A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

64
A vision for growth Business outlook barometer Romania 2016

Transcript of A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 1: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

A vision for growth

Business outlook barometer

Romania 2016

Page 2: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 2

What is “A vision for growth”?

“A vision for growth” is a survey that explores the perceptions of top executives from major companies operating in

Romania regarding the business outlook for 2016. In this edition we also provide comparative data with the similar

surveys conducted at the beginning of 2014 and 2015.

This EY report is based on an online survey of 421 C-suite level executives from companies in various sectors,

who provided a perspective on how the domestic business environment is perceived at the beginning of 2016.

5 main

findings

1

In 2016 companies seem to measure their success by a combination of customer satisfaction, financial results, and market

share. “Customer satisfaction” goes up from 78% in 2014 and 72% in 2015 to 83% in 2016. “Financial results” have landed

on the plateau of 68% in 2016 after a 28% fall in 2015, from 96% in 2014. Compared with 2014 (63%) and 2015 (55%),

“market share” goes marginally up from 55% to 56%, while “brand awareness” is on the rise from 41% up to 51%.

According to the results of our survey, 41% of respondent companies foresee a significant growth of +10% to +30%

of turnover in 2016, while 32% expect a growth rate of +5% to +10% in 2016. The forecasts regarding the evolution

of the profit in 2016 are optimistic as well, since 28% of the respondents profit growth rates in the interval from +5%

to +10% and 32% expect the profit of their company to grow between +10% to over 30%.

20% of respondents expect no increase in the employees number in 2016. At the same time, 35% of companies

say they expect their staff to increase by +1% to +5% this year. Moreover, 36% of respondents expect the

number of their employees to grow between +5% and over 30%. These percentages lead us to believe that the

projected expansion of businesses in 2016 commensurate with the optimism of the economic growth.

In 2016, most companies (44%) expect salaries to go up between +1% to +5%, followed by 31% of companies which

expect salaries to go up by +5% to +10% and 12% of companies which expect higher increases of +10% to more than

20%. Still 13% of companies expect no changes in the salary level in 2016.

25% of respondents say they have earmarked investment growth rates of +1% to +5% in 2016 compared to 17% in

H2 2015, followed by 45% who say will increase investments by +5% to +20% vs. 42% in H2 2015, and 11% who

foresees their investments going up between 20% and exceeding 30% in 2016, compared with 17% at in second

half of last year.

2

3

4

5

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

Page 3: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

A vision for growthBusiness outlook barometer

Romania 2016

Our survey reflects the increased focus

companies have on sustainable growth in a

business environment which, in spite of the

prospects for a positive economic evolution,

brings both challenges and opportunities.

Bogdan Ion, Managing Partner, EY Romania

Page 4: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

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Which is your confidence level in the current economic direction of the country? (single answer)

Question 1 – Overall responses

At the beginning of 2016, 63% of the respondent companies show confidence in the current economic direction of the country,

with 13% of them being “very confident” and 2% being “extremely confident”. This majority of responses illustrates the

background of positive business outlook for the current year.

Total responses: 421

(Skipped this questions: 0)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

5%

32%

48%

13%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Not at all confident

Somehow confident

Confident

Very confident

Extremely confident

Page 5: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

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Please indicate the main three elements that you think will define success in your industry? (only three answers)

Question 2 – A 3-year perspective

In 2016 companies seem to measure their success by a combination of customer satisfaction, financial results, and market share.

“Customer satisfaction” goes up from 78% in 2014 and 72% in 2015 to 83% in 2016. “Financial results” have landed on the plateau of

68% in 2016 after a 28% fall in 2015, from 96% in 2014. Compared with 2014 (63%) and 2015 (55%), “market share” goes marginally

up from 55% to 56%, while “brand awareness” is on the rise from 41% up to 51%.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

78%

96%

63%

39%

7% 7% 9%

72%68%

55%

41%

15%

7% 6% 4%

83%

68%

56%51%

26%

13%

4%1%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Customersatisfaction

Financialresults

Market share Brandawareness

Number ofyears on the

market

Number ofemployees

Going public(IPO)

Other

2014 2015 2016

Page 6: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

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How much you expect your turnover to grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 3 – Overall responses

The outlook for turnover growth is somehow in line with the positive economic growth for 2016. According to the results of our

survey, 41% of respondent companies foresee a significant growth of +10% to +30% of turnover in 2016, while 32% expect a

growth rate of +5% to +10% in 2016.

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 10)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

3%

2%

20%

32%

23%

12%

6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Exceeding -30%

-20% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Page 7: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

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How much you expect your turnover to grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 3 – By industry sector

According to responses received to fist half-year edition of the survey for 2016, the following are the top 3 industries that

foresee turnover growth rates exceeding 30%: pharmaceuticals industry (17%), IT (16%), and construction/real estate (13%).

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

Industry sector

Less

than

-30%

-20%

to

-30%

-10%

to

-20%

-5%

to

-10%

-1%

to

-5%

0%

+1%

to

+5%

+5%

to

+10%

+10%

to

+20%

+20%

to

+30%

Over

30%

Industry / Manufacturing 5% 2% 5% 24% 26% 27% 9% 2%

Retail & Wholesale Trade 2% 20% 46% 12% 14% 6%

Services 3% 3% 3% 10% 50% 13% 18%

Information Technology (IT) 3% 13% 22% 30% 16% 16%

Food & Beverages / Agriculture 21% 31% 21% 21% 6%

Construction / Real Estate 6% 9% 13% 22% 31% 6% 13%

Power & Energy 10% 14% 19% 29% 10% 14% 4%

Transportation 5% 26% 48% 16% 5%

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare 16% 25% 17% 25% 17%

Telecom 9% 9% 9% 18% 37% 18%

Page 8: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 8

How much you expect your turnover to grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 3 – By industry sector

These are the industry sectors which received the largest number of answers per industry. Therefore, we show the distribution

of the answers by these six industries for the questions which regard the expected evolution of turnover, profit, investments,

number of employees, salary level for 2016.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

5%

2%

5%

24%

26%

27%

9%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Industry / Manufacturing

2%

20%

46%

12%

14%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Retail & Wholesale Trade

3%

3%

3%

10%

50%

13%

18%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Services

3%

13%

22%

30%

16%

16%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Information Technology

21%

31%

21%

21%

6%

0% 20% 40%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding…

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

6%

9%

13%

22%

0%

13%

0% 10% 20% 30%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Construction / Real Estate

Not shown intervals received zero answers.

Page 9: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

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How much you expect your turnover to grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 3 – By revenues

As shown in this chart, the large companies (those with revenue levels between 50 and 100 M EUR+) are more pessimistic

regarding the evolution of their turnover in 2016. Also interesting are the results shown for SME’s with revenue levels of under

50M EUR which appear to have optimistic prospects for turnover growth in 2016.

