About us - University of FloridaShipping Supply-Demand in Latin AmericaDemand in Latin America zThe...
Transcript of About us - University of FloridaShipping Supply-Demand in Latin AmericaDemand in Latin America zThe...
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About us
Kestrel Liner Agencies, LLCFormed in the US in 2003Formed in the US in 2003Total USA staff of 35Turnover about $38 millionTurnover about $38 million
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Offering service from over 100 Ports around the world to over 45 Destinations in the Americasworld to over 45 Destinations in the Americas
Ports A i /Chi 35Asia/China 35Mediterranean 17North Europe 20Latin America 27Latin America 27North America 7
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SHIPPING 101
MODE OF SHIPPINGMODE OF SHIPPINGAIRTRUCKTRUCKTRAINSEA
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A Little History of the Industryy y
It all began when Noah had a logisticalIt all began when Noah had a logistical problem…..
Often referred as the second oldest profession
The Phoenicians developed the first trade routes and codified the basis of shipping lawsoutes a d cod ed t e bas s o s pp g a s
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Shipping… A Risky businesspp g y
The concept of the “Adventure”The concept of the Adventure
Sh d Ri kShared RiskOwner of the shipOwner of the cargo
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Guess how many containers are lost at sea each year?each year?
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The 4th of July started a little early
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Units of Measure-Our Lexicon
FCL -Full ContainerFCL Full Container LCL -Less than ContainerTEU 20ft equivalent unit FEU 40ftTEU -20ft equivalent unit FEU 40ftCBM -Cubic MeterKG KilKG -KilogramMT -Metric ton of 1000 kgsExcept the USA!
Cubic ft… Short ton… 100 weight (CWT)…
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40ft and 20ft Containers
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Common Carriage
VOCC: Owner/operator of shipsE h i t b dEmphasis on asset based
NVOCC: Non vessel operating common carrier
Ocean transportation Intermediary (OTI)Generally non asset basedy
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The Logistics Chain & value added services
Shipper (Ocean/Air) CarrierppWarehouseFreight forwarder
( )Destination terminalDestination agent
Trucker/train Origin Terminal
Customs BrokerTrucker/Train
Transport IntermediaryCarrier’s Agent
WarehouseConsignee
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Organizational skills are a must!g
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The Container revolution
Old days: cargo was shipped as breakOld days: cargo was shipped as break bulk filling the hatches of the ship
Containerization started in the late 1950’ d b t h th1950’s and began to reach the Caribbean and Latin America only in the l t 60’ d 70’late 60’s and 70’s
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Laden Container flowsBillions of teu/kilometersBillions of teu/kilometers Source: MergeGlobal
Asia > Europe 240 Europe>Asia 108p
Asia > N.Am 200
p
N.Am > Asia 86
Europe > N. Am 22 N.Am > Europe 18
Europe > LAT 18 LAT > Europe 21
N. Am > LAT 16 LAT > N. Am 20
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World’s largest container shipholds 15 000 teusholds 15,000 teus
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Mega Ships need Mega terminalsCrewed by 13 sailors and officers!!Crewed by 13 sailors and officers!!
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Deep Sea Service deployed on East Coast South America / Europe trade +5000 Teu’sAmerica / Europe trade +5000 Teu s
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2200 TEU deep sea deployed on East and West Coast South AmericaEast and West Coast South America
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Specialized Project Ship
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Short Sea vessel St Georges Grenada
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Short Sea vessels Lo/Lo & Ro/Ro
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A Port Comparison - 2007
The Port of Shanghai alone ships 26 million teus!million teus!
Biggest Port in South America: Santos 1.7 million handled in /out
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Port of Santos
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PANAMA- Manzanillo Int’l Terminal
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Global Trade Routes
Deep SeaDeep SeaShort SeaE t W tEast-West
Via Suez or PanamaNorth South
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T /F A i
To/Fm Europe
To/Fm Asia
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Cargo receiving stationg g
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What is being shipped in containers?
