A Tale of Two Regions - Petfood Forum · Bulgaria Russia Dominates Eastern Europe 4% CAGR Value...
Transcript of A Tale of Two Regions - Petfood Forum · Bulgaria Russia Dominates Eastern Europe 4% CAGR Value...
A Tale of Two Regions
Pet Care in Western and Eastern Europe
• Overview
• Western Europe
• Eastern Europe
• Prospects
OVER THE PAST 5 YEARS
2.7%CAGR
GLOBAL RETAIL VALUE SALES
$109billion
$13.5 billion
REAL TERM GROWTH
Value Drives Developed Markets
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
-1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7%
Ret
ail v
alu
e %
CA
GR
(USD
co
nst
ant,
fix
ed 2
01
7 e
xch
ange
rat
es)
Retail volume CAGR%
Pet Food Retail Value Growth 2012-2017
Eastern Europe
Western Europe
Asia Pacific
Australasia
North America
Middle East and Africa
Latin America
Western Europe
• 24% of total
• 0.0% volCAGR 2012-2017
Eastern Europe• 7% of total
• 2.3% volCAGR 2012-2017
Volume Sales Differ Significantly
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
00
0 T
on
nes
Total Volume Sales of Pet food in Europe 2012-2017
Western Europe Eastern Europe
Eastern Europe
Global Pet Care Sales 2017
WE EE NA LATAM APAC AUS
5 bn US$
Eastern Europe Pet Care Value Sales
Dog Food Cat Food
Other Pet Food Pet Products
Western Europe
Global Pet Care Sales 2017
WE EE NA LATAM APAC AUS
28bn US$
Western Europe Pet Care Value Sales
Dog Food Cat Food
Other Pet Food Pet Products
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Mill
ion
an
imal
s
Dog Population Shifts in West and Eastern Europe
Western Europe Eastern Europe
Diverging Dog Trends
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Mill
ion
an
imal
s
Cat Population Shifts in West and Eastern Europe
Western Europe Eastern Europe
But Similar Cat Preferences
Pet Care Retail Value Sales 2017
Russia
Poland
Czech Republic
Hungary
Romania
Ukraine
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Russia Dominates Eastern Europe
4% CAGRValue Sales 2012-17
Pet Care Retail Value Sales 2017
UK
Germany
France
Italy
Spain
Finland
Denmark
Greece
Balance in Western Europe
2% CAGRValue Sales 2012-17
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
% v
alu
e gr
ow
th
Retail Value Growth 2013-2017
Bulgaria Czech Republic Hungary Poland Romania Russia Slovakia
Eastern Europe Growth
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
% v
alu
e gr
ow
th
Retail Value Growth 2013-2017
Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Italy Spain United Kingdom
Western Europe Growth
• Slide divider WE
-1%
0%
1%
2%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Economy Mid-Priced Premium
USD
mill
ion
(c
on
stan
t, f
ixed
20
17
exc
han
ge r
ates
)
Dog and Cat Food, Western Europe
2017 sales 2012-2017 CAGR
Premium Drives Sales
Treats Rule
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1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Cat Treats Dog Treats
% C
AG
R
US$
mill
ion
Dog and Cat Treats in Western Europe 2012-2017
Innovation in Western Europe
Hugo & Celine by Hugo & Celine ABTom&Co Snac’o Olijf by Aniserco SA/NV
Sources: https://catalogue.tomandco.be; http://www.hugoandceline.com
Delicate Textures
Sheba Soup by Mars (UK)
Natural Goes Mainstream
And So Does Raw
Freshpet In Tesco (pets at Home) Wainrigths expands into raw
Stepping Up Credentials
Naturals by Bozita GmbH (Germany)
Stepping Up Credentials
Beco Pet Food UK
Customisation and Subscription
• Slide divider EE
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Economy Mid-Priced Premium
USD
mill
ion
(c
on
stan
t, f
ixed
20
16
exc
han
ge r
ates
)
Dog and cat food, Eastern Europe
2016 sales 2011-2016 CAGR
Opportunities Across All Price Bands
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Cat Treats Dog Treats
% C
AG
R
US$
mill
ion
Dog and Cat treats in Eastern Europe
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Bulgaria Poland Russia Slovakia
Share of Prepared Cat Food
2011
2016
Prepared Food Penetration
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Bulgaria Poland Romania Russia
Share of Prepared Dog Food
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Val
ue
gro
wth
(at
co
nst
ant
20
16
pri
ces)
Growth in Disposable Income per Household 2011-2016
Opportunities exist, despite Russian crisis
Price Competition in Hungarian Mid-Priced Cat Food
HUF179/USD0.61100 g
HUF115/USD0.39100g
Price Competition in Czech Premium Dog Food
CZK1599/USD6212 KG
CZK899/USD3515 KG
Replicating Human Food Packaging
Chetveronogiy Gurman Brilliant Line by Chetveronogiy Gurman OOO
Sources: www.mealberry.ru; own photo
Consumer Education in Lithuania
Cats cannot resist our Whiskas food. Each meal is carefully balanced and contains all necessary nutrients, vitamins an minerals. Besides, they are tasty!
Prospects
Health
Convenience
ValueIndulgence
Sustainability
Lifestyle
Major Food Trends
Don’t Say Diet
Portable
Breakfast
Affordable Luxury
Single
Origin Food
Flexitarians
Anti-Big Food
Health And Lifestyle Blend
Technology Conquers All
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
15 to 16 16 to 17 17 to 18 18 to 19 19 to 20 20 to 21 21 to 22
Pet Care Growth by Region 2017-2022
Western Europe Eastern Europe North America Latin America
Australasia Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific
Global Overview
0.0
5,000.0
10,000.0
15,000.0
20,000.0
25,000.0
30,000.0
35,000.0
40,000.0
45,000.0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Dog and Cat Food Future Prospects 2017-22
Economy Mid-Priced Premium
Internet Retailing Set For Strong Growth In All Regions
PET CARE OVERVIEW
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
NorthAmerica
WesternEurope
Asia Pacific EasternEurope
LatinAmerica
Australasia Middle Eastand Africa
% C
AG
R
Val
ue
sal
es,
USD
bn
Pet Care Internet Retailing Sales 2016 and CAGR 2016-2021
2016 value sales 2016-2021 CAGR %
THANK YOU FOR LISTENING
Paula Flores
Head of Pet Care Research
60-61 Britton Street
EC1M 5UX
London