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 0)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

33%

20%

11%

11%

15%

10%

12%

8%

34%

10%

14%

8%

6%

8%

8%

11%

20%

34%

29%

25%

34%

30%

19%

40%

22%

36%

38%

37%

36%

34%

22%

10%

33%

10%

14%

13%

14%

31%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

100 M EUR+

50 - 100 M EUR

10 - 50 M EUR

1 - 10 M EUR

Less than 1 M EUR

Not shown intervals received zero answers.

Page 10: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 10

How much you expect your turnover to grow? (single answer)

Question 3 – A 3-year perspective

In the past 3 years the most important shift in the outlook for turnover growth was from the interval of +1% to +5% which

reached 37% of the responses in 2014, to the interval of +10% to +20% which reaches 35% of the responses in 2016.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

2%

20%

32%

23%

12%

6%

2%

1%

3%

4%

17%

26%

35%

7%

2%

3%

37%

30%

19%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Exceeding -30%

-20% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

2014 2015 2016

Page 11: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

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How much you expect your profit to grow in 2016?(single answer)

Question 4 – Overall responses

The forecasts regarding the evolution of the profit in 2016 are optimistic as well, since 28% of the respondents expect profit

growth rates in the interval from +5% to +10% and 32% expect the profit of their company to grow between +10% to over 30%.

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 10)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

2%

7%

29%

28%

18%

10%

4%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Exceeding -30%

-20% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Page 12: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 12

How much you expect your profit to grow in 2016?(single answer)

Question 4 – By industry sector

In 2016, 12% of respondents from food & beverages/agriculture industry, followed by 11% of respondents from IT industry

foresee a significant increase of over 30% for their company’s profit, in contrast with 19% of the respondents from the power &

energy industry expect a profit decrease of -5% to -10%.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

Industry sector

Less

than

-30%

-20%

to

-30%

-10%

to

-20%

-5%

to

-10%

-1%

to

-5%

0%

+1%

to

+5%

+5%

to

+10%

+10%

to

+20%

+20%

to

+30%

Over

30%

Industry / Manufacturing 1% 1% 9% 30% 31% 16% 7% 5%

Retail & Wholesale Trade 2% 40% 24% 24% 10%

Services 2% 11% 24% 24% 24% 10% 5%

Information Technology (IT) 5% 19% 27% 25% 13% 11%

Food & Beverages / Agriculture 3% 18% 46% 12% 9% 12%

Construction / Real Estate 6% 10% 28% 31% 19% 6%

Power & Energy 19% 5% 29% 14% 14% 5% 9% 5%

Transportation 5% 37% 37% 21%

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare 42% 8% 33% 17%

Telecom 18% 28% 9% 27% 18%

Page 13: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 13

How much you expect your profit to grow in 2016?(single answer)

These are the industry sectors which received the largest number of answers per industry. Therefore, we show the distribution

of answers by these six industries for the questions which regard expected evolution of turnover, profit, investments, number of

employees, salary level for 2016.

Question 4 – By industry sector

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

1%

9%

30%

31%

16%

7%

5%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Industry / Manufacturing

2%

40%

24%

24%

10%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Retail & Wholesale Trade

2%

11%

24%

24%

24%

10%

5%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Services

5%

19%

27%

25%

13%

11%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Information Technology

3%

18%

46%

12%

9%

12%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

6%

10%

28%

31%

19%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Construction / Real Estate

Not shown intervals received zero answers.

Page 14: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 14

How much you expect your profit to grow in 2016?(single answer)

Question 4 – By revenues

Companies with revenue level of 10-50 M EUR are more optimistic regarding the envisaged profit growth rate for 2016. On the

reserved side are the large companies with revenue levels of 100 M EUR+, which have a large percentage distribution across

the negative level of -5% to -10% interval of the scale.

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 10)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

50%

13%

12%

12%

14%

13%

6%

17%

13%

3%

11%

11%

5%

13%

17%

38%

30%

30%

29%

27%

21%

28%

37%

33%

37%

36%

38%

33%

39%

16%

12%

21%

10%

12%

16%

20%

27%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

100 M EUR+

50 - 100 M EUR

10 - 50 M EUR

1 - 10 M EUR

Less than 1 M EUR

Not shown intervals received zero answers.

Page 15: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 15

How much you expect your profit to grow? (single answer)

Question 4 – A 3-year perspective

In the past 3 years, companies have reduced their expectations of profit levels exceeding 30%, from 7% in 2014, to 4% in 2016. Still,

the following interval of positive profit growth rates (+20% to +30%) has seen significant increases, but there were slight negative

fluctuation of the percentages in the interval +10% to +20% and +1% to +5%. Also noteworthy is the constant lowering of percentages

of the number of companies expecting 0% profit growth rate.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

2%

7%

29%

28%

18%

10%

4%

1%

3%

1%

8%

28%

25%

20%

5%

9%

2%

6%

10%

30%

21%

19%

7%

7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Exceeding -30%

-20% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

2014 2015 2016

Page 16: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 16

20% of respondents expect no increase in the employees number in 2016. At the same time, 35% of companies say they expect their

staff to increase by +1% to +5% this year. Moreover, 36% of respondents expect the number of their employees to grow between +5%

and over 30%. These percentages lead us to believe that the projected expansion of businesses in 2016 commensurate with the

optimism of the economic growth.

How much you expect your number of employees to grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 5 – Overall responses

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 10)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

2%

6%

20%

35%

19%

10%

4%

3%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Exceeding -30%

-20% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Page 17: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 17

Question 5 – By industry sector

Telecom (45%) and IT (32%) are the ones expecting major increases, between +10% and over 30%, in the number of

employees in 2016. However, all the industries foresee an increase in the number of employees of +1% to +10%, this being the

bracket where services, construction/real estate and transportation sectors show the highest percentages.

How much you expect your number of employeesto grow in 2016? (single answer)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

Industry sector

Less

than

-30%

-20%

to

-30%

-10%

to

-20%

-5%

to

-10%

-1%

to

-5%

0%

+1%

to

+5%

+5%

to

+10%

+10%

to

+20%

+20%

to

+30%

Over

30%

Industry / Manufacturing 2% 7% 18% 35% 22% 13% 2% 1%

Retail & Wholesale Trade 6% 28% 42% 14% 4% 4% 2%

Services 5% 5% 40% 26% 11% 5% 5%

Information Technology (IT) 3% 19% 27% 19% 21% 8% 3%

Food & Beverages / Agriculture 3% 6% 15% 18% 21% 24% 3% 3% 7%

Construction / Real Estate 3% 25% 38% 28% 6%

Power & Energy 14% 9% 9% 29% 19% 5% 5% 5% 5%

Transportation 10% 11% 53% 5% 11% 5% 5%

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare 8% 33% 34% 17% 8%

Telecom 28% 18% 9% 27% 18%

Page 18: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 18

These are the industry sectors which received the largest number of answers per industry. Therefore, we show the distribution

of answers by these six industries for the questions which regard expected evolution of turnover, profit, investments, number of

employees, salary level for 2016.

