AABI Town Hall Meeting February 15 th , 2012 Educator Response on USAAP Proposal
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Transcript of AABI Town Hall Meeting February 15 th , 2012 Educator Response on USAAP Proposal
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2008 ICAO SURVEYICAO launched a survey in 2008 to
assess the global and regional requirements for civil aviation personnel and associated training capacity The
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GLOBAL A
ND REGIONAL
20-YEAR FO
RECASTS
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ICAO SURVEY
Forecasts for pilots, maintenance personnel, and ATCs
Based on the size of future fleet projections for 2010-2030
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SURVEY RESPONSENorth America 100%Europe 80%Asia/Pacific 82Latin America 54%Africa 50% Middle East 42%
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Fleet Growth Rates
Passenger
Cargo
Other
Africa 2.8% 3.7% 6.1%Asia/Pacific
5.0% 5.3% 9.1%
Europe 3.0% 1.7% 6.5%Latin A 3.8% 4.3% 6.0%Middle East
4.1% 5.8% 4.8%
North America
1.8% 1.6% 2.8%
World 3.1% 2.7% 4.3%
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Pilot Population
Professional Pilots
World Traffic
Africa 1% 6%Asia/Pacific 11% 28%Europe 18% 28%Latin America
5% 4%
Middle East
2% 2%
North America
63% (58% U.S.)
32%
World 100% 100%
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U.S. DEMOGRAPHICS OF PILOT POPULATIONConsidering mandatory retirement age of 65Approximately 85,000 pilots (31%) are aged 55 or olderAmong this age group 34,000 (13%) will be eligible for
retirement from 2015
Approximately 118,000 pilots (43%) are aged 50 or more Among this age group, another 34,000 will be eligible for
retirement from 2020
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PILOT TRAINING NEEDS
Pilots needed:2030
Training Needs
Training Capacity
Shortage/Surplus
Africa 55 932 3 812 1 010 -2 804
Asia/Pacific 229 676 13 983 4 935 -9 048
Europe 262 329 15 552 7 955 -7 597
Latin America
101 301 6 250 1 945 -4 305
Middle East 39 246 2 458 860 -1 598
North America
292 314 10 449(15 681)
27 655 17 206(11 974)
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WHAT SHORTAGE: WHAT DAY IS ITFurloughed: American: 1,900; United: 1,436, FlexJet: 17% of its
Pilots
January 9, 2012Dallas newsAmerican Airlines on Monday made three big announcements:* It will stop flying its Chicago-Delhi, India, route on March 1.* It will close its Burbank, Calif., station and end Dallas/Fort Worth-Burbank flights.• It will lay off 150 workers in the U.S.
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Given the Projected Pilot Demand in North America, and the Current Training Infrastructure, a USAAP is not needed.Based on the new “Pilot-Act”, the Current Training Infrastructure will need to be ChangedGiven the Enormous Global Pilot Need, Fundamental Changes Need to Occur in the Industry Inherent Complication of the Logistics of a UASSP run Program
THE BOTTOM LINE
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ANOTHER BOTTOM LINE
“The Government needs to do only what the people cannot do better by themselves, and no more”
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THANK YOU MTSU UNMANNED AIRCRAFT SYSTEMS CLUB MEMBERS TALKTO VISITORS AT MTSU FOOTBALL GAME BEFORE HISTORIC DRONE COIN DROP