To Caribbean Ceramics, Building , gMats. Furniture, Hotel supplies, groceries beverages consumer,beverages, consumer goods
From CaribbeanTourist islands empty containersP d f d t ffProduce, foodstuffs, clothing
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What is being shipped ?g pp
To Central/ South Consumer goods,To Central/ South America
Consumer goods, food, beverages, machinery, chemicals, components,
i tequipment
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What is being shipped?g pp
From Central /South Minerals,From Central /South America
Minerals, commodities (soy, coffee, sugar) agricultural, finished assemblies, wearing
l b ildiapparel, building mats, furniture
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American exports to Paraguay.. Seriously….
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The “topography”p g p y
The Americas consist of distinct trades and cultural orientations:
Caribbean basin- mostly small island marketsCaribbean basin mostly small island markets that are tourist drivenCentral America with small-medium sized Ce t a e ca t s a ed u s edeconomiesSouth America with diverse large economiesg
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Central America and G t A till
Miami Port Everglades
MexicoVeracruz Greater Antilles
Rio HainaC d
VeracruzManzanillo
BelizeKingston
Quetzal Santo
Caucedo
Leeward &
Virgin Islands
QuetzalGuat.City
Santo Tomas
Pto Barrios Aruba
Curacao
ee a d &Windward
Islands
Pt
C i t
Puerto Limon
CuracaoBonaire
Panama Colon
Port of Spain
Pto Cortes,
SPS,Tegu
.San
Salvador
CorintoManagua
Caldera
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Georgetown
La Guaira
Pto.Cabello
Cartagena
ParamariboBuenaventura
Guayaquil FortalezaPecem
Guayaquil
Manaus RecifeBelem
SalvadorSuapeCallao
SantosIquique
Rio & Vitoria
Itajai , Sao Francisco,Paranagua
Rio
Buenos Aires &
Montevideo
GrandeValparaiso
San Antonio
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The “Topography” of Shippingp g p y pp g
Cargo specificationsCargo specificationsRoutingD ti ti k t h t i tiDestination market characteristicsEnvironmental factorsContingency planningCultural barriersCultural barriersNational and International regulations
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Some Regulation??g
Department of Homeland Securityp ySecurity Inspections
AMS, CET, CEX C TAPTC-TAPTTSACustoms and Border ProtectionCustoms and Border ProtectionUSDAFDABio-terrorismState Department
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Delivering the “goods”g g
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It’s the delivery that mattersy
Line HaulLine Haul
Niche deliveryNiche delivery
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Our Brands
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Some of our World Class Clients
BMW AmanyaraCoronaDiageo
yElite ResortsRitz-Carltong
NestleRed Bull
Caicos ResortsSpice Island Resort
PortobelloSumitomo/Mazda
SandalsLittle Switzerland
Waterford CrystalYamaha Outboard
Bertin
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Some past projectsp p j
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Amanyara; Global Sourcingy g
Windows: ArgentinaWood: Malaysia & IndonesiaCeramics:BrazilCeramics:Brazil & TurkeyStone:BaliFurniture:ChinaFurniture:ChinaLinens:ItalyFixtures: FranceWines/Spirits:
Worldwide
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2007 Cricket World Cup Case StudyCase Study
Topography
Contingencies
Successful outcomeSuccessful outcome
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Complexity? Some of the factors..
Australian Brand holderAustralian Brand holderNew Zealand Freight ForwarderM f t d i Sl i d GManufactured in Slovenia and Greece shipped via Italy & Greece via Kingston via Trinidadto final destinationsto final destinations
Port StrikeDiversionsConstruction Deadlines
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The seats we shipped just in time!
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What I have learned
I am a 31 year veteran who learnsI am a 31 year veteran who learns something new daily!
The greatest weakness among logistics titipractitioners:
Geographical literacy!