How much you expect your number of employees to grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 5 – By industry sector

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

7%

18%

35%

22%

13%

2%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Industry / Manufacturing

6%

28%

42%

14%

4%

4%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Retail & Wholesale Trade

5%

5%

40%

26%

11%

5%

5%

0 0.2 0.4 0.6

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Services

3%

19%

27%

19%

21%

8%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Information Technology

3%

6%

15%

18%

21%

24%

3%

3%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

3%

25%

38%

28%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Construction / Real Estate

Not shown intervals received zero answers.

Page 19: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 19

Quite interestingly, the companies which have revenue levels between 50-100 M EUR show very conservative prospects

regarding staff growth in 2016 or even expect important decreases in their number of employees. The companies with the most

positive prospects regarding the number of employees increases are those with revenue levels between 1-10 M EUR.

How much you expect your number of employeesto grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 5 – By revenues

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 10)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

67%

25%

32%

12%

8%

13%

12%

13%

8%

50%

16%

12%

6%

4%

10%

12%

16%

33%

13%

28%

23%

31%

31%

27%

31%

15%

12%

16%

40%

38%

40%

34%

31%

38%

8%

13%

17%

12%

17%

13%

23%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

100 M EUR+

50 - 100 M EUR

10 - 50 M EUR

1 - 10 M EUR

Less than 1 M EUR

Not shown intervals received zero answers.

Page 20: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 20

The 3-year perspective on companies’ expectations regarding the evolution of their number of employees show a steep

decrease of percentages for 0% staff number growth, from 37% in 2014 to 20% in 2015 and 2016. The corresponding increase

is seen in the interval +1% to +5% (30% in 2014, 35% in 2016) and in the interval +5% to +10% (5% in 2014, 19% in 2016).

How much you expect your number of employeesto grow? (single answer)

Question 5 – A 3-year perspective

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

2%

6%

20%

35%

19%

10%

3%

2%

3%

5%

36%

14%

14%

4%

5%

9%

37%

30%

5%

9%

5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Exceeding -30%

-20% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

2014 2015 2016

Page 21: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 21

How much you expect your investments to grow in 2016?(single answer)

Question 6 – Overall responses

25% of respondents say they have earmarked investment growth rates of +1% to +5% in 2016 compared to 17% in H2 2015,

followed by 45% who say will increase investments by +5% to +20% vs. 42% in H2 2015, and 11% who foresees their

investments going up between 20% and exceeding 30% in 2016, compared with 17% at in second half of last year.

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 10)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

1%

1%

1%

15%

25%

24%

21%

6%

5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Exceeding -30%

-20% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Page 22: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 22

How much you expect your investments to grow in 2016?(single answer)

Question 6 – By industry sector

The table shows that there are many industries which have earmarked significant investment growth rates for 2016. Moreover,

there are industries such as pharmaceuticals/healthcare, telecommunications, and IT which say their investments for 2016 will

go up by +20% to over 30%.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

Industry sector

Less

than

-30%

-20%

to

-30%

-10%

to

-20%

-5%

to

-10%

-1%

to

-5%

0%

+1%

to

+5%

+5%

to

+10%

+10%

to

+20%

+20%

to

+30%

Over

30%

Industry / Manufacturing 1% 1% 1% 15% 23% 27% 21% 5% 6%

Retail & Wholesale Trade 2% 2% 10% 24% 28% 26% 4% 4%

Services 25% 27% 20% 20% 5% 3%

Information Technology (IT) 8% 22% 22% 30% 8% 10%

Food & Beverages / Agriculture 3% 7% 18% 33% 24% 6% 9%

Construction / Real Estate 3% 16% 34% 22% 12% 10% 3%

Power & Energy 10% 5% 5% 28% 19% 9% 19% 5%

Transportation 11% 44% 22% 17% 6%

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare 8% 31% 8% 31% 15% 7%

Telecom 10% 10% 40% 20% 20%

Page 23: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 23

How much you expect your investments to grow in 2016?(single answer)

Question 6 – By industry sector

These are the industry sectors which received the largest number of answers per industry. Therefore, we show the distribution

of answers by these six industries for the questions which regard expected evolution of turnover, profit, investments, number of

employees, salary level for 2016.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

1%

1%15%

23%27%

21%5%6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Exceeding -30%-20% to -30%-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%-1% to -5%

0%+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%+10% to +20%+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Industry / Manufacturing

2%2%

10%24%

28%26%

4%4%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Exceeding -30%-20% to -30%-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%-1% to -5%

0%+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%+10% to +20%+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Retail & Wholesale Trade

25%27%

20%20%

5%3%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Exceeding -30%-20% to -30%-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%-1% to -5%

0%+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%+10% to +20%+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Services

8%22%22%

30%8%10%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Exceeding -30%-20% to -30%-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%-1% to -5%

0%+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%+10% to +20%+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Information Technology

3%

7%18%

33%24%

6%9%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Exceeding -30%-20% to -30%-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%-1% to -5%

0%+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%+10% to +20%+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

3%16%

34%22%

12%10%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Exceeding -30%-20% to -30%-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%-1% to -5%

0%+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%+10% to +20%+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

Construction / Real Estate

Page 24: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 24

How much you expect your investments to grow in 2016?(single answer)

Question 6 – By revenues

According to the findings of the current edition of the report, respondents from companies with revenue levels of 1-10 M EUR

are quite positive and expect their investments to go up in 2016, followed by companies with revenue levels of 10-50 M EUR.

The most reserved outlook regarding investments is shown by companies with revenue levels of 50-100 M EUR.

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 10)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

33%

67%

33%

10%

11%

12%

16%

9%

13%

20%

33%

7%

14%

5%

11%

4%

4%

40%

32%

32%

25%

28%

26%

26%

40%

33%

34%

36%

33%

38%

37%

52%

26%

34%

33%

15%

10%

20%

8%

9%

31%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Exceeding -30%

-20% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

100 M EUR+

50 - 100 M EUR

10 - 50 M EUR

1 - 10 M EUR

Less than 1 M EUR

Page 25: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 25

How much you expect your investments to grow? (single answer)

Question 6 – A 2-year perspective

The chart shows that only 15% of companies expect no increase in investments in 2016 compared to 19% in the previous year.

Also, the most important increase of +8% is seen in the number of companies which expect their investments to grow by +1%

to +5% in 2016, whilst there is a significant decrease in the number of companies which expect investments to grow by +30%.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

1%

1%

1%

15%

25%

24%

21%

6%

5%

1%

2%

19%

17%

23%

19%

7%

10%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Exceeding -30%

-20% to -30%

-10% to -20%

-5% to -10%

-1% to -5%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

+20% to +30%

Exceeding 30%

2015 2016

Page 26: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 26

In 2016, most companies (44%) expect salaries to go up between +1% to +5%, followed by 31% of companies which expect

salaries to go up by +5% to +10% and 12% of companies which expect higher increases of +10% to more than 20%. Still 13%

of companies expect no changes in the salary level in 2016.

