About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by...

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About the Poll About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity & Race (WISER), a research center at the University of Washington in the School of Social Sciences. Dr. Gary Segura, a professor of Political Science is the Director of WISER and a co- principal investigator on this survey with Dr. Matt Barreto, also a professor of political science. The survey was administered by telephone, by Pacific Market Research, in Renton, WA, based on a randomly selected list of phone numbers. The survey was in the field from October 25 – 31, 2006. A total of 700 registered voters throughout the state of Washington were interviewed, yielding in a 3.7% margin of error. Final data are weighted by party identification based on the average of similar political polls from 2004 – 2006, and are based on a spread of 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 33% Independent. Additional results and cross-tabulations will be

Transcript of About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by...

Page 1: About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity.

About the PollAbout the PollThe Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity & Race (WISER), a research center at the University of Washington in the School of Social Sciences. Dr. Gary Segura, a professor of Political Science is the Director of WISER and a co-principal investigator on this survey with Dr. Matt Barreto, also a professor of political science.

The survey was administered by telephone, by Pacific Market Research, in Renton, WA, based on a randomly selected list of phone numbers. The survey was in the field from October 25 – 31, 2006. A total of 700 registered voters throughout the state of Washington were interviewed, yielding in a 3.7% margin of error. Final data are weighted by party identification based on the average of similar political polls from 2004 – 2006, and are based on a spread of 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 33% Independent.

Additional results and cross-tabulations will be released each day, so please check back for updates.

Questions/Comments: [email protected]

Page 2: About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity.

The Washington PollThe Washington Poll

Overall sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%.Sample for each row is much smaller (250 – 350) and margin of error is larger. Inquire for specificsPuget Sound counties: King, Pierce, Thurston, Snohomish

U.S. Senate Election In the election for U.S. Senate, will you vote for Mike McGavick, the Republican or Maria Cantwell, the Democrat? Cantwell McGavick Oth/ Undec Puget Sound 57% 37% 6% Rest of state 49 44 7 Democrat 89 9 1 Republican 8 88 4 Independent 55 31 14 Liberal 84 12 4 Moderate 59 34 7 Conservative 14 80 6 Men 50 45 5 Women 56 37 7

Page 3: About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity.

The Washington PollThe Washington Poll

Washington State Supreme Court In the election for state Supreme Court, will you vote for Stephen Johnson or Susan Owens? Owens Johnson Oth/ Undec Puget Sound 39% 30% 31% Rest of state 35 31 34 Democrat 57 12 31 Republican 15 57 28 Independent 38 27 35 Liberal 64 9 26 Moderate 40 26 34 Conservative 15 59 27 Men 35 36 29 Women 39 26 35

Overall sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%.Sample for each row is much smaller (250 – 350) and margin of error is larger. Inquire for specificsPuget Sound counties: King, Pierce, Thurston, Snohomish

Page 4: About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity.

The Washington PollThe Washington Poll

Initiative 920 Statewide ballot initiative 920 would repeal the estate tax, currently dedicated for the education legacy trust fund. Will you vote yes or no on I-920? Yes No Undec Puget Sound 31% 55% 14% Rest of state 32 52 16 Democrat 18 67 15 Republican 54 35 11 Independent 25 56 19 Liberal 13 74 13 Moderate 28 57 14 Conservative 53 34 13 Men 34 56 9 Women 29 51 20

Overall sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%.Sample for each row is much smaller (250 – 350) and margin of error is larger. Inquire for specificsPuget Sound counties: King, Pierce, Thurston, Snohomish

Page 5: About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity.

The Washington PollThe Washington Poll

Initiative 933 Statewide ballot initiative 933 would require the government to compensate property owners if their property is devalued. Will you vote yes or no on I-933? Yes No Undec Puget Sound 35% 55% 10% Rest of state 42 46 12 Democrat 25 66 9 Republican 57 35 8 Independent 35 49 15 Liberal 22 71 7 Moderate 36 52 12 Conservative 55 35 10 Men 39 53 7 Women 38 48 14

Overall sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%.Sample for each row is much smaller (250 – 350) and margin of error is larger. Inquire for specificsPuget Sound counties: King, Pierce, Thurston, Snohomish

Page 6: About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity.

The Washington PollThe Washington Poll

Initiative 937 Statewide ballot initiative 937 would require large electric utilities to meet energy conservation targets and to use renewable resources. Will you vote yes or no on I-937? Yes No Undec Puget Sound 55% 32% 13% Rest of state 51 34 14 Democrat 68 21 11 Republican 39 46 15 Independent 49 36 15 Liberal 74 19 8 Moderate 51 35 15 Conservative 37 47 16 Men 49 40 10 Women 56 28 16

Overall sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%.Sample for each row is much smaller (250 – 350) and margin of error is larger. Inquire for specificsPuget Sound counties: King, Pierce, Thurston, Snohomish

Page 7: About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity.

Additional ResultsAdditional ResultsFor cross-tabulations of these results, broken down by income, age, education, and more please download Part 3 of the preliminary results, posted online for 11/02/06

If you have additional questions, and would like to see any additional, or more specific results, please send us an email and we will try to accommodate your request