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Geography faux paux’sg p y p
Often heard:“I need to ship something from China”
“Do you ship from Guyana to Grand Cayman? “Both ports named Georgetown
Master of the ship (Once heard):“Where is the boarding agent? I have arrived in g gSanto Tomas (Guatemala)”Reply: “You are supposed to be in Saint Thomas (Virgin Islands)(Virgin Islands)
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THEN… AND THE FUTURE
What drives the trade
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Everything I learned in International Trade & LogisticsTrade & Logistics
Rosanna Rosana Dana said it bestRosanna Rosana Dana said it best,
“If it isn’t one thing… It’s another”
There will always be doors closing and openingopening
In good times and bad times
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What factors most impact our business?business?
Foreign Exchange ratesDemand elasticityDemand elasticityDisposable Income Stable tourism
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What factors most impact our business?business?
Infrastructure developmentC li l N/S d S/N t i thCyclical N/S and S/N nature in the AmericasSourcing avenuesChina
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10 YEARS AGO
Regional Free Trade Pacts SignedRegional Free Trade Pacts SignedNAFTADR/CAFTADR/CAFTATwin-plant manufacturing
Cross Border807 program/ Maquilla factories
C ibb T iCaribbean TourismInexpensive and safe
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10 YEARS AGO
USA/LAT trades controlled by primarilyUSA/LAT trades controlled by primarily short sea carriersShipping Deregulation underway in mostShipping Deregulation underway in most aspects of transportationShi iShip size
Short sea 100-500 teusDeep Sea 1000- 2500 teus
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Consolidation of Services
Due to Capital Costs- Shipping Lines share p pp gtonnage and vessels
The big are buying up the small / mediumThe big are buying up the small / medium
It becomes harder for the “Big” to offerIt becomes harder for the Big to offer customer service
Th i f h “ ll” i id hThe opportunity of the “small” is to provide the customer service vacuum
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Supply –Demand equilibriumpp y q
Just when you think we haveJust when you think we have equilibrium…
Carriers overbuild quantity and size of ships The Global recession haveships…. The Global recession have changed their plansCarriers struggle to maintain pricing stabilityCarriers struggle to maintain pricing stabilityWithholding capacity in some trades
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Shipping Supply-Demand in Latin AmericaDemand in Latin America
The ships are sailing fullp gFrom USA to East and West Coast of South America.. For nowFrom West Coast South America to USAFrom West Coast South America to USAFruit/ Vegetable refrigerated high season ( WCSA and Central America in our winter)
The ships are “pretty” fullC ibb R iCaribbean RegionTo EuropeIntra-regional Latin American tradeIntra regional Latin American trade
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Supply-Demand in Latin Americapp y
The ships are not fullThe ships are not full
F E t C t S th A i t USAFrom East Coast South America to USA
From and to Asia
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Today and five yearsy y
Hold on for the recessionHold on for the recession
Latin American export economies dependentLatin American export economies dependent on light manufacturing (-) fresh products (+) and commodities (-)( )
Government policies and institutions are Go e e t po c es a d st tut o s a egenerally more prepared for the down turn
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Today and 5 yearsy y
Power of RemittancesPower of Remittances
Billi t f d llBillions are are transferred annuallyUsually the first workers to lose jobs
Latin America rebounds When commodity prices turn upCapital inflows return to emerging markets
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10 years from now?y
Current USA Economic crisesCurrent USA Economic crisesAffecting Tourism development in the region
What will be the next bubble to spur excessive growth and excessive disposable income?
Continued intra-regional trade L d d USA t di tLess dependence on USA as a trading partner
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10 years from now?y
Renewed in interest in sourcing closer toRenewed in interest in sourcing closer to USA market
Reversing trend in a positive direction forReversing trend in a positive direction for “Maquiladoras”
Although sourcing is also moving to the Asian low cost producers
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10 Years from Now
Panama Canal Third Lock is openedPanama Canal Third Lock is openedPanamax size increases to +10,000 teu sized vesselsThe paradigm shift that brings
Growing the economies of scaleInfrastructure to get the goods to marketInfrastructure to get the goods to market
Ports and handling equipmentInland Distribution
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10 Years from Now
With 100% certainty we will be in aWith 100% certainty we will be in a different cycle
With 0% certainty can I say whichWith 0% certainty can I say which one!
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31 Years later…It’s a rough job but..
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But some one has to do it!