How much you expect the salary level in your company to grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 7 – Overall responses

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 10)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

13%

44%

31%

10%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Exceeding -20%

-10% la -20%

-5% la -10%

-1% la -5%

0%

+1% la +5%

+5% la +10%

+10% la +20%

Exceeding 20%

Page 27: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 27

Question 7 – By industry sector

No less than 18% of companies in retail & wholesale trade expect major increases in salary level of +10% to +20%. However,

all the industries foresee an increase in the salary level of +1% to +5%, the interval where telecommunications, food &

beverages / agriculture, and retail & wholesale trade industry sectors show the highest percentages.

How much you expect the salary level in your company to grow in 2016? (single answer)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

Industry sector

Less

than

-20%

-10%

to

-20%

-5%

to

-10%

-1%

to

-5%

0%

+1%

to

+5%

+5%

to

+10%

+10%

to

+20%

Over

20%

Industry / Manufacturing 10% 42% 36% 12%

Retail & Wholesale Trade 8% 48% 26% 16% 2%

Services 21% 34% 32% 10% 3%

Information Technology (IT) 11% 41% 35% 11% 2%

Food & Beverages / Agriculture 6% 52% 33% 9%

Construction / Real Estate 19% 44% 31% 6%

Power & Energy 48% 43% 5% 4%

Transportation 5% 37% 48% 5% 5%

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare 17% 42% 25% 16%

Telecom 9% 64% 18% 9%

Page 28: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 28

These are the industry sectors which received the largest number of answers per industry. Therefore, we show the distribution

of answers by these six industries for the questions which regard expected evolution of turnover, profit, investments, number of

employees, salary level for 2016.

How much you expect the salary level in your company to grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 7 – By industry sector

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

10%

42%

36%

12%

0% 20% 40% 60%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

Exceeding 20%

Industry / Manufacturing

8%

48%

26%

16%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

Exceeding 20%

Retail & Wholesale Trade

21%

34%

32%

10%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

Exceeding 20%

Services

11%

41%

35%

11%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

Exceeding 20%

Information Technology

6%

52%

33%

9%

0% 50% 100%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

Exceeding 20%

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

19%

44%

31%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

Exceeding 20%

Construction / Real Estate

Not shown intervals received zero answers.

Page 29: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 29

Depending on the industry sector there are SMEs of 1-10 M EUR that seems to be on the optimistic side with high percentages

of expected salary growth rates, while the other companies are more conservative regarding the salary growth rates in 2016.

How much you expect the salary level in your company to grow in 2016? (single answer)

Question 7 – By revenues

Total responses: 411

(Skipped this questions: 10)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

14%

14%

11%

10%

18%

10%

6%

7%

14%

25%

31%

27%

21%

14%

29%

34%

41%

33%

43%

14%

11%

15%

29%

29%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

0%

+1% to +5%

+5% to +10%

+10% to +20%

Exceeding 20%

100 M EUR+

50 - 100 M EUR

10 - 50 M EUR

1 - 10 M EUR

Less than 1 M EUR

Not shown intervals received zero answers.

Page 30: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 30

Besides the important decrease in the number of companies which expected no salary changes, from 19% in 2014 to 13% in 2015,

there is a even more significant decrease in the number of companies expecting only a 1-5% salary growth rate, from 60% in 2014 to

44% in 2016. The corresponding increase is shown in the number of companies earmarking salary increases of +5% to over 20% both

in 2015 and 2016.

How much you expect the salary level in your company to grow? (single answer)

Question 7 – A 3-year perspective

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

13%

44%

31%

10%

2%

1%

2%

11%

49%

30%

6%

19%

60%

19%

2%

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

Exceeding -20%

-10% la -20%

-5% la -10%

-1% la -5%

0%

+1% la +5%

+5% la +10%

+10% la +20%

Exceeding 20%

2014 2015 2016

Page 31: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 31

The level of confidence in industry growth consolidates in 2016, with 42% of “somewhat confident” responses vs 34% in 2015,

and 30% in 2014. The percentage of “very confident” responses increases to 17% in 2016, from 15% in 2015 and 7% in 2014.

At the same time, there is a 5% increase in the “not at all confident” responses, from 7% in 2015 to 12% in 2016.

How confident do you feel regarding the growth of your industry, for the next 12 months? (single answer)

Question 8 – A 3-year perspective

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

12%

29%

42%

17%

7%

43%

34%

15%

14%

49%

30%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Not at all confident

Slightly confident

Somewhat confident

Very confident

2014 2015 2016

Page 32: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 32

In 2016, the top 3 industries “not at all confident” regarding the sector’s growth potential are: power & energy (38%), telecom

(18%), and chemicals (17%), while the top 3 “very confident” industries are: R&D / New technology (50%), IT (36%), and

tourism (27%).

How confident do you feel regarding the growth of your industry, for the next 12 months? (single answer)

Question 8 – By industry sector

Total Respondents 399

(Skipped this question: 22)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

17%3%

10% 11% 6% 8%

38%

17% 14% 11%18% 13% 12%

42%

36%30% 23%

17%

33%

19%50%

50%36%

25%27% 40%

37%

33%

41%

42% 37% 51%

42%

42%

43%16%

40%

50% 37% 20% 50%43%

19% 23%15%

36%

17% 17%

50%

10% 14% 18%27%

13% 12%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Not at all confident Slightly confident Somewhat confident Very confident

Page 33: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 33

The number of respondents that are slightly confident in the growth of their company drop to 20% in 2016, from 45% in 2015,

and 23% in 2014. At the same time, the percentage of those “somewhat confident” goes up from 19% in 2015 to 42% currently,

and the percentage of “very confident” responses goes up from 32% in 2015 to 25% currently.

How confident do you feel regarding the growth of your company for the next 12 months? (single answer)

Question 9 – A 3-year perspective

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

20%

42%

35%

3%

45%

19%

32%

23%

37%

40%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Not at all confident

Slightly confident

Somewhat confident

Very confident

2014 2015 2016

Page 34: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 34

In 2016, the top 3 industries “not at all confident” regarding the company’s growth potential are: power & energy (14%), tourism

(13%), and telecom (10%), while the top 3 “very confident” industries are: food & beverage / agriculture (57%), chemicals

(50%), publishing & printing (50%) and R&D / New technology (50%).

How confident do you feel regarding the growth of your company for the next 12 months? (single answer)

Question 9 – By industry sector

Total Respondents 399

(Skipped this question: 22)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

8% 3% 4%14%

4% 10% 13%8% 16%

10%

21%14% 8%

33%

17%33% 20% 28%

20% 13%24% 21%

34%

52%

33%

39%53%

50%

34%

33%17% 41% 39% 30% 40% 41%

61%

50%

29%

57%

36% 33%42%

19%

50% 50%35% 33%

40% 34% 35%

18%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Not at all confident Slightly confident Somewhat confident Very confident

Page 35: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 35

Low cost remains the main strength of the respondents’ competition in the local market despite decreasing from 41% in 2015 to

33% in 2016. Brand awareness (trust) decreases from 37% in 2014, to 29% in 2015 and up to 30% in 2016, and is now on the

second place. A spectacular increase is seen in Partnerships up to 17% in 2016 from only 9% in 2014 and 2015.

