Shock

Kumar et al. Crit Care Med 2006;34(6)1589-1596

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100

10

1

Time (hrs)

1-1.99

2-2.99

3-3.99

4-4.99

5-5.99

6-8.99

9-11.99

12-23.99

24-35.99

>36

Od

ds

Rat

io o

f D

eath

(95%

Co

nfi

den

ce I

nte

rval

)

The Duration of Hypotension Prior to Initiation of Effective Antimicrobial Therapy is the Critical

Determinant of Survival in Human Septic Shock

The Duration of Hypotension Prior to Initiation of Effective Antimicrobial Therapy is the Critical

Determinant of Survival in Human Septic Shock Mortality risk (expressed as adjusted odds ratio of death) with increasing delays in initiation of

effective antimicrobial therapy. Bars represent 95% confidence interval. Increased risk of death is already present by the 2nd hour post-hypotension onset (compared to the first hour post-hypotension). The risk of death continues to climb through to > 36 hours post-hypotension onset.

Kumar et al. Crit Care Med 2006;34(6)1589-1596

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N

2154

1695

459

1546

608

769

1385

1242

912

584

768

131

838

230

641

156

1.31.21.11.0

all

documented

suspected

culture +

culture -

bacteremia +

bacteremia -

community

nosocomial

gram +

gram -

fungal

respiratory

urinary tract

Intra-abdominal

skin/soft tissue

Relationship of antimicrobial delay to hospital mortality in

major subgroups (expressed as adjusted odds ratio of death with time as a continuous variable). Bars represent 95% confidence intervals. All major subgroups demonstrate a highly significant increase in mortality risk with

increasing delays in administration of effective

antimicrobial therapy following onset of sepsis-associated

hypotension. For the overall group, mortality risk increases approximately 12% every hour

relative to the risk in the previous hour. P values <0.0001

for all subgroups.

The Duration of Hypotension Prior to Initiation of Effective Antimicrobial Therapy is the Critical

Determinant of Survival in Human Septic Shock

The Duration of Hypotension Prior to Initiation of Effective Antimicrobial Therapy is the Critical

Determinant of Survival in Human Septic Shock

Kumar et al. Crit Care Med 2006;34(6)1589-1596

Page 5: ABSTRACT

Septic Shock: Timing of Antibiotics

Kumar Crit Care Med 2006

0.00.0

.20.20

.40.40

.60.60

.80.80

1.001.00

% Survival

% Total receiving antibiotics

0 - .5

.5 – 1.01 - 2 2 - 3 3-4 4 - 5 5 - 6 6 - 9 9 - 1

212 - 2

424 - 3

6> 36

PercentPercent

Time, hrsTime, hrs

14 ICUs; n = 2,731

Only 50% of patients in Septic Shock

received antibiotics w/in 6 hrs.