Please select the main strength of your competition in the local market (Romania). (single answer)

Question 10 – A 3-year perspective

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

26%

37%

9%

14%

7% 7%

41%

29%

9%

13%

5%3%

33%30%

17%14%

6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Low cost Strong brandawareness (trust)

Partnerships Distributionchannels

R&D Other

2014 2015 2016

Page 36: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 36

Low cost is still seen as a the main strength of the competition across most of the industry sectors, except for strong brand

awareness in pharmaceuticals / healthcare, publishing & printing, services, and tourism industries, as it is partnerships for the

power & energy sector and R&D in case of new technology sector.

Please select the main strength of your competition in the local market (Romania). (single answer)

Question 10 – By industry sector

Total Respondents 399

(Skipped this question: 22)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

3%

37%

13% 17%25%

5%17%

28%

6%18% 20%

6% 6%

33%

52%

20%

31%33% 17%

33%33%

42%

28%

37% 27%44%

36%

8%

26% 20%

17% 3% 25% 38%

17%

8%

17%

27%

20%28%

12%17%

3%3%

7% 17%

5%

50%

3%

9%

3%

42%

16% 20%32% 30% 33%

19%

50%

33%22%

46%

9%

33%22%

43%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Distribution channels Low cost Partnerships R&D Strong brand awareness (trust)

Page 37: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 37

To what extent do you expect your customers' demand to change in the next 12 months? (single answer)

Question 11 – Overall responses

A remarkable 62% of respondents expect their customers’ demand to “somewhat increase” in 2016 compared to only 3%

which expect it to “increase dramatically”. Just 5% believe customers’ demand will “somewhat decrease”, while 30% expect it

to stay the same.

Total Respondents 399

(Skipped this question: 22)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

0%

5%

30%

62%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Decrease dramatically

Somewhat decrease

Stay the same

Somewhat increase

Increase dramatically

Page 38: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 38

To what extent do you expect your customers' demand to change in the next 12 months? (single answer)

Question 11 – By industry sector

There is only one industry sector which expect their customers’ demand to decrease dramatically in 2016, namely services

industry sector. The industries that have the highest percentage of respondents who say their customers’ demand will increase

dramatically in 2016 are pharmaceuticals / healthcare and R&D / New technology industries.

Total Respondents 399

(Skipped this question: 22)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

3%

3%

4%

3%

17%

5%

17%

2%

3%

64%

58%

61%

67%

60%

75%

42%

57%

17%

67%

60%

58%

64%

80%

67%

21%

42%

39%

27%

33%

17%

41%

33%

50%

16%

32%

28%

27%

20%

33%

12%

3%

3%

5%

5%

33%

6%

8%

9%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Other

Chemicals

Construction / Real Estate

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

Industry / Manufacturing

Information Technology

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare

Power / Energy / Mining

Publishing & Printing

R&D / New Technology

Retail & Wholesale Trade

Services

Telecommunication / Media

Tourism

Transportation

Increase dramatically Somewhat increase Stay the same Somewhat decrease Decrease dramatically

Page 39: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 39

In your opinion, which is the most important obstacle entrepreneurs and managers have to overcome to develop the business? (multiple answers)

Question 12 – Overall responses

According to the respondents to the current edition of the survey, the most important obstacle entrepreneurs and managers

have to overcome to develop the business is bureaucracy (54%) and uncertainty (53%), followed by lack of political stability

and public policy vision (51%), and taxation level (49%).

Total Respondents 399

(Skipped this question: 22)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

15%

25%

30%

37%

49%

51%

53%

54%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

The state of the local economy

Difficult access to finance

Lack of entrepreneurial education

The state of the national economy

Taxation level

Lack of political stability and public policy vision

Uncertainty

Bureaucracy

Page 40: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 40

On a scale from 1 to 5, please indicate to what extend the following changes in legislation will impact your business in 2016?(1 - lowest impact, 5 - highest impact) (one answer for each option)

Question 13 – By intensity of impact

Respondents say that the following changes in legislation will have the highest impact & high impact in their businesses going

forward: reinvested profit tax exemption (64%), decrease of tax on dividends (58%), and reduction to 20% of VAT (55%).

Total Respondențs: 348

(Skipped this question: 73

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

17%

17%

20%

52%

42%

19%

25%

17%

19%

25%

18%

20%

23%

26%

32%

27%

25%

14%

18%

23%

34%

17%

25%

23%

10%

14%

23%

11%

17%

12%

7%

6%

6%

12%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Other

Reinvested profit tax exemption

Reduction to 20% of VAT

Change of the tax system for freelancers (PFA/PFI)

Relaxation of taxation regime for micro-companies

Decrease of tax on dividends rate

New developments in the international taxation (BEPS,FATCA, CRS)

Lowest impact (1) (2) (3) (4) Highest impact (5)

58%

55%

64%

Page 41: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 41

Please name other legislative changes for your business operation you expect in 2016?

Question 14 – Overall responses

The number one legislative changes for their business operation that respondents expect in 2015 is the New Fiscal Code (20

responses), followed by salary tax decrease (18 responses), and amended Labor Laws (17 responses).

Total Respondențs: 209

(Skipped this question: 212

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

Legislative changes mentioned

by respondents

No. of

answers

Decrease of salary taxes 33

Fewer taxes 28

Labor legislation 24

Corporate income tax decrease 18

Excises legislation 17

Other 16

Simplified access to EU funds 16

Laws to support SMEs 14

Public acquisition law 11

Less bureaucracy 11

Energy laws 9

Tax exemption for the reinvested profit 9

Insolvency law 3

Top 10 legislative changes (%)

18%

15%

13%

10%

9%

9%

9%

7%

5%

5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Decrease of salary taxes

Fewer taxes

Labour legislation

Corporate income tax decrease

Excises legislation

Other

Simplified access to EU funds

Laws to support SMEs

Public acquisition law

Less bureaucracy

Page 42: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 42

On a scale from 1 to 5, please rate the importance of innovation for the successful performance of your company? (1 - lowest impact, 5 - highest impact)(single answer)

Question 15 – Overall responses

Innovation is seen as having a very high impact & high impact in the successful performance of the company by 74% of

respondents in 2016. Only of companies see innovation as having a “medium impact”, and even fewer (7%) consider

innovation of “low impact”, while just 1% say innovation is of “no impact” on their business agenda.

Total Respondențs: 348

(Skipped this question: 73)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

7%

18%

39%

35%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

No impact

Low impact

Medium impact

High impact

Very high impact

Page 43: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 43

On a scale from 1 to 5, please rate the importance of innovation for the successful performance of your company? (1 - lowest impact, 5 - highest impact)(single answer)

Question 15 – By industry sector

There are very few industry sectors where innovation is seen as having the lowest impact for successful performance. These

are: transportation (7%) and services (6%). The industries where innovation has the highest impact are pharmaceuticals /

healthcare (67%), R&D / New technology (60%), and IT (52%).

Total Respondents: 348

(Skipped this question: 73)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

43%

18%

19%

46%

38%

52%

67%

26%

20%

60%

30%

23%

14%

33%

27%

37%

55%

50%

36%

44%

33%

33%

42%

60%

40%

40%

37%

43%

25%

20%

10%

9%

19%

14%

12%

15%

32%

20%

21%

26%

29%

34%

40%

3%

18%

12%

4%

6%

9%

8%

14%

8%

7%

7%

6%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Other

Chemicals

Construction / Real Estate

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

Industry / Manufacturing

Information Technology

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare

Power / Energy / Mining

Publishing & Printing

R&D / New Technology

Retail & Wholesale Trade

Services

Telecommunication / Media

Tourism

Transportation

Highest impact (5) (4) (3) (2) Lowest impact (1)

Page 44: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 44

What are the main drivers for innovation in your company? (multiple answers)

Question 16 – Overall responses

The most important driver for innovation is efficiency (66%), followed by performance (62%), people (51%), the need to beat

competition (48%) and cost (47%). Unfortunately, the lowest percentages are recorded by: environment preservation (13%),

technical uncertainty (10%), and diminishing resources (6%).

Total Respondents: 348

(Skipped this question: 73)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

6%

10%

13%

23%

29%

34%

47%

48%

51%

62%

66%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Other

Fewer resources

Technical uncertainty

Environment preservation

Increased production

Market share

Change

Cost

Competition

People

Performance

Efficiency

Page 45: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 45

What are the main drivers for innovation in your company? (multiple answers)

Question 16 – By industry sector

The most important driver for innovation in publishing & printing sector is lack of people (36%), in R&D / New technology is

performance (21%), in services sector is also performance (20%), and in retail & wholesale trade is efficiency (19%).

Total Respondents: 348

(Skipped this question: 73)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

5%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

3%

7%

5%

9%

13%

7%

8%

8%

12%

8%

9%

16%

9%

7%

10%

10%

5%

11%

11%

14%

15%

12%

11%

16%

10%

15%

5%

13%

11%

7%

10%

14%

2%

9%

4%

9%

12%

2%

4%

6%

7%

5%

1%

5%

7%

7%

9%

4%

5%

9%

7%

5%

4%

10%

8%

8%

7%

13%

8%

16%

18%

17%

16%

15%

19%

16%

17%

14%

16%

19%

19%

16%

15%

18%

13%

7%

14%

11%

12%

12%

20%

16%

14%

11%

14%

8%

13%

12%

14%

17%

13%

17%

10%

16%

18%

12%

14%

14%

21%

18%

20%

17%

18%

13%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

4%

5%

2%

7%

2%

5%

5%

4%

3%

4%

1%

8%

7%

2%

1%

3%

3%

16%

18%

12%

14%

9%

15%

8%

8%

36%

21%

14%

15%

13%

10%

13%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Other

Chemicals

Construction / Real Estate

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

Industry / Manufacturing

Information Technology

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare

Power / Energy / Mining

Publishing & Printing

R&D / New Technology

Retail & Wholesale Trade

Services

Telecommunication / Media

Tourism

Transportation

Technical uncertainty Change Cost Increased production

Market share Efficiency Competition Performance

Fewer resources Environment preservation People All of the above

Page 46: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 46

Which of the following best describe your company's primary strategy for financing its investments in the past 12 months? (single answer)

Question 17 – Overall responses

In 2015 companies used mainly intercompany loans, own resources, or reinvested profit to finance investments (43%),

followed by bank loans (34%). Compared to 2014, there is a 9% increase in intercompany loans and own resources and a 10%

decrease in bank loans.

Total Respondents: 348

(Skipped this question: 73)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

3%

6%

12%

34%

43%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Other

Our company used venture capitalto finance its investments

Our company used share capitalincrease to finance its investments

No investments

Our company used bank loans tofinance its investments

Our company used intercompanyloans, own resources, or reinvested

profit to finance its investments

2016

2%

3%

6%

12%

34%

43%

12%

23%

5%

42%

18%

2%

10%

54%

34%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Other

Our company used venture capitalto finance its investments

Our company used share capitalincrease to finance its investments

No investments

Our company used bank loans tofinance its investments

Our company used intercompanyloans, own resources, or reinvested

profit to finance its investments

2014 2015 2016

Page 47: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 47

Which of the following best describe your company's primary strategy for financing its investments in the past 12 months? (single answer)

Question 17 – By industry sector

In 2015 companies from all industries used mainly intercompany loans, own resources, or reinvested profit to finance investments,

followed by bank loans. Financing by share capital increase appear in the chart only at companies from publishing & printing (20%)

and pharmaceuticals / healthcare (17%). No investments are shown mainly in services (31%) and trade (21%) industry sectors.

Total Respondents: 348

(Skipped this question: 73)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

27%

64%

38%

39%

37%

36%

33%

26%

20%

20%

35%

31%

29%

17%

33%

43%

18%

50%

43%

45%

52%

50%

48%

20%

80%

37%

23%

71%

67%

47%

7%

7%

11%

3%

17%

5%

20%

5%

9%

3%

9%4%

4%

3%

3%

5%

2%

7%

17%

9%

8%

7%

1%

3%

16%

20%

21%

31%

16%

13%

3%

3%

3%

20%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Other

Chemicals

Construction / Real Estate

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

Industry / Manufacturing

Information Technology

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare

Power / Energy / Mining

Publishing & Printing

R&D / New Technology

Retail & Wholesale Trade

Services

Telecommunication / Media

Tourism

Transportation

Our company used bank loans to finance its investments

Our company used intercompany loans, own resources, or reinvested profit to finance its investments

Our company used share capital increase to finance its investments

Our company used venture capital to finance its investments

No investments

Other

Page 48: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 48

Which the following best describes your company's preferred strategy for financing of investments for the following 12 months? (single answer)

Question 18 – Overall responses

Intercompany loans, own resources or reinvested profit will remain companies’ preferred strategy to finance investments in

2016, according to 46% of respondents, up from 13% in 2015. The second preferred financing source will be bank loans (34%),

down from 53% in 2015.

Total Respondents 339

(Skipped this question: 82)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

2%

6%

10%

34%

46%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Other

Venture capital

Share capital increase

No investments

Bank loans

Intercompany loans, ownresources, or reinvested profit

2016

2%

2%

6%

10%

34%

46%

9%

21%

4%

53%

13%

12%

49%

39%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Other

Venture capital

Share capital increase

No investments

Bank loans

Intercompany loans, ownresources, or reinvested profit

2014 2015 2016

Page 49: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 49

Which the following best describes your company's preferred strategy for financing of investments for the following 12 months? (single answer)

Question 18 – By industry sector

Intercompany loans, own resources or reinvested profit will remain companies’ preferred strategy to finance investments in

2016 across all industry sectors as well. The second preferred financing source will be bank loans, while share capital increase

will be used by pharma companies (33%), and venture capital will be used by publishing & printing companies (20%).

Total Respondents 339

(Skipped this question: 82)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

25%

64%

32%

50%

38%

39%

17%

33%

20%

20%

36%

25%

29%

17%

26%

46%

27%

64%

32%

53%

43%

50%

39%

40%

60%

40%

34%

71%

42%

67%

4%

14%

4%

9%

33%

6%

20%

7%

10%

4%

1%

6%

20%

3%

18%

9%

4%

4%

3%

3%

22%

20%

12%

22%

33%

7%

3%

1%

5%

6%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Other

Chemicals

Construction / Real Estate

Food & Beverages /…

Industry / Manufacturing

Information Technology

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare

Power / Energy / Mining

Publishing & Printing

R&D / New Technology

Retail & Wholesale Trade

Services

Telecommunication / Media

Tourism

Transportation

Bank loans

Intercompany loans, ownresources, or reinvestedprofit

Share capital increase

Venture capital

No investments

Other

Page 50: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 50

Which of the following factors best describe the reaction of your company to the business environment in the past year? (single answer)

Question 19 – A 3-year perspective

The most important shift in responses is that cost reduction ceases to be the reaction of the companies to the changes of the

business environment (21% in 2016 vs. 30% in 2015). The first position is occupied now by the productivity increase (27% in

2016 and 2015 vs. 32% in 2014), followed by new products (19% in 2016 and 2015 vs. 17% in 2014). Talent acquisition and

access to EU funds show also important percentage increases in the current edition of the survey.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

1%

2%

4%

4%

6%

16%

21%

2%

1%

5%

14%

19%

30%

27%

5%

2%

5%

2%

15%

17%

22%

32%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Other

Reduced capital investment

Reduced market coverage

Mergers & Acquisitions

Attraction of EU funds

Talent acquisition

Restructure of the organization

New products

Cost reduction

Productivity increase

2014 2015 2016

Page 51: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 51

Which of the following factors best describe the reaction of your company to the business environment in the past year? (single answer)

Question 19 – By industry sector

Productivity increase was the most important reaction of companies transportation to the business environment in the past year

(47%), while companies in chemicals focused on cost reduction (46%), companies in R&D / New technology focused on

attraction of EU funds (40%) and companies on publishing & printing focused on new products (40%).

Total Respondents: 339

(Skipped this question: 82)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

4%

7%

4%

9%

40%

9%

9%

18%

46%

36%

25%

17%

9%

17%

33%

20%

20%

19%

16%

43%

8%

20%

4%

4%

7%

3%

6%

20%

7%

3%

14%

28%

18%

12%

14%

22%

12%

33%

17%

40%

26%

16%

14%

25%

7%

25%

27%

20%

25%

32%

37%

17%

11%

20%

20%

26%

22%

14%

42%

47%

9%

4%

1%

2%

1%

5%

6%

8%

7%

16%

18%

20%

18%

16%

27%

20%

12%

25%

20%

14%

12%

3%

12%

6%

3%

3%

15%

8%

6%

17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Other

Chemicals

Construction / Real Estate

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

Industry / Manufacturing

Information Technology

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare

Power / Energy / Mining

Publishing & Printing

R&D / New Technology

Retail & Wholesale Trade

Services

Telecommunication / Media

Tourism

Transportation

Attraction of EU funds

Cost reduction

Mergers & Acquisitions

New products

Productivity increase

Reduced capital investment

Reduced market coverage

Restructure of the organization

Talent acquisition

Other

Page 52: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 52

In case of stagnation/decline in your current markets what will be the step/s your company will pursue in the next 12 months? (multiple answers)

Question 20 – A 3-year perspective

In case of stagnation / decline of the market 70% of companies will stay on the market until is stable again in order to secure it

and increase the trust level in 2016 compared to 65% in 2015 and 56% in 2014. In 2016, 47% say will transform the market

through innovative approaches and 15% say that will grow on the market through M&A.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

7%

10%

15%

47%

70%

1%

2%

8%

12%

47%

65%

5%

10%

10%

56%

56%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Other

Leave the market and seek new ones

Seek external funding to secure our position on themarket

Grow on the market through M&A (Mergers &Acquisitions)

Transform the market through innovative approaches

Stay on the market until is stable again in order to secureit and increase the trust level

2014 2015 2016

Page 53: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 53

In case of stagnation/decline in your current markets what will be the step/s your company will pursue in the next 12 months? (multiple answers)

Question 20 – By industry sector

While companies from all industries will stay on the market until is stable again in order to secure it and increase the trust level,

the top 3 ones that are ready to transform the market through innovative approaches are: food & beverages (41%),

transportation (36%), and pharmaceuticals / healthcare (34%).

Total Respondents: 339

(Skipped this question: 82)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

43%

60%

52%

34%

49%

42%

33%

42%

38%

28%

49%

54%

67%

61%

52%

10%

6%

7%

6%

2%

3%

12%

4%

2%

8%

26%

28%

30%

41%

34%

33%

34%

19%

38%

27%

29%

33%

22%

31%

36%

10%

6%

9%

16%

7%

8%

33%

20%

12%

18%

10%

9%

8%

4%

9%

6%

3%

2%

4%

15%

16%

27%

8%

2%

11%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Other

Chemicals

Construction / Real Estate

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

Industry / Manufacturing

Information Technology

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare

Power / Energy / Mining

Publishing & Printing

R&D / New Technology

Retail & Wholesale Trade

Services

Telecommunication / Media

Tourism

Transportation

Stay on the market until is stableagain in order to secure it andincrease the trust level

Leave the market and seek newones

Transform the market throughinnovative approaches

Grow on the market throughM&A (Mergers & Acquisitions)

Seek external funding to secureour position on the market

Other

Page 54: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 54

Which the following actions is your company taking to increase sales? (multiple answers)

Question 21 – A 3-year perspective

73% of the companies are introducing new products or services for existing clients and attracted new clients in order to

increase sales in 2015, 41% are increasing the investments in marketing and sales, 40% are entering new geographical

markets, and 38% are opening new distribution channels. Only 14% are cutting prices and 11% are increasing prices.

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

9%

11%

14%

23%

38%

40%

41%

73%

7%

9%

10%

15%

31%

38%

41%

66%

7%

5%

10%

22%

29%

32%

24%

80%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Other

Merging with and/or acquiring competitors to increasemarket share

Increase prices

Cutting prices

Adapting existing product/service for new geographicmarkets

Opening new distribution channels/ reorganizingdistribution to use multiple channels

Enter new geographic markets for existingproducts/services

Increase investment in marketing and sales

Introducing new products and/ or services for existingclient and to attract new clients

2014 2015 2016

Page 55: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 55

Which of the following actions is your company taking to increase sales in 2016? (multiple answers)

Question 21 – By industry sector

Companies from all industries are planning to enter new geographic markets for existing products/services and also to

introduce new products and/or services for existing clients and to attract new clients. It is noteworthy that 10% of companies

from transportation sector are cutting prices, while 10% of companies in food & beverages are increasing prices.

Total Respondents: 339

(Skipped this question: 82)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

15%

18%

16%

14%

19%

20%

14%

23%

31%

18%

10%

18%

26%

8%

9%

30%

36%

30%

24%

30%

27%

33%

28%

23%

28%

35%

29%

26%

21%

30%

18%

10%

23%

17%

13%

15%

20%

16%

23%

18%

19%

15%

7%

21%

15%

11%

7%

5%

5%

12%

16%

5%

8%

24%

3%

7%

27%

8%

12%

16%

18%

12%

18%

12%

14%

13%

13%

8%

12%

20%

15%

25%

15%

4%

2%

7%

4%

4%

13%

5%

5%

3%

7%

4%

4%

7%

10%

3%

2%

7%

4%

7%

7%

9%

6%

7%

5%

5%

7%

2%

7%

10%

4%

4%

4%

18%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Other

Chemicals

Construction / Real Estate

Food & Beverages / Agriculture

Industry / Manufacturing

Information Technology

Pharmaceuticals / Healthcare

Power / Energy / Mining

Publishing & Printing

R&D / New Technology

Retail & Wholesale Trade

Services

Telecommunication / Media

Tourism

Transportation

Enter new geographic markets for existingproducts/services

Introducing new products and/ or services forexisting client and to attract new clients

Increase investment in marketing and sales

Adapting existing product/service for newgeographic markets

Opening new distribution channels/ reorganizingdistribution to use multiple channels

Merging with and/or acquiring competitors toincrease market share

Increase prices

Cutting prices

Other

Page 56: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 56

Mention briefly the main challenge that you are noticing now in your industry/field of activity? (number of answers)

Question 22 – Overall responses

There are 3 main challenges respondent companies notice in their industry/field of activity for 2016 are the following: pressure

on margins (46 responses), difficult labor market and demographic conditions (42 responses), and low competitiveness of the

Romanian economy (27 responses).

Total Respondents: 268

(Skipped this question: 153)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

9

11

11

11

14

14

14

14

17

19

19

27

42

46

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Cash flow management

Cost cutting

Legal framework uncertainty

Managing financial risks

Customer satisfaction

Harsh competition

Poor infrastructure

Sustainable growth

Business development

Corruption

Political instability

Low competitiveness

Labor market and demographics

Pressure on margins

Page 57: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 57

Mention briefly the main opportunity that you are noticing now in your industry/field of activity? (number of answers)

Question 23 – Overall responses

The 3 main opportunities respondent companies notice in their industry/field of activity for 2016 are the following: domestic

market growth potential (48 responses), decreased VAT rate (28 responses), partnerships & alliances (24 responses).

Total Respondents: 265

(Skipped this question: 156)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

5

6

10

10

10

11

11

12

13

16

20

20

21

24

28

48

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Cloud technology

Low costs

Access to EU funds

e-commerce

Energy infrastructure

Disruptive innovation (IoT)

Social economy

Market consolidation

Changing business models

Entering new markets

More entrepreneurial businesses

Technological advancements

Growing demand for IT services

Partnerships and alliances

Decreased VAT

Domestic market growth potential

Page 58: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 58

Mention briefly the main potential for investment /development that you are looking at for the next 1-3 years in your industry.

Question 24 – Overall responses

According to the respondents to the survey, the main potential for investment in 2016 is triggered by the need to increase efficiency

(21% of companies), followed by the need to expand the market with new customer segments (17%), and expand the market in new

countries (16%). The need to secure sustainability is mentioned as an area for future development only by 8% of companies.

Total Respondents: 322

(Skipped this question: 99)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

8%

8%

14%

15%

16%

17%

21%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Other

Secure sustainability

Expand market with new regions (in Romania)

Change/adapt the business model

Expand operations

Expand market in new countries

Expand market with new customer segments

Increase efficiency

Page 59: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

DemographicsThe results of this survey reflect the

responses received to our

questionnaire in the period between

26 January and 8 February 2016, from

421 top executives of major companies

operating in Romania.

Page 60: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 60

Romanian company (yes/no) County where the company is based

Demographics

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

60%

40%

Yes

No

18%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

40%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Other

Constanța

Arad

Bihor

Sibiu

Prahova

Bacău

Iași

Argeș

Mureș

Timiș

Brașov

Ilfov

Cluj

București

Page 61: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 61

Demographics

Industry sector Company revenue level (for 2015)

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

8%

1%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

5%

8%

8%

9%

9%

13%

21%

0% 10% 20% 30%

Other

R&D / New Technology

Publishing & Printing

Telecommunication / Media

Chemicals

Pharmaceuticals /…

Tourism

Transportation

Power / Energy / Mining

Construction / Real Estate

Food & Beverages /…

Information Technology

Services

Retail & Wholesale Trade

Industry / Manufacturing

14%

35%

28%

10%

13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Less than 1 M EUR

1 - 10 M EUR

10 - 50 M EUR

50 - 100 M EUR

100 M EUR+

Page 62: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 62

Entity type Respondent’s job title

Demographics

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

2%

6%

10%

82%

Government/State-ownedenterprise

Private Equity portfoliocompany

Publicly listed

Privately owned

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

6%

4%

4%

4%

5%

6%

9%

15%

16%

31%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Other

CIO/Technology director

Head of business unit

Other C-level executive

Board member

SVP/VP/Director

CFO/Treasurer/Controller

Head of department

Manager

CEO/President/Managingdirector

Page 63: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

Page 63

We would like to thank all who have responded to our questionnaire and thus made

possible the existence of this mid-year edition of the survey. We have been very

glad to see the increasing interest in this survey reflected in the increasing number

of responses received. A special thank you goes to Diana Dumitrașcu, Executive

Director of doingbusiness.ro for her significant and always prompt support in the

preparation of this survey.

This is a quantitative survey/analysis which aims at showcasing the trends of the surveyed topic and advance working hypotheses

which might be subsequently validated by extensive market research conducted on representative samples. This written material is

accurate to the best of our knowledge at the time of issue. It is, however, meant as a general guide and comes with the

recommendation that professional advice be sought before any action is taken.

Elena BadeaAssociate Director

Branding, Marketing & Communication

EY Romania

[email protected]

Constantin MăgdălinaSenior Knowledge Management

Branding, Marketing & Communication

EY Romania

[email protected]

See here the previous edition of the survey from February 2015.

The project team

Page 64: A vision for growth - Business outlook barometer - Romania